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Trading Crypto Guide ™

One key metric for gauging market health is the average purchase price of different investor groups. Right now, the Short-Term Holder cohort - representing new market demand - is particularly telling. Bitcoin's price has recently pushed above these newer investors' average cost basis of $62.5k, a positive development suggesting reduced selling pressure. However, if the price falls back below this threshold, these recent buyers could face mounting pressure to sell, especially given the already challenging market conditions of recent months.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC gone as per the expected move, price just broke thought he accumulation range and kinda rejected the resistance marked. #Bitcoin again attempting to break the zone and we might see some struggle now here in this zone.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What Is Tardigrade (Storj)?

Tardigrade, launched by the Storj (STORJ) platform in March 2020, is an S3-compatible decentralized cloud storage service.

Cloud storage is a technology that allows for the storage of digital data – text, image, audio, video files and more – “in the cloud,” i.e. on a remote server operated by a dedicated service provider. Using cloud vs. local storage offers a range of advantages, such as the increased efficiency of server setups (resulting in a lower cost of storage per byte) and the ability to access stored data from anywhere in the world.

Many companies use cloud storage services to store and access digital data, as well as serve it to their customers – and the S3 application programming interface (API), first released by Amazon Web Services in 2006, serves as the industry standard for interfacing with files in the cloud. Most established cloud storage providers are compatible with this standard, which allows for a great degree of interoperability across the industry and makes the migration of data between clouds easy.

Tardigrade, named after a resilient microscopic animal, is a similar S3-compliant storage service, albeit a decentralized one – instead of employing large server clusters situated in dedicated data centers for its operation, Tardigrade relies on a distributed network of small-scale storage nodes.

The files stored on Tardigrade are broken down into as many as 80 parts, which are encrypted and sent to multiple storage nodes on the network. Only 29 of these parts later need to be retrieved from the nodes to reassemble the file – such redundancy is implemented to make the system resilient against possible downtime — or complete shutdown — of individual storage nodes.

The fact that files are split into multiple parts and spread across many storage nodes also prevents both individual nodes and the protocol at large from unauthorized mining of uploaded data. According to Storj, Tardigrade was the first decentralized S3-compatible cloud storage solution to enter operation.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#US30 UPDATE :

#US30 failed to form the new ATH and broke the trendline. Price dropped hard and back inside the consolidation range and this will work as the support zone. Expecting a reversal from here and touch the previous highs.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #ZEC :

#ZEC is been gave a flip below of the flip area around $33.70 - $34.85 and looks strongly lower as it made a double top pattern over it. We can expect the price to move lower to the supporting trendline and a bounce from there. Price action is not clear, so wait for the price to have the reaction.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#DXY UPDATE :

#DXY continued the push to the upside and we saw some sort of reaction in altcoins too. Index broke the resistance area and weekly closing happened too. We can expect a small move up again, and short-term correction in the global market too and a possible rejection from resistance area 104.87% - 105.18%.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#ETH played well with the drawn zones, price strongly rejected from the resistance area build around 2760 - $2800. Currently price testing the strong support zone of $2403 - $2424. We need to see some sort of daily close above $2550 to confirm the continuous bullish momentum.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Short-Term Holder data continues to show improving market health, with 62% of their Bitcoin now in profit. This tells us two important things: many of these holders bought between $53k and $66k, and their profitability is reaching new local highs. With the overall supply in profit now approaching its historical average, we're seeing a meaningful recovery in market strength. This improvement suggests reduced selling pressure from newer investors.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Daily TF, moved back and forth over the same area and Daily TF kinda turned bearish now, Price also had a dropped to expected area and now we can anticipate to move further higher towards the $70,000 mark. Weekend in on so we price might move slow.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Upcoming signal has been postponed for tomorrow.

Thank you for your understanding

happy trading. Stay tuned!

