📊 SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Thursday, October 3
❗️ Global equities fall on Middle East tensions and weak Chinese equities
► European stocks opened lower, with the Stoxx 600 down nearly 0.7%, as Chinese (or rather HK) equities were unable to gain for another day (instead saw some profit taking) and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East weighed on sentiment. Germany’s composite PMI dropped to 47.5 in September, signaling contraction, while France’s services PMI fell to 49.6. Spain stood out positively with services PMI rising to 57, marking strong expansion. Germany and France ongoing weakness remains a major problem for Europe. Investors will actively monitor Friday’s non-farm payroll data for clues about future Fed rate cuts.
► U.S. stock futures were down following gains in a volatile session on Wednesday. Concerns over Middle East tensions and stronger-than-expected ADP jobs data led investors to temper expectations of aggressive Fed rate cuts. Futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declined by over 0.5%. Traders remain cautious ahead of the Friday jobs report, seeking further clues on the Fed's policy stance.
► Asian equities were mixed, with the Nikkei 225 climbing over 2% as the JPY weakened to a one-month low, boosting export-heavy stocks. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index tumbled 1.3% after a strong stimulus-driven rally, while markets in mainland China remained closed. Japan’s services PMI was revised lower to 53.1 for September, indicating a slight slowdown in business activity but still within expansionary territory.
► WTI crude prices have risen again and are currently more than 2% higher. US crude (WTI) is trading at around $71.3/barrel, with investors awaiting Israel's response to Iran's rocket attack. Meanwhile, US President Biden has called for restraint in the attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities. Markets are also concerned that Israel intends to damage Iran's oil and gas deposits. Meanwhile, gold traders were caught off guard by a drop in the gold price, as it cooled (as predicted by our chief analyst) to $2,645/oz. Gold has been heavily influenced by the conflict in the Middle East. Investors are now turning their attention to the Fed's monetary policy decision, tomorrow's US non-farm-payrolls data and continuing developments in the Middle East.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇯🇵 Jibun Bank PMI Final - 00:30 (released:🔴)
🔸 🇦🇺 Balance of Trade - 01:30 (released:🔴)
🔸 🇪🇸 HCOB PMI - 07:15 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇮🇹 HCOB PMI - 07:45 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB PMI Final - 07:50 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB PMI Final - 07:55 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB PMI Final - 08:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global PMI Final - 08:30 (released:🔴)
🔸 🇪🇺 PPI - 09:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 S&P Global PMI Final - 13:45
🔸 🇺🇸 ISM Services PMI - 14:00
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
☀️ Constellation Brands (STZ) 🇺🇸
☀️ Tesco (TSCDY) 🇬🇧
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
✅ 1.10 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 67.377)
✅ 1.10 - GOOGL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 166.02)
✅ 1.10 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 69.806) 🔄
✅ 1.10 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 19718.50)
✅ 1.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19866.90)
✅ 1.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (CLSD/TP - 19803.90 for me |or TP - 19788.70+) 🔄📸
6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
TODAY :
✅ 2.10 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 69.968 f. me|TP- 69.806) *re-entry
✅ 2.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 226.39)
✅ 2.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19788.70) 📸
✴️ 2.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - near break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2642.67
3/4 - (1 open position)
We currently have to highlight our performance with indices (once again). Today, in a choppy market, we again kept our complete cool and almost got the maximum out of it that we could have. We once again made an outstanding dip buy 📸 - which in reality was a very difficult bear trap to avoid. In the end, the market turned sideways - here too we were able to resist the temptation to "overtrade" although I would have considered an entry in the Nasdaq (LONG) at around 19800 to be quite sensible (you can see in the screenshot that I got back in / at 19797.51) - we'll see what tomorrow brings.
In addition, we also closed yesterday (yet another day) with a 100% 🏆 success rate.
Congratulations!
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) ❓ Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
► Gold is trading slightly lower (for today) despite the ongoing uncertainty and escalation in the Middle East. Strong (VIP ONLY) today shows once again that (VIP ONLY) interest rate cuts. The Fed will (VIP ONLY)” the market, which usually also leads to rising price pressure (=inflation).
► We also continue to see hot(VIP ONLY) and a very strong performance of (VIP ONLY).(VIP ONLY) demand for gold from (VIP ONLY) ...
► We also see a stronger (VIP ONLY) as (VIP ONLY) and expectations rise that (VIP ONLY) economy continues to struggle and inflation has (VIP ONLY) ...
