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[TRIAL] ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTraderโ„ข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

๐Ÿ”ฐ NYSE OPENING UPDATE ๐Ÿ•ฏ

We see the rotation from tech / in particular chip stocks into other sectors potentially fading with Nvidia the driver for losses in the S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 trading significantly higher today. After a sentiment driven sell-off, which I would also see as a healthy correction - we see calm return with also fundamentals not being changed from last week. We also saw increased volatility and high trading activity on Thursday & Friday before the Triple Witching. We are well positioned.


๐Ÿ”น The Nasdaq 100 (+ 0.6%) rebounds lead by dip-buying in Nvidia (which we anticipated yesterday, re-buying the Nasdaq 100 at 19500. We generally see a lot of green in the Nasdaq 100 with about 80% of the components trading positively. Bank of America reiterated Nvidia as "BUY" - we expected more positive call from analysts for Nvidia.

๐Ÿ”น Apple (+ 0.9%) opens well near $210.00. We set a rather tight TP โœ… @: 210.79 (and can widen to TP โœ… @: 211.49 in case we see initial strong gains that push Apple within the first 3-5 minutes into the range 210.50 - 210.70) as general gains in tech will likely lead to less defensive demand for Apple. Apple also benefits from a "BUY" rating from Evercore ISI.

๐Ÿ”น Chevron (+ 0.2%) extend gains opening slightly higher and moving near the $160.00 we expected Chevron to test in the very short-term. Initial losses in oil prices earlier today and a slight rebound in the USD limited additional gains. We set a tight TP โœ… @: 159.64


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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL1 ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 19497.40
SL2 ๐Ÿ”‘
@: 19529.70
TP1
โœ… @: 19737.40
TP2 โœ… @: 19687.30

We found the perfect re-entry into the Nasdaq 100 at 19500 after a mixed session in New York in which in particular further losses in the AI sector caused the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 to close lower - even with 9 out of 11 sectors in the green. We now see Nvidia nearly 1% higher in pre-market trading helping also the Nasdaq 100 to cut losses.

We update our Nasdaq positions - SL1 & TP1 for our initial position / SL2 & TP 2 for our re-entry. You can also choose to work with the same SL for both positions. We tighten our SLs (in-profit for our re-entry). The Nasdaq is hovering at the 19600 level - cutting it's yesterday's losses almost in half. The Nasdaq has room to stabilize / rebound when the AI sell-off cools down.


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ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

[TRIAL] ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTraderโ„ข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

โœ… 21.6 - AUD/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 0.66431)
โœด๏ธ 21.6 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit|+ re-entry)
โœ… 21.6 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 19731.60)
โœ… 21.6 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 159.86)
โœ… 21.6 - TSLA - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 181.41 |or SL ~182.02)
โœ… 21.6 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 19738.60|or CLSD~19735-50)
โœ… 21.6 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 160.21 |or TP ~160.51)

6/7 -(1 open position + re-entry)

โœด๏ธ 24.6 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit| +re-entry)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 19423.70 | TP โœ… @: 19697.30
โœ… 24.6 - AAPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 210.67)
โœด๏ธ 24.6 - USD/JPY - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (open - off-profit)
โœด๏ธ 24.6 - GBR_100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - in-profit)
โœด๏ธ 24.6 - AAPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit)
โœด๏ธ 24.6 - CVX - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - in-profit)

1/6 - (5 open positions)

Gold continues to recover from Friday's heavy selling (currently at $2,334 / +0.55% for today) - we remain LONG. The move away from tech (or more specifically the chip high flyers; Nvidia is down 13% over the last three sessions) continued today, leading to mixed markets. Overall, we continue to see a cautious market, but 9 out of 11 sectors closed Monday positive in New York (Europe significantly higher), showing general optimism ahead of the important US PCE data due on Friday. We made the perfect NYSE "opening" trade today (again) with AAPL. Our re-entry is slightly out of the money.

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๐Ÿ”ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL / UPDATE ๐Ÿ•ฏ
STAY LONG + SL๐Ÿ”ผ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 19423.70
TP โœ… @: (VIP ONLY)

โ–บ The rotation out of growth stocks (especially chip stocks) intensified and Nvidia closed at the day's low (near -6.5%). You can improve your entry into the Nasdaq 100 with a small re-entry near 19500 - this level has held as support for the last seven trading days. Positive analyst calls on Nvidia (though there was one today - from Jeferries with PT at $150 (from $130)) could lead to short-term dip buying.

