99 out of 100 Signal Providers are SCAM ⚠️ SmartTrader is the ONLY 💯% transparent & proven successful trading channel. We share all trades/results end of day. t.me/SmartTraderOfficialBot 📨 VIP Check pinned 📌messages t.me/trial_smarttrader_de 🇩🇪
Overview last 29 trading days:
✅ Performance: 15.03 - 19.04
146/182 = 80.2% Success Rate
✅ 22.4 - AUD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (SL - 99.759)
✅ 22.4 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 156.89)
✅ 22.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 38088.30)
✅ 22.4 - NAS100- LONG ↗️ (SL - 17109.40)
❌ 22.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2318.34|+Re-Entry)
✅ 22.4 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 484.83)
❌ 22.4 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 148.57; pot. major slippage)
5/7 = 71.4% Success Rate
✅ 23.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38469.70)
✅ 23.4 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 82.174)
✅ 23.4 - CRM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 274.63)
✅ 23.4 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 158.48)
✅ 23.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 38449.9)
✅ 23.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2323.63)
✅ 23.4 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 121.13| or CLSD - 121.20)
7/7 = 100% Success Rate
✅ 24.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 38533.40)
✅ 24.4 - AUD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 100.883)
✅* 24.4 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 155.44; pot. neg. slippage*)
❌ 24.4 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (SL - 549.87|+Re-Entry in profit)
❌ 24.4 - META - LONG ↗️ (SL - 546.47; pot. major slippage)
✅ 24.4 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 160.51)
✅ 24.4 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18147.70|or CLSD ~18150) 🔄📸
5/7 = 71.4% Success Rate
Our DAX position closed in profit after recovering strongly as we expected after being oversold following Meta's sharp losses after earnings.
ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 118.77
What a trade 🔥 congratz!
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 117.49
TP ✅ @: 118.67
General Motors (GM) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 45.79
TP ✅ @: 46.47
While everybody was rushing into tech we made breathtaking value trades against the market and hit the perfect timing. Congratulations 👏 - unbelievable trades.
Our expectation that ExxonMobil finds support at 116.20 was on the cent correct. We now secure mega profits. Also our GM position is again deep in profit.
We secure profits. Tesla pushed further up and is very deep in profit - we stay LONG. Meta continue to hover near $440.
—-——
💯 points for our timing here
IMPORTANT ⚠️ Please continue to make sure that you never lose more than 2% - max. 5% of your account balance in a single trade (this includes possible re-entries = still the same trade!). As long as you follow this, you will be 100% (!) profitable if you correctly copy our trades. Nobody trades (short-term / fundamentally) anywhere near our level and consistently, for years, every week, every month profitably - no matter what the market does.
If you think you are making mistakes or not getting the support you need, please contact our support team. You can also ask for another account manager if you are not satisfied with the help you are getting:
SmartTrader Support 🇬🇧
SmartTrader DE-Support 🇩🇪
SmartTrader ES-Support 🇪🇸
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 General Motors (GM) 🇺🇸
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
► Although gains today are being led by tech, we are buying into value and finding good entry points in General Motors - which closed in our SL earlier today (deep in earnings / if you are still LONG, stay LONG) - and also buying ExxonMobil, which is down 4% today after the disappointing earnings report - but that says much more about Q1 performance than about performance to come. We are buying Exxon near today's bottom (~116.20).
► Oil and gas production revenues fell 14% due to lower natural gas prices, and refining slumped 67% due to weaker fuel margins, mark-to-market derivatives and higher maintenance costs. However, Exxon's chemicals business stood out as profits more than doubled due to lower input costs and higher margins - I see more potential in this area going forward, adding to the overall positive outlook for higher profits from the oil/fuel business, thanks in part to rising oil prices. Earnings of $8.22 billion for the first quarter ended March 31 were down 29% compared to adjusted earnings of $11.62 billion in the year-ago period. We expect profits to improve in the coming quarters, thanks in part to rising production at Exxon's Guyana operations.
