[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

07 Jun 2024 15:36

🔰 NYSE UPDATE 🔰

US economic / labor market data remains conflicting. After most recent labor market reports showing a softening labor market, today's NFP data shows strong hiring and still strong wage growth. Unemployment also rose, which even makes the NFP report mixed. Overall, however, data is very Fed unfriendly. We are rather defensively positioned - not bad for today's NFP data. We will likely see a rotation towards more defensive stocks although we may overall see broad profit taking.


🔹 Apple (+ 0.3%) opens flat. We tighten our TP ✅ @: 195.98.

🔹 McDonald's (0.0%) opens little changed. Defensive stocks such as MCD benefit from a rotation from growth stocks to more defensive / value stocks.


PS: Sorry for slightly less activity, I had a call with my mother as my grandmother has been doing very badly in recent days 💔

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07 Jun 2024 15:08

⚡️ LIVE TRADING 🕯
(VIP ONLY) ❓ Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️

► We see gold falling further, but the overall hot NFP data is causing considerable fundamental pressure, (VIP ONLY) additional fall from $2.335 to $2.315 - $2.320 is actually (VIP ONLY). (VIP ONLY) gold is already almost 2.4% lower for the day.

► Yields on US 10-y have now risen by more than 13 basis points.

► We (VIP ONLY) here slightly (VIP ONLY) and could see gold (VIP ONLY).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD).

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️

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07 Jun 2024 14:41

⚡️ LIVE TRADING 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️

► We see very hot NFP data and also hot wages thus overall very hot report.

► Yields jumped sharply also the USD staged a rebound. Gold fell now immediately $10/oz.

► We wait for a small rebound 19015 - 19040 and SHORT the Nasdaq (on reduced rate cut expectations)

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

07 Jun 2024 12:39

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Friday, June 7

❗️ European equities fall as ECB sees no clear interest rate path after first rate cut; Focus on NFP report; Gold slips more than 1.6%

► European shares remain near record highs after recent gains, but the Stoxx 600 index inched 0.3% lower today. The market reacted to the European Central Bank’s rate cut, which initiated a policy easing cycle but increased the inflation outlook . Stocks are mixed but overall slightly lower with the ECB indicated a gradual approach to further rate cuts. Germany's trade surplus for April was recorded at €22.1B, below expectations (due to strong imports), with exports growing 1.6% and imports increasing by 2% MoM. German industrial production disappointed a -0.1% MoM vs. +0.3% expected.

► In the US, all major indices ended Thursday with little change as investors awaited the crucial job report. US stock futures are also near unchanged on Friday during US pre-market trading. Traders remain cautious ahead of the US jobs data (NFP data) expected later today, which is anticipated to show an addition of 180,000 jobs in May. Market participants are also keenly focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook, influenced by recent weaker-than-expected US economic data and rate cuts from the Bank of Canada and the ECB. Swap markets are pricing in a full Fed rate cut by November, with high expectations for a cut in September. The USD was steady, while Treasury yields edged slightly higher.

► Asian markets presented a mixed picture. Japan’s Nikkei 225 edged down by 0.22%, with the JPY steadying at 155.7 / USD ahead of the Bank of Japan's policy meeting next week. China’s trade surplus widened significantly in May, driven by a stronger-than-expected increase in exports. The Shanghai Composite Index rose slightly by 0.08%.

► Oil prices continued their upward trend, heading for a third consecutive gain as fears of market oversupply diminished. WTI Crude oil price is hovering around $75.5/barrel. The likelihood of OPEC and its allies allowing oversupply has decreased, supporting oil prices. Meanwhile, gold prices dropped to below $2,340/oz. Data showed that China didn't buy gold in May - for the first time in 18 months. China has already reduced its monthly gold purchases recently. Initial losses where then accompanied by sharp profit taking after recent strong recovery gains of gold. Traders are await the release of NFP data later today; if the data does not confirm the easing of the US labor market, gold would see more headwinds. However, our chief analyst does not expect the NFP data to come as a hot surprise.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇨🇳 Balance of Trade - 03:00 (released)
🔸 🇩🇪 Balance of Trade - 06:00 (released)
🔸 🇩🇪 Industrial Production - 06:00 (released)
🔸 🇫🇷 Balance of Trade - 06:45 (released)
🔸 🇪🇺 GDP Growth Rate - 09:00 (released)
🔸 🇪🇺 Employment Change - 09:00 (released)
🔸 🇨🇦 Unemployment Rate - 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Non Farm Payrolls - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate - 12:30
🔸 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speech - 14:15

