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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy

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Trade Watcher

📈 Linda Raschke’s 12 rules that still work today

Linda Raschke is one of the original Market Wizards with more than 40 years of trading experience. Her rules sound simple, but they remain some of the most practical lessons for anyone trading price action.

🟡 Buy the first pullback after a new high.
Sell the first rally after a new low
Momentum usually continues before it reverses.

🟡 Afternoon strength or weakness should have follow through the next day
The market rarely fakes late moves without showing them again in the morning.

🟡 The best reversals happen in the morning
If you want to catch clean turns, focus on early hours.

🟡 The bigger the gap, the higher the chance of continuation
Gaps are emotion and positioning — they rarely close right away.

🟡 Watch how price reacts around the previous day’s high or low
These are key tests of strength or weakness.

🟡 Yesterday’s high and low are pivot points
Price either rejects them or breaks through and continues.

🟡The last hour tells the truth
Smart money shows its hand late in the day. Consecutive strong closes confirm a trend.

🟡 High volume at the close means continuity next morning
Volume is conviction. It often carries into the next session.

🟡 The first hour defines the framework for the day
Most of the daily range is printed early.

🟡 Early signs of a strong trend matter more today than before
With more range coming in the first hour, waiting often means missing the move.

🟡Four timeless principles of price action
• Trends continue more often than they reverse
• Momentum leads price
• Trends end in climax
• Markets alternate between expansion and contraction

🟡 Nobody knows the future
The successful trader does not predict but reacts to what the market does.

These rules are decades old, yet they still map perfectly onto today’s markets. Because markets evolve, but human behavior does not.

Edge is not about being right. It is about reacting better than the crowd.


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BREAKING: President Trump says India has offered to cut their tariffs on the US to 0%.

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📈 Nasdaq breaks all records

The Nasdaq’s market cap relative to the US money supply (M2) has reached 176%. This means the index is now almost twice the size of all liquid money in the economy.

Key points:

🟡 The ratio is 45 points above the Dot-Com Bubble peak in 2000
🟡 Market cap relative to US GDP is at 129%, almost double the Dot-Com era
🟡 Stock prices have never outpaced money supply growth by this much

This is not just an overextension. It is a signal that liquidity and valuations are completely out of sync. The last time we saw something close to this, it did not end quietly.

The question is no longer if it unwinds, but how violently.


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Patience will make you rich.

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Trying doesn’t guarantee success.

But not trying guarantees failure.

The choice has always been that simple.

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Don’t beat yourself up over past mistakes.

You’ll make plenty more before you get it right.


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A salary is the bribe they give you to forget your own dreams.

Comfort today, regret tomorrow.

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Every click is a risk.

Every mistake has a price.

The question is: can you afford the lessons long enough to graduate?

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🔥Our Alpha Private Community Closing Tomorrow

Enrollment shuts down tomorrow at midnight.

White Horse is our private Telegram group, built by the teams behind Trade Watcher and Crypto Insider.

September is shaping up to be very profitable, both in Сrypto and TradFi.

Don’t miss the chance to ride the top runners of this bull run that we’ve selected, and take advantage of intraweek trades on traditional assets.


Inside, you’ll find:

💸Crypto
➡️ Trend tracking, narrative flows, and mindshare recaps
➡️ Swing setups on coins from the top 200 CMC
➡️ High-risk meme plays and early on-chain bets

💵TradFi
➡️ Macro bias and weekly outlooks
➡️ Mid-term setups on FX, indices, and metals
➡️ Stock insights from a guy who sees it before the crowd

🪙 $45/month — fixed for early members

The price will go up with the next wave, but those who join now keep this rate for good.

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Trade Watcher

Winning often comes down to doing less.

Find greatness, hold on, and let time do the heavy lifting.


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Play and Earn Bitcoin

Speed Wallet

Earn free Bitcoin by playing your favorite games. The more you play, the more you earn!
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JUST IN: A US Appeals Court has ruled that the majority of Donald Trump's global tariffs are illegal.

• The court determined that Donald Trump "exceeded his authority" in implementing the tariffs.

The ruling may lead to a reassessment of current trade policies and could impact investor sentiment towards affected industries.

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📈 Hedge funds are piling into China

Chinese equities just recorded the strongest monthly inflows from hedge funds ever. After years of selling pressure, capital is flooding back in size, both onshore and offshore.

This is more than a short-term trade.
It shows hedge funds are willing to re-risk into China again, betting that policy easing and stimulus will outweigh structural headwinds.

Whether this becomes a sustained trend or just a positioning squeeze will set the tone for global flows in Q4.

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JUST IN: The U.S. reported July's core PCE price index showed an increase.

• The annual rate rose to 2.9%, the highest since December 2024.
• The core PCE monthly rate climbed to 0.3% from 0.1%.
• The overall PCE annual rate remained at 2.6% with a monthly increase of 0.2%.

