Trade Watcher

01 Aug 2025 21:33

JUST IN: Fed Kugler will step down on August 8th.

Trade Watcher

01 Aug 2025 20:02

📊 Liquidity IRL Sweeps — how to trade single print reactions

This setup looks for price reactions at the edges of large imbalance moves (single print zones).

🟡 Identify a sharp move that creates a single print area — thin liquidity, no resistance
🟡 Mark the edge of that zone — this is your key reaction level
🟡 When price returns with large wicks, expect a rejection or absorption at that edge
🟡 If price trades below the zone, it often becomes resistance on the retest
🟡 Watch for internal structure + wick signals as price comes back into the level

Clean way to frame areas where price skipped liquidity — and where it’s likely to care on the way back.

Trade Watcher

01 Aug 2025 17:50

JUST IN: Nvidia's export license approvals stalled amid U.S. government turmoil.

• Thousands of U.S. export license applications, notably to China, are delayed.
• The Commerce Department’s export bureau is experiencing dysfunction, including new rule delays and staff losses.
• Significant shipments, like Nvidia's AI chips to China, are affected, with no licenses issued yet despite earlier promises.
• An official describes this as the worst backlog in over 30 years.

This situation risks billions in orders for Nvidia and could impact market expectations and stock valuations if the delays continue.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 22:18

JUST IN: Amazon exceeds expectations in its Q2 results and projects strong Q3 net sales.

• Q2 EPS was $1.68, above the estimated $1.33.
• Q2 AWS Net Sales reached $30.87 billion, slightly surpassing the forecasted $30.77 billion.
• Q2 Operating Income was $19.17 billion, higher than the anticipated $17 billion.
• Predicted Q3 Net Sales range from $174.0 billion to $179.5 billion, compared to the estimated $173.24 billion.

Amazon's better-than-expected results and optimistic sales forecast could positively impact its stock price and attract more investors, boosting market confidence.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 18:43

JUST IN: The SEC has initiated Project Crypto aiming to transition all markets on-chain. The SEC Chair stated most crypto assets are not considered securities.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 16:10

📊 Asian Range Breakout: Simple 2R NQ Strategy

When NQ breaks above the Asian Range (8PM–12AM EST), there’s a 71% chance the daily candle closes bullish — based on one year of data from Edgeful.

Here’s the full strategy:

🟡 London session breakout – Price moves above the Asian Range, creating a bullish leg and leaving a 15m Fair Value Gap (FVG)
🟡 Pre-market consolidation – Liquidity builds below the range as price moves sideways
🟡 Retrace into FVG – Price returns to the 15m FVG and sweeps sell-side liquidity
🟡 Long entry inside FVG – The zone holds as support and confirms bullish structure
🟡 Stop and target – Stop goes below the FVG, target is a clean static 2R

Clean, data-driven, and repeatable — a reliable setup before the US session even begins.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 15:01

📈 Foreign investors are buying more US stocks than ever

The share of US equities held by foreigners has hit a new all-time high of 18%. That’s more than double the level from 2000, and nearly 9x higher than in 1980.

🟡 Foreign ownership has steadily grown since the 1980s deregulation of capital markets
🟡 Major inflection points came after the 2008 crisis and during the post-COVID liquidity boom
🟡 Foreign investors are mainly concentrated in large-cap tech, financials, and ETFs
🟡 This also reflects the US dollar's continued dominance in global capital flows

The more global capital chases US stocks, the more dollar strength and US equity valuations become intertwined.

Global money wants US exposure—but that also means higher fragility if sentiment turns.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 13:48

JUST IN: U.S. job cuts have hit 806,383 in 2025, marking the highest total for January through July since 2020.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 11:27

JUST IN: The US will impose a 15% tariff on EU wine and spirits starting August 1st until a trade agreement is finalized.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 10:30

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Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 08:13

JUST IN: Donald Trump remarked that he is indifferent to India and Russia potentially taking their struggling economies down together.

Trade Watcher

30 Jul 2025 22:10

JUST IN: Microsoft stock, $MSFT, jumps more than 6% following better-than-expected Q2 2025 earnings.

Trade Watcher

30 Jul 2025 21:28

💥Powell wipes out $211M in longs in just 1 hour

The Fed Chair’s comments triggered a sharp move across the board, liquidating over $211M in long positions.

➡️ $BTC – $50.4M
➡️ $ETH – $47.07M
➡️ $SOL – $20.5M
➡️ $XRP – $9.68M

A reminder: macro still sets the tone.

Trade Watcher

30 Jul 2025 20:27

JUST IN: Donald Trump stated that Nancy Pelosi should be investigated.

Trade Watcher

30 Jul 2025 20:09

JUST IN: The White House announced that Donald Trump has enacted a universal 50% tariff on semi-finished copper imports and copper-intensive derivatives starting August 1st. Additionally, Trump signed an executive order for a 40% tariff on Brazil, totaling 50%.

Trade Watcher

01 Aug 2025 21:31

JUST IN: Donald Trump announces the dismissal of the Commissioner of Labor Statistics following the significant downward revision of the May and June jobs reports by 258,000 jobs.

• Trump claims the job numbers are manipulated by a Biden appointee.
• Accuses the official of falsifying employment statistics.

