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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy
JUST IN: President Trump says reciprocal tariffs have officially taken effect.
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JUST IN: Trump plans to meet with Putin from Russia as early as next week, according to the New York Times.
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JUST IN: Switzerland's president is departing the US without finalizing a trade agreement with Donald Trump.
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JUST IN: India intends to take steps to safeguard its national interests, criticizing US tariffs as "unfair, unjustified, unreasonable."
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JUST IN: Trump signs an executive order imposing an additional 25% tariff on India.
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📈 Trading isn’t about prediction — it’s about psychology
Mark Douglas, author of Trading in the Zone, spent decades studying why traders fail despite having strategies that should work. His conclusion? It's rarely the method — it's the mindset.
🟡 Markets are neutral — your reaction isn't
🟡 "Being right" is emotional, not profitable
🟡 Edge is probabilistic, not predictive
🟡 Most trading errors come from fear — not lack of skill
🟡 Confidence comes from trust in your process, not your outcome
Douglas believed the real battle is internal.
Until you stop fighting the market — and start mastering yourself — no strategy will save you.
👆 No one did it like Jim Simons.
Not a single losing year in terms of gross returns.
152.10% return in a single year on 5.2B is insane.
💰 Berkshire’s cash pile hits historic high
Berkshire Hathaway now holds 30% of its total assets in cash and short-term investments — the highest level on record.
🟡 That's over $180 billion sitting idle or waiting for deployment
🟡 Cash share is double the 2009 crisis peak and well above 2020 levels
🟡 Warren Buffett has repeatedly said he’d rather “wait for fat pitches” than chase yield
When the most patient investor in history is this defensive, it’s worth asking: what’s he waiting for?
📱 India overtakes China as top smartphone supplier to the US
In just one year, India’s share of smartphone exports to the US jumped from 13% to 44%, while China’s dropped from 61% to 30%.
🟡 India now leads the US smartphone supply chain for the first time
🟡 China’s dominance has been eroding since the 2020s trade war
🟡 Vietnam holds steady around 25%, while “Other” shrinks to just 2%
Supply chains are shifting fast—and so is the balance of power.
🥇 The man who cracked the market like a math problem
Jim Simons didn’t come from Wall Street. He was a mathematician, a codebreaker, and a professor.
But in the end, he built the most successful hedge fund in history — Renaissance Technologies.
His Medallion Fund returned 66% annually (gross) for over two decades. Closed to outside investors. No talking to media. No market narratives. Just data, math, and silence.
Here’s why he stands apart:
🟡 Worked at the NSA breaking Soviet codes during the Cold War
🟡 Got fired for opposing the Vietnam War — then became a geometry professor
🟡 Launched Renaissance at age 44 with no trading experience
🟡 Hired physicists, statisticians, even astronomers — but almost no finance people
🟡 Built predictive models using pattern recognition and historical data, not charts
🟡Medallion’s strategies were so secret that even employees couldn’t access full models
🟡 Routinely outperformed during both bull and bear markets — including 2008
🟡 Donated billions through the Simons Foundation to fund math and science research
🟡 Famously said: “Don’t get emotional. Just do the math.”
While others chased narratives, Simons treated the market like a noisy equation — and solved it.
Still, the biggest alpha might be this: he knew when to stop trading.
JUST IN: Donald Trump plans to make an announcement about semiconductors and chips in the next week.
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JUST IN: The European Union has paused retaliatory tariffs as they conclude a trade agreement with the US.
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⚡️ Musk offered $29B Tesla package — but only if he stays
Tesla’s board has proposed a new $29 billion stock compensation plan for Elon Musk — on one condition: he must stay in charge for at least two more years and hold the shares for five.
🖱 The plan reflects growing pressure from the AI talent war
🖱 Unlike his 2018 package, this one isn’t tied to market cap targets
🖱 For the first time, Musk is formally required to remain at Tesla
🖱 Shareholder vote scheduled for November
🖱 If Delaware’s Supreme Court upholds the previous $56B package rejection, this deal will be void
Tesla’s betting billions that keeping Musk is more valuable than chasing KPIs.
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The moment you need the trade to work… it won’t.
Because need is desperation.
And desperation leaks into your execution.
You size up. You rush. You pray.
You stop trading the chart — and start trading your emotions.
The market can smell that.
It punishes need.
It rewards detachment.
The less you care about the outcome,
the more clearly you’ll see the truth in front of you.
And that’s when trading starts to work.
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Your urgency is killing your results.
If you don’t know how to wait, you'll keep giving your profits back to the market.
Understand this and your trading will flip.
