Telegram-канал singhalanuj - Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor: Unsorted

GOOD NUMBERS VS COMMODITY SURGE
Both L&T and Tata Motors post stunning nos
L&T approves buyback, Tamo to delist DVR
India Inc got clear advantage of low commodity prices
Surge in commodity prices again can be a big problem
FMCG stocks have led the recent correction in market
Keep an eye on Crude prices, major headwind above $85/bbl
Nifty defended 10 DEMA, closed way off lows
After 2 back to back days, Nifty didn’t close at day’s low

IMPORTANCE OF TODAY
Big day for market for a lot of reasons
Biggest reason: Fed’s outcome, market will pre-empt
7 Nifty cos will declare nos today ((Show the list))
D-1 day of monthly expiry, normally is a trending day
Good chance that Midcap Index will hit new all-time high
Broader market has remained strong, only Nifty struggling
Nifty needs 1-2 big stocks to fire to go to 20,000

NIFTY OUTLOOK
First resistance: 19,729 (Yesterday’s open and high)
Bigger resistance: 19,828 (Options based)
First support: 19,662 (10 DEMA)
Bigger support: 19,616 (yesterday’s low)
If 19,600 starts to break, get out of long positions
Buy for intra-day only if Nifty stable above 19,729
If Nifty stable above 19,729, buy with stop of 19,662

BANK NIFTY OUTLOOK
Watch for 3 big stocks: HDFC Bank, ICICI and SBI
HDFC Bank is showing signs of testing previous highs
ICICI Bank stable around 1000 mark, new highs possible
SBI corrected yesterday, crucial day today
Bank Nifty still remains positionally very strong
For fresh breakout, need to cross 46,200 with volume
Traders need to play range of 45,650-46,150 till a breakout
Buy near 45,700 with 45,650 stop
Sell near 46,100 with 46,150 stop
Once 46,200 is crossed, can chase the move

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

25 Jul 2023 05:01

NIFTY: STRUGGLING FOR LEADERSHIP
Nifty has ended at low point for 2 days in a row
Things were fine till 2:30, last hour was bad
ITC spoiled last hour sentiment, demerger structure bad
HDFC Bank has failed to cross 1700 despite good nos
ICICI Bank failed to sustain above 1000 after stellar nos
Reliance has fallen nearly 5% in 2 days after a big rally
Infosys facing lot of selling pressure on every rally
Only SBI and L&T have shown clear leadership moves
Nifty now at 10 DEMA and very close to trailing stop loss

CUES FOR TODAY
Fin Nifty’s expiry today, last 2 expiries have been bad
L&T’s nos and buyback board meet today
Big nos today: Tata Motors, Bajaj Auto, Asian Paints, Jubilant Food
FOMC meet starts today, US markets in a big bull run
Market at support, Put Call ratio at 0.81 close to bottom
If today’s rally fails, will be negative for market’s trend
So far, trend is still positive and “Buy on dips”

NIFTY OUTLOOK
First support: 19,649 (10 DEMA)
Big support: 19,600 (options based)
If Nifty starts to close below 19,600, will be negative
Trailing stop loss for all long traded now at 19,600
Below 19,600, a test of 20 DEMA of 19,450 is possible
For day traders, buy zone at stability above 19,650-19,700 zone
Buy only if Nifty is stable above 19,700 mark
Stop loss for all long trades at 19,600
First resistance: 19,782 (yesterday’s high)
Bigger resistance: 19,842 (Options based)
Intra-day short trade on rejection of 19,782
Stop loss for all short trades at 19,842

BANK NIFTY OUTLOOK
Bank Nifty is still relatively better placed
Fin Nifty’s expiry today, need to see last hour move
Bank Nifty still much above 5 and 10 DEMA
ICICI Bank’s behaviour today will be most crucial
Yesterday, Canara Bank posted stellar nos
SBI remains on course to hit fresh highs
Need some participation from HDFC bank and Kotak
Bank Nifty’s range: 45,750-46,250
Traders need to play the range smartly

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

25 Jul 2023 04:40

Today’s outlook and stocks to watch.

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

24 Jul 2023 11:15

Today's reel topic: "Buy on rumour, sell on news" and "What next for ITC"? Stay tuned for evening.

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

24 Jul 2023 05:01

https://www.instagram.com/reel/CvEC8ExAK1W/?igshid=MjA3NmNkZWY5Yg==

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

23 Jul 2023 12:14

https://www.instagram.com/reel/Cu_20rUo0CA/?igshid=MjA3NmNkZWY5Yg==

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

23 Jul 2023 12:13

My view on zero hero trades.

