Disclosure : I am a NISM Certified Research Analyst. The Stock suggestions provided here are for education purposes only. I will not be responsible for any of your profit/loss with this channel suggestions. Consult your financial advisors.
*American Market Pre Open Update*
US equity index futures trading in the red zone while profit booking seen from record highs, with the market's focus will be on the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting.The European markets are also trading in the red zone today as there was uncertainty in the market due to the differences between Europe and the US over Ukraine piece talks while Europe envoys approve new sanctions package to curb aluminum and steel imports.
In the American pre market, shares of Super Micro, Analog, Enphase, Devon Energy and Microchip are trading in the green zone, while shares of Cleanese, Arista, Intel and Costar have seen selling pressure.
Dollar index and bond yields traded in a range ahead of FOMC meeting minutes. In commodity markets, crude oil saw a recovery on supply concerns while metals and bullions have traded with higher volatility.
*Global Equity Market Update*
*Dow Futures (US):* 44430, -128.0 points/ -0.28%
*Nasdaq Futures (US):* 22129, -36.0 points/ -0.16%
*CAC Futures (France):* 8136, -74.0 points/ -0.90%
*DAX Futures (Germany):* 22607, -322.0 points/ -1.40%
*FTSE Futures (UK):* 8675, -65.0 points/ -0.74%
*Gift Nifty (India):* 22908, -51.0 points/ -0.22%
Fund Flow Activity:
19 February 2025 (Rs. In Crs.)
Turnover: (NSE + BSE)
Cash Volume: 84203.85 + 4916.5 Total: 89120.35
F&O Volume: 19660136.29 + 1248961.54 Total: 20909097.83
Provisional Cash
FII/FPI: NET SELL: -1881.3
(11570.57 - 13451.87)
DII: NET BUY: +1957.74
(11192.98 - 9235.24)
TRANSFORMER & RECTIFIER Says With the latest order, orderbook is now at ₹4,200 cr
Revenue guidance of ₹2,000 cr for FY25 and 23,500 cr for FY25 and 13,500 cr for FY26
20% of the current enquiries worth ₹18,000 cr may be converted into orders in next 2 quarters
Expect 15-16% margin in FY26
*As per market veteran* investing in small/midcaps/SME stocks requires deep research. PE alone isn’t enough. Combine it with cash flow trends, debt, industry cycles and management quality. A high PE can be justified by strong cash flows, while a low PE can signal structural issues.
*As per market grapevine,* brutal selling in small/midcaps/SME stocks is due to inexperienced retail investors and fund managers overpaying in markets or QIPs. *Over 3200+ fund managers have less than three years of experience.* Many QIP stocks from the past 7-9 months are now 30-60% below the issue price. Shift investments to reputed hybrid, multi-asset, or large-cap funds managed by experts with 10-15 years of experience.
*As per market veteran,* post-COVID, markets surged with many stocks rising 5-20×, leading to unrealistic CAGR expectations. Investors went all-in on equity, ignoring FDs, gold and silver. *Now, as gold and silver hit new highs, the importance of diversification is clear.*
*Indian housewives, the best long-term investors,* have accumulated 25,000 tonnes of gold, now worth USD 1 trillion as per World Gold Council (WGC).
*As per market veteran,* bull markets favor technical analysis, liquidity and high-growth stocks while volatile markets demand a focus on fundamentals and low valuations. Adapting to market cycles is the key.
*As per market grapevine,* SIP cancellations exceeded new registrations in Jan 2025, with a stopping-to-registered ratio crossing 100% for the first time. *If the market doesn’t stabilize,* redemptions may rise, shifting funds to Hybrid-Multi Asset/Large Cap funds managed by experienced professionals.
*Market veterans note that prominent HNIs,* including Jhunjhunwala, Kacholia, and Kedia, saw portfolio declines of up to 50%. However, their low-cost holdings keep them in profit unlike less experienced fund managers and retailers who entered at high valuations and now face 30-70% erosion.
*Recent QIPs have seen significant corrections,* with examples like HCC, which issued QIP at Rs.43 but now trades at Rs.26. Many QIPs from 2024, worth Rs.1,48,000 cr., have crashed.
