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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy
JUST IN: US JOLTS Job Openings and Factory Orders data released.
• Job openings were 7.181 million, below the forecast of 7.38 million and previous 7.437 million.
• Factory orders fell by 1.3%, matching expectations, after a fall of 4.8% previously.
The lower-than-expected job openings could indicate a cooling in the labor market, potentially influencing monetary policy expectations.Читать полностью…
JUST IN: Apple shares increase by over 4% premarket after BofA raises its price target.
• Analyst Wamsi Mohan increased the price target to $260.
• The Buy rating was maintained by BofA.
• The DOJ-Google antitrust outcome deemed a “win for Apple” as it limits Google's exclusive deals.
This positive development for Apple might boost investor confidence and support further stock price appreciation.Читать полностью…
📉 Global long bonds under heavy pressure
This year has been brutal for sovereign debt, with 30Y bonds in Japan, Germany, and France posting double-digit losses. Investors are demanding higher yields as fiscal risks rise.
🟡 Japan 30Y: –14.9% YTD
🟡 Germany 30Y: –11.8%
🟡 France 30Y: –9.3%
🟡 Canada 30Y: –7.4%
🟡 UK 30Y: –3.3%
🟡 China 30Y: –2.6%
🟡 US Treasuries 30Y: +1.0%
Global bond markets are flashing stress, but Treasuries remain the relative safe haven.
President Trump has asked China's President Xi to pass on his "warmest regards" to Putin and Kim Jong Un as they "conspire against the US."
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JUST IN: Trump argued that stock markets desire tariffs, warned that removing them might reduce the U.S. to a third world country, and claimed a tariff ruling against the U.S. could involve returning trillions. He emphasized no legal basis for a ruling against the tariffs and called for a substantial rate cut.
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JUST IN: Trump reappears following a week of absence.
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JUST IN: Trump plans to challenge the decision on tariffs.
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🥇 Gold at ATHs, but not like 2011
Gold is printing new all-time highs, yet relative to the S&P 500 it’s nowhere near the explosive levels seen in the 2008–2012 cycle.
Perspective matters, price alone doesn’t tell the full story.
📈 Inside Bar Strategy explained
An inside bar forms when a candle trades fully within the high and low of the previous one. It shows that the market has paused after a move, with buyers and sellers waiting before the next push. This pause often builds energy for a breakout.
🟡 The strongest signals come after momentum candles in a clear trend or when price tests major support or resistance
🟡 A buy stop above the inside bar high or a sell stop below its low lets you enter only if price confirms direction
🟡 Stop loss is placed just beyond the other side of the bar so risk is defined and controlled
🟡 Targets can be set using fixed reward-to-risk ratios, nearby levels, or trailing stops to capture extended moves
The inside bar is not a magic signal on its own. It works best when combined with market context - trend direction, levels, and volume. Used this way, it becomes a simple but powerful tool to catch clean moves.
One main difference between the professional trader and the amateur trader is not their strategy, system, psychology, and etc.
But just knowing when to trade and when not to.
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🤖 AI is coming for jobs and faster than most expect.
According to Microsoft’s research, the roles with the highest risk of replacement are interpreters, historians, flight attendants, sales reps, writers, and customer service.
In other words, jobs that rely on pattern recognition, structured responses, or repeatable tasks.
But there’s nuance.
AI is best at automating what is routine and predictable. Where humans will keep their edge is in areas requiring:
🟡 Critical thinking — asking the right questions, not just answering them
🟡 Creativity — producing something genuinely new, not derivative
🟡 Human trust — leadership, relationships, empathy
🟡 Adaptability — being able to shift skills and domains as tools change
The chart shows millions of roles exposed, but history is clear: technology does not just destroy jobs, it reshapes them. The typewriter killed scribes but created millions of roles in publishing. The internet destroyed travel agencies but built trillion-dollar digital industries.
The real takeaway is not to compete with AI where it is strongest. Use it to multiply your own edge, automate the grunt work, and position yourself where human judgment still matters.
💶 Scramble makes investing in consumer brands simple
Scramble is a European platform that lets anyone back fast-growing consumer companies and earn from it - without the noise of stocks or daily market tracking.
Each month, users get a curated batch of companies, and investments are automatically diversified.