► We are (VIP ONLY) gold (VIP ONLY) $(VIP ONLY)and generally see (VIP ONLY) range. We expect gold to see a bit more (VIP ONLY) in the short term - especially as the situation in the Middle East is (VIP ONLY) very uncertain situation in the Middle East to escalate into (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)
position code / 100% transparency - 24100204A
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑
✔️ 5 - 12 non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
✔️ REAL success rate of 83+ % in the last 24+ months
✔️ Account manager by your side every step of the way
✔️ Access to our community - connect with other members
✔️ You can start completely FREE of charge
📊 SmartTrader Premium Insights: Analyst Rating Updates
📆 Wednesday, October 2
📊 Rob's Quick Insights:
We saw that the stock markets recovered as we expected, despite some initial additional panic selling by investors and traders who had believed the early news that Israel would quickly retaliate for yesterday's Iranian rocket attack. We immediately understood the knee-jerk reaction, as news outlets naturally try to exaggerate to get clicks and sales. We understand the thinking of the Israeli leadership / military. Markets are now moving sideways, with investors / traders looking for further clues and waiting for possible further signs that the unstable situation in the Middle East could escalate further. Iran must have known that its missile attack would only cause limited damage, which shows that while Iran wanted to show that it was ready to act, it did not really want to escalate the conflict. The markets were also surprised by the strong US hiring (according to ADP). We can see this also from the fact that the USD has gained significant ground against its competitors and the EUR/USD, for example, is trading at its lowest level since 12 September, which is also due to a faster disinflation, as can be seen in the USA - just as we have been predicting for the past few weeks/months. As always, we are well ahead of the markets and understand the difference between panic reactions and actual movements that are based on or triggered by fundamentals. Your Rob
🟢 Positive Ratings:
Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: JPMorgan reiterates as "OVERWEIGHT"
(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟡⤴️🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) upgrades to "OVERWEIGHT"
Previously: "EQUAL WEIGHT"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY) ⤵️ $(VIP ONLY)
Home Depot (HD) 🇺🇸🟡⤴️🟢
Analyst: Gordon Haskett upgrades to "BUY"
Previously: "ACCUMULATE"
Price Target: $450
Meta (META) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Wells Fargo reiterates as "OVERWEIGHT"
Price Target: $647 ⤴️ $652
(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟡⤴️🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) upgrades to "OUTPERFORM"
Previously: "IN LINE"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY) ⤴️ $(VIP ONLY)
Nike (NKE) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Deutsche Bank reiterates as "BUY"
Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Bernstein reiterates as "OUTPERFORM"
Salesforce (CRM) 🇺🇸🟡⤴️🟢
Analyst: Northland upgrades to "OUTPERFORM"
Previously: "MARKET PERFORM"
Price Target: $400
Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Canaccord reiterates as "BUY"
T-Mobile (TMUS) 🇺🇸🟢⤵️🟢
Analyst: Raymond James downgrades to "OUTPERFORM"
Previously: "STRONG BUY"
Price Target: $208 ⤴️ $221
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 225.59
TP ✅ @: 226.39
We are seeing exactly the movements we expected.
We made again beautiful profits trading the volatility in the Nasdaq 100. Please read the analysis / updates and never act in panic. We stayed completely calm as we "knew" the Nasdaq 100 will push back to / above 19800.
Although there was profit-taking on Apple - and it went a little further than we expected - our position is now well in profit, as Apple has fully recovered and is moving back towards yesterday's closing price.
We set an in-profit SL and secured nice profits. We have now seen an almost perfect V-shaped rebound.
———
NEVER ⚠️ miss an NYSE opening trade.
We win more than 85% of our NYSE opening trades.
SmartTrader Premium Partner:
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
SmartTrader Regulated Partner Brokers:
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Admiral Markets (🇬🇧🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW (STAY LONG)🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; Increased Risk
✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
► After the NYSE opened, there was initially some profit-taking - partly because some companies such as Tesla and Nike were trading in deep red after announcing delivery and sales forecasts. In addition, there was further uncertainty regarding developments in the Middle East, which also pushed oil prices significantly higher.
► Better-than-expected ADP employment figures also further reduced expectations of interest rate cuts, which also further strengthened the USD.
► We now see the Nasdaq 100 near yesterday's lows and again underperforming the broader Wall Street - but also because Tesla is trading more than 6% lower here.