*As per market grapevine,* SME stocks have not witnessed the same level of correction as small/midcaps but still trade at high PEs (30-90x). A sharp correction in SME stocks is possible by March-end.
*FII outflows remain high* with Rs.29,155 cr. sold in February till 14th, following Rs.87,373 cr. in Jan 2025. Since 27th Sept 2024, FIIs have offloaded Rs.3,02,747 cr. Market grapevine suggests government intervention on taxes may be needed to slow the outflows.
*Nifty may see further decline or a 5-7 month consolidation* as key indicators near a breakdown. Market cap to GDP at 114 is high, and 2025-26 favors accumulating quality stocks. Bulls may get active above 23633, while support is at 22112; a break could lead to 21784. Every rise is an exit until FII selling halts.
*As per market veteran,* 90-95% were eager to invest at 26000, but only 5-10% at 22000. Market cap fell 23% from $5.18T to $3.99T. Bottoming is a slow, painful process, testing patience and conviction, making only 10% successful in markets. With NYSE, Nasdaq and US bond markets shut on Monday, unexpected moves may follow.
*Fiberweb (India)* posted 167% higher PAT of Rs.9.99 cr. in 9M v/s. HNIs hold 15.81%. Stock available at attractive valuations around Rs.44 v/s its 52-week high of Rs.66.
*True on both sides:* A stock down 80% can fall another 50%. A stock down 80% regaining 60% of peak becomes a 3-bagger; recovering fully is a 5-bagger. In sharp corrections, markets dump everything, but quality stocks rebound over time. Historical trends show even blue chips offer buying opportunities during crashes.
*FNO Stocks Correction:* Major stocks corrected 39-49% from peaks, including Tata Motors (-43%), SAIL (-43%), NHPC (-40%), Exide (-45%), Kalyan (-47%), Hind Copper (-47%), Voltas (-42%), Prestige (-42%), REC (-39%), JSW Energy (-45%), NBCC (-44%), IDFC FB (-44%), HAL (-40%), BHEL (-45%), ABB (-44%), Angel (-48%) and more.
📊FII Ownership in Indian Equities:
🔹January 2015: 20.2%
🔹January 2025: 16.0%
This decline reflects a reduced influence of FIIs in the Indian market.
🔹 95% लोग 26200 के स्तर पर निवेश करने के लिए तैयार थे लेकिन केवल 5% लोग 22900 के स्तर पर निवेश करने के लिए तैयार हैं।
🔸 यही कारण है कि केवल 5% लोग ही शेयर बाजार में सफल होते हैं। निवेशक के लिए गिरावट महंगी चीजों को सही रेट पर लेने का मौका होती है।
Reliance Jio prepaid and JioFiber plans with free JioHotstar subscription
Читать полностью…PCBL ; PCBL Chemical strengthens its Specialty portfolio, To set up its 1st Acetylene Black plant in India, Signs a Technology transfer agreement with Ningxia Jinhu
PCBL ; PCBL Chemical Ltd signed a technology transfer deal with China's Ningxia Jinhua to produce Acetylene Black in India, used in batteries, EV charging, semiconductors, and more.
PCBL plans its first Acetylene Black plant to meet rising battery demand and support global markets, strengthening supply chains.
PCBL has expanded its specialty portfolio with over 50 grades under Bleumina (plastics), Nutone (inks, paints, coatings), and Energia (conductive applications). Acetylene Black further enhances its conductive materials offerings.
PCBL: PCBL's Acetylene Black technology aligns with global trends like energy transition, auto electrification, and semiconductor growth.
The market, now 60,000 MT, is set to grow at 19-20% CAGR, reaching 150,000 MT by 2030. This acquisition boosts PCBL’s market position, product mix, and margins.
With Furnace Black, Nanovace, and Acetylene Black, PCBL joins a select group of multi-platform Carbon Black manufacturers, accelerating its shift to an innovation-driven company.
