🇨🇳 China Key Rates Cut By Surprising Move From PBOC
In attempt to boost growth in fragile economy, China lowered a key short-term policy rate and its benchmark rates on Monday
💸7-day Reverse Repo Rate: cut to 1.7%
💸1-year Loan Prime Rate: cut to 3.35%
💸5-year Loan Prime Rate: cut to 3.85%
Traditionally, most new and outstanding loans in China are based on the one-year LPR, while the five-year rate influences mortgage pricing.
⏺Surpising cuts come after last week release of weak Q2 GDP, СPI and import data. The country is struggling with property crisis, surging debt and weak business sentiment. Possible escalation of trade tensions after possible Trump presidentional win also brings negative expectations
⏺The official Xinhua news agency cited unnamed sources close to the PBOC as saying the "decisive" rate cut showed its determination to bolster the recovery and it was in response to the plenum's aims to achieve this year's growth target.
🔼HANG SENG +1.2%
🔽SHANGHAI -0.6%
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🌐 Weekly Market Review 21.07.24
🇺🇸 USA
🔽S&P 500 -2.0%
🔼DOW JONES +0.7%
🔽NASDAQ -3.7%
🇪🇺 EUROPE
🔽STOXX 600 -2.7%
🔽DAX -3.1%
🔽FTSE 100 -1.2%
🇭🇰🇨🇳🇯🇵ASIA
🔽HANG SENG -4.8%
🔼SHANGHAI +0.4%
🔽NIKKEI 225 -2.7%
🛢🥇 NON-STOCK
🔽BRENT -2.52%
🔽GOLD -0.74%
🔼BITCOIN +15.2%
🔼VIX +32.7%
⭐️KEY DRIVERS
⏺China GDP below forecast
Fresh Chinese economic statistics turned out to be predominantly negative. In the second quarter, GDP grew by 4.7% (qoq; forecast: 5.1%)
⏺ECB keeps rates unchanged
The European Central Bank kept its key interest rate unchanged, staying in a holding pattern for now after ordering an initial rate cut at a meeting last month. The bank’s rate cut in June widened a policy gap with the U.S. Federal Reserve, which hasn’t yet cut its key lending rate below its currently high level.
⏺Market Rotation
For the second week a U.S. small-cap stock benchmark outperformed by a wide margin, posting a 1.7% total return while its large-cap counterpart fell 1.8%. The Russell 2000 Index’s surge of 7.7% over two weeks was the clearest indicator of a rotation toward market segments seen as being the biggest beneficiaries of potential interest-rate cuts.
⏺Chipmakers deeply drops on coming fresh restrictions
On Wednesday semiconductor industry suffered huge falldown. A global factor was a Bloomberg News report that the White House is ready to impose serious trade restrictions if American chipmakers continue to provide China with access to advanced semiconductor technologies.
⏺Crowdstrike global outage
Microsoft said it estimates that worldwide about 8.5 million computers were disabled by the outage caused by an update from the Texas based cyber security company, CrowdStrike on Friday. Stock closed down 11% after losing 22% at Friday premarket.
⏺Earnings season start
Bank shares reacted posiively to quarterly reports. Bank of America shares rose by 5.4% in one trading session, while Morgan Stanley shares added 0.9%. Netflix shares responded with a 1.5% decline to the streaming service operator's forecast for a smaller increase in the number of subscribers in the third quarter compared to the same period last year.
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🇺🇸 Big time for small US companies & Russell 2000
⏺No one in the market any longer doubts that the US Federal Reserve will lower the rate in September this year - and this is great news for rate-sensitive sectors, including small-cap companies (up to $2 billion).
⏺Their growth is impossible without borrowed funds, including with a floating rate, and now it will be easier for them to finance and develop their business.
⏺Unlike its older index brothers - the S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq - the Russell 2000 index, which represents those same “babies,” has not updated its all-time high for a long time and struggled with technical consolidation.
⏺However, after the release of fresh CPI data, hinting at a Fed rate cut due to cooling of inflation, a long-awaited upward breakthrough occurred: investors began rotating out of overheated technology sectors into the Russell 2000.
📊Last 10 days
S&P 500 -1.12%
NASDAQ -3.41%
Russell 2000 +7.78%
⏺Another reason for those little ones to grow is the likely return of Trump to the presidency of the United States. He is known as a supporter of local business development and job creation within the country; such protectionism will create comfortable conditions for local small companies.
💵 If the trend is not killed in the bud by a sudden surprise, in the coming months it will be possible to see an update of the ATH for the Russell 2000 (12% growth)
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⚠️ Beyond Meat engages with bondholders to discuss balance-sheet restructuring, WSJ reports
🔽Shares opened down 13% on Thursday.
📶 The group of bondholders, which has interests in Beyond Meat's $1.1 billion of convertible notes, is working with law firms on the restructuring, the WSJ reported, citing people familiar with the matter.
