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Long-term holders-kits (7 years+) are in relative hibernation. There is no real strong activity in BTC from their side this year - CryptoQuant data
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The creator of bitcoin has been found. But that's what an HBO documentary claims. The movie “Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery” makes a bold and groundbreaking statement by claiming to know who Satoshi Nakamoto is. The movie, which was just released on streaming platform Max, traces the origins of the cryptocurrency flagship to Canadian software developer Peter Todd. However, Peter Todd denies this claim.

“The makers of the documentary have acted irresponsibly and put my life in danger by spreading false claims that I am Satoshi Nakamoto” - Peter Todd.


The director of the movie is not surprised by Peter Todd's denial + he is still confident in the correctness of his version of the story

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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Support breakdown. The beginning of correction...
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GOLD is entering the correction phase. The price is coming out of the consolidation downwards, and what we have been preparing for for the last few days has happened. Bears are trying to keep the defense below 2623...

Traders are waiting for the Fed meeting minutes to gauge the magnitude of the next interest rate cut, especially after Friday's strong US NFP data removed bets on a 0.5% rate cut. The FOMC meeting is likely to show a discussion on the outlook for the labor market and inflation, as well as further action on interest rates. Traders are still not turning their eyes away from the tense situation in the middle east, but one must realize that reacting to any action is a temporary action in the market...
Technically, on D1 we can see the beginning of the correction phase. Break of the strong level and fixing of the price below 2623. The market has defined a temporary outlook for itself...

Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2631
Support levels: 2613, 2600, 2585


News can have an additional impact on the market, but it all depends on the context. At the moment I consider the price decline. The bears are holding 2623 and we can see how the price has consolidated below this area, which may provoke further selling....
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Good realization of the #XAUUSD idea. The price stopped updating the highs and we see clear and strong resistance from above.
The price is testing a block order in the 2659-2660 zone and bounces down from the said zone.
Despite the fact that there is no strong movement, but we took our 200-300 pips :)
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#GBPUSD has been steadily declining, recording lower closes in each of the last five trading sessions. Behind the downward movement is renewed dollar strength, especially after Friday's jobs report.

A rising labor market is good news for the U.S. dollar because it reduces the chances of a larger interest rate cut. And when interest rates stay high for longer, the dollar remains attractive to foreign investors looking for guaranteed returns.

On the other side of the Atlantic, the British currency has retreated more than 2.6% from its 2024 peak above $1.3430. In the near term, forex traders will turn their attention to the upcoming U.S. inflation data. On Thursday, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to show prices rose 2.3% in September, up from 2.5% in August. On Friday, the UK will release Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data with a forecast of 0.2% month-on-month growth in August
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💡 Ideas For TONUSDT 🤑
📈 Bulls dressing up as bears... ↓
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TON can't get out of the downtrend, facing a rather strong seller (or lack of buyers, amid fundamental problems). The coin is setting itself up for a further decline....

The trend change started to show back in July, with strong momentum being generated amid strong outflows due to the market crash following bitcoin manipulation. In Agusta, the coin faced another problem - Pavel Durov's court case, which had an extremely negative impact on the system.
At the moment, buyers are turning around and have no fundamental and technical strength against the bear. The price is forming a pre-breakdown base relative to the key support at 5.16. A break of this area will open the way to 4.5.

Resistance levels: 5.38, 5.44
Support levels: 5.16, 4.7, 4.5


Buyers are trying to hold 5.16, but the pressure of bears, increasing on the background of bitcoin correction, is increasing, the sellers' strength is growing, which provokes the first to leave the game, close or turn around. In the short term, I expect a breakdown of support and decline
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Amid reports of the risk of delisting USDT from Coinbase on the European market, Tether said it is developing a technology solution tailored for the European marketplace
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Consolidation below the SMA. What was the impact of NFP?
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GOLD is consolidating below previously crossed SMA50 & 200 after Friday's shakeout. A surprising NPF shook up the market. The dollar is rallying while gold is drawing downside resistance...