FILATEX FASHIONS Q3 Result
NET PROFIT UP 32 % AT 3.73 CR (YOY), UP 69 % (QOQ)
REVENUE UP 24 % AT 55.2CR (YOY) ,UP 49 % (QOQ)
EBITDA UP 6 % AT 5.09 CR (YOY),UP 35 %(QOQ)
MARGINS AT 9.2 % V 10.76 % (YOY), 10.2 % (QOQ)
FNO STOCKS AND THEIR CORRECTION FROM TOP
TATA MOTORS - 43%
SAIL -43%
NHPC -40%
EXIDE - 45%
KALYANJI- 47%
HIND COPPER-47%
PRESTIGE-42%
MOTHERSON -44%
GODREJ PROP - 44%
VOLTAS -42%
TRENT -39%
SUPREME-46%
SJVN -49%
SIEMENS -41%
REC -39%
NBCC -44%
JSW ENERGY -45%
IDFC FB -44%
HUDCO -47%
CYIENT -43%
CG POWER -41%
CESC -41%
BATA -40%
ATUL -49%
BHARAT FORGE -41%
BOI -40%
DELHIVERY -45%
JIOFIN -44%
HAL -40%
BHEL -45%
ANGEL -48%
ABB -44%
BHEL -45%
POONAWALA -47%
CONCOR -43%
CDSL-42%
GUJGAS -43%
ASTRAL -43%
TIINDIA -44%
HFCL -49%
BSOFT -42%
DMART -43%
OIL -49%
NCC -47%
IRB—42%
IRFC -45%
Dilip Buildcon Q3 Result
Net Profit Up 7.4% At ₹115.3 Cr Vs ₹107.4 Cr (YoY)
Revenue Down 10% At ₹2,589.7 Cr Vs ₹2,876.8 Cr (YoY)
EBITDA Up 33.4% At ₹476.4 Cr Vs ₹357 Cr (YoY)
Margin At 18.4% Vs 12.4% (YoY)
🚀 Mahindra’s EV Boom💥
👉🏻 30,179 EVs booked on Day 1, could potentially generate a whopping ₹8,472 crore in revenue!
👉🏻 In comparison, Total EV sales in India for all of 2024 stood at 1 lakh units.
Feb'2025 so far:
🔻#FII: -29,183.43 Cr
🔼#DII: +26,019.07 Cr
🔻#NET: -3,164.36 Cr
🔻#Nifty50: -2.5%
CY 2025 so far:
🔻FII: -1,11,095.57 Cr
🔼DII: +1,08,898.32 Cr
🔻NET: -2,197.25 Cr
🔻#Nifty50: -3% (Jan: -0.6%, Feb: -2.5%)
🇮🇳 India’s Market Cap Falls Below $4 Trillion 📉
👉🏻 India’s total market capitalization has dropped to $3.99T, hitting its lowest level since Dec 2023.
👉🏻 The market had peaked at $5.18T but has seen a sharp decline recently.
🔹 Global cues, FII outflows, and economic uncertainties could be contributing to this downturn.
Q: Will this correction continue, or is a rebound on the cards?
GLAXOSMITHKLINE PHARMA Q3 Result
NET PROFIT AT 230 CR V 45.7 CR YOY
REVENUE AT 949 CR V 805 CR YOY
EBITDA AT 291 CR V 219 CR YOY
MARGINS AT 30.7 % V 27.1% YOY
BSE : LARGE TRADE NSE
GOLDMAN SACHS (SINGAPORE) PTE BOUGHT 🟢 7.28 LKH SHARES (0.53 % STAKE ) @ ₹ 5,504.42/SHARE
Waaree Energies gets order for supply of solar modules for 362.5 MWp from a renowned customer
Читать полностью…ZELENSKIY SAYS: I CAN'T SELL OUR COUNTRY
ZELENSKIY SAYS US DEMANDING RETURN OF 500 BILLION DOLLARS IN MINERALS IS 'NOT A SERIOUS CONVERSATION'
*MONEY TIMES TALK - 15th February 2025*
Although Money Times recommendation have outperformed other media, stock brokers and research houses, the brief recommendations under Money Times Talk (MTT) cannot display ‘BUY’, ‘SELL’ or ‘HOLD’ recommendations. Readers should, therefore, exercise their own judgement and evaluate the future prospects of the stock given its past performance, industry prospects in the backdrop of a growing economy and in consultation with their investment adviser.
*As per astrology view,* some important turning dates are 17, 21, 24, 27 February 2025 with limited chances of a broad-based rally this year.
