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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy

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Trade Watcher

It always starts the same way.

One impulsive trade.

Just one click to “make it back.”

Then it turns into two.

And before you even realize it, you’re no longer following a system.

You watch yourself breaking rules you swore you’d never break again.

You move stops.

You double down.

You start fighting the market as if it owes you an apology.

That’s the meltdown.

Not on the chart, but in your mind.

And when it’s over, you sit there staring at the balance, trying to understand what happened.

It wasn’t the setup that failed.

It wasn’t the market that betrayed you.

It was your own state of mind hijacked by emotion, disguised as logic.

Every trader has lived that moment.

But only a few learn from it.


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Trade Watcher

JUST IN: DoorDash stock plunged more than 20% following weaker-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings results.

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JUST IN: Donald Trump may be developing a plan with China and Russia to denuclearize.

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JUST IN: Apple is finalizing a deal to integrate Google's Gemini AI model into Siri features starting in 2026, paying Google roughly $1B annually.

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JUST IN: Leavitt states that Trump will give a major speech on the economy at 1 PM EST.

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JUST IN: Supreme Court justices expressed skepticism about the legality of President Trump's tariffs, according to CNBC. Oral arguments in the case began at 10 AM ET, with Trump calling it a "life or death" matter for the US.

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JUST IN: The U.S. Supreme Court has begun hearing arguments on Donald Trump's proposed tariffs.

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JUST IN: The Russian Defence Minister has stated that the U.S. is increasing its stockpile of strategic weapons.

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JUST IN: Trump stated that the government shutdown played a major role in the election.

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Trade Watcher

🔥 Enrollment open for our private trading community

You can now
join White Horse, a trading group built by traders who actually trade.

It’s made for those who want structure, logic, and steady growth instead of random calls.


Inside:
➡️ Flash Feed — real market updates that move price
➡️ Macro Outlooks — context that explains what’s happening
➡️ Swing Trades — selective FX, index, and metal setups
➡️ Intraday Empire Trades — clean intraday setups based on a refined Head and Shoulders model
➡️ Crypto Market Desk — spot and futures only when it’s worth it
➡️ Knowledge Base — tools and insights from real trading
➡️ Mindset Board — helps you stay consistent

The crypto market is quiet, so we’ve paused most crypto threads for now.

To balance it out, we’ve added a dedicated thread for Empire Trades with his precise intraday setups, and lowered the entry price for the first month to $30.


Now’s a good moment to join and see how we actually trade.

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Trade Watcher

JUST IN: Japan's SoftBank stock has fallen 15% today, worsening its two-day drop to 22% overall. The decline equates to a $32 billion loss in market capitalization.

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JUST IN: Super Micro Computer's stock, $SMCI, plunged more than 10% after the company released Q3 2025 earnings that fell short of expectations.

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Trade Watcher

📝 20 Reasons Most Traders Fail


Every trader starts with dreams of freedom.
But 90% never make it. Here’s why:


🟡 They risk too much trying to make too little
🟡 Trade when odds are against them
🟡 Think it’s easy money
🟡 Chase wealth instead of skill
🟡 Blow up from bad position sizing
🟡 Ignore math and risk of ruin
🟡 Follow “gurus” blindly
🟡 Don’t do the homework
🟡 Trade opinions, not systems
🟡 Look for trades, not a strategy
🟡 Have no plan
🟡 Copy others without knowing their risk
🟡 Quit when they see how much work it takes
🟡 Quit when they see how many losses come before wins
🟡 Lose interest when passion fades
🟡 Expect guaranteed income
🟡 Refuse to pay tuition — time, losses, study
🟡 Collapse under the learning curve
🟡 Realize trading is harder than a 9–5
🟡 Quit when tired — winners quit only after they figure it out

Trading isn’t about genius.
It’s about patience, structure, and endurance.


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🔥 Commodities are breaking the playbook

The GSCI Equal-Weighted Commodities Index is up 25% YoY, while the Fed is cutting rates.


In previous cycles, commodities peaked when the Fed started tightening. Now they’re surging in a rate-cut cycle.

🟡 Fed can’t afford higher rates
🟡 Fiscal dominance is taking over — debt dictates policy
🟡 One of the most bullish setups for hard assets in years

Gold, oil, and real commodities are leading again. The rules are changing.


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JUST IN: Bitcoin has plummeted to a more than four-month low, with the cryptocurrency currently down 2.9% at $103,826.

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JUST IN: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has released a statement.

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JUST IN: Donald Trump stated that they will observe Mamdani's performance in New York and provide assistance to him.

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JUST IN: Oil prices are continuing their decline toward $59 per barrel, driven by President Trump's renewed push for $2.00 per gallon gasoline.

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Trade Watcher

📝 Core Lessons from The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel

This book isn’t a crash-course in stock picking or rich-person tricks. It’s about how we think and behave with money and why that matters more than how smart we are. Here are the key ideas every trader, investor or everyday saver should keep in mind.

➡️ Behavior Beats IQ

Success with money has less to do with fancy formulas and much more to do with habits, mindset and consistency. Being really smart doesn’t guarantee you’ll make smart money decisions. Your behaviour does.

“Doing well with money has little to do with how smart you are and a lot to do with how you behave.”

-Morgan Housel

➡️ Luck & Risk Always Play a Role

When you see someone doing extremely well (or badly) financially, don’t assume it’s all skill. Luck and unexpected risk matter a lot. Recognise that many outcomes are shaped by forces outside your immediate control.