► General Motors remains bullish following the release of a very strong earnings report. I expect analysts to gradually become more positive on GM as well. We are re-entering GM near our triggered SL.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 1,300 - 1,400 (130,000% - 140,000%) trading General Motors (GM).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 500 - 530 (50,000% - 53,000%) trading ExxonMobil (XOM).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
--——
🚗📉📈
🏭📉📉📈
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 17667.90
TP ✅ @: 17739.90
Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 444.87
We made a beautiful post PCE trade with the Nasdaq 100 - against the market, which saw more headwinds following the in reality in-line with expectations PCE data. Also Meta already pushed beyond yesterday's highs but saw again slight panic selling / profit taking. We remain LONG but set a TP now closing in the next return of dip buying.
Our DAX position already closed well in profit (if you are still in - close soon or now (CLOSE ✅ @: 18220 / or tight TP ✅ @: 18233.40.)
⚡️ LIVE TRADING 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 (VIP ONLY)/USD
⚡️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL
► A very tricky PCE report. It was broadly in line with expectations, but at the same time inflation showed no signs of slowing in March as a key Fed inflation barometer remains elevated.
► Markets reacted little to the data and Wall Street will continue to open sharply higher. The USD regained some strength, but yields fell - showing that this is unlikely to be enough to strengthen the USD again.
► We are buying the small dip in the (VIP ONLY)/USD. Recent economic and sentiment data from(VIP ONLY) improved and helped the (VIP ONLY) to regain some of its weakness (against the USD). I think the (VIP ONLY)/USD can find support at (VIP ONLY)and rebound a bit after falling 50 pips today (from the peak).
⚡️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
———-
📈 Unlock Your Trading Potential with SmartTrader
🔗 Book Your FREE Intro Meeting Now!
Are you interested in learning how to trade with SmartTrader and become consistently profitable? Here's your chance to become part of the most successful trading community. Book a free exclusive one-on-one meeting.
🔗👉 https://smarttrader.community/book-a-call
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
CLOSE NOW/SOON ✅ @: 18140 - 18150 (area; in profit)
Close your DAX now in profit. PCE data came in a tiny bit hotter-than-expectations - but nothing that should de-rail markets but also nothing that should result in a strong rally. We could see first some headwinds as inflation remains very stubborn.
📊 ROB’S DAILY UPDATE 📈
‼️ Wall Street sharply higher powered by Microsoft & Alphabet; All eyes on US PCE data
Tech stocks drove not only Wall Street but also global equity markets higher after record earnings from Microsoft and Alphabet signaled that the artificial intelligence boom that has fueled tech stocks' gains is here to stay.
Google parent Alphabet rose as much as 12% in pre-market trading, likely adding more than $230 billion to its market capitalization and pushing it past the $2 trillion mark - strong digital advertising revenue drove Alphabet's sales higher, well above expectations. Microsoft rose by 4%. Both companies beat Wall Street estimates with their latest quarterly results, driven in part by demand for AI services.
The strong earnings reports were a big relief for the markets after concerns about a slowdown in corporate earnings (as well as the US economy) had added to worries about high valuations in the technology sector. Concerns that inflation could accelerate again, or at least remain stubborn, while the US economy shows signs of cooling, also created some headwinds, which have now been overcome, at least temporarily, but would return immediately if today's PCE data are hot.
Eyes are accordingly on the US PCE data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure.
We still see a high risk of further profit-taking, especially as we have seen heavier than usual selling when companies have underperformed, and an overall mixed impact from mostly strong earnings reports. Almost 80% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported so far have beaten analysts' earnings estimates - but the boost for Wall Street has so far remained rather limited. The focus is on the forecasts.
Other companies have also reacted to earnings. ExxonMobil and Chevron both fell after reporting lower than expected first quarter results. Intel slumped sharply after issuing a weaker than expected forecast, showing us once again that forecasts in particular play an important role after a series of strong quarters.
The JPY plunged to a record low against the USD after the Bank of Japan decided to leave monetary policy unchanged. We saw fluctuations in the JPY. A good strategy here is to work with a pending sell order (against the JPY) and use the next spike in the JPY to find a good (SHORT) entry in case the intervention talks flare up again in the short term. However, with the Bank of Japan keeping interest rates extremely low and the yield spread between bonds therefore high, there are not many reasons not to expect further JPY weakness.
Equities in Europe also recovered. Asia was also mostly in positive territory. Technology and growth stocks led the gains in both Europe and Asia.