โ–บ The losses on Nvidia & Co are very strong and currently look more likely to continue (which would pull the Nasdaq down further). We are therefore also working with a tight SL. Our entry position is down more than 1%.

โ–บ If the rotation, which is now turning into short-term oversold conditions (but started from heavily overbought conditions in the chip sector), continues, we will rotate even further into more defensive assets and sectors energy & financials tomorrow (we are already partially rotated with Chevron and the FTSE 100) or gold.

โ–บ We are now working with a tight SL.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100) - 1/2 trading size (optional re-entry)

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BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ Chevron (CVX) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ While the S&P 500 and especially the Nasdaq 100 are currently (still) in the red, we are seeing mixed markets and an overall healthy rotation out of the (too) hot chip stocks. We have seen stocks drive both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 to new records over the past week.

โ–บ Some of the unloved stocks and sectors - such as the energy sector - that have been severely underperforming are now finally catching up. The energy sector is also benefiting from the sharp rise in oil prices. Oil prices (WTI) have risen by more than 1 % over the course of the day and natural gas is currently trading 2.6 % higher (or 11 % higher in the last 30 days).

โ–บ Above all, the weakness in natural gas prices and the surge in short-term gains in AI/technology stocks have pulled money out of Chevron & Co.

โ–บ We see Chevron's oil and gas production rising, which is likely to increase further with the Chevron/Hess deal (narrowly) approved by Hess shareholders

โ–บ With global energy security threatened by recent geopolitical events - e.g. the deteriorating situation between Israel and Lebanon - and demand for energy only set to increase from here on, Chevron is also attractive thanks to increased production capacity. Chevron also has an attractive valuation compared to the S&P 500 average and pays an attractive dividend yield - which is becoming more important again due to shares that are already trading high after a strong performance in 2024.

โ–บ CVX is performing slightly worse than XOM today. We are positioning us LONG in Chevron (currently at ~158.75) and expect the oil and gas giant to rise back above $160.00 in the very short term.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~340 - 370 (34.000% - 37.000%) when trading with (CVX)

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๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
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BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ FTSE 100 (GBR_100) ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง

โ–บ In New York we see mixed markets - most sectors are trading in the green, but profit-taking in semiconductor stocks (with high market capitalization) is weighing on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100.

โ–บ Technology plays no role in the FTSE 100 (at 1% weighting) in the energy, financials, consumer staples and industrials-heavy FTSE 100. These sectors are trading all significantly higher in New York today, benefiting from rotation out of AI chip stocks.

โ–บ We have seen the FTSE 100 continue to rise after the close thanks to strong gains in New York (outside of the tech sector) and now see a small dip back to (below) 8280 - where we are positioning us LONG in the FTSE 100.

โ–บData from the UK today showed that salaries for advertised jobs fell in May for the first time since October. Adzuna's calculations show that the average salary for an advertised job fell by 0.1% compared to the previous month - wage inflation is a major factor that has kept consumer price inflation elevated in the UK. The latest CPI data from the UK shows that overall inflation has reached the BoE target of 2% y-o-y. Hopes for BoE rate cuts remain intact.

โ–บ We continue to see European equities performing positively and also see more defensive sectors as well as energy and financials doing well.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 12 - 14 (1,200% - 1,400%) trading the FTSE 100 (GBR_100).

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๐Ÿ–ฅ Vantage (๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ) <- NEW
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Apple
(APPL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 207.98
TP
โœ… @: 210.67

We made the perfect NYSE "opening" trade with Apple also reversing exactly in the range we expected. We see the market we expected although Wall Street remains dragged down by further losses of chip stocks - in particular Nvidia.

We set an in-profit SL for Apple.

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ Nvidia continues to weigh on Wall Street - in stark contrast to most of the year, when Nvidia was the strongest driver for Wall Street and the Nasdaq 100 in particular. On Friday, Nvidia fell 3.2% and was the biggest drag on the S&P 500.

โ–บ After the sell-off at the end of last week, which was mainly due to the triple witching, i.e. the expiry of stock options, stock index options and stock index futures, the markets in New York stabilized again. Wall Street saw movements similar to the last triple witching on March 15 (when then was followed by a strong recovery in the following days).

โ–บ We saw a mixed Asian session and a strong European session, with the DAX in particular benefiting from hopes that Beijing might lower tariffs on large motor vehicles in return for the removal of planned EV levies on imports from the Asian country.

