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👑 Performance VIP GOLD
🗣For the last week from:
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US Non-Farms jobs report this week (Friday) will be a test of hopes for a soft landing for the US economy - RTRS
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💡 Ideas For USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵
📈 No upside potential. Prepare to fall!
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USDJPY is facing a sell-off at the end of last week, which proves that the currency pair is not ready to go up. The dollar still continues to prepare for a breakout of 100.0
The currency pair is not able to approach the local highs, however, after the reduction of interest rates in the U.S. Japan refrained from any economic decisions regarding this issue. The pressure on the dollar has a corresponding effect on the currency pair. At the moment the price is facing a strong support at 141.74, from which a small correction to the liquidity or imbalance zone may follow, but with a high probability (technical and fundamental nuances) we may see a continuation of the fall.
Resistance levels: 143.25, 144.0, 145.18
Support levels: 141.74, 139.5
In the short term, I expect a slight pullback followed by a continuation of the fall, breakdown of the key support and price decline to 139.5-138
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💡 Ideas For #ARTYUSDT
📈 The bottom is formed. Consolidation. Ready to RALLY?
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ARTY is an interesting coin that has survived Pump and Dump, and now indicating a formed bottom and a huge accumulation that hides an interesting enough bullish potential, which can develop into a rally to 0.93 - 1.1 - 1.4.
ARTY experienced PAMP to 3.200, then DAMP - all unnecessary speculators left the market. BUT, what matters to me here is the 6-month consolidation in a parabolic curve format (a huge number of limit, market long orders, cascading buy orders and so on...) the essence of which is the change of the previously downtrend to an uptrend. Accordingly, in this case we can catch the phase of strong distribution, as the accumulated energy is enough for this. A clear bottom has been formed on W1. Buyers did not let the price go below 0.37, and now they are heading to 0.55 - a strong and psychologically important resistance. If this zone does not scare the bulls and they are able to keep the defense above the level, it will be a confirmation of the trend change, which will also be an additional bullish premise. In this case, breaking 0.635 and breaking upwards will not be a problem in the medium term....
Resistance levels: 0.55 - 0.6352
Support levels: 0.48, 0.37
ARTY does not react to the market movements and lives its own life, which is a positive sign for us. And the fact that we have a 6-month consolidation hints that there is a lot of energy in the market to give us a good price movement, and local preconditions indicate that the coin is going to go up. The targets are indicated on the chart!
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💡 Ideas For #ETHUSD 🔷
📈 Is the rally a manipulation? $2800 ahead, what to expect?
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ETH is targeting 2800. Earlier we saw a break of local resistance, which led the coin to rally almost 20% and that's a pretty good move...
The dynamics on ETH over the last 5 months is very negative, on the background of the same BTC, which continues to hold in a range. At the moment it is worth paying attention to the nearest resistance zone, namely 2800, which is the liquidity zone and range resistance. The area has multiple confirmations indicating strength. As well as the global, descending resistance, the retest of which was last time in the middle of July.
A smooth movement towards the target is forming on H4. There is a high probability to get a false breakout (bounce) and correction to 0.382-0.5 fibo because of the liquidity level formed above. If within the correction the price will continue to update local lows, in this case we should expect a fall to 2600-2500-2300-2100.
Resistance levels: 2800
Support levels: 2600, 2540, 2520
BUT, If after retesting 2800 a small correction (within 0.382-0.5 Fibo) and a return to resistance is formed, or just a prolonged consolidation with gradual price compression to resistance, then in this case we should wait for a growth attempt to 3K-3100. This area with a high probability can turn the market...
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#SOL is a good realization.
From 140.0 to 160.0 in a matter of days! ⚡
Bitcoin has cheered up the market quite well.
There is still a lot of potential, accordingly, we need to pay attention to local key zones.
You could take 15% from the market, and with 10 leverage all 150% :) 👑
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#BTCUSD has rallied ahead of an exciting moment for crypto-enthusiasts. Option contracts totaling $8.1 billion expire today, causing not only investor anxiety but also a jolt that shook the markets and pushed the coin to a two-month high of $66,000
The $8.1 billion in bitcoin options expiration data shows that about $4.9 billion is accounted for by call options - contracts that allow a trader to buy bitcoin at a set price. The other portion - $3.2 billion - is in put options, which give the holder the option to sell the asset at a set price. Here's where it gets interesting: at current market prices, about 28% of call options and 9% of put options are in the money.
About 55% of call options have an exercise price of $70,000 or higher, which means that about $2.7 billion is likely to be worthless if the estimated price of bitcoin stays below that mark. On the other hand, 69% of put options are selling at $56,000 or below, meaning that $2.2 billion will likely go unexercised. At current market prices, the bulls will receive about $1 billion when the option contracts expire.
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💡 Ideas For #USDCHF 🇺🇸🇨🇭
📈 Buyers don't believe in growth? Waiting for a breakdown
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USDCHF is closing in a consolidation range amid a strong bearish trend accompanied by a decline in the dollar index. Accent on 0.840 and downside resistance...
On d1 after a strong fall a stop is formed with subsequent consolidation, which shows the outlines of a descending triangle, which can be interpreted as an active selling of the price by bears against the absence of a strong buyer, who put all his strength at 0.84 to hold this area.
The struggle continues and regarding the previously mentioned boundaries: 0.840 and downside resistance, we can form 2 strategies:
1) Break of 0.84 support and subsequent downward thrust.
2) An attempt to recover (there may be some economic reasons) which may lead to a break of resistance and momentum, but not for long...