*A South Indian astrologer predicts* market stability post- Maha Kumbh on 26th February 2025 with a bearish sentiment possibly turning bullish/consolidated.
*Stay cautious as* unexpected market swings due to global events including tweets from Donald Trump may cause sharp gaps. *Avoid overtrading, heavy investments and margin funding for the next four years to protect capital.*
On 14th February 2025, heavy selling hit small/midcap/SME stocks. *A pullback in Nifty and Sensex is unlikely without stability in broader markets.*
*As per market veteran,* buy regrets in a bear market, sell mistakes in a bull market and accumulate convictions during corrections.
*Tariff war impact will be clear only post Q1FY26 results in July 2025.* Until then, markets may stay in consolidation with a sell-on-rise sentiment.
*While investing, hold onto great businesses.* This is the key to creating wealth. Here’s why: 1. Focus on business fundamentals – Stock prices fluctuate, but revenue growth, profitability and competitive edge drive long-term value. If the business grows, the stock price follows. 2. Meaningful allocation matters – 5x-10x returns sound great but the impact depends on the capital. Rs.50 lakh growing to Rs.5 cr. builds wealth while Rs.1 lakh growing to Rs.10 lakh has a limited effect. 3.Patience is the key – Even top businesses take years to grow. Investors who hold through market cycles benefit from compounding. 4. Market cap growth takes time – Expanding from Rs.6,000 cr. to Rs.1 lakh cr. or Rs.25,000 cr. to Rs.5 lakh cr. needs sustained revenue and profit growth. Wealth is built by identifying strong businesses, investing with conviction and holding for long-term.
*As per market veteran,* companies are raising equity, shifting risk to investors. Despite corrections, most small/midcaps remain overvalued. Prefer hybrid/multi-asset/large-cap funds over speculative SME IPOs and avoid F&O.
*As per market veteran,* even if Nifty crosses 25000 in FY25-26, your stocks may not rise. Invest wisely, check fundamentals, PE, EPS, growth prospects and valuations. *Avoid manipulated rosy stories in media. Repeating past mistakes in a bull run can wipe out the capital.*
Many stocks are below Feb 2020 levels. *As per market veteran,* markets remain bearish and timing them is impossible. Stick to core valuations and avoid over-owned stocks as weak hands exit quickly on bounce backs.
*As per market veteran Sunil Singhania*, Indian markets aren't cheap even after corrections, though the fall may slow. A V-shaped recovery is unlikely; expect a W-shape in select stocks.
*ALERT: As per market grapevine,* most SME stocks remain overpriced and trade at PE of 30-90x despite corrections. With the Nifty PE around 19x such valuations are unsustainable and sharp corrections are likely by March-end.
*As per market grapevine,* IPOs should be few but of better quality. Markets with few IPOs saw stronger returns: Germany (4 IPOs, 50% return), Pakistan (7 IPOs, 80% return), while India had 315+ IPOs with many now below issue prices. Avoid overpriced IPOs like Afcons Infra, Akum Drugs, Carraro India, Concord Enviro, DAM Capital, Deepak Builders, Eco Mobility, First Cry, Gopal Snacks, Godavari Biorefineries, Hyundai Motor, Indo Farm Equipment, Kross, Laxmi Dental, NTPC Green, Ola Electric, RK Swamy, Stanley Lifestyle, Swiggy and others.
Monthly Breakdown – Who’s Dominating?
🔴 FII Outflows:
📉 Feb 2025: ₹-29,183 Cr
📉 Jan 2025: ₹-87,374 Cr
📉 Dec 2024: ₹-16,982 Cr
📉 Nov 2024: ₹-45,974 Cr
📉 Oct 2024: ₹-1,14,445 Cr (Biggest Monthly Selling!)
📉 Sep 2024: ₹-16,982 Cr
✅ DII Inflows:
📈 Feb 2025: ₹+26,019 Cr
📈 Jan 2025: ₹+86,591 Cr
📈 Dec 2024: ₹+34,194 Cr
📈 Nov 2024: ₹+44,483 Cr
📈 Oct 2024: ₹+1,07,254 Cr (Biggest Monthly Buying!)
