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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy
JUST IN: President Trump claims he "paid zero" for the US Government's 10% stake in Intel and intends to "make deals like that" for the US.
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📊 Fed cuts near all-time highs
History says rate cuts this close to ATHs are rocket fuel for equities.
Since 1980, whenever the Fed cut within 2% of an ATH, the S&P 500 finished higher 12 months later 20 out of 20 times.
🟡 3-month median return: +6%
🟡 6-month median return: +11%
🟡 12-month median return: +19%
The hit rate is 100%.
The market doesn’t fear cuts at highs - it rallies on them.
🐳 Bitcoin whale sparks $310M wipeout
Today’s BTC flash crash came from one source, a whale unloading 24,000+ BTC, much of it untouched for 5+ years, and rotating into ETH.
➡️ 12,000+ BTC sent to Hyperunite today
➡️ 18,000+ BTC ($2B) already sold
➡️ 6,000+ BTC ($670M) left to dump
➡️ $2B worth of ETH bought, $1.3B staked
One wallet just flipped the market and reminded everyone how thin liquidity really is.
Warren Buffett on the best investment you can ever make…
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Most traders lose not because they can’t read charts, but because they can’t sit still.
Impatience forces bad entries, revenge trades, and exits too early.
The hardest skill is waiting.
And the market pays those who master it far more than those who can’t.
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Trading isn’t just about money - it rewires how you think about risk.
Figure it out, and you’ll never see life the same way again.
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People don’t think about you as much as you imagine.
They’re too busy with their own worries.
Every minute you spend worrying about opinions is time stolen from building your own life.
Do the thing.
No one cares as much as you think.
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Reminder that this is a j-curve business.
95% quit whilst their down before reaching any significant upside.
That downside will likely last years.
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Pfizer has been in business for 175 years and hasn’t cured one single disease.
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Billionaires risk millions to become billionaires.
Millionaires risk thousands to become millionaires.
People who risk nothing never become anything.
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⚡️ Trading and health: the edge no one talks about
Most traders think edge = better entries, better models, better news flow.
But your body and brain are your real edge.
If they’re broken, nothing else works.
Here are the 5 habits that directly improve trading performance:
🟡 Sleep
7–9 hours of sleep. Sleep debt slows reaction, hurts memory, and makes you emotional. One all-nighter feels productive, but chronic fatigue means chasing noise and bad trades. Rested brains cut losses faster.
🟡 Screen breaks
12 hours at screens don’t make you sharper, they fry focus. Short breaks reset eyes, body, and attention. Without them, traders tunnel into bad setups. A quick walk can save from a dumb entry.
🟡 Exercise
Even 20 minutes of jogging or stretching shift blood back to the cortex — the part that handles planning and discipline. Skip movement and stress locks you in fear mode. Exercise = calmer trading.
🟡 Breathing
Before each trade, take 2–3 deep breaths. Sounds trivial, but it forces a pause. It slows impulses, makes you re-check reasoning, and kills FOMO. This habit alone can prevent dozens of emotional entries over time.
🟡 Food & hydration
Energy drinks and chips fuel mood swings, not focus. Balanced meals and hydration keep energy stable. Even 2% dehydration hurts cognition. Better fuel = better decisions.
Trading is a high-performance activity.
If a sprinter can’t run without training, why should a trader expect to perform without caring for the body that runs the brain?
This isn’t optional.
It’s one of the most overlooked edges in the market.
JUST IN: Fed Chair Powell warns that "downside risks to the labor market are rising." The Fed plans to reduce rates by 25 bps in September, attributing the decision to these labor market concerns.
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JUST IN: Powell announced that the Fed is abandoning the 2020 Flexible Average Inflation Targeting Framework.
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📈 How to approach key high-impact news
Not all news is equal. NFP, FOMC and CPI are the big three. They set the tone for the week and can flip the market in seconds. The trick is to know how each one behaves.
🟡 NFP – Always Friday 8:30am.
The whole week can drift waiting for it. Monday to Wednesday is usually cleanest. Thursday is low-probability chop.
On Friday don’t touch until 30 min after release. If FOMC comes the same week, NFP matters less.
🟡 FOMC – Wednesday 2pm.
A two-stage game: first spike at 2pm, another push around 2:30pm.
Real direction shows later in the afternoon (3–4pm). Never chase the first move. The edge comes from waiting.
🟡 CPI – 8:30am, usually Wednesday.
Day before is dead. Release day is violent. Stand aside for at least 30–60 min after print. Only then look for setups when the dust settles.
The lesson is simple: high-impact news isn’t about prediction. It’s about survival, patience, and letting the market show its hand before taking yours out of your pocket.
