[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

11 Oct 2024 18:10

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Dow Jones (US30)  🇺🇸

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: ~60 (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

► We made the profit we wanted during early NYSE trading with the Nasdaq pushing above 20300 as we predicted. We see the S&P 500 and Dow Jones at all-time highs - with in particular the Dow Jones outperforming (up 0.8%).

► We position us now SHORT (!) and trade against the short-term trend at Wall Street. We position us SHORT here (near 40850) and expecting rising resistance towards 40900.

► In particular the financials with Goldman Sachs at near +2% and JPMorgan at +4.9% (!), with also American Express (+ 1.6%) are supporting the Dow Jones. We also see gains in both consumer cyclicals and staples benefiting from expectations that the elevated CPI data is also a sign of strong consumer spending. Gains went far (but are also relatively broad) - we expect limited upside potential from here. In particular JPMorgan's unexpected mega gains (not for us - we expected and traded it!) - is driving Wall Street higher.

► We also see gains in Europe - we stay SHORT in the DAX and expect profit taking towards XETR / NYSE closing.

► Consumer sentiment data was unable to reach optimistic expectations. We expect that we see Wall Street now near the peak (for today / this week). I expect that profit taking will start in the growth sector with the Nasdaq 100 also seeing resistance above 20300.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) and trade the Dow Jones (US30)

position code / 100% transparency - 24101104A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: ~60 (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

🔤🔤🔤3️⃣0️⃣📉
4️⃣2️⃣8️⃣5️⃣0️⃣📉

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11 Oct 2024 16:20

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 20249.20
TP ✅ @: 20308.30

The Nasdaq is behaving exactly as we expected.

We give a little more room upwards (or close at just before 20300) and secure at least the ~50-70 points of profit here.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

11 Oct 2024 15:45

🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔼 JPMorgan Chase (JPM) 🇺🇸

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️


We continue to see cautious trading as investors are unsettled by the latest data. Investment banks remain very optimistic. Wall Street banks have got off to a good start in the third-quarter earnings season.


🔹 The Nasdaq 100 (–0.25%) underperforms due to heavy pre-market losses in Tesla (–7.1%) after the electric carmaker's long-awaited robotaxi event failed to impress investors. We see some support at under 20200 and the big tech companies (except Tesla and Broadcom) are mostly trading in the green, supported by optimistic analyst comments for Amazon, AMD, Broadcom, Meta, Netflix, Nvidia and even Tesla.

🔹 Chevron (- 0.3%) opens slightly weaker as oil prices give back some of yesterday's gains. Our position is still in the off-profit area. We update SL 🔑 @: 151.53 | TP ✅ @: 148.52.


► We remain cautious and see a confused market that is likely to see some profit taking towards the end of today's US session. Earnings Season has once again started strongly, with Wall Street banks reporting better-than-expected earnings.

► JPM was trading a little over 2% higher in pre-market, but ahead of the opening of the NYSE (opening range 213 - 214), the banking giant is now trading almost flat as investors digest JPM's data - including the fact that profit fell 2% year-on-year to $12.9bn (while revenues rose significantly – meaning that operating margins deteriorated) – despite a very solid and 3% higher net interest income (benefiting from higher interest rates).

► However, most of the selling was due to the critical words of JPM's CEO Jamie Dimon, who said that the far-reaching efforts of regulators to force banks to hold more capital, as well as rising geopolitical risks, are problematic and that overall conditions are ‘treacherous and getting worse’. The market is overvaluing Dimon's statements here – more important (to me) are the numbers and the raised guidance.

►At the same time, we have seen a very strong report, and JPM's investment banking sector has also performed well. The banking giant also raised its full-year 2024 net interest income forecast from the previous quarter and said that net interest income this year will reach approximately $92.5 billion. Since I believe that interest rates will fall more slowly than the market expects, we can also assume higher-than-expected net interest income for 2025.


🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~230 - 250 (23.000% - 25.000%) and trade JPMorgan Chase (JPM).

position code / 100% transparency - 24101103A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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———

Once again: The perfect NYSE opening trade:

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11 Oct 2024 14:35

❗️ PPI mixed - minimally on the cooler-end on first glance especially considering yesterday's hot CPI report. We are not making major actions here. The influence/impact will soon fade. Focus now turns to consumer sentiment data (Michigan Consumer Sentiment Preliminary data (for Oct) at 14:00 UTC+0).