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No significant earnings reports

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

06 Jun 2024 22:45

✅ 5.6 - CAD/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 114.061)
✅ 5.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2337.43)
✅ 5.6 - BHP - LONG ↗️ (TP - 58.89) 🔄 📸
✅ 5.6 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 195.79)
✅ 5.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38777.90)
❌ 5.6 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 19087.60) 🔄
✴️ 5.6 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 196.63 🔄

5/7 - (1 open position)

TODAY :

✅ 6.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2366.37) 📸
✅ 6.6 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (CLSD - 18680.75| or 18675 - 18690)
✴️ 6.6 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.08749 | TP ✅ @: 1.08999
✅ 6.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2376.33)
✴️ 6.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 2357.33 | TP ✅ @: 2378.29
✴️ 6.6 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - slightly in-profit)

3/6 - (3 open positions)

Congratulations - the ECB's interest rate decision was difficult to trade. We already had the correct predictions as to how the ECB would position itself in the previous week / early this week - but estimating what is ultimately priced in and trading the immediate and delayed reaction is something else again. Well done!

Finally another exceptional performance with gold - too.

Enjoy your evening!
Robert ❤️

Thank you to many of you for sharing some of the profits with people in need. If you would like to help people in Ukraine or Gaza, we can recommend https://unitedhelpukraine.org // https://www.welthungerhilfe.org // - thank you very much ❤️

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06 Jun 2024 22:13

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
EUR/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.08749 🔄
TP ✅ @: 1.08999 🔄

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2357.33 🔄
TP ✅ @: 2378.29 🔄

We set rather tight TPs at key levels that will likely trigger overnight. We set an in-profit SL for our EUR/USD. We see the pair remaining bullish for now.

We set our TP for gold near the session highs. We are working with a fairly wide SL - we want to close at the TP.

Congratulations to all of us - we traded a difficult market very well today 👏

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

06 Jun 2024 19:47

⚡️ FREE RAPID VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

► Our gold trades are spot on today. Gold hit a new daily high earlier, which also triggered our TP, and then ran into (temporary) resistance/profit taking at $2,378.50 before falling back to the $2,370 - $2,372 area where it found temporary support.

► We are getting back into gold and see the gold price continuing to benefit from ongoing expectations of an imminent rate cut by the Fed, lower yields and the generally weaker USD.

► We also see other commodity prices higher across the board - some even significantly higher, such as energy (oil +2.2%), most foodstuffs as well as copper and the precious/industrial metal silver, up more than 4%.

► We remain LONG in gold and buy the current mini-dip $2,370 - $2,371.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD).

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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06 Jun 2024 17:05

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

► There are few clear signals in the market. We see that risk sentiment in New York remains positive and yields are also falling to flat territory, which means that the swap markets don't believe that the ECB's more cautious view, including the expectation that inflation will last longer, will have much impact on the Fed's rate cuts. I see it similarly - it will be the other way around. The ECB is waiting for signals from the Fed.

► The continued decline in yields and the fact that the USD seems to be normalizing further against its peers have supported Wall Street and growth stocks. Wall Street remains close to the ATH (S&P 500 / Nasdaq 100).

► We re-enter gold below our triggered TP 2366.37 (or closing price 2365 - 2367) and find an entry in the $2362 - $2364 range.

► We see the US 10-Y stabilizing at / slightly below 4.30%. Gold remains attractive and becomes cheaper for non-USD buyers due to the normalization of the USD.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD).

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06 Jun 2024 15:53

⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19120.30 🔄
TP ✅ @: 18987.60 🔄

We slightly widen our SL and tighten our TP here. We see a market searching for guidance. We see flat yields and slightly increased rate cut expectations (stronger for the ECB). This could result in slight headwinds for growth stocks soon. However, overall risk sentiment remains positive in New York but will likely turn more cautious later today. We already see this with the Dow Jones outperforming the Nasdaq.

We see the Nasdaq 100 hitting resistance in the range 19075 - 19100 for now. We may still see some profit taking resulting in our position from yesterday closing break-even.

Alternatively close now / soon near 19040 - 19050 for a small loss.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

06 Jun 2024 15:37

⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2362.47
TP ✅ @: 2366.37
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 2365 - 2367

Our position is in profit. We set a tight TP now and secure our profits. We see slight signs that rate cut expectations could be dialed back a bit (ECB rate cut expectations have been already reduced).