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Recent data on Short-Term Holders (STH) reveals an encouraging trend. While these newer investors are currently at a loss (shown by their MVRV ratio below 1), their losses are much smaller than during previous bear markets like 2022. Even better, while Bitcoin's price has stayed flat recently, the STH profitability metric is improving. This suggests new investors are under less financial pressure than typically seen in bear markets.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC moved above the $68,000 and rejected nearly form the resistance area. The good thing is price made its bullish market structural shift, so we can expect to move further higher. We're already nearly the Weekend and so we can see small move with that.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What Are Some Popular Tap-to-Earn Crypto Games?

Several tap-to-earn crypto games have gained significant traction:

- Notcoin: One of the pioneers in the space, Notcoin attracted over 35 million players and conducted a major token airdrop in 2024.
- Hamster Kombat: This game combines tapping mechanics with a crypto exchange management simulation, claiming over 300 million users.
- TapSwap: With over 60 million reported players, TapSwap closely mirrors the Notcoin model.
- Catizen: Players match cartoon cats on a puzzle board to earn rewards.

Most of these games are built on The Open Network (TON), a blockchain closely integrated with Telegram, which provides access to the messaging app's vast user base.

Are Tap-to-Earn Crypto Games Sustainable?

The long-term sustainability of tap-to-earn crypto games is a subject of debate among experts. Some key considerations include:

- Token economics: The value of game tokens depends on maintaining a balance between supply and demand.
- User retention: Games must evolve to keep players engaged beyond the initial novelty.
- Regulatory concerns: As these games involve cryptocurrency, they may face scrutiny from financial regulators.
- Market saturation: The proliferation of similar games could lead to diminishing returns for players and developers.
- Blockchain scalability: As user bases grow, the underlying blockchain networks must be able to handle increased transaction volumes.


What Are the Potential Risks of Tap-To-Earn Crypto Games?


While tap-to-earn games offer an easy way to engage with cryptocurrency, they come with several risks:

- Financial risk: The value of earned tokens can be highly volatile.
- Time investment: Players may spend significant time for relatively small rewards.
- Data privacy: Some games may collect user data for marketing or other purposes.
- Addiction potential: The simple, repetitive nature of these games can be habit-forming.
- Scams: Not all tap-to-earn games are legitimate, and some may be designed to exploit users.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#TOTAL2 MARKETCAP UPDATE :

#TOTAL2 played well, Alts got its corrective move whole October and now we got a weekly closing above the zone too, but Daily kinda turning slightly bearish can be considered be as a Fakeout to induce sellers.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #ALPHA :

#ALPHA got it very hard rejection from the flip area of $0.136 - $0.141 and had a very long corrected move. Price already reaching the minor support zones and accumulation looks good here. The next major support zone is at $0.044 - $0.049.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#GOLD UPDATE :

#GOLD kept on printing the new ATH and now formed a head and Shoulder pattern which is a reversal pattern. Well, in this bullish market the probability of this pattern to play out decreases. Also, we can see price gone into the consolidation range and on its way to break it and discovery of new ATH's.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #FTT :

#FTT is been moving with in a consolidation range and rejected strongly from the Strong resistance area of $2.67 - $2.81. price now declining towards the support zone of $1.49 and lower zones around $1.00. Not expecting much from here and accumulation looks good at support and lower zone too.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

The current Bitcoin bull market pullback fits historical patterns, showing a maximum drawdown of -26% from recent highs - actually milder than previous cycles. While the past few months have been this cycle's toughest period since the FTX collapse in late 2022, buyer demand has remained notably resilient. This suggests that despite recent challenges, the overall uptrend structure remains stronger than in past bull markets.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC gave a good rejection of the support in Weekly TF, and now we can see some sort of consolidation but at the same time its rejecting though the Strong Support. Look for a Upmove and also we have some strong news event.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

The market's health is further confirmed by Short-Term Holders' profit-taking behavior. They're now taking profits at 14.17 times the rate of losses - a dramatic turnaround from recent weeks. This strong shift from losses to profits indicates a significantly healthier market structure compared to just weeks ago.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Weekly TF, retraced back to the support zone, and now kinda rejecting it now. Its a good sign that weekly is rejecting and by next week we can expect some sort of higher move to the upside towards $70,000 and All-Time Highs.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What is #MVRV Ratio ?

