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Telegram-канал trade - Trade Watcher

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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy

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Trade Watcher

The trouble is, you think you have time.

You live like there’s always another Monday, another chance, another year.

But one day, there won’t be.

And all the things you meant to do will just stay meant

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Trade Watcher

The options were:

Pay off debt
Or
Print more money

And you thought we were going to pay off debt?

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Trade Watcher

Crypto Alpha Scout — Hunt the Next 100× Token

CoinMarketCap

Scour Telegram, X, Discord, and on-chain flows before anyone else. Surface early-stage gems, drop crisp project briefs, and shape what millions see on CoinMarketCap.

Earn your cut of ad revenue, score quarterly token boosts, and get pro tools and global crypto-conf passes on the house.
Ad. 18+

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Trade Watcher

Some people are built for the grind. Others for the paycheck.

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Trade Watcher

Realizing the Fed hasn’t even cut rates yet

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Trade Watcher

JUST IN: James Wynn, a high-stakes leverage trader, has deactivated his account on X.

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Trade Watcher

Global trade dominance 2000 vs 2024

United States vs European Union vs China

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Trade Watcher

you get more consistent by becoming more selective

most of you take every setup that just “looks good”

but “looks good” isn’t a repeatable system

long-term consistency comes from letting go of FOMO
and being fine with missing moves that don’t meet your standards

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Trade Watcher

JUST IN: The US Government reports a rare $27 billion budget surplus in June, primarily due to tariffs.

• Tariff collections in June reached approximately $27 billion, a +301% increase from June 2024.
• Total tariff collections for 2025 amount to $113 billion, up +86% year-over-year.

The significant increase in tariff collections could positively influence market sentiment by reducing the national deficit, potentially impacting investor confidence.

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Trade Watcher

Are you paying attention?

Bitcoin is now up +55% since its April 2025 low, hitting a RECORD $115,000.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar just had its WORST start to a year since 1973, falling nearly -11% in 6 months.

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Trade Watcher

Current situation:

1. Bitcoin is up +60% in 3 months like the USD is broken

2. The USD is falling in its worst start to a year since 1973

3. Gold prices are rising toward $3,400/oz like inflation is back

4. Treasury yields are rising like deficit spending is worsening

5. Silver prices are rising like uncertainty never ended

Don't discount the impact of the deficit spending crisis.

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Trade Watcher

5 Lessons from Jim Simons — the Greatest Trader of All Time

Jim Simons, founder of Renaissance Technologies, ran the Medallion Fund — the most profitable hedge fund in history. Here's what traders can learn from him:

— Quantify your edge
Backtest historical data to find repeatable patterns. Simons' models were based on statistical analysis, not gut feeling.

— Follow your system with discipline
“We don’t override the models.” Even the best strategy fails without consistency.

— Trade liquid, model-friendly assets

Simons only traded instruments that were public, liquid, and quantifiable. Illiquid assets carry hidden risks.

— You don’t need a high win rate
His systems were right just 50.75% of the time — but with strong risk/reward ratios, they still made billions.

— Stick to the core principles
Risk management, small losses, and letting winners run — these principles never go out of style.

Trading isn’t magic — it’s math and discipline.

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Trade Watcher

What is the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Quick explanation ↑

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Trade Watcher

US Wage Growth Stalling?

13.3% of Americans haven’t received a pay raise — the highest in 4 years.
That’s up 3 points in 2 years, now worse than in 2001 and on par with 2008.

With CPI inflation at 2.4%, many are seeing real wage declines.
Headline jobs data looks strong — but under the surface, the labor market is clearly softening.

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Trade Watcher

The crisis continues:

Since the debt ceiling was raised on July 3rd, US debt is now up $410 BILLION in 2 days.

This comes after the US Treasury ended "extraordinary measures," raising the debt ceiling by $5 trillion.

We are in the midst of the US largest crisis.

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Trade Watcher

Consistency is boring.

Boring is profitable.

Accept it.

Get rich slow.

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Trade Watcher

Citibank trader manually triangular arbitraging fx circa 2005

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Trade Watcher

Musk calls on Trump to release Epstein files

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Trade Watcher

Why trading hasn’t changed your life (yet)

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Trade Watcher

JUST IN: Donald Trump announces a 30% tariff on the European Union and Mexico, warning that if they retaliate, tariffs will increase by the same amount.

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Trade Watcher

Unbelievably locked in.

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Trade Watcher

9-5 jobs are comfort money.

They give you just enough money to make it hard to leave. Then you buy a house, get a car, have kids. Then it's too much risk to leave the job.

Next thing you know, you blink, and you're 60.

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Trade Watcher

JUST IN: Deputy FBI Director Dan Bongino is thinking about quitting due to the Epstein files memo, according to CNN.

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Trade Watcher

🕯 One cheat sheet to rule your candle pattern confusion.

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Trade Watcher

JUST IN: Trump commented on the Canada tariff carve-outs, indicating uncertainty with "We'll see." He also mentioned that the Canada tariffs were "fairly well received."

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Trade Watcher

Most Bullish S&P 500 Forecast So Far

Sanctuary Wealth Management predicts the S&P 500 will hit 7,000 by year-end.

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Trade Watcher

Nvidia > Germany?

Nvidia’s market cap has now surpassed the entire GDP of Germany — plus an extra trillion dollars.

One chipmaker is now worth more than one of the world’s largest economies.

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Trade Watcher

The Formula for Trading Full-Time

Trading for a living isn’t just about passion — it’s a numbers game. Here’s what you really need before quitting your job:

— No debt and low monthly expenses
— 6-month emergency fund (separate from trading capital)
— Enough capital to make returns meaningful
— A proven trading system with an edge
— Discipline, experience, and stress tolerance
— Acceptance of irregular income (trading ≠ paycheck)

• Reality: Traders don’t earn weekly — they earn only if their winners outpace losers.
• Your real boss becomes price action.
• Most fail because they chase big returns with small capital.

The math that matters:
Trading Capital × Monthly Return ≥ Monthly Expenses (plus taxes)

If that equation doesn’t work, you’re not ready. Most people should trade to grow capital first — not rely on it to survive.

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Trade Watcher

JUST IN: The S&P 500 reaches a new record, increasing 30% from its low in April 2025.

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Trade Watcher

JUST IN: Dimon stated that the real data on the U.S. economy is extremely difficult to interpret and suggested there's a 40%-50% probability of higher U.S. interest rates.

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