In the idea left nuances and strategies for H1-H4 🔥
I also left a question about the further movement of #BTC, it would be interesting to hear your opinion 😉
I am waiting for your answers, comments and likes on the link below 👇
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/8IfrYtSo-BITCOIN-Is-the-100K-target-becoming-more-and-more-realistic/
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#BTCUSD went on the offensive again Friday morning after pausing to catch its breath. The post-election buying frenzy is still too hot to handle, with cryptocurrency prices rising rapidly and breaking records
The winner of this year's US presidential election - Donald Trump - comes with a long to-do list and is throwing around promises that might make even a cryptoskeptic think twice about putting some pocket money into this new asset class.
On the agenda is the creation of a strategic bitcoin reserve, which will guarantee that the US government will never sell a single coin and will even start buying up the 1 million bitcoins acquired over 5 years. In addition, Trump vowed to fire SEC Chairman Gary Gensler “on day one.” And more broadly, Trump said he would work with Congress to pass cryptocurrency-friendly laws that would strengthen the industry and put it ahead of international competition. All of this, according to some analysts, could push bitcoin to $100,000 per coin by the time Trump is inaugurated on Jan. 20.
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Fundamental Swing. What to expect from gold?
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GOLD updates the low to 2643. The reason - change of fundamental background and outflow of funds to safer assets... But, Powell supported the metal by lowering the US interest rate...
Overall, the fundamental backdrop for gold has changed to negative. The impact is not short-term and can only increase further, but the metal will be supported by the Chinese market and the Middle East conflict. Yesterday gold strengthened to 2710, testing key resistance on the back of 0.25% interest rate cut. Powell gave a hint that the Feds are generally willing to continue the easing course. The environment is quite interesting...
Technically, gold is in a local descending channel and below 0.5 Fibo. If the bears keep the 0.5 - 0.7 fibo zone under their control, gold may continue to weaken towards 2650 - 2600.
Resistance levels: 2696, 2714, 2720
Support levels: 2685, 2652
Technically, after a busy week, the metal may go into a consolidation phase, for example in the area of 2714 - 2685, but it is still worth paying attention to resistance and support from which strong moves can be formed...
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Fed cuts rate by 0.25% to 4.75%
Powell:
- we have gained confidence that inflation is on a steady path toward the 2% target, inflation is on a steady path toward a decline to 2%
- if labor market conditions deteriorate, we can act more quickly. The Fed can both slow down and accelerate monetary easing depending on the situation
!! Powell signaled his intention to keep cutting the rate further
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BRITAIN - CB Rate = 4.75% (expected 4.75% / previously 5%)
Rates likely to continue to fall gradually if the economy develops as expected - Central Bank of England Governor
Brief overview and determination of FOREX direction
#EURUSD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
Retest of resistance at 1.077. If the bears hold the area, the decline may continue. Fundamental background is negative.
#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
A clear range of 1.304 - 1.284 is being formed. Possible retest of resistance or 1.290 before the fall. But the main emphasis is on support at 1.284 and breakdown of this area
#NZDUSD 🇳🇿/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
The downtrend may continue to influence the market. A resistance retest is being formed. The fall will continue either from resistance or support
#AUDUSD 🇦🇺/🇺🇸 - SHORT 📉
Small consolidation before the news. emphasis on 0.664. Possible false breakout before further fall
#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵 - LONG 📈
The strong dollar positively influences the pair. The growth will continue from the support, or after the breakthrough of 154.7
#USDCAD 🇺🇸/🇨🇦 - LONG 📈
Emphasis on 1.3946. Pre-breakout consolidation is forming. The breakout and further growth should be considered in the future
#USDCHF 🇺🇸/🇨🇭 - LONG 📈
Likewise. The focus is on 0.877. Bulls are trying to keep the defense above the support. If they can consolidate above 0.877, then only growth will follow.
#DXY 💲 (Dollar) - LONG 📈
The dollar will continue to rally. a slight correction after the euphoria from the election.
Growth will continue from the support at 104.55
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💡 Ideas For ETHFIUSDT 🤖
📈 A door has been opened to the bulls. Resistance retest
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ETHFI is forming a bottom. The coin continues to accumulate potential giving signs that the price is preparing to go up. The fundamental background is changing to favorable
The U.S. presidential election and Trump's victory have a favorable impact on the cryptocurrency market in the medium and long term. This will be especially visible after the inauguration of the new (old) president :). Fundamentally, the market opened another door....
Technically, there is a clear bottom at 1.092 with no attempts to renew the low, and a basic cascading support is formed, indicating the buyer's strength. The focus is on consolidation of 1.798 - 1.092. The price exit from this channel will be accompanied by a strong distribution (most likely upward)
Resistance levels: 1.798, 2.761 3.240
Support levels: 1.302, 1.092
There is a conglomerate of resistances ahead (descending line and channel boundary at 1.798). In the near future the market may continue to test this area with a breakout target. If the bulls can keep the defense above these areas, the rally will not be long in coming
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Also an example of a perfect realization)
A pip in pip and a strong rally that just gives us +120pips!