The gold price continued to rise, but remains lower for the week. The gold price will be strongly influenced by the PCE data. Oil prices rose to their highest level this week. However, a hot PCE report would also weigh on oil prices. For now, however, commodity prices remain bullish on hopes that the global economy can return to growth.
Since today's moves are dependent on the PCE data, it makes little sense to break down asset performance:
If the US PCE data is in line with expectations (or cooler than expected overall), equities will continue to rise and the USD will weaken. Gold and oil would also benefit. A hot result, on the other hand, would lead to profit-taking in equities and a rebound in the USD, which would weigh on both gold and oil.
📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Friday, April 26
❗️ Global markets rally on strong tech earnings; Eyes on US PCE data the Fed's preferred inflation measure
► European stocks surged today, led by the technology sector following impressive earnings results from Microsoft and Alphabet. The Stoxx Europe 600 rose by 0.6%, marking its first weekly gain in a month. Strong earnings from Microsoft and Alphabet spurred gains, with the tech, miners and consumer cyclicals leadings the gains. Despite a strong overall market, Anglo American dipped after rejecting the major $39 billion takeover bid from the BHP group. Thyssenkrupp AG surged more than 10% after Czech billionaire Daniel Kretinsky's EP Corporate Group agreed to take a 20% stake in the German company's struggling steel division.
► US equity futures showed optimism, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures up by 0.7% and 1% respectively, reacting positively to impressive results from tech giants Microsoft and Alphabet, which followed Meta's strong Q1 results. This optimism follows a robust earnings showcase from tech giants, with Microsoft (+3.8% pre market) enhancing its cloud and AI revenue streams and Alphabet (+11% pre market) smashing revenue estimates and initiating a dividend. Microsoft announced Q3 earnings of $2.94 per share, surpassing the $2.82 expected, with revenues up 17% to $61.86 billion, driven by a 31% growth in its Azure cloud services. Alphabet reported earnings of $1.89 per share against forecasts of $1.51, with total revenues soaring to $80.54 billion, fueled by robust ad revenue from YouTube and gains in Google Cloud. Despite a strong earnings season overall, market reactions have been mixed, with some firms seeing gains while others faced harsher penalties for not meeting expectations. Markets also await the release of US PCE price index data later today.
► Asian markets gained, responding positively to the strong earnings news from the US as well as by robust performances from tech leaders like Samsung and TSMC. The JPY, however, continued its decline, reaching a new 34-year low against the USD after the Bank of Japan's decision to maintain ultra-low interest rates, underscoring the diverging monetary paths between Japan and other major economies.
► Commodity markets saw varied movements; WTI Crude oil prices climbed to $83.5/barrel, their highest in more than a week, set for a weekly gain. Gold prices edged higher, reaching $2,350/oz. Gold is headed for a weekly loss amid fluctuating USD strength and renewed inflation concerns. US PCE data will play the deciding role for gold today.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇯🇵 BoJ Interest Rate Decision - 03:00 (released)
🔸 🇪🇸 Unemployment Rate - 07:00 (released)
🔸 🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income / Spending - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Michigan Consumer Sentiment - 14:00
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
☀️ ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
☀️ Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸
☀️ AbbVie (ABBV) 🇺🇸
☀️ TotalEnergies (TTE) 🇫🇷
☀️ Safran (SAFRY) 🇫🇷
☀️ HCA (HCA) 🇺🇸
☀️ Hitachi (HTHIY) 🇯🇵 (reported)
☀️ Colgate-Palmolive (CL) 🇺🇸
☀️ Phillips 66 (PSX) 🇺🇸
☀️ Aon (AON) 🇬🇧🇺🇸
☀️ Denso (DNZOY) 🇯🇵 (reported)
(...and more with market cap <$45B)
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
Overview last 28 trading days:
✅ Performance: 15.03 - 18.04
142/175 = 81.1% Success Rate
✅ 19.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2382.87)
✅ 19.4 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 82.177)
❌ 19.4 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (SL - 546.47)
❌ 19.4 - META - LONG ↗️ (SL - 481.43 |Re-Entry in-profit)
✅ 19.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2395.77)
❌ 19.4 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 763.97|Re-Entry in-profit)
✅ 19.4 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 17197.3)
4/7= 57.1% Success Rate
✅ 22.4 - AUD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (SL - 99.759)
✅ 22.4 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 156.89)
✅ 22.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 38088.30)
✅ 22.4 - NAS100- LONG ↗️ (SL - 17109.40)
❌ 22.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2318.34|+Re-Entry)
✅ 22.4 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 484.83)
❌ 22.4 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 148.57; pot. major slippage)
5/7 = 71.4% Success Rate
✅ 23.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38469.70)
✅ 23.4 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 82.174)
✅ 23.4 - CRM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 274.63)
✅ 23.4 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 158.48)
✅ 23.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 38449.9)
✅ 23.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2323.63)
✅ 23.4 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 121.13| or CLSD - 121.20)
7/7 = 100% Success Rate
*no update*
Netflix (NTFLX) 🇺🇸
General Motors (GM)
General Motors is near a two-year high before NYSE closing. We stay LONG. GM should not be much affected by Microsoft / Alphabet. Also Netflix would only fall slightly in sympathy in case there is another sell wave post earnings report (in my eyes more likely with Microsoft).
