Trade Watcher

22 Apr 2025 09:01

The Fed hasn’t flinched.

FOMC minutes show a steady hawkish tone for 3 straight months.

When will they pivot?

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 20:43

What we're watching:

Selling pressure is still "orderly" here, with the Volatility Index, $VIX, at a modest ~35.

We are not seeing capitulation yet.

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 20:02

Nvidia ($NVDA) stock is down over 5% following reports that Huawei is preparing to begin mass shipments of its advanced 910C AI chip to Chinese clients as early as next month.

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 18:01

The S&P 500 has now lost -$750 billion in market cap since Trump began calling Fed Chair Powell "Mr. Too Late" this morning.

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 15:55

Donald Trump has said there is virtually no inflation and Jerome Powell should cut interest rates.

Trump calls Powell a major loser.

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 14:02

Algo trading tools like TWAP and VWAP help crypto traders execute large orders with minimal market impact.

• TWAP spreads trades over time
• VWAP adjusts based on market volume

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 12:24

Tim Cook says China is better at manufacturing is "because the quantity of skill."

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 10:01

Breaking: Pope Francis dies at 88, the Vatican says.

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 07:36

Huge week of earnings ahead: 17% and 24% of all Nasdaq + S&P names

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Trade Watcher

20 Apr 2025 19:02

Senator Elizabeth Warren warns that the stock market will crash if President Trump fires Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

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Trade Watcher

20 Apr 2025 16:12

China trolls Trump over his tariff policy.

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Trade Watcher

20 Apr 2025 13:07

ON THE WAY IN:
Open border and mass release of millions

ON THE WAY OUT:
Strong vetting and case by case evaluation

Upside down world.
The Biden admin overwhelmed the system on purpose. The last 4 years were not normal, it was a national emergency. Emergency powers must be used.

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Trade Watcher

20 Apr 2025 09:08

Understanding key patterns in memecoin price action.

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Trade Watcher

19 Apr 2025 21:02

Netflix's Q1 Income Statement visualized

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Trade Watcher

19 Apr 2025 18:02

Whales are accumulating $ETH

Whale 1: Withdrew 46,577 $ETH worth $97.14M from Gate over the past 2 months, with a floating loss of $23.43M.

Whale 2: Withdrew 10,091 $ETH worth $18.78M from Bybit over the past month, with a floating loss of $2.81M.

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Trade Watcher

22 Apr 2025 07:35

Despite President Trump's calls for rate cuts, there is now an 85% chance of no rate cut occurring in May, per Kalshi.

Fed Chair Powell most recently said he is "not in a hurry" to cut rates.

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 20:37

S&P 500 drops to 5100 for the first time since April 9 — the day a 90-day tariff pause was announced.

When the Dow loses 1,200 points and it barely makes headlines, something is off.

Markets may already be pricing in the collapse of trade negotiations.

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 18:32

China’s central bank increased its gold holdings by 5 tonnes in March, posting their 5th consecutive monthly purchase.

This brings total China’s gold reserves to a record 2,292 tonnes.

Chinese gold holdings now reflect 6.5% of its total official reserve assets.

According to Goldman Sachs, China actually purchased a whopping 50 tonnes of gold in February, or 10 times more than officially reported.

Over the last 3 years, China's purchases of gold on the London OTC market have significantly surpassed officially reported numbers.

China is accumulating gold at a rapid pace.

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 17:07

Mic check, Warren Buffett style.

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 15:37

In an unusual late-night move, the U.S. Supreme Court signaled growing distrust in the Trump administration’s willingness to follow the law — even its own rulings.

This rare rebuke hints at a potential showdown between the executive branch and the judiciary, with the core tenets of constitutional democracy now at risk.

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 12:25

$NVDA dips 3.2% premarket as reports emerge that Huawei is preparing mass shipments of a new AI chip, signaling China’s push to find alternatives to NVIDIA.

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 10:45

Before Bill Ackman disclosed his 12.7M share purchase of Hertz ($HTZ), traders were already loading up on call options.

On April 11, someone bought $4.5 and $6 strike calls (30-day expiry) — nearly all at the ask, totaling most of the day’s volume. Despite a price dip, they held firm.

Estimated return? Turning ~$200K into $3M+.

Smart money or coincidence? Either way, the timing was impeccable.

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Trade Watcher

21 Apr 2025 09:16

Trump Publishes List of "Non-Tariff Cheating" in Global Trade

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Trade Watcher

20 Apr 2025 20:46

This wallet bought $63,000 $Luce and was over $650,000 in profit but didn’t sell.

Then price went down to his entry, and he decided to buy another $81,000 and now is $98,400 in loss.

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Trade Watcher

20 Apr 2025 17:46

It's not over until you win.

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Trade Watcher

20 Apr 2025 14:41

Many traders avoid reviewing their week — especially after a rough one.

If it was a good week, the temptation is to shrug and say “no need.”
If it was a bad week, it's “I’ll just try harder next time” — with no real plan.

But avoiding review = avoiding growth.
Curiosity is the foundation of improvement.
Sit down. Look back. Learn. Then level up.

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Trade Watcher

20 Apr 2025 11:36

❕ 50% of China–US ocean shipments halted after tariffs, threatening massive U.S. small business collapse

• U.S. tariffs on China have slashed maritime bookings by 50%, cutting off vital supply chains.
• Thousands to millions of U.S. small businesses may go bankrupt this year — most can't relocate production from China.
• Chinese factories are now acquiring collapsing American brands, taking over the final piece of the value chain.
• $1 trillion in economic activity is vanishing — and retail’s 3x markups are built on these imports.
• America will be forced to roll back tariffs to avoid deeper recession. It’s just a matter of time.

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Trade Watcher

20 Apr 2025 07:36

Inflation expectations are still rising:

1-year inflation expectations jumped 1.7 percentage points in April, to 6.7%, the highest since November 1981.

This marks a 4th consecutive monthly increase of at least 0.5 percentage points.

1-year inflation expectations have surged by 4.1 percentage points since November 2024.

Moreover, 5-year inflation expectations rose 0.3 percentage points, to 4.4%, the highest since June 1991

All while consumer sentiment has dropped to the second-lowest level on record.

Americans are bracing for stagflation.

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Trade Watcher

19 Apr 2025 19:32

The Federal Reserve has now lost a combined $192 Billion over the last 2 years.

Probably Fine

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Trade Watcher

19 Apr 2025 16:36

Investors currently allocate more than half of their financial assets to equities.

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