Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction

#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
EURUSD is showing weakness, this is clearly visible in the descending formation on the chart. If selling continues, the price may break the support and head towards 1.06

#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
The price has moved into a descending channel. Traders are selling the pound amid expectations of interest rate cuts by the British Central Bank in the near future.

#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
The reversal pattern on D1. Expensive dollar negatively affects NZD. The fall may continue after the breakthrough of 0.60875

#AUDUSD 🇦🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
A major player is keeping the price outside 0.6695 for now. If this continues, the price may break the trend support and head towards the mentioned target

#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - LONG 📈
The weak Yen continues its depreciation course. The currency pair may continue to grow if the Japanese Central Bank does not take any action

#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - SHORT 📉
The currency pair is in a sideways channel. It is possible to trade from the boundaries. Either a breakdown, with the appropriate set-up, or a false breakdown.

#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - LONG 📈
A false break of resistance may give a rebound to support, after which the growth of the currency pair may resume due to fundamental reasons.

#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - LONG 📈
regulators are not ready to cut interest rates, but are hinting at a possible hike, which generally continues to support the index heading north.
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#YFIUSDT, another interesting coin that is already trying to break the current trend, but is still in the risk zone

A fight is forming between participants, sellers are actively trying to defend their positions, but most likely they will not succeed.

The 7.0 area plays a key role. A breakout and consolidation of the price above this area may bring buyers, which will cause a rally to 11.0
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#XRP also squandered its growth like other coins in 2018 (Dump), into 2021 (post-Covid). The average drop was between 80 and 95 percent.
Further, on the background of increased interest, halving, etc., all coins grew, as well as XRP grew on the background of growth of the overall market capitalization.
Only after another winter, bitcoin and many altcoins were able to enter the spring phase, but XRP did not because of global problems with the SEC
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#XRPUSDT 🪙
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🎖Jun19-Jun25 +1550%🟢
🔹Sep11-Oct01 +132%🟢
🔹Oct02-Oct08 +101%🟢
🔹Oct09-Oct22 +128%🟢
🔹Oct23-Oct29 +344%🟢
🔹Oct30-Nov05 +278%🟢
🔹Oct30-Nov05 +278%🟢
🔹Nov06-Nov12 +218%🟢
🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
🔹For January +46%🟢
🔹For February +838%🟢
🔹For March +278%🟢
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The data is unchanged...

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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Further direction depends on PCE and traders' perceptions
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GOLD strengthens on the news as traders took it as a possible easing of inflation. The dollar under pressure is favorable for gold

Ahead of the core PCE, traders expect inflation to ease from 2.8 to 2.6
If inflation data points to a slowdown in inflation, the gold price is likely to recover as the US dollar will be under strong selling pressure. This fact could be a kind of signal for a possible interest rate cut in the US in the fall (which everyone is waiting for). On the contrary, the US dollar may continue to strengthen and put pressure on the gold price if the data is unexpected....
On Thursday, mixed data on the growth of the US economy, put downward pressure on the US dollar. This helped the gold price to strengthen to 2330.
Technically, the price is testing the liquidity area where the bears may enter the fray. A false breakdown of the previously broken channel boundary may lead to another selloff.

Resistance levels: 2340, 2352
Support levels: 2332, 2319

Gold is currently in the selling zone and traders do not believe in the possible growth, the priority is to consider the price decline, but do not rush to conclusions! Ahead of the news, a change in the fundamental environment will attract investors and we may see a breakdown of 2340 and growth to 2360, but if the fundamental background does not change, an impulse to 2300 may be formed.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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#GOLD Update:

On Sunday we discussed the gold market and I was preparing you to expect a drop in the first half of the week after a small bounce on Monday.

The recommendation was to consider a decline from 2332. The price after the false breakdown of 2332 fell to 2295.
It's cool when you understand how the market moves.

