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💸 Japan Just Killed the Global Money Printer
Japan’s bond yield hit 1.71 percent, the highest since 2008. Sounds small, but this number is shaking global markets more than most people realize. The country spent decades flooding the world with near-free money, and that flow just flipped.
🔊 Japan used to pump trillions into global bonds, keeping mortgages cheap and markets inflated
🔊 Rising yields turned the math upside down, adding billions in interest to Japan’s own debt
🔊 Japanese pension funds are now selling US Treasuries instead of buying
🔊 The yen carry trade is unwinding and forcing leveraged positions to close
🔊 Higher US yields risk hitting stocks, emerging markets and corporate credit
If Japan keeps tightening in December, markets won’t shrug it off. The world relied on Japanese liquidity for years, and that cushion is disappearing fast. This shift won’t stay under the radar for long.
🗓 Key Events This Week
The US shutdown has officially ended, which means delayed economic data will finally be released. Markets now turn their focus to policy tone, labor trends, and Nvidia earnings.
Wednesday
• Fed Meeting Minutes.
Investors will look for clarity on rate cut timing and balance sheet plans.
• Nvidia $NVDA Earnings.
Implied move around 7.5 percent. With a 4.6T market cap this is roughly a 345B potential swing in value, big enough to move the entire market.
Thursday
• September Jobs Report.
Delayed due to the shutdown and now back in focus. Labor trends will shape expectations for future Fed action.
• Philly Fed Manufacturing Data.
• October Existing Home Sales.
Friday
• November Services and Manufacturing PMI.
• University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations.
If jobs data and PMIs come in soft, yields may ease and give support to risk assets.
A strong labor print or sticky inflation expectations could revive hawkish sentiment.
Nvidia remains the wildcard. Strong numbers could boost tech and risk appetite while a miss may trigger sharp rotations.
This week will set the tone for how markets close out November.
JUST IN: President Trump has unexpectedly directed Congress to release the Epstein files.
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📈 The Behavioral Gap: Why You Know One Thing but Do Another
There is always a difference between the profit you could make and the profit you actually end up with.
That space in the middle is the behavioral gap.
It forms slowly and quietly.
Every time you know the right move but choose something else.
You know a loss should be cut, yet you hold.
You know your plan matters, yet you drift from it.
The mind leans toward comfort. It feels safer to read more, analyze more, prepare more, than to put real money at risk and accept being wrong.
Meanwhile, the gap keeps widening.
Your knowledge grows, but your actions don’t.
And the market cares only about the latter.
It doesn’t reward theory or preparation. It rewards what you execute.
Closing this gap isn’t about learning another concept.
It starts when your decisions finally match what you already know.
When plans turn into action.
When discipline outweighs hesitation.
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The market is not the problem, you are the problem.
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Keep going.
Trade with smaller quantities until your trading style and emotions align with the market.
Sooner or later, the market will reward you.
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Trader A says the edge is in the strategy. If someone learns their scans and buy points, they’ll lose it.
Trader B says the edge is in position sizing and trade management, the parts that make any strategy work.
The truth is, the edge is a hypothetical concept that lives in the mind. It exists only as long as you believe it does.
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🪙 The Coin Flip That Teaches You Everything About Trading
Every trade is a coin flip. Heads you win, tails you lose. It sounds simple, fair, even elegant, until it’s your real money on the line.
Flip once and it feels harmless. Flip a thousand times and the math starts to work against you. Lose three in a row and even three wins can’t bring you back. That is how risk works. It is not balanced. Every loss shrinks your base, and every next win gives you less.
Most traders do not fail because they are wrong. They fail because they bet too big.
The only real edge in markets is patience. Knowing when not to play. Waiting until the odds lean in your favor and sizing your position accordingly. Big when it matters, small or flat when it does not. Most of the time, that means doing nothing.
But doing nothing feels unnatural. The mind wants movement. So we force trades that are not there, chase volatility, and mistake activity for progress.
Patience is not a virtue. It is math. It is the understanding that survival depends on saying no much more often than yes.
The best traders do not flip more coins. They flip cleaner ones. They wait for edge, for clarity, for conviction. That is how randomness turns into performance.
Before your next trade, ask yourself one question.
Would you sign your name under it?