🟡 Founder-backed loans, disbursed in stages to reduce risk
🟡 Group A: monthly repayments, up to 12.4% annually
🟡 Group B: higher risk, up to 25% returns
🟡 Scramble co-invests up to 20% in every batch
✨ New users get €10 for signing up, plus €5 bonus for every €100 invested.
🗓 Key events this week
A short holiday week still packs a heavy macro punch. Traders will be watching every data release as positioning into September builds.
🟡Monday — Labor Day
Markets closed, but futures still set the tone. Expect lower liquidity.
🟡Tuesday — ISM Manufacturing PMI
A key read on industrial activity. Weakness here reinforces slowdown fears, while a surprise uptick could reprice Fed expectations.
🟡Wednesday — JOLTS Job Openings
Closely watched by the Fed. Fewer openings would confirm cooling in the labor market, a signal for easing inflation pressures.
🟡Thursday — ADP Payrolls
Private-sector hiring update, often a noisy but directional preview of Friday’s jobs report.
🟡Thursday — Jobless Claims
Weekly gauge of labor health. Persistent claims creeping higher would add weight to slowdown narratives.
🟡Thursday — ISM Services PMI
The most important PMI print — services dominate the US economy. A miss here would hit growth sentiment hard.
🟡Thursday — Broadcom $AVGO earnings
One of the last big AI-linked reports this season. Guidance will matter more than the quarter itself.
🟡Friday — US August Jobs Report
The main event. A soft print would strengthen bets on September rate cuts. A strong number could delay that timeline.
Manufacturing, services, and labor data all land in one compressed week. Add $AVGO earnings, and you’ve got catalysts lined up every day from Tuesday through Friday.
A goal without steps is just a wish on paper.
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🔥Last Call to Join Our Private Community
Enrollment closes tonight and will remain shut through September, which is shaping up to be very profitable.
White Horse is our private Telegram group, built by the teams behind Trade Watcher and Crypto Insider.
Inside, you’ll find:
💸Crypto
➡️ Trend tracking, narrative flows, and mindshare recaps
➡️ Swing setups on coins from the top 200 CMC
➡️ High-risk meme plays and early on-chain bets
💵TradFi
➡️ Macro bias and weekly outlooks
➡️ Mid-term setups on FX, indices, and metals
➡️ Stock insights from a guy who sees it before the crowd
Historically, September delivers big moves in both Crypto and TradFi.
Don’t miss the chance to ride our selected bull-run leaders and catch intraweek setups on traditional assets.
💵 Another $100B in T-bills hits the market
The U.S. Treasury is auctioning a record $100B in 4-week bills this week. Every sale pushes supply higher, and demand is being tested as deficits balloon.
🟡 Federal debt is now approaching $40T
🟡 The annual deficit is running near $2T
🟡 Short-term issuance is breaking records month after month
This is the quiet engine of markets: constant refinancing of short-term debt. It keeps liquidity moving today but compounds rollover risk tomorrow. The bigger the stack of bills, the more sensitive the system becomes to shifts in rates or demand.
Short-dated Treasuries may look “risk-free” on the surface, but they are also the canary in the fiscal mine.
✅ Charlie Munger’s investing checklist
Charlie Munger was Warren Buffett’s long-time partner at Berkshire Hathaway and one of the sharpest thinkers in investing. He built his success on a set of principles that stayed consistent for decades.
🟡 Risk: always demand a margin of safety and never confuse luck with skill
🟡 Allocation: put real capital to work only when the odds are clearly in your favor
🟡 Patience: compounding takes time but it is the strongest force in finance
🟡 Independence: think for yourself and avoid following the crowd
🟡 Humility: stay inside your circle of competence and admit mistakes quickly
🟡 Preparation: read widely, build mental models, and be ready when opportunity comes
Munger’s checklist is a reminder that successful investing is not about constant action.
It is about discipline, clear thinking, and the willingness to wait until the right moment to act with conviction.
Look at some of the greatest traders who ever lived.
Across the board you'll see this almost crazy ability to just not give up.
And that's what is required to succeed.
Failure shouldn't scare you.
You should learn to dance with it.
You should allow it to mold you.
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JUST IN: Alphabet stock, $GOOGL, rises over +5% following a court decision allowing the company to retain ownership of Google Chrome.