In a few days +350 pips with minimal risk! ⚡️
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News ahead! 12:30 GMT

GDP QoQ (Q1)
Initial Jobless Claims

Traders are waiting for neutral-positive data, which can generally support the dollar. But, the emphasis is on the actual data.

The dollar may enter the correction phase if the GDP is below 1.3% and the Initial Jobless Claims increase, the data will be above 236K

GDP has been declining noticeably lately on the back of the overall economy. It is hard to tell at this point, but there is a chance to see warmer data in the US market, which could strengthen the dollar.
But Still, I recommend paying attention to the actual data as it is what plays a crucial role in pricing the markets
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Correction before the news. Bears may resist ↓
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GOLD after falling to 2293 is forming a correction before the news as traders are shrugging off fear of unpredictability. Important news ahead that determines the medium term strategy

Traders are waiting for US GDP and PCE inflation data. Bullish data against the dollar could hurt the price of gold quite a bit, which could head towards 2220 and get a downward correction phase change to a downtrend. Regulators are still sticking to the fact that inflation is high and it is still hard to fight it.
Technically, price is forming a bounce. Local rally is directed towards interest and liquidity: 2315-2325. Possible retest of local resistance before the news, if the general mood does not change, the fall will continue from the above zones. But, a break of the resistance at 2325 will bring the market back to the range boundaries....

Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2332
Support levels: 2306, 2397, 2287

Unpredictable news makes trading difficult, but based on the current data the market is bearish, there is no big buyer yet, local data may form a shakeout and increased volatility, after the exhaustion of which traders may return to sell-offs of metal
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#XAUUSD 👑
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I wonder if everyone is so expecting gold to rise. If you are an investor or a medium term buyer, I understand you, but if you are a trader, it is strange.
A trader should not care what direction to trade, especially if it is trending, the trend is downward now.
You can make money on both falling and rising 😉
Thanks))))

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#GBPAUD profit in the moment+71pips in profit!🤩

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#PEPEUSDT +19% Target 1 reached! 😍

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#BTCUSD Medium-term review.

At the moment, on W1-D1, the situation is bullish. The structure of the range is not broken. We can talk about the change of trend when the price breaks the support 56500 and confirms it by fixing the price below. But that's not the point for now.

Bitcoin lacks fundamental energy for growth, for example - approval of spot ETH-ETFs. yes, this is also a positive sign for the crypto market and the crypto community.
The price is now declining and intends to test deep liquidity zones within the range as a major player continues to gather potential.
I believe bitcoin will continue its rise, but only after it gathers the right volume for the market. It is worth paying attention to the trend lines and the 59-60K area, which could be an interim bottom
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Further direction depends on PCE and traders' perceptions
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Medium-term outlook for gold:
The market is still weak, locally there may be some redemption opportunities or bullish impulses that may quickly change to squeezes, but on D1-W1-M1 the outlook is rather questionable. On the high timeframe, the overall environment is in favor of the bears:

On the 1-day chart.
Negative fundamental background
False breakdown of MA-50
False breakdown of 0.5 Fibo
Downtrend channel (local)
Structure breakdown confirming bear market
Local reversal candlestick pattern

On the 1 month chart
False resistance breakout
Weak bullish candlestick pattern indicates a stumble and possible reversal
Below the imbalance area at 2275

Fundamental:
There is a lot of news this week that can generally change the fundamental backdrop, but then the market not only needs a hint of weakening inflation but also a clear and strong confirmation. In general, it is too early to believe in this yet.

Traders are waiting for ISM and Powell's speech at the beginning of the week, who may touch upon monetary policy, inflation and interest rate in his speech.
Further focus on ISM, FOMC Meeting Minutes, as well as Friday's NFP, in which traders expect a practical halving of the indicator, which may shake the market.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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#BTCUSD
I get a lot of questions regarding further actions. Especially people often ask about the fall.