- US Sept. PPI at 0.0% M/M; vs. +0.1% expected
- US Sept. Core PPI Rises 0.2% M/M; vs. +0.2% expected
- US Sept. Core PPI Rises 2.8% Y/Y; vs. +2.7% expected

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

11 Oct 2024 11:29

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Friday, October 11

❗️ Global stocks slightly lower amid hot CPI Data; Earnings season looms

► European stocks are slightly lower as traders digested hotter-than-expected US inflation data, as well as higher-than-expected jobless claims data and braced for the beginning of earnings season. The Stoxx 600 index is down 0.1%, while France’s 10-year bond yield dropped after a budget announcement focused on reducing public debt. In addition, the inflation rate in Germany fell to 1.6% in September (in line with expectations), further affecting market sentiment and putting pressure on the ECB to maintain its monetary easing stance. We are seeing more and more the scenario that our chief analyst has been predicting for the last 3-6 months: The ECB is likely to loosen monetary policy faster than the Fed. The market has expected (or still hopes) that the Fed will move ahead with rapid rate cuts. Meanwhile, UK GDP rose by 1% in August, below the expected 1.4%, with monthly GDP rising by 0.2%. The growing trade deficit also put pressure on the economy as imports outpaced exports.

► US markets declined slightly, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures down ~0.1%, ahead of the unofficial start of the earnings season with major banks like JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Bank of New York Mellon. Hotter-than-expected US inflation data and rising unemployment benefits sparked further debate on the Federal Reserve’s next rate move. While Fed officials appear unfazed by the inflation numbers, swaps market pricing reflects an 85% chance of a 25 basis-point rate cut in November (15% chance for a rate pause). Investors are closely monitoring today’s US producer-price data (especially after yesterday's hot CPI data) and third-quarter bank earnings for insights into the economic outlook.

► Asia-Pacific markets closed mixed on Friday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose over 0.4%, marking its third consecutive gain. Japan's market benefited from a weakening JPY, trading at 148.8/USD. On the other hand, China’s CSI 300 dropped 2.4%, as caution grows ahead of a key briefing that may reveal fresh fiscal stimulus measures from Beijing. Meanwhile, South Korea’s central bank cut interest rates to 3.25% in a bid to boost its economy.

► Oil prices edged lower, trimming some of the 3.6% gains from Thursday after traders awaited Israel’s response to Iran’s missile attack. WTI Crude oil is currently trading at around $74.3/barrel - thus about 1.3% lower for the day. Meanwhile, the gold price continued its upward trend and is trading at around $2,640/oz. Following gold's recent slide, we are seeing investors returning to the precious metal despite the fundamental headwinds. According to SmartTrader chief analyst Robert Lindner, gold remains one of the best investments in the medium term, especially in the event that inflation returns in 2025.

Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇩🇪 Inflation Rate - 06:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇬🇧 GDP - 06:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇬🇧 Industrial Production - 06:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 Manufacturing Production - 06:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇬🇧 Balance of Trade - 06:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇨🇦 Unemployment Rate - 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 PPI - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Michigan Consumer Sentiment - 14:00

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ JPMorgan (JPM) 🇺🇸
☀️ Wells Fargo (WFC) 🇺🇸
☀️ Bank of New York Mellon (BK) 🇺🇸

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 23:21

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 30.08 - 03.10 (26 trading days)

116 / 127 = 91.3% ❗️Success Rate

(August 29 - 8/8 = 100% 🏆 SR dropped out)

✅ 4.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 148.279 f. me|or TP - 148.349)
✅ 4.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 20019.40)
✅ 4.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2648.61)
✅ 4.10 - BAC - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40.39 f. me|or clsd 40.27+)
✅ 4.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (CLSD - 42203.90 or 42200+)
(✅ 4.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2648.61 | +re-entry))
✅ 4.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP-1.30652 f. me|TP-1.30637)

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate (not incl. re-entry)

✅ 7.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2642.67 | or TP - 2648.61)
✅ 7.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2645.86)
✅ 7.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 42246.90)
✅ 7.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2647.67)
✅ 7.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.30808)

5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

✅ 8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2637.86|or TP - 2640.22)
✅ 8.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19969.90|or clsd 19975+)
✅ 8.10 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 718.49)
✅ 8.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2617.93)

4/4 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate


That's a pretty flawless overview/performance 💎. Despite dropping an “8-of-8” day 🏆 out of our 5-week period, we are still at over 91% success rate and will go up a bit more in the coming days. We won all of our trades from October 4-8.