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

06 Jun 2024 15:02

⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🔰
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 18675 - 18690 🔄

We see that rate cut expectations for the ECB for 2024 are falling. The market is no longer fully prices in another rate cut by the October meeting. Traders assign a 84% probability that the central bank eases at that meeting, while a third rate cut by year end holds a 44% probability.

Largarde is leaning towards a rather hawkish statement with a wait-and-see approach: Reading the opening statement, Lagarde emphasizes "We are not pre-committing to a particular rate path."

We thus close our DAX here in profit / or set a tight SL / TP.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

06 Jun 2024 13:41

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► Our gold pending order was not triggered (you can leave it open for now; adjust it slightly to 🔼2346.56). The gold price continued to rise in Asian trading, crossing the $2,360 mark again and even testing $2,375, a level last reached on May 23.

► Gold continues to be supported by rising expectations of upcoming interest rate cuts - which are already taking place in Canada (yesterday) and in the Eurozone with a likely 25 basis point ECB rate cut today - as well as by the Swiss National Bank, which began easing monetary policy back in March and could continue to do so this month after Swiss inflation remained stable in May.

► In particular, the increasing signs of a slowdown in the US economy (with the exception of yesterday's surprising US purchasing managers' data), including a cooling US labor market, have caused interest rate cut expectations to rise again. The swap markets are now almost fully pricing in two Fed rate cuts this year.

► We are buying gold here at slightly below $2.360 and assume that gold will remain supported by the rate cut expectations and the recent sharp fall in yields.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD).

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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05 Jun 2024 23:17

❌ 4.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2321.37|or CLSD in profit)
✅ 4.6 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7956.70)
✅ 4.6 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 194.33)
✅ 4.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2324.87)
✅ 4.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 0.89017)
✅ 4.6 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (CLSD - 169.13) 🔄📸
✴️ 4.6 - MCD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
✴️ 4.6 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.08447 🔄| TP ✅ @: 1.08823 🔄

5/8 - (2 open positions)

TODAY :

✅ 5.6 - CAD/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 114.061)
✅ 5.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2337.43)
✴️(✅) 5.6 - BHP - LONG ↗️ (open - SL in Profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 58.39 | TP ✅ @: 58.89
✅ 5.6 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 195.79)
✅ 5.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38777.90) 📸
✴️ 5.6 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 19113.10 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 18981.60 🔄
✴️ 5.6 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (open - just-entered)

5/7 - (2 open positions)

It was a solid day. It was very good and right that we didn't position us SHORT while so many analysts, including those at JPMorgan (for whom I have great respect) and Bank of America, were predicting a sharp correction - which may yet come. Economic data hit the absolute sweet spot today - with surprisingly strong services PMIs (at an 18-month high) and other data pointing to a cooling labor market. Expectations for a Fed rate cut are now rising. The Bank of Canada was the first central bank of the G7 countries to reverse course. The ECB will follow tomorrow.

We traded very well today, although we could certainly have taken more gold profits. Sentiment was so positively surprised by the Goldilocks data that the Nasdaq (and S&P 500) not only hit new ATHs, but actually closed at session highs. We found the perfect entry point for our Dow Jones - but also here could have taken more points in profit. Our Nasdaq SHORT is ~70 points out of profit - not much, but we could see further gains, especially as the ECB also starts cutting rates tomorrow. We are therefore working with a tight SL. The USD was surprisingly resilient today given the drop in yields, but the strong US economic data supported the USD.

We can place a pending order:

🔰 OPEN PENDING ORDER 🕯
PENDING ORDER (2347.31)🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.5 - 0.8 (50% - 80%) when trading gold (XAU/USD).

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

05 Jun 2024 21:58

⚡️ FREE RAPID VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Apple (APPL) 🇺🇸

► We remain LONG with Apple. Apple is benefiting from today's strong US economic data, which played the decisive role in today's significant stock rally, as well as from lower yields, but also from the fact that investors are likely to be cautiously optimistic overall ahead of Friday's NFP data.

► Apple may also continue to gain ahead of its developer conference, where the company will announce some AI features and likely a deal with OpenAI to integrate them into the iPhone. Investors remain optimistic about Apple's AI announcements - even if Apple has actually lagged behind so far, which is definitely a risk for Apple in the medium term.