📈 Sep 2024: ₹+31,860 Cr
*News Headlines from Business News Agencies:*
*Business Standard*
📝 OpenAI board unanimously rejects Musk's $97.4 bn proposal to buy company
📝 Income Tax dept activates section-wise mapping of earlier I-T Act, new Tax bill
📝 India's forex reserves climb $7 bn to $638 bn on revaluation effect
📝 DPIIT to sign MoUs with cos for setting up manufacturing incubation centres
📝 Trump tariff shadow over metal industry's Rs 8.6 trillion capex push
📝 New 10-year agreement seeks to deepen India-US defence strategic ties
📝 RBI supersedes New India Co-op Bank board after imposing biz restrictions
📝 Trump forms energy dominance council, boosts LNG exports, offshore drilling
📝 Indian student community contributes over $8 bn annually to US economy
📝 Delhi HC upholds govt claims in $1.7 billion gas dispute with RIL
*Economic Times*
📝 TSMC considers running Intel’s US factories after Trump team request
📝 Food subsidy accounts for over 50% of total Govt subsidy so far in FY25
📝 Mahindra Lifespace to raise up to Rs 1,500 cr via rights issue to cut debt, aid growth
📝 Trump widens trade fight to include global taxes and regulation
📝 Tea growers seek minimum sustainable price for their produce
📝 Robotics startup Figure AI in talks for new funding at $39.5 billion valuation
📝 Dell nears deal to sell $5 billion in AI servers to xAI
📝 US IRS prepares to lay off thousands of workers, sources say
📝 Meta plans undersea cable project to connect India, US
📝 RIL arm buys personal care brand Velvette
*Mint*
📝 Trump regime fires over 400 DHS employees in effort to cut workforce
📝 Mahindra's XEV 9e & BE 6 break records with ₹8,472 crore bookings on Day 1
📝 Maruti Suzuki Dzire gets a price hike
📝 India slashes customs duty on bourbon whiskey to 50% amid trade deal with US
📝 BSNL turns profitable after 17 years, EBITDA doubles in last four years
📝 India's forex reserves rise for third consecutive week
📝 US Industrial Production Rises on Boost from Colder Temperatures
📝 Gold loan rates not likely to come down: Muthoot Finance MD
📝 Kunal Kamra calls out Ola CEO Bhavish Aggarwal again: ‘Focus on automobiles!’
ZEN TECH Q3 : Chairman Says Profitability rose this quarter due to higher other income, and we remain on track for 35% EBITDA and 25% PAT margins by FY25-end.
Our order book stands strong at ₹816.91 crore (Dec 2024), ensuring revenue visibility. Focused on new contracts and portfolio diversification, we are well-positioned for growth.
Strategic acquisitions in robotics, aerospace, and defence propulsion enhance our technology leadership. We integrated Vector Technics (UAV propulsion, robotics), Bhairav Robotics (combat robotics, autonomous systems), and ARI/ARI Labs (defence simulation), reinforcing innovation in defence, aerospace, and autonomous systems.