Resistance levels: 0.85, 0.852
Support levels: 0.84, 0.833
Still, based on the general market behavior and chart structure, we can assume that the buyers do not believe in further growth. In the short-term (medium-term) perspective I am waiting for support breakout and fall....
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US - GDP (2Q 2024Y) = +3% QoQ (Expect +2.3%)
Initial Jobless Claims = 218k (Expectation 224k)
Durable Goods Orders (Aug) = 0% mom (Expectation -2.8%)
The #DXY U.S. dollar index reversed a week of losses, rising 0.8 percent on Wednesday and causing traders to panic amid a correction in currencies. Despite Wednesday's positive momentum, the dollar is showing signs of fatigue over the longer term.
Since the dollar reached its peak for the year at 106.50 in late April, its valuation has gradually declined to the point where it has lost nearly 6% against current market prices. What is behind the dollar's decline? Initially, its value declined because of the prospects of interest rate cuts. Those prospects were confirmed last week.
After the Fed steadily cut interest rates by 50 bps, the dollar is no longer giving investors the returns it used to. Instead, lower rates have led to lower yields on deposits and fixed income such as bond yields, making holding them less attractive. In this context, yesterday's jump can be seen as a positive sign that investors are finding it fashionable to hold the good old dollar again, especially in times of uncertainty and falling stock markets.
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Is it time for a correction? Retest of 2650 support
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GOLD is cooling down. Earlier the price updated local highs. Now the metal is testing 2650 as a support level. At the moment, the price is entering the panic zone, which may provoke profit-taking before Powell's speech.
Technically the market is bullish, but after the formation of ATH 2685 the price is not ready to test and update these highs. The influence of the interest rate cut has cooled down and traders are starting to focus on the incoming actual data. But we should not forget about the situation in the Middle East. Chicago PMI and Powell's speech at 17:55 are ahead. Everything depends on his comments and the tone he will give to the markets.
Based on the overall technical situation and technical overheating of the syuatation, we can assume that the price may extend the range and test the support at 2634-2623-2613 before the market returns to recovery.
Resistance levels: 2660, 2675
Support levels: 2634, 2623
I am waiting for a correction with a possible retest of the key support zones. Most likely we should count on the confirmation of the range boundaries and the formation of a flat between 2600(2615) - 2685
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 ATH retest. But there's news ahead! What to expect next?
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If the bulls hold local range support, gold may head up.
But on Friday is NFP. Accordingly, there may be different market activity (before the news) from consolidation and flat, to rally down (profit-taking) or up (favorable background)
Gold may extend the trading range.....
from 2685 to 2620
Overall, gold is still in high demand due to escalating conflict in the middle east.
The dollar is generally preparing to renew lows and this will affect gold accordingly....
But, a week and a half after the rate cut, the market has cooled down and will depend on the incoming new data.
Waiting for Powell's speech on Monday, ISM PMI, ADP Nonfarm, Initial Jobless Claims, ISM PMI, NFP
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I look forward to your comments and likes on the link below 😉
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDT/F9fw3N8u-ETH-Is-the-rally-a-manipulation-2800-ahead-what-to-expect/
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Recently, I also shared an idea on #RAREUSDT
Beautiful and fast resistance breakout with a gorgeous realization :)
At the moment +12% ⚡️
Also, the potential is great as the market is in the realization phase.
Accordingly, we should reach the target in the near future :)
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 ATH retest. But there's news ahead! What to expect next?
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GOLD extends trading range to 2685 (2650 from below). The bullish trend is still in place, but ahead of the PCE, traders are getting worried...
Gold's next move depends on the Fed's most favored inflation gauge, the core PCE price index. A higher-than-expected reading could weigh on the dollar, which could be negative for gold, as traders may see this as a “dampening of expectations for a November interest rate cut”. Conversely, a negative surprise in the PCE could increase the chances of a significant Fed rate cut....
Interest in gold is still huge, price could get stuck in consolidation, or test the 2634-2623 liquidity zone before next week's strong news (NFP)
Resistance levels: 2685, 2675
Support levels: 2654, 2649
At the moment the focus is on range boundaries, gold could quite possibly bounce off support and head towards the upper end of the range. It is possible that PCE could trigger a shakeout, in which case the price could test deeper liquidity zones before rising further...
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❗️Big news ahead
Focus on GDP, Initial Jobless Claims and Powell's speech.
The news background may reinforce the overall environment or correct it...
High volatility is possible
👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 ATH retest. But there's news ahead! What to expect next?
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GOLD is forming a sideways range of 2670 - 2650. The metal is still supported by bulls and the general fundamental background. There are important news ahead, which may strengthen the growth or provoke a correction...
Gold is still on a bullish outlook, with the Fed's dovishness and optimism about China's economic stimulus re-emerging early on Thursday, which had a corresponding effect on gold, which strengthened from 2655 to ATH. We should not forget about the problems in the Middle East, which also affect the price of gold.
The fate of the metal depends on the upcoming Fed comments, as traders refrain from further bets amid extremely overbought conditions on the daily chart. Recent Fed statements coupled with weak consumer confidence and regional activity data from the US Conference Board (CB) have raised the stakes for another sharp Fed rate cut at the next meeting.
Resistance levels: 2670, 2675
Support levels: 2664, 2655, 2650
Emphasis on consolidation boundaries. If the bulls break the resistance and can keep prices above these boundaries, gold could make a new high and head towards 2700. But, unpredictable economic data may close gold in a range or trigger a profit-taking and correction towards 2650-2635.
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