That being said, we'll refrain from self-congratulation today 😅. No update as all trades were already closed yesterday.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 20:27

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW*🔽 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

► Stocks are surprisingly robust today – given that the US CPI data certainly points to another risk – a re-acceleration of inflation – which is not unlikely given massive Chinese stimulus measures. The FOMC will take the CPI data seriously and certainly does not want to further fuel the inflation by cutting rates too quickly.

► Initial jobless claims are pointing to some softening (although US labor market data has been strong recently). The combination of a softening labor market and inflation risks is a toxic cocktail.

► We are also seeing some panic buying of oil due to Hurricane Milton in the US (which caused severe disruption in Florida) and also resulted in a quarter of gas stations (currently) running out of gasoline - causing gasoline prices to skyrocket. We also see Israel advancing in all directions, be it Gaza, Lebanon or even Syria.

► The DAX has no energy company (which would be up today). In addition, optimism about China's economic measures has waned. The DAX is at least benefiting significantly from the currently weaker EUR - but that's almost it. Higher energy prices are also a headwind for the DAX.

► We sell the DAX here at 19230 - 19250* (which is also above the regular closing price of the DAX (XETR closing) at 19210). We also expect Wall Street to see some selling in the final hours of today's regular US trading.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4 - 6 (400% - 600%) when trading the DAX (GER_40)

position code / 100% transparency - 24101006A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

🔤🔤🔤4️⃣0️⃣🎯📉
📈1️⃣9️⃣2️⃣3️⃣0️⃣📉

If you think you're making mistakes or not getting the support you need, we're here for you! Our support team is ready to help. You can also ask for a different account manager if you are having problems or are not happy with the help and guidance you are receiving.

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10 Oct 2024 18:05

⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW* 🔽 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

► We are increasingly seeing signs of caution which usually leads to some profit taking. Our Dow Jones position triggered our fairly tight TP (for ~50 - 80 points of profit) and fell a bit further. Overall, however, Wall Street remains near all-time high.

► I see more headwinds for the growth sector and we can still find a good entry into the Nasdaq 100 (near 20300 - update) even above pre-CPI report levels. I saw the data as Fed-unfriendly, as concerns about a re-acceleration of inflation increased while the labor market showed slight signs of deterioration (albeit after recent strong data). The Nasdaq receives strong support from Nvidia (up ~1.5%).

► The Fed is (potentially!) in something of a dilemma here – something that analysts do not yet understand. This is because the Fed has recently positioned itself strongly in such a way that it does not want to see the labor market weaken. However, if inflation returns, the Fed's focus will have to be on limiting any acceleration in inflation (again).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4.5- 6.5 (450% - 650%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100)

position code / 100% transparency - 24101005A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

A good entry now (above 20300).

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10 Oct 2024 15:47

🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔽 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸


We see market uncertainty. A hotter-than-expected CPI report - which is currently viewed less negatively by investors/analysts than I see it. The disinflation trend is clearly broken - instead of stubborn, slightly elevated inflation, we now see a possible re-acceleration of inflation. At the same time, the labor market report points to weakness and was much weaker than expected. The uncertainty will not lead to confident buying - so we are likely to see some profit taking today.


🔹 The Dow Jones (- 0.15%) is little changed after a record close yesterday. The more defensive Dow Jones is “outperforming” the Nasdaq 100 here. Nevertheless, I see the market and investors on the wrong side here - we will probably see some profit taking soon.

🔹 Chevron (+0.3%) is up slightly after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his Defense Minister Yoav Gallant's aggressive rhetoric towards Iran. However, oil prices are likely to face some headwinds from lower rate cut expectations and slight signs of weakness in the US labor market. We update our TP ✅ @: 147.57


► We do not want to overtrade these conditions, especially as the market is currently still acting confused here. However, we clearly see rising uncertainty following mixed data. A reacceleration of inflation is a major problem (especially for the Fed).

► We see (VIP ONLY) strongly outperforming pre-market, extending recent gains and benefiting from (VIP ONLY) and a new collaboration with (VIP ONLY) - which could also put pressure on (VIP ONLY), which however received a strong analyst call (VIP ONLY) today.

► (VIP ONLY) is trading ~(VIP ONLY)% higher pre-market at (VIP ONLY) (and thus near or at the October highs of (VIP ONLY)). We expect some profit taking and go SHORT. We expect rising short-term resistance at / above (VIP ONLY)* and want to enter near this level (SHORT).