► We buy the small dip at the NYSE close (and close to our triggered in-profit SL) and remain LONG in Apple for now.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 320 - 340 (32.000% - 34.000%) when trading Apple (APPL).

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 4+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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05 Jun 2024 20:03

WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP triggered ✅ @: 73.987

If you are still in - it's okay to close here near $74.00 (thus break-even) or slightly above (~ 74.15 - 74.39). Oil received a boost now from the stronger than expected US economic data and ongoing going hopes of upcoming rate cuts. However, we see overall signs of rather weak oil demand + rising oil supply.

We benefit from these developments still with our BHP LONG position.


———

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07 Jun 2024 15:16

❗️ US Payrolls and wages hotter than expected; Unemployment Rate also higher

US job growth surged unexpectedly in May while at the same time the unemployment rate, painting a mixed picture of the labor market.

Nonfarm payrolls advanced 272,000 last month, a Bureau of Labor Statistics report showed Friday, beating all projections in a Bloomberg survey of economists. However, we also see that unemployment rate increased to 4% from 3.9%, rising to that level for the first time in over two years.

Average hourly earnings climbed 0.4% from April and 4.1% from a year ago - above expectations 0.3% and 3.9% respectively.


——————————————————————————--
Change in payrolls (MoM): +272,000 // expected: +180,000
Unemployment rate: 4.0% // expected: 3.9%
Average hourly earnings (MoM): +0.4% // expected +0.3%
——————————————————————————--


⚡️ LIVE TRADING 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️

► Our Nasdaq 100 SHORT hit in-profit SL - we get back in SHORT above our triggered SL. Currently at 19000 - 19025.

► This is not Fed friendly data - even as the rising unemployment rate makes it overall a bit mixed.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️


⏱ Signal / Update DELAYED by: 10+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!


———-

🇺🇸📈1️⃣9️⃣0️⃣2️⃣0️⃣📉

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

07 Jun 2024 14:48

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 18980.60 🔄
TP ✅ @: 18886.60 🔄

We can already set an in-profit SL for our Nasdaq 100 which is nearly 100 points in profit. We give more room for additional losses.

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07 Jun 2024 13:48

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
EUR/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.08819 🔄
TP ✅ @: 1.09290 🔄

We update our EUR/USD 45 minutes before NFP data release.

We can widen our TP and tighten our SL. Expectations for NFPs are at 180 - 185K. Recent labor market data (including ADP payrolls) saw a significant cooling - also open job positions would indicate that companies are less searching / less hiring.

If NFPs come in at 175K or lower, we will see the EUR/USD rise above 1.09000. If NFP's come in slightly hotter than expectations - such as near 200K, our tight SL gets triggered. We may also see a revision of recent data.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

07 Jun 2024 11:27

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 18495 - 18505 🔄

We found the near perfect entry in the DAX yesterday, expecting resistance near 18650 and seeing fundamental headwinds from the hawkish cut of the ECB. Our position is very deep in profit. We secure profits soon or close now at 18500.

German trade data came in better than expected today but industrial production is back in contractions (-0.1% MoM vs. +0.3% expected).

European stocks continue see headwinds from decreased ECB rate cut expectations / a stronger EUR and general more cautious trading (ahead of NFP data and after recent strong gains).


———-

🔤🔤🔤
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

06 Jun 2024 22:22

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 25.04 - 30.05 (26 trading days)

122 / 143 = 85.3% (🏆) Success Rate

(April 24 - 5/7 = 71.4% SR dropped out)

✅ 31.5 - EUR/CAD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1.48263)
✅ 31.5 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38346.90)
🟨 MIXED 31.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (several closing)
(❌ Initial Entry / ✅ Re-Entry 1 / ✅ Re-Entry 2)
✅ 31.5 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 0.66697)
❌ 31.5 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 174.23)
❌*(✅) 31.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18583.90|+re-entry)
✅ 31.5 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 467.43; pot. positive slippage)
✅ 31.5 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP -38776.90| clsd - @: 38775 - 38800)
✅ 31.5 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 1128.97)

6/9 = 66.7% Success Rate
*Nasdaq 100 considered loss as SL (off-profit) triggered for some members; Gold trade(s) not considered as WON.