Meta earlier hit our TP for a nice profit - reducing slightly our sharp losses with the social media giant. Also Alphabet, recovered strongly (hit my SL for a big profit). Tesla hit our SL.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2332.83
TP ✅ @: 2335.89
OR
CLOSE ✅ @: 2334.50 (area)
Netflix (NTFLX) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 560.33
TP ✅ @: 574.77
General Motors (GM)
SL 🔑 @: 45.44
TP ✅ @: 46.33
Although we expect a strong earnings report from Alphabet, we are not going into tech now seeing how nervous investors are about any signs of a slowdown. Microsoft could show slight signs of a slowdown (but will have likely beat Q1 expectations).
It's best to be positioned in value, cheap valued stocks now - such as GM. We tighten the SL of our GM position and widen our TP. Our GM position is very deep in profit. We give GM more room to rise further.
We also set a tight TP for our gold position and want to close in profit. Volatility during NYSE closing / before earnings reports, give us anyways a better re-entry possibility. Sharp selling would likely first lead to some losses in gold - despite being a safe haven.
edit sorry - TP - should have been 2335.89 (for gold) - but doesn't matter much (closed in profit).
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 37879.70
TP ✅ @: 37989.70
We put both our SL & TP 40 points higher with the Dow Jones rising further.
⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
► We are now seeing the short-term dip we expected, have secured mega gains, but are getting back in (at a better price).
► We take the dip back to ~$2,330 and remain bullish on gold in this nervous market. We may see slight additional selling as also gold & risk sentiment are volatile.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.5 - 0.8 (50% - 80%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 10+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
---——
🥇2️⃣3️⃣3️⃣0️⃣📈
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
Gold remains here bullish but our position is so deep in profit that we can close here (or partially close).
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
► We don't make any more big bets before the NYSE close. We have seen a strong close to the week. However, both Meta and Microsoft are trading below their opening prices - which generally means that all the gains in the tech sector (minus the gains in the chip sector, especially Nvidia) have already been made pre-market after yesterday's strong Microsoft and Alphabet reports. Most trader thus missed all profits from today.
► I still like Alphabet a lot (it's my biggest holding in my stock portfolio), but I think we'll find a better re-entry next week. However, we want to stay LONG in Meta in the short term.
►There is still no good fundamental reason why Meta is trading more than 10% lower after the results. The social media company is forecast to earn $20.05 per share in fiscal 2024, which implies 35% y-o-y earnings growth - that's huge. The sharp sell-off has also pushed Meta down to a P/E ratio of around 20 - well below that of the other mega caps. EPS growth is still very impressive and in my opinion will continue to outperform all other mega caps in 2024/25.
► Investors overreacted when Meta's revenue guidance was slightly lower than expected and the company plans to increase AI infrastructure spending.
► We currently see Meta at ~441.00 / 441.50 = flat for today. I expect Meta to rise back above $450 in the next week and back into the $475 - $500 range in the next 60 days, which makes Meta very attractive in the short/medium term.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 110 - 120 (11,000% - 12,000%) when trading Meta Platforms (META).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
—-——
👤📈4️⃣5️⃣0️⃣
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 117.73
TP ✅ @: 118.77
Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 439.93
TP ✅ @: 444.97
We see Meta two hours before NYSE closing back at highs reached today / yesterday. We are tightening our SL / can put our TP at 445.