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...


position code / 100% transparency - 24101004A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———-

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 15:35

⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: ~20 (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️


► We still see the (VIP ONLY) near the ATH after (VIP ONLY) ...

► We are currently seeing a mixed reaction as markets are unsure how to assess the better-than-expected US CPI data and the latest jobless claims.

► We are positioning ourselves SHORT here in the (VIP ONLY) (area (VIP ONLY)) and are expecting profit-taking in the near future.

► Investors are (soon!) increasingly seeing the risk of inflation rising again. There are bad signs – such as the return of food inflation in the US (!) – which I see as a red flag. The index for meat, poultry, fish and eggs rose by 0.8% in September; the index for eggs jumped by a whopping 8.4%. The fruit and vegetable index rose 0.9% mom after falling 0.2% in August.

► I believe we are currently seeing a certain amount of misreaction in general, as investors/analysts do not (yet) understand that the Fed will have a headache when looking at the latest CPI data.

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

position code / 100% transparency - 24101003A


⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: ~20 (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

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✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
✔️ REAL success rate of 83+ % in the last 24+ months
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 14:42

⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
⚠️ Volatile

LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️⚠️

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: ~12 (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

► Hot CPI data (as we expected). Nevertheless, we see a mixed reaction, but are going SHORT on gold here at $2622.50 - 2625 and expect that the already sharply fallen rate cut expectation will now be clearly ‘confirmed’.

► We also see that shadow expectations for the US consumer price index were quite high, given the immediate reaction. The data were above expectations on all measures:

- US Sept. Core CPI Rises 3.3% Y/Y; vs. +3.2% expected
- US Sept. Core CPI Rises 0.3% M/M; vs. +0.2% expected
- US Sept. Headline CPI Rise 2.4% Y/Y; vs. +2.3% expected
- US Sept. Headline CPI Rise 0.2% M/M; vs. +0.1% expected

► We also see that the USD is now weakening for now – this seems to be a short-term reaction (due to high shadow expectations).

► We remain LONG in USD/JPY ⚠️ for now and see this rather as a mis-interpretation - this data clearly shows that the Fed shouldn't cut rates rapidly from here.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.5 - 0.7 (50% - 70%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

position code / 100% transparency - 24101002A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 12+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

As a SmartTrader VIP you will receive ALL trading signals and updates WITHOUT DELAY.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 13:31

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 USD/JPY
⚠️ High Volatility; HIGH RISK; Pre CPI data

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: ~45 (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

► Our primary goal is not to maintain our current success rate (in the last three months), which is around 90% - or even above 90% in the last 6 weeks, but to maximize our return. Our current success rate is probably the highest ever achieved in intraday/short-term trading (over 100+ trades) - congratulations again!

► We are cautiously positioning LONG in the USD ahead of today's CPI report in the US, although recent USD buying has gone a long way. The re-strengthening of the dollar (which we predicted long before) was mainly due to reduced Fed interest rate expectations.

► It also emerged from yesterday's Fed meeting minutes that the members of the FOMC wavered between a rate cut of 25 or 50 basis points in September, but ultimately opted for the large rate cut at the start of the easing cycle.

► The USD/JPY LONG trade is a bit overtraded at the moment, but we at least find an entry more than 70 (!) pips below the session highs (reached during the Asian session). We enter in the range 148.760 - 148.815.

► Disinflation is expected to continue in the US (for headline inflation; core inflation remains at 3.2% as in July and August). I see little scope for a positive surprise (which would mean an acceleration of disinflation) and rather believe that it will become clearer that core inflation will remain stubbornly at slightly elevated levels and that the outlook for further disinflation will also become less clear.

► Labor market data in the US has been very strong and unemployment actually fell in September. Rising wages may have had a greater impact on inflation than lower energy prices (in September). I also believe that the sharp fall in used car prices in recent months no longer had a positive impact on (core) prices in September.