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

21 Jul 2023 04:58

INFOSYS: NASTY SURPRISE
Results meet estimates but guidance cut sharply
New guidance at 1-3.5% vs 4-7% earlier
Guidance cut despite Q1 being in line with estimates
All brokerages have cut estimates for EPS
ADR was down nearly 9%, stock should start with 10% fall
Current rally started from Rs 1265, went to nearly 1500
Stock should now fall to start of rally point of 1265
52-week low of 1185 is also possible for Infosys
Between 1200-1250, value investors will buy the stock
Any buying before improvement of nos will be leap of faith
Historically, Infosys doubles in 1-3 years after 40-50% fall from peak

MARKET: WHAT FROM HERE?
Market will now go back to comfort of Bank Nifty
Every rally from here will be sponsored by Bank Nifty
Bank Nifty has opened the door to a rally towards 48,000
ICICI Bank and SBI have shown signs of taking back leadership
ICICI Bank nos on Saturday, stock extremely strong
If SBI delivers strong nos, stock can move to Rs 700 very fast
IT stocks might not outperform from here for some time
Small Cap space getting overbought, need to be cautious

NIFTY OUTLOOK
Trailing stop loss on Nifty longs now at 19,600
First support level: 19,758 (yesterday’s low)
Bigger support level: 19,612 (10 DEMA)
Buy zone: 19,850-19,900
Add zone: 19,700-19,750
Stop loss for all long positions: 19,612
No thoughts of shorting the market yet despite Infosys shocker

BANK NIFTY OUTLOOK
Bank Nifty one shade stronger than Nifty
Approach Bank Nifty via ETF route, do SIP
Bank Nifty is set for a big expansion to 48,000
Buy zone for Bank Nifty: 45,800-46,000
Add zone: 45,500-45,800
Stop loss: 45,100 (previous breakout zone)
ICICI Bank and SBI looking very strong
If HDFC Bank joins the party, Bank Nifty will be unstoppable
No thoughts of shorting Bank Nifty at all

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

20 Jul 2023 15:09

My first thoughts on Infosys.

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

22 Aug 2023 15:26

Level based trading vs breakout trading.

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

22 Aug 2023 08:40

Jii exit impact on Nifty.

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

22 Aug 2023 05:00

NIFTY OUTLOOK
First support: 19,296-19,318 (Yesterday low and 50 DMA)
Bigger support: 19,253 (Series low)
First resistance: 19,458 (Options based)
Bigger resistance: 19,554 (20 DMA)
Traders need to play the range of 19,250-19,550 smartly
Sell zone: 19,400-19,450
Add sell positions: 19,450-19,500
Stop loss for all short positions: 19,558
Buy zone: 19,350-19,400
Add buy positions: 19,300-19,350
Stop loss for all longs: 19,250

BANK NIFTY OUTLOOK
Fin Nifty expiry today, last 3 expiries have been weak
Long above 44,205, “Sell on rally” below this level
First resistance: 44,113 (Yesterday’s high)
Big resistance: 44,205 (Options based)
First support: 43,862 (yesterday’s low)
Bigger support: 43,740 (100 DMA)
Sell zone: 43,950-44,150, stop loss: 44,205
If 44,205 sustains, can chase longs via Calls
Other option for longs is to wait for dip till 43,740
Buy on stability at 43,740, stop: 43,600

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

21 Aug 2023 05:24

MARKET: PRICE AND TIME CORRECTION
Nifty has now gone through exact 1 month correction
All-time high of 19,991 was hit on July 20th
Nifty has fallen 3.4%, Bank Nifty 5.4% from highs
Bank Nifty has shown signs of a bigger correction
Bank Nifty is now 1000 points away from 200 DMA
Nifty periodically getting support from RIL, IT, L&T or FMCG
Midcap Index has fallen only 0.9%, Small Cap 1.5%
Very rare to see midcaps and Small caps not fall in falling market

MARKET AND STOCKS: AT CRUCIAL LEVELS
Nifty: In the zone of 50 DMA and 50 DEMA
Bank Nifty: In the zone of 100 DMA and 100 DEMA
Nifty IT: Trading above all moving averages
Nifty IT: Has made a golden cross, strongest index now
ICICI Bank: 6% off highs, at 50 DMA
TCS: 6% off highs, just above 200 DMA
SBI: 9% off highs, testing 200 DMA daily
HDFC Bank: 10% off highs, just above 200 DMA
ITC: 12% off highs, at 100 DMA
Reliance: Close to life time high, adjusted for JFS

NIFTY OUTLOOK
Nifty made a new series low on Friday
Nifty broke the low of August 14 on Friday
First support: 19,253 (Friday low)
Bigger support: 19,210 (options based)
Market’s trading texture now is “Sell on rally”
Trading texture will change only above 19,500
First resistance: 19,373 (Friday high)
Bigger resistance: 19,439 (Options based)
Sell at open, add zone for shorts: 19,350-19,400
Stop loss for all short trades: 19,439
Long trade only if Nifty defends 19,253
Stop loss for long trades: 19,210