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JUST IN: Donald Trump mentions he has discovered "interesting things" regarding the Ukraine conflict, which he plans to disclose soon.
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JUST IN: Donald Trump announced an "emergency meeting" scheduled for tomorrow concerning the tariff ruling.
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Trump’s health has turned into the main rumor mill.
After Vance said he is ready to take over the presidency if something happens to Trump, theories about the president’s illness started spreading. Trump has not been seen in public since August 26, when he looked unwell according to witnesses. His schedule has been empty since then. A bruise was spotted on his right hand.
The White House earlier confirmed he has chronic venous insufficiency. The bruise was explained as irritation from handshakes and aspirin use. Axios later quoted an official saying Trump is fine and spent the morning playing golf. No details on who with. White House pool then said he is at Trump National with his grandchildren, but video shared turned out to be old.
Today Trump is expected to make an important statement. At the same time the road to Walter Reed medical center, which treats US presidents, their families and top officials, was closed and that fueled more speculation. Some even claim recent photos look like a double.
The mood is dark.
Markets will watch closely what comes out of today’s announcement.
📉 Palantir insiders are cashing out
In 2025, Palantir executives have sold more than $1B worth of stock while buying just $1.2M.
Recent filings show heavy selling from the CTO and Chief Revenue Officer, with multiple block disposals above $150 per share.
When insiders rush for the exit while the chart looks vertical, it usually means one thing: they know how rich this move already is.
⚡️ Electricity prices in a straight line higher
Average US city power prices are pushing 19¢ per kWh and the chart looks more like a parabolic altcoin than a utility line.
🟡 AI data centers and server farms are draining the grid
🟡 EV charging adds constant demand
🟡 Infrastructure upgrades keep pushing costs higher
Energy is quickly becoming the bottleneck for AI growth.
📈 Linda Raschke’s 12 rules that still work today
Linda Raschke is one of the original Market Wizards with more than 40 years of trading experience. Her rules sound simple, but they remain some of the most practical lessons for anyone trading price action.
🟡 Buy the first pullback after a new high.
Sell the first rally after a new low
Momentum usually continues before it reverses.
🟡 Afternoon strength or weakness should have follow through the next day
The market rarely fakes late moves without showing them again in the morning.
🟡 The best reversals happen in the morning
If you want to catch clean turns, focus on early hours.
🟡 The bigger the gap, the higher the chance of continuation
Gaps are emotion and positioning — they rarely close right away.
🟡 Watch how price reacts around the previous day’s high or low
These are key tests of strength or weakness.
🟡 Yesterday’s high and low are pivot points
Price either rejects them or breaks through and continues.
🟡The last hour tells the truth
Smart money shows its hand late in the day. Consecutive strong closes confirm a trend.
🟡 High volume at the close means continuity next morning
Volume is conviction. It often carries into the next session.
🟡 The first hour defines the framework for the day
Most of the daily range is printed early.
🟡 Early signs of a strong trend matter more today than before
With more range coming in the first hour, waiting often means missing the move.
🟡Four timeless principles of price action
• Trends continue more often than they reverse
• Momentum leads price
• Trends end in climax
• Markets alternate between expansion and contraction
🟡 Nobody knows the future
The successful trader does not predict but reacts to what the market does.
These rules are decades old, yet they still map perfectly onto today’s markets. Because markets evolve, but human behavior does not.
Edge is not about being right. It is about reacting better than the crowd.
BREAKING: President Trump says India has offered to cut their tariffs on the US to 0%.
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📈 Nasdaq breaks all records
The Nasdaq’s market cap relative to the US money supply (M2) has reached 176%. This means the index is now almost twice the size of all liquid money in the economy.
Key points:
🟡 The ratio is 45 points above the Dot-Com Bubble peak in 2000
🟡 Market cap relative to US GDP is at 129%, almost double the Dot-Com era
🟡 Stock prices have never outpaced money supply growth by this much
This is not just an overextension. It is a signal that liquidity and valuations are completely out of sync. The last time we saw something close to this, it did not end quietly.
The question is no longer if it unwinds, but how violently.
Trying doesn’t guarantee success.
But not trying guarantees failure.
The choice has always been that simple.
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Don’t beat yourself up over past mistakes.
You’ll make plenty more before you get it right.
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