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For the trading week from:
01.07 to 05.07

Total result +397 pips 💰

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🔸Mar04-Mar08 Profit +49
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Correction for the purpose of elimination. Target 2400?
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GOLD is forming a correction from the opening despite the bullish closing of the session on Friday. Fundamental background is calm, technical reaction to the false break of 2387

Friday's move was formed on relatively positive economic news for gold - higher unemployment in the U.S. reinforces the dollar sell-off as the chance of a possible U.S. interest rate cut rose slightly. This week traders' focus is on CPI and PPI, which will be released on Thursday and Friday.
Technically, there is a buyer's presence in the market. MM, as consolidation and elimination of the buyer forms a correction to the liquidity zone 2364-2355. Possible consolidation or false breakdown before the subsequent growth.

Resistance levels: 2387, 2411
Support levels: 2364, 2355

Today, at 14:00 Powell speaks, it is worth paying attention to his speech. High volatility is possible. In general, the fundamental background is favorable, technically, the bull market is forming a correction to support. Emphasis on the bulls.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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#AUDUSD

The realization of accumulation after resistance breakdown continues.
Favorable fundamental won positively influences the price. waiting for the continuation of growth
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#TONUSDT ✅

Liquidation is forming. A strong buyer appears on the market, having stocked up at more favorable prices
Another resistance retest is formed.
We are still waiting for a breakdown and price consolidation above the key zone with the purpose of further growth.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Pre-breakdown structure, but NFP is ahead. ↑ or ↓ ?
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What to expect from gold in the coming trading week?
First of all, the favorable fundamental background, price consolidation above MA-50, false breakdown of the ascending trend line support, dollar decline gives traders hope.

Technically, on D1, the bulls closed the trading session very positively. Potentially, we have a range of 2390 - 2431, accordingly, when breaking through 2390 and fixing the price above this area, the bulls can take us to ATH.

From a fundamental point of view, the outlook for gold depends on the upcoming news and the Fed's reaction.
On Friday, job growth was uncritical, traders paid attention to the rise in unemployment, which played a key role on dollar and gold prices in this area. Traders continue to bet that the first interest rate cut will be in September.

If nothing critical happens over the weekend, the fundamental and technical background will remain the same.
In the coming week all focus on: Fed Chair Powell Testifies, GDP UK, Core CPI US, CPI US, PPI
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#XAUUSD 👑
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💡 Ideas For ZENUSDT 🤖
📈 ZENUSDT → Bullish potential in the red market. Break of 10.0 ↑
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ZEN demonstrates a rally and a retest of the range resistance in the form of a false breakdown, only that does not lead to a fall. The price is forming a pre-breakdown consolidation. With the breakout of 10.0, the growth may continue

On H4, a reversal pattern is forming within the framework of which, while the cryptocurrency market was falling, zen was testing resistance. A false breakout and liquidity capture is formed. This maneuver does not lead to a fall, and the market goes into a state of consolidation, the nature of which resembles a pre-breakdown.
There are no fundamentals, the market follows the flagships, which fall because of some problems. Bitcoin is dragging everyone down due to the sale of a large number of coins by Germany, and the debt repayment by Mt.Gox exchange, which has destabilized the situation in general.

Resistance levels: 9.79-10.0
Support levels: 9.35, 8.8, 8.14

In this case, it is acceptable to use a breakout strategy against resistance at 9.79-9.87. But, if the structure will be broken, the price, in order to increase the volume before the growth may head towards the support.
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Important! In 20 minutes it is published:

🇺🇸 Fed Monetary Policy Report
15:00 GMT

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News momentum #GOLD
Reaching liquidity from below after which the price breaks out upwards.
The market perceives the news as relatively positive amid rising unemployment.

A consolidation above 2370 will open the way to 2387
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At 12:30 GMT NFP and unemployment.
Trade carefully!
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Pre-breakdown structure, but NFP is ahead. ↑ or ↓ ?
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GOLD is updating the high within consolidation after rallying. Technically, this is a good sign, but NFP and unemployment are ahead. The news could either reinforce the move or completely derail it...

