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Bitcoin held its breath as cryptocurrency markets prepared for the biggest event of the year. According to national polls, Republican Donald Trump is trailing Democrat Kamala Harris, bringing uncertainty to the digital asset markets and promising plenty of action today.
Cryptocurrencies are at a critical juncture right now as the two presidential candidates have very different views on the future of the industry. Trump wants to make the U.S. the “crypto capital of the world” and has promised to fire SEC head Gary Gensler for his passive and even harmful approach to regulating cryptocurrencies for the industry. Harris, in turn, vowed to tighten regulation of cryptocurrencies and impose higher taxes.
With all this, bitcoin has retreated from near-record levels above $73,500 last week to current market prices of around $68,000 per coin. With that in mind, be prepared for possible price swings of up to 10% in either direction
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 The US election and how does XAUUSD depend on it?
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GOLD is waiting for strong news. The price continues to test and even update local lows, but in the next 1-2 days you need to be careful as high volatility is expected
The main issue on the agenda is the US presidential election. High volatility is expected. Until last week, markets were pricing in a Trump victory (his policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs will put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the US dollar). But on Monday, the situation showed a slightly different picture, with the odds of a Harris victory (opposite, successor, policies) rising
In addition, expectations of a less aggressive easing cycle from the Fed are also supporting the dollar.
Also, markets are taking into account the ongoing Middle East conflict between Israel and Iran.
Technically, the emphasis of the flat boundaries. While the price is trading inside, but most likely an attempt to get out of the accumulation will be formed....
Resistance levels: 2745, 2758
Support levels: 2731, 2724, 2713
Technically, gold continues to test support with the aim of retesting deeper liquidity zones below. But the risks are quite high right now. Gold is still feeling the support, so there could be unpredictable market reactions depending on the outcome!
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The latest U.S. election poll shows results identical to 2020
Harris is ahead of Trump by 4%, which is almost identical to the results in 2020, when he was also ahead of Biden - The Hill
The gap between the candidates is just 1% in Harris' favor - NYT
Trump and Harris go head-to-head a week before the election - CNN
Polymarket platform shows Trump with a big lead over Harris
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The U.S. dollar index stopped the rally. Traders moved to sit back with the purpose of waiting ahead of tomorrow. NFP data showed that only 12,000 people were employed for the month.
Normally this means trouble for the local economy and a subsequent sell-off in the local currency. But in this case, the US dollar rallied because things were not as bad as they seemed. A flurry of unfortunate one-off events almost negated all demand for workers - severe storms, deadly hurricanes and large-scale strikes put pressure on the labor market in October. As such, analysts are watching with interest to see what November's NFP data will show.
Tuesday is the presidential election. Thursday is the Fed's rate meeting.
It's a busy week with a lot going on for the US Dollar - get ready for volatility in the forex market. According to national polls, the presidential rally is too close to unwind, and the Fed's rate decision is expected to reduce borrowing costs by 0.25%
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I left a question regarding tomorrow in the comments under the idea, it would be interesting to hear your opinion 🙂
I'm looking forward to your likes and comments 👇
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/z363tPmn-GOLD-The-SMAs-are-hinting-that-it-s-about-time-News/
💡Ideas For NZDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 Speculators waiting for news...
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NZDUSD is moving into consolidation after a strong and progressive fall amid a halt in the dollar index. Markets are waiting for news related to the US presidential election…
The currency pair amid strong bullish DXY is not practicing attempts to update local highs with the aim of changing the trend to a bullish one. Buyers are not ready yet, and are waiting for November 5...
If Trump is elected, the dollar, supported by a pro-inflationary president, may continue to recover, which, accordingly, will manifest itself in the form of negative dynamics in the currency pair. But, most likely, with the election of a politician from the Democratic Party, the regulators are likely to continue to hold the dovish rate, in which case the NZDUSD will have a chance to change the trend.
Resistance levels: 0.6031, 0.6066
Support levels: 0.5953, 0.5915
Technically, bears continue to hold the dominant position. The area 0.5915, 0.585 is a zone of interest in terms of liquidity formation, thus, there is a high probability of reaching these areas...
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#Bitcoin 🪙? What about bitcoin? I warned you earlier about 73-75K. The price did not update the resistance, because the one who formed ATH understands very well, if the price goes beyond 73800 anything can happen, at least for the strongest seller panic times will start.
But that's not what we are talking about now.
Technically, the strong resistance is confirmed. It's easier for us, because at the moment the benchmark is 73500. The liquidity above this zone has not gone anywhere and thus still interests the market. That is, the price can still come back and test 73500-75K.
At the moment, the focus is on the local high of the previous wave - 69500. If bitcoin breaks this support and consolidates below it, selling may intensify.
BUT! False breakout and price consolidation above 70100 may provoke a buyer ;)
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Recently posted an idea on #SOLUSDT 🪙
Good realization after breaking the support at 173.0
It was possible to take already 5% from the market ⚡️
What is happening now?
The coin is realizing a rebound from resistance, indicating that the market is coming under pressure from a seller, which became active after bitcoin hit ATH and forged a reversal momentum. This triggered a correction and a fall in the entire cryptocurrency market.
What to expect on SOL?
In the mid-term, I would consider further decline. The nearest zone of interest is 159.1 - 160.0. After the retest, a predictable correction may form, and then the price may continue its downward course, for example, to 147.6 - 136.1
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US - NON-FARM PAYROLLS (Oct) = 12,000 (expected 106,000 / previously 254,000)
US - Unemployment (Oct) = 4.1% (expected 4.1% / previously 4.1%)
❗️Next, at 14:45 GMT, 15:00 GMT important news!
