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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy
Less but better trades = more wins
Less stocks on your watchlist = more focus
Less risk per trade = more calmness
Less technical indicators = more signal clarity
In trading, less is more.
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📊 Nvidia vs the world
$NVDA would need another $800B in market cap to surpass the entire Nikkei, the world’s second largest stock market.
It’s already bigger than the GDP of Germany, the UK, France, and Italy.
JUST IN: The European Union plans to eliminate tariffs on US industrial goods to address President Trump's requirements. In return, the US may reduce tariffs on cars imported from the EU.
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▶️ Fed power shift in play
Yesterday’s spotlight was on Trump’s push to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, a move that could flip the balance of power inside the Fed.
🟡 If Cook is out, Trump-appointed Governors would hold 4 of 7 seats (excluding Powell)
🟡 That would give Trump the majority on the board for the first time in history
🟡 With Trump calling for 300 bps of rate cuts, this shift could open the door to aggressive easing
🟡 Cook’s term runs until 2038, making this challenge unprecedented
The Fed has never faced a political reshuffle like this, and the outcome could define the next chapter for US rates and markets.
JUST IN: Donald Trump stated they have plans in mind concerning Putin if necessary and warned that an economic war would negatively impact Russia.
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JUST IN: Donald Trump made several remarks about energy and the economy.
• Trump criticizes windmills and solar panels, saying they negatively affect the country.
• He claims significant progress in the steel industry.
• Government employment is allegedly decreasing, while private sector jobs are rising.
• Trump mentions that a furniture tariff will soon be implemented.
Trump's comments may impact investor confidence, especially in sectors related to renewable energy and international trade policies.Читать полностью…
🎯One simple way to stop overtrading
Many traders fall into the trap of thinking more trades mean more profit.
“If I spread myself across pairs, one of them has to hit.”
📈 Historic inflows into bonds
Investors are piling into safety at record pace. Over the last 4 weeks, global investment-grade bond funds saw $57B of inflows, pushing total bond fund inflows to $97B.
🟡 2025 inflows on track for $700B - new all-time high
🟡 Surpasses the previous record of $620B set during the 2020 recovery
🟡 Similar levels of demand have only appeared in crisis-driven environments
Bond markets are flashing one message: capital is crowding into yield and security, even as equities sit near highs.
📈 US stock valuations at record highs
The composite of major valuation metrics (P/E, CAPE, P/B, Q ratio, market cap to GDP) has reached a new all-time high as of August 25.
Levels now exceed peaks seen in 1929, 1965, and 1999.
🟡 Trailing and forward P/E multiples stretched to extremes
🟡 CAPE ratio and Q ratio both flashing historic highs
🟡 Market trades above 95th percentile on blended valuation measures
Never forget, "this time it’s different"
JUST IN: President Trump has dismissed Federal Reserve Governor Cook.
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📈 Michael Burry’s short calls aged like milk.
Every time he yells bubble - the S&P adds another leg up.
Since 2019 his doomsday warnings lined up with +62% to +158% rallies.
Sometimes being early just looks a lot like being wrong.
📈 Killzones explained
Killzones are time windows during the trading day when volatility tends to spike.
These periods concentrate liquidity and price movement, making them key for day traders looking to catch larger moves.
🟡 Asia session: sets the early tone with lighter liquidity
🟡 London session: often delivers the day’s first real expansion
🟡 New York session: adds volume and continuation or reversals
They act like pressure points in the market.
🗓 Key Events This Week
Macro data and heavyweight earnings line up to test risk sentiment.
From housing to inflation, plus Nvidia and Alibaba numbers, every day carries market-moving potential.
🟡 Monday: New Home Sales, $PDD earnings
🟡 Tuesday: Durable Goods, Consumer Confidence, $OKTA $MDB $BOX $PVH
🔴 Wednesday: $NVDA, $CRWD, $SNOW, $HPQ, $VEEV, plus retail names $KSS $ANF $URBN $FIVE $WSM $SJM
🔴 Thursday: Q2 GDP, Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales, Waller speech, $DELL $MRVL $S $AFRM $DG $BBY $BURL $GAP $DKS $VSCO $ULTA $BBWI $OLLI $HRL $WOOF $IREN $LI
🔴Friday: Core PCE inflation, $BABA earnings
Rates, growth, and tech leadership are all in play. this week will show if the Fed cut trade still has legs.
For developing traders, an extremely common characteristic is not risk management.
It is risk avoidance.
This is materially different from risk management.
Risk management implies an acceptance of risk and focuses on managing it.
Risk avoidance implies not taking risk in the first place.