✅ 3.6- US30- LONG ↗️ (TP - 38722.30)
✅ 3.6- AMZN- LONG ↗️ (TP - 177.37)
❌ 3.6- C- LONG ↗️ (SL - 61.24 ) 🔄 🔄
✅ 3.6- USOIL- LONG ↗️ (TP - 73.987; break-even)
✅ 3.6- NAS100- LONG ↗️ (TP - 18597.3)
✅ 3.6- AMD- LONG ↗️ (SL -162.69)

5/6 - 83.3% Success Rate

❌ 4.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2321.37|or CLSD in profit)
✅ 4.6 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7956.70)
✅ 4.6 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 194.33)
✅ 4.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2324.87)
✅ 4.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 0.89017)
✅ 4.6 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (CLSD - 169.13)
✴️ 4.6 - MCD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
✅ 4.6 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1.08823 ) 🔄

6/8 - (1 open positions)

Our Citigroup position hit SL today (very unluckily) and thus we missed another potential 100% day (with 83.3%, we are below our average success rate over the last few weeks even on such a positive day - which shows us once again how strongly we actually performed over the past weeks; Congratulations again!)

Our EUR/USD position from Tuesday hit TP (overnight) - we then found a better re-entry today and will (likely) close at 1.09000 after all.

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06 Jun 2024 21:32

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪

► We made a small profit on our DAX LONG from earlier today and a bad SL update on our Nasdaq 100 SHORT. We certainly should have waited for the end of today's trading session as markets are likely to become more cautious ahead of tomorrow's important US labor market data.

► The overall risk sentiment in New York remains positive, which is why a SHORT position in the Nasdaq 100 seems right at the moment, but I think the DAX is the better SHORT.

► We see a stronger EUR after a hawkish rate cut by the ECB. Expectations of further rate cuts have been reduced after ECB President Lagarde said that the current rate cut does not mean that the ECB is committed to a specific interest rate path.

► The ECB has raised its inflation forecast for 2025 to 2.2%, above the 2% target - which is somewhat confusing as the rise in inflation expectations is linked to a rate cut.

► We see the EUR/USD on track to (re)test or exceed the 1.09000 level (we are LONG) and see the stronger EUR and lower ECB rate cut expectations weighing on the DAX. Trade data from China, Germany and France are unlikely to surprise positively tomorrow.

► We are now SHORTing at 18640 - 18655 - practically the same range as our LONG position today. We also expect some slught profit taking in the US.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the DAX (GER_40)

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!


———-

🔤🔤🔤
1️⃣8️⃣6️⃣5️⃣5️⃣📉

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

06 Jun 2024 17:26

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2367.69 🔄
TP ✅ @: 2376.33 🔄

We set an in-profit SL and the TP above highs reached during Asian trading.

If the gold goes above 2373 - please tighten your SL to 2368.87.


——-

🥇📈2️⃣3️⃣7️⃣5️⃣

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

06 Jun 2024 16:22

⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19087.60 🔄
TP ✅ @: 18981.60 🔄

We update again. In the worst case we have no a small loss with our yesterday's against the market Nasdaq SHORT.

We see a Wall Street searching for guidance near ATH - which usually ends with some profit taking.

We slightly widen our TP (into profitable territory).

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

06 Jun 2024 15:40

🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔰

Risk sentiment remains positive in New York after yesterday's US economic data hit the sweet spot keeping rate cut hopes alive (even further increasing them) while reducing concerns about an upcoming severe slowdown of the US economy. However, we see stocks little changed. While the ECB has cut rates as expected, the rather hawkish statement and increased inflation expectations also weighs a bit on rate sensitive stocks in Europe but also in New York after yesterday's strong gains.

🔹 Apple (0.0%) opens flat after a positive session. We closed Apple in the money twice yesterday. We stay LONG for now but set a TP ✅ @: 196.63

🔹 BHP (+0.3%) opens near 58.80 and may trigger our TP. We further tighten our in-profit SL 🔑 @: 58.44.

🔹 Citigroup (+0.1%) remains in recovery after yesterday's 1.2% rise. We have a TP ✅ @: 62.23, alternatively you can also increase a bit towards break-even TP ✅ @: 62.47.

🔹 McDonald's (+0.2%) opens slightly higher and will benefit from sentiment turning more cautious again later today (ahead of tomorrow's NFPs).

► We don't want to overtrade here. Markets are at ATHs. We see slight pre-market gains but also little room for investors to be more optimistic about Fed rate cuts - especially not after a rather hawkish statement from ECB President Lagarde.