This increase in the core PCE rate could heighten inflation concerns, potentially influencing monetary policy and impacting financial markets.

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📈 Auction Market Theory — the backbone of price action

Most traders stare at candles without asking the real question: what is the market trying to do here?

Auction Market Theory breaks it down into four simple steps:


🟡 Define Value
Price first establishes a fair value, a balance zone where most of the trading happens. Roughly 70% of volume lives here. Think of it as the market’s comfort zone.

🟡 Test Extremes
Price pushes outside that zone. If rejected, it snaps back to value. If it breaks, we move into discovery, a new area of business.

🟡 Imbalance
This is where things accelerate. One-sided order flow creates sharp, directional moves. These aren’t levels you fade, they’re moves you ride.

🟡 Rebalance
Eventually, the market pauses and either builds a new fair value area or returns to the old one. Balance always follows imbalance.

This cycle repeats endlessly.
Balance → test → imbalance → rebalance.

The skill isn’t predicting the cycle but recognizing which phase you’re in and trading with it, not against it.


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🤖 AI is coming for jobs and faster than most expect.

According to Microsoft’s research, the roles with the highest risk of replacement are interpreters, historians, flight attendants, sales reps, writers, and customer service.

In other words, jobs that rely on pattern recognition, structured responses, or repeatable tasks.


But there’s nuance.

AI is best at automating what is routine and predictable. Where humans will keep their edge is in areas requiring:

🟡 Critical thinking — asking the right questions, not just answering them
🟡 Creativity — producing something genuinely new, not derivative
🟡 Human trust — leadership, relationships, empathy
🟡 Adaptability — being able to shift skills and domains as tools change

The chart shows millions of roles exposed, but history is clear: technology does not just destroy jobs, it reshapes them. The typewriter killed scribes but created millions of roles in publishing. The internet destroyed travel agencies but built trillion-dollar digital industries.

The real takeaway is not to compete with AI where it is strongest. Use it to multiply your own edge, automate the grunt work, and position yourself where human judgment still matters.


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💶 Scramble makes investing in consumer brands simple

Scramble is a European platform that lets anyone back fast-growing consumer companies and earn from it - without the noise of stocks or daily market tracking.

Each month, users get a curated batch of companies, and investments are automatically diversified.


🟡 Founder-backed loans, disbursed in stages to reduce risk
🟡 Group A: monthly repayments, up to 12.4% annually
🟡 Group B: higher risk, up to 25% returns
🟡 Scramble co-invests up to 20% in every batch

New users get €10 for signing up, plus €5 bonus for every €100 invested.


Positioned as a hands-off, lower-volatility way to grow capital,
Scramble is betting on the appeal of consumer brands as a stable entry point for retail investors.

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🗓 Key events this week

A short holiday week still packs a heavy macro punch. Traders will be watching every data release as positioning into September builds.

🟡Monday — Labor Day
Markets closed, but futures still set the tone. Expect lower liquidity.

🟡Tuesday — ISM Manufacturing PMI
A key read on industrial activity. Weakness here reinforces slowdown fears, while a surprise uptick could reprice Fed expectations.

🟡Wednesday — JOLTS Job Openings
Closely watched by the Fed. Fewer openings would confirm cooling in the labor market, a signal for easing inflation pressures.

🟡Thursday — ADP Payrolls
Private-sector hiring update, often a noisy but directional preview of Friday’s jobs report.

🟡Thursday — Jobless Claims
Weekly gauge of labor health. Persistent claims creeping higher would add weight to slowdown narratives.

🟡Thursday — ISM Services PMI
The most important PMI print — services dominate the US economy. A miss here would hit growth sentiment hard.

🟡Thursday — Broadcom $AVGO earnings
One of the last big AI-linked reports this season. Guidance will matter more than the quarter itself.

🟡Friday — US August Jobs Report
The main event. A soft print would strengthen bets on September rate cuts. A strong number could delay that timeline.

Manufacturing, services, and labor data all land in one compressed week. Add $AVGO earnings, and you’ve got catalysts lined up every day from Tuesday through Friday.


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A goal without steps is just a wish on paper.

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🔥Last Call to Join Our Private Community

Enrollment closes tonight and will remain shut through September, which is shaping up to be very profitable.

White Horse is our private Telegram group, built by the teams behind Trade Watcher and Crypto Insider.

Inside, you’ll find:

💸Crypto
➡️ Trend tracking, narrative flows, and mindshare recaps
➡️ Swing setups on coins from the top 200 CMC
➡️ High-risk meme plays and early on-chain bets

💵TradFi
➡️ Macro bias and weekly outlooks
➡️ Mid-term setups on FX, indices, and metals
➡️ Stock insights from a guy who sees it before the crowd

Historically, September delivers big moves in both Crypto and TradFi.