This news could cast doubt on the reliability of official employment data, potentially affecting market confidence and influencing investor decisions.

Trade Watcher

01 Aug 2025 19:10

JUST IN: President Trump has stated that he ordered two nuclear submarines to be stationed in "appropriate regions" close to Russia. This decision follows a recent announcement setting a 10-day deadline for Russia to demonstrate progress in ending the war in Ukraine.

Trade Watcher

01 Aug 2025 17:35

💸 Why Billionaires Like Bezos Pay Almost No Taxes

Jeff Bezos grew his net worth by $127B between 2006–2018.
He paid just $1.4B in federal income tax — about 1%.

Here’s the playbook:

🟡Buy, Don’t Earn – Billionaires don’t rely on salaries. They hold appreciating assets like stocks and real estate.
🟡Never Sell – As long as they don’t sell, the gains aren’t taxed.
🟡Borrow to Spend – Need cash? They borrow against their assets. Loans aren’t income, so no taxes.
🟡Die Rich – When they pass, heirs inherit the assets with a step-up in basis. That wipes out the gains — no capital gains tax.

This cycle is called: Buy → Borrow → Die

It legally shields massive wealth from taxation.

Meanwhile, everyday workers get taxed at the source.
You earn. You get taxed. They own — and avoid taxes entirely.

Until the tax code changes, this is how the system works: Don’t just earn. Own.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 20:16

🚨 This might be the last bull cycle that feels like crypto

For years, Gensler’s SEC fought the industry.
Lawsuits, mixed signals, and fear.

Now the pivot has arrived: “Project Crypto” officially puts crypto at the center of U.S. market structure.

➡️ SEC says most crypto tokens are not securities
➡️ Paul Atkins takes over as SEC Chair, puts crypto at the top of the agenda
➡️ Token launches, airdrops, and L2s encouraged to return onshore
➡️ Unified framework in the works for self-classifying tokens
➡️ Plan to shift U.S. markets onto blockchain rails
➡️ SEC officially recognizes crypto’s role in capital markets
➡️ The goal: make the U.S. the global leader in on-chain finance
➡️ “Decentralization theater” and offshore shell games are being phased out
➡️ Crypto teams will be able to operate within clear boundaries — no more regulatory guessing

It’s a huge win — regulation no longer fights crypto, it wants to shape it.

But it also means the era of wild, unregulated growth is ending.
No more offshore workarounds.
No more “launch first, explain later.”
The chaos that created 100x memes and surprise narratives won’t happen the same way again.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 17:12

JUST IN: President Trump announced that the US and Mexico will continue their current tariff agreement for an additional 90 days.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 15:03

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Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 13:48

JUST IN: Donald Trump criticizes Jerome Powell, claiming he is "too late, too angry, too stupid, and too political" to be the Federal Reserve Chair.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 12:45

📈Nicholas Darvas: The Dancer Who Made Millions Trading Stocks

This post shows key highlights from "How I Made $2,000,000 in the Stock Market" — a cult classic by Nicholas Darvas, a professional ballroom dancer who cracked Wall Street in the 1950s.

What made him unique?

🟡 He built a systematic strategy based on price + volume, trend-following, and strict stop-losses
🟡 He used what he called the “Box Theory” — buying breakouts from consolidation zones
🟡 He traded unemotionally — jogging with the trend, but running like a thief when it reversed
🟡 Most importantly: he kept his emotions (fear, greed, hope) in check — no stories, just structure

Darvas turned $10,000 into $2 million without working on Wall Street, reading earnings reports, or watching news.
He just followed price action — with discipline and logic.

One of the earliest system traders — and proof that edge > background.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 10:31

📈 M2 and BTC: Same liquidity, different names?

While CT argues about global liquidity vs M2, some forget they're often saying the same thing.

🟡 M2 was already showing “higher” before recent liquidity revisions
🟡 BTC tends to front-run these shifts — just like last time
🟡 This correlation won’t last forever, but while it holds… bears are in trouble

One chart. Two signals. Same destination.

Trade Watcher

31 Jul 2025 08:31

You can be losing for years and years

Then boom everything clicks

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Trade Watcher

30 Jul 2025 22:10

JUST IN: Meta stock rises by over 9% following better-than-anticipated Q2 2025 earnings results.

Trade Watcher

30 Jul 2025 22:01

JUST IN: President Trump announced he has reached a trade agreement with Pakistan and proposed to South Korea to reduce their 25% tariffs.

Trade Watcher

30 Jul 2025 20:53

👇 Summary of FED Chair Powell's comments:

🟡 Current policy stance "leaves us well positioned"

🟡 Moderation of growth reflects a slowdown in consumer spending

🟡 Activity in the US housing sector remains weak

🟡 Inflation in the US remains "somewhat elevated"

🟡 Tariffs are "pushing up prices" in some goods

🟡 "Changes to government policy continue to evolve"

The Fed pause continues.

Trade Watcher

30 Jul 2025 20:17

JUST IN: Copper prices have fallen by −11% after Donald Trump’s tariffs excluded refined metal.

Trade Watcher

30 Jul 2025 20:03

Fed leaves rate unchanged at 4.25-4.5%