JUST IN: The US Commerce Department has announced that the second reading for Q3 GDP will be released on November 26 at 8:30 a.m. ET (1230 GMT).
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JUST IN: Bitcoin is falling toward $95,000, while Ether has declined by 11% over the past 24 hours. Liquidations in the crypto market are surging.
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JUST IN: Bitcoin continues its decline, dropping below $97,000 for the first time since May 8.
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JUST IN: At 2 PM, Trump is scheduled to sign new executive orders.
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‼️ The Big Short investor just walked away after betting against the AI boom
Most people know Michael Burry as the investor who saw the housing crash coming. Now he has stepped out of public markets right after taking fresh bearish positions on two of the biggest AI names. The timing is what makes the story so hard to ignore.
🤚 Burry takes his fund out of sight
Scion Asset Management is no longer registered with the SEC. Once a fund is off that list, it no longer has to reveal its holdings. Burry effectively moved his trades out of public view.
🔽 His latest trade targets two AI high-flyers
Right before disappearing from the spotlight, Scion reported new positions against Palantir and Nvidia. Burry spent about nine million on options that let him sell Palantir at fifty dollars in 2027, far below where it trades today. It’s a clear challenge to the current AI enthusiasm.
🟰 The numbers behind the hype look uneven
AI giants keep pouring huge sums into hardware that becomes outdated quickly, while spreading the costs across many years to keep earnings looking strong. On top of that, AI workloads keep driving energy use higher. The numbers look impressive from afar, but the foundations aren’t as simple as they seem.
🚪 Stepping away instead of fighting the crowd again
Burry has lived through the stress of being early once. This time he made his move, shifted his fund into a private setup and removed himself from the constant attention that comes with public filings.
He may be right or wrong, but when the mind behind The Big Short quietly positions against the market’s favorite story and goes offline right after, it’s a moment worth noting.
JUST IN: Disney's stock, $DIS, plunged more than 8% after the company reported revenue below expectations. The decline positions it for the steepest single-day drop in seven months.
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‼️ Peter Thiel Just Nuked His NVIDIA Position
Peter Thiel wiped out his entire NVIDIA stake in one move. More than half a million shares gone. Zero left. For someone known for spotting bubbles before they burst, this shift is loud.
🔊 Thiel Macro dumped 537k NVIDIA shares in Q3
🔊 Cut Tesla by more than seventy percent at the same time
🔊 Portfolio size collapsed from 212 million to 74.4 million
🔊 Rotated into Microsoft and Apple instead of riding the AI hardware wave
🔊 NVIDIA still trades far above its long term valuation norms
Palantir, a company tied to Thiel and one of the biggest AI winners this year, is soaring. Yet he still bailed on AI hardware.
Thiel has seen hype cycles turn brutal. He watched Cisco lose most of its value after the dot com frenzy. His latest move hints he sees the same pattern forming around chips and training rigs today.
With NVIDIA earnings landing soon, big money is already shifting to safety. Thiel just moved first. The signal is clear enough for anyone who wants to see it.
Most "psychological" trading problems are symptoms of weak or ambiguous processes.
Weak process → uncertainty → stress → impulsiveness → losses → emotional damage.
Clear process → less ambiguity → lower stress → disciplined decisions → consistency.
Your inner game is a reflection of your outer process.
Your psychology can’t outperform your process.
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JUST IN: Alphabet (GOOGL) shares surged nearly 7% in overnight trading after Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway purchased $4.3 billion worth of the stock.
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The trader who made it failed more times than the quitter even tried.
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“As soon as I fix my psychology I’ll be profitable.”
The Most Important Trading Advice 👆
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Progress in trading is exponentially delayed.
The small iterations you make week after week, studying your wins, losses, and most importantly your own behavior, compound long before they show any visible results.
Then suddenly, all at once, you see massive improvements.
Seemingly out of nowhere.
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🥈Silver may be gearing up for a real breakout
Tavi Costa points out that silver could be entering a true price discovery phase. And it’s happening while the gold to silver ratio sits near levels that historically marked major turning points.
