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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy
Money isn't the goal.
The goal is to achieve the emotional skills that consistently generate that money.
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📖 The trading playbook of Paul Tudor Jones
Paul Tudor Jones is one of the most respected traders alive, the man who famously shorted the 1987 crash and walked away with a reported 200%+ return that year.
For decades, he’s run one of the most successful macro hedge funds, staying profitable through wildly different market regimes.
His rules are blunt, practical, and built from real battle scars:
🟡 Don’t average losers – If the market proves you wrong, adding more just digs the hole deeper.
🟡 Avoid trades you can’t control – Stay out of illiquid markets or situations where a headline can wipe you out.
🟡 Exit when uncomfortable – The moment a trade starts living rent-free in your head, close it.
🟡 Forget your entry price – Your PnL cares about what’s happening now, not where you got in.
🟡 Play defense first – Protect capital like a championship team protects its goal.
🟡 Assume every position is wrong – It keeps you nimble, humble, and quick to cut losses.
🟡 Drop the ego – Overconfidence is the fastest path to blowing up an account.
Jones’ edge isn’t just in spotting trades - it’s in the discipline to protect himself when the market turns.
That’s why these habits aren’t just “tips.” They’re survival rules.
JUST IN: President Trump announced he will soon converse with European leaders, describing them as "great people who want to see a deal done."
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📉 Berkshire stumbles without Buffett
Berkshire Hathaway has been hit hard since Warren Buffett announced in May he would step down.
🟡 Stock is down ~14% since May 2
🟡 S&P 500 is up ~11% in the same period
🟡 ~25% gap - the widest in decades, bigger than 2008 or 2000
The market’s making it clear — it was buying Buffett, not just the business.
Every trading strategy or setup has a failure rate.
When you learn to accept that, you stop assuming the next trade is going to be a winner.
This alone will help you stop over trading, over leveraging, and revenge trading.
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JUST IN: Trump is weighing a lawsuit against Federal Reserve's Powell.
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JUST IN: President Trump claims tariffs haven't led to inflation and significant funds are flowing into the US. He criticizes Goldman Sachs for not acknowledging achievements and suggests CEO David Solomon should concentrate on his DJ career.
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JUST IN: Donald Trump stated he is thinking about permitting "a major lawsuit" against Fed Chair Powell due to what he describes as a "horrible and grossly incompetent job." He also insists that Powell "must now lower rates" as the "damage he has done is incalculable."
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JUST IN: U.S. July CPI increased by 0.2%, matching expectations; core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 0.3%, also as expected.
• Year-over-year CPI grew by 2.7%, slightly below the consensus of 2.8%.
• Core CPI year-over-year increased by 3.1%, slightly above the forecast of 3.0%.
This data could influence investor expectations regarding inflationary pressures, potentially impacting market interest in inflation-sensitive assets.Читать полностью…
📈 Mastering CPI Days
CPI prints can move markets fast, but the real edge is in knowing how the game is played before, during, and after the release.
🟡 Timing — CPI usually drops at 8:30am EST. The day before can be slow or full of “seek and destroy” traps.
🟡 Before CPI — Look for clean price action early, but avoid premarket setups on the day itself.
🟡 After CPI — Stand aside for 15–60 mins. Wait for high-probability conditions to return.
🟡 Narrative — If price consolidates into CPI, expect manipulation first, then expansion in the intended direction.
CPI days aren’t for guessing the number, they’re for trading the reaction.
Our job as a trader isn’t to predict, but to execute.
Have you ever seen any gurus that teach you how to study candle by candle but they don’t actually make money?
You are a trader, not an Archaeologist.
Acting like a market wizard won’t make you profitable, it will only make you a psychopath.
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JUST IN: U.S. President Donald Trump has extended the tariff truce with China for 90 days.
• The truce prevented escalating tariffs.
• Both countries agreed to reduce tariffs.
• Export restrictions on rare earth magnets and certain technologies were eased.
JUST IN: Trump announced on Truth Social that there will be no tariffs on gold.
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JUST IN: Trump commented on China trade, saying, "We'll see what happens with the deadline."
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JUST IN: Intel shares increased by 5% amid reports of the CEO planning a visit to the White House.
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💱 Brazilian real breaks out
The Brazilian real is pushing through a major resistance this month, making it the second-strongest major currency year-to-date.
🟡 First clean breakout in over a decade
🟡 Signals renewed strength in emerging markets
🟡 Most global investors aren’t paying attention yet
EM currencies might be where the next big moves start forming.
⚡️ Data centers are eating the grid
US data centers now consume 5% of all electricity, a record high, driven by AI and digital infrastructure.
🟡 Share is set to more than double in the next 5 years
🟡 By 2030, they could use over 10% of all US power
🟡 Up to 40% of new electricity demand by 2030 will come from data centers
🟡 Annual demand growth projected at +23% through 2030
Energy could soon become the biggest bottleneck for AI.