This means: don’t equate “big success = great skill” without considering the hidden side.


➡️ Know Enough When It’s Enough

One of the hardest skills: deciding what “enough” means for you. Constantly chasing “just one more trade”, “just one more moonshot” can put you in danger. Housel argues that comparing yourself to others, or always raising the goal-post, is a sure way to take reckless risks.

If you have what you need — protect it.


➡️ Time is the Secret Engine (Not Just Big Gains)

Big returns are nice. But time + consistency + patience beat most flashy moves. Compounding works when you stay in the game long enough. Avoid the “all or nothing” mindset.

In investing and trading: surviving wins first. Profiting comes second.


➡️ Play Your Own Game

Your financial journey is yours. Others may have different goals, risk tolerance, timelines. Don’t copy someone else’s strategy without checking if it matches your life.

This especially applies in volatile fields like crypto/trading where others might take huge risks that you shouldn’t.


➡️ Wealth Isn’t Just What You See

Too often people equate flashy stuff (big car, big house) with “I’m wealthy”. But Housel makes a sharp point: true wealth is what you haven’t spent, the freedom you have, the options you keep.

In trading context: keeping risk low, avoiding ruin, not swinging for home runs every time.


➡️ Guard Against Ruin & Build Margin

You don’t just want gains. You want to avoid losses that ruin you. This means knowing your limits, avoiding extreme leverage or bets beyond your control, and having a margin for error.

In practice: If one blow-up can destroy your portfolio, you’re playing too risky.


➡️ Focus on What You Control

You can’t control the market, or sudden headwinds. But you can control your savings rate, your expenses, how you respond under stress, how you stick to a plan. Housel emphasises those as the real levers.

In trading: control your psychology, risk, money management. The rest you accept



➡️ TL;DR – The Takeaway

If you absorb one thing: Money isn’t only math, it’s psychology.

Being disciplined, patient, avoiding big mistakes, defining your own game and managing behavior will get you farther than chasing big trade setups alone.

The mind-game matters as much as the chart-game. Stay humble. Stay in the game. And make your money work for you, not vice-versa.

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Trade Watcher

$TWT Long
Entry: market
Stop: 1.065
Target: 1.8

Crypto looks rough overall, but this setup stands out and is worth a try. Given the sentiment, taking it with reduced risk.

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Trade Watcher

'The Big Short' Bet Against Palantir & NVIDIA

Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management's latest 13F disclosure shows an extreme bearish concentration. The hedge fund has concentrated 80% of its $1.38B portfolio into put options on Palantir and Nvidia.

🟡 Portfolio Breakdown:
Total notional value: $1.38 billion (↑139% from Q2's $578M)

🟡 $PLTR Puts:
• $912 million (66% of portfolio)
• 5 million put contracts

🟡 $NVDA Puts:
• $187 million (13.5% of portfolio)
• 1 million put contracts

🟡 Combined: $1.1B (~80%) betting both stocks fall.

Both companies are positioned to benefit from current administration priorities. Yet Burry's thesis appears to be: valuations are so extreme that even favorable policies can't justify current prices.


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JUST IN: Russia's Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu states that the United States is planning to conduct underground nuclear tests.

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JUST IN: Trump stated that he does not expect Democrats to act soon on the government shutdown and believes it will not be resolved anytime soon.

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📈 Latin American Stocks Crush the S&P 500 in 2025

The Latin America ETF is up 42% year-to-date, far ahead of the S&P 500. The region is going through a deep structural shift that investors can’t ignore.

🟡 El Salvador and Argentina are driving reforms while Bolivia and Chile face pivotal political moments
🟡 U.S. policymakers are paying more attention to Latin America’s key role in supplying natural resources for tech and reshoring
🟡 Despite big gains, valuations remain low with single-digit P/E ratios

Momentum in Latin markets is turning into a broader trend. With political change, global demand for resources, and cheap valuations, Latin America looks positioned for another strong leg higher.


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Consistency isn’t about being right. It’s about surviving long enough to be right when it matters.

You’ll lose money, sleep, friends, and faith many times.

The 1% who make it aren’t smarter.
They’re scarred, paranoid, and obsessive.

If you’re not willing to treat trading like a war against your own brain, walk away now.

The market doesn’t need your money, but it will take it.


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JUST IN: Crypto markets are continuing their downturn, with Bitcoin declining 22% since October 6. Ethereum (ETH) has fallen over 35% in the last month.

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JUST IN: The Department of Transportation may close airspace in parts of the US if the government shutdown extends into next week. Half of air traffic control facilities are short-staffed, with 13,000 employees working without pay.

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JUST IN: The US Labor department says economic data will NOT be released until the government shutdown ends, pointing to a 60+ day "blackout."

This includes:

1. Monthly Jobs Reports
2. Monthly Unemployment Rate
3. Monthly CPI inflation data
4. Monthly PPI inflation data
5. Monthly Retail Sales data
6. Monthly Housing Starts data

The Fed is cutting rates into the "dark."

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JUST IN: The US government shutdown has reached day 35, marking it as the longest in history.
• Forecasts on the prediction market Kalshi now project the shutdown lasting around 44 days, a sharp rise in recent weeks.
• Despite this milestone, Sen. Markwayne Mullin offered commentary on the situation.

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JUST IN: At a Hong Kong summit, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon and other top Wall Street executives, including those from Morgan Stanley, warned that a market pullback is possible but not immediate, with Solomon specifically noting a potential 10–20% drop in equities in the coming period.

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