#GBPJPY Close now with +110 pips in profit ⚡️

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US - CPI (Apr):

MoM = +0.3% (expected +0.4% / previously +0.4%)
YoY = +3.4% (expected +3.4% / previously +3.5%)

Core CPI = +3.6% yoy (expected +3.6% / previously +3.8%)

Inflation is still confirmed at 3.4%.
This is very high from the level the Fed is expecting.

On the back of yesterday's PPI there were expectations to see 3.5-3.6. But overall the situation is still complicated by the fact that there are no clear views on when the US will be able to control inflation, when the Fed will cut interest rates and when the situation will stabilize.

The dollar should be declining now, overall this should be favorable to my previously published ideas.
How long this decline in the dollar index will be within the medium term is unclear. We will watch the situation further.
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#News #CPI #Inflation

Inflation news ahead.
The market got a mixed PPI yesterday which made Powell nervous.

It is rare for a PPI report to come out a day EARLIER than a CPI report
PPI + CPI macro data have a very strong correlation. Failure of PPI to meet expectations can cause a more significant reaction in the markets

There is a high probability of unpredictable CPI.
Traders expect inflation to fall by 0.1% to 3.4% from the previous 3.5%.

In general, news is an unpredictable factor and I recommend not to trade before and during the news!
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💡 Ideas For USDCAD 🇺🇸🇨🇦
📈 USDCAD → Weak dollar. Currency pair in the correction phase
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
USDCAD is declining on the back of a weak dollar index and breaking the support of the descending triangle, which generally allows bears to dominate the market. The price may go down to 0.355

The uptrend is not broken, a correction is forming after a retest of resistance. A descending triangle is forming on the chart as the dollar index is starting to show weakness related to the fundamentals. Most likely, from 1.36328 the price may head towards the trend support from which a rebound may follow with high probability.

Resistance levels: 1.36328, 1.37
Support levels: 1.3547

I expect the bearish momentum to continue as the sellers are strong at the moment. The global trend is not broken, the market is developing a correction phase.
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GBPJPY shows great results on the background of the weak national currency of Japan.

Earlier I shared with you an idea to buy #GBPJPY, its realization allowed to get 320 pips, which in general may not be the limit yet. The Bank of Japan is not doing its job and the Yen may continue to fall :)
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The First Take-Profit has been reached🎯💰: +51pips

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PPI is ahead, as well as Powell's speech.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the change in the prices of goods sold by manufacturers. It is a leading indicator of consumer price inflation, which accounts for most of the overall inflation.

A reading above expectations is bullish for the dollar
Readings below expectations are bearish for the dollar

Overall, inflation is high and continues to be high, which clearly worries Powell, who may hint at the regulator's tough policies and actions towards the situation. But, lately the head of the Fed is trying to calm traders and softly hint at a soon interest rate cut, which sends a gale wind to the market in the form of increased volatility.

I will not guess in advance, as it is impossible at the moment.
Trade carefully and I would not recommend to get into the market before the news.
Use information after the fact
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → How can the price react to the NEWS on inflation?
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GOLD earlier returned to the range after a false breakdown of resistance. The market is now fading as it is in the waiting phase for Powell's speech as well as the rest of the inflation news

Traders are waiting for PPI today as well as tomorrow's CPI. Earlier, the market discussed the interest rate cut as well as inflation, which continues to remain at a rather high level, which does not please the Fed. Traders are expecting inflation to drop from 3.5 to 3.4. This is possible, but it is still very high relative to what Powell, who will also speak today, is expecting.
Gold may react strongly to the news as economic factors are unpredictable. It will be necessary to follow the actual data and not to trade before the news.

Resistance levels: 2352, 2363, 2378
Support levels: 2328, 2306, 2295

Fundamentally it is still very bad, inflation is high, rate cuts are not expected, in general this scenario lays further strengthening of the dollar. In such a case, gold may continue to correct to the lows.
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🗣For the last week from:
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Total result: 116 pips! ⚡

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#USDJPY is back in the grip of the dollar, although the dollar is showing signs of weakness across the market. The pair has been rallying rapidly over the past few trading days, trying to recoup most of the losses incurred after Japan's intervention in early May. This is bad news for Japan and all dollar bears.

Japan entered the forex market in the first week of May, selling $60 billion dollars to try to support the value of its currency. The plan worked at first, but not for long. That changed shortly thereafter, and now more than half of the progress made by Japanese officials has been undone

The yen's defenders could decide at any time to get back in the game with another huge wall of selling. But they are well aware that the dollar bulls won't give up that easily. That makes the next move tricky - too little intervention may have little or no effect. But too big a stance could use up a lot of energy and limit Japan's resources to act again for the foreseeable future.
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💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → Retest of downtrend resistance amid weak $
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EURUSD is heading towards trend resistance with interest. This is also supported by the weak dollar, which is standing still. But, the currency pair is still in a bearish trend

Buyers are trying to strengthen the euro. On D1 a consolidation format of movement is formed. In this case, the pair may test the trend resistance, but it will be difficult to break it the first time, because the dollar will continue to rise in price for some time due to the actions of regulators, which will affect the euro.