► We find a good (re)entry here in the 19650 - 19680 range and still see Wall Street stabilizing. If you are still LONG, you can stay LONG. We expect the Nasdaq to remain in a broader sideways movement, but also to move back towards / above 19800 - so we don't want to close our position out of the money here.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4.5- 6.5 (450% - 650%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).
position code / 100% transparency - 24100102A
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
📉1️⃣9️⃣6️⃣5️⃣0️⃣📈
Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19713.40 (or in-profit)
TP ✅ @: 19834.30
OR
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: 19800+
Our Nasdaq 100 LONG from yesterday before NYSE closing is (back) in profit. We are tightening our TP a bit. We don't want to close off-profit. You can alternatively set your SL in-profit.
Alternatively you can close here (slightly above 19800) as we can likely find a better re-entry anyways.
Most of you have a better initial entry here (than me).
———
Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑
✔️ 5 - 12 non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
✔️ REAL success rate of 83+ % in the last 24+ months
✔️ Account manager by your side every step of the way
✔️ Access to our community - connect with other members
✔️ You can start completely FREE of charge
📊 SmartTrader Insights: Wednesday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Wednesday, October 2
❗️ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East dominate market sentiment; Global markets mixed
► European futures are trading little changed/slightly higher, driven by China’s stimulus measures and gains in energy stocks as Brent Crude oil prices surged over 2% following heightened tensions in the Middle East. Shares in companies such as Saab and Rheinmetall (defence industry) benefited from heightened demand due to escalating Middle East tensions. The Stoxx 600 climbed 0.2%, with London’s FTSE up 0.32%. Germany's DAX, howver, is down 0.2% amid mixed investor sentiment (Paris' CAC_40 at +0.25%). Eurozone inflation eased below 2% for the first time since 2021, increasing bets of further ECB rate cuts.
► US equity futures trade lower in US pre-market trading (-0.3%) following Iran’s missile strike on Israel, intensifying fears of a broader conflict. Tuesday’s selloff in the US saw major indexes end lower as investors fled to safe-haven assets like gold and USD. The 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to 3.76% and remained volatile, and the VIX spiked, reflecting heightened uncertainty. Markets remain focused on geopolitical developments and await further clarity on Israel's response, while cautious optimism persists amid strong US economic data.
► Asian markets were mixed today. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index surged by over 6%, driven by a robust rally following China’s relaxation of home purchase rules. Mainland Chinese markets remained closed for holiday. Meanwhile, Japan's Nikkei index tumbled 2.22%, as concerns over the Middle East conflict and local economic data weighed on investor sentiment. Japan’s Economy Minister warned about raising rates too quickly as the country exits deflation. South Korean stocks were down following a sharp drop in the manufacturing PMI and lower-than-expected inflation increasing concerns of slowing demand.
► WTI crude oil remain elevated and rose more than 1% to $71.5/barrel, on fears of further escalation in the Middle East, driven by Iran's missile strikes on Israel. Despite the limited impact on oil supply, geopolitical risks continued to support higher crude prices. Meanwhile, gold declined back to near $2,650/oz, but still hovered near its record levels as investors sought safe-haven assets amidst the conflict. Our chief analyst continues to expect the markets to calm down further today, unless Israel decides to launch a swift retaliatory strike – although that is not the Israeli way, as Israel usually chooses the moment carefully and always works with the element of surprise.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇪🇸 Unemployment Change - 07:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇮🇹 Unemployment Rate - 08:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 Unemployment Rate - 09:00
🔸 🇺🇸 ADP Employment Change - 12:15
🔸 🇺🇸 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change - 14:30
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
- no key earnings reports -
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
Overview last 30 trading days:
✅ Performance: 21.08 - 24.09 (26 trading days)
118 / 133 = 88.7%❗️ Success Rate
(August 20 - 6/6 = 100% 🏆 SR dropped out)
✅ 25.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18926.60 | or clsd 18900+)
✅ 25.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.11812 f me|or TP- 1.11537)
✅ 25.9 - US30 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 42183.60 f. me | TP - 42172.6)
❌ 25.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 19202.60)
❌ 25.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 20313.70)
3/5 = 60% Success Rate
✅ 26.9 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 68.339)
✅ 26.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2671.66)
✅ 26.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.11411)
✅ 26.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2667.36)
✅ 26.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 42213.70)
✅ 26.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2669.83)
✅ 26.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 20148.70)
7/7 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 27.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2666.89)
✅ 27.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.11561)
✅ 27.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2664.97| +re-entry)
✅ 27.9 - WMT - LONG ↗️ (SL - 79.97)
✅ 27.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 20073.90|or clsd in-profit / BE)
5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
One 100% 🏆 day (4 out of 4) is now in our 5-week period and our success rate still dropped as another 100% 🏆 day (with more trades; 6 out of 6) fell out - this shows us how hard it is to maintain this success rate in the first place 😅
Otherwise, there is no update here as all our positions were already closed from these three days.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: 19850 - 19860
OR
SL 🔑 @: 19798.90
TP ✅ @: 19866.90
We secure huge profits. We have done the impossible yet again and found/hit the exact range where the Nasdaq 100 turned around.