The main reason for a possible decline in gold prices is the weakening expectations of a 0.5% Fed interest rate cut in November. A very strong NFP report all but eliminated the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in November. The reading beat market expectations of 140K by a wide margin. Nevertheless, the price of gold managed to resist a corrective decline thanks to the ongoing geopolitical risks associated with the escalating conflict in the Middle East. Traders are now looking forward to the upcoming Fed speech.
Gold is technically in the sideways range of 2685 - 2623. There is no actual direction, so you can trade between buy and sell levels...

Resistance levels: SMA, 2661, 2673
Support levels: 2639, 2631, 2623


Bears are likely to exert maximum strength in the resistance zone, the market may react by declining to the liquidity zones. There is a high enough probability of formation of a false breakout of resistance before further decline
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Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction

#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
A strong support is outlined. A break of 1.0948 will strengthen the downward movement. A strong dollar is bad for the euro.

#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
Emphasis on the low of Thursday's bar. The retest and break of this zone may trigger the impulse downwards... Also focus on 1.300

#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
On Monday, the fall to 0.612-0.61 may continue. And after a small rebound or correction, the price may head towards 0.597

#AUDUSD 🇦🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
Broke a strong level. Friday's candle closed very well. A break of Friday's low will strengthen the downward movement...

#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - LONG 📈
Structure breakdown and movement to retest 149.4. Possible rebound before further breakout and growth to 151.9.

#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - LONG 📈
We expect the continuation of growth to 1.362. There may be a slight correction on Monday

#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - LONG 📈
After a small correction we should expect a continuation of growth to 0.863 - 0.875

#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - LONG 📈
The dollar continues to rally. Strong NFP report allows to form a short-medium term strategy
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💡 Ideas For #BTCUSD 🪙
📈 The flirtation with MA-200 ended in failure. To 52K?
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BTC failed in its attempt to break the daily MA-200 and 64-65K resistance. A retest of the previously broken range boundary and strong liquidity zone amid a global descending channel is forming. The crowd was in the majority, but...

On W1 the promising direction of the current trend is clearly visible. The price tested the upper boundary of the channel, but the bears pushed us down rather aggressively, making us realize that there is nothing to do in the zone above 65K yet.
One of the reasons for the btc drop we caught earlier: 94% of all BTC holders are now in profit. Dealers noted high activity in buying call options on BTC with a strike of $75000. There were also high sales of puts.
Trick question: How to make money if the crowd is buying?

Resistance levels: 62745, 64955
Support levels: 60K, 59250, 57700


A correction after the impulse is forming and the price may test the imbalance and liquidation zone. Having broken 62342 area earlier, we entered the panic zone, where sellers managed to grab a piece before further failure at 60K. Before the further fall, the price may go after these lucky sellers before the asset goes after the buyers on the background of the general trend. This would be considered a retest after breaking the structure. I do not see any reasons for growth beyond 64-65K at the moment, I am interested in the zone of 60K, 57K, 55K, 52K.
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Hi friends, now watching the markets after yesterday's news..... Yesterday's high volatility spoiled the overall picture a bit, as the market behaved a bit unpredictably (market reaction to the news)

I have some ideas, but I will post them after a while.

Have a great time 🙂

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R. Linda Trading

#GBPCAD Close now with +79 pips profit!

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Dollar has longest upside bias since 2022 - markets are actively laying down a “less dovish” Fed

Goldman sees the current dollar strength as a reflection of “risk off ” sentiment in the markets
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Another one :) #GOLD
Good realization. As I said, the exit from accumulation will be accompanied by a strong momentum.
The impulse was there, the target was reached.
+450 pips :)
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#USDJPY
Forex traders are finding new reasons to hold the US dollar and dump the Japanese yen. Over the longer term, the dollar has recovered more than 6% of its value since hitting a bottom at ¥139.60 on September 16, 2024. (Reasons? U.S. Economy.)

