Trade Watcher

03 May 2025 13:02

At the 21st Shanghai International Motor Show, Chinese automaker GAC unveiled a pickup with a design strongly reminiscent of Tesla's Cybertruck.

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Trade Watcher

03 May 2025 11:32

Oil Wars: Strategic Pressure Returns to the Market

Saudi Arabia has signaled it won’t support further oil production cuts and is prepared to tolerate a prolonged period of low prices. While counterintuitive at first glance, this mirrors the kingdom’s 2014 strategy — when refusing to cut output triggered a price crash and wiped out large portions of the U.S. shale industry, helping the Saudis preserve market share.

A similar play is unfolding now. U.S. shale is recovering, but breakeven prices for many producers still range from $59–70 per barrel — far above Saudi levels. With falling prices, American producers are once again the first to feel the squeeze.

Meanwhile, Trump has called for secondary sanctions on countries still buying Iranian oil — primarily China, which accounts for over 90% of Iran’s exports. Although existing tariffs and tensions have already strained U.S.-China relations, the sanctions could further complicate oil trade by disrupting insurance, logistics, and settlement processes — potentially tightening global supply.

Both Saudi Arabia and the U.S. are attempting to shape the oil market: one through supply pressure, the other through geopolitical leverage. In both cases, the goal is clear — protect domestic producers and gain influence.

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Trade Watcher

03 May 2025 08:22

The ISM Business Production index has collapsed to recessionary levels.

2-year yields are wildly misaligned with economic fundamentals and probably need to be cut in half to reflect the current state of the economy.

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 19:42

The odds of an interest rate cut at next week's Fed meeting have fallen below 5%

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 17:49

🟣Dub is turning politicians and influencers into trading signals

Dub lets users copy the stock trades of celebrities, politicians, and peers — and just raised $30M to scale its copy-trading platform.

⚙️ What they’ve built
• A social investing app where users can automatically mirror trades of public figures or friends
• 13K+ users already copy-trade Rep. Nancy Pelosi’s portfolio via public filings
• Real-time mirroring available for users who choose to make trades public

📊 Traction and growth
• 1M+ downloads since launch in March 2024
• 50,000 paying subscribers on $10/month or $90/year plans
• Backed by Notable Capital, Neo, Sandberg Bernthal, Peak6, and others

📈 What’s next for Dub
• Launching a free tier to follow up to 2 people without paying
• Expanding into crypto and event contracts as new asset classes
• Secured $5.5M in venture debt from Silicon Valley Bank to fuel growth

Dub is building a trading layer for the influencer era — where ideas (and portfolios) spread as fast as memes.

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 15:33

$AAPL - APPLE SHARES FALL 4% AT THE OPEN AFTER DISAPPOINTING RESULTS

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 14:41

The US economy adds 177,000 jobs in April, above expectations of 138,000.

The unemployment rate was 4.2%, in-line with expectations of 4.2%.

The March jobs number was revised down from 228,000 to 185,000.

The labor market is still holding up.

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 11:26

Trump will unveil the 2026 fiscal year budget todayv.

The document will be sent to Congress and is expected to outline the key priorities of Trump’s administration for his second term.

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 09:05

🚨 Alpha Alert: We’re deep into Binance crime szn — so keep your eyes on the delisting board.

One to watch: $FTT

We flagged it earlier, but today’s $ALPACA move adds even more confirmation.

Quick recap:
• Leading Binance’s delisting vote
• Broke below a long-term range to new ATL
• Next wave of FTX repayments starts in May
• Old rumors that the Trump family wants to acquire FTX

Delisting isn’t a death sentence anymore.
It’s a setup.

Pay attention.

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 07:35

One year inflation expectations are the highest since 1981, per University of Michigan

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Trade Watcher

01 May 2025 20:42

BREAKING: Oil prices surge toward $60/barrel as President Trump threatens sanctions on any country that buys oil from Iran.

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Trade Watcher

01 May 2025 19:17

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Trade Watcher

01 May 2025 18:39

TRUMP SAYS SO MUCH MONEY WILL BE TAKEN IN THAT WE'LL CUT TAXES

TRUMP SAYS WE'LL BE PAYING OFF DEBT

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Trade Watcher

01 May 2025 16:38

Trump quotes the NVIDIA CEO:

“We’re going to build on NVIDIA technologies — the next generation of innovation will happen right here in the U.S.”

He adds:
“Without the President’s leadership, policies, support, and most importantly, his active encouragement, the pace of U.S. manufacturing growth wouldn’t be what it is today.”

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Trade Watcher

01 May 2025 16:02

A nearly all green start to Magnificent 7.

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Trade Watcher

03 May 2025 11:51

Did you know that 15 years ago you could buy 15 Bitcoin for 1 cent?

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Trade Watcher

03 May 2025 10:06

If you sold at the this past month's bottom you would have missed the +13% bounce back

"The stock market is designed to transfer money from the active to the patient."

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 20:57

Here’s how much money the median person makes per day in the world’s largest economies

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 19:00

The S&P 500 is up 9 days in a row, its longest winning streak in 20 years.

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 16:18

BREAKING: Jeff Bezos files to sell up to $5 billion worth of Amazon, $AMZN, stock.

As shown in a new filing, Bezos plans to sell up to 25 million shares in the company.

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 15:12

BREAKING: President Trump once again says the Fed should lower interest rates.

The Fed's next interest rate decision will be released on Wednesday.

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 12:44

Microsoft has introduced several new open-source AI models, with its most powerful rivaling OpenAI’s o3-mini on key benchmarks.

All new models fall under the Phi 4 family — focused on reasoning tasks for better performance on complex problem solving. They expand Microsoft’s compact Phi model lineup launched last year.

• Phi 4 mini reasoning (3.8B parameters) is designed for educational apps on lightweight devices, trained on 1M synthetic math problems.
• Phi 4 reasoning (14B parameters) is optimized for math, science, and coding, using high-quality web data.
• Phi 4 reasoning plus is a fine-tuned version that, according to Microsoft, rivals DeepSeek R1 (671B params) and matches o3-mini in OmniMath performance.

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 10:06

The cover of The Economist's May 3–9, 2025 edition, titled "The Taiwan Test," focuses on escalating tensions between the United States and China over Taiwan.

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Trade Watcher

02 May 2025 08:51

U.S. banks are facing $482 billion in unrealized losses.

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Trade Watcher

01 May 2025 20:55

JUST IT: EU Trade Commissioner says the bloc is prepared to make a €50 billion offer, but won’t accept the U.S. keeping 10% tariffs as part of a fair trade resolution.

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Trade Watcher

01 May 2025 20:32

This is interesting.

Representative Reschenthaler bought Bitcoin, $BTC, and Ripple, $XRP, up to $15,000 of each.

They were purchased on 04/24/2025.

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Trade Watcher

01 May 2025 18:42

TRUMP: WE PUT SANCTIONS ON IRANIAN OIL YESTERDAY.

TRUMP: WHOEVER TAKES OIL FROM IRAN CANNOT DO BUSINESS WITH THE US

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Trade Watcher

01 May 2025 17:35

Yesterday was Biden’s market.
Today — is it Trump’s?

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Trade Watcher

01 May 2025 16:03

Microsoft, $MSFT, rises over +10% to become the largest public company in the world.

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Trade Watcher

01 May 2025 15:50

Markets have recovered strongly — Nasdaq is pushing higher after the dip.

Next week, we’ll be watching for a clean pullback to the 19,500 zone to look for long setups.
Structure looks healthy — buyers remain in control.

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