⏱ Update DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed updates & signals in the VIP Channel!

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

06 Jun 2024 15:28

⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 EUR/USD

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️

► We see a rather hawkish cut. The ECB is positioning itself more cautiously / hawkishly than the BoC yesterday - where BoC Governor Tiff Macklem said that the central bank is more confident that inflation is heading towards the 2% target, adding that it is "reasonable to expect further cuts" if progress continues.

► Meanwhile, expectations of a Fed rate cut have risen (over the last few days). We also see risk sentiment still quite positive overall, which reduces the appeal of the USD as a safe haven.

► Our EUR/USD LONG reached the TP (1.08823) overnight - we can re-enter at a better price (~10 pips lower) 1.08700 - 1.08730.

► The EUR is also supported by higher inflation expectations as inflation needs more time to fall towards 2% according to the ECB projection.

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!


———-

💸📈

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06 Jun 2024 14:49

⚡️ LIVE TRADING 🕯
(VIP ONLY) ❓ DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️

► As expected, the ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points and at the same time raised its inflation forecast slightly, which is supporting the EUR (despite the rate cut). We expected this development.

ECB sees inflation at 2.2% in 2025; previous forecast 2%
ECB sees inflation at 1.9% in 2026; previous forecast 1.9%

► We therefore see a rather hawkish cut - as we predicted. Overall, however, the (VIP ONLY) ...

► The new guidance on interest rates looks cautious and will probably mean that ECB President Lagarde puts the ECB in a wait-and-see mode. (VIP ONLY), the ECB expects inflation to (VIP ONLY), which should give (VIP ONLY)

► We see a slightly negative impact on European equities as a rate cut was priced in - the DAX has now fallen a bit while the EUR has risen (our EUR/USD has already reached the TP overnight). (VIP ONLY), we are (VIP ONLY). We can enter the DAX here (VIP ONLY).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the DAX (GER_40)

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!


———-

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06 Jun 2024 11:20

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Thursday, June 6

❗️ Global stocks rise as investors see Fed friendly economic data; European stocks rise ahead of ECB rate decision

► European stocks rose ahead of an anticipated interest rate cut by the European Central Bank one day after the Bank of Canada's first rate cut. The ECB is expected to cut rates from 4.5% to 4.25%. The Stoxx 600 index rose over 0.6%, driven higher by tech shares, mirroring gains in the US where the S&P 500 notched its 25th record close this year. Investors are keenly watching ECB President Christine Lagarde for guidance on future monetary policy amidst stronger-than-expected economic growth, inflation, and wage increases. German factory orders fell unexpectedly by 0.2% in April, missing estimates of a 0.3% growth, with domestic and foreign orders showing mixed results.

► US markets remain cautious with futures showing little change following record highs for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Investors are awaiting Friday’s jobs report for further economic insights. Yesterday's ADP private payroll data showed hiring grew at the slowest pace this year, while the services sector expanded significantly - a big surprise as analysts expected a significant slowdown in business activity. US Treasury yields are currently higher (+2 bps) after falling sharply yesterday, as markets almost fully priced in two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2024. The USD retreated as the Bank of Canada cut rates, heightening focus on US monetary policy. In corporate news, Nvidia became the first chip company to reach a $3 trillion market capitalization (surpassing Apple), largely due to the massive surge in AI demand.

► Asian stocks rose for the first time in three days, with Indian equities gaining as Prime Minister Narendra Modi secured key political support. Japan’s Nikkei 225 increased by 0.74% as the JPY steadied around 155.85 after the Bank of Japan signaled a continuation of current policies. Chinese stocks fluctuated, with property stocks nearing a bear market despite plans for policy support. Australia’s ASX 200 climbed 0.68%, boosted by a larger-than-expected trade surplus.