โ–บ We see a slight improvement in market breadth and most stocks across all sectors in the green in New York. We are buying the underperformance of the Nasdaq 100 at session lows and expect hopes for another cooling inflation report (PCE on Friday) to keep the markets optimistic.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

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โ€”โ€”โ€”

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๐Ÿ–ฅ Vantage (๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ) <- NEW
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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โŒ 20.6 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 19743.30|+ re-entry) ๐Ÿ”„
โœ… 20.6 - GER_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 18186.70 | CLSD @: 18200 near)
โœ… 20.6 - CVX - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 155.97)
โœ… 20.6 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 161.86)
โœ… 20.6 - USOIL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 81.190)
โŒ 20.6 - NVDA - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 129.89) ๐Ÿ”„

4/6 = 66.7% Success Rate

TODAY :

โœ… 21.6 - AUD/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 0.66431)
โœด๏ธ 21.6 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit|+ re-entry)
โœ… 21.6 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 19731.60)
โœ… 21.6 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 159.86)
โœ… 21.6 - TSLA - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 181.41 |or SL ~182.02) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 21.6 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 19738.60|or clsd ~19735-50)
โœ… 21.6 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 160.21 |or TP ~160.51) ๐Ÿ“ธ

6/7 = (1 open position + re-entry)

Many (most!) market participants avoid trading near the triple witching (or prefer to pull their money out before), as rebalancing causes large fluctuations and high volatility - too nerve-wracking for most traders. It's much harder to trade (fundamentally) on a day like this. We did an exceptional job today - although unfortunately our gold position is deeply in the red, even though gold is not directly affected by expiring contracts. However, investors favored bonds and the USD after stronger than expected US economic data and all-time high housing prices. There was also a general "sell everything" mode today - not atypical for triple witching days (or the day before). We expect a strong recovery in the gold price in the coming week.

Have a relaxing weekend! Yours, Robert ๐Ÿง™๐Ÿผโ€โ™‚๏ธ

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
TP triggered / CLSD โœ… @: 19738.60 (or 19735 - 19750)

While there is a good chance we see a strong rebound on Monday - we still see expensive markets with a poor market breadth. Sharp selling on Triple Witching days often lead to a V-shape rebound in the following week. However, we don't get in here now with stocks still being expensive.

At the same time, however, we also don't want to take a SHORT position in the Nasdaq into the upcoming week.

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 19787.60
TP โœ… @: 19726.30
OR
CLOSE NOW โœ… @: 19735 - 19745


Tesla (TSLA) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 182.02
TP
โœ… @: 181.41

We see/saw slight dip buying (that may have hit your in-profit SL for the Nasdaq) in all assets that have been sold on concerns of re-balancing - although the return of more flight to safety is still likely in the last 75 min of trading for this week. We want to reduce our overall SHORT positioning and set now tight TPs.

In 10 minutes we will see increased volatility due to a huge amount of contracts expiring.

Tesla may have hit your SL already (with spread) if not - set a tight TP.

We see yields sliding lower (back to flat for the day), with the market increasing bond purchases slightly (positive for gold - which also saw heavy profit taking today).

AMD continues to hover in the the 160.50 - 161.00 range. You can set a TP at 160.21.

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
AUD/USD

SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 0.66431
TP โœ… @: 0.66276

The markets continue to be very volatile - trading activity in S&P 500 stocks is 90% above the average of recent months. Data shows that the service sector in the US grew at its fastest pace in more than two years at the beginning of the month. Existing home sales fell for the third month in a row, house prices hit a record high in May. The stronger-than-expected US economic data overall led to a short-term rebound in yields (which is still weighing on the gold price).

We are securing profits with our AUD/USD. We are working with a tight TP. We expect demand for safe havens to increase in the second half of US trading today and in the run-up to the triple witching.


โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐Ÿ’ช๐Ÿ’ต

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
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๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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BUY NOW / STAY LONG ๐Ÿ”ผ Gold (XAU/USD)๐Ÿฅ‡

โ–บ Gold hit some technical resistance near $2,370, saw a technical pullback which was then significantly increased by US home prices hitting a record high in May - bringing back some inflation concerns as the hot housing / rent costs have been a main (the main) driver in core inflation since the increase in prices.

โ–บ However, we see a sharp overreaction here which was increased by fundamental headwinds as the hot housing data caused yields to flat out again (now flat for the day).

