3472071
📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy
💰 Berkshire’s cash pile hits historic high
Berkshire Hathaway now holds 30% of its total assets in cash and short-term investments — the highest level on record.
🟡 That's over $180 billion sitting idle or waiting for deployment
🟡 Cash share is double the 2009 crisis peak and well above 2020 levels
🟡 Warren Buffett has repeatedly said he’d rather “wait for fat pitches” than chase yield
When the most patient investor in history is this defensive, it’s worth asking: what’s he waiting for?
📱 India overtakes China as top smartphone supplier to the US
In just one year, India’s share of smartphone exports to the US jumped from 13% to 44%, while China’s dropped from 61% to 30%.
🟡 India now leads the US smartphone supply chain for the first time
🟡 China’s dominance has been eroding since the 2020s trade war
🟡 Vietnam holds steady around 25%, while “Other” shrinks to just 2%
Supply chains are shifting fast—and so is the balance of power.
🥇 The man who cracked the market like a math problem
Jim Simons didn’t come from Wall Street. He was a mathematician, a codebreaker, and a professor.
But in the end, he built the most successful hedge fund in history — Renaissance Technologies.
His Medallion Fund returned 66% annually (gross) for over two decades. Closed to outside investors. No talking to media. No market narratives. Just data, math, and silence.
Here’s why he stands apart:
🟡 Worked at the NSA breaking Soviet codes during the Cold War
🟡 Got fired for opposing the Vietnam War — then became a geometry professor
🟡 Launched Renaissance at age 44 with no trading experience
🟡 Hired physicists, statisticians, even astronomers — but almost no finance people
🟡 Built predictive models using pattern recognition and historical data, not charts
🟡Medallion’s strategies were so secret that even employees couldn’t access full models
🟡 Routinely outperformed during both bull and bear markets — including 2008
🟡 Donated billions through the Simons Foundation to fund math and science research
🟡 Famously said: “Don’t get emotional. Just do the math.”
While others chased narratives, Simons treated the market like a noisy equation — and solved it.
Still, the biggest alpha might be this: he knew when to stop trading.
JUST IN: Donald Trump plans to make an announcement about semiconductors and chips in the next week.
Читать полностью…
JUST IN: The European Union has paused retaliatory tariffs as they conclude a trade agreement with the US.
Читать полностью…
⚡️ Musk offered $29B Tesla package — but only if he stays
Tesla’s board has proposed a new $29 billion stock compensation plan for Elon Musk — on one condition: he must stay in charge for at least two more years and hold the shares for five.
🖱 The plan reflects growing pressure from the AI talent war
🖱 Unlike his 2018 package, this one isn’t tied to market cap targets
🖱 For the first time, Musk is formally required to remain at Tesla
🖱 Shareholder vote scheduled for November
🖱 If Delaware’s Supreme Court upholds the previous $56B package rejection, this deal will be void
Tesla’s betting billions that keeping Musk is more valuable than chasing KPIs.
Claim your 1000 USDT now!
SWG
🎁 1000 USDT FREE when you join!
👥 Earn 10 USDT for each friend you invite!
Ad. 18+
The moment you need the trade to work… it won’t.
Because need is desperation.
And desperation leaks into your execution.
You size up. You rush. You pray.
You stop trading the chart — and start trading your emotions.
The market can smell that.
It punishes need.
It rewards detachment.
The less you care about the outcome,
the more clearly you’ll see the truth in front of you.
And that’s when trading starts to work.
💰 Powered by Startups
📈📉 Jesse Livermore: The rise and ruin of a trading legend
The greatest trader of the early 20th century made and lost entire fortunes multiple times. His net worth swings are still hard to believe.
Here’s what the chart shows — and what it teaches 👇
🟡 At 23, Livermore was up $1.68M
🟡 A year later, he was in debt $16K
🟡 By 30, he was worth over $90M
🟡 At 31, he hit $156M — his first real peak
🟡 He then lost almost everything again in 1908
🟡 In 1929, he shorted the crash and hit $1.6B (2021 dollars)
🟡 By 1934, he was down $100M and never recovered
💡Key lessons:
🔥 Volatility isn’t new — Livermore lived it
🔥 Even genius traders blow up without emotional discipline
🔥 It’s not just about making money. It’s about keeping it
🔥 Your biggest win can come right before your biggest mistake
The man who beat the market also became a cautionary tale.
This is why risk management isn’t optional.
The poor own cars
The middle class own homes
The rich own businesses
Starting a business doesn't guarantee great wealth, but it's one of the few paths to get there.
JUST IN: The EU will pause trade countermeasures against the US for six months.
Читать полностью…
JUST IN: Tesla's new stock award for Elon Musk ensures leadership stability until 2030, according to Wedbush.
• The 96 million-share grant aligns with efforts to secure Musk’s long-term commitment.
• The award is valued at $23.7 billion.
• Requires Musk to pay $23.34 per share upon vesting.
This strategic move could enhance investor confidence and positively influence Tesla’s stock price by assuring stable leadership during a competitive period in the AI industry.Читать полностью…
Looks like it works on the S&P 500 index itself
If all you ever did was buy high-quality stocks on the 200-week moving average, you would beat the S&P 500 by a large margin over time.
🖌 Figma IPO: every VC's dream seed round
Figma’s IPO glow-up is making early investors look like prophets. Let’s count the returns.
🖱 Index Ventures:
$3.8M seed → $7.2B → 1,900×
🖱 Greylock Partners:
$14M → $6.7B → 480×
🖱 Kleiner Perkins:
$25M → $6B → 240×
🖱 Sequoia Capital:
$40M → $1.1B → 27×
🖱 a16z:
$50M → ~$1.5B → 30×
🖱 Durable Capital:
$200M → ~$1.4B → 7×
The craziest stat?