The #MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) score is a metric used to assess the #valuation of a cryptocurrency by comparing its market value to its realized value. The #MVRV score helps to gauge whether a cryptocurrency is overvalued or undervalued based on its #historical price movement.

The market value of a #cryptocurrency refers to its current price multiplied by the total supply of #coins in circulation. On the other hand, the realized value takes into account the price at which each coin last moved on the #blockchain, essentially measuring the average price at which investors acquired their holdings.

So what does that Indicate ?

#MVRV Values > 3.5 has generally served as a strong signal for late stage #bull cycles, and heightened probability of heavy #distribution or simple indicate a potential Market Top.

#MVRV Vales < 1.0: indicates that a large cross-section of the #supply is near break-even, or held at a loss. These low values have typically provided strong signal of market capitulation and late stage #bear accumulations or Simply Indicate the Market Bottom.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#APE gave a minor reaction but eventually hit the stop due to altcoin dropping hard. Price flipped the area lower and had a very sharp retest and rejection for shorting as per the plan. Price moved 29% in profits in shorts, i hope you played with the setup.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #PENDLE :

#PENDLE moving with in the large channel pattern and started a small consolidation inside the resistance area of $4.66 - $4.92. Price looks bullish and healthy and expected to move higher, so look for the Daily candle closure and breakout.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Stay tuned for a TA/FA based SPOT & FUTURES call at 5PM GMT today!

Exchange: Binance & MEXC

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#STMX given still holding the support zone now its attempting to have a break, and closing is still pending. Once candle close below then we can have a 15% shorting range, so take it accordingly.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #GALA :

#GALA rejecting from the resistance area and moving with the large channel pattern, still following it. Price action is not clear much, need to see some sort of the break above the $0.024, by which price will make the way to the Strong resistance area around $0.027 - $0.028.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

While long-term holders own 47.4% of all underwater Bitcoin, their actual unrealized losses are relatively small. This is a positive sign - even though many who bought near the top are technically at a loss, their portfolios aren't deeply underwater. This suggests these holders are under minimal financial pressure to sell."
The original makes a strong point but uses jargon like "paper losses" and "drawdown" that can be simplified. The revised version maintains the key insight while being more accessible and direct.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC perfectly dropped to the support zone and got a strong rejection from there. Price made a very decent jump, and need to see a H4 break of $67,500 and we can see price moving higher towards the $69,000 and eventually $70,000.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

What Are Tap-to-Earn Crypto Games?

Tap-to-earn crypto games are a novel category of mobile applications that allow users to earn crypto rewards by performing simple, repetitive actions - typically tapping or clicking on their device screens.

These games have gained significant popularity on Telegram, offering an accessible entry point in crypto for millions of users worldwide.

At their core, tap-to-earn games operate on a straightforward premise: users repeatedly tap an icon or button within the game interface to accumulate points or in-game currency. This currency can later be converted into crypto tokens, which may have real-world value. The games often incorporate additional features like energy systems, upgrades, and social elements to enhance engagement and retention.

How Do Tap-to-Earn Crypto Games Work?

The mechanics of tap-to-earn crypto games are designed to be simple and addictive:

- Tapping: Players tap a designated area on their screen to earn points or in-game currency.

- Energy system: Most games implement an energy bar that depletes as players tap. Once exhausted, players must wait for it to refill or use boosters.

- Upgrades: Games often allow players to spend earned currency on upgrades that increase tapping efficiency or energy regeneration.

- Social features: Many games incorporate referral systems and team challenges to encourage viral growth.

- Tasks and missions: Additional points can be earned by completing specific tasks or daily missions.

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