ANTONY WASTE Q3 :CONS NET PROFIT UP 23 % AT 15.76 CR (YOY),UP 30 % (QOQ)
REVENUE UP 12 % AT 242 CR (YOY) ,UP 10 % (QOQ)
EBITDA UP 18 % AT 51.95 CR (YOY),UP 22 %(QOQ)
MARGINS AT 21.4 % V 20.3 % (YOY), 19.2 % (QOQ)
*News Headlines from Business News Agencies:*
*Business Standard*
📝 Forex reserves rise $7.654 billion to $638.261 billion in the week ended February 7, says RBI
📝 Reciprocal tariffs by Trump admin may not hurt India much, says GTRI
📝 PwC rejigs key leadership roles to strengthen India presence from April
📝 Ola Consumer turns Ebitda profitable; revenue declines 21% in FY24
📝 RBI intervention boosts rupee to strongest weekly gain in 19 months
📝 FinMin asks ICAI to review new Income Tax Bill 2025, suggest improvements
📝 Trump tariff is not 'negative' for Hindalco's India business: Satish Pai
📝 Natural gas, nuclear energy get renewed push from Trump-Modi trade talks
📝 Overall bank exposure to NBFCs moderates, but remain primary source
📝 Hexaware Technologies IPO fully subscribed; QIBs drive demand on Day 3
📝 T-Series, Saregama, Sony Music look to join copyright suit against OpenAI
📝 Texmaco, Trinity Group ink global supply pact to boost rail solutions
*Economic Times*
📝 Boeing ties up with HPCL for sustainable aviation fuel ecosystem
📝 Zydus Lifesciences inks licensing pact with Zhuhai for cancer drug
📝 Sachin Bansal assumes chairman role at Navi, appoints new CEOs
📝 RBI supersedes board of Mumbai-based New India Co-op Bank
📝 Trident Group earmarks Rs 1,000 cr capex for FY26 on sustainability, modernisation
📝 Reliance Consumer Products expands portfolio with Velvette acquisition
📝 Indian sports tech industry to touch Rs 49,500 crore market size by FY29
📝 PMI Electro Mobility Solutions gets Rs 250 crore funding
📝 Zepto expands into pharmacy, wellness space
📝 India wearable device shipments dip for third consecutive quarter: IDC data
📝 US power companies increase data centre demand spending as DeepSeek fears wane
📝 Tata’s video unit broadcasts 80% of global sporting events
*Mint*
📝 India’s wholesale inflation eases to 2.31% in January as food prices cool
📝 China’s Credit Expansion Picks Up in January on Lending Push
📝 Lower yield to impact cotton production in 2024-25 season: CAI
📝 India’s merchandise exports forecast to reach $124.8 bn in Q4FY25: Exim Bank
📝 Samvardhana Motherson Q3 Results: Net profit jumps 55.4%YoY to ₹984.35 crore
📝 Berger Paints shines in Q3, but the spectre of competition looms
📝 China’s central bank signals policy adjustments amid rising global risks
📝 QIP fundraising hits record high in 2024, real estate corners biggest chunk
📝 Supreme Court junks telcos' pleas on miscalculation in AGR dues
📝 Boeing’s push to boost 737 production starts with closing ‘shadow factory’
📝 EU Commission to take ‘firm action’ against Donald Trump's tariff hike
Nuvama sees 89% UPSIDE in Suraj Estate Developers- A strong set; timing of launches a key monitorable
Читать полностью…SANDUR MANGANESE Q3 :CONS NET PROFIT UP 1414 % AT 137.3 CR (YOY), UP 344 % (QOQ)
REVENUE UP 522 % AT 951 CR (YOY) ,UP 266 % (QOQ)
EBITDA UP 1282 % AT 240 CR (YOY),UP 525 %(QOQ)
MARGINS AT 25.27 % V 11.37 % (YOY), 14.8 % (QOQ)
*BHEL;* Company has received a Letter of Intent from Singareni Collieries Company Limited for EPC Pkg. of 1x800 MW Singareni Stage-II project. (Order size Rs 6700 crore) (Supportive for BHEL)
Читать полностью…Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers reports Q3 earnings
Net Profit Up 68% At ₹163 Cr Vs ₹97 Cr (YoY)
Revenue Down 9.1% At ₹1,899 Cr Vs ₹2,088 Cr (YoY)
EBITDA Up 57% At ₹132 Cr Vs ₹84 Cr (YoY)
Margin At 7% Vs 4% (YoY)
Appoints T Natarajan As Managing Director Of The Company w.e.f. February 5, 2025
Appoints Pankaj Joshi As Director & Chairman Of The Company w.e.f. February 6, 2025
25 Top-quality,fundamentally strong stocks closed below their previous 52-week lows.
🔻SKF
🔻PI Industries
🔻Grindwell Norton
🔻KSB
🔻Balaji Amines
🔻Astral
🔻Gujarat Gas
🔻Godrej Consumer
🔻Colgate Palmolive
🔻PNC Infratech
🔻Mahindra Lifespace
🔻Archean Chemical
🔻RHI Magnesita
🔻Albert David
🔻Aarti Surfactants
🔻Dreamsfolks Services
🔻Lokesh Machines
🔻Balmer and Lawrie
🔻MM Forgings
🔻Control Print
🔻Indo National
🔻Teamlease Services
🔻Rolex Rings
🔻Mahindra Logistics
🔻Nilkamal