❌ The faux meat maker's reduced liquidity is attributed to its cash burn over the past several quarters.
❌ Demand for Beyond Meat's products - including burger patty, sausages and ground beef - has weakened as customers such as McDonald's and Yum Brands saw sluggish consumer demand owing to sticky inflation.
❌ Earlier this year, the company said it would increase prices on some of its product lines from the second quarter in a bid to restore margins, while also looking to "steeply reduce" costs.
💵BYND
Current price - $7.07
YTD Perf - down 19.44%
Wall Street Target Price - $5.83
Buy/Hold/Sell - 0/7/7
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☄️ Hugo Boss stock falls sharply after 2024 sales warning
📉 Stock slumped as much as 10% Tuesday after the German fashion house cut its 2024 sales guidance, warning for particular difficulties in China and Britain, particularly.
📣 “We are operating in a period of significant global macro uncertainty, which also affected our performance in the second quarter,” CEO Daniel Grieder said in a statement.
#NIFTY
Support levels for tmrw
🔗 Via Nikita Poojary ✅
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📈 Gold could be a beneficiary of the assassination attempt on Trump, experts interviewed by Bloomberg
ℹ️On Monday, analysts expect growth in traditional defensive assets: gold, US government bonds, JPY and USD.
🔼 ATFX Global Markets analyst Nick Twinday believes that gold may test the area of all-time highs.
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𝐁𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐤𝐨𝐮𝐭 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐖𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐓𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐏𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐬
𝗜𝗙𝗖𝗜 : 52 Weeks’ High Breakout
𝗖𝗔𝗡𝗧𝗔𝗕𝗜𝗟 : Long Range Breakout
𝗜𝗡𝗢𝗫𝗪𝗜𝗡𝗗 : Asc. Triangle Breakout
𝗦𝗢𝗡𝗔𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗦 : Cup & Handle Breakout
🔗 Via Himanshu Chauhan ✅
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#PONNIERODE (W)
- Strong Breakout Candidate
- Long Range Accumulation
- Massive Volume Buildup
- Strong Bullish Momentum
- Darvas Box Pattern BO
- Trading All Time high
- Keep on radar
🔗 Via Himanshu Chauhan ✅
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The best setup for life
🔗 Via JayneshKasliwal ✅
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#BANKNIFTY
Taking support over 21ema.
51850-900 range is crucial to bounce.
Bounce from here will lead to new ATH soon.
Fall below 51750 CLOSE to 51000.
🔗 Via Himanshu Chauhan ✅
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PEPSI
Entered at 1630
Stoploss at 1590
Target open trailing using 21 ema
Weekly breakout retest candidate !
🔗 Via JayneshKasliwal ✅
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#BANKNIFTY
Currently moving within the 425 point rectangle, no BO or BD yet.
S/R levels mentioned on the chart
🔗 Via Nikita Poojary ✅
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#VBL
Entered At 1630
Expecting a short breakout
Weekly chart HH HL
🔗 Via JayneshKasliwal ✅
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𝐁𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐤𝐨𝐮𝐭 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐖𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐓𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐏𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐬
⭐️𝗥𝗔𝗜𝗟𝗧𝗘𝗟 : All Time High Breakout
⭐️𝗦𝗨𝗡𝗙𝗟𝗔𝗚 : Asc. Triangle Breakout
⭐️𝗢𝗡𝗘𝗣𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗧 : Round bottom Breakout
⭐️𝗠𝗔𝗥𝗞𝗦𝗔𝗡𝗦 : Darvas Box Breakout
🔗 Via Himanshu Chauhan ✅
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🗓 Coming Up Next Week
MONDAY 22.07
⏺PBoC Loan Rate
⏺The Farnborough International Airshow
⏺Earnings reports Verizon, NXP Semiconductors, etc
TUESDAY 23.07
⏺US Existing Home Sales
⏺Earnings reports from Alphabet, Tesla, Visa, General Motors, etc
WEDNESDAY 24.07
⏺Eurozone PMIs
⏺Earnings reports from IBM, AT&T, Ford, european banks, etc
⏺US New Home Sales
THURSDAY 25.07
⏺US GDP Q2
⏺Earnings reports from Abbvie, AstraZeneca, etc
⏺Bitcoin 2024 Conference
FRIDAY 26.07
⏺US PCE Data
⏺Paris Olympics
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3 stocks to follow trending Russell 2000 growth
GEO Group
💲GEO
Current price - $16.78
YTD Perf - up 83.93%
Wall Street Target Price - $19.15
Buy/Hold/Sell - 4/0/0
ℹ️ Florida-based Geo Group Inc (GEO) is a government service provider that specializes in design and support services for secure facilities and processing centers worldwide - namely, private prisons. It offers a full spectrum of innovative solutions to government agency partners, which gives GEO a unique competitive advantage in capturing future quality growth opportunities.