NZDUSD also under the pressure of the bullish dollar can continue the bearish trend for quite a long time. Fundamental and technical background is bearish, we draw conclusions....
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#BTCUSD updates ATH as the first election results started to come in, hints of Trump's victory provide strong support for the cryptocurrency market thanks to his warm connection with the community. Other tokens have also made gains, with the total cryptocurrency market reaching $2.5 trillion, up 9% in the last 24 hours.
Bitcoin set a new record at $75,000, nearly surpassing the $1.5 trillion valuation, with traders mostly acting FOMO.
Technically, bitcoin could solidly consolidate above 75K and go further. At this point, further upside to 80-90-100K is very, very high. Stay tuned!
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Global reversal H&S. How far do we fall?
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GOLD was looking pretty steady in the Asian session until the press came out with their statements before Trump's speech. The fundamental background is weakening, but there are positive nuances from the news...
There is one last vote left, but Trump has a 99% chance of winning.
Markets believe his policies will put upward pressure on inflation, treasury yields and the US dollar, which could have an overall negative impact on the XAU
BUT, there is a possibility that in the long term, the gold price will also benefit from the new president's policies as Trump's foreign policy related to China and Europe could cause unrest and panic in the market
Sentiment around the US election will play a key role in gold price movement ahead of the US Fed policy announcement due on Thursday.
Technically, gold is giving hints of a possible reversal by forming a classic H&S pattern. The main support is at 2708
Resistance levels: 2731, 2735, 2749
Support levels: 2724, 2713, 2708, 2689
Also, H1 is starting to show a local descending channel. Before the official verdict of the vote, the price can still test these resistance areas, but later the market may turn around and start a gradual decline until the end of market-wide euphoria....
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💡 Ideas For #BTCUSD 🪙
📈 Is the $100K target becoming more and more realistic?
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BTC is in the bull run phase and updating highs due to the excitement of the US presidential election. After 8 months, there are finally reasons for the price to come out of the prolonged accumulation. Now the distribution
BTC has one bullish driver after another as it approaches ATH:
Trump's victory in the US presidential election.
Then the second 0.25% Fed rate cut in this cycle
Discussions about BTC as a strategic reserve.
Next is the SEC. Trump promised to get rid of the head of the SEC, so the choice will be made in favor of a more loyal to cryptocurrencies person
In general, the fundamental background for cryptocurrencies is very bullish, altcoins may finally go straight to the moon.
Technically, bitcoin has a key resistance of 76900 at the moment, as well as key support zones, which is worth paying attention to as the price has been forming a local accumulation for two days. Accordingly, the move may continue in the near term.
Resistance levels: 76900
Support levels: 75650, 74560, 73550
The price is squeezing in front of the resistance, which may lead to a breakout. But, the liquidity is decreasing on the weekend, which may lead to a small correction, for example, to 75650 or other areas lower on the chart. We can't talk about any selling now, the reason is obvious, so we are looking for strong resistance levels (to continue the movement), or strong support levels (to bounce with the purpose of buying).
The target of 100K is becoming more and more real ;)
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JPMorgan: Bitcoin will continue to benefit from Donald Trump's victory for at least the next 8 weeks (through the end of 2024)
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#GBPUSD rose sharply on Thursday, floating near $1.2950 - $1.30. Central banks on both sides cut their benchmark interest rates on the same day. On the UK side, the Bank of England provided support for Sterling by cutting borrowing costs by 0.25%. At the same time, it raised its inflation forecast, which increased demand for the local currency.
In the US, the Federal Reserve also cut interest rates by 0.25. The quarter point rate cut did not come as a surprise to markets as it was already priced in and expected. Fed officials praised the progress made in fighting inflation and said they believe the worst of the period of price pressures is behind us. However, these comments did not have much impact on the US Dollar, which remained fairly strong against other major currency pairs
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💡Ideas For NZDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 False break of resistance may intensify the fall
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NZDUSD in the Asian session tests resistance of the descending channel, excitement is formed by the reduction of interest rate in the U.S. by 0.25%
The currency pair does not have a clear trend on the global timeframe, locally - a downward trend formed on the negative fundamental background, which only intensified after Trump's victory. The impact on the market has a medium and long-term character, accordingly, any strong resistance can easily hold the market.
