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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #ALT :

#ALT is been trending lower, in a channel pattern and also a bear flag formed inside it, which gave a break lower. Price can further decline and can print a new lower low, so take the trade accordingly.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

$MSTR has acquired 1,895 BTC for ~$180.3 million at ~$95,167 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 14.0% YTD 2025. As of 5/4/2025, we hodl 555,450 $BTC acquired for ~$38.08 billion at ~$68,550 per bitcoin. $STRK $STRF

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC had a very weak weekly closing and slipped below the $95,000 again. Price now retesting the zone as resistance and can drop lower again. Its again back in range and price can drop after a retest.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Realized Profit/Loss: Difference between coin acquisition and spending price
* Profits → coins spent above acquisition price
* Losses → coins spent below acquisition price

BTC-denominated measurement: Normalizes for expanding market cap

Volatility-adjusted variant: Accounts for Bitcoin's maturing growth pattern

Current state: Balanced profit/loss activity indicates market saturation, suggesting upcoming consolidation phase

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, gave a shallow break and this week price attempted to move up towards the $98,400 area and eventually higher.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Bitcoin's current cycle shows unprecedented resilience, with a median drawdown of just -7%, significantly better than previous bull markets: 2011 (-22%), 2011-13 (-18%), 2015-18 (-11%), and 2018-21 (-19%). This shallower drawdown pattern since 2023 indicates stronger demand fundamentals and investors more committed to holding through market volatility.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#MAGIC formed a triangle and after rejecting from the major resistance, and again forming a triangle pattern, in which a breakout is still pending yet. If market remains stable the support looks promising $0.193 for buys or a buys after breakout.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#ETH dropped back to the support zone and pin precisely, and now trying to move up. Well, that kinda not too clear at the moment as it going side by side, need to see strong movement in the market, but overall, expect some up move.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#IMX moved 18% in favor and now retraced, still we can expect some strong move, if price dip back to the support zone 0.50 - 0.55 will serve as demand area.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #ONDO :

#ONDO is been reacting off from the major support zone of $0.62 - $0.72, gave a break of the falling wedge pattern. Short-term buys can happen as its holding over the support and can move further higher.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #ICP :

#ICP is been lying on the major support zone of $4.61 - $4.71 and might move up but looking at the market is kinda mixed but overall we can expect some strong move after major area for short-term, so take it accordingly.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#WCT returned back to the support as expected and expected to move further higher. Just tight the stops and let the trade play.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Short-Term Holders typically drive capitulation events during bull markets. Bitcoin's drop below the STH cost basis ($93k) signaled weakening momentum, confirmed when price was rejected at this level. Price now trades between the STH cost basis and its lower band ($72k), establishing the current trading range. These cost-basis levels with standard deviation bands ($131k upper, $72k lower) serve as critical boundaries that reflect changing investor sentiment and market conditions.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC still struggling to break the resistance, price still going sideways. Today we've ADP and might see some strong movement one side but Daily candle close in important.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Advantages of ZK Hardware

Beyond scaling efficiency, ZK hardware plays a crucial role in strengthening blockchain efficiency, scalability, privacy and security. Unlike software-based proving, which takes time and is computationally costly, hardware accelerates ZK computations for real-world applications. The key benefits of using ZK hardware include:

Cost Efficiency : Investing in ZK hardware reduces long-term operating costs. By accelerating proof generation with less energy, privacy-preserving transactions become economically viable at scale.

Security and Privacy : ZK hardware encrypts computations to keep sensitive data private, ensuring secure cross-chain verification and trustless interactions.

Scalability : Dedicated circuits help to process large transactions in parallel. Thus, high-frequency applications such as real-time payments and AI verifications can operate without facing bottlenecks.

Increased Access : Unlike software-based verification, which often depends on centralised third-party nodes, hardware-backed proving allows more users with consumer-grade devices to participate in the validation process, mitigating bias and security risks.

Regulatory Compliance : ZK hardware enables private audits and verifiable compliance proofs without exposing confidential information, which is key for regulatory compliance.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Net Realized Profit/Loss: Difference between Realized Profit and Loss, measuring directional value flow

Volatility-adjusted Net Realized Profit/Loss compared to cumulative median:
* Above median → bull market, net capital inflows
* Below median → bear market, net capital outflows

Markets drive investors to maximum pain at bull/bear cycle turning points

Current status: Metric reset to neutral median value, indicating key market decision point and establishing critical support level for bulls

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#US30 UPDATE :

#US30 gave a little bit of rejection but ended up being a strong closure over the zone. Price can at a decision level, where it can go either strong lower or long can be taken along 41,400 mark.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #IO :

#IO rejected from the resistance very precisely kinda forming a double top pattern. Price can go further lower towards printing the new Lower low. Shorting can be done, on the retracement.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#DXY UPDATE :

#DXY breaking over the zone moved a little bit up, retested back to the zone, shifting the structure bullish. Next week either come with shallow retracement or a up move higher. Take it accordingly.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #ALICE :

#ALICE is been trendline lower approaching towards the listing prices inside the steep downtrend channel pattern. Also, a bear flag is formed, where breakout is about to happen. This is a Bearish Continuation Breakout, Shorts can be taken with stop above previous swing.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC monthly returns, Usually its strong positive and barely a large negative returns.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Daily TF, move after the break and retest finally moved above the $95,000. The weekly TF need to see the closing over this level, with that price hits the supply area. Next week can be a retracement week.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Despite trading around $85k, Bitcoin has experienced its largest drawdown of the 2023-25 cycle, reaching -33% from its all-time high. However, this correction remains within typical bull market parameters and demonstrates improved resilience compared to previous macroeconomic shocks, which historically triggered 50%+ sell-offs. This suggests strengthened investor sentiment even during unfavorable market conditions.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#NFP Today at 8:30 AM ET

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC finally gave some breaks on Daily TF, with strong closing over it. Well, now only 2 things can happen, a retracement or a direct push towards the due to #NFP.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Active Realized Price ($71k) and True Market Mean ($65k) represent cost basis estimates for active Bitcoin investors, excluding lost and dormant supply. These models serve as mean reversion indicators, with price trading above them approximately 50% of the time, marking the divide between bullish and bearish regimes. The $65k-$71k range now shows confluence across multiple on-chain models, establishing a critical support zone. If price breaks below this range, most active investors would face losses, potentially triggering negative sentiment and further selling pressure.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC dropped all the way towards the support, almost dropped in and now its up again to break the resistance now. Might reject again but in case of break the Daily candle required.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

#BTC.D did attempted the drop but maintained the bullish market structure and might form a new Higher High. Altcoins are waiting in the line for the pump as soon as this drops slightly.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Here's the Analysis of #ENA :

#ENA is been selling off from the major resistance area of $0.35 - $0.37 and expected to reach the major support zone of $0.26 - $0.27. Small scalp sells can be taken here targeting the support with moderate risk.

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Trading Crypto Guide ™

Bitcoin momentum weakened after breaking below key technical levels: 111DMA ($93k), followed by failed support at 200DMA ($87k).

The 365DMA ($76k) now serves as critical support, first breach since 2021 cycle, which must hold to prevent further decline.

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