Don’t miss the chance to ride our selected bull-run leaders and catch intraweek setups on traditional assets.


🪙 $45/month — fixed for early members

The price will go up with the next wave, but those who join now keep this rate for good.

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Trade Watcher

Most traders lose it at the last step.

Patience and risk control are what keep the picture intact.


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Waiting with patience.

Acting with courage.

Accepting with calm.

The hardest parts of trading aren’t technical, they’re emotional.

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You don’t get paid for activity.

You get paid for patience and selectivity.

Fewer trades.
Bigger edge.
Better results.


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Everyone loves the speech.

Almost nobody is ready to live the grind behind it.

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Success demands a price most aren’t willing to pay.

The pain, the boredom, the uncertainty.

If you can endure it longer than others, you’ve already won.


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The best setups feel "natural".

They stand out immediately, feel clean, and align instantly with your intuition.

If you’re hesitating or trying to talk yourself into it - that’s already a red flag.

Great trades are always obvious, learn to wait for them.

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Why most traders quit — and what you can learn from it

Trading looks exciting from the outside, but most beginners don’t last. The path is long, filled with losses, and demands far more patience than people expect.

Here are the biggest reasons traders give up, and the lessons hidden in them
:

🟡Blowing up the account
The fastest way to exit trading is to lose everything too soon. Beginners often risk too much, chase random signals, and hope luck saves them. When the account is gone, the journey ends.

The lesson: survival comes before profit. Without risk management, there is no second chance.


🟡False expectations
Marketing promises easy money, automated systems, and quick success. Reality is different: endless study, constant uncertainty, and no shortcuts. Many leave disappointed.
The lesson: trading is not a lottery ticket, it’s a craft that takes years to build.


🟡Discouragement from losses
Losing trades are inevitable. Even the best lose often, but they size correctly and move on. Beginners treat every red trade as personal failure, which leads to fear or revenge-trading.
The lesson: treat losses as tuition, not disaster.


🟡Losing the zone
Every trader knows the flow state, when setups are clear, confidence is high, and execution feels easy. But life interrupts: personal issues, big losses, or simple burnout. Many never get back.
The lesson: discipline means restarting small, rebuilding momentum, and staying consistent.


🟡 Trading isn’t for everyone
Not everyone wants to sit in front of charts, take financial risks, and live with uncertainty. Some discover they simply don’t enjoy it.
The lesson: knowing when to step away is strength, not failure.


Most traders quit because they treat trading as a shortcut. The few who last see it for what it is: a profession.


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🏦 Central banks flip from Treasuries to gold

For the first time since 1996, foreign central banks now hold more gold than US Treasuries in their reserves.

🟡 Gold holdings as a share of reserves have been climbing steadily for a decade, while Treasury allocations keep shrinking.

🟡 The 1970s showed what happens when this trend accelerates — a structural shift in global finance.

🟡 This marks a break from the dollar’s dominance as the “risk-free” asset, with gold regaining its role as the anchor of reserves.

This isn’t just about metals.
It’s a sign of global rebalancing, away from US debt, toward hard assets.


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🔥OUR ALPHA PRIVATE COMMUNITY IS NOW OPEN — 3 DAYS LEFT

We’re opening the gates again until Sunday midnight.

White Horse is our private Telegram group, built by the teams behind Trade Watcher and Crypto Insider.

It’s a tight focus group where we trade, share ideas, and track real market shifts together.
Inside, you’ll find:

💸Crypto
➡️ Trend tracking, narrative flows, and mindshare recaps
➡️ Swing setups on coins from the top 200 CMC
➡️ High-risk meme plays and early on-chain bets

💵TradFi
➡️ Macro bias and weekly outlooks
➡️ Mid-term setups on FX, indices, and metals
➡️ Stock insights from a guy who sees it before the crowd

🪙 $45/month — fixed for early members

The price will go up with the next wave, but those who join now keep this rate for good.

Читать полностью…

Trade Watcher

💰 US tariff revenues hit record highs

Customs duties have quietly become one of Washington’s biggest cash machines.

After “Liberation Day” in April, monthly tariff revenue exploded from $8B to nearly $28B by July.


🟡 Tariffs now bring in $136B YTD, making them the 4th-largest federal revenue source after income taxes, social security, and corporate tax.

🟡 Still, it barely dents the picture: the US deficit sits at $1.6T, and annual interest payments alone are $841B.

🟡 Trump floated the idea of using tariff windfalls to “pay down debt” — or even pay out a dividend to Americans.

Tariffs are finally meaningful in size, but they’re a drop in the bucket compared to US spending.

The bigger story is what happens if revenues keep climbing toward the “half-trillion to trillion” level hinted by Treasury.


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