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📈 How to scale into trades without wrecking them
Most traders ruin good setups by adding too fast, too early, or too big.
The goal isn't to increase exposure — it's to increase clarity.
Here’s what helps:
🟡 Start small and scale only on strength, not weakness
🟡 One add per move is enough — more is chasing
🟡 Each add should be 10–20%, never more
🟡 Never average down — if price dips below entry, the setup is invalid
🟡 Set a firm size cap so emotions don’t override logic
Good scaling is boring, structured, and unemotional.
If it feels exciting — you're probably doing it wrong.
Trump hits India with 50% tariffs over Russian oil
Trump just signed an executive order raising tariffs on Indian imports to 50% officially in response to India’s ongoing purchases of Russian oil.
This is the first time the U.S. has economically punished a country for supporting Russia.
What this changes:
• India is one of Russia’s top oil buyers. This move aims to choke off that cashflow
• It puts pressure on India’s currency and inflation outlook
• It signals a shift - the U.S. is now targeting partners, not just enemies
• If India refuses to back down, it could strengthen its alignment with Russia and China
• Oil markets could react if India is forced to pivot away from Russian crude
Market impact to watch:
• Bearish pressure on INDA ETF and the rupee
• Possible oil upside if flows from Russia get disrupted
• More volatility for EM and commodity currencies
On the oil chart, we’re seeing a classic PO3 setup - accumulation, manipulation, and now signs of expansion.
And after three years of consolidation, if this breaks out, the move could be sharp and extended.
❕Your dollar lost 53% of its purchasing power over the past 30 years
That’s not an anomaly.
That’s the system.
Inflation isn’t just a number — it’s a silent thief.
Invest in real assets, or watch your money evaporate.
🔥OUR ALPHA PRIVATE COMMUNITY IS NOW OPEN — 5 DAYS ONLY
We’re opening the gates again until Sunday midnight.
White Horse is our private Telegram group, built by the teams behind Trade Watcher and Crypto Insider.
It’s a tight focus group where we trade, share ideas, and track real market shifts together.
Inside, you’ll find:
💸Crypto
➡️ Trend tracking, narrative flows, and mindshare recaps
➡️ Swing setups on coins from the top 200 CMC
➡️ High-risk meme plays and early on-chain bets
💵TradFi
➡️ Macro bias and weekly outlooks
➡️ Mid-term setups on FX, indices, and metals
➡️ Stock insights from a guy who sees it before the crowd
🪙 $45/month — fixed for early members
The price will go up with the next wave, but those who join now keep this rate for good.
Back in 2011, Charlie Munger shared his thoughts on Donald Trump 👆
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Every day, come to the market not wanting to trade.
Just ask yourself:
Is there something so obvious I can't ignore it?
JUST IN: Donald Trump is preparing new sanctions on Russia's shadow fleet if Putin doesn't agree to a ceasefire by Friday, according to the Financial Times.
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JUST IN: Trump cautioned the EU about possible 35% tariffs.
• He stated he lowered their tariff from 30% to 15% after they paid $600 billion.
• He described this as a gift rather than a loan.
• The payment allows him to invest as he wishes, insisting it's time for the EU to contribute due to past discrepancies.
This announcement could affect market expectations, impacting investor confidence and trade relations between the EU and the US.Читать полностью…
JUST IN: Trump: Plans to significantly increase tariffs on India within the next 24 hours.
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JUST IN: Donald Trump indicated he may soon reveal his choice for the next Federal Reserve Chair.
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📊 The market is now a tech-heavy giant
Tech and tech-adjacent stocks have ballooned to 55% of the entire US equity market — the highest concentration in history.
🟡 Tech’s share has doubled since 2008
🟡 At the peak of the Dot-Com Bubble, it was ~50%
🟡 Defensive stocks are at a record low of ~17%
🟡 Traditional cyclicals make up just ~28%
This isn’t just about growth. It’s about dominance.
And when everything hinges on one sector — the cracks, when they come, cut deeper.
‼️ $IDXX soars 27% — just after Congress-backed biotech bill
Three politicians bought $IDXX in the weeks before Congress introduced a bill to boost biotech funding. All three sit on the exact committees the bill was referred to.
🟡 $IDXX makes biotech products for livestock and agriculture
🟡 "National Biotech Initiative Act of 2025" was introduced shortly after
🟡 The stock just smashed earnings and surged 27%
Insider trading is illegal — unless you're in Congress.
📉 September rate cut odds hit 95%
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JUST IN: US stocks increased by more than +$1 trillion in market capitalization today, fueled by positive large-cap tech earnings and growing enthusiasm for AI.
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