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Telegram-канал trade - Trade Watcher

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📈 All the latest updates on the Stock Market: signals, news, and everything that might move the narrative — all in one place. 😉 We keep an eye on the price; you can just watch us do it. Buy Ads: @JamesCookTg (this is our only account).

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Trade Watcher

Bitcoin ROI after halvings.
Its time.

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Trade Watcher

Fresh Tokens by Smart Inflow Today:

JELLY — Launched by the Venmo founder, this project is drawing significant capital inflows.
Mcap: $181.89M.

KAYYO — AI-powered martial arts training app that turns the world into your dojo, using computer vision and AI models for a personalized experience in MMA, Boxing, Muay Thai, and Kickboxing.
Mcap: $26.12M.

XYZ — Gained attention after Jack Dorsey, the founder of Twitter, tweeted "$XYZ," sparking speculation and interest.
Mcap: $3.72M.

PKIN — Pumpkin, a protocol designed to revolutionize token launches, aligning creator and user incentives through fee sharing, staking, and milestone funding to prevent rug pulls.
Mcap: $27.23M.

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Gap filled.

As obvious as it might sound - CME gaps are probably the highest hit rate pattern out there. It has like 90% probability of being filled (almost always). Whenever you see one - your bias should be based around it.

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ETH is forming a falling wedge, with key liquidation levels above, suggesting a potential breakout if momentum shifts.

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CoinGecko has introduced a "Made in China" category ahead of the Lunar New Year, highlighting Chinese-origin crypto projects.

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Alibaba rolls out new AI model, claims it outperforms DeepSeek and GPT-4.

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2 hours ago, a wallet named Ansem spent 1.2M USDC to buy 915,828 $WIF at $1.31.

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The Liquidation Heatmap suggests that Bitcoin's price could potentially reach $73,000 in the short term.

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Well-known trader Andrew Kang has shared a bullish outlook on the $TRUMP token. Here’s his take:

➤68% drawdown from its highs
➤8 consecutive days of downward trend
➤Evidence of a bottoming structure and momentum reversal
➤Despite this, the market cap is still just $6 billion, for a brand more recognizable than Ethereum
➤Target: Top 10 Coin

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This whale that put $23.4m into $TRUMP and then sold the top for $38m is starting to buy again.

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The U.S. stock market shed $1 trillion in value today as DeepSeek's cost-effective AI model raised fears over the sustainability of high valuations in the tech sector.

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Only 1,056,700 Bitcoin left to be mined, forever.

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Market Makers are now receiving Stable Coin from the exchanges in preperation of running it back up.

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Red Monday Hits Markets Amid DeepSeek Concerns
Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 330 points, S&P 500 futures sank 1%, and $BTC fell below $100,000 as DeepSeek's rise sparks fears over U.S. tech stability.

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The guy who paid a pizza with 10,000 bitcoin must be crying

at today's value he paid $1 billion for a cheese mushroom green pepper pizza

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The top creation wallet on Pumpfun has made 18k tokens

Tracking the wallet, he wakes up and makes on average 18 tokens an hour before he goes to sleep everyday for the last 6 months.

He is up 3.7 million dollars in profit.

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The Fed’s pause on rate cuts hasn’t shaken crypto markets, hinting at reduced reliance on traditional finance. While past cycles saw strong stock correlations, today’s stability suggests growing independence for Bitcoin and digital assets.

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The Fed keeps interest rates unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%.

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In 1998, Charles Cohen launched the Beenz Virtual Currency in London, securing nearly $100M in funding from investors like Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy) and Larry Ellison (Oracle). By 1999, beenz had 192 corporate clients, but the project shut down in 2001 due to the dot-com crash.

Now, $BEENZ is making a comeback as a community-driven relaunch, with Cohen himself joining the team. The token is approaching its ATH, and today, it was listed on Moonshot, the leading retail trading platform of this cycle

Not financial advice

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Warren Buffett's cash pile has swelled to a record $325.2 billion.

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$WIF appears to have found a bottom after sweeping the August 2024 low within a major imbalance. If momentum holds, targets could extend up to $5.

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Fed Funds Rate vs TOTAL3

When the Fed Funds Rate crosses the moving average then it confirms the rates are going down. Last time was in August 2019, rates dropped from 2% to 0%. When TOTAL3 crosses the moving average it goes parabolic.

The Fed Funds Rate has just crossed the moving average.

What to expect?

Fed Funds Rate down to 2%. TOTAL3 parabolic.

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Trump's World Liberty Finance purchased 2,397,674 $MOVE for $1.88M USDC and set a TWAP order for an additional $4.7M USDC, indicating plans to accumulate more.

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Time for Wintermute pattern

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Ethereum ETFs are nearing net-outflow status again, with Grayscale's ETHE seeing significant sell pressure - 41.8% of all ETHE shares have already exited. This shift highlights declining confidence in Ethereum products and could signal bullish sentiment for Solana as an alternative.

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Virtuals expands to Solana, launching the Meteora Pool, a Strategic SOL Reserve, and hosting an AI Hackathon in partnership with the Solana Foundation to drive innovation and empower creators.

A major imbalance around the 0.75 Fibonacci zone ($1.26 - $0.59) is seen as a potential area of interest for long positions.

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Just to put this into perspective:

Nvidia stock, $NVDA, is currently down -$420 BILLION in market cap today.

This exceeds the previous record for the biggest 1-day drop in a stock in history by $141 billion.

Today alone, Nvidia is set to lose more than the entire market cap of all but 20 companies in the world.

Nvidia has also erased more market cap than the entire value of Costco, $COST.

Truly historic.

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Exchanges continue to drive price down using Wintermute to market sell assets on their order books.

Remember when they are satisfied enough leverage Longs have been removed they will send Stable Coin to the market maker to market buy assets and drive prices back up, liquidating new Shorts.

This is how markets work.

Do not get shaked out of your Spot asset holdings.

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Jupiter Exchange has announced that 50% of its protocol fees will be allocated to $JUP buybacks, aiming to enhance token value and reward holders.

The chart highlights multiple poor lows around the $0.63 level. It would be ideal to see this liquidity taken out before considering a position entry.

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$VANRY is holding critical support level, with potential for a rebound if BTC and ETH maintain stability.

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