Resistance levels: 1.0802, 1.0864
Support levels: 1.0736, 1.0703

At the moment there is a probability of a retest of the resistance area, but the bears can give strong resistance to the buyers' interests, which in general can be reflected as a pullback from the upper boundary of the trend.
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Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction

#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
The impulse after the false fall is being formed. Weakening of the dollar has a favorable effect on the euro. We expect growth to 1.0876

#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
On Thursday, the market redeems some of the fall and on Friday, a consolidation is formed which may cause a rise to 1.257

#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
NZD is strengthening on the back of the fall. On Friday, the pair closes very well with the aim of further growth

#AUDUSD 🇦🇺/🇺🇸 - LONG 📈
The price is in a range and is heading towards support. There is a possibility of resistance breakout, but we need to wait for market reaction at 0.6667

#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - LONG 📈
The Japanese national currency is weakening more than the dollar, thus the currency pair is growing. The growth may continue up to 158-160.

#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - SHORT 📉
Amid a weaker dollar, the Canadian falls and is poised to continue falling after breaking through 1.363

#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - SHORT 📉
Similarly, a candlestick setup is being formed that portends an attempt to break the support with the aim of further decline.

#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - SHORT 📉
A stalemate situation for traders. False breakout of support does not lead to the proper result and index returns. There is a chance of support breakout and further fall
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Shall I tell you how options expiration affected the price of bitcoin and ethereum and how it could have been foreseen?)

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#CADJPY Close now with +79 pips in profit!😍

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#forex #EURUSD is rising for the third day in a row: traders are mostly dumping the dollar ahead of key data releases. Today is inflation day, and the US will present Consumer Price Index data for April. There is a lot at stake - the data will help determine the Fed's next step towards lowering interest rates. Analysts expect a 3.4% increase from 3.5% in March.

A strong jump above this figure may negate the positive dynamics on the world markets. However, the expected decrease in price pressure is likely to strengthen hopes for an interest rate cut soon. The Fed has previously stated that it is monitoring all incoming data and will decide when - or if - it would be appropriate to lower borrowing costs.

In this context, the euro has surpassed the $1.08 mark and is on track to jump above the 100-day moving average, indicating a medium-term bullish bias. It has already crossed the 50-day and 200-day lines. But it's not a done deal yet - it all depends on what today's consumer price index report shows.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Will the bullish sentiment persist after the news?
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GOLD is growing and testing local descending resistance. Growth is associated with the decline in the dollar index on the background of Powell's comments. Ahead of the news on inflation...

Technically, on H4 the price overcomes the correction phase and returns to the bullish rut, testing the local maximum. Bulls are focused on consolidation above 2350. If this can be done on the background of the news, 2400-2500 is ahead.
Traders are waiting for the inflation report, which may be ambiguous like PPI. A slight weakening of the situation may weaken the dollar, and gold will react appropriately.

Resistance levels: 2378, 2400, 2418
Support levels: 2352, 2336, 2328

The mood of traders is bullish, which can generally determine the medium-term outlook for us. But inflation can both strengthen this bullish mood and weaken it. Trade carefully!
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#XAUUSD 👑
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#crypto #BTC
The significant resistance level in BTC is $66,200+-
410,000 BTC were traded at this level - Glassnode data
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🇺🇸 Today is a rare occasion - the PPI report will come out a day BEFORE the CPI report

PPI + CPI macro data have a very strong correlation. A PPI failure to meet expectations could cause a more significant (than usual) reaction in the markets.

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💡 Ideas For SFPUSDT 💰
📈 SFPUSDT → Waiting for a bullish RALLY from 0.8650
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SFP shows a beautiful bullish picture. An interesting coin that has been accumulating potential for two years and currently shows bullish prerequisites for a possible growth or even a rally

The coin continues to push towards 0.8137, a liquidity area that plays a key role in the market. Consolidation continues, but based on the overall situation, the denouement is close enough. It is worth paying attention to the resistance of the ascending triangle on the daily timeframe: 0.8630 - 0.8650. Breakout and consolidation of the price above the key figure can become the reason for activation of the phase of realization of the accumulated potential, which can give us the growth to 1.10, 1.32, or 3.1.

Support levels: 0.8137, 0.7500
Resistance levels: 0.8629, 1.0, 1.3238

The movement is slow, lagging behind the entire cryptocurrency market, but shows interesting prerequisites for a possible bullish momentum. Targets are indicated on the chart
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#crypto #BTC got off to a strong start this week after a weekend slide. Prices have drifted upward over the past few days, aiming for the $63,000 mark. Inflation data from the U.S. could spark fresh buying momentum if price pressures show a downward trajectory.