Index Ventures only put 1% of its fund into the seed — and now it’s returned 17.5× the entire fund from that single bet.
Sometimes one stroke really does paint the whole picture.
JUST IN: Donald Trump is preparing new sanctions on Russia's shadow fleet if Putin doesn't agree to a ceasefire by Friday, according to the Financial Times.
Читать полностью…
JUST IN: Trump cautioned the EU about possible 35% tariffs.
• He stated he lowered their tariff from 30% to 15% after they paid $600 billion.
• He described this as a gift rather than a loan.
• The payment allows him to invest as he wishes, insisting it's time for the EU to contribute due to past discrepancies.
This announcement could affect market expectations, impacting investor confidence and trade relations between the EU and the US.Читать полностью…
JUST IN: Trump: Plans to significantly increase tariffs on India within the next 24 hours.
Читать полностью…
JUST IN: Donald Trump indicated he may soon reveal his choice for the next Federal Reserve Chair.
Читать полностью…
📊 The market is now a tech-heavy giant
Tech and tech-adjacent stocks have ballooned to 55% of the entire US equity market — the highest concentration in history.
🟡 Tech’s share has doubled since 2008
🟡 At the peak of the Dot-Com Bubble, it was ~50%
🟡 Defensive stocks are at a record low of ~17%
🟡 Traditional cyclicals make up just ~28%
This isn’t just about growth. It’s about dominance.
And when everything hinges on one sector — the cracks, when they come, cut deeper.
‼️ $IDXX soars 27% — just after Congress-backed biotech bill
Three politicians bought $IDXX in the weeks before Congress introduced a bill to boost biotech funding. All three sit on the exact committees the bill was referred to.
🟡 $IDXX makes biotech products for livestock and agriculture
🟡 "National Biotech Initiative Act of 2025" was introduced shortly after
🟡 The stock just smashed earnings and surged 27%
Insider trading is illegal — unless you're in Congress.
📉 September rate cut odds hit 95%
💰 Powered by Startups
JUST IN: US stocks increased by more than +$1 trillion in market capitalization today, fueled by positive large-cap tech earnings and growing enthusiasm for AI.
Читать полностью…
JUST IN: The Indian government has criticized the U.S. for increasing tariffs, stating that the targeting of India is unjustified and unreasonable.
Читать полностью…
JUST IN: Trump has claimed that India is purchasing large quantities of Russian oil and then selling it on the open market for significant profits. He announced plans to significantly increase tariffs on India.
Читать полностью…
📈 Wyckoff Logic still runs the game
Richard Wyckoff was one of the first to map market cycles not as technical patterns, but as psychological traps.
He believed price moves were engineered by smart money and the key to profit was understanding their intentions.
A century later, his framework still explains most market traps better than any indicator 👇
🟡 Accumulation: low volume, max boredom. Everyone's out, except the ones who matter. Smart money fills bags in silence.
🟡 Markup: disbelief turns into FOMO. Volume rises. Retail starts chasing candles and stories.
🟡 Distribution: the party feels endless. Narratives peak. Insiders quietly unload while the crowd celebrates.
🟡 Markdown: exit doors get small. Weak hands panic. Most realize too late they were liquidity.
Every cycle follows this logic.
The only question is: where are we now?
JUST IN: Trump is set to appoint a new Federal Reserve governor and Bureau of Labor Statistics chief.
• The new appointments are due to Adriana Kugler's resignation from the Fed to return to Georgetown University.
• Trump fired current BLS head Erika McEntarfer after poor jobs data.
• Candidates are expected to align with Trump's preference for rate cuts.
The appointments could influence investor expectations and market sentiment, particularly regarding future economic policy direction based on Trump's preferences for the Federal Reserve.Читать полностью…
📉 Alex Krüger compares current market drop to August 2024 crash
Macro strategist Alex Krüger says we’re seeing a “smaller-scale replay” of last year’s August crash — triggered back then by a BoJ rate hike, hawkish Fed comments, and a recession-scare jobs report.
This time? No carry trade collapse, but the same pattern is emerging.
🟡 Hawkish Fed tone + hot PCE inflation
🟡 Weak earnings from Amazon added fuel
🟡 Markets flipped into “bull trap” midweek, then tanked after Friday’s ugly jobs report
🟡 Trump firing the BLS chief was “noise,” but nuclear war comments triggered liquidations and likely marked the local bottom
Krüger sees crypto bottoming either now or Monday, just like in 2024. He plans to increase long positions before the US open — if panic continues overnight.
What’s next?
🟡 6.5 weeks until the next Fed meeting
🟡 Jackson Hole in late August
🟡 FOMC may turn dovish if economic data weakens further
🟡 Trump now gets to nominate a dovish Fed governor, potentially shaping rate policy ahead of 2026
Krüger remains bullish for Q4, citing:
🔥 Strong US growth
🔥 Rate cuts beginning in September
🔥 Improving regulatory clarity for crypto adoption
🎯 BTC 1-year target: $200K–$250K
Extreme, he admits — but plausible if fiscal + monetary policy overheat together in 2026.
He flags a bearish risk: Trump losing midterms. But that’s a separate thread.
Trading is a waiting game.
Waiting games are the hardest games you'll ever play.
They go against our natural tendency to want things fast.
💰 Powered by Startups
You don’t need to know what’s going to happen next in order to make money.
💰 Powered by Startups