BANK NIFTY OUTLOOK
Bank Nifty is the weakest component of the market
First support: 43,672 (Friday low)
Bigger support: 43,600 (Series low)
Possible to see 200 DMA of 42,800 during this correction
First resistance: 43,957 (Friday high)
Bigger resistance: 44,212 (Aug 14 high)
Sell zone: 43,900-44,000
Add zone for shorts: 44,000-44,100
Stop loss for all shorts: 44,212
No long trades in Bank Nifty till it closes above 44,212

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

17 Aug 2023 05:37

NIFTY: HIGHER HIGH, HIGHER LOW
Day Low High
Aug 14 19257 19465
Aug 16 19317 19482

BANK NIFTY: LOWER HIGH, LOWER LOW
Day Low High
Aug 14 43776 44212
Aug 16 43600 44002

NIFTY: SIGNS OF BOTTOM?
Fresh shorting now only if Nifty breaches 19,257
Texture of market is only for intra-day trading now
No positions should be carried forward overnight
Texture is “Buy in morning” and “Cover in closing”
Nifty refusing to fall below 50 DMA
Bank Nifty refusing to fall below 100 DMA
SBI led Bank Nifty recovery yesterday
Nifty IT very strong, wont let Nifty fall a lot

MARKET: RECOVERING FROM INFLATION SHOCK
Market’s reaction to inflation data was very mature
Market’s belief is that July inflation was an aberration
July and August had record rainfall, veggie prices easing
Brent crude has significantly cooled from $87 to $83
Money market will open after yesterday’s holiday

NIFTY OUTLOOK
First support zone: 19,370-19,400 (Options based)
Bigger support zone: 19,317-19257(Last 2 days low)
No short trade in 19,257-19,370 range
Buy for intra-day at 19,370-19,400
Add for intra-day: 19,330-19,370
Very strict stop for day traders: 19,300
A sharp 3 pm move is possible, will revisit in Closing
Cover all positions at 3:20, take fresh positions tomorrow

BANK NIFTY OUTLOOK
BANK NIFTY: LOWER HIGH, LOWER LOW
Day Low High
Aug 14 43776 44212
Aug 16 43600 44002

Bank Nifty is in no trade zone
Aggressive traders can buy in 43,650-43,800 band, stop: 43,500
Sell zone: 43,900-44,050, stop: 44,250

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

26 Jul 2023 06:55

Approach of buying strength above 19,729 worked today. You need to keep adjusting according to markets

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

25 Jul 2023 08:01

https://www.youtube.com/live/EXSwpHOx2cc?feature=share

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

25 Jul 2023 04:40

https://www.instagram.com/reel/CvGoFg-gDJR/?igshid=MjA3NmNkZWY5Yg==

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

24 Jul 2023 16:14

https://www.instagram.com/reel/CvFO9PRAOJ-/?igshid=MjA3NmNkZWY5Yg==

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

24 Jul 2023 08:02

https://www.youtube.com/live/xVsdz9Dq1mQ?feature=share

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Anuj Singhal CNBC Awaaz Managing Editor

24 Jul 2023 05:00

BIG DAY TODAY FOR LEADERSHIP STOCKS
ICICI Bank delivers strong nos but margin down sequentially
Brokerages believe ICICI’s nos from here will moderate
Kotak Mahindra nos strong but valuations expensive
Reliance: Decent nos but stock has seen a big rally already
Infosys: Delivery volume of Rs 3,700 cr on Friday
Nifty: 10 DEMA of 19,640 remains the crucial mark
Market’s texture still is “Buy on dips”
((Give me Nifty futures plate))

HUGE WEEK FOR MARKETS
Most important cue: FOMC meet on interest rate
Market’s base case: 25 bps hike and dovish commentary
Surprise only if no rate hike or commentary hawkish
Nifty will react to 22% of earnings today by weight
By expiry, 73% of Nifty weight results will be out

RESULTS THIS WEEK
MONDAY TATA STEEL
TUESDAY ASIAN PAINTS | BAJAJ AUTO | L&T | SBI LIFE | TATA MOTORS
WEDNESDAY AXIS BANK | BAJAJ FINANCE | BPCL | CIPLA | DRL | TATA CONSUMER | TECHM
THURSDAY BAJAJ FINSERV | NESTLE
SATURDAY NTPC

NIFTY OUTLOOK
Those who missed the last rally getting an opportunity.
First support for Nifty: 19,696 (Options based)
Bigger support for Nifty: 19,640 (10 DEMA)
Stop loss for positional longs at close: 19,640
Buy zone today: 19,675-19,725, stop loss: 19,640
On close below 19,640, get out of all long positions
As of now, no shorting thoughts

BANK NIFTY OUTLOOK
Bank Nifty is one shade stronger than the Nifty
First support for today: 45,925 (Friday low)
Bigger support for today: 45,750 (Options based)
Stop loss for positional longs: 45,200 (last breakout)
Positional stop deep for Bank Nifty to play for bigger rally
For day traders, buy zone: 45,950-46,050
Add zone: 45,800-45,950, stop loss: 45,700
No thoughts of shorting Bank Nifty