The DXY U.S. Dollar Index hit a yearly high of 108 and is up 7.5% since September 29 in a near-vertical upward move. What's behind it and what to expect next?
1) The US Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have slowed: the Fed is expected to cut borrowing costs by the usual 25 basis points in December (but there are already doubts)
2) Trump's geopolitics and policies are US-centric: support domestic businesses, raise tariffs on all imported goods and services
An expensive US dollar may be good for imports, but will make imports less competitive in international markets and exports less attractive to foreign trading partners and investors
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💡 Ideas For EURJPY 🇪🇺🇯🇵
📈 Support breakdown. Attempt to change the trend
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EURJPY seeks to renew lows. The dollar rally is negatively affecting both JPY and EUR. The Eurozone has yet to face Trump's policies, while Japan is already going through a rough patch...
The currency pair is exiting the ascending channel, hinting at a trend change. The price breaks support and consolidates in the selling zone. Ahead is the key support at 161.2, the breakdown of this zone may provoke the bears to more active actions.
Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair is entering the downward rally phase, so the trend change is just the beginning....
Resistance levels: 162.04, 162.5, 163.2
Support levels: 161.16, 158.4
The focus is on the channel boundaries, resistance at 162.04 and support at 161.16. From these zones an aggressive fall may be possible, as buyers do not believe in a positive outcome at the moment
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#BTC 💰 continues to look strong enough this allows us to form bullish positions and opinions.
Technically, there are no preconditions for a fall. Fundamentally and technically bitcoin is strongly bullish.
The price is reaching our first target of $95K 👑
and is approaching our second target of $100K 🔥
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💡 Ideas For APEUSDT 💰
📈 Consolidation before a possible rally. Focus on 1.200
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APE is forging a consolidation within an ascending price channel after the dump, this is a hint that the coin is getting ready to go up
Smoothly the global trend is changing to bullish. The alt season could start any minute and everything partly depends on bitcoin's dominance in the market, which is gradually decreasing as BTC approaches the psychological level of 100K.
Technically, APE is forming a consolidation with 1.200 as resistance and 0.90 as support, but within this range, an upward channel is forming, indicating that buyers are starting to intervene in the game, gathering potential for further upside.
A break of 1.200 could trigger a bull run towards 1.44 - 1.800.
Resistance levels: 1.200
Support levels: 1.032, 0.963, 0.9
Technically, we can say that an ascending triangle is forming against 1.200. I do not exclude the fact that the price may test the support before further growth, as altcoins react extremely aggressively to any weak corrections of bitcoin. But, I would prioritize trading on a break of 1.200 resistance with the aim of further growth
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UBS joins Goldman in expecting gold prices to rise next year: target of $2900 by the end of 2025
Goldman expects gold prices to rebound on the back of Fed rate cuts and maintains its 2025 target of $3000
Assets of gold exchange-traded investment funds fell to the lowest since the beginning of the fall - 83 million troy ounces. Institutional investors reduced their investments amid uncertainty about the movement of rates in the U.S. after the election victory of President Donald Trump. Quotes were also down, approaching the $2500 per troy ounce level. The market is now supported by purchases by global central banks and Indian jewelers.
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#BTCUSD rose to a record high above $94,000 on Tuesday. Nevertheless, the record high has been reached. And most likely, it is not the limit
Thanks to Trump winning the presidency for another four years, even more growth is expected next year. His agenda includes big things for digital assets, such as the potential creation of a strategic bitcoin reserve. Some are also speculating that the president-elect may get rid of the capital gains tax on cryptocurrency trading
Technically, bitcoin is consolidating above the previously mentioned resistance zone, which is now acting as support.
It is also possible to emphasize the 93500 level. If the price fixes above this area, then further it is worth waiting for 95K
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💡 Ideas For #EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 Consolidation “flag”. Willingness to go below...
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EURUSD is forming a consolidation in the “flag” format, the purpose of which, in the current situation, is to accumulate the potential for continuation of the trend... Fundamental background is still negative
On D1 we can clearly see the consolidation below the key level of 1.0600 after a strong fall. There is no proper and logical reaction in the form of a pullback. Accordingly, based on this we can conclude that the dynamics and strength of the buyer is not enough to reverse the local situation.
The dollar is starting the recovery phase again, which may put pressure on the euro.