Please do not forget that most people work weeks / possibly months for the profits that we generate on a daily basis - often in just a few hours. We are also aware that although we anticipated the market and sentiment perfectly again in this trade - our profits here were also generated by terror, suffering and the panicked markets. Please share some of your profits with people in need. We will continue to trade short-term likely better than any other short term trader (especially in terms of success rate). We are also aware that we are currently seeing markets where the majority of traders are suffering large losses - our performance is and will remain exceptional and is the exception.
🚨 Breaking: The Iranian attack is similar to the attack in April
In retaliation for the Israeli attack on an Iranian diplomatic center in Syria and other recent successful Israeli attacks, including the killing of Ismail Haniyeh, the political leader of Hamas, in Tehran on July 31, 2024, Iran has launched a wave of drones and missiles at Israel.
In April, Iran fired around 300 projectiles at Israel (more than 170 drones and more than 120 ballistic missiles). 99% of these projectiles were intercepted by Israel's air defense systems and its “partners”.
The new attack appears to be no bigger than the one in April and will be similarly “successful”.
🚨 Breaking: Iran launches missiles at Israel
US intelligence again proved to be reliable with Iran launching missiles toward Israel according to Israeli military.
The White House warned that any direct attack on Israel by Iran "will carry severe consequences for Iran".
The US is actively supporting the defense of the incoming ballistic missiles.
⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; High Risk; Positioning against Market
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
► We trade against the market again here and turn around ourselves and BUY the strong profit-taking, which was reinforced by panic selling (also after a sharp rise in energy prices). We find an entry in the Nasdaq at 19675 - 19700 or more than 450 (!) points below the session highs.
► The selling here went very far in the short term. Geopolitical tensions - even if they escalate again in the Middle East - do little to change the revenue forecasts of US tech companies, especially big tech. Apple in particular - down more than 3.5% - will see dip buying here. The other big tech companies are also down more than 2% / Tesla even down almost 5%.
► We are trading against the market here - but still trading full position size.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4.5- 6.5 (450% - 650%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100)
position code / 100% transparency - 24100104A
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
What an entry ENTRY - again! 🎯🔥
📉1️⃣9️⃣6️⃣8️⃣0️⃣📈
Please make sure you receive ALL signals & update with NO DELAY.
Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑
✔️ 5 - 12 non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
✔️ REAL success rate of 83+ % in the last 24+ months
✔️ Account manager by your side every step of the way
✔️ Access to our community - connect with other members
✔️ You can start completely FREE of charge
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 19312.60
TP ✅ @: 19272.60
OR
CLOSE ✅ @: 19270 - 19290
We saw again a hard to avoid trap in which most traders unfortunately stepped in - expecting strong gains at the start of Q4. We did the opposite and positioned us against the market and expected profit taking post NYSE opening.
Congratulations - we continue to remain well ahead of the markets and secure big profits with our DAX SHORT.
——-
We continue to trade these very difficult markets almost perfectly. Congratulations
Please share some of your big winnings with people in need ❤️
🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL AFTER* NYSE OPENED 🔽 Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
🔹 ExxonMobil (- 0.6%) opens weaker, with the energy sector performing the worst in pre-market trading as energy prices remain under pressure despite the escalation in the Middle East. We expect further profit-taking and work with a not-too-wide TP ✅ @: 115.51.