Among the new incentives for bulls to bet is the diminishing prospects of another sharp cut in U.S. interest rates. Rate cuts are usually bad for the dollar because they deprive it of strong returns on deposits and dollar-linked assets such as bonds. Markets now expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by a more modest 0.25% in November, down from a 0.5% basis point cut in September.

In Japan, new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba reversed his stance on interest rates last week, saying the Bank of Japan should not rush to raise interest rates. However, during the election, markets raised the yen's valuation on expectations that Ishiba would support the idea of further rate hikes
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💡 Ideas For #EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 The realization phase isn't over. Emphasis on 1.095 ↓
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EURUSD breaks the uptrend and prepares to continue falling due to the change of fundamental background, the reasons for which were strong economic data in the US. The price is in the realization phase…

The weekly timeframe clearly shows the forming sideways range (consolidation). The market failed to break the resistance of the channel, although a lot of effort was put on it (5 attempts on W1).
At the moment the currency pair is testing last week's low, it is also worth noting the fact of weekly candle closing - almost at the low. This is a rather good and promising sign for the continuation of the downward movement. Emphasis on the support at 1.095. Breakdown and consolidation of the price below this area will strengthen the decline to the intermediate bottom...

Support levels: 1.095, 1.0892
Resistance levels: 1.100, 1.1011, 1.1047


A pre-breakout consolidation is forming relative to support. Emphasis on the breakdown of the level and further decline to the zones of interest. As an unpredictable scenario we can have in mind a pullback to 1.100 and further decline...
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#USDCAD 🇺🇸🇨🇦

Perfect realization :)
+90 pips
Breakout of figure resistance after the news. Formed fundamental background gave good energy
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Kugler (Fed) supports a gradual Fed Funds rate cut if the decline in inflation is on track. Supports a more aggressive cut if the labor market weakens rapidly

PS: once again they have started publishing confusing comments to manipulate the markets ...

Now the focus is on today's FOMC meeting. What will they say there...
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 The pressure from above is building. New lows...
———————————————
GOLD stops testing local highs. Strong growth has stopped and the price is being squeezed between the boundaries of the narrowing consolidation. The exit of the price from the figure will be accompanied by an impulse...

Last week changed the general fundamental background, gold traders are getting nervous and moving into a phase of profit taking on the back of strong economic data. Ahead is the FOMC meeting where further steps to regulate the US economy will be discussed.
Technically, gold stops trying to update or test the highs, feeling pressure from above, but at the same time the price is probing the base from below, gradually updating the local lows. A gradually narrowing consolidation is forming on the chart and if there is a price exit from the figure, it will be accompanied by a strong impulse.

Resistance levels: 2650, 2659
Support levels: 2632, 2623, 2613


I continue to hold that bears will continue to press the price, which will provoke the price exit downwards with further retest of 2623-2613-2600. But we need to keep an eye on the regulators' comments and the dollar's behavior...
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📈Forex VIP Performance

For the trading week from:
30.09 to 04.10

Total result +269pips ⚡️

🗣You could earn in a week if:
Trade 0.1 lot: +269$ 💰
Trade 1 lot: +2690$ 💰

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🔸Jun03-Jun07 Profit +923
🔸Jun10-Jun14 Profit +268
🔸Jun17-Jun21 Profit +110
🔸Jun24-Jun28 Profit +251
For Jun: +1552 pips!

🔸Jul01-Jul05 Profit +397
🔸Jul08-Jul12 Profit +467
🔸Jul15-Jul19 Profit +99
🔸Jul22-Jul26 Profit +1086
🔸Jul29-Aug02 Profit +1022
For Jul: +3071 pips!

🔸Aug05-Aug09 Profit -126
🔸Aug12-Aug16 Profit +210
🔸Aug19-Aug23 Profit +107
🔸Aug26-Aug30 Profit +442
For August: +633 pips!