โ–บ We will see increased safe haven demand - from which also gold will benefit.

โ–บ We want to improve our entry in gold range $2,330 - $2,332.50 and expect gold to turn higher again and see technical support in the range $2,325 - $2,330. We see yields stabilizing - which also reduced the risk of gold falling much further.

โ–บ We see increased volatility today - you can trade slightly smaller to allow prices to move more.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธ
โšก๏ธ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


โ€”โ€”โ€”

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 19731.60
TP โœ… @: 19606.60

AMD (AMD) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 159.86
TP
โœ… @: 157.16

Today we hit the turn-around perfectly and secure now profits. It was a very tough trap - most investors bought into the dip in pre-market trading. Also our AMD position is very deep in profit - we can already set a TP and secure profits with a SL. AMD turned almost exactly around in the range we expected.

If our Nasdaq SL is triggered - we can find a better re-entry.

Congratulations!

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๐Ÿ”ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
SELL NOW / SOON* ๐Ÿ”ฝ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ Our tight Nasdaq SL was triggered as European stocks gave back much of yesterday's gains and we continue to see a short term rebalancing where investors are taking profits from some of the stocks that have risen meteorically which and were supported by another massive push in AI/chip stocks. We are generally seeing a massive outperformance of mega caps which are moving further away from the general performance of the stock market. Market breadth has improved slightly, but money outflows from big tech outweigh gains in other sectors, with investors also using some of the money to position themselves in safer assets (such as bonds/gold or cash).

โ–บ Rebalancing is likely to continue and we will see more volatility ahead of the so-called triple witching this quarter, when equity futures and index option contracts expire on the same day - including many of the highly traded single stock options.

โ–บ We can position ourselves above our triggered SL at 19795 - 19850* SHORT. Although we could see further short-term swings, it is likely that continued cautious trading will weigh on the Nasdaq, which still has room for corrections. Both the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 reached new all-time highs yesterday. Given the massive recent gains, further signs of profit taking may lead to additional (panic) selling.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 45+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธ
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โ€”โ€”-


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๐Ÿ”ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ (VIP ONLY)

โ–บ We see mixed markets. Overall, Asia-Pacific equities ended the day slightly higher, but Chinese equities continue to disappoint, hitting a four-month low as foreign investors continued to reduce capital amid economic uncertainty. We are also seeing some headwinds in commodities, with the energy sector also giving back some of yesterday's (and recent) gains, which weighed slightly (VIP ONLY). We buy the(VIP ONLY) mini dip to ~(VIP ONLY). We remain bullish (VIP ONLY).

โ–บ However, we expect the market to calm down and stabilize after Wall Street was dominated by profit taking in chip stocks. We see signs of a recovery. Nvidia is trading up to 3% higher in pre-market trading. In Europe, we are seeing losses, although these are mainly in the world's largest aircraft manufacturer Airbus and the German pharmaceutical giant Merck & Co.

โ–บ Yields on US Treasuries continue to fall as investors fled to safety due to the high volatility in the previous week. Hopes of interest rate cuts remain intact ahead of the important US PCE data on Friday, which should show that price pressure in the US is easing further.

โ–บ The (VIP ONLY) hawkish outlook in its latest policy update, as inflation (VIP ONLY) than expected. The (VIP ONLY)%. Currency movements are also influenced by concerns over further currency intervention in Japan. Our USD/JPY is slightly in profit - we can work with a TP to close well in profit on the next short term dip TP โœ… @: 159.071.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

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โšก๏ธ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


โ€”โ€”โ€”

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๐Ÿ“Š SmartTrader Insights: Tuesday Markets Wrap ๐Ÿ—’

๐Ÿ“† Tuesday, June 25

โ—๏ธ European stocks dip amid broad selloff in tech & sharp Airbus losses; US & Asian indices higher

โ–บ European stocks declined following a mixed session on Wall Street amid concerns that the tech sector rally may be losing momentum. Euro Stoxx 600 futures dipped 0.3%. In economic news, Spainโ€™s GDP grew by 2.5% year-on-year in Q1, and producer prices fell by 4.6% in May, reflecting a complex economic landscape. Focus will also be on geopolitics, with the first US presidential debate on Thursday and the initial round of voting in the French election over the weekend. Airbus - the world's largest plane maker - tumbled more than 10% after lowering its guidance amid persistent supply-chain issues.