► We see cyclical/growth stocks outperforming defensive sectors, which generally shows that investors remain optimistic as we enter the fourth quarter. However, rate cut expectations have also declined – the expectation of a 50bp rate cut is now down to ~35%. The US economy remains very robust and there are few signs of weakness, nor any fear that the US economy could slide into a recession. I expect investors to continue to scale back their overly optimistic expectations of rapid monetary easing by the Fed – it's crazy how much easing the market is expecting here. There is little reason for such a rapid interest rate cut by the Fed.
► We SHORT the big outperformer in pre-market: Alphabet AFTER the NYSE opening and find an entry into GOOGL in the $168.50 - $169.00 range*. For me, Alphabet is definitely lucrative in the long term, especially after the sell-offs surrounding exaggerated concerns about the break-up of the company. Nevertheless, we see Alphabet opening very strongly - thanks in part to a very high price target for Alphabet ($780) from investment firm Pivotal.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 270 - 300 (27.000% - 30.000%) when trading with Alphabet (GOOGL)
position code / 100% transparency - 24100102A
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
NEVER ⚠️ miss an NYSE opening trade.
We win more than 85% of our NYSE opening trades.
SmartTrader Premium Partner:
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
SmartTrader Regulated Partner Brokers:
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Admiral Markets (🇬🇧🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP triggered ✅ @: 2642.67
Our gold position has already triggered our superbly placed TP. Gold was once again a bullish trap yesterday, benefiting from a turbulent day still dominated by escalation in the Middle East.
--
We thus achieved another 100% 🏆 day yesterday.
✅ 26.9 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✅ 26.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 26.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 26.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 26.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 26.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 26.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 27.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.9 - WMT - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
❌ 30.9 - XOM - SHORT ↘️
✅ 30.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 30.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 30.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 1.10 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 1.10 - GOOGL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 1.10 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 1.10 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 1.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 1.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 2.10 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 2.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️
✅ 2.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 2.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2642.67) 📸
27/28 = 96.4% Success Rate
We have thus won more than 96% of our trades in the last very chaotic five days, during which most traders suffered major losses due to the events that caused strong fluctuations, including the transition from September to October, which was accompanied by increased volatility. We have, above all, traded the changes in direction and spikes/dips almost perfectly. We can assume that we have traded the 5 days of chaos better than anyone else - incredible. Congratulations to the community.
PS: Our profits and success rate are in the category "absurd" - we are of course very happy but remain 100% focused and extend a helping hand to those who need it - that's our SmartTrader spirit. Thank you.
Overview last 30 trading days:
✅ Performance: 22.08 - 25.09 (26 trading days)
117 / 133 = 88% ❗️ Success Rate
(August 21 - 4/5 = 80% SR dropped out)
✅ 26.9 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 68.339)
✅ 26.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2671.66)
✅ 26.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.11411)
✅ 26.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2667.36)
✅ 26.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 42213.70)
✅ 26.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2669.83)
✅ 26.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 20148.70)
7/7 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 27.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2666.89)
✅ 27.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.11561)
✅ 27.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2664.97| +re-entry)
✅ 27.9 - WMT - LONG ↗️ (SL - 79.97)
✅ 27.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 20073.90|or clsd in-profit / BE)
5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 30.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2637.69)
✅ 30.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (CLSD - 1.11458 f. me | or 1.11406 - 1.11568)
❌ 30.9 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 121.06 f. me|SL- 122.53 or earlier)🔄
✅ 30.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 19946.10)
✅ 30.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 67.686)
✅ 30.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (CLSD - 19280.60 |SL - 19312.60 or clsd better)
5/6 = 83.3% Success Rate
The only two losing trades from last week (!) nestled in our 5-week period, bringing our success rate down to a still incredible 88% ‼️ We have won 17 out of 18 trades (or 94.4%) in these three days. Only XOM has ended in the red (for most of you already yesterday / for me also right after NYSE opening) as oil prices remain elevated. If you are still SHORT in XOM - we expect Exxon to lose some of the recent gains later this week, but the stock remains volatile and benefits from Exxon experiencing no/few disruptions overall (due to the volatile situation in the Middle East) but benefits from elevated oil prices. It is therefore better to trade the hot oil market SHORT in the short term - as we have done very successfully over the last three days.
