#BTCUSD

A resistance retest is being formed. If the bears do not allow the price to pass this area, the scenario of the continuation of the fall will remain a priority.
BUT, the level of 60625 is a trigger, if it is broken, the price may head towards the resistance of the range
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#EURCHF Close now with +34 pips profit

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#EURUSD advanced towards $1.11 after the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 bps to 3.5% on Thursday. The move, backed by a steady decline in inflationary pressures, was the second reduction in the old continent's borrowing costs this year and it also reinforced the view that central banks will cut rates. The U.S. dollar, on the other hand, gave up ground ahead of the Fed's Sept. 18 meeting.

Inflation data, according to the consumer price index for August, fell further to a three-year low of 2.2%, nearing the central bank's 2% target.

The single European currency has been zigging around the $1.11 mark for some time. It hit a 2024 high of $1.12, up more than 5% from the 2024 low of $1.0600. There are no major reports scheduled for today, allowing technical analysts to trade quietly in search of their patterns...
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💡 Ideas For EURCAD 🇪🇺🇨🇦
📈 One step away from a rally. High chance to break 1.5100
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EURCAD exited from the accumulation of the “descending triangle” format, which is a favorable signal for the continuation of the trend.
A promising bullish structure is forming on W1

Euro, despite the ECB interest rate cuts, is growing and the growth is mostly related to the dollar, which is falling after Friday's news of PPI and Initial Jobless Claims. Now it is not the fact of the action itself that is being discussed, but how much it will be cut...
Technically, the currency pair is consolidating in front of the global resistance at 1.51000. The strong level has been holding the market in the bearish zone for several years, but the fundamental background gives a chance to break and move into the realization and growth phase.

Resistance levels: 1.5051, 1.51000
Support levels: 1750238, 1.4935

The primary reaction at 1.505 may end with a rebound, but most likely the bulls will manage to keep the defense above 1.5023 - 1.505, which may have a very favorable impact on the further growth of the trend
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The Second Take-Profit has been reached🎯💰: +138pips

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#GOLD
Finally! Resistance is broken!
Price has reached its first target! +365 pips! 🔥

We can close some and hold positions up to 2575 - 2600 ⚡
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The European Central Bank cut interest rates by a quarter percentage point, the second cut in three months.

That provided a boost to the eurozone's weakening economy and widened the policy gap with the Federal Reserve, which is expected to start cutting rates next week.
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News ahead!
AT 12:30 GMT.

High volatility is worth waiting for

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💡 Ideas For #BTCUSD 🪙
📈 The fall will continue after a pullback
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BTC is strengthening after a false breakdown of the 54.5K - 55K support. Fundamentally and technically, there is no buyer motivation. Traders have moved into the waiting or selling phase...

Now BTC is accumulated mainly by wallets with balance < 1BTC... Larger wallets are not doing much. Also, judging by the statistics of various services it can be seen that the trading activity of large investors has decreased, and whales have stopped actively accumulating since August. Traders doubt the current rebound in BTC and continue to actively short it.
Technically, the coin shows negative, bearish dynamics, forming gradually declining highs without the possibility to approach the retest of local peaks.
For the last one and a half or two months a tight sideways range has been formed and MM continues to keep the price inside the flat, it is also worth paying attention to the descending resistance, which also prevents the market from going up, putting pressure together with SMA-200.

Resistance Levels: SMA200, 59600, Trend Line
Support levels: 57736, 56K, 54500

At the moment the price is consolidating in the bullish zone, which indicates a possible chance to rise to 59600. The situation may end with a short-squeeze and further decline after liquidity capture. The pressure from sellers continues and buyers are not ready yet
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August CPI came in below expectations at 2.5% versus the consensus forecast of 2.6%. Moreover, the figure was well below July's 2.9%. The fresh data confirms the Fed's intention to cut interest rates when officials come together next week

As such, traders and investors have been given an added incentive for a larger interest rate cut (and may be disappointed if they don't get one). Wall Street had previously expected a modest 25bp cut in borrowing costs before August non-farm payrolls data showed that the US economy added fewer workers than expected. But with inflation falling, the Fed may go for a bigger cut in spending - 50 bps. Or at least that's what investors want
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❗️ CPI ahead!
AT 12:30 GMT
The news has a high level of importance.
High volatility is possible!