► This is a risky trade and therefore almost optional - you may also prefer to wait for the CPI data, which will bring more clarity ⚠️

► The JPY is likely to weaken further in the coming weeks as the Bank of Japan is showing signs that it will be very cautious with further interest rate hikes.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.65 - 0.75 (65% - 75%) when trading USD/JPY - 2/3 trade size

position code / 100% transparency - 24101001A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: ~45 (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

(Almost) perfect entry 🎯

Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑

✔️ 5 - 12 non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
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✔️ Account manager by your side every step of the way
✔️ Access to our community - connect with other members
✔️ You can start completely FREE of charge

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

09 Oct 2024 23:52

✅ 8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2637.86|or TP - 2640.22)
✅ 8.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19969.90|or clsd 19975+)
✅ 8.10 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 718.49)
✅ 8.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2617.93) 🔄📸

4/4 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

TODAY :

✅ 9.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.30743) 📸
✴️ 9.10 - CVX - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
✅ 9.10 - FDX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 266.87) 📸
✅ 9.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP- 2615.84 me|or TP-2616.23)📸
✴️ 9.10 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 71.887 (optional) 🔄

3/5 - (2 open positions)

We also ended October 7th with a 100% 🏆 success rate. Both the Dow Jones 📸 and our GBP/USD 📸 (from Monday) closed in profit today and also closed with a 100% win rate yesterday 🏆, with the gold 📸 trade hitting our in-profit SL overnight. We closed another beautiful gold trade 📸 perfectly today (me at 2615.84 shortly before the trend reversal).

We made fantastic trades today as well. I became a little more aware today that I am trading very “cautiously” at the moment. I saw other good potential trades/opportunities (like LONGs in the DAX (after the Bayer selloff) and the Nasdaq or SHORTs in gold towards the NYSE close) that I didn't trade because I thought they might only have an 80-85% success rate (all three would have been great trades and we would have had near perfect entries.... - but yeah, it's always easy to say what could have been done...).

I will try to trade a bit more aggressively in the future - because my overall goal is of course to get the maximum return. But of course it's amazing to achieve this world record success rate (and even more impressive to keep it at this level for so long).

You can set a TP for our WTI position.

Congratulations - another exceptional well traded day! 👏

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

09 Oct 2024 21:44

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: ~60 (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

► We are selling the recovery attempt in oil - with the WTI spot price moving back up to (almost) $73/barrel (or ~$73.50/barrel for the 24 November contract). Oil prices recovered and almost reached the flat line for today (WTI currently down only 0.1%; Brent down 0.45%, natural gas nearly -1.5%) – and Wall Street also rose sharply (our Dow Jones LONG also closed in our TP and then rose by a further 200 points).

► Rate cut expectations remain muted as the Fed meeting minutes show that FOMC members were more divided between a smaller 25bp rate cut and a 50bp cut than the already known vote suggested – which showed that only Governor Michelle Bowman voted in favor of 25bp. The minutes of the meeting suggest that several members would also have supported a 25bp interest rate cut.

► In addition, we are seeing a significantly stronger USD today (as we expected/traded), higher yields and a strong build-up in US crude oil inventories – all headwinds for oil.

► Furthermore, the risk premium has fallen significantly today as concerns over an Israeli attack on Iranian oil facilities have diminished.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader⚠️ The November-Futures Contract is currently $0.50 above spot price

position code / 100% Transparenz - 24100905A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: ~60 (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

📈📈🛢7️⃣3️⃣📉📉

As a SmartTrader VIP you will receive ALL trading signals and updates WITHOUT DELAY.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

09 Oct 2024 17:29

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
FedEx (FDX) 🇺🇸
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 266.80 - 266.97
OR
TP ✅ @: 266.87

FedEx was certainly not on traders' radars today (or not at first at least) - but it is one of the top performers today. FedEx is now up 2.15% and is well into profit for us. A textbook NYSE opening trade. Congratulations!

The price has just reached the TP 266.83 for me. You can close a bit better.

We remain SHORT in (VIP ONLY).


———

We continue to trade all asset classes better than anyone else in the world (short-term / intra-day). Please share some of your absurd profits with people in need ❤️

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

11 Oct 2024 16:29

Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 20308.30 (hit) / for me actually at 20308.90

We don't want to be too greedy here - if you're still in - best to close 20315 - 20340 soon.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

11 Oct 2024 15:56

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 222.39 (I already closed at 221.53)
OR
CLOSE SOON ✅ @: 222.20 - 222.50

We made the best NYSE opening trade with JPM and secure huge profits. JPM is now nearly 5% (!) higher - which is a lot for a bank.

You can either close or work with a tight TP (tight SL).

Congratulations!

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

11 Oct 2024 15:40

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) ❓ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

► We saw no-surpise PPI data that in particular with yesterday's CPI data will be likely fully disregarded. Consumer sentiment data (VIP ONLY), however, expectations are high.

► Slightly hotter CPI while PPI shows a different picture - could also be seen as a slowing corporate demand which is generally a sign of upcoming economic weakness (although PPI data is very solid here - it's really nothing that it really tells you).

