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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy
JUST IN: The White House is pressing Congress to reject a proposed measure limiting Nvidia's ability to sell AI chips to China, which would also affect other major chipmakers like AMD. This stance is being called a major victory for Nvidia.
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JUST IN: Nasdaq 100 futures have extended their gains to +1.5% after Nvidia ($NVDA) exceeded earnings expectations.
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JUST IN: The US Labor Department announces that it is CANCELLING the October jobs report.
For the first time since 2013, we will not be receiving a monthly jobs report.
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JUST IN: US and Russian officials are drafting a new peace plan for Ukraine, according to the Financial Times.
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⚡️ Nvidia’s Valuation vs The Entire US Energy Sector
Nvidia is now worth almost three times more than the whole US energy sector, yet it doesn’t generate more free cash flow.
Over the past year, the combined free cash flow of energy companies in the S&P 500 came in about twenty percent higher than Nvidia’s.
🔊 Nvidia market cap around 4.6T
🔊 US energy sector around 1.7T
🔊 Energy sector free cash flow roughly 898B
🔊 Nvidia free cash flow around 728B
Tech keeps rewriting the rules, but the chart is a reminder that real infrastructure still powers everything underneath the AI boom.
The real money in trading is made when a trend is young. When a stock is just coming out of a big base and starts moving up for the first time, that is where the strongest and cleanest moves happen. The stock is fresh. The buyers are just getting active. The energy is building.
This is the stage where smart traders enter quietly. Most people are still doubting the move or waiting for confirmation. But the early trend is where you get the best risk to reward and the smoothest swings.
As the trend gets older, the story changes. Now everyone can see it. The stock has already gone up a lot. Every breakout becomes choppier. Every pullback gets deeper. More people enter late and the move starts to lose strength. You can still make money here, but the easy part is over.
Your goal is simple. Learn to spot trends when they are young. Look for a stock that has been going sideways for a while, forms a base, and then starts breaking out with strength. That is where the clean move begins. That is where the probability is highest. And that is where most traders miss out because they wait for too much confirmation.
If you enter early, you ride the whole trend. If you enter late, you only get leftovers.
The big money always comes from catching the trend when it is just waking up.
JUST IN: Trump has begun conducting interviews for the Fed Chair position and indicated that he already knows his preferred choice.
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JUST IN: The Saudi Crown Prince has announced plans to boost investments in the U.S. up to $1 trillion.
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JUST IN: The cryptocurrency market has rebounded into positive territory, with Bitcoin nearing $94,000 just hours after dropping below $90,000 for the first time in seven months.
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JUST IN: The Dow has prolonged its five-day decline to nearly 2,000 points, as the market selloff expands beyond cryptocurrencies. This seems like a typical correction in equities, but Nvidia's earnings release tomorrow could alter the trajectory.
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💣 Amazon Raises 12B To Fuel Its AI Buildout
Amazon is joining the biggest debt binge in tech history as companies race to build AI data centers before borrowing costs rise.
The Amazon numbers:
🔊 125B projected capex for 2025, up from 89.9B through Q3
🔊 Six tranche offering with maturities up to forty years, AA minus rated
🔊 Pricing around 115 bps over Treasuries with spreads sitting near the historic low of 81 bps
Tech firms borrowed 75B in September and October 2025 which is more than double the annual average of the past decade. Meta’s October sale pulled in 125B in orders for 30B in debt which shows massive investor appetite.
JPMorgan expects tech to borrow 252B in 2026 which would push total US corporate issuance to a record 1.81T.
Tech companies are locking in cheap debt now because the infrastructure demands are only getting heavier.
JUST IN: Bitcoin has dipped below $91,000 for the first time since April 22, reflecting a 28% drop from its all-time high. In the last seven days, total cryptocurrency liquidations have surpassed $5 billion in losses.
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JUST IN: Trump has announced that tariff dividends will be distributed by the middle of 2026.
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❕ Slowly, Then All at Once
🔴 Nancy Pelosi is retiring
One of the longest-serving political power players stepping off the stage.
🔴 Warren Buffett is ending the Berkshire annual letter
The voice of “old-school markets” going quiet after decades of setting the tone.
🔴 Michael Burry is closing his fund
The original “Big Short” guy tapping out instead of trying to time the next crash.
🔴 Peter Thiel just erased his entire NVIDIA position
Silicon Valley’s coldest reader of bubbles dumped his whole stake in one move and shifted to safer tech.
🔴 The White House says the last jobs report “would not be released to the public”
When core macro data goes dark, confidence in the story around the economy takes a hit.
🔴 Bitcoin is under 100k
Flagship risk asset losing altitude right when uncertainty is rising elsewhere.
🔴 Verizon is cutting fifteen thousand jobs
Big corporate cost-cutting, a classic tell that management is bracing for a weaker environment.
🔴 Kalshi traders price a thirty percent chance of recession next year
Real-money prediction markets quietly marking up the odds of a hard landing.
Moves like this don’t pile up by accident. When the headlines start to rhyme, the cycle is already turning.
💸 Japan Just Killed the Global Money Printer
Japan’s bond yield hit 1.71 percent, the highest since 2008. Sounds small, but this number is shaking global markets more than most people realize. The country spent decades flooding the world with near-free money, and that flow just flipped.