โ–บ US equity futures show signs of recovering on Tuesday after a mixed Monday session. Nvidia's valuation slumped $430 billion during a three-day selloff, crossing the technical correction threshold. This reflects broader market caution about the sustainability of the AI rally. Investors are bracing for key PCE inflation data (due June 28) and comments from several Federal Reserve officials this week to gauge the future of monetary policy.

โ–บ Asian markets mostly rose, with Japan's stocks outperforming the region, climbing as much as 1.8% as investors rotated from tech stocks to value stocks. The JPY strengthened, and the USD dipped against most G-10 peers. Chinese stocks, however, fell to four-month lows as foreign investors continued to withdraw capital amid economic uncertainty. Meanwhile, Chinese machinery stocks rose following President Xi Jinping's call for enhanced technological innovation.

โ–บ Oil prices dipped slightly to $81.2/barrel after another positive session on Monday, as investors assessed the impact of rising geopolitical tensions. Gold remains steady and trades at $2,332/oz, affected by the weakening of the USD. In the crypto market, Bitcoin attempts to rebound after significant losses currently trading at $60,900, reflecting ongoing market volatility and cooling demand for Bitcoin ETFs.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Westpac Consumer Confidence Change - 00:30 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ GDP Growth Rate - 07:00 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Inflation Rate / CPI - 12:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CB Consumer Confidence - 14:00
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ API Crude Oil Stock Change - 20:30

๐Ÿ”ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โ™ฆ๏ธ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

๐ŸŒ™ FedEx (FDX) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Alimentation Couche Tard (ANCTF) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
(...a few more with market cap <$18B)

SmartTraderโ„ข Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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Overview last 30 trading days:

โœ… Performance: 15.05 - 17.06 (26 trading days)

116 / 152 = 76.3% Success Rate

(May 14 - 3/5 = 60% SR dropped out)

โœ… 18.6 - GER_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 18162.30)
โœ… 18.6 - EUR/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 1.07463 |or CLSD ~1.07600-615)
โœ… 18.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 2317.56)
โœ… 18.6 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 20038.70)
โŒ 18.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 2346.11|+ re-entry)
โœ… 18.6 - NVDA - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 132.70)
โœ… 18.6 - META - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 499.79)
โœ… 18.6 - GOOGL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 177.19|TP - 177.23 / CLSD~177)

7/8 = 87.5% Success Rate

โŒ 19.6 - EUR/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 1.06793 |or open TP 1.07473)

โŒ 20.6 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 19743.30|+ re-entry)
โœ… 20.6 - GER_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 18186.70| CLSD @: 18200 near)
โœ… 20.6 - CVX - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 155.97)
โœ… 20.6 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 161.86)
โœ… 20.6 - USOIL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 81.190)
โŒ 20.6 - NVDA - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 129.89)

4/6 = 66.7% Success Rate

*no update*

The USD weakened as expected with the EUR/USD rising up more than 50 pips. We see US Treasury yields ending the day slightly lower (-2 bps for the US 10-Y) also supporting gold's rebound (up 0.5%).

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SELL NOW ๐Ÿ”ฝ USD/JPY

โ–บ We see the USD weakening at the beginning of the week, as we expected on Friday. If you are still LONG in the EUR/USD, set a tight TP now โœ… @: 1.07473 and secure profits.

โ–บ We are seeing stable yields, which are even trending slightly downwards after they were able to rise again in the previous week following stronger than expected US purchasing managers' data. The focus is now back on inflation data and the hope that Friday's PCE data will show that price pressure in the US is easing further.

โ–บ We are positioning ourselves SHORT in USD/JPY after the currency pair has rallied very strongly in recent sessions and recorded the longest series of JPY losses since March.

โ–บ The verbal intervention by Japan's top currency chief Masato Kanda, who reiterated on Friday that the government will take appropriate measures if needed, raises expectations of further intervention by the Bank of Japan to support the weak JPY. The yen weakness comes amid a continued divergence in yields between Japan and other major economies, including the US. Hawkish comments from the Fed and the fact that the BoJ has still not taken a clear path to reduce bond purchases led to further JPY weakness.

โ–บ During European trading, there was a significant short-term dip in the USD/JPY, which will add to concerns of further short-term swings in the JPY.

โ–บ A moderate rise in inflation is expected in Japan, while signs of disinflation have become more pronounced in the US in recent weeks.