► Oil prices rose despite Saudi Arabia's concerns about demand prospects and the subsequent crude oil price cuts. WTI crude oil is now trading at around $74.4/barrel. The price of gold continues to rise and is trading at around $2,362/oz. Gold continues to benefit strongly from the sharp fall in yields.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇦🇺 Balance of Trade - 01:30 (released)
🔸 🇩🇪 Factory Orders - 06:00 (released)
🔸 🇪🇸 Industrial Production - 07:00 (released)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB Construction PMI - 07:30 (released)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB Construction PMI - 07:30 (released)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB Construction PMI - 07:30 (released)
🔸 🇮🇹 HCOB Construction PMI - 07:30 (released)
🔸 🇮🇹 Retail Sales - 08:00 (released)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Construction PMI - 08:30 (released)
🔸 🇪🇺 Retail Sales - 09:00 (released)
♦️ 🇪🇺 ECB Interest Rate Decision - 12:15
🔸 🇨🇦 Balance of Trade - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Balance of Trade - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims - 12:30
♦️ 🇪🇺 ECB Press Conference - 12:45
🔸 🇨🇦 Ivey PMI s.a - 14:00

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Meituan (MPNGY) 🇨🇳
(...a few more with market cap <$19B)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

05 Jun 2024 22:43

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 24.04 - 29.05 (26 trading days)

123 / 144 = 85.4% (🏆) Success Rate

(April 23 - 7/7 = 100% SR dropped out)

✅ 30.5 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 5260.90)
✅ 30.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2349.37)
❌ 30.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18547.70)
❌ 30.5 - SQ - LONG ↗️ (SL - 64.23)
✅ 30.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2354.47|CLSD ~2346)
✅ 30.5 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (TP - 419.87 |CLSD 419.70-.90) 🔄

4/6 = 66.7% Success Rate

✅ 31.5 - EUR/CAD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1.48263)
✅ 31.5 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38346.90)
🟨 MIXED 31.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (several closing)
(❌ Initial Entry / ✅ Re-Entry 1 / ✅ Re-Entry 2)
✅ 31.5 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 0.66697)
❌ 31.5 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 174.23)
❌*(✅) 31.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18583.90|+re-entry)
✅ 31.5 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 467.43; pot. positive slippage)
✅ 31.5 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP -38776.90| clsd - @: 38775 - 38800)
✅ 31.5 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 1128.97)

6/9 = 66.7% Success Rate
*Nasdaq 100 considered loss as SL (off-profit) triggered for some members; Gold trade(s) not considered as WON.

✅ 3.6- US30- LONG ↗️ (TP - 38722.30)
✅ 3.6- AMZN- LONG ↗️ (TP - 177.37)
✴️ 3.6- C- LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 61.24 | TP ✅ @: 62.23 🔄
✅ 3.6- USOIL- LONG ↗️ (TP - 73.987; break-even) 🔄
✅ 3.6- NAS100- LONG ↗️ (TP - 18597.3)
✅ 3.6- AMD- LONG ↗️ (SL -162.69)

5/6 - 83.3% Success Rate

Very happy that our MSFT position closed in profit today - then even rose another ~near 1% following goldilocks US economic data, a push back into growth and yields sliding further down. Similar to Microsoft, also our WTI position was able to close slightly in profit / break-even.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

05 Jun 2024 21:26

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Citigroup (C) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 61.24 🔄
TP ✅ @: 62.23 🔄

BHP (BHP) 🇦🇺(🇺🇸)
SL 🔑 @: 58.39 🔄
TP ✅ @: 58.89 🔄

We see a very positive session in New York as investors cheer today's (very unexpected) near goldilocks economic data. We lock in our profits with our BHP position and increase our SL for Citi (wider TP). Citigroup disappoints compared to banks with more investment focus as Citigroup temporarily faces more headwinds than e.g. Goldman Sachs from increased rate cut expectations.


———

🏦📈❌
💎📈

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

05 Jun 2024 19:22

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► We see the Nasdaq 100 at ATH with especially chip stocks benefiting strongly from the combination higher rate cut expectations (Bank of Canada already with the first cut today / ECB following tomorrow) and surprisingly strong US PMIs that for now pushed away concerns of a slowing US economy (however, two PMI report, even if it is the important ISM PMI report will not completely vanish these concerns - especially not as a easing labor market (= less hiring / less jobs) is a sign of a cooling economy.

► The Fed wants to see easing conditions and the market wants rate cuts - thus we really had the perfect combination of US economic data this week - resulting now in this 1.65% rally for the Nasdaq.

► We SHORT here at the (near / possible) peak at almost 19000. We may see a bit of additional gains and the Nasdaq maybe surpassing the 19000 - but we will likely soon see some profit taking to kick in with also Nvidia at 1200 and the chip sector up 3.5-5.5%. We see an optimistic market and very good data - but a technical pullback is very likely which will then result in more profit taking.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!


——-

🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤
📈1️⃣9️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣📉

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