On Wednesday, American inflation data for April is scheduled to be released. Fans of digital assets will be watching to see if consumer prices have declined - a sign of a healthy economy and an incentive for bolder bets on risky assets like bitcoin and companies. On the other hand, another hot print on inflation could raise fears of an overstretched economy and lead to a significant drop in cryptocurrency prices.

Bitcoin hit a record high of $74,000 per coin in mid-March, and is now hovering around $62,000, about 17% below its ultimate peak. Despite the modest (by cryptocurrency standards) drop, bitcoin has added more than 40% in value this year
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#BTCUSD 🪙
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📈Forex VIP Performance

For the trading week from:
06.05 to 10.05

Total result +409 pips 💰

🗣You could earn in a week if:
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🔸Feb05-Feb09 Profit -105
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For February: +1277 pips!✅

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For April: +1480 pips!

🔸Apr29-May03 Profit +551
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Price moves back into range. Waiting for a test of 2328
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GOLD returns to the range after a false breakdown of the liquidity zone. A strong sell-off phase is forming and price is heading towards a key support and liquidity area

On local timeframes, reversal patterns cause price to test downside resistance and confirm its presence. False breakout provokes sell-offs towards 2328, this area is key for traders. The market maker is interested in a retest of the liquidity zone, relative to which a false breakout and growth towards range resistance can take place. In general, the market is still neutral-negative in the local perspective, accordingly, it is acceptable to consider both buying and selling intraday.

Resistance levels: 2352, 2378
Support levels: 2328, 2306

The correction will end only after breaking through the descending resistance (area 2365-2370), but at the moment the market is still in the correction phase, which is developing within the 4 wave.
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The Fed's balance sheet shrank by $9 billion in one week.

Bowman, Fed Chairman:
- The Fed may not cut rates this year.
- There are signs of low liquidity in the US debt market.

Logan, Fed Chairman:
- It is too early to think about a Fed rate cut given the disappointing inflation data for the first few months of the year.

Bostic, Fed chairman:
- I still believe the Fed Funds rate can be cut this year despite the macro data.

Daley, Fed Chair:
- The Fed's monetary policy is restrictive, but it takes time to bring inflation down.
- The risks between the two sides of the Fed's mandate, inflation and the labor market, are now balanced.

Collins, Fed Chair:
- Stopping disinflation this year requires patience from the Fed.
- We need to keep the rate on hold longer to achieve the inflation target.

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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The bulls are back, the market is recovering. Is it 2400?
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GOLD is testing 2378. For two weeks traders fought for the 2300 area and the bulls won. Favorable fundamental background and technical prerequisites played into our hands.

Earlier we discussed with you the formation of the correction and the formation of the bullish pattern "descending wedge". The breakout of the resistance of the wedge confirmed the end of the correction, after fixing the price above 2300 the market allowed us to get an impulse of almost 700 pips and test the area of 2378.
At the moment the market is still bullish. The favorable fundamental and technical background, together with the fall of the dollar index continues to motivate buyers.
After updating the local high of 2378, a stop and correction is formed. The price may reach 2350-2340 before continuing its way up.

Resistance levels: 2378, 2400, 2417
Support levels: 2350, 2340, 2327

2350 plays an important role as it divides the chart into bullish and bearish area. A false breakout is possible, but in general we should watch the price reaction to the liquidity area. Also, the zone of 0.382 and 0.5 Fibo is important. The market is bullish and it is worth prioritizing long positions
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#INJUSDT +17% Target 1 reached! 😎

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💡 Ideas For BTCUSD 🪙
📈 BITCOIN → Why did it drop to 60K? When do we expect 75K?
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BTC lost 3.3% on Friday and is currently painting a bearish picture. There are two reasons for this:

- Inflation related news, basically proving that inflation is still high at 3.3-3.5%
- Expiration of contracts for 1.15 billion. Put / Call ratio amounted to 0.64. Maximum pain point at the 62000 level. Liquidation of huge volume and consequently bearish momentum.

Technically, everyone is interested in one important question - when will the correction end?
Bitcoin continues to consolidate and collect liquidity at the expense of buyers. The market can test the key zones: 59300, 56500 and even there is a probability of testing 52900. But, the growth needs reasons and traders are still in the waiting phase.
The confirmation of the end of the correction, at the moment, will be the breakthrough of 64500-67500 and price consolidation above these zones. In this case, the global sentiment will change to a strong bullish one

Resistance levels: 61500, 64500, 67250
Support levels: 59300, 56500

Consolidation continues and at the moment the price is heading towards support. A false breakdown of one of these areas is possible before further growth.
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#BTCUSD 🪙
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