► However, the Fed will now continue to work with yesterday's elevated inflation data and slight signs that the labor market may cool. The whole data picture remains very mixed and will be confusing (VIP ONLY) ...

► We are now positioning (VIP ONLY) (we are still SHORT in the DAX - we work with a wide SL as we expect some profit taking towards the end of European / US trading) (VIP ONLY) short-term (VIP ONLY) here(VIP ONLY) expecting slight (VIP ONLY) in early US trading / potentially (VIP ONLY) ...

► We see Tesla weighing heavily on the Nasdaq 100 after a rather unimpressive robotaxi reveal - (VIP ONLY) much downside here with Tesla (VIP ONLY). We see (VIP ONLY) ...

► We set a TP (VIP ONLY) ...

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4.5- 6.5 (450% - 650%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100)

position code / 100% transparency - 24101102A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑

✔️ 5 - 12 non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
✔️ REAL success rate of 83+ % in the last 24+ months
✔️ Account manager by your side every step of the way
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✔️ You can start completely FREE of charge

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

11 Oct 2024 14:21

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW* 🔽 (VIP ONLY)/USD

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

► There is not much to trade here at the moment – with very mixed economic data, a market in sideways movement and investors confused and unsure how the Fed will view the latest data updates – because the Fed is now also in a phase where it will be very data-dependent in light of the recent Fed pivot.

► Investors are now awaiting the producer price figures, which will be released in about 40 minutes, after yesterday's data showed signs of accelerating inflation again, but also a sharp increase in applications for unemployment benefits, underscoring the challenge for the Fed.

► We are seeing slightly falling markets, with the China upturn also continuing. Markets in mainland China closed significantly lower today.

► We see (VIP ONLY)/USD above levels seen before yesterday's CPI number – and partly supported by the robustness of (VIP ONLY) and (VIP ONLY).

► However, we expect a worsening of risk sentiment towards the end of today's trading day, a continued demand for USD and rising expectations that the Fed will now be very cautious about further rate cuts. We also see some weakness in (VIP ONLY) – (VIP ONLY). (VIP ONLY) was supported by (VIP ONLY) which made it difficult for(VIP ONLY), I expect that the Fed will also acknowledge the risk of a return of inflation, especially if it cuts rates.

► Here we find an entry – range (VIP ONLY)* (or we can use the volatility during PPI, which could provide an entry opportunity at (VIP ONLY)). We expect a little more headwind for the pair and that the (VIP ONLY)/USD will move back towards (VIP ONLY).

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...

position code / 100% transparency - 24101101A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

💵🎯

🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
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🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 23:51

✅ 9.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.30743)
✴️ 9.10 - CVX - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 151.78 | TP ✅ @: 148.11
✅ 9.10 - FDX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 266.87)
✅ 9.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP- 2615.84 me|or TP-2616.23)
✴️ 9.10 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 75.711 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 72.561 🔄

3/5 - (2 open positions)

TODAY :

✅ 10.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 148.993 | or clsd 148.850+) 📸
✅(✴️) 10.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2620.23 f. me | or 2616 - 2621 | or open*) 📸
👉 *TP ✅ @: 2620.11
✅ 10.10 - US30 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 42433.20) 📸
✅ 10.10 - AMZN - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 187.16) 📸
✴️ 10.10 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 20368.60 | TP ✅ @: 20218.60
✴️ 10.10 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 19012.60

4/6 - (2 open positions)


A very difficult day to trade today. However, had I known the actual outcome of the CPI data ahead of time (which we predicted very well), I would have traded it very similarly - possibly even lower LONG in the USD. We might have been able to trade the USD better against the EUR here - as the JPY benefited a bit from the general worries about the outlook for the global economy after some mixed data. Nevertheless, our USD/JPY 📸 closed solid in the money.

I'm a little surprised at how strong the markets were today. Obviously a lot was already priced in and the shadow expectations for the CPI were rather on the hot side.

Our oil exposure is too high here (for many of you, WTI and possibly CVX have already closed out of the money) - the combination of increased concerns over the Middle East situation as well as the damage from Hurricane Milton were quite supportive for oil today - despite the stronger USD and the further diminished chance that the Fed can cut rates as quickly as investors hope. Please update SL / TP if you are still SHORT in WTI. If you have not closed gold clearly in the money despite the many opportunities - please also set a TP that is not too wide (I also made a re-entry 📸 (at 2627.87), which I have already closed, both times in the SL).