A nice bullish pattern is forming on D1 against resistance at 2365. The deceleration and consolidation in front of the level indicates bullish interest in further growth. But today it is worth paying attention to the fundamental background.
From this point of view, the outlook for gold depends on the upcoming news and the reaction of the Fed. Based on previous data, traders expect Friday's employment report to show only 189K new jobs compared to 270K in the previous month, and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged. But the actual data plays a bigger role. Rising unemployment and slowing economic growth may support the gold, as the dollar may continue its localized decline on this background. But, unpredictable data can increase the volatility and affect the market structure in a very opposite way.

Resistance levels: 2364. 2387
Support levels: 2355, 2350, 2341

Technically, on D1-H4 gold shows bullish prerequisites, but the economic component plays a big role, which can both support the current movement and reverse it up to liquidation and decline to 2340-2320.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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#BTCUSD #Bitcoin

Adam Back:

Previous bull markets have often seen BTC corrections of 30%+. Now it's -26%...calm down and buy on the decline.

❗️PS: this is a quote, not a recommendation for action

Bitcoin is currently entering a deep correction phase, and there are many reasons for this:
Debt repayment from the Mt.Gox exchange
BTC transfers to exchanges by German authorities (sell-off)

All the focus on NFP:
Friday's US jobs report (Nonfarm) could either stabilize Bitcoin's value or intensify the correction. (Bitfinex top manager).

Cooling labor market (lower Nonfarms) will increase the likelihood of a Fed rate cut → BTC will stabilize
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Dollar holds at highs for the year
Trump 's victory raises the possibility of higher inflation and a stronger dollar, given his promise to increase duties on goods from other countries and a tougher stance on immigration policy - JPMorgan
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#ETH
James Seyffart:

Issuers are updating S-1 forms for spot Ethereum ETFs - changes to filings are minimal. I see no reason why Ethereum ETFs won't be ready to launch within a couple weeks.

QCP Capital:

Despite the sell-off in crypto, there is optimism in the options markets. Special interest is seen in calls on ETH with expiry in September and December 2024

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💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → The bulls are coming back. Trend change. Target 1.1———————————————
EURUSD is breaking the downtrend pattern on a smooth change of fundamental background. Traders are selling off the dollar, which is favorable for the euro

A local bullish pattern is forming on D1 on the background of the global downtrend. Strong fundamental background is favorable for the strengthening of the currency pair.
On H4, the price is correcting after updating the local maximum and consolidates above the level formed by the gap. Bulls are trying to keep the defense above this area. The key focus is on the breakout of the 1.0816 zone. This will open the way to the zones of interest: liquidity and imbalance. Today is a day off in the US, the fundamentals are still in place, trading may be calm.

Resistance levels: 1.0816, 1.0852, 1.0916
Support levels: 1.078, 1.073

I expect the trend to continue, as traders are showing interest in the market. Local ATH may become a potential target for MM
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#XAUUSD
(The chart shows the most likely scenario from a technical and fundamental point of view)

Gold, after the market character change, forms an impulse and reaches the zone of interest. A false breakdown and liquidity capture is formed.
At the moment, after the false breakdown, there is a high probability of forming a counter-trend correction to gather energy.
It is possible to retest the support or 0.5 fibo before the subsequent growth.

Tomorrow is a holiday in the US market and volatility may be low, but further the market will wait for NFP
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#USD #DXY
Powell will face pressure this week from lawmakers who are eager to cut the Fed Funds rate and others who are unhappy with the Fed's latest plan to raise capital requirements for banks - BBG
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earlier media reports that in the run-up to the election, Biden and Yellen are urging Powell to start cutting the rate amid still-unfired and high inflation, which could be a big problem ... and that the pressure on Powell to cut rates will grow as the election approaches

also WSJ reported that Trump's team is preparing proposals to weaken the Fed's independence
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💡 Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → The morning gap is bought out. The bulls are aggressive———————————————
EURUSD opens with a gap down, but buyers are actively buying back the move. The nature of the market is bullish, but at the same time consolidation, as there is strong resistance ahead

The fundamental background is favorable, there is no news today. Last week traders took well the fact of unemployment growth, within the framework of which active buying started.
Technically, on H4 a bullish distribution is forming towards 1.085, from which, after the initial testing of the liquidity area, a correction may follow. But in general, I expect the continuation of growth (rebound from 1.0816 or breakdown of 1.085).