Technically, the emphasis on consolidation “flag”. The exit of the price from the boundaries of this channel will provoke further movement.
Resistance levels: 1.0606
Support levels: 1.0521, 1.044
It is not worth trading inside the flag. The exception is a retest of resistance. Opening an order is acceptable after a false breakout.
But, the emphasis is on 1.052. Breakout and fixing of the price below this zone can strengthen the fall
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#BTCUSD soared to the $92K level as crypto traders anticipate an exciting event. BlackRock, the largest U.S. exchange-traded fund that owns genuine bitcoin, will begin trading options on Tuesday.
After months of dealing with regulators, BlackRock's $42 billion BTC-ETF will begin trading options for traders looking for another way to access the original cryptocurrency. The appearance of these IBIT-listed options on the market will be very interesting for investors.
What are bitcoin ETF options? Options trading helps to strengthen bitcoin ETFs and increase liquidity, which can be seen as a promising step towards curbing the wild fluctuations of the coin's exchange rate day to day
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Are the bears in doubt? Resistance ahead
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GOLD strengthens to 2625, jeopardizing the local downtrend. Fundamentally, the situation is complicated, as well as technically...
The metal price is actively influenced by the escalated geopolitical situation between Russia and Ukraine. The market is also watching the Middle East, as despite the reduced news flow, the situation is still tense. In addition, expectations of additional stimulus measures from China also favor the growth of prices for this metal. It is still unclear whether gold will be able to hold on to the bullish momentum as the price is approaching strong resistance and traders are cautious as they await new signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook.
Technically, as the price is still within the boundaries of the local descending channel, it is worth considering selling from strong zones and levels. The situation will change when the price breaks (it is not a fact) the channel resistance...
Resistance levels: 2626, 2643
Support levels: 2604, 2590
Most likely, the market seeks to test the resistance, relative to which a stalemate situation is forming due to the mixed fundamental background.
A false break of 2643-2626 will strengthen the selling and bring us back to the downside. But an unexpected resistance breakout will bring back the buyers' motivation
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#SOLUSDT 💰
reached our target of $ 259.9 and gave us +9%!!! 💰
SOL, which competes with Ethereum but has more powerful technology, rose to $265 a piece, upgrading ATH.
The main reason for the rally: The head of the SEC said he will leave his post on January 20, just as Donald Trump takes office as U.S. president
The SEC is responsible for approving ETF listings. And that's what has largely led the coin's rise. With Gensler's departure, the Solana exchange-traded fund has become more of a reality
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Why is the metal rising? A chance to upgrade ATH to 2800?
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GOLD rallies and seeks to renew the local maximum. The fundamental background is changing in favor of the metal, to which aggressive buyers are running...
Gold is not reacting to the dollar rally and hawkish Fed rate statements. Markets now rate the probability of a 0.25% Fed rate cut in December at 51%, up from 84% a week ago.
The reason for the metal's rally is paramount to the escalating conflict in Eastern Europe. The US Democrats have untied the hands Ukraine, which has caused Russia to change its nuclear doctrine and lower its threshold for retaliatory decisions. The conflict, fundamentally, is taking a more serious side.
Gold, as a hedge asset in times of crisis, is soaking up investor money and feeling strong buyer support
Technically, we are getting a high probability that the metal can update ATH to 2800-2850.
Resistance levels: 2710, 2731, 2750
Support levels: 2689, 2680, 2674
There is strong resistance ahead, which may trigger a correction to the nearest liquidity zones, but we are not talking about reversals. The correction may end quickly and the price will go into the bull run phase again. Medium-term targets are 2731-2750
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#EURUSD is approaching a global double bottom as traders rushed into the US dollar, overwhelming a weakening euro. The focus is on $1.0450 - this is where the pair bounced from when it was in pretty bad shape last October
The dollar is likely to feel supported in the medium to long term, as Trump's aggressive stance on imports and warm embrace towards domestic businesses has some wondering if inflation is set to rise again...
In Europe, the outlook is not too bright - interest rates are now well below US rates and the eurozone economy is stagnating, which suggests further weakening of the euro
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 The fundamental backdrop is changing, as are the targets
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GOLD breaks local trend and makes sellers nervous. The fundamental background is changing despite the growth of the dollar, which is generally positive for gold as a safe asset in times of crisis
The dollar rallied strongly on Wednesday as traders increased optimism on Trump's dealings, digesting hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve. Despite the hawkish shift in Fed expectations and the optimism of the overall market syuttaion on the dollar, the gold price held up and benefited from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine.
