💡 Ideas For BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BITCOIN → Trading inside a sideways flat. ↑ 75K or ↓ 60K?
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Within the framework of medium-term trading:

All that remains is to wait for the market to start taking action to move price out of the range:
- 71572 - 73679 resistance may affect the continuation of growth.
- It is also worth paying attention to the supports: 61447, 59313. False breakdown and liquidity capture will also favorably affect the growth.

Within the framework of intraday trading:

It is worth paying attention to all levels indicated on the chart. These are potentially important zones, relative to which strong intraday movements can be formed. It is possible to trade both false breakout and breakout of intermediate zones.

Resistance levels: 68577, 71572, 73679
Support levels: 64780, 61447, 59313

Technically and fundamentally the market is ready to go higher, but there is an important event ahead - halving, within which before further growth there may be liquidation of buyers and decrease of BTC to more profitable prices. Analytical companies also say that the general mood in the market is changing, which may lead to a correction, but funds continue to buy the asset
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#BTCUSD 🪙
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💡 Ideas For BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BITCOIN → Trading inside a sideways flat. ↑ 75K or ↓ 60K?
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BTC is trading in a neutral market. After updating the global ATH the market did not let the price to this zone, strong support levels are formed from below. The conglomerate of strong zones in general indicates that there is no clear potential at the moment and consolidation will continue further.

The price is trading within a range, the boundaries of which are narrowing and beginning to remind us of a symmetrical triangle. The disadvantage of this pattern is that it is not clear in advance in which direction it will go, some people consider the setup as a figure that can continue the trend, but it all depends on a variety of reasons. In the combination of technical and fundamental analysis, there is a higher probability that the price will further test the resistance for a breakout.

What to do now and how to trade at the moment?
Price is in a range.
Global range is 73679-59313
Local (current) range: 68577 - 64780
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NonFarm 303K
Unemployment Rate 3.8%

Bullish news for the U.S. market

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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Could NFP cause a counter-trend correction?
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GOLD within a strong rally stops and forms a flat before the publication of NFP. Relative to 2288 a false breakout is formed, bringing sellers into the market.

The dollar is in a correction phase, as is gold. The price is testing the local low of 2267.67 but still does not reach the strong liquidity zones of 2265, 2228, 2222. There is still a strong buyer in the market, but after the correction and the false breakdown of 2288 a seller appears. NFP is ahead, a rather important news, which can both turn the market and strengthen the current movement. It is worth paying attention to the resistance at 2288 and 2305. There is a chance to see the continuation of counter-trend correction, but before that there is a chance that a big player will drive the price to ATH before further decline to the specified liquidity areas: 2265, 2228 or to the support of the formal channel.

Resistance levels: 2288, 2305
Support levels: 2265, 2228, 2222

Technical factors are not enough now to specify the key areas for opening sales or purchases, so it is worth to base on the fundamental reasons and strong resistance and support areas.
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Nevertheless, what I've been talking about is happening. The market stops and goes into consolidation. Volatility today in the whole market is small, it was possible to make money, but not within the framework of a strong movement.

Since yesterday, all eyes are on tomorrow's NFP)))
The market is preparing for something.

By the way, what is interesting is that many traders and investors are also waiting for some kind of a trick from Powell, who lately has not so much to say on business, but more to reassure people.
Could he be forced to lower the rate sooner?))))))

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🇺🇸 U.S. Macro Data:

❗️ Initial jobless claims

Actual: 221K
Expected: 213K

This is neutral-negative news for the dollar at the moment, overall this could be reflected in tomorrow's NonFarm Payrolls.

We'll discuss tomorrow's siguation a little later 🙂

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Obviously, after the release of PMI and JOLTS data the Fed will not change the policy based on Q1 data. What is happening in the market now is emotion, but many people take it seriously. Still, we should wait for more important and factual data than just words in the air.
The inflation rate in January-February was higher than in 2023, which was the reason for the panic "inflation will be even higher and rates will be held for longer". But, the latest data doesn't change the situation significantly.
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💡 Ideas For USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵
📈 USDJPY → A strong buyer is willing to go higher
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USDJPY does not pay attention to the behavior of the American dollar. The focus is on the Japanese yen. The currency is in a strong sell-off and continues to get cheaper, while a beautiful set-up is forming on the chart

Rising triangle in the global perspective and in the short term: on D1, on H4 and on H1. A beautiful situation, when the chart lives its own life and practically does not react to the behavior of the US dollar, which starts the correction from a strong resistance.
The trigger level for the Japanese Yen is 151.94, the break of this resistance will cause the formation of a strong bullish impulse. The structure will break when the support at 151.15 is broken, but not about that for now.