🔥Stocks: all-time high
🔥Home Prices: all-time high
🔥Bitcoin: all-time high
🔥Gold: all-time high
🔥Money Supply: all-time high
🔥National Debt: all-time high
🔥CPI Inflation: 4% per year since Jan 2020, 2x the Fed's "target"
Fed: cutting interest rates next month 🫡
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⛏️ Golden Age of Mining?
Gold prices are holding near record highs while energy costs stay low - a dream setup for miners.
Margins in the sector are pushing 60%, way above the long-term average of ~35%.
🟡 Energy makes up about half of mining costs, so cheap oil and power mean more profit.
🟡 Gold is selling for ~$2,000 above production costs, giving companies a huge safety buffer.
🟡 Institutions are still underweight metals - less than 3% allocation in most Western portfolios.
If metals stay high and energy stays cheap, miners have room to post big numbers for a long time. The smart money hasn’t fully arrived yet.
📉 7 reasons most funded traders blow their accounts - and how to avoid them
Passing the challenge is just the entry ticket. The real test starts when live capital is on the line, and that’s where most traders fail - not from lack of skill, but from breaking structure under pressure.
🟡 Ignoring daily drawdown – Track both floating and closed losses. Set a max daily risk in advance and stop trading when it’s hit. If price action is messy, step away instead of forcing trades.
🟡 Overleveraging after a win – Confidence spikes after passing the challenge, but one oversized loss can wipe weeks of work. Keep risk per trade consistent and only increase size after weeks of stable results.
🟡 Revenge trading – Losses trigger the urge to win it all back fast. Break the cycle by taking a pause after each loss, journaling your emotions, and enforcing a daily stop-loss limit.
🟡 Not adapting to live conditions – Trading someone else’s money feels different. Start the first week with smaller risk, focus on execution quality, and build comfort before scaling.
🟡 Rigid strategies – Markets change with news and liquidity shifts. Keep your core approach but be ready to adjust timeframes, position sizes, or entry triggers when conditions change.
🟡 Misunderstanding payouts – Every prop firm has its own payout rules and scaling systems. Read them carefully, keep your own tracker, and confirm any unclear points with support before trading.
🟡 Poor risk psychology – Chasing huge RR trades or moving stops mid-trade kills accounts. Treat trading as capital management — protect first, grow second.
Funded trading rewards patience, discipline, and adaptability. Lasting in the game matters more than winning big on any single day.
JUST IN: Donald Trump stated he would consider suing Jerome Powell regarding the construction of Federal Reserve buildings.
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July CPI Preview
Forecasts are all over the place, from the coolest to the hottest projections for both Headline and Core. Median is right on consensus, so any print outside could move markets quickly.
• Headline CPI expected +0.26% m/m → 2.8% y/y (last seen in Feb)
• Core CPI expected +0.34% m/m → 3.1% y/y, with risk it hits 0.4%
Drivers:
• Gas prices pulling headline down
• Food costs rising on weather, labor shortages, and tariffs
• Core goods still seeing tariff pass-through
• Airfares rebounding ~4% m/m after months of declines
• Rents easing slowly but remain above pre-Covid averages
Main takeaway - headline is softening, but core is under pressure.
Hot print risk is real if tariffs bite faster.
📈 U.S. stock market is now more expensive than at any point since the Great Depression.
Last time we were here? 1929, 1966, 1999.
Each chapter had the same ending, just a different soundtrack.
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JUST IN: China advises companies against using Nvidia's H20 chip shortly after a 15% revenue share deal with Trump was announced, according to Bloomberg.
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📉 Your cash lost 83%. Stocks went up 15,000%.
Over the last 50 years, the purchasing power of the US dollar collapsed — down 83% due to inflation. But the S&P 500, adjusted for inflation, still turned $100K into $15.3 million.
🟡 That’s a 153x return, after inflation
🟡 $100K in 1974 now buys what ~$17K could back then
🟡 Meanwhile, stocks quietly compounded at 11%+ annually
🟡 The biggest driver? Reinvestment of dividends + time
This is why long-term investing still works — not because stocks are “cheap,” but because money is dying slowly.
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JUST IN: Donald Trump commented on a potential agreement involving NVIDIA's new chip.
• Trump mentioned he would not make a deal for NVIDIA's new chip.
• He initially wanted 20% approval on chip exports.
• Described NVIDIA's H2O as obsolete yet still marketable.
• Negotiated the deal down to 15%.
⏫ US debt hits $37 trillion for the first time
Total US debt has surged by $780B since the ceiling was raised on July 4 under the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act.”
🟡 That’s +$22B per day on average
🟡 $724B in Treasuries sold last week alone
The debt crisis is accelerating.
📊 A simple intraday pattern for US indices
Price action around 8:30 and 9:30 am often sets the tone:
🟡 8:30 manipulation → 9:30 expansion
🟡 9:30 manipulation → 10:00 expansion
This signature repeated every day last week.