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A trader is just someone who quit their 9–5 job…
to work 24/7 for themselves instead.
Freedom has a funny sense of humor.
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🐻 Peter Schiff does it again
In 2018, he warned Bitcoin could fall to $3,800. Yesterday, he said the next stop is $75K.
🟡 BTC dropped below $109K, down 13% in two weeks
🟡 Schiff calls for $75K as the next target, just under MSTR’s average cost
🟡 Same man once said even $750 would be “expensive”
Some things never change: Bitcoin climbs, Schiff stays bearish, and the market keeps ignoring him, until one day it doesn’t.
📈 False breakouts and liquidity traps
A breakout isn’t confirmed by price alone, it’s confirmed by liquidity.
The common pattern:
🟡 Price breaks a key level with high volume → everyone piles in
🟡 Retrace happens on thinner volume → looks harmless at first
🟡 Positions unwind fast → reversal wipes out late buyers
What’s really happening: large players use the breakout to unload size into eager breakout traders. Once that liquidity is absorbed, the move has no fuel, and price collapses.
False breakouts matter because they show who’s trapped. When volume and follow-through don’t align, it’s often a signal of smart money exiting, not entering.
Lesson: watch the quality of volume, not just the candles. A clean breakout without sustained liquidity is often the setup for the next dump.
💠 AMD vs Nvidia — AI divergence
AMD reported Q2 data center revenue of $3.2B yesterday, up just 14% YoY, not much in an AI market chasing exponential growth.
🟡 Nvidia earnings due today
🟡 Street looking for $45B+ revenue
🟡 $40B+ from data centers, +50% YoY
AMD is steady, Nvidia is parabolic.
Tonight’s print is more than one stock, it’s a stress test for the whole AI trade.
The market doesn't care about your dreams.
It rewards your skills.
You can complain or you can learn.
Only one pays.
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The new CEO of Target started as an intern in 2003.
Incredible.
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JUST IN: Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve is contesting her dismissal in court.
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JUST IN: Indian Prime Minister Modi has reportedly declined Donald Trump's calls four times in recent weeks, according to a report by a German newspaper.
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🧠 Risk is the first truth in trading
The fastest way to separate amateurs from professionals is by how they manage risk.
It’s not about conviction or luck, it’s about structure, discipline, and survival.
🟡 Amateurs risk too much and pray just to get out alive
🟡 Stops are moved mid-trade, profits are cut too early, emotions run the show
🟡 Focus drifts to PnL numbers instead of price action
🟡 Professionals size from the stop, not from greed
🟡 Plans for exits are set before entry and rarely changed
🟡 Losses don’t shake confidence because the system comes first
Risk is the mirror.
If you respect it, you’re playing the long game.
If you ignore it, you’re just gambling.
In the end, the only edge that compounds is survival.
If you’re mentally steady and financially intact, you have unlimited chances to recover from losses.
Your only job is to stay consistent.
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JUST IN: Trump: Talked about denuclearization with Putin.
• Believes Russia and China are open to it.
• Says Xi wants him to visit China.
• Plans to permit Chinese students entry.
• Warns of a potential 200% tariff if China doesn’t supply magnets.
• Intends to visit China eventually.
Trade tensions could rise if tariffs are imposed, affecting market sentiment and bilateral relations.Читать полностью…
JUST IN: President Trump claims he "paid zero" for the US Government's 10% stake in Intel and intends to "make deals like that" for the US.
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📊 Fed cuts near all-time highs
History says rate cuts this close to ATHs are rocket fuel for equities.
Since 1980, whenever the Fed cut within 2% of an ATH, the S&P 500 finished higher 12 months later 20 out of 20 times.
🟡 3-month median return: +6%
🟡 6-month median return: +11%
🟡 12-month median return: +19%
The hit rate is 100%.
The market doesn’t fear cuts at highs - it rallies on them.
🐳 Bitcoin whale sparks $310M wipeout
Today’s BTC flash crash came from one source, a whale unloading 24,000+ BTC, much of it untouched for 5+ years, and rotating into ETH.
➡️ 12,000+ BTC sent to Hyperunite today
➡️ 18,000+ BTC ($2B) already sold
➡️ 6,000+ BTC ($670M) left to dump
➡️ $2B worth of ETH bought, $1.3B staked
One wallet just flipped the market and reminded everyone how thin liquidity really is.
Warren Buffett on the best investment you can ever make…
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Most traders lose not because they can’t read charts, but because they can’t sit still.
Impatience forces bad entries, revenge trades, and exits too early.
The hardest skill is waiting.
And the market pays those who master it far more than those who can’t.
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