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https://x.com/i/lists/1669153613199835138?t=R0mCicxs7zfJE_yOAek4gQ&s=09
Stock Analysis Compilation
Diamond Hill Long Short Fund on Builders FirstSource $BLDR US
Thesis: Builders FirstSource is a high-quality US lumber and building materials distributor that we believe has temporarily faced macroeconomic challenges, presenting an attractive investment opportunity.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Ethereum losses on the day accelerate to -9%, now 1% away from breaking below the pivotal $2,000 level. https://t.co/EtePX1Y6E7
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Crypto market losses accelerate with over -$130 billion erased today. https://t.co/uT0EiI4jsI
This is absolutely insane:
On February 20th, JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon sold $234 million worth of $JPM stock.
On February 22nd, Warren Buffett announced a record $334 BILLION cash balance.
12 days later, the Nasdaq 100 crashed -11%.
How did they know?
(a thread) https://t.co/xbzHVWkAlI
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Finding Compounders
“What is the key mistake investors make”
Chris Davis answers this question and much more in the extract below . https://t.co/Y2SkWT6OYw
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Investing visuals
$AMZN vs. $MELI: a side-by-side of two very high quality businesses 💎👌 https://t.co/8jUCjaxWZ8
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Diamond Hill Large Cap Concentrated Fund on Waste Management, Inc. $WM US
Thesis: Waste Management is a leading waste-collection provider in the US, benefiting from significant landfill assets and underappreciated investments in recycling and renewable natural gas projects.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
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The Kobeissi Letter
US firms’ inflation expectations are surging:
Services and manufacturing companies anticipate their costs will increase by 5.7% and 7.3% in 2025, according to the NY Fed.
That would mark the largest jump for manufacturing firms in at least 3 years and the largest jump for services firms in 2 years.
Furthermore, expected cost increases are higher among companies that import more from abroad.
Services firms expect their selling prices will rise by ~5.0% in 2025, the most since 2023.
At the same time, manufacturing firms anticipate selling prices to increase 5.4%, the most since 2022.
Inflation is set to remain elevated.
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: Just in case you missed it $EFX 🧵👇🏽 https://t.co/y3in9Hhtud
1/11 $EFX has been going through a silent business transformation
Equifax’s earnings potential is set to soar with an estimated EPS CAGR of >18% from 2025-2027
Here’s why $EFX is a stock you should have on your watchlist 🧵 https://t.co/RiFtVlzOf6
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Alvin
I was in the middle of capturing my vivo V50 product photos when my cat distracted me by meowing and being so cute. https://t.co/IEw0d5O99A
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The Investing for Beginners Podcast
5 Moats and Easy Examples:
• Network effects: $META
• Switching costs: $WFC
• Low-cost Producer: $AMZN
• Intangibles: $KO
• Counter positioning: $NFLX
What are your favorites?
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Diamond Hill Mid Cap Fund on LPL Financial $LPLA US
Thesis: LPL Financial is well-positioned for double-digit revenue and earnings growth despite concerns over cash flows and regulatory scrutiny, making it an attractive investment opportunity due to its low valuation.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
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The Kobeissi Letter
Shocking stat of the day:
The share of subprime car borrowers at least 60 days past due on their loans hit 6.6% in January, the highest in at least 30 years.
This percentage has DOUBLED over the last 3.5 years.
Levels now exceed levels seen in 2020, 2008, and the previous peak recorded in 1996.
Transitions into serious delinquency of 90+ days among all borrowers hit 3.0% in Q4 2024, the highest since 2010.
Americans are falling behind on debt payments like we are in a recession.
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Finding Compounders
How to find the right stock price https://t.co/IpCceaaCpq
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The Investing for Beginners Podcast
What metric to look at when first analyzing a company?