PAYSIGN
💲PAYS
Current price - $5.18
YTD Perf - up 50.88%
Wall Street Target Price - $6.13
Buy/Hold/Sell - 4/0/0
ℹ️ Nevada-headquartered Paysign Inc (PAYS) provides prepaid card programs, comprehensive patient affordability offerings, digital banking services, and integrated payment processing services for businesses, consumers, and government institutions. Its capabilities include transaction processing, cardholder enrollment, account funding, account management, reporting, and customer service.
ATKORE INC
💲ATKR
Current price - $141.83
YTD Perf - down 11.36%
Wall Street Target Price - $180.5
Buy/Hold/Sell - 5/1/0
ℹ️ Atkore Inc. (ATKR) is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of electrical, mechanical, safety, and infrastructure products and solutions globally. The product offerings include conduits, cables, installation accessories, metal framing, mechanical pipe, perimeter security, and cable management.
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❓ Why Intel shares are rising and other chip stocks falling?
🔽Chip stocks broadly got crushed this week. In fact, its Wednesday performance marked the worst single-day valuation slide for the industry in more than four years.
📰 Semiconductor investors have gotten hit by a surge of concerning news:
⚠️ Former president and current presidential candidate Donald Trump had made comments suggesting that the U.S. could be hesitant to defend Taiwan or require it to pay for services if he were to become Commander-in-Chief again.
Taiwan is home to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, the world's leading contract semiconductor fabrication company and the leading manufacturer of advanced chips used for artificial intelligence (AI), accelerated computing, and other vital national security and economic applications.
⚠️ The Biden administration was weighing the implementation of much stronger export restrictions for chip and semiconductor equipment manufacturing companies dealing with the Chinese market.
If adopted, the foreign direct product rule would allow for restrictions to be put on products manufactured in other countries if they used any U.S.-derived technology.
👑 But despite the big semiconductor sell-off, Intel was able to post gains thanks to the promise of the company's expanding chip fabrication business.
With the tense geopolitical situation between China and Taiwan raising questions about chip availability in the future, the U.S. and other Western allies have been pouring billions of stimulus dollars into improving their ability to manufacture chips, and Intel has already been a major recipient of funding.
There's a good chance that more capital support from the public sector is on the way, and geopolitical risk factors could accelerate the growth of Intel's fab business.
💲INTC
Current price - $34.87
YTD Perf - down 30.62%
Wall Street Target Price - $39.73
Buy/Hold/Sell - 14/30/4
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💥 One of the world's most successful tech investors says chipmaker Nvidia could be worth nearly $50 trillion in a decade
🗣️James Anderson, best known for his early bets on companies like Tesla and Amazon, said: "Nvidia's potential scale under the most optimistic outcome is far greater than I've ever seen before and could result in a tenfold increase in market capitalization. This is not a prediction, but an opportunity if artificial intelligence works for the benefit of customers and Nvidia’s leadership continues.”
#FINNIFTY
S/R levels for tmrw
🔗 Via Nikita Poojary ✅
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#BANKNIFTY
S/R levels for today
🔗 Via Nikita Poojary ✅
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#HBLPOWER (W)
- Strong Breakout Candidate
- Round Bottom Structure
- Trading All Time High
- Big accumulation base
- Keep on radar
🔗 Via Himanshu Chauhan
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#SONACOMS (W)
- Strong Breakout Candidate
- Cup & Handle Pattern BO
- Strong Bullish Momentum
- Trading 52 weeks’ High
- Massive Volume Buildup
- Big accumulation base
- Good Revenue & EPS growth
- Keep on radar
🔗 Via Himanshu Chauhan ✅
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Kellton Tech : Monthly
8 Years resistance Breakout
+
Potential VCP
+
IPO Base breakout formation
+
Strong Rising Volumes
🔗 Via ₹ohan $hah ✅
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#RECLTD (W)
- Strong Breakout Candidate
- Inside Bar BO pattern
- Strong bullish momentum
- Trading All Time High
- Good volume building up
- PSUs breaking 4th june highs
- Keep on radar
🔗 Via Himanshu Chauhan ✅
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Signs of accumulation in a stock
🔗 Via JayneshKasliwal ✅
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#ARIES (D)
- Strong Breakout Candidate
- H&S pattern BO
- Strong Bullish Momentum
- Massive Volume Buildup
- Long range accumulation
- 343 All time high resistance
🔗 Via Himanshu Chauhan ✅
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#FINNIFTY
S/R levels mentioned on the charts
Moving within the 180 point rectangle, no BO or BD yet
🔗 Via Nikita Poojary ✅
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VCP PATTERN
Stoploss near 300
Target can be 370-400
Trail using 21ema for best results
High volume , high momentum
Stock Name on chart
🔗 Via JayneshKasliwal ✅
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Stocks that might do well in the coming weeks.
All these are from the CCI daily crossing 100 scanner.
If I get some time, I'll try to share the charts as well.
🔗 Via Trendline Investor ✅
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