It is hard to say, the market itself is not defined yet and is just forming a correction. Globally, the market is bullish, but we need clear signs of further growth, so far there are none.
The range is indicated by the blue and red zone. Until the price overcomes one of the boundaries, it is impossible to speak about a possible movement in one or another direction.

At the moment, the correction phase is still in the development stage. MM can form a retest of 60-56K (probability is not 100%) with the purpose of liquidation before further growth.

There are no strong signs of falling below 56K or breaking through 62.500. We continue to follow the price.
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#ETHUSD continues the phase of consolidation and correction. The market is still uncertain, so there is no clear position before further movement.

The only nuance. The market is waiting for SEC's decision on eth-etf and admittance of issuers to trading.
A positive signal will open doors for investors, which will attract new capital.

At the moment the coin is within the descending wedge. A break of the resistance of the wedge may move the market from the consolidation phase to the distribution phase (rally). Potential 4K target
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💡 Ideas For XRPUSDT 🪙
📈 XRP → Rally to 0.730 ↑ The fundamental denouement is coming
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XRPUSDT is approaching a possible decoupling, both technically and fundamentally. Positive signs of life could lead to a rally, first stop could be around 0.73.

On W1, the coin is trying to live, but there is a huge fundamental reason that keeps the price from going beyond resistance and flat: The SEC v. Ripple litigation.
Technically:
Price continues to test the wedge resistance with the aim of breaking it, volatility decreases and consolidation continues. Below 0.4637 buyers are not letting the price in yet, which may lead to another retest of the resistance, which will only increase the chances of a breakout.
Price consolidation above 0.4962 will be the root cause of market character change and possible rally to 0.6265 - 0.73.

Support levels: 0.4637
Resistance levels: 0.4962, 0.5720

I expect that the buyers will still be able to break through the resistance of the bearish figure in the near future and ride the rally to the mentioned targets.
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#XRPUSDT 🪙
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Pressure ( BTC sales ) on the market from miners has significantly weakened - CryptoQuant data

possible resumption of BTC rally after miners' sales are absorbed by the market - experts
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❗️News ahead: Core PCE Price Index (YoY) and (MoM)

If the inflation data indicates a slowdown in price pressures, the market may enter a recovery phase as the US dollar will be under strong selling pressure.

PCE is a rather key factor that is important data for the Fed, namely in deciding whether to cut interest rates.

(According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 64% probability of a Fed rate cut in September)

And accordingly, if the data is worse (pointing to high inflation), the US dollar could extend its recent strength and put pressure on the gold price if the data is unexpected.
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💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → Weak market. The target is 1.06. But, news...
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EURUSD is forming a consolidation, characteristic of a pre-breakout, against a key support line as the dollar index continues to gain support and hold north

A strong bearish situation is developing on D1. There is no strong buyer in the market that can turn around a weak market under pressure from strong bears. The market is below the MA200-MA50 daily moving averages and is also forming consolidation relative to the support, which with a high degree of probability speaks about the intentions to go lower.
On H4 the price is in consolidation, above the local maximum is the area of liquidity, as well as resistance, which can test the market before the subsequent decline.
BUT! Today's news. Traders are waiting for PCE inflation data....

Resistance levels: 1.07238, 1.07816
Support levels: 1.0664, 1.0606

Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair is in a neutral-negative outlook. If the fundamental background does not change today, I will still stick to the downward movement to 1.06- 1.055.
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#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸
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#GBPUSD and an ideal entry point with minimal risk to sell!

A bounce from the mentioned resistance area makes it possible to quickly earn almost 100 pips! ⚡️

Guys, price doesn't move just like that, price is controlled by people and it is important to understand from which zones price can bounce or break them! Learn to understand the market, as soon as you start to understand it, you will learn to trade!
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#TONUSDT Update:

The coin is looking very good
Keeping an eye on the nearest resistance: 7.700.
At this point, it's all about breaking resistance.