Resistance levels: 151.78, 151.94
Support levels: 151.15, 150.8

Technically and fundamentally, the Japanese Yen is weakening and will continue to weaken despite the change of actions of the central bank of Japan. The currency pair may renew the high in the medium term.
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Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction

#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
The price updates the lows and then forms a correction. Possible retest of 1.080 before further decline. Overall, the trend is bearish.

#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
The price on the background of the downtrend is heading towards the target, which can be reached in the near future

#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - LONG 📈
Strong consolidation on the background of the uptrend. Price is preparing to break the line and continue to grow

#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
Downtrend. Support at 0.59395 restrains the fall, but I don't think it will last long. After a small correction, the fall may continue.

#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - LONG 📈
The bullish trend continues. Important target is 0.9225, it can be reached quite quickly in the medium term.

#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - LONG 📈
Consolidation is formed with the aim to continue the upward movement. A breakthrough of 1.3606 is expected in the near future.

#XAUUSD 👑 - LONG 📈
Strong rally. Could be a correction before further growth (see idea)

#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - LONG 📈
The dollar is in a strong growth phase. Possible downward correction before further growth, but it all depends on the news
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In general, based on the overall environment, analysis and the remaining potential as well as the huge area of imbalance on the chart, there is a fairly high probability to see a false breakdown of support followed by price consolidation before the news that will be published on Thursday and Friday.

On Thursday we are interested in Initial Jobless Claims, this data can help me to estimate the upcoming NFP in advance

And on Friday it will be NonFarm Payrolls, which all traders, investors and analysts are waiting for.

Читать полностью…

💡 Ideas For BNXUSDT 🪙
📈 BNXUSDT → Stronger than BTC? How will this affect growth?
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BNX is forming an interesting pattern. A symmetrical triangle is formed on the chart and after shaking from below the price strengthens and breaks the resistance, which in general prepares the coin for further growth

Technically, BNX is feeling better than BTC and looks strong enough to continue growing.
The price is breaking through the resistance of the 0.6200 range and is consolidating above this line on the low timeframes, while the cryptovalent market is in correction, following bitcoin, which is updating local lows.
If the bulls in BNX keep the price above the previously broken triangle and above the 0.6200 level, it will cause further gains towards 0.74 and 1.0

Resistance levels: 0.6200
Support levels: triangle resistance, 0.5663

Technically, the coin has the potential for further growth. We are waiting for consistent actions from the bulls with the purpose of realization
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Broker plays an important role in becoming a trader. Because choosing a quality broker from day one can make your trading a little more comfortable.

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Hi friends, I will be glad if you support the idea with a comment on the site (link below) 😉
Don't forget about likes

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/AOtOkVbf-BITCOIN-Trading-inside-a-sideways-flat-75K-or-60K/

Thank you ❤️

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💡 Ideas For ALPHAUSDT 🪙
📈 ALPHAUSDT → Beginning of realization after accumulation
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ALPHA forms an attempt of the market transition from consolidation to the phase of realization of the accumulated potential within the framework of the uptrend.

Key accumulation area 0.500 - 0.0630. The resistance is broken, consolidation is formed above the upper boundary of the range, which hints about the readiness of the coin to realize the accumulated potential. In our case it is the growth from 0.15-0.16. On H4 the price also breaks the resistance of consolidation (triangle) and tests 0.16. This level is the key at the moment, it is worth waiting for the price to consolidate above this level for further strengthening of ALPHA coin.

Resistance levels: 0.1600, 0.1720
Support levels: 0.1369, 0.1420

Technically, the coin has energy and potential for further upside. Therefore, we should wait for the price to consolidate in the green zone in order to form further growth
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After a strong US jobs report, markets are again lowering bets on the imminent start of a Fed rate cut - FT
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Traders expect to see NonFarm Payrolls 212K versus 275K, this generally indicates a bearish bias of speculators towards the US market. That makes sense.

Yesterday we saw bad data on Initial Jobless Claims, the figure rose by 8K, which broke the wave of bullish data for 5 weeks in a row.

Overall this could be just as negative for NFP, but we can't say for sure if the actual data will be above or below 212K, we can only speculate.

Based on last month's data, there is a high probability to see the actual NFP higher than 212K, which could be bullish for the dollar index and generally negative for the forex market.

PS:
Data above the expected 212K will be bullish for the dollar
Data below the expected 212K will be bearish for the USD
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💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → How can NFP affect the currency pair?
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EURUSD is unfolding within the framework of the downtrend. The price fails to reach the key support and gains a buyer amid the correction of the dollar index. The market is waiting for NonFarm Payrolls

Chart on D1 - price has no clear global trend, the market is in neutral flat. A false breakdown of the ascending support line is formed, after which the market gets a buyer. The market is expecting NFP today, Traders want to see 212K relative to the previous 275. On the back of a slight rise in Initial Jobless Claims NFP all may be a bit higher than 212K, which may increase volatility a bit. Channel and range resistance at 1.08975 is worth watching.