Especially important today was staying calm and secure with SLs. Otherwise, congratulations - it was a real minefield today - we have come through it well - at least so far... Your Robert

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 22:43

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 20368.60
TP ✅ @: 20218.60

DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
TP ✅ @: 19012.60

Certainly surprising how robust stocks were today - given fundamental headwinds and also certainly increased uncertainty (especially regarding Fed rate outlook and whether the phase of disinflation came to an end in the US).

We set a tight TP for our Nasdaq 100 position as we prefer to be SHORT in Europe - which is also facing more headwinds from the higher oil prices and the fading China optimism. Concerns about the US economy and longer restrictive monetary policy further reduces the potential support that European markets will receive in the medium term (from Wall Street).

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 18:58

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
USD/JPY
SL 🔑 @: 148.417
TP ✅ @: 148.993
OR
CLOSE SOON ✅ @: 148.850 - 148.950

Our USD/JPY position is back in the money (some of you have closed out anyway, deep in the money, when the pair broke out upwards).

We can even extend the TP a little. The USD remains supported. Analysts will soon understand that the Fed can no longer say that the focus remains on full support for the labor market, especially if there is a risk of a resurgence in inflation.

We limit possible losses. Alternatively, you can close with slight profits here.

We still see a strange market today - especially the strength of Wall Street is surprising.


ℹ️ As always, we stayed calm and didn't chase the market, instead understanding the mispricing and trusting our analysis. It is precisely this quality that sets our performance apart from that of other traders/investors. We trust and understand the data and correlations - that is the crucial difference.


———

Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑

✔️ 5 - 12 non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
✔️ REAL success rate of 83+ % in the last 24+ months
✔️ Account manager by your side every step of the way
✔️ Access to our community - connect with other members
✔️ You can start completely FREE of charge

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 16:39

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Dow Jones (US30)  🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 42433.20

Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 187.16
TP ✅ @: 185.57

Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 151.78
TP ✅ @: 148.11

We expected Amazon to hit resistance at 188.00 - what a prediction. We secure profits. Our position is deep in profit.

We also set a not too wide TP for our Dow Jones. We expect more profit taking soon - but may find better assets to benefit from it as we see gains in the defensive sectors (health in particular).

We limit losses now for CVX (in case you are still in).

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 15:37

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: 2610.31 (or wider)

We see a market / analysts slowly digesting (potentially understanding) the recent batch of data.

We can set a TP. You can also work with an in-profit SL. Our gold SHORT is already well in profit.


⏱️ Update DELAYED by: ~10 (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 15:02

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
USD/JPY
TP ✅ @: 148.947


⏱️ Update DELAYED by: ~10 (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️


We stay 100% calm.

We are well positioned here with CPI data putting further upside pressure on yields.

We set a TP for our USD/JPY as we still see a mixed reaction in the USD and yields, showing that much was already priced in. However, the CPI data is not fed-friendly.

Initial jobless claims, however, show now signs of some headwinds for the US labor market (after recent very strong labor market data) - which is also a reason for a bit of a mixed reaction. While the Fed said the focus is now on the labor market - I believe that it will shift now back towards making sure inflation is not re-accelerating.

⏱️ Update DELAYED by: ~10 (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 14:28

🚨 US CPI data in 3 Minutes

LIVE TRADING SESSION -> in VIP Channel ⚡️

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Oct 2024 11:33

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Thursday, October 10

❗️ Stocks in Europe / Wall Street slips slightly as investors await US consumer prices data

► European stocks traded slightly lower as investors awaited key US inflation data. The Stoxx 600 index declined by a little over 0.15%, following the S&P 500’s record close in the previous session, led by tech. French Prime Minister Michel Barnier is set to present budget details aimed at curbing deficits and reassuring bond markets. Investors are closely watching the unfolding geopolitical situation, especially tensions between Israel and Iran, which has kept markets on edge.

► US equity futures showed little movement ahead of the highly anticipated consumer price index (CPI) release. In the previous session, the Dow and S&P 500 hit record highs, driven by gains in healthcare, technology, and industrial sectors. The USD strengthened amid the expectation of inflation data that shows a slowdown in disinflation. Minutes from the Fed’s last meeting revealed a divide among officials, with some favoring gradual rate cuts. Traders are expecting inflation data to confirm a moderation in price pressures, which could support smaller interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in upcoming meetings. However, strong job growth data from last week is causing some to question whether the Fed will cut rates at all next month.