🔊 Japan used to pump trillions into global bonds, keeping mortgages cheap and markets inflated
🔊 Rising yields turned the math upside down, adding billions in interest to Japan’s own debt
🔊 Japanese pension funds are now selling US Treasuries instead of buying
🔊 The yen carry trade is unwinding and forcing leveraged positions to close
🔊 Higher US yields risk hitting stocks, emerging markets and corporate credit
If Japan keeps tightening in December, markets won’t shrug it off. The world relied on Japanese liquidity for years, and that cushion is disappearing fast. This shift won’t stay under the radar for long.
JUST IN: Japan's Nikkei 225 index has surged above 50,000, climbing nearly 4%, amid a rebound in global technology stocks.
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📊 How DOM And Tape Help You Read The Market In Real Time
Depth of Market is one of the cleanest ways to understand what buyers and sellers are actually doing right now.
It shows every resting order on the book and gives you a live picture of liquidity, absorption and intent. Tape adds the second half of the story by showing every executed trade with time, size and direction. Put together, they turn raw price action into something readable.
➕ DOM shows you:
• Resting liquidity on both sides of the book
• Where large limit orders sit and how they change over time
• Stacking and pulling, which reveals whether participants are adding real size or bluffing
• Areas where market buys or sells were filled the last time price visited
• Bid and ask strength, including visible volume and delta shifts
✔️ Tape shows you:
• Real executed trades instead of intentions
• Speed and intensity of buying or selling
• Clusters of aggressive buyers or sellers hitting the book
• Whether large orders absorb or get run through
When you combine both, patterns start to stand out. Stacked bids that stay firm while the tape prints steady buys hint at real interest. Pulled asks right before a burst of market buys show sellers stepping out of the way. Fast red prints into a wall of deep bids tell you who’s actually stronger.
DOM is the map and tape is the heartbeat. Together they help you see if momentum is genuine, if a level is likely to hold, and whether big players are defending or fading price. It takes practice, but once your eyes adjust, the market stops looking random and starts making sense.
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JUST IN: President Trump says $270 billion worth of agreements are being signed with “dozens of companies” today.
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JUST IN: Donald Trump shared quotes from Nvidia founder Jensen Huang about the start of Blackwell production, emphasizing that AI was invented, made, and built in America for the world. Huang noted that after less than a year, the company is now manufacturing its most advanced chips.
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🧾 New SF Fed study flips the tariff narrative
A 150-year review of US tariff policy shows a surprising pattern: tariffs push inflation up in the short term, but the recessionary drag that follows is stronger and ends up pulling inflation down over a 1–3 year window.
🔊 Tariffs are both inflationary and recessionary
🔊 The recessionary effect dominates over time, lowering inflation
🔊 This aligns with what 2025 data already shows
🔊 These findings could influence upcoming FOMC decisions
Markets love simple narratives, but this one isn’t that simple. Tariffs may push prices up at first, but the slowdown they trigger ends up mattering a lot more for the Fed.
JUST IN: Japan's 40-year government bond yield has surged to a record high of 3.697%, as markets anticipate further stimulus.
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JUST IN: Trump states that China is on schedule with its purchases of U.S. farm products.
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JUST IN: Donald Trump announced that Saudi Arabia has agreed to invest $600 billion in the U.S., adding that the figure could increase.
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JUST IN: The CBOE Volatility Index has climbed above 25.63, signaling heightened market uncertainty.
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📉 Unusual market signal from the selloff
US stocks led the move down, but the usual safety flows never showed up. Neither the dollar nor Treasuries reacted the way they normally do in risk-off.
🔊 EM equities outperformed while US equities dragged
🔊 This behavior looks more like an emerging-market dynamic inside the US market
🔊 The EM vs US ratio is bouncing from deeply undervalued levels
The message is simple: this shift is worth watching. Moves like this tend to repeat, not disappear.
Most traders are chasing profitability when they should be chasing consistency.
Profits don’t build consistency, but consistency builds profits.
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JUST IN: Japan's economy contracted by an annualized 1.8% in Q3 2025, the first decline in six quarters following a 2.3% expansion in the previous period. The downturn was primarily driven by reductions in private residential investment and exports due to new factors.
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JUST IN: The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged nearly 700 points as declines in the US equity markets intensified.
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☄️ See The Market, Seize The Future
💡 Multidimensional, reality-based analysis grounded in discipline, capital management, and risk control
🕯 reading market structure across forex, crypto, and commodities.
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‼️ Peter Thiel Just Nuked His NVIDIA Position
Peter Thiel wiped out his entire NVIDIA stake in one move. More than half a million shares gone. Zero left. For someone known for spotting bubbles before they burst, this shift is loud.
🔊 Thiel Macro dumped 537k NVIDIA shares in Q3
🔊 Cut Tesla by more than seventy percent at the same time
🔊 Portfolio size collapsed from 212 million to 74.4 million
🔊 Rotated into Microsoft and Apple instead of riding the AI hardware wave
🔊 NVIDIA still trades far above its long term valuation norms
Palantir, a company tied to Thiel and one of the biggest AI winners this year, is soaring. Yet he still bailed on AI hardware.
Thiel has seen hype cycles turn brutal. He watched Cisco lose most of its value after the dot com frenzy. His latest move hints he sees the same pattern forming around chips and training rigs today.
With NVIDIA earnings landing soon, big money is already shifting to safety. Thiel just moved first. The signal is clear enough for anyone who wants to see it.