Jackson Hole this year is likely Powell’s last appearance on that stage, the final signal before September’s FOMC.
Theme is “Labor markets in transition.” Powell faces a tough balance: sticky inflation and strong wage growth argue for hawkish pushback, while slowing jobs data shows fragility that needs support.
Markets keep betting on cuts, but expectations shift with every data release. Odds of a September cut dropped from 99% last week to 73% after weak labor data and hotter PPI.
Jackson Hole rarely gives hard answers, but it sets the tone. In 2022 Powell needed 8 minutes to end a global rally. The question is whether he tries to shake markets again.
Whatever the message, rate cut bets in the next 6 months won’t vanish. Hawkish signals fade fast with political pressure building.
Crypto looks like it front-ran the fear - vol spiked, dips are being bought. But euphoria can quickly turn into weeks of grind lower if macro delivers the triggers.
The real question isn’t if the Fed cuts.
It’s whether you’re ready for the scenario where your bullish plan doesn’t play out.
📈 Killzones explained
Killzones are time windows during the trading day when volatility tends to spike.
These periods concentrate liquidity and price movement, making them key for day traders looking to catch larger moves.
🟡 Asia session: sets the early tone with lighter liquidity
🟡 London session: often delivers the day’s first real expansion
🟡 New York session: adds volume and continuation or reversals
They act like pressure points in the market.
🗓 Key Events This Week
Macro data and heavyweight earnings line up to test risk sentiment.
From housing to inflation, plus Nvidia and Alibaba numbers, every day carries market-moving potential.
🟡 Monday: New Home Sales, $PDD earnings
🟡 Tuesday: Durable Goods, Consumer Confidence, $OKTA $MDB $BOX $PVH
🔴 Wednesday: $NVDA, $CRWD, $SNOW, $HPQ, $VEEV, plus retail names $KSS $ANF $URBN $FIVE $WSM $SJM
🔴 Thursday: Q2 GDP, Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales, Waller speech, $DELL $MRVL $S $AFRM $DG $BBY $BURL $GAP $DKS $VSCO $ULTA $BBWI $OLLI $HRL $WOOF $IREN $LI
🔴Friday: Core PCE inflation, $BABA earnings
Rates, growth, and tech leadership are all in play. this week will show if the Fed cut trade still has legs.
For developing traders, an extremely common characteristic is not risk management.
It is risk avoidance.
This is materially different from risk management.
Risk management implies an acceptance of risk and focuses on managing it.
Risk avoidance implies not taking risk in the first place.
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A trader is just someone who quit their 9–5 job…
to work 24/7 for themselves instead.
Freedom has a funny sense of humor.
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Chasing PnL blinds you.
The only thing you can control is the process - the setup, the execution, the discipline.
Get that right, and the numbers will take care of themselves.
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Trading is different kind of career.
After a few years of learning the right strategy, you can make $1,000 in an hour.
However that $1,000 in an hour is a result of many years of losses, stress, failures, and mental pain.
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At its core, trading isn’t far from gambling - you’re betting on an uncertain outcome.
The difference is in risk control, position sizing, and discipline.
Gambling is random.
Trading is stacking odds in your favor until luck looks like skill.
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Stress can be a teacher.
It forces growth where comfort would not.
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❕ India bans real-money gaming
India’s parliament has passed a bill banning all real-money games - whether skill or chance based - in a move that threatens a $23B industry employing over 200,000 people.
🖱 Bill blocks transactions for real-money games and ads
🖱 Offenders risk 3 years jail or ₹10M ($115K) fine
🖱 Celebrities promoting such games also face penalties
🖱 Industry warns of 400+ companies shutting down
🖱 Stakeholders argue offshore gambling apps, not local startups, drive the harm
Supporters say it protects society from addiction, but critics warn it will kill regulated firms while fueling illegal offshore betting. The bill still needs upper house and presidential approval.
A $23B sector could vanish overnight, or just move underground.
JUST IN: Trump announced that Intel agreed to a 10% stake, describing it as a great deal and expressing intentions to pursue similar transactions.
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JUST IN: The S&P 500 climbs by more than 80 points after Fed Chair Powell mentions that the “shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting Fed policy.”
The possibility of a rate cut in September is now being considered by the markets, potentially boosting investor confidence and driving equity prices higher.Читать полностью…
JUST IN: Investors are increasingly wagering on a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut in September.
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JUST IN: Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at Jackson Hole today at 10 AM EST.
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💵 Treasury launches $4B debt buyback
The U.S. Treasury repurchased $4 billion of its own bonds - one of the largest buybacks in history.
This is essentially QE without the Fed.
A new lever for liquidity just came online.
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