US - NON-FARM PAYROLLS (September) = 254,000 (expected 147,000)
US - Unemployment (September) = 4.1% (expected 4.2%)
👏👏
#EURUSD extended its losses for the fifth consecutive session on Thursday and opened trading lower on Friday. Today the non-farm payrolls report for September will be released. This indicator is usually associated with increased volatility
The dollar gained momentum as traders and investors expected to see a rather weak jobs number - analysts forecast 145,000 jobs in September, which is 3,000 more than in August. If this figure holds true, the US Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates in November, following a massive 50 basis point correction in September.
Against this backdrop, the strengthening of the U.S. dollar may be due to the fact that traders are looking for a safe haven not only to protect themselves from economic fluctuations. Geopolitical tensions are also playing a role
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👑 Ideas For #USDCAD 🇺🇸🇨🇦
📈 Breakout. One step away from distribution...
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USDCAD makes an attempt to break through the resistance of the “wedge” consolidation on the background of a growing dollar, the reasons for which are economic data from the USA. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead!
On the weekly timeframe, the currency pair is bouncing off the support trendline and heading towards resistance, the pattern as a whole resembles an ascending triangle. But still it is a global sideways range. The movements in it are quite difficult and the price is dragging between the local levels. Ahead is the NFP report, which may become an engine for the price, and based on the assumptions from Wednesday and ADP NonFarm we can assume that on this background the growth of the dollar and the currency pair may continue.
Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the defense above the previously broken resistance. The impulse is beginning to form...
Resistance levels: 1.358, 1.364
Support levels: 1.353, 1.347
If the bulls keep the price in the new plane (buying zone), the price may reach the nearest targets quite quickly. If the news will be favorable, then in this case a rally to the distant targets may be formed. Unpredictable data will bring the currency pair back to the range and may bring the price down to 1.347
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#BTC
Bitcoin's trigger zone for selling is 60K
If this area is broken and the price consolidates below, a drop to 58K-55K could be ahead
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Price breaks support. Panic and news...
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GOLD stands still, traders doubt further actions. There are two days of important news ahead, which can provoke panic and profit-taking...
The market reacts weakly to the rather serious actions in the Middle East, the price is in consolidation without updating local extremes. The dollar is strengthening amid decreasing risks of a 0.5% cut in interest rates in November (the most likely scenario is 0.25%). A strong ADP employment report eased concerns about the state of the US labor market, supporting expectations of Friday's NFP. Ahead of the PMI from ISM and Initial Jobless Claims.
Technically, the chart failed to give impetus from support, with the SMA acting as support. After a failed attempt, price came back and broke the conglomerate of support: the rising line, sma and 2650-2654. Can you feel traders getting nervous?)
Resistance levels: 2650, SMA, 2656, 2663
Support levels: 2640, 2623, 2613, 2600
The trigger is 2640. If the buyers do not hold this area, the price may spill to the bottom of the range, as well as reach the imbalance zone. But, there may be high volatility before the news, within which the price may test the resistance before further downward correction.
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One of the reasons for the fall of #BTC and markets:
94% of all BTC holders are now in profit. Dealers note high activity in buying call options on BTC with strike $75000. Strong sales of “puts” are also noted
QUESTION TO THE STUDY: How to make money if there are no sellers and everyone is buying? Of course! You can't! There must always be a struggle in the market, that's what it's all about.
The market will not let everyone make money forever, that's why the asset is not ready to go up yet. There is too much imbalance despite such a strong buyer's desire. For every big buyer there is a bigger seller :)
Also, relevant:
The value of the Fear and Greed Index rolled back to the “ Fear ” zone (42), minus 8 points for the day.
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Ahead, in 15 minutes, is an important report
ADP NonFarm Employment Change.
High volatility is possible....
👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Bulls are trying to hold their defenses above the SMA
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GOLD is forming a sideways range, within which it strengthens to 2673 with subsequent retracement and retest of SMA 200 & 50. Buyers are trying to hold their defenses above this area with the aim of further growth...
The complicated situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, which keeps the gold price from falling amid the rising dollar. Any de-escalation of the conflict (Israel's inaction on Iran's measures) could increase selling pressure...
Nevertheless, the US employment change data from ADP as well as the Fed's speech will be the next important events for the US dollar and the gold price. Any hints of interest rate cuts will be viewed favorably...
Technically, emphasis on 2665 resistance - if the bulls can consolidate above this zone, gold could go for a retest of ATH.
Also - emphasis on 2643. A break of the support will reinforce selling. This could take the price to 2625-2600.
Resistance levels: 2665, 2673, 2685
Support levels: 2643, 2625, 2515
Bullish trend. Gold is not going to update the lows. The bulls are trying to consolidate above the SMA. Signs that the price is ready to grow. BUT, it is possible that unpredictable signs may appear in the market, which may lead to profit-taking and correction.