Revenue growth
Why? It tells us if a company has a viable business model https://t.co/IUBDwcqPUV
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iinvested
4Q'24 Crossroads Capital on $CLMT, $NTDOY, $MGNI
Read the full letter here:
https://t.co/dVDkhhwsJS https://t.co/IwCIpSPk5D
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The Investing for Beginners Podcast
https://t.co/1w0RBe9BLi
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Finding Compounders
Common Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make https://t.co/XpSgu3Mmpx
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Generation IM on Becton Dickinson $BDX US
Thesis: Becton Dickinson is a stable US medical device company with a 60% market share, delivering consistent revenue growth and viewed as an attractive investment opportunity despite recent underperformance.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
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The Kobeissi Letter
This is absolutely insane:
On February 20th, JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon sold $234 million worth of $JPM stock.
On February 22nd, Warren Buffett announced a record $334 BILLION cash balance.
12 days later, the Nasdaq 100 crashed -11%.
How did they know?
(a thread) https://t.co/xbzHVWkAlI
tweet
The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The combined value of US homes surged $2.5 trillion in 2024, to a near-record $49.7 trillion.
Since 2012, the total value of homes has risen by a whopping 150%.
Homes worth owned by Millennials rose 19% year-over-year, to $9.7 trillion, reflecting ~20% of the housing market.
Baby Boomers saw home values increase 5.2% to $19.8 trillion, or 41% of the market.
The value of homes owned by Gen X grew 4.6%, to $14.1 trillion, while the Silent Generation dropped 3.7%, to $4.6 trillion.
The housing market is on an unprecedented run.
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Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: The Daily Mail cited our data in a new article.
Nancy Pelosi's net worth has fallen by $14M since the end of January, per our estimates.
She is now worth "just" $259M. https://t.co/WrhWdYhbzb
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Diamond Hill International Fund on Krones $KRN GR
Thesis: Krones is a resilient leader in the beverage machinery industry with strong market share and customer relationships, presenting a favorable investment opportunity despite past order volatility.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
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Finding Compounders
Sir John Templeton
The original value investor https://t.co/G9ugK37A63
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App Economy Insights
RT @EconomyApp: 🦅 CrowdStrike bounced back from its IT outage.
📈 ARR +23% to $4.24B
🤝 350 deals over $1M in Q4
💰 Multi-module adoption keeps rising
🔮 Growth set to re-accelerate in late 2025
Let’s review $CRWD 👇
https://t.co/5yqJUulN43
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The All-In Podcast
David Sacks Explains the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve + US Digital Asset Stockpile in 90 Seconds
On E218, @DavidSacks joined @Jason to break down the latest EO on crypto:
Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
-- Purpose: long-term preservation
-- "Like a digital Fort Knox for digital gold."
-- Prohibited from selling the bitcoin
-- US govt has an estimated 200K bitcoin
-- It had ~400K at one point, but sold roughly half for ~$360M (would be worth $17B+ today)
-- Treasury and Commerce Secretaries can propose budget-neutral strategies to accumulate more bitcoin
-- EO requires a full audit of all government-owned bitcoin
US Digital Asset Stockpile
-- Purpose: responsible stewardship
-- Centralized account under the direction of the Treasury Secretary
-- Treasury Sec. has discretion to rebalance or change the portfolio if it's in the long-term interest of the US
-- EO requires a full audit of all government-owned digital assets
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Finding Compounders
David Einhorn’s Speech at the Value Investing Congress in 2006.
He goes into and explains how to look at ROE( Return on Equity) https://t.co/u7pauxaDvK
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The Investing for Beginners Podcast
Dividend Yield: https://t.co/npnD1Hxs6P
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Alvin
RT @sondesix: More 👇
• Jet Vacuum: https://t.co/NaRC9Dyz5I
• Robot Vacuum: https://t.co/7QdaoorTrN
• Dishwashers: https://t.co/NdvHiwg3tL
• SmartThings Water Leak Sensor: https://t.co/64AFer5qaJ
• Home Package (refrigerator + electric range+microwave+dishwasher): https://t.co/jwh2CiMEkb
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App Economy Insights
What are you watching this week?
• Monday: $ASAN, $MTN, $ORCL.
• Wednesday: $ADBE, $PATH, $S.
• Thursday: $DOCU, $RBRK.
All visualized in our PRO coverage next Saturday. https://t.co/kI5JzZP4xb
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