Support levels: 1.07958
Resistance levels: 1.08643, 1.08975

Technically, if NFP is worse than expected, the currency pair may try to break the trend resistance and head towards 1.10. But, there is a high probability to see NFP above 212K, which will have a negative impact on the currency pair.
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Okay, let's just speculate a little bit. But without going into depth, just in a light impulse.

Initial Jobless Claims rose by 8K on the back of localized volatility in the US market. But overall, the whole month was neutral. the data was in the 210K range and only today's week showed a small gap of 8K from the expected value and 9K from the previous one.

Overall, this is a neutral-negative scenario. There is no strong change in the data. Against this backdrop, the dollar begins a small correction.

Consequently, barring a lot of factors that we are unable to assess, tomorrow's NFP (based on logical considerations) could be bearish for the market, which could further weaken the dollar.

*This is me talking about the expected values. But the actual ones are already changing the contour, as the market is evaluating the situation relative to the expected value of 212k. And there is a pretty high probability to see NFP above 212K.

But we are all aware of what can happen in fact, as economic news is made up of political influences, so I don't deny that the data can be radically unpredictable ;)

NFP Expected 212K relative to the previous 275K

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Bitcoin reaching a global high and forming a false breakdown does not give a reaction in the form of a fall, but forms a price stop and flat in a range between 73K - 60K.

The leading crypto asset fell more than 7 percent during Tuesday's session, dropping about $5,000 to a 10-day low of $64,500 per coin. However, buyers bought back some of the drop to $66,000 yesterday, which was the biggest one-day decline since early March.
It's been a weak start to the month for bitcoin, with about 10% of its value lost in the past two days. But volatility is set to rise as we approach a landmark event. Bitcoin's rate halving is due in about two weeks. Every four years or so, the reward for mining BTC is cut in half to preserve the token's unique allure as the quintessential scarcity premium.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Reached 2300. What's next, going higher or correction?
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GOLD breaks records and updates the high to 2305, but technically, the implied target is still not reached. Today Initial Jobless Claims before NFP is published and the market may go into a consolidation phase.

On D1 we see the dollar declining after a false break of the resistance at 104.94 as well as the downside resistance. Ahead of Initial Jobless Claims, in general, traders are waiting for neutral-negative data, the situation is still complicated, but Powell is trying to keep the market from Panic with his statements.
2300 may become a key psychological level for gold and cool down the market a bit, which may form a correction. There are still some areas of imbalance that the market maker may test before resuming the rise to the resistance level formed on the monthly timeframe.

Support levels: 2288, 2265, 2253
Resistance levels: 2300, 2325, 2337

Technically, a small correction to liquidity zones may start before further rsoot towards psychological levels
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Silver #XAG prices have hit a 10-month high

experts at The Silver Institute & Metals Focus estimate that the deficit in 2024 will be down 9% from 2023, to 176 million ounces, but will still be high by historical standards.

Forecasts from industry analysts, including The Silver Institute, for 2024 point to the prospect of a fourth consecutive annual silver deficit, as well as a second record level of demand. Silver could rise to $35-50 per ounce as early as this year
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Unfortunately, in the current environment it is quite difficult to determine which data will be actual.
You should trade carefully, as the news is published in a cascade.

It is worth paying attention to ADP NonFarm, as this indicator may give some insight into the expected Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday and NFP on Friday. There's also a huge focus on the PMI.
The ISM Manufatcturing PMI was bullish on Monday and there is a high probability to see bullish data today.

In general, actual news data above expected will strengthen the dollar, below expected will weaken the dollar.
As for the overall situation. A strong dollar negatively affects the markets and vice versa.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → A correction before further growth?
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GOLD has been forming a small correction towards liquidity zones since the opening of the session. On the background of strong bullish trend it is quite logical scenario before the news publication

The dollar index is testing a strong resistance before the news and a correction is possible, which will only strengthen the growth of gold. But, it is impossible to determine in advance what kind of news it will be (bullish or bearish for the dollar). Traders expect bullish: ADP NonFarm, ISM PMI, and bearish: SP PMI. Also, the big question is what Powell will say tonight....
Technically, gold is still in a bullish trend. And it may continue after a correction.

Resistance levels: 2288, 2300
Support levels: 2265, 2253, 2228

Technically, the market is bullish. A retest and false breakout of one of the above areas could strengthen the price again. But, the structure may break when the channel resistance (as support) or 2228 is broken, in which case the correction will be prolonged to lower zones.
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Markets are gradually revising their initially optimistic expectations for the Fed, ECB and CBA to start cutting rates soon - BBG
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