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News ahead! Be careful!
13:45 - GMT - S&P PMI
AT 14:00 - GMT - ISM PMI.
High volatility is possible!
The dollar index rose early Tuesday, extending gains on Monday, helped by a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell.
In a fairly casual conversation, Powell said the Fed would consider reducing the pace of interest rate cuts to a more sedate 25 bps, down from September's super-sized 50 bps cut. He noted that policymakers are “in no hurry to cut rates quickly.” “In terms of the baseline scenario, we see this as a process that will take place over a period of time, not something we have to do quickly,” he said.
More strength for the dollar? The dollar slipped to just below 101 on Tuesday morning after rising 0.6% in early weekly trading yesterday. The prospect of gradually lower interest rates is reducing the opportunity cost of holding the U.S. dollar and related fixed-income assets such as bonds
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💡 Ideas For #BTCUSD 🪙
📈 False breakout of $ 65,000. What's next ↓ ?
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BTC entered a strong buying zone (above 65K), but the bulls failed to realize the potential. The price returned in the channel boundaries, eliminating the positively-minded... A false breakout is forming relative to 65K
After the liquidation and strong impulse, a small correction is formed, directed to the imbalance zone. The retest may end with the bears holding the defense below 65K, in this case the price may start a gradual decline due to the lack of opportunity to break through 65K (in this case the all-time favorite pattern “Head and Shoulders” may form here). The focus is on the support 62745, below which an ogrom pool of liquidity is formed, if the price enters this zone, the market may spill down.... The global range of 65K - 55K is still relevant. It is not excluded that the resistance can be broken quickly, but for the moment the fight for 65K is still going on... Bears will be able to confirm their victory provided the price consolidates below 62800.
Resistance levels: 65K, 66K
Support levels: 62745, 61320
As the fight for 65K continues, the bulls may make another attempt on the background of the retest. If they will be able to consolidate above the 65-66K zone, the price will head to the global resistance - 68-69K, where a more serious, fierce struggle will develop...
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❗️ NFP and the unemployment rate ahead!
In 30 minutes!!!
An upside surprise on the key NFP and wage inflation data could strengthen bets on a 0.25% Fed rate cut in November, adding further measures to the US Dollar's recovery at the expense of other assets...
Conversely, a strong disappointment could revive expectations that the Fed will opt for an excessive rate cut at its next meeting, which would collapse the US Dollar across the board. The market will react accordingly
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Ahead of NonFarm Payrolls. What to expect from gold?
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GOLD is in consolidation with gradually narrowing local extrema. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead and traders are getting nervous about further movement. Up for renewal of highs or a long-awaited correction?
Before NFP, traders resorted to adjusting positions, taking profits on the US dollar rally (reasons: strong employment and PMI data from ISM). The encouraging data weakened bets on an aggressive interest rate cut by the Fed. However, the decline in gold prices remains subdued due to heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The future direction of the gold price will be determined by the upcoming US employment data. Gold could move into a correction if NFP shows an upside surprise, which would impact the USD rally and strengthen bets for a 0.25% Fed rate cut in November. Conversely...
Resistance levels: 2665, 2673, 2685
Support levels: 2653, SMA 200 & 50, 2640
The SMAs are narrowing, which could also be a hint of a possible correction (if there is a crossover). Technically gold is ready for a correction, but fundamentally, unpredictable news may affect further growth. Analysts are inclined to the beginning of correction on the background of strong economic data of the first half of the week
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The dollar has been strengthening for a week against major currencies
Ahead of important news - NonFarm Payrolls. Analysts bet on continued growth of the dollar index...
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And so. The scheme is simple I share content, and from your side support 😉
I look forward to your likes and comments 🙃
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/Xsp2KLIh-GOLD-Price-breaks-support-Panic-and-news/
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WIFUSDT/d6LM8xuf-WIFUSDT-A-reversal-set-up-Breakdown-2-100/
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/zd8SPbQP-EURUSD-The-triple-top-is-in-the-1-1200-zone-Falling/
#USDJPY gained new momentum on Wednesday after a conversation between Japan's new Prime Minister and the Governor of the Bank of Japan. Japan is not yet ready for another interest rate hike, Shigeru told a press conference after the meeting, trying to reassure the country that monetary policy will remain soft and accommodative until the economy allows for another rate hike.
“I don't believe we are in an environment that will require us to raise interest rates further,” Ishiba said in his most public statement yet on the fate of interest rates in Japan. Ishiba had previously - shortly before he took the top post - enjoyed a reputation as a hawk who leaned in favor of raising rates. The Bank of Japan's rate-setting meeting is scheduled for October 30-31
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💡 Ideas For #WIFUSDT 💰
📈 A reversal set-up. Breakdown 2.100
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WIF changes the market structure to bearish. Traders are moving into the phase of profit-taking after the rally. The market is not ready to go up yet
The rally stops at the strong resistance zone at 2.639. A local false breakdown is formed relative to the extreme upward movement, indicating that buyers are not ready yet and sellers have come to the market (profit-taking). At the moment the market is testing 2.100 and is ready to break this support. A pullback is possible before breaking down.