Resistance levels: 1.0852, 1.091, 1.1
Support levels: 1.0816, 1.078

The nature of the market is changing and the bulls are actively holding key areas. The market is bullish and a breakout of the nearest resistance will favor the continuation of growth.
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#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸

Friday's session closes positively for the bulls.
From the opening of the session the growth may continue. The target is 1.0916
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#NZDUSD

Price consolidation above the key level will be a good signal for growth continuation
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#BTC

According to Coinshares calculations, in April, the average cost of BTC mining among the largest public miners was $53,000

JPMorgan estimates that in May the average cost of BTC mining among the largest public miners was $45,000.
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JPMorgan previously noted that the level of the average cost of BTC mining usually served as a "bottom" for BTC. And if the price fell below the cost of production, it was relatively short-lived———————————————
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Gold in moment😼: +103pips

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US - NON-FARM PAYROLLS (June) = 206,000 (expected 191,000)

US - Unemployment (June) = 4.1% (expected 4%)

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#GBPCAD profit in the moment+61pips in profit!😈

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💡Ideas For NZDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 NZDUSD → Traders believe in the best outcome. NFP ahead
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NZDUSD strengthens after a false breakdown. The change of the fundamental background leads to a change in the character of the market. Traders are looking at a breakout of 0.614 and growth in the future, but ahead of NFP...

On D1 the price is not going to leave the sideways range yet, as we are told by the false breakdown and return to the channel with the subsequent formation of the impulse. Technically, on H4 a pre-breakdown consolidation is forming and the price is gradually pushing up to resistance, which may lead to a breakout and further growth.
Fundamentally, based on previous data, traders expect Friday's employment report to show only 189K new jobs compared to 270,000 in the previous month, and unemployment to remain flat. But it's worth paying attention to the actual data. As a mild reminder of slowing economic growth could weigh heavily on the Fed.

Resistance levels: 0.614
Support levels: 0.61, 0.608

Technically traders believe in the continuation of the growth. A break of resistance may trigger a rally. But unpredictable news may change the market mood and in this case active selling may start.
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#NZDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
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#GOLD
NFP and Fed Monetary Policy Report, published on Friday, may give hints on how the Federal Reserve will change the interest rate. And that could increase volatility in gold.

Gold XAUUSD started July trading in a subdued manner, moving sideways around $2,340. Analysts expect 189,000 people to enter the labor market in June. The reading will be important for the trajectory of the economy as it will help guide the Fed's moves to lower interest rates. Data released at or below expectations will increase the likelihood of lower borrowing costs. Conversely, a hot reading will push the prospect of lower rates further away.

Gold is a non-yielding asset, meaning it does not generate passive income, unlike the U.S. dollar, which is tied to the level of interest rates. When rates fall (or are forecast to fall), gold's attractiveness as an investment increases, as opportunity cost is reduced in a low rate environment. As such, increased volatility should be expected this Friday.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → From rally to consolidation. Rest before NFP...
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GOLD strengthens on the back of Powell's comments. Light positive notes lead to DXY sell-off and a small rally of XAU to 2364. Today is a day off in the US and tomorrow is NFP.....

It's a day off in the US and there is no liquidity. There may be high volatility during trading, but the movements may be weak. Locally, the price is testing resistance and liquidity area. Within a strong distribution there are not many chances to break through the mentioned area. Most likely the formation of a correction, and local bearish patterns appear on the chart, which may lead to a correction in order to gather energy before tomorrow's NFP.

Resistance levels: 2364, 2375
Support levels: 2353, 2341

Technically, a false breakout after distribution is forming. There is no potential to go up now. High probability of correction or consolidation.
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Important! In 20 minutes it is published:

🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting Minutes
18:00 GMT

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#AUDUSD
A breakthrough is forming.
Traders felt support from the fundamental component.
Pattern realization and price transition to the distribution phase
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