Waiting for a rally!
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#TONUSDT ✅
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#USDJPY
No signs of slowing US dollar growth deterred buyers of the yen, which led to a strong growth of the currency pair.
The exchange rate surpassed ¥160.90on Wednesday as the dollar rallied broadly and markets wondered how high the pair could go before the Japanese authorities start actively buying the yen?

On the one hand, the sharp rise to ¥161 can be attributed to the US Federal Reserve keeping interest rates high, which is helping to boost the dollar against other currencies. On the other hand, the Japanese yen's nearly four-decade low is supported by the Bank of Japan's backward-looking monetary policy - the lack of rate hikes has destroyed the yen's valuation.

In order to normalize the pair's exchange rate, that is, lower it so that Japan can get a break, the two central banks must act in opposite directions. The Fed must cut interest rates to lower the value of the dollar, and the Bank of Japan must raise benchmark interest rates to support the value of the yen. Again, neither side is reporting any rate changes
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💡 Ideas For ETHUSD 🔷
📈 ETHEREUM → Long-squeeze before the rally? To the MOON, to $4800?
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ETH continues the phase of correction, the character of which is consolidation. The goal is to gather potential before possible growth on the trend. The target is 4000-4800

The main focus is on ETH-ETF, which, according to rumors, may be allowed to trade on July 2-4. This will be another positive signal for the cryptocurrency community, as this fact may expand the underlying demand for cryptocurrencies and attract additional capital.
Fundamentally, ETH is seeing an increase in the number of active wallets, traders are actively buying call options with strike 4000 and expiration in September, Ethereum Foundation is not selling ETH now as it usually did close to market tops, which together gives positive signs.
The asset price is in a downward correction at the moment. The essence of this movement is the asset's consolidation before further strengthening.

Resistance levels: descending wedge line, 3678, 0.5 fibo
Support levels: 3200, trend line, 0.79 fibo

Technically, liquidation of buyers in the liquidity area formed behind the trend support is possible, long-squeeze may lead to a rally.
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#ETHUSD 🔷
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🔶 CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL

⭐️The advantage of those who join CRYPTO VIP:
🟣Quality breakout traders
🟣8-15 signals per week with SL and TP
🟣Spot&Futures signals
🟣Support for most popular exchanges
🟣Over 82% accuracy

👍Performance & feedback✅

〰️〰️〰️
📶The result of the CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
🎖Jun19-Jun25 +1550%🟢
🔹Sep11-Oct01 +132%🟢
🔹Oct02-Oct08 +101%🟢
🔹Oct09-Oct22 +128%🟢
🔹Oct23-Oct29 +344%🟢
🔹Oct30-Nov05 +278%🟢
🔹Oct30-Nov05 +278%🟢
🔹Nov06-Nov12 +218%🟢
🔹For November +343%🟢
🔹For December +815%🟢
🔹For January +46%🟢
🔹For February +838%🟢
🔹For March +278%🟢
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#GOLD Close now with+89pips in profit!😎

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#ETHUSD
The candlestick setup is bullish, as the nature of price movement and market behavior tells us that a major player is assembling a position with the aim of continuing growth. The main objective is to test ATH 4867, which is still untested.

All the focus at the moment is on the SEC, which continues to review the asset for admission to trading. The final step may come on July 2 (judging by rumors and SEC activity)

In that case, the price may not take off immediately, but may test a deeper liquidity area or order block before heading towards 4000. Before the news, a rise could happen on premature force majeure.
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#GOLD. Mid-term review.

The asset is currently entering the risk zone, which makes many speculators panic as the price continues to lose positions for several days. The panic is growing amid the breakout of the trend support.

What does that mean? The price has been in a range for three months. If the dollar continues its upward course even after the news, and gold does not receive any support (including from geopolitics, which is hard to say in advance), the price may go into a prolonged correction phase, up to the change of the global trend.

Watch how the price will react to the 2300-2325 range. A break of 2300 and consolidation below this zone will be a strong bearish signal. There will be strong news on Thursday and Friday.
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