🟡 Neutral Ratings:
Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸🟢⤵️🟡
Analyst: Wells Fargo reiterates as "EQUAL WEIGHT"
Price Target: $190 ⤵️ $182
(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢⤵️🟡
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) downgrades to "MARKET PERFORM"
Previously: "OUTPERFORM"
(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢⤵️🟡
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) downgrades to "NEUTRAL"
Previously: "OUTPERFORM"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY) ⤵️ $(VIP ONLY)
(VIP ONLY) 🇦🇷🟢⤵️🟡
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) downgrades to "NEUTRAL"
Previously: "OVERWEIGHT"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)
Rio Tinto (RIO) 🇬🇧🟡⤴️🟢
Analyst: Berenberg upgrades to "BUY"
Previously: "HOLD"
🔴 Negative Ratings:
N/A
Price Target (or target price): When an analyst sets a price target for a stock, he or she is trying to determine what the stock is worth and where the price will be in ~12 months. Ultimately, price targets depend on the valuation of the company issuing the stock. Analysts base their price targets usually on earnings forecasts and assumed valuation multiples. Price targets (especially average price targets) can be used to value stocks and may even be more useful than a stock analyst's rating.
🟢 = positive rating
🟡 = neutral rating
🔴 = negative rating
⤴️ = upgrade
⤵️ = downgrade
You can find the Analyst Rating Updates also on the Website:
Click HERE 🔗
💬 As a subscriber / member - you can also comment there and exchange information with other community members!
SmartTrader™ Analyst team
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: 69.75 - 69.95
OR
SL 🔑 @: 71.316
TP ✅ @: 69.806
Our oil position (including re-entry) is very deep in profit. We are now tightening our SL (not too tight) and also tightening our TP a bit. We don't want to be too greedy here. You can also close your re-entry (or all your WTI trades) with a mega profit.
Congratulations – we trade these panic-driven markets with complete calm and see that the markets do exactly what we expect, instead of running after them ourselves. It really is something special how we trade these chaotic markets and make mega profits in the process. Nevertheless, we always remind ourselves that most of the volatility is due to geopolitical escalations.
I also want to thank Tobias 🇩🇪 (DE - Community) who donated €500 from his yesterday's profits to https://www.welthungerhilfe.org/. Thank you very much!
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
CLOSE ✅ @: 19775 - 19800
OR
SL 🔑 @: 19712.40
TP ✅ @: 19788.70
The Nasdaq has whipsawed upwards again as we predicted - sorry I'm a bit behind here due to the high volatility - the important thing is that we want to close our position IN THE MONEY. Our position is more than 100 points in profit or has already reached your TP. If you are still LONG, please still close in the 19775 - 19800 area. As we predicted, the Nasdaq 100 has quickly retraced near 19800, but seems to be running into some resistance near / above that level.
Congratulations!
⏱ Update DELAYED by: 10+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
🔹 The Nasdaq 100 (- 0.15%) initially recorded losses in early pre-market trading and is now back in flat territory. We close soon near 19800 (TP ✅ @: 19793.90) // and work with a wide SL 🔑 @: 19643.30 (or wider // we DON'T want to close out of the money (!) here). We can close soon (in-profit), as we could very likely find an entry in the 19700 - 19750 range later today in any case. Alternatively, you can close with a small profit (if you haven't already). The Nasdaq 100 would be trading positively if Nasdaq heavyweight Tesla wasn't down almost 5% in pre-market trading after reporting disappointing third quarter deliveries.
🔹 ExxonMobil (+ 1.5%) continues to perform positively as oil prices are above yesterday's highs following concerns that the conflict in the Middle East will escalate further. US energy giants are benefiting as they have no production in the affected area. We see XOM close to the ATH. We set a tight SL 🔑 @: 122.57.
► We see stabilizing markets - but we also continue to see cautious trading with some 50,000 dockworkers from the ILA union walking off the job at East and Gulf Coast ports from New England to Texas (the union's first strike since 1977). Between 43% - 49% of all U.S. imports and billions of dollars in trade pass through East Coast and Gulf ports each month.
► Despite the fears, we can buy (VIP ONLY) here - which is generally benefiting from a slight push into more defensive stocks. (VIP ONLY) opens about 0.65% lower and will probably see some additional selling initially. We can find an entry point at/below (VIP ONLY)* (range (VIP ONLY)). Investment banks remain optimistic about (VIP ONLY) - (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...
position code / 100% transparency - 24100201A
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——
WRITE US NOW AND BECOME VIP MEMBER 👤⚡️
OR: Other contact possibilities ❤️
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
STAY SHORT / SELL NOW 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: 69.611
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 60+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
► News that Israel is planning a swift retaliatory strike against Iran sent oil prices soaring above yesterday's highs. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Iran had made a “big mistake” and would “pay” for it, adding, “The regime in Iran does not understand our determination to defend ourselves and our determination to retaliate against our enemies.”