โ–บ We are selling the USD/JPY and expect investors to reduce their short positioning on the JPY in the short term.

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โ€”โ€”โ€”

This signal is strongly delayed.


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BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ (VIP ONLY) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ We continue to see mixed markets. Almost all sectors are trading in the green, but another sharp sell-off in Nvidia, which has cut nearly $400 billion from Nvidia's market capitalization in the interim (or more than a 10% correction in the last three days), continues to weigh on Wall Street.

โ–บ We see chip stocks stabilizing with cautious signs. However, they remain too volatile and still have plenty of room for further technical selling / for a correction.

โ–บ We found the perfect entry in Apple near / at the NYSE open and closed in our TP ๐Ÿ“ธ. We now see (VIP ONLY) dropping (VIP ONLY) and (VIP ONLY).

โ–บ (VIP ONLY) will likely (VIP ONLY) in the coming months. We will continue to see (VIP ONLY). (VIP ONLY) generally benefits from cautious trading as (VIP ONLY) ...

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: (VIP ONLY)


โ€”โ€”โ€”-

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Apple
(APPL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 208.73
TP
โœ… @: 210.67

We see mixed markets. The rotation out of chip stocks continues with Nvidia now sliding more than 6% lower and being the by far biggest drag on the S&P 500 & Nasdaq.

Apple is the big outperformer and is now 1.2% higher. We tighten our SL as we see signs of resistance at $210.


โ€”โ€”โ€”-

If you think you're making mistakes or not getting the support you need, we're here for you! Our support team is ready to help. You can also ask for a different account manager if you are having problems or are not happy with the help and guidance you are receiving.

How to Reach Us?
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BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED ๐Ÿ”ผ Apple (APPL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

Further selling in semiconductor stocks - especially Nvidia - continues to weigh on Wall Street and could continue for a while, but we see an overall improvement in market breadth. Last week's positive US economic data has slightly lowered expectations for a rate cut, but the outlook for solid economic growth remains intact. After a mixed week and a correction at the end of the week, the focus will now turn back to inflation data, which will be released on Friday with the important US PCE data. We see that the swap markets are still optimistic that there will be a rate cut in September - the probability of this is currently put at 65%. The hope that price pressures will continue to ease may be enough to maintain rate cut optimism. We see stable yields and a weaker USD at the start of the week, but still cautious trading.


๐Ÿ”น The Nasdaq 100 (- 0.4%) continues Friday's selling and fell below 19700, again driven by losses in chip stocks (Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, Qualcomm, Applied Materials, etc.). We expect an overall solid performance from big tech (except Nvidia) and improving market breadth, which should help stabilize Wall Street.


โ–บ Cautious trading in the tech sector should benefit Apple, which has also seen strong selling after a very strong performance since May, in which the tech giant benefited mainly from its over-hyped AI push. Even though Apple is lagging behind in AI integration, the additional revenue growth potential - especially in Apple's high-margin Apple Services division - remains very high.

โ–บ Developers and other AI innovators such as Meta, Google, OpenAI will now likely need to integrate their AI models/technologies into Apple Intelligence, as Apple and arguably the most important iOS ecosystem are the only keys to the lock of the world's 2.2 billion iOS devices and 1.5 billion iPhones. In the coming months, we are likely to see an explosion of generative, AI-driven apps that will be the key ingredients to Apple's recipe for success. Apple made its AI ambitions clear at its recent developer conference by announcing Apple Intelligence, announcing a partnership with ChatGPT/OpenAI and also confirming that it is in talks to further collaborate with Meta.

โ–บ Investment banks remain bullish on Apple and have recently raised their price targets - like Melius Research today, which raised its price target for Apple from $227 to $260.

โ–บ We buy the current dip in Apple and see a short-term rebound. Apple opens almost unchanged after additional selling shortly before the close on Friday. We are likely to see initial slight losses and may find entry in the $206.50 - $207.20* range.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 280 - 300 (28.000% - 30.000%) when trading Apple (APPL).

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธ
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โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“‰2๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ7๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ“ˆ

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๐Ÿ“Š SmartTrader Insights: Monday Markets Wrap ๐Ÿ—’

๐Ÿ“† Monday, June 24

โ—๏ธ European stocks edge higher amid political events & upcoming inflation data

โ–บ European stocks opened positively with traders brace for a week of political events and inflation data that may influence global interest rate outlooks. The Stoxx 600 Index rose by 0.4%. Key political events include the upcoming US presidential debate and the French legislative elections later this week. Additionally, Germanyโ€™s Ifo business climate index fell to 88.6, missing expectations of 89.7. Despite these factors, the German DAX rose by 0.35%.