🔸Sep02-Sep06 Profit +507
🔸Sep09-Sep13 Profit +280
🔸Sep16-Sep20 Profit +625
🔸Sep23-Sep27 Profit +234
For September: +1646 pips!
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The US dollar spills to 102.35, the best weekly performance for the dollar since mid-September 2022. The labor market in America shattered expectations by creating 254K new jobs in September, indicating that the economy is growing even in the current difficult conditions...

Against this backdrop, the Fed can now breathe a sigh of relief and not resort (as it did last time) to a less fanciful 0.25% interest rate cut. Instead, Fed officials may continue cutting rates at a slower pace given that both of their mandates - inflation and employment - are performing well

The prospect of a slower rate-cutting campaign means that interest rates will remain relatively attractive to holders of the dollar and dollar-linked assets (mainly bonds). In this light, the U.S. currency may retain its ability to attract new capital inflows from both locals and foreigners. At the same time, the escalating conflict in the Middle East is pushing forex traders to the seeming safety of the dollar
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💡 Ideas For USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵
📈 Attempting a trend change. Retest 149.0
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USDJPY is testing range resistance in the rally phase caused by Friday's news - strong NFP report. The fundamental backdrop within the short-to-medium term is set...

From the opening of the session a small correction is forming, the aim of which may be a retest of the support or imbalance zone and consolidation of energy before a further breakout. The market structure is locally bullish on the background of the dollar growth. The Japanese authorities are still silent about their actions to strengthen the national currency (either they think about it or don't think about it :) ), so traders are increasing JPY sales in order to buy USD.
The first retest of the resistance at 149.4 failed (bounce). Emphasis on 0.5 fibo or 147.2 support from which the growth may resume...

Resistance levels: 147.38
Support levels: 147.5, 147.2, 146.15


On the chart there are preconditions for the change of the local trend to a bullish one, the fundamental background is favorable for this. If the bulls will keep the defense above the support and continue to test the resistance with a breakdown target, then in the short-term-senior perspective we can catch the forging of the impulse to 152.0.
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Briefly on GOLD #XAUUSD:
The first week, in the last 4, closes bearish and below the close of the previous bar. Either the selling is intensifying (which is more logical) or the buyer has overheated and needs to cool down.

The price closes in the range of 2670 - 2630. There are no reasons for the price to leave the range, but most likely, in the near future, all attempts to go up will be aggressively sold off against the outflows of funds (reasons - the US economy, indicating strengthening).
The dollar continues after a very strong NFP report.

On H1 (XAUUSD), the price is consolidating below the key support line (rising) and below the conglomerate SMA, which generally indicates market weakness (a cross is forming).
There will most likely be an attempt to rise and retest the resistance, but the market may move quite quickly into a phase of testing supports and liquidity zones from below.
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Why was yesterday's report both predictable and unpredictable.....

U.S. job growth in September didn't just accelerate, it reached exorbitant heights. U.S. employers hired 254,000 new employees, exceeding the consensus forecast of 145,000 new jobs and well above the August figure. The monster jobs report took everyone by surprise after months of slowing job growth raised fears of recession and prompted the Fed to step on the gas pedal by cutting interest rates by 50 bps last month.

The good news was quickly picked up by markets, leading to a joyous rally around the world. The S&P 500 index rose 0.7% in the first minutes of the session, while the technology index Nasdaq Composite soared more than 1.1%. The U.S. dollar knocked out its forex rivals, lifting its index to 102.70, marking the fifth straight day of gains....

The solid payrolls report probably softened attitudes in the halls of the Federal Reserve. Central bankers may now be more confident about the economy and may decide to go for the occasional quarter-point interest rate cut when they meet next month. Until then, traders have a bunch of other important reports to read, such as the Consumer Price Index (inflation), which is high on the Fed's to-do list - policymakers have a dual mandate to maximize employment and keep inflation at 2% per year
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