Against the backdrop of the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict, the gold price is likely to be firm, but upcoming Fed comments could strengthen sellers.
Technically, gold has all chances to test the previously broken channel boundary, but based on the technical and fundamentals, we can conclude that further growth may continue.
Resistance levels: 2665, 2686, 2700
Support levels: 2643, 2627
The price is heading towards the zone of liquidity and interest, from which a correction may be formed, after which the market may resume the growth of gold, as the interest to the metal as a hedge asset has returned.
Medium-term targets could be 2700-2750
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#GBPUSD switched to the upside after the latest economic data from the UK showed an unexpected rise in inflation. The Consumer Price Index for October showed that core inflation rose again to 2.3%.
The US dollar is showing some signs of weakness across the board.What does a rise in inflation mean for interest rate cuts?
The Bank of England may decide not to cut interest rates at its December 19 meeting to see if there is an upward trend in prices or if this is just an isolated blip on the chart
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Market confirms downtrend
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GOLD is testing resistance of a key descending channel. Bears continue to resist based on important fundamental aspects of the global economy
Fears of further geopolitical escalation between Russia and Ukraine are likely to subside a bit. In addition, the Fed speech will help determine the U.S. central bank's future path on interest rates. Attention is focused on the December rate meeting....
Technically, the gold confirms the downtrend channel, so we have a key trend to follow in our trading decisions.
A false breakdown of the local resistance at 2627 is forming. Consolidation of the price below this zone may provoke further decline
Resistance levels: 2627, 2643
Support levels: 2604, 2560
Another resistance retest is possible. It will be possible to talk about buying after the price will be able to break 2643 and consolidate above this zone (additional scenario). But in priority I consider further decline from 2627 or from the channel resistance
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NASDAQ will list options on the BTC-ETF (IBIT) today. This marks an important milestone for the BTC crypto derivatives market, as derivatives on traditional assets often grow to 10-20 times the market capitalization of the underlying asset.
Читать полностью…#EURUSD returned to the offensive after two weeks of setbacks due to Donald Trump's victory in the November 5 presidential election
Since then, the U.S. dollar has soared more than 3% against the battered euro. Prospects of higher tariffs, tax cuts and rising inflation in the U.S. have boosted the dollar against major currency pairs. Eurozone inflation data is due on Monday, which is expected to show that price pressures were unchanged at 2% in October. This data will help the European Central Bank assess its future interest rate actions and whether to continue cutting interest rates.
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💡 Ideas For #SOLUSDT 💰
📈 One step away from ATH. Will the maximum be updated?
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BTC is rallying and testing the high of 248.44, but what is remarkable is that the coin is not pulling back, but consolidating with the aim of reaching ATH or even updating it
The fundamental background of the coin is strengthening as an exchange-traded fund may emerge on the basis of Solana, most likely the issue will be discussed in 2025. There are only 2 ETFs approved so far, bitcoin and etherium.
Technically, on W1 the bulls are trying to take control of the 243-244 area. Buyer's chances are quite promising, accordingly, if they manage to keep the defense above this zone, the coin has all chances to form a new all-time high.
Resistance levels: 245.3, 248.5, 259.9
Support levels: 242.3, 234.3
The trigger zone is 245.3. A breakthrough and price consolidation above this zone may provoke aggressive buying with the purpose of growth continuation.
It is possible that the price may form a correction, for example, to 242.3, 238, 234 before continuing its growth
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#SOLUSD is gaining momentum and rallying. The reason - an exchange-traded fund may appear on the basis of Solana. The ETF is rumored to get the green light sometime in 2025. But not without overcoming many obstacles along the way
Now that Trump has secured a second four-year term in the White House, the cryptocurrency community is encouraged by his lukewarm stance towards the industry. They are anticipating significant developments such as Gensler's departure from the SEC. With that in mind, analysts have not failed to state that the optimistic prospects for the emergence of the Solana dot-com ETF could drive the token's price to a new record as early as this month !?
Solana reached $245 per token, breaking a three-year high and close to the 2021 record of $260 per unit. Currently, only two spot cryptocurrency ETFs are approved in the U.S.: Bitcoin, and Ethereum. But most likely, this is not the limit ;)
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