---

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures changes in the prices of goods and services from the consumer's perspective. It is the primary way to measure changes in consumer buying trends and inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be positive for the dollar, while a lower than expected reading should be negative/bearish for the dollar.
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As for the previous idea: Despite the global bullish trend, locally on H1-H4 there were prerequisites for a decline from 2500 to 2475 in order to withdraw liquidity from the market and further continuation of growth to 2530.
BUT.
Buyers are aggressively holding gold from 2484, 2494, 2500, preventing the price from approaching these risk zones.
Therefore, the active range at the moment is 2530 - 2500

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💡 Ideas For USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵
📈 Full readiness to drop to 138.0 - 136.0
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USDJPY breaks support at 141.68 and hits lows. The dollar is declining after the US election debate, but is still in consolidation ahead of CPI. The currency pair may continue to fall

Ahead of CPI, traders expect consumer inflation to fall to 2.5 for the year. This indicator will determine the interest rate cut next week, and more precisely by how much they will cut the interest rates, by 25 or 50 basis points.
Technically, everything is inclined to the further decrease of the dollar, which will be reflected on the currency pair. But, we should expect high volatility, within the framework of which, if the bears do not hold 141.68, the price may test 142.2 - 142.8 before further falling to 138 - 136.

Support levels: 140.75, 140.25
Resistance levels: 141.68, 142.2, 142.8

Global and local trends are under bearish pressure. Important news is ahead, which may strengthen the fall, or temporarily squeeze the price in the range. Consolidation of the price below 141.68 will be a good sign for the continuation of the fall
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Friends! 👋 Today we are resting after a pretty intense weekly trading session.

Markets are mostly closed, aside from cryptocurrency trading, there are a few interesting coins we are keeping an eye on.

Also, trading in vip continues

Have a great time and a productive weekend everyone!
I'll post some ideas with updates tomorrow 😘

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#GBPAUD Close now with +41 pips profit

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Harris increased her lead over Trump after televised debate - Reuters and Ipsos poll
Crypto markets are getting wary amid Harris' debate victory against Trump. Crypto community perceives her worse than Trump - RTSR

🥊 Forbes: Kamala Harris' support level for the upcoming presidential election rose after the debate...now 47% of respondents are willing to vote for her, while 42% are willing to vote for Trump (Reuters and Ipsos data)

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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Aggressive buyers... Ahead of PPI
———————————————
GOLD updates its historical high to 2573 on the back of PPI. (On the stock exchanges, the price of gold was at 2600). A small stop is forming locally. There is a probability of growth continuation in the US session...

Disappointing data from the U.S. on Thursday returned bets on a sharp reduction in interest rates of the Federal Reserve at the September meeting. This had a favorable impact on gold. Today there is no news, so the same background reigns on the market.
Also we should not forget about Asia, where traders reacted positively to the optimism associated with the resumption of the Fed's dovish stance.
But, one should be careful as traders may go on the defense and start taking profits ahead of strong news: Retail Sales, CPI, FOMC, Fed Interest Rate Decision in fear of catching ambiguous data. It is possible that gold could be hit by a shakeout, where price could test support before starting to move back towards ATH!

Resistance levels: 2571, 2575
Support levels: 2563, 2559, 2552, 2550

A local false breakout is forming, which could lead to a retest of support. There are no clear zones, so it is worth paying attention to the local ones, which I have marked on the chart. But, if the price starts to smoothly return to 2571 and test the resistance, the chance for continuation of the movement will increase
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Goldman expects gold to rise to $2700 per ounce in early 2025

I love this market noise around certain assets.
Some are screaming to buy, others are screaming to sell or hold. Don't listen to anyone!

Be the most distrustful and skeptical of other people's opinions in trading! You can't blindly trust everything they say or whoever they are! (myself included). The attitude of any views on any given situation must be compared to your risk!
Always check, analyze on your own, learn, draw conclusions, statistics!