XOM rose further. We can slightly tighten our SL. What a trade.
——
Wir hatten diese Woche etwas Pech mit Fehlbewertungen/Überreaktionen des Marktes. Auch teilweise etwas ungeschickt geupdated. Aber wir beenden die Woche mit Mega-Gewinnen. Glückwunsch!
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 169.79
TP ✅ @: 174.43
We secure huge profits with our Tesla position - based on sentiment analysis. We see more upside for the EV pioneer which currently sees strong hype / rebound buying.
Our stock positions are overall deep in profit. We found the perfect entry into ExxonMobil and GM. Especially XOM is already deep in profit. Meta is hovering at $440.
—-——
⚡️🚗📈
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile
► It's hard to like Tesla as a fundamental trader (and analyst), but we have to acknowledge the strong positive sentiment for Tesla. Even when we saw negative market sentiment after Meta's sharp losses yesterday, Tesla continued to rally.
► Tesla is showing resilience. Any profit taking since the recent price jump ended in further dip buying. As Tesla is still enjoying quite positive coverage overall and many investors are no longer selling after heavy losses or in the hope of a (strong) recovery of Tesla, the risk of heavy profit-taking is decreasing.
► Furthermore, not too much negative news can be expected from Tesla - weak deliveries, further price cuts, deteriorating margins - we've seen it all before. Investors are now more likely to react to positive news about Tesla than to take profits on (additional) negative news.
► It's also likely that we'll hear more positives about Tesla's optimistic future plans, including a more affordable model and its robotaxi plans - which are probably still years away. There will be plenty of analysts - who will be euphoric and speak out.
► We're buying the 1% drop in Tesla's share price here. We are not Tesla-believers (yet) and Tesla will continue to disappoint in the coming quarters, but we recognize the positive sentiment. We also see a generally positive market sentiment now, which should lead to further gains.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 300 - 330 (30,000% - 33,000%) trading Tesla (TSLA)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 50+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
--——
⚡️📈1️⃣7️⃣1️⃣➕
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED 🔼 Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
⚠️ volatile!
The PCE data had little impact on the markets and market sentiment. Inflation in the US remains high and stubborn - but we knew that beforehand. Fears of a faster acceleration have not materialized. The PCE data didn't really change anything. Considering yesterday's much hotter PCE report (for Q1), these are actually solid numbers. Still, markets remain nervous after the recent swings. We'll probably see some dip buying in tech first (which already started yesterday) and then some profit taking again before the weekend.
🔹 General Motors (+0.4%) continues its uptrend and opens near yesterday's highs. Our position is deep in profit, we remain LONG and keep our SL & TP.
► We saw Meta trying to recover from heavy selling yesterday. We expect Meta to remain in a similar momentum for now. I also believe that investment banks and analysts in particular will not necessarily view Meta's massive AI infrastructure investments as a negative. Meta continues to grow rapidly and can almost become something like a new Google - it has the traffic and has been very successful in improving engagement and monetization and will continue to be so.
► I continue to see strong revenue growth for 2025/26 and believe the current dip can be bought even in the short term. Meta should benefit from the general improvement in sentiment following the strong earnings reports from Microsoft and Alphabet.
► Analysts/investment banks remain very optimistic on Meta with an average price target of 517.40. We see Meta underperforming in pre-market trading, opening 0.7% lower. We expect Meta to see slight additional selling (allowing us to enter at $435 - $438*) and then rally to and potentially above yesterday's highs later today ($445+).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 110 - 120 (11,000% - 12,000%) when trading Meta Platforms (META).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
--——
👤4️⃣3️⃣7️⃣📈4️⃣4️⃣5️⃣
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
⚡️ LIVE TRADING 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
⚡️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL
► The PCE data was slightly above expectations (for overall prices) - but no surprise overall. The 0.1% higher figure of 2.7% compared to 2.6% (headline inflation) depresses market sentiment a little bit.