► Asian markets mostly rose, with Japan’s Nikkei up 0.25%, extending its gains from Wall Street’s overnight rally. Chinese stocks were slightly down after a recent retreat, despite a CNY 500 billion swap facility aimed at boosting liquidity. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index surged 3%, bouncing back from prior losses, supported also by tech gains in New York. Consumer inflation expectations in Australia also eased, further supporting market optimism in the region.

► WTI Crude oil edged higher, trading near $73.7/barrel (spot price; $74.3 for Nov'24 contract), as traders monitored Middle East tensions and awaited the next move from Israel after recent missile strikes by Iran. Concerns about an escalation of the conflict have now caused oil prices to rise again. Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu spoke for the first time in weeks on Wednesday in anticipation of an imminent Israeli strike on Iran, which Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said would be "deadly, precise and surprising". Gold rose 0.25% after reaching support in the $2.601 - $2.605 range yesterday (as predicted by our chief analyst) and came under pressure from a stronger USD and higher yields.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇦🇺 Consumer Inflation Expectations - 00:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 Retail Sales - 06:00 (released: 🟢)
♦️ 🇺🇸 Inflation Rate / CPI - 12:30 ❗️

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Progressive (PGR) 🇺🇸
☀️ Fast Retailing (FRCOY) 🇯🇵
☀️ Seven & I (SVNDY) 🇯🇵
☀️ Delta Air Lines (DAL) 🇺🇸
☀️ Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) 🇺🇸

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

09 Oct 2024 22:52

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 29.08 - 02.10 (26 trading days)

120 / 130 = 92.3% 🏆 Success Rate 📈

(August 28 - 5/7 = 71.4% SR dropped out)

✅ 3.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19814.40)
❌ 3.10 - GM - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 46.41 or lower/earlier)
✅ 3.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2640.16)
✅ 3.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19823.40)
✅ 3.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19743.30)

4/5 = 80% Success Rate

✅ 4.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 148.279 f. me|or TP - 148.349)
✅ 4.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 20019.40)
✅ 4.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2648.61)
✅ 4.10 - BAC - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40.39 f. me|or clsd 40.27+)
✅ 4.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (CLSD - 42203.90 or 42200+)
(✅ 4.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2648.61 | +re-entry))
✅ 4.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP-1.30652 f. me|TP-1.30637)

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate (not incl. re-entry)

✅ 7.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2642.67 | or TP - 2648.61)
✅ 7.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2645.86)
✅ 7.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 42246.90) 🔄
✅ 7.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2647.67)
✅ 7.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.30808) 🔄

5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate


We are making a huge leap forward from an already absolutely impossible level... from a probably already world-record-breaking success rate of 91% to (!) 92.3% ‼️‼️‼️ over more than 130 intraday trades.

There are no words that can in any way describe our performance in the last few weeks / months / this year. I have been active in the financial market for almost 20 years - that is truly unique. I am also very interested in sports, records, history... and I don't know of any other record in the world of sports for instance that is so clearly above anything you could even consider possible ... it's really incredible, I can't describe it any other way 👏

We lost 10 out of 130 (!) trades in the period 29.08 - 02.10 - we never close for micro profits, we trade all asset classes, this was during the chaotic fluctuations and sideways markets and we have a fairly even ratio of LONGs / SHORTs...

Share it with the world, share it with other communities, with your friends and family, with the world - we would be very happy. Otherwise, of course, CONGRATULATIONS! ... We are writing trading history here - TOGETHER.

92.3 (!) %

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

09 Oct 2024 19:19

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
GBP/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.30743
TP ✅ @: 1.30611

We see significant gains for the USD today (with the DXY up more than 0.3% today) supported also by rising yields, strong US economic data, expectations that the Fed has no rush to cut rates (with also tomorrow's US CPI data more likely to indicate slowing disinflation instead of accelerating disinflation).

We found a beautiful entry into the GBP/USD and secure profits now.


———

✅ 19.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 19.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 25.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 26.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 27.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 30.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 4.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (~200 pips profit!)
✅ 4.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 7.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅(✴️) 9.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL in Profit) 📸

10/10 = 100% Success Rate

Congratulations - we now won 10 FX trades in a row and continue to benefit strongly from the ongoing USD (re-)strengthening..

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

09 Oct 2024 17:08

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2612.27
TP ✅ @: 2616.23

What a crazy entry again, just before the rebound.

You can extend our TP slightly.

Again - near perfect timing (and again against the market) 🎯