โ–บ US markets remain cautious ahead of the Core PCE data and other key economic data releases later this week. The S&P 500 fell on Thursday & Friday due to increased caution ahead of the massive $5.5 trillion options expiry event known as "triple witching." Traders reassessed the sustainability of this yearโ€™s rally amidst high valuations and election uncertainties in Europe. US stock futures showed minimal changes today, with the S&P 500 up 0.2%, and Nasdaq up 0.15%. Investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measures (Core PCE data), which may signal potential rate cuts.

โ–บ Most Asian equity benchmarks declined, with the notable exception of Japan, where stocks outperformed the region. The JPY fell below 160 / USD as officials indicated readiness to intervene to support the currency. Japanโ€™s Nikkei 225 rose by 0.79%, while Chinaโ€™s Shanghai Composite fell by 0.39% due to disappointing macroeconomic data and lack of policy support. Hong Kongโ€™s Hang Seng Index dropped by 0.73%.

โ–บ Oil prices rose slightly over $80.7/barrel, pressured by a stronger USD and technical indicators suggesting the recent rally was overdone. Gold prices rose slightly to back above $2,330/oz, after recording losses last week, as investors reduced their bets on US rate cuts after solid US economic data and a general sell-everything mood amid high volatility.

Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Ifo Business Climate - 08:00 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index - 14:30

๐Ÿ”ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โ™ฆ๏ธ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

โ˜€๏ธ Naspers ADR (NPSNY) ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

SmartTraderโ„ข Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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Overview last 30 trading days:

โœ… Performance: 13.05 - 14.06 (26 trading days)

117 / 150 = 78% Success Rate

(May 10 - 5/6 = 83.3% SR dropped out)

โŒ 17.6 - GER_40 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 18177.30)
โœ… 17.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 2315.67)
โŒ 17.6 - GS - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 451.51)
โŒ 17.6 - AUD/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 0.66326)
โŒ 17.6 - ADBE - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 516.56)
โœ… 17.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 2312.56)
โŒ 17.6 - EUR/CHF - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 0.94794| or CLSD in profit)

2/7 = 28.6% Success Rate โ˜ ๏ธ

โœ… 18.6 - GER_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 18162.30)
โœ… 18.6 - EUR/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 1.07463 |or CLSD ~1.07600-615)
โœ… 18.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 2317.56)
โœ… 18.6 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 20038.70)
โŒ 18.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 2346.11|+ re-entry)
โœ… 18.6 - NVDA - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 132.70)
โœ… 18.6 - META - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 499.79)
โœ… 18.6 - GOOGL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 177.19|TP - 177.23 / CLSD~177)

7/8 = 87.5% Success Rate

โŒ 19.6 - EUR/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 1.06793) ๐Ÿ”„

Our EUR/USD from Juneteenth hit our SL overnight, which was too tight. If you are still in - I expect the EUR/USD to develop positively in the coming week.

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That's it. The contracts are expiring or have been rolled over. It was another turbulent Triple Witching Day with high volume (with investors already starting to re-balance yesterday).

Tesla and AMD still hit our TPs almost perfectly (or Tesla in your in-profit SL). If you haven't closed your Nasdaq, we will now see mostly sideways movement and possibly a strong rebound next week. Close your Nasdaq soon or now (19740 - 19755 range).

If you are still SHORT in AMD (still in profit), set a tight TP now โœ… @: 160.51 or close in the money.

Gold has also bottomed and may rebound in the coming week. We remain LONG.

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 19787.60 (or in-profit)
TP โœ… @: 19685.60

Tesla (TSLA) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 182.02
TP
โœ… @: 180.62

We now see more selling towards the Triple Witching with stocks falling back near today's lows. We set a not too tight TP for our Nasdaq 100 position. You can also work with an in-profit SL.

Also AMD and Tesla are well in profit. We stay SHORT. We set a tight TP for Tesla.


โ€”โ€”โ€”

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SELL NOW ๐Ÿ”ฝ AMD (AMD) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ 2/3 trading size; High volatility

โ–บ Our AMD position also triggered our tight (deep-in-profit) SL and then rose further and is now back in the flat territory for the day. We see other semi conductor stocks - Nvidia (-2.8%), Broadcom (-2.5%), Micron, Applied Materials, Qualcomm (-2.6%), Lam Research - all in deep red.