On H4, a false breakdown of trend resistance is forming. Consolidation is forming inside the channel, if bears hold the 0.602-0.603 zone, we should expect a decline to the zones of interest in the mid term
Resistance levels: 0.603, 0.604
Support levels: 0.595, 0.593, 0.5915
The focus is on the mentioned resistance, as the market struggle and further movement depends on this key zone at the moment. The bearish structure will be broken when the local high of 0.6038 is broken and the price consolidates above this zone
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📶The result of the CRYPTO VIP CHANNEL
🔹For November +343%🟢
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🔹For March +278%🟢
🔹For April +499%🟢
🔹For May +508%🟢
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🔹For Jul +63%🟢
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🔹For September +495%🟢
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❗️ Quite an important day after the US presidential election
Ahead of Initial Jobless Claims at 13:30 GMT
Then the rate at 19:00.
Keep an eye on the news, especially the Fed Interest Rate Decision and the FOMC Press Conference as the terms of future policy will be discussed...
What matters is not the fact of interest rate cut or hold, but what Powell and regulators will say
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 U-turn and fall... Waiting for Powell (Fed)
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GOLD is forming a reversal setup with a bias for the medium and long term. The fundamental background is changing in favor of the dollar at the expense of gold, as well as changing the targets...
Trump is the new (old) president of the United States. What does that mean? Rising inflation, a rising dollar, stock market and bonds are possible, but not gold or currency markets. But because Trump's policies promise to be tough on China and Europe, gold may get additional support from investors, but not in the near term, perhaps not in the next year. What are the targets to gold going forward? 2400, 2300, 2200. 2K is not excluded.
Now all eyes are on the Fed rate meeting later on Thursday. Will they cut 0.25% or keep the rate the same? The important aspect in that case is the regulator's comments and hints (slowing down the easing cycle is not ruled out). Waiting for Powell...
Technically, gold is returning to the range, so the focus is on the internal levels and the key 0.5 fibo, from which the decline may resume
Resistance levels: 2670, 2685, 2696
Support levels: 2652 (trigger), 2637, 2624
A correction after the spill is being formed. False breakdown and subsequent consolidation below the above resistance levels will be a signal for the continuation of the fall
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On the back of Trump's victory:
Fed expected to lower rate only 1 time, in 2025.
Fed may start to revise its policy at December meeting if Republicans gain control of House and Senate - WSJ
Experts expect Trump's policies to be more pro-inflationary amid tax cuts, etc., which would negatively impact the Fed's desire to cut rates, but there are also opinions that the politician has been a fanatic about cutting rates
UPD:
Fed expected to cut rate by 0.25% at today's meeting - analysts, CNBC survey
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Just a beauty 😍
For a long, long time the price was saving up. #GOLD held very confidently during the Asian session until journalists woke up and started claiming Trump's victory.
Price reacted coolly and accordingly.
We are one step away from a correction, stay tuned!
Gold gives us +430pips! 🔥
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#GBPUSD is moving clearly according to the scenario without any signs of us messing it up.
The general background is confirmed today, which is also to our advantage:
Technically there was a bullish trend break earlier, but the movement was slow and sustained. Traders were waiting for a decoupling. The election is almost over and the markets are getting ready to rally ;)
The previous idea allows us to earn +170 pips. And, most likely, this is not the limit, the price can reach 1.2500 quite quickly))
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#EURUSD fell sharply as the presidential race showed Trump gaining on Harris. The US dollar rose across the board, punishing the euro.
A lot of volatility is expected ahead, especially if the vote count drags on. Trump's victory is potentially favorable for the U.S. dollar because of Trump's policy of raising tariffs against major U.S. trading partners. The former president also promised to boost domestic businesses and small-capitalization companies.
It could be days before the election results determine a clear winner. Harris lost in the key states of Georgia, Arizona and Nevada, but Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin have yet to be fully counted. Those three Midwestern states will be watched to see how the vice president can turn the tide and win. Until then, volatility is expected to keep traders energized and chained to their screens
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💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 Negative fundamental background. Going to 1.2500
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GBPUSD is reversing after a retest of strong resistance with no opportunity to enter the liquidity zone. The negative fundamental background is confirmed
The dollar is flying upwards. News channels and not only already declare about the victory of Trump, whose policy is directed towards the strengthening of the dollar. Markets are starting to react accordingly.
As for GBPUSD, in the last article I focused your attention on 1.2813 and 1.305: If after a pullback to the resistance the price starts to retest the support, the chances of a breakdown and further decline will increase.
The fundamental background, formed at the moment, is favorable for the fall of the currency pair.
Resistance levels: 1.294, 1.30, 1.3044
Support levels: 1.2813, 1.2672, 1.25
The technical and fundamental background are going in the same direction. Emphasis on the key support. A slight pullback is possible before further breakout. Also continue to follow the news!
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Trump gains 246 electoral votes, well ahead of Harris with 210 votes - NBC News
Republican Party outpaces Democrats in U.S. congressional elections - Fox News
PS: Markets are already starting to react and technically put this news into their prices...
bitcoin 75K, dollar, indices rising
PS: Voting in the U.S. general election has concluded
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