❗️PS: gold will sooner or later cost 2700 (at this rate it may happen this year) and 3000.... ))

❗️PS2: don't look for investment schemes or managers of your accounts in telegram. You will be scammed :)

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#APEUSDT +10% Target 1 reached! 🤩

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#BNX finally reaches our goal!
+50%
At 10x leverage, that's 500%!
The coin looks great, just like AAVE!
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So?)
gold 2550 ;)

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🇺🇸 USA - Initial Jobless Claims = 230k (expected 227k)

🇺🇸 USA - PPI (August)
m/m = +0.2% (previously +0.1%)
y/y = +1.7% (previously +2.2% +2.1%)

core PPI = +2.4% y/y ( expected +2.5 )

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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Aggressive buyers... Ahead of PPI
———————————————
GOLD is testing 2500 on the background of CPI data. Bulls actively continue to hold a strong support zone. An ascending triangle is being formed, the target of which is to break the resistance and rise

After the release of CPI data in the US, the focus shifts to PPI and jobless claims data, which will give a new impetus to trading.
The CPI data has slightly cooled the increased bets on an excessive interest rate cut by the Fed next week. Despite the pullback, the gold price managed to defend a critical short-term support level around 2500 - 2505, keeping it in a three-week consolidated range.
Technically, the focus is on the SMAs, which are actively supporting the market, as well as the liquidity area of 2510, 2500, which the market may test once again on news before heading upwards.

Resistance levels: 2530
Support levels: SMA, 2510, 2500

The news may shake the market once again. Strong news may motivate the market to break resistance, but surprising PPI and Initial Jobless Claims data may trigger another sell-off attempt (to liquidity zones) before the price continues its rise. The market continues to focus on testing 2530
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📏 GOLD VIP Channel 📏

The advantage of those who join GOLD VIP:

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For Jul: +1462 pips!✅

🔅Aug05-Aug09 +818 pips
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US - CPI (Aug)

m/m = +0.2% (Expectation +0.2%)
y/y = +2.5% (Expectation +2.5%)

Core CPI = +3.2% y/y (Expectation +3.2%)

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U.S. bond rally continues - markets still expect Fed rate cut at Sept. 17 meeting

- Markets still expect one to two deep ( 0.5% each) rate cuts from the Fed this year - BBG

- Analysts do not expect the Fed to cut the rate in 0.5% increments

some experts believe that a Fed rate cut of 0.5% at once would be a sign of economic concern, not something good...
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 CPI ahead. High risks to renew ATH, but...
———————————————
GOLD is testing 2530 and risks a new high as each new retest increases the chances of a resistance breakout. Ahead of CPI, inflation data could set the medium-term tone for markets...

Traders are waiting for US inflation data that could confirm the size of the Fed's interest rate cut next week.
An uptick in CPI figures could trigger a rise in the dollar at the expense of gold prices (capital outflows), negating expectations of an excessive Fed rate cut.
Conversely, softer CPI data could revive bets for a 50 basis point Fed rate cut, collapsing the dollar and pushing the gold price to new lifetime highs. The 2530 area is very active in keeping the market from rising, accordingly, the accumulation of orders above 2530, if the resistance is broken, could activate a rally....

Resistance levels: 2530
Support levels: 2514, 2512, 2506

The price return to the resistance area will confirm the readiness to test 2530 for a breakout. If the bulls manage to pass this zone, we should count on growth, but the bears are holding this area quite aggressively. There is also a high probability to catch a short-squeeze and further decline to 2506-2500
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🔸Jun03-Jun07 Profit +923
🔸Jun10-Jun14 Profit +268
🔸Jun17-Jun21 Profit +110
🔸Jun24-Jun28 Profit +251
For Jun: +1552 pips!✅

🔸Jul01-Jul05 Profit +397
🔸Jul08-Jul12 Profit +467
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For Jul: +2049 pips!✅

🔸Aug05-Aug09 Profit -126
🔸Aug12-Aug16 Profit +210
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🔸Aug26-Aug30 Profit +442
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