BUT, if the buyers now enter this zone and consolidate below 2.100, the prospect of further decline will come very quickly.
Resistance levels: 2.15, 2.2
Support levels: 2.100, 1.96. 1.95
A breakdown and consolidation below 2.100 will activate strong selling amid a general bear market. If the price further enters the flat channel, it may cause a decline to 1.45
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Have you seen Bitcoin #BTC ?
Down from 66500 to 60K. A drop of $6500!
I prepared you for this, so in general the situation was clear to us.
The point is that the price is subject to manipulation on the background of political and geopolitical nuances and buyers do not have much faith in further growth, as the market stands still (within the range) and there were no deep corrections.
We continue to watch. Judging by the current behavior, we can conclude that the fall will continue....
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#DXY got a boost to the upside after global markets were jolted by heightened military tensions. In the Middle East, Iran fired dozens of ballistic missiles at Israel hours after an Israeli ground operation in Lebanon. One step away from global war...
In this context, the U.S. dollar became a natural draw for risk-seeking traders. The U.S. dollar index jumped about half a percent on Tuesday and remained on a good run on Wednesday, floating near 101.30 and aiming for a three-day winning streak
And the situation does not look rosy. Israel has vowed to respond to Iran's missile attack. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the Islamic Republic will “pay” after firing some 180 rockets at key targets in Israel. As fears of all-out war between the two superpowers grow, market volatility can be sharp, sudden and unexpected.
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💡 Ideas For #EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 The triple top is in the 1.1200 zone. Falling?
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EURUSD is facing strong resistance forming a reversal pattern relative to the 1.1200 sideways range boundary. The bulls are not yet able to continue the trend. The dollar is bouncing...
On the back of unpredictable economic data confirming the problems in the US economy (manufacturing, banking sector), the markets are rebounding. DXY strengthens after the market held 100.0 support.
EURUSD reverses course amid sentiment changes. Price forms a triple top reversal pattern and faces a strong sell-off, within which breaks trend support. In the short-term, we may catch a correction to the imbalance zone (with the aim of retesting the previously broken channel boundary), after which the decline may continue to 1.100, 1.095, 1.089.
Resistance levels: 1.11, 1.1125, 1.115
Support levels: 1.107, 1.104, 1.100
ADP NonFarm ahead and before the news, the market may quiet down and form a correction. In case of EURUSD, the zone of interest is 1.11 - 1.113. The fall may resume from these zones...
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#BTCUSD ended September with a rather modest 8% gain, given the 4% drop on the last trading day of the month. It wasn't long before buying momentum drove the token to a one-month high of $66,400 per...
October, aka “Aptober,” is notorious for powerful upward spikes in the bitcoin price. Historically, this month is characterized by increased volatility, bringing traders handsome profits. Eight out of the last ten Octobers, the cryptocurrency has made significant gains. But statistics is not a 100% guarantee, right????
So what's going to happen this month? The markets are watching with interest to see what happens to jobs in the US. Later this week, non-farm payrolls data for September will be released, which will show whether the U.S. labor market continues to grow as expected. Also, look out for important U.S. data such as the inflation report and gross domestic product data.
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Gold worked out perfectly yesterday :)
The course of decline within the correction. The price reaches the support, forms a false breakdown thus confirming the presence of a strong zone.
Then - growth. It was possible to earn twice ;)
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 MA-200 False Breakdown. Will the growth continue?
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GOLD is testing the support of 2625 forming a false break of SMA-200 as part of the correction. The range boundaries are confirmed and the market, after retesting the support, changes its target...
Globally and locally the trend is bullish, this is facilitated by the situation in the Middle East, which is becoming more complicated every day.... In addition, US dollar buyers took a breather before the news, and US Treasury yields reversed the previous rise amid deteriorating risk sentiment, which limited the decline in the gold price.
Traders await PMI from ISM, and JOLTS survey data, which could signal a further cooling of the US labor market
Yesterday Powell said:
- Fed in no rush to cut rates quickly, will be data-driven. If the economy is as expected, two more 0.25% cuts are possible. Accordingly, the course of interest rate cut st
Support levels: 2643, 2634, 2624
Resistance levels: 2659, 2673, 2685
Gold still enjoys huge interest. Buyers are defending key support zones. A change of sentiment is forming and I would expect a continuation of the rise from the key support zones towards the zones of interest at the moment. The news may increase volatility and form a shakeout...
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Currency traders shun US dollar as election approaches, longs quickly shrink - BBG
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