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Telegram-канал trade - Trade Watcher

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📈 All the latest updates on the Stock Market: signals, news, and everything that might move the narrative — all in one place. 😉 We keep an eye on the price; you can just watch us do it. Buy Ads: @bobbyADS (this is our only account).

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Trade Watcher

A map of Trump's "crypto" business dealings.

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Trade Watcher

The production cost of the iPhone 16 Pro (256GB) is set to jump 54% — from $549.73 to $846.59 — due to newly imposed tariffs.

Nearly $300 of that increase stems directly from trade barriers, with supply chain geography now playing a major role in price formation.

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Let’s make this clear…

As the business cycle bottoms (red zones), global liquidity leads Bitcoin.

Whatever it does, Bitcoin does a few months later.

A liquidity breakout after retest (now) starts Bitcoin’s parabolic leg.

That’s what matters.
Not the halving.
Not the ETFs.
Not the tariffs.

Follow what matters.
It’s already shown what comes next.

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Intrigue Surrounding Binance, U.S. Treasury, and CZ

According to the Wall Street Journal, Binance leadership met with representatives of the U.S. Treasury — shortly after initiating talks with the Trump family’s crypto project.

– Binance is seeking to have the Treasury remove the compliance monitor appointed under its DOJ settlement.

– As part of his plea deal, CZ reportedly agreed to provide evidence against Justin Sun, the founder of Tron.

Notably, even before the WSJ article was published, CZ posted:

“I was told WSJ is preparing yet another baseless hit piece about me.”

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Uncertainty has increased more than ever.

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Federal Reserve says it's fully prepared to step in and stabilize markets if needed, according to top official via FT.

Translation: liquidity taps are always just one panic away.

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This is why people have moved from conventional media to 𝕏 for their news.

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According to analysts, the market has re-entered a key buying zone as the 30-day moving average drops below the annual average - a level last seen in September 2023, right after the bear market bottomed.

Time to start scaling in?

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The lower your win rate, the higher your chances of hitting a brutal losing streak.

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Bitcoin's whales and sharks are growing in number, indicating a sudden shift after Trump implemented his 90-day tariff pause yesterday.

Over the past day, +132 more 10+ $BTC wallets exist, indicating a higher level of confidence from crypto's key stakeholders.

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Cardano Founder, Charles Hoskinson, says Bitcoin will be over $250,000 by the end of this year.

Do you agree?

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Trump on the stock market crash:
“I didn’t see it — I’ve been here for two and a half hours.”

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SOPR tracks whether $BTC is being sold at a profit or a loss.

Right now, we're hovering around break-even.

If it dips below 1, it means people are panic-selling at a loss - classic capitulation.

Historically, that’s when Bitcoin reverses hard and takes off.

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We’re now seeing more fear than we did at the $16K lows.

Every time this happens, it’s been a generational buy opportunity.

Panic = alpha, if you’ve got the balls to buy.

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President Trump's Executive Director of Digital Assets, Bo Hines, says the era of China taking the U.S for a ride is over.

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Fartcoin has seen explosive growth over the past seven days.

$FARTCOIN decoupled from the market.

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Morning routine

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JPMorgan milked the chaos.

While markets panicked over Trump’s tariff whiplash, their equity desk printed a record $3.81B in Q1 trading revenue - up 48% YoY.

Volatility isn’t a threat for them.
It’s harvest season.

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"I was going to call it Government Efficiency Commission, but the internet said it had to be Department of Government Efficiency, DOGE, the meme."

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Euro jumps to its strongest level against the U.S. Dollar in more than 3 years

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Xi Jinping on tariffs:
"There are no winners in trade wars. To go against the world is to walk the path of self-isolation."

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$HYPE looking clean here.

Strong bounce off the launch low - buyers are showing up.

Once the market flips risk-on, this thing could move fast - and hard.

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"Let him cook" — official government policy.

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China not playing anymore…

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CPI falling into line.
The setup for QE is quietly being built - brick by brick.

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Overall volume for $BTC and alts continues to drop.

We're entering a period of compression, which is common over the summer months.

This is the best period to spot asymmetries and dislocations, as these will reprice quickly once volume kicks in again.

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When your president is a businessman and his inner circle includes the guy who memed $DOGE into the stratosphere…

You’re not running a government - you’re running a volatility machine.

Front-running policy news isn’t market abuse.
It’s alpha extraction at the executive level.

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The whale has lost a total of $8.51M trading $VIRTUAL in 2 different wallets.

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Trade Watcher

MicroStrategy is up by 19%.

Be ready, more Bitcoin shopping incoming.

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Minutes before Trump’s “buy” post, traders opened massive $SPY, $QQQ, and $TQQQ calls - some expiring the same day.

$SPY 509 calls jumped 2100% in one hour.

All volume was fresh, suggesting someone knew the pause was coming.

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