► The so-called core price index for personal consumption expenditure (which is more important for the Fed), which excludes the volatile components of food and energy, rose by 0.3% compared to the previous month and was therefore in line with expectations. Compared to the previous year, it rose by 2.8%, which was also in line with expectations. Total PCE prices also rose by 0.3% compared to February and by 2.7% (compared to the expected 2.6%) compared to the previous year.
► Thus, fears of a much hotter report did not materialize, so we believe Wall Street can remain optimistic overall after the Microsoft / Alphabet mega reports. We buy the Nasdaq 100 here at current bottom range 17570 - 17600.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).
⚡️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
🚨 US PCE data in 4 minutes
⚡️ LIVE TRADING SESSION IN VIP CHANNEL
I'm active - but it's just not the right time to take big trades after the big swings in stocks following the recent sell-offs and the big boost from Microsoft and Alphabet that brought back optimism overnight. Also, ahead of the PCE data (to be released at 12:30 UTC+0), we should not make big bets. I expect the data to be in line with expectations, although yesterday's (core) PCE price data for the first quarter came in well above expectations at 3.7% versus 3.4% and the previous quarter's 2%.
US inflation remains a concern and will continue to support the USD in the coming periods. However, the USD remains high against its peers and has recently found more resistance to move higher. Weaker than expected economic data in the US has also helped to pull the USD back a little and expectations for a rate cut in September have increased slightly. We are also seeing volatility in the JPY, but it remains weak as we predicted and there is little reason why it should not weaken further after the Bank of Japan decided to keep interest rates at extremely low levels and only talk about intervention again. The interest rate differential will remain large and so will the yield differential between Japanese bonds and European or US government bonds. At the moment I see the EUR continuing to rise against the USDas economic and sentiment data in the Eurozone improves and despite the ECB's likely rate cuts, but again I would not want to make any big bets on the currency market ahead of the PCE data.
In general, I expect Wall Street can benefit from the PCE data, at least if it is in line with expectations. The market is pricing in slightly higher inflation - especially after yesterday's Q1 PCE data. So as long as inflation is not higher than expected, market sentiment should remain slightly positive for now, despite signs of a slowdown in the US economy, which makes a rate cut more likely.
However, hot inflation data increases concerns of stagflation (slowing economy or no growth combined with high/rising inflation) - this would definitely not be good for Wall Street and would lead to selling again.
*updated*
✅ 24.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 24.4 - AUD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 100.883) 🔄
✅* 24.4 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 155.44; pot. neg. slippage*) 🔄
❌ 24.4 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (SL - 549.87|+Re-Entry in profit) 🔄
❌ 24.4 - META - LONG ↗️ (SL - 546.47; pot. major slippage) 🔄
✅ 24.4 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 160.51)
✴️ 24.4 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (open - slightly off-profit)
4/7 - (1 open position)
✅ 25.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2332.47)
✅ 25.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2338.89|or CLSD ~2343)
❌ 25.4 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 166.03)
✅ 25.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 37989.7)
✴️✅ 25.4 - GM - LONG ↗️ (SL in profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 45.44 // TP ✅ @: 46.33
(✅) 25.4 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 155.44 - No Clear Signal)
✅ 25.4 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 443.47)
✅ 25.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2334.47|or CLSD ~2335)
7/8 - (1 open position; GOOGL not included)
While today looks great - we were (again) incredibly unlucky as the market overreacted (negatively) to Meta's very solid earnings report, although we traded at least parts of Meta's recover today which I expect to continue. Concerns about slowing sales and Meta's massive expansion plans in AI structure (which I see as positive) weighed on the stock. We then missed out on very strong potential gains in Alphabet. We see the Nasdaq 100 a bit too hot now at around 17700 (benefiting from Big Tech gains) - but look for a good entry tomorrow / on Monday. Our DAX position is likely to be back well in profit (again) tomorrow.
On the good side, we traded gold very well today, caught part of the general rebound with our Dow Jones and made one of the best value trades with GM.
Tomorrow is another exciting day with US PCE data playing a big role.
Robert 🤝
❗️ EARLY LOOK: Microsoft exceeds Q1 expectations; benefits from accelerated growth of Azure/data center business
❗️ EARLY LOOK: Alphabet reports strong earnings, strongly beating revenue expectations; Alphabet announces first dividend further boosting the stock
After the chaotic market reactions on Tesla and Meta - which also unsettled us / me, we see tech giants rising strongly after positive earnings. The tech trade is back / rally can return.