► Iran fired around 180 - 200 projectiles, but caused little damage as most of the missiles were intercepted. A few rockets hit the ground in Israel and the occupied West Bank. According to the Palestinian Civil Defense, an Iranian rocket attack killed a 37-year-old Palestinian (!) worker by falling “rockets and shrapnel” in Jericho in the eastern occupied West Bank. Iranian propaganda claims that around 90% of the rockets successfully hit their target. According to Israeli authorities, the shockwaves caused by the Iranian rocket attack damaged some houses in central Israel.
► Meanwhile, at least 90 people were killed in several Israeli attacks on the Gaza Strip overnight. Israeli forces also breached the Blue Line by about 400 meters into Lebanese territory.
► The Houthi militant group in Yemen claims to have fired three cruise missiles towards Israel. The militant group claims the missiles reached their targets (very unlikely).
►Hours after Iran fired dozens of missiles at Israel, it emphasized that it had “absolutely no interest in a wider war”. Even if Israel is currently talking about a rapid response, it is unlikely that Israel wants to further expand its current area of conflict - in addition, the US would be strictly opposed to this. It is much more likely that Israel will wait for the ideal time to retaliate.
► We see WTI at $72.00 (spot price). We can go SHORT here and expect oil prices to cool down as market sentiment is also not supportive of oil prices and the USD is gaining ground against its peers (the DXY has continued to rise after yesterday's gains).
► We are adjusting our TP (slightly tightening) and working with a tight SL.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader⚠️ The November-Futures Contract is currently $0.30 above spot price
position code / 100% transparency - 24100103B
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 60+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
🛢7️⃣2️⃣📉
Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑
✅ 30.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2637.69)
✅ 30.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (CLSD - 1.11458 f. me | or 1.11406 - 1.11568)
✴️ 30.9 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit / pot. re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 115.51 🔄
✅ 30.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 19946.10)
✅ 30.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 67.686) 🔄
✅ 30.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (CLSD - 19280.60 |SL - 19312.60 or clsd better) 🔄📸
5/6 - (1 open position)
TODAY :
✅ 1.10 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 67.377)
✅ 1.10 - GOOGL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 166.02) 📸
✴️ 1.10 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - near-break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 69.226 🔄
✅ 1.10 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 19718.50)
✅ 1.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19866.90)
✴️ 1.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - near-break-even)
👉 SL 🔑 @: (VIP ONLY)| TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY) 🔄
4/6 - (2 open positions)
It was a typical “neck-breaker” day as investors were excited ahead of the start of the fourth quarter and the strong performance in September (usually the worst month of the year) and expected a strong start to the fourth quarter. We were aware that the market is currently very sensitive to data, to signs that growth and rate cut expectations are shifting, and of course to the current very volatile situation in the Middle East. Our cautious approach has worked well, but also our overall positioning and reaction to data/movements/“events” such as today's Iranian attack on Israel has been extremely good 👏
I didn't share the screenshot I took after our DAX closed deep in profit - what a nice trade - the DAX then fell even further significantly. I closed at 19280.60 - some of you even better or at worst 19312.60. After that we made nice Nasdaq LONGs and took advantage of the market overreaction. We can't set too wide TPs for our WTI position (we expect oil prices to lose today's shock gains tomorrow/later this week), as well as for our last Nasdaq 100 LONG set / you can set an SL here too or go with a wider SL.
Our WTI position from yesterday also closed deep in the money today (TP - 67.686).
Congratulations - we traded today's very difficult day extremely well and were not really negatively surprised - with the only exception of our XOM position.
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) ❓ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; High Risk
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 50+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
► We closed our second Nasdaq 100 practically perfect and now see some profit taking pushing the Nasdaq 100 back (VIP ONLY). We c(VIP ONLY) in the range (VIP ONLY)*.
►Israel Defense Forces (IDF) spokesman Daniel Hagari said at a press conference after Tuesday's assessment that Iran's attack was “serious”.
► “We are on heightened alert, both in defense and offense, and we will protect the citizens of Israel. This rocket fire will have consequences. We have plans, and we will act at the time and place we choose (...) At this stage we are still conducting an assessment of the situation, but we know of no casualties,” Hagari added.
