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Telegram-канал trade - Trade Watcher

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📈 All the latest updates on the Stock Market: signals, news, and everything that might move the narrative — all in one place. 😉 We keep an eye on the price; you can just watch us do it. Buy Ads: @bobbyADS (this is our only account).

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Trade Watcher

This wallet bought $63,000 $Luce and was over $650,000 in profit but didn’t sell.

Then price went down to his entry, and he decided to buy another $81,000 and now is $98,400 in loss.

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It's not over until you win.

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Many traders avoid reviewing their week — especially after a rough one.

If it was a good week, the temptation is to shrug and say “no need.”
If it was a bad week, it's “I’ll just try harder next time” — with no real plan.

But avoiding review = avoiding growth.
Curiosity is the foundation of improvement.
Sit down. Look back. Learn. Then level up.

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50% of China–US ocean shipments halted after tariffs, threatening massive U.S. small business collapse

• U.S. tariffs on China have slashed maritime bookings by 50%, cutting off vital supply chains.
• Thousands to millions of U.S. small businesses may go bankrupt this year — most can't relocate production from China.
• Chinese factories are now acquiring collapsing American brands, taking over the final piece of the value chain.
• $1 trillion in economic activity is vanishing — and retail’s 3x markups are built on these imports.
• America will be forced to roll back tariffs to avoid deeper recession. It’s just a matter of time.

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Inflation expectations are still rising:

1-year inflation expectations jumped 1.7 percentage points in April, to 6.7%, the highest since November 1981.

This marks a 4th consecutive monthly increase of at least 0.5 percentage points.

1-year inflation expectations have surged by 4.1 percentage points since November 2024.

Moreover, 5-year inflation expectations rose 0.3 percentage points, to 4.4%, the highest since June 1991

All while consumer sentiment has dropped to the second-lowest level on record.

Americans are bracing for stagflation.

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The Federal Reserve has now lost a combined $192 Billion over the last 2 years.

Probably Fine

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Investors currently allocate more than half of their financial assets to equities.

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Bro already moved to plan B.

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China is less dependent on exports than Canada, Mexico, or the EU.

While China is the world’s largest exporter, its economy is not as reliant on foreign trade as many assume.

The country is increasingly focused on domestic consumption—one reason why U.S. tariff wars don’t hit China as hard as often believed.

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The equity market is currently near its most concentrated level in 100 years.

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The Golden Age of LatAm.

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Someone just launched a coin and rugged 3 people for a total of $1

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$FTT - setting up for an AERGO-style play?

Binance just opened a community vote on which token to delist - and FTT is currently in the lead.

Interesting timing:
– Happens right before FTX starts repaying customers
– FTT is sitting at all-time lows after breaking its range

What’s next?
Delist spot, headline-driven pump, futures added… then let the candles speak.

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Global investors have rarely been this bearish:

A record ~50% of institutional investors intend to reduce US equity exposure, according to a Bank of America survey released Monday.

Allocation to US stocks fell 13 percentage points over the last month, to a net 36% underweight, the lowest since the March 2023 Banking Crisis.

Since February, investors' allocation to US equities has dropped by ~53 percentage points, marking the largest 2-month decline on record.

Moreover, a record 82% of respondents are now expecting the world economy to weaken.

As a result, global investor sentiment fell to just 1.8 points, the 4th-lowest reading since 2008.

We have likely never seen such a rapid shift in sentiment.

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Chinese refineries are now importing unprecedented volumes of Canadian crude, significantly boosting Canada's economy.

This comes after a dramatic -90% reduction in their US oil imports, driven by the intensifying tariff war conflict.

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Senator Elizabeth Warren warns that the stock market will crash if President Trump fires Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

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China trolls Trump over his tariff policy.

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ON THE WAY IN:
Open border and mass release of millions

ON THE WAY OUT:
Strong vetting and case by case evaluation

Upside down world.
The Biden admin overwhelmed the system on purpose. The last 4 years were not normal, it was a national emergency. Emergency powers must be used.

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Understanding key patterns in memecoin price action.

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Netflix's Q1 Income Statement visualized

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Whales are accumulating $ETH

Whale 1: Withdrew 46,577 $ETH worth $97.14M from Gate over the past 2 months, with a floating loss of $23.43M.

Whale 2: Withdrew 10,091 $ETH worth $18.78M from Bybit over the past month, with a floating loss of $2.81M.

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Market News: Trump Plans a Dinner for TRUMP Holders

According to market rumors, Trump plans to host a dinner for $TRUMP token holders, and the team is working on a dedicated webpage for the event. As a result, $TRUMP has surged 12% today, bringing its current market cap to $1.69B.

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The goal is never Gucci bags.
The goal is acres of land.

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So true.

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The US has accused a Chinese firm of helping Yemen's Houthis target American warships, per the Financial Times.

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Eliminate the noise and look at what the market is saying:

Despite all of the "fire Powell" headlines, prediction markets have been steady.

There is a mere 25% chance that Jerome Powell is out as Fed Chair in 2025, per Kalshi.

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New Notable Politician Trade Alert

Rep. Bruce Westerman just disclosed up to $2M of new trades

Here's what's "notable"

1) $1.9M of that were buys
2)This is the first time he's ever filed trades as a 10 year politician
3) He bought oil & gas companies like $XOM, $CVX, $BP
4) He is the chair of the committee on natural resources

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Over the past 7 days, several insider wallets bought $TRUMP, Wintermute was also buying and selling, and they’re still holding 151K tokens at the moment.

Interesting to see what happens with the price ahead of tomorrow’s $318M unlock.

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A federal judge has ruled that Google, $GOOGL, operates an “illegal advertising monopoly,” per WSJ.

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Reminder the market is closed today, and does not open until Monday.

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