โ–บ Only the previous underperformer AMD and above all Intel (+ 1.1%) are performing better.

โ–บ We are going SHORT in AMD again, but still see a very volatile stock.

โ–บ We are also seeing more profit-taking in the growth sector in general, which is also weighing on AMD.

โ–บ We are re-entering the AMD range 161.25 - 161.75*.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 220 - 240 (22,000% - 24,000%) trading AMD (AMD) - 2/3 trading size.

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โšก๏ธ FREE RAPID SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
SELL NOW* ๐Ÿ”ฝ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ SL has already been triggered and we have secured a nice profit. We see volatile stocks in New York, but expect selling to return. High market volatility often leads to an increased flight to safety.

โ–บ We therefore want to stay SHORT and re-enter (above or SL or currently in the 19740 - 19770* range).

โ–บ Growth stocks are benefiting a little from the slightly lower / flat yields - but the decline in yields is due to increased (safe haven) demand for bonds - so not a bullish signal for us.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

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SELL AFTER* NYSE OPENED ๐Ÿ”ฝ AMD (AMD) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ 2/3 trading size; High volatility

๐Ÿ”ฐ
VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
SELL WHEN NYSE OPENS ๐Ÿ”ฝ (VIP ONLY) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

๐Ÿ”น The Nasdaq 100 (+0.0%) is little changed for the day currently. It is likely that yesterday's rebalancing - including from the meteoric gains in AI stocks showing fatigue - will continue ahead of the triple witching. The Nasdaq 100 is benefiting from Apple's gains in pre-market trading - it's a typical Apple market today with a slight gain for "safety" but with investors remaining optimistic overall. Apple also received a $45 price target increase from Bernstein to $240.

๐Ÿ”น Nvidia (- 1.8%) saw further profit taking. We have a small position in Nvidia, which we will close with a profit (in our SL). After the massive gains, Nvidia could see significantly more profit-taking.


โ–บ We made a great AMD SHORT trade against the market yesterday and expect the chip giant to face profit taking again after a very strong trade yesterday (thanks to a positive analyst call from Piper Sandler). AMD is strongly outperforming other chipmakers in pre-market trading and is currently trading slightly higher. We can re-enter AMD SHORT above our SL triggered yesterday: 162.25 - 162.75* range.

โ–บ I also expect further profit-taking in (VIP ONLY). The electric car manufacturer has been performing well recently as investors are very optimistic about its long-term prospects. Very poor sales figures(VIP ONLY) weighed on (VIP ONLY) yesterday (as did general profit-taking), but I see more headwinds ahead for (VIP ONLY)(VIP ONLY) despite improving macroeconomic conditions point to microeconomic demand issues rather than macroeconomic affordability needs of customers. In addition, the competitive threat is growing and (VIP ONLY) is losing market share in (VIP ONLY). The(VIP ONLY)g is very promising, but it will take time - the same goes for (VIP ONLY) plans - all of which will take years to have a big impact on (VIP ONLY) revenue growth and could further weigh on margins in the short term. (VIP ONLY) remains an extremely expensive stock. We are positioning ourselves SHORT (VIP ONLY)

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 220 - 240 (22,000% - 24,000%) trading AMD (AMD) - 2/3 trading size.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

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BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ Gold (XAU/USD)๐Ÿฅ‡

โ–บ We see subdued market activity but signs of rising demand for safe havens, with investors increasingly investing in bonds (leading to a decline in yields that could increase further towards today's triple witching), which also supports gold.

โ–บ The precious metal is fundamentally supported by lower yields and the general trend towards "safer" investments in today's money flows.

โ–บ We now also see gold technically supported and in an upward momentum that could break through the recent profit-taking. There is also growing confidence from both retail investors and investment banks that gold will continue to perform well in 2024 - with a possible rise to the $2,500 to $2,600 range - making it more attractive than Wall Street, which is still near record highs.

โ–บ Gold is also benefiting from central banks starting to ease conditions. While the Fed remains cautious, swap markets continue to expect almost two Fed rate cuts in 2024. While I find this optimistic, recent inflation data from the US and Europe support hopes for rate cuts. Gold seems to be in a position to move towards $2,400 as early as next week - although there will be some setbacks, the bias is bullish for gold again. We buy the current mini-dip back to $2,362.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

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