Microsoft:
EPS: $2.94 vs. $2.82 expected
Revenue: $61.86bn vs. $60.80bn expected
The company started selling its Copilot artificial intelligence add-on for small businesses with subscriptions to Microsoft 365 productivity software during the quarter. Microsoft reported very strong Azure revenue growth.
Microsoft currently +4.5%
Alphabet:
EPS: $1.89 vs $1.51 expected
Revenue: $80.54bn vs. $78.59bn expected
YouTube ad revenue: $8.09bn vs. $7.72bn expected
Google Cloud revenue: $9.57bn vs. $9.35bn expected
All around strong earnings report with no weakness. Ad revenue (digital advertising) very positive, overall revenue well above expectations. Additionally, Alphabet announced it first dividend further boosting the stock.
Alphabet currently +12%
Without Meta's still very confusing massive loss after yesterday's earnings report - we would have certainly traded Alphabet here - congratulations to you if you hold a LONG position. Alphabet is my biggest holding in my long-term portfolio.
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP triggered (for me) ✅ @: 2334.47
My position closed a bit earlier - you probably closed near / at 2335 or at 2335.89. We want to get out here ahead of earnings release (of Microsoft & Alphabet)
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 428.73
TP ✅ @: 443.47
Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 155.44
TP ✅ @: 157.23 (optional)
General Motors (GM)
SL 🔑 @: 45.29
TP ✅ @: 45.97
Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 166.03
TP ✅ @: 160.26 (optional)
We are securing big profits with our GM position. We also set a TP for Meta near the session high. Meta is trying to recover - we are limiting losses. I also got back into Alphabet (as I continue to buy meaningful dips in Alphabet), but saw more short term rebound potential in Meta (I should have shared both with you). If you're invested in Alphabet (or getting back in), set a tight SL now ahead of the earnings report.
Tesla found resistance before yesterday's highs. We are tightening our SL. If you got in at $164 - $165 - your position is now well in profit.
Our Dow Jones closed in our TP ✅ 37989.70. Our DAX is still off-profit, but is still in rebound mode.
I see many of you are still positioned in Netflix - if so, you can stay LONG. Don't work with too tight an SL (we've been timing Netflix's swings poorly in recent days). But you can set your SL at 557.77 - if it gets triggered, we can find a better re-entry at 550 (depending on today's earnings reports).
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 37839.30
TP ✅ @: 37949.70
We set an in-profit SL for our Dow Jones position which recovered ~150 points of very sharp losses today. We found the perfect entry into the Dow Jones - with the 30-stocks average indeed finding support (for now) in the 37750 - 37780 range.
We need to overall reduce our LONG position ahead of more earnings reports. We see tech stocks - in particular Alphabet recovering from the sharp pre-market losses. Also Caterpillar was able to trim sharp losses by around 3% pushing the Dow Jones higher.
We still see a bit of further recover potential in the Dow Jones.
--——
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 General Motors (GM)
⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Very volatile!
► The selling at Meta went way too far - given the overall beat on Q1 earnings expectations and a forecast that still calls for rapid sales growth of around 20% YoY (albeit slower than the 27% YoY growth in Q1).
►We already see Meta has cut ~3% of heavy losses and expect Meta to see further dip buying.
► We also want to buy GM after it delivered a very strong earnings report and is generally undervalued. Its competitor Ford also published very good figures yesterday (after the close of trading). General Motors already made a big leap upwards already yesterday and is now moving sideways - which is very positive in view of the overall heavy losses in New York. After years of weak performance, GM has plenty of further recovery potential and showed strong delivery growth for its pick-ups, while management is sticking to its optimistic EV targets.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 1,300 - 1,400 (130,000% - 140,000%) trading General Motors (GM).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 110 - 120 (11,000% - 12,000%) when trading Meta Platforms (META).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 50+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
---——
🚗📈
👤📉📉📉📈
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 2342.50 - 2345 (area)
or
SL 🔑 @: 2338.89
TP ✅ @: 2347.87
Gold is now extremely deep in profit after initial misreaction on higher yields (which we identified as such).
We can CLOSE here as we can likely find a better re-entry or we can work with a tight SL / TP.