Be careful!
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#EURUSD slowed down and barely moved in either direction as forex traders cut rates and waited for important news from the US. It's election day! And that means tons of potential volatility in forex trades, allowing anyone and everyone to feel how exciting it is to trade the financial markets
The US dollar is now hostage to events - both presidential candidates have laid out an agenda that promises to reshape the way the US does business both at home and abroad. And that will inevitably have an impact on dollar valuations
Trump's victory is likely to favor the U.S. dollar in the long run, as it will boost U.S. businesses through favorable policies. On the other hand, Trump's plan to impose stiff tariffs on exports from outside the country could make the dollar more expensive in international trade. As such, prepare your portfolio for increased volatility today, especially if the vote count drags on without a clear winner
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💡 Ideas For APEUSDT 💰
📈 Is the dump still in progress? Emphasis on resistance
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APE in the dump phase updates lows. Consolidation and a slight pullback is forming before important news from the US. There is a storm ahead!
The coin pump is most likely a manipulation of fundamental facts related to the launch of Level 3 blockchain. But based on the overall situation, traders do not believe in further growth ...
Technically, the coin is in the channel 0.963 (deeper 1.032) -0.900, accordingly, at the time of writing, prices are diving after bitcoin as markets are betting on Trump's victory, which puts a favorable wind on this market. But the outcome could be 50/50 as the politicians in the race go toe-to-toe...
I emphasize the range boundaries to form a short and medium term strategy for APE
Resistance levels: 0.963, 1.032
Support levels: 0.900, 0.875
Technically, the primary target is resistance. Further we should consider a false breakdown with a possible decline to support, which may lead to a breakout and further decline to the zone of interest 0.733 - 0.695
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If you are going to trade today, be careful! 🫣
The sea will be raging under a big storm today!
❗️Elections, vote counting, comments, provocations, etc....
I recommend you to reduce your risk and trading volume, otherwise you may be torn apart today 🤯
JPMorgan puts Trump's chances of winning the US election at 60-70%
Nomura warns: markets are now predominantly betting on Trump, while Harris could win unexpectedly
The US presidential election, the Fed meeting and attempts to make all-time highs are merging into a perfect storm that is laying the foundations for a new global cycle. At times like these, the market becomes a ruthless hunter of speculators - keep your risks under control, last week's volatility may seem like an easy warm-up
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What happened? Since when did you become stingy with interactions? Or don't have an opinion of your own to write something about the current situation?
Please note, only I am late to post ideas or miss a day, I have a DM flooded with questions “what happened, where are the ideas, where are the updates” and so on.
And no feedback at all...
Ok 😉
PS: this is not an entertainment content or humor project here. People who are into trading are probably focused subjects who have hundreds of questions that you can't find answers to. That's exactly my point.Читать полностью…
So what's the problem? Why don't you seek answers from those who understand a little bit about trading (like me 🙂 ). Ask your own questions. You say you learn from my ideas, but how can you learn from just looking at a picture?
You ask: Why tradingview and not DM? Because tradingview is a community where other people will see the answers, developing a train of thought and so on.
In DM there may be a flood of messages, your questions may be missed, and in general it is not convenient for the community.
I believe in you!
👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 The SMAs are hinting that it's about time ... News!
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GOLD is forming a phase of correction, the reason for which is the change of fundamental background. The pressure from sellers is increasing, and the market is forming a key support at this time...
Disappointing NFP data was offset by hot wage inflation data. The U.S. labor market report failed to deter dollar buyers as it had limited impact on market pricing in Fed meeting expectations. Which had a negative impact on the price of gold...
All eyes are now on the US presidential election on November 5, and the outcome of the Fed meeting on Thursday. Markets believe that Trump's policy will put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while if Harris wins, the dovish policy will continue.
Technically, traders are taking a wait-and-see approach. The price is forming a range, and most likely gold will trade inside this channel in the near term
Resistance levels: 2745, 0.5 and 0.7 Fibo, 2758
Support levels: 2731, 2724, 2713
SMAs are tending towards each other, which could be a mixed reaction from traders. Markets are prioritizing a Republican victory, in fact, this could intensify gold's correction. But the denouement of the presidential race is tomorrow! For now, the focus is on the flat boundaries!
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I will also brag about the fact that you need to be able to analyze correctly 😎
Friends! Don't be afraid to learn, analyze, try to understand charts, understand price movement. Look for important aspects of the market, zones, patterns. Everything that we have now is all invented by people and people manage it. You know what I mean? ;)
Read books on technical analysis, courses, study videos...
Good luck to everyone!
Great realization of #GOLD on the chart ;)
The news formed a favorable background.
+260 pips in a few hours 🔥
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#ETH - everything is the same, only the coin is very, well, very weak within the potential of the top 5-10 coins by capitalization.
Against the background of the rally and even good enough news, ETH failed to go beyond the range of 2750 - 2300. Another retest of resistance ended in a fall.
By the way, in the previous idea I recommended to pay your attention to 2728-2764. From this zone a rather strong fall of 8% was formed.
It's not for nothing that the developer is selling off ETH from his portfolio ;)
What should we expect?
I think that in the near future the price will test 2400-2390. A breakdown of 2390-2300 will form a sell-off phase. Most likely, ETH may test 2100-1900 in the medium term
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Well everyone have a wonderful and productive weekend!
Let's talk to you a little bit about cryptocurrencies 😉
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