⏺ The current ratio is still close to multi-decade highs
⏺ Past spikes of this size often preceded strong silver runs
⏺ The chart shows multiple years above extreme readings
⏺ Silver usually reacts when the ratio drifts far from its long-term average
It’s the kind of setup that builds quiet pressure for a move, and the market looks like it’s getting ready to test how far silver can actually go.
🔽 Quantum computing stocks in historic collapse - Is this the dot-com bubble 2.0?
All 4 major stocks have lost ~50% in under a month:
⏺$RGTI: $58→$26 (-54%)
⏺$QUBT: $27→$10 (-53%)
⏺$QBTS: $47→$24 (-42%)
⏺$IONQ: $85→$46 (-44%)
Investors are now confronting the fundamentals: 200-900x sales multiples, zero profits, widening losses, and commercial quantum still at least 15-30 years away.
Combined loss: $30B+ in market cap evaporated since mid-October peaks.
📂 US Government Shutdown Final Stats:
1️⃣ 5 million airline passengers delayed or cancelled
2️⃣ $619 billion in new federal debt
3️⃣ Federal statistical system "permanently damaged"
4️⃣ October jobs & inflation data may never be released
5️⃣ 43 days of economic data currently delayed
6️⃣ 750,000 federal workers furloughed
The current funding bill only reopens the government through January 30th.
Round 2 awaits.
If you invested at the peak of the Nasdaq in March 2000, it would have been roughly 18 years before you were whole again: 15 years before the index reached the same point, plus another 3 for inflation.
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JUST IN: StubHub's stock, $STUB, plunged over 20% after the company released its Q3 2025 earnings and suspended future guidance.
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JUST IN: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has risen above 21.0, indicating heightened market volatility.
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JUST IN: The Nasdaq 100 is experiencing losses of nearly -2% today amid the reopening of the US government.
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🌍 The Economist: What Will Actually Shape 2026
The new World Ahead 2026 report is out, and it paints a year that feels experimental, unstable and full of sharp turns. Here is a clean, readable breakdown in simple English.
🇺🇸 America at 250
The US celebrates its anniversary in the middle of deep political division. The country sees itself in two different colors. Even if Congress shifts, Trump’s tariff-driven and executive-order style remains the center of power.
🌐 A world without a clear order
We are not going back to the Cold War, but the old global structure is fading. Instead of fixed blocs, the world is moving toward flexible “coalitions of the willing” built around trade, defense or climate. Instinct often beats protocol.
⚔️ Peace or new conflict
Gaza may hold a fragile pause, but Ukraine, Sudan and Myanmar continue. russia and China maintain pressure in grey zones. New tension builds in the Arctic, cyberspace and underwater cable routes.
🇪🇺 Europe’s impossible mix
Europe tries to boost defense, keep growth alive, support trade and stay green. Doing all of this at once is unrealistic. Rising deficits and a stronger populist wave are the real challenges ahead.
🇨🇳 China sees an opening
With the US leaning into protectionism, China positions itself as a “reliable partner” for the Global South. Deals come quietly and pragmatically. With Washington, Beijing aims for tactical cooperation rather than open confrontation.
📉 Growing economic risk
The global economy is slowing. Developed nations run on debt, raising the odds of bond-market stress. The change of Fed chair in May becomes a crucial moment for liquidity and risk appetite.
🤖 AI anxiety keeps rising
The AI investment boom might be covering real economic weaknesses. If the bubble pops, the hit spreads everywhere. Job anxiety grows the fastest among educated professionals.
🌱 Climate shows both hope and doubt
Global emissions likely peaked. Clean tech accelerates in developing nations. Companies keep going green but stop shouting about it. Geothermal energy turns into a serious growth field.
⚽️ Sport becomes political
The 2026 World Cup in North America may carry more tension than celebration. At the same time, the Enhanced Games in Las Vegas with fully allowed doping spark a new debate about what “fair” even means.
💊 Biotech and the post-Ozempic era
Cheaper and stronger GLP-1 weight-loss drugs appear, even in pill form. Society now faces the moral question of whether pharmaceutical self-enhancement becomes a new baseline.
🎯 The big picture
According to The Economist, 2026 becomes a year of experiments. Politics, economics, technology and even human biology move into untested territory. The boundaries between natural and artificial keep fading.
The world steps into a year where no one is following old instructions, and the future is shaped by rapid, messy, high-stakes trial and error.