► So we are seeing the same outcome as (VIP ONLY) - just as we predicted. Israel (VIP ONLY) response. The situation will (VIP ONLY). The overall situation in the Middle East (VIP ONLY) volatile (VIP ONLY) Iranian attack - it was (VIP ONLY). This response is (VIP ONLY) actual damage (VIP ONLY) Iran will again (VIP ONLY) ...
► We can (VIP ONLY), but trade (VIP ONLY). I'm not very excited about Wall Street near ATH at the moment anyway, (VIP ONLY) likely that the market will first (VIP ONLY), which was (VIP ONLY) heavy losses in mega-cap tech (VIP ONLY) ...
► As we expected (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3.5- 5.5 (350% - 550%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100) - 2/3 - 3/4 Trading Size.
position code / 100% transparency - 24100106A
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 50+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑
✔️ 5 - 12 non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
✔️ REAL success rate of 83+ % in the last 24+ months
✔️ Account manager by your side every step of the way
✔️ Access to our community - connect with other members
✔️ You can start completely FREE of charge
⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW / SOON*🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; High Risk
⚠️⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️⚠️
► There is not much additional escalation that could trigger further massive panic selling from here. We continue to believe that the Iranian missile attack will be (almost) completely neutralized by Israeli/US air defenses. Iran is increasingly isolated in the Middle East and has been shown to be less powerful in the region than it would like to be.
► We are positioning ourselves LONG again and trading the Nasdaq, which continues to hover near 19700. We can find an entry point near 19660*.
► Part of the selling is also due to the high volatility, as the VIX (the so-called fear index) has risen by almost 20% for today. Once the VIX stabilizes, we will see dip buying may take over. Markets will remain volatile.
► Iran has confirmed the attack - and says it will do it again if necessary. Another attack by Iran, which is again more smoke than fire and will be seen as a sign of Iran's weakness, unable to inflict serious damage on Israel.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4.5- 6.5 (450% - 650%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).
position code / 100% transparency - 24100105A
⚠️⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️⚠️
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
PLEASE MAKE SURE
YOU RECEIVE
ALL SIGNALS WITH
-»»»» NO DELAY ««««-
📉1️⃣9️⃣6️⃣6️⃣0️⃣📈
Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑
Additionally there is a mass shooting in Tel Aviv at the moment. Apparently a terror attack by two gunmen who injured 9 civilians 4 of them are in critical condition. Both terrorist have been apparently already eliminated.
Читать полностью…⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19718.50
TP ✅ @: 19818.70
We don't want to be too greedy here and work with a not too wide TP (but securing nearly 150 points of profit in case the TP is triggered). We work with a tight in-profit SL.
Congratulations – great timing. It's very difficult to catch a falling knife – we've done a good job of that here.
⚡️ RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 (VIP ONLY)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
► According to US intelligence, Iran is planning a direct attack on Israel. I see little chance that this will cause grave "problems" for Israel (i.e. the actual attack), but it will significantly increase global geopolitical tensions, as the US will definitely side with Israel in the event of Iranian ‘aggression’ after successful Israeli strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Other protecting powers, including the UK, will also support Israel in its defense.
► The US is actively preparing for the defense of Israel (against incoming ballistic missiles). We will probably see a similar outcome to the last massive missile attack on Israel by Iran, which caused almost no damage and no casualties.
► We see that oil prices have now risen by 3% after previously falling by more than 1.5%. We sell (VIP ONLY)
► The spike in energy prices has also (VIP ONLY). We can (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
position code / 100% transparency - 24100103A
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——
WRITE US NOW AND BECOME VIP MEMBER 👤⚡️
OR: Other contact possibilities ❤️
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 167.16
TP ✅ @: 166.02
Trading Alphabet SHORT here (after opening) was the trade (within the Nasdaq components) that was most AGAINST the market. We have been proven right so often and have once again made the perfect NYSE opening trade and are now (already!) securing nice profits.
Congratulations!
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: 67.377
TP ✅ @: 66.436
We set an in-profit SL for our WTI position. We found a near perfect entry with WTI indeed hitting resistance near our triggered TP (and after staging the temporary V-shaped recovery (attempt)).
We now see WTI (spot-price) at the 67.00 key-level. We expect further selling and put our TP near session lows.