Trade Watcher

25 Jun 2025 11:00

JUST IN: Trump on Iran:

“The ceasefire between Iran and Israel is going well.

I think we will have some sort of relationship with Iran.

Iran will not have a nuclear bomb.”

In response to a question about Iran’s uranium enrichment plans, Trump said:

“We will not allow it — even by military means.”

Trade Watcher

25 Jun 2025 10:55

JUST IN: Trump claims the Iranian nuclear program has been set back by decades. He states that a US strike on Iran "ended the war."

Trade Watcher

25 Jun 2025 09:14

Polymarket currently gives just 30% odds that OpenAI's ChatGPT hits 1B monthly active users by Dec 31, 2025.

As of March, it had ~600M MAUs (per Google court filing). To reach 1B, it’d need 8.8% MoM growth—faster than TikTok managed at scale.

For reference, ChatGPT grew ~9% MoM from 100M to 400M WAUs in 2023–24.

Trade Watcher

25 Jun 2025 08:35

China's rare earth magnet exports plunge 74% YoY

In May, China’s rare earth magnet exports fell 74% YoY — the largest monthly drop on record. Total exports hit 1.2M kg, the lowest since Feb 2020.

Exports to the U.S. collapsed 93% to ~46,000 kg after a 59% drop in April.

China produces ~69% of the world’s rare earth minerals and processes ~90%, making its exports a central lever in the tariff war.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 20:32

Polymarket nears $200M raise at $1B+ valuation

Prediction market platform Polymarket is reportedly close to raising $200M, pushing its valuation beyond the $1B mark.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 19:24

JUST IN: The EU cautions that even a minimal Trump tariff could provoke retaliation.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 17:19

JUST IN: Blast detected in Damascus, Syria - per Reuters correspondents.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 16:36

JUST IN: Fed's Powell states that rate cuts are on hold due to anticipated significant inflation growth this year.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 16:27

U.S. Stocks on track for an annual inflow of $360 Billion, the 3rd largest in history

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 14:42

JUST IN: Fed's Powell states the economy remains strong despite uncertainty. Tariffs could raise prices and impact the economy. US short-term interest rate futures dip as traders anticipate lower chances of early Fed rate cuts.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 12:48

JUST IN: Trump says Israel and Iran both violated the ceasefire

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 10:24

JUST IN: Iran denies launching rockets after ceasefire

Tehran claims it did not fire any rockets at Israel following the ceasefire agreement, rejecting reports of renewed attacks.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 10:00

JUST IN: Iran's security body to announce 'end of war' with Israel soon, while Israeli Defense Minister orders strong military response to Iran's ceasefire breach with strikes in Tehran.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 08:32

July rate cut odds rise to 22.7%

Markets are slowly pricing in higher chances of a Fed cut in July, with odds now at 22.7%.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 06:36

Trump declares a "complete and total ceasefire" between Israel and Iran, naming it "The 12 Day War" now "considered ended."

Trade Watcher

25 Jun 2025 11:00

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Trade Watcher

25 Jun 2025 10:05

S&P 500 up 50% since Michael Burry’s sell warning

Trade Watcher

25 Jun 2025 09:00

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Trade Watcher

25 Jun 2025 07:32

session stops:

orders like to absorb price below or above session highs/lows.

in particular during the opening phase of New York session.

stops placed above or below London session trigger predictable orders to fill from the passive limit side.

example ↑

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 19:32

The S&P 500 is up 2% since this headline.

Oil is down 12%.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 18:42

JUST IN: Powell predicts significant tariff inflation effects from June to August. If not observed, it could lead to earlier cuts.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 16:54

Trump nominated for Nobel Peace Prize

Donald Trump has been nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize for brokering the ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 16:27

JUST IN: Fed's Powell suggests earlier rate cuts if inflation is weaker than anticipated.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 15:23

JUST IN: Fed's Hammack indicates more progress needed for 2% inflation target, notes policy is near neutral, expects Fed to hold steady for now, and sees no urgent need to cut interest rates.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 13:24

Trump about Israel and Iran

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 11:53

Germany approves €500B debt plan through 2029

Chancellor Merz’s cabinet greenlit a 2025 budget with €82B in new debt this year, rising to €126B by 2029 — totaling €500B.

The boost targets NATO’s 3.5% GDP defense goal, amid pressure from Trump to reach 5%.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 10:10

JUST IN: Israeli Defense Minister: Strikes ordered on central Tehran

The Defense Minister said he instructed the army to launch powerful strikes on targets in central Tehran in response to Iran’s ceasefire violation.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 09:39

JUST IN: Israeli military reports identifying missiles fired from Iran towards Israel.

Trade Watcher

24 Jun 2025 07:32

Berkshire now pays 5% of all U.S. corporate tax

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway paid a record $26.8B in corporate taxes — accounting for 5% of the entire U.S. corporate tax bill.

Trade Watcher

23 Jun 2025 20:34

JUST IN: Trump opposes further military involvement in the Middle East, reports CNN.