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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy
JUST IN: Donald Trump states that leaders Putin, Zelensky, and those of the EU agree that a direct peace agreement is the preferred solution to conclude the war in Ukraine.
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The consistency that you are seeking in your trading, it is all in your mind.
Changing strategies, changing markets wont fix that problem.
You need to do some inner work.
Your mind is simply weak.
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JUST IN: Russian President Vladimir Putin's plane has arrived in the United States.
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📈 Why bear markets aren’t the real threat
Since 1949, the S&P 500’s story has been the same: bull markets dominate the timeline, bear markets are brief interruptions.
🟡 Bull market average: 5.3 years, +254%
🟡 Bear market average: 1 year, –31%
🟡 The biggest gains came from staying invested through multiple cycles
🟡 Even the worst drops eventually gave way to new highs
Short-term pain is part of the process.
The danger isn’t the next bear - it’s losing your seat before the next bull.
📈 Bullish retest — clean entry logic
Strong moves often come after price retests a key level it just broke through. The idea: wait for the market to prove strength, then enter on the pullback.
3 common setups:
🟡 Demand retest – Price rallies from a demand zone, pulls back to test it, then continues higher.
🟡 Structure retest – A breakout above resistance, quick dip to retest that level as support, then rally.
🟡 Order block retest – Price breaks out from a consolidation/order block, comes back to retest, then launches.
The edge isn’t in buying every breakout - it’s in waiting for the retest that confirms the breakout is real.
Patience turns FOMO into precision.
📈 Buffett Indicator hits all-time high
The Buffett Indicator - market cap to GDP - just reached 212.1%, the highest reading ever
🟡 Signals the US stock market is “significantly overvalued”
🟡 Previous peaks often preceded corrections or slower returns
🟡 Now sitting far above historical averages
When valuations stretch this far, history says gravity eventually does its work.
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Stop trading B setups.
A setup is either f*ck yes or f*ck no.
No maybes.
Watch how much more money you make and more importantly watch how much more time you have to live away from the screens.
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JUST IN: UnitedHealth stock jumps over 7% after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway discloses a new investment in the company.
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❕ Earlier this year, Warren Buffett quietly spent $5 BILLION on a mystery company, one of his largest accumulations ever.
SEC rules let him keep it secret for a while to accumulate, but he now has just 2 HOURS left before we finally see the stock.
What’s your guess?
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JUST IN: Trump describes potential meeting with Putin as a negotiation over boundaries and territories, warning of sanctions if issues aren't resolved.
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JUST IN: The US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 3.3% year-over-year, surpassing the forecast of 2.5% and the previous rate of 2.3%.
- US short-term interest rate futures declined following the PPI data.
The higher-than-expected PPI could influence Federal Reserve policy, potentially affecting market interest rates and investor optimism.Читать полностью…
Money isn't the goal.
The goal is to achieve the emotional skills that consistently generate that money.
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📖 The trading playbook of Paul Tudor Jones
Paul Tudor Jones is one of the most respected traders alive, the man who famously shorted the 1987 crash and walked away with a reported 200%+ return that year.
For decades, he’s run one of the most successful macro hedge funds, staying profitable through wildly different market regimes.
His rules are blunt, practical, and built from real battle scars:
🟡 Don’t average losers – If the market proves you wrong, adding more just digs the hole deeper.
🟡 Avoid trades you can’t control – Stay out of illiquid markets or situations where a headline can wipe you out.
🟡 Exit when uncomfortable – The moment a trade starts living rent-free in your head, close it.
🟡 Forget your entry price – Your PnL cares about what’s happening now, not where you got in.
🟡 Play defense first – Protect capital like a championship team protects its goal.
🟡 Assume every position is wrong – It keeps you nimble, humble, and quick to cut losses.
🟡 Drop the ego – Overconfidence is the fastest path to blowing up an account.
Jones’ edge isn’t just in spotting trades - it’s in the discipline to protect himself when the market turns.
That’s why these habits aren’t just “tips.” They’re survival rules.
JUST IN: President Trump announced he will soon converse with European leaders, describing them as "great people who want to see a deal done."
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📉 Berkshire stumbles without Buffett
Berkshire Hathaway has been hit hard since Warren Buffett announced in May he would step down.
🟡 Stock is down ~14% since May 2
🟡 S&P 500 is up ~11% in the same period
🟡 ~25% gap - the widest in decades, bigger than 2008 or 2000
The market’s making it clear — it was buying Buffett, not just the business.
Most traders chase goals without fixing the leak.
You're not underperforming — you're overtrading.
Solve that, and results change fast.
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Trump just flew a B-2 stealth bomber over Putin’s head…
Absolutely incredible.
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🛡 How to know if your CFD broker is truly trustworthy
Choosing a broker isn’t about who has the flashiest platform - it’s about who you can trust with your money.
Before you fund an account, check these:
🟡 Regulation – They must hold a valid license from a recognized authority (CySEC, FSCA, FSC, FSA). Multiple licenses mean stricter oversight. Always verify the license on the regulator’s site.
🟡 Transparency – The broker should clearly list spreads, commissions, margin rules, withdrawal terms. If fees or conditions are vague, it’s a red flag.
🟡 Security – Client funds must be in segregated accounts, not mixed with company money. Look for a published privacy policy, risk disclosure, and other legal docs.
🟡 Reputation – Check independent reviews, industry ratings, media mentions. Extra points for brokers active at major expos (Dubai, Mumbai) or partnered with known brands.
A reliable broker gives you peace of mind, so you can focus on your trades, not on whether your funds are safe.
JUST IN: Trump plans to introduce new semiconductor tariffs soon.
• Rates are expected to start low and increase significantly.
• Exemptions may apply to major companies.
• New steel tariffs will also be announced, raising the current 50% rate.
• Trump will visit Alaska for a meeting with Vladimir Putin.
The proposed tariffs could lead to increased costs for semiconductor and steel industries, impacting market prices and investor sentiment.Читать полностью…
JUST IN: Donald Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on steel and chips next week, initially starting with a lower rate.
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📊 Trading Biases vs. Predictions
A prediction is you playing fortune teller - “EURUSD will hit 1.1200 by Friday.”
Feels confident, looks smart… until the market decides to do the exact opposite.
A bias is a lean, bullish or bearish, backed by logic, but with the humility to wait for the market to prove you right before putting money on the line.
Why biases beat predictions:
🟡 Predictions lock you in. You spend energy defending your call instead of reacting to what’s happening.
🟡 Biases flex. They let you change your stance without ego damage.
🟡 The right bias without execution skills still won’t pay you - being correct and being profitable are two different games.
🟡 The market doesn’t care about your forecast. It’ll go wherever it wants, with or without you.
New traders think the job is predicting.
Pros know the job is adapting.
The faster you drop the need to “be right” and start trading what’s in front of you, the faster your PnL starts looking like it belongs to someone who knows what they’re doing.
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JUST IN: Burry has disclosed a new position in $UNH, adding the healthcare giant to his portfolio.
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BREAKING: Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway shows a new stake in UnitedHealth Group $UNH.
It cuts stake in Apple, $AAPL
💵US debt blasts past $37T
Since the debt ceiling was raised in early July, the US has added nearly $800B in just over a month.
🟡 That’s ~$25B per day
🟡 Fiscal dominance — when debt dictates monetary policy — is looking inevitable
🟡 More debt = more pressure on the Fed to keep rates low and liquidity flowing
Debt bubbles don’t deflate quietly. They get inflated until the currency takes the hit.
🫵 5 poker lessons every trader should steal
Trading is just poker with a Bloomberg terminal. Same psychology, same math, same way to go broke if you get cocky.
🟡 Have a plan before you sit down — good players walk in knowing exactly how they’ll play different situations. Bad ones make it up as they go. Markets punish the second group first.
🟡 Know the odds — in poker, you’re calculating your outs. In trading, it’s risk/reward and probabilities. If you can’t do the math, you’re not playing the same game as the winners.
🟡 Play the long game — folding is free. Tilt is expensive. Both in cards and charts, survival beats “all-in” hero plays.
🟡 Watch the pros — poker tells = market sentiment. In both, the edge is spotting what others don’t see and acting before they do.
🟡 Every move moves the table — big bets shift psychology. In markets, large buys or sells can create ripples you can ride — or get crushed by.
The rules don’t change. Only the chips do.
JUST IN: U.S. jobless claims and July PPI data are scheduled for 8:30 a.m. ET.
• Jobless claims are expected at 229,000 for the week.
• July Producer Price Index (PPI) is forecasted to rise by 0.2%, with a 0.3% increase excluding food and energy.
Predictions meeting expectations could stabilize market anticipations regarding inflation and economic health.Читать полностью…
💱 Brazilian real breaks out
The Brazilian real is pushing through a major resistance this month, making it the second-strongest major currency year-to-date.
🟡 First clean breakout in over a decade
🟡 Signals renewed strength in emerging markets
🟡 Most global investors aren’t paying attention yet
EM currencies might be where the next big moves start forming.
⚡️ Data centers are eating the grid
US data centers now consume 5% of all electricity, a record high, driven by AI and digital infrastructure.
🟡 Share is set to more than double in the next 5 years
🟡 By 2030, they could use over 10% of all US power
🟡 Up to 40% of new electricity demand by 2030 will come from data centers
🟡 Annual demand growth projected at +23% through 2030
Energy could soon become the biggest bottleneck for AI.
🔥Stocks: all-time high
🔥Home Prices: all-time high
🔥Bitcoin: all-time high
🔥Gold: all-time high
🔥Money Supply: all-time high
🔥National Debt: all-time high
🔥CPI Inflation: 4% per year since Jan 2020, 2x the Fed's "target"
Fed: cutting interest rates next month 🫡
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