๐น OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days ๐น
โ
6.1 - GER_40 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 20183.40 me | or 20093.30 / CLSD 20170+)
โ
6.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 1.03667)
โ
6.1 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 21688.30 |or CLSD 21650+)
โ
6.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 1.03576)
โ
6.1 - FRA_40 - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 7423.70| overall in profit | +re-entry) ๐๐ธ
5/5 = 100% ๐ Success Rate
โ
7.1 - UKOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 76.42 | or 75.97) ๐๐ธ
โด๏ธ 7.1 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
๐ SL ๐ @: 20986.30 (or wider) ๐ |TP โ
@: 21438.90 ๐
โด๏ธ 7.1 - BAC - LONG โ๏ธ (open - slightly in-profit)
๐ TP โ
@: 46.48 ๐
โ(โด๏ธ*) 7.1 - AMZN - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 220.27|*still open f. me) ๐
โ
7.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP- 1.03501 me|or 1.03450+)
โ
7.1 - NVDA - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 142.96) ๐
3/6 - (2 open positions)
*My position is still open because I did not tighten the SL after opening - and Amazon then never hit 220.27 again after the short dip (only 220.28!) / is still considered LOSS
๐น TODAY'S TRADES ๐น
โ
8.1 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 2666.43) ๐ธ
โ
8.1 - GBP/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 1.23439) ๐ธ
โ
(โด๏ธ) 8.1 - KO - LONG โ๏ธ (open - SL in profit)
๐ SL ๐ @: 61.37 | TP โ
@: 61.76
โ
8.1 - GBP/CAD - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 1.77747) ๐ธ
โด๏ธ 8.1 - GBP/CAD - LONG โ๏ธ (open - just-entered)
๐ TP โ
@: 1.78183
โด๏ธ 8.1 - AMD - LONG โ๏ธ (open - just-entered / in profit)
4/6 - (3 open positions)
We have been trading today's chaotic market incredibly well. It's hard to find the right words to describe how accurately we are trading right now - with Forex, Indices, Gold, Oil - all with a success rate of over 90% in the last 30+ trading days.
My AMZN position is still open (SL ๐ @: 220.27 | TP โ
@: 224.13), so it's missing in the screenshot (closed positions only) - you'll likely see it on Friday. It may be that your SL was triggered โ it made a short mini-dip. Since we never polish our success rate, we of course consider this a LOSS.
On the other hand, we made great profits and found perfect entries against the market. We can be proud of our exceptional asset selection (picking) - including our gold long - when it looked fundamentally more like a short position, or Coca-Cola, which turned around in a range after one of the worst 4-5 months for the beverage giant, as we expected.
From me and the entire SmartTrader team - we are very happy that you are with us and we thank you for your daily motivation and kind messages. We trade every day, every week, every month at a level that sometimes leaves us speechless and is certainly unrivalled worldwide - especially over such long periods.
The most important thing in trading is consistency.
SmartTrader is a project close to my heart - my working days are never shorter than 15 hours - I don't claim that trading is easy, there are no simple strategies or some magical patterns (anyone who claims that is a fraud) it takes an extremely large amount of work to trade at this level (even if it sometimes just looks like a few clicks to you) - but together we are unbeatable ๐ค
We are tightening the TP for our Nasdaq 100 position. You can also easily limit possible losses with an SL just below the key level of 21000.
Your Robert ๐ค
โก๏ธ RAPID VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW๐ผ (VIP ONLY) ๐บ๐ธ
โบ We saw stabilizing markets today (with the Nasdaq at around 21200 - as we expected) ahead of tomorrow when the markets will remain closed. Both the NYSE and NASDAQ will remain closed tomorrow for trading in US equities and options, the day of national mourning for former and recently deceased US President Jimmy Carter.
โบWhile the risk of a sell-off remains very real and we see cautious trading, Wall Street is supported by a strong revenue growth outlook, a robust US economy and consumer demand, and expectations of further AI-driven revenue growth ((VIP ONLY) will get a slice of the gigantic AI server chips pie)
โบ We are buying today's sharp drop in (VIP ONLY) (which also provides a great buying opportunity for long-term holders) with a small position that we intend to hold a little longer (including next week).
โบ We expect support and buying near (and especially below) $(VIP ONLY) (increased dip buying in the 120.00 - 121.50 area). We buy here at ~ 121.25.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
position code / 100% Transparency - 25010806A
โฑ๏ธ Signal DELAYED by: 7๏ธโฃ+ (!) minutes! โ ๏ธโ ๏ธ
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โก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐ฏ
Coca-Cola (KO) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 61.14
TP โ
@: 61.63
GBP/USD
SL ๐ @: 1.77747
TP โ
@: 1.78039
Congratulations - what a special trade, amazing stock picking in a very mixed market. Coca-Cola has seen a dramatic sell-off since September. We made a very good dip purchase today near the absolute bottom and identified the turn-around range perfectly.
Our GBP/CAD entry was also amazing - and is now our 14th successful FX trade in a row.
PS: I traded Coca-Cola here very small. Also trading GBP/CAD same trade size (2) as the GBP/USD makes the position much smaller due to the Canadian's weakness vs. the USD.
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 7๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
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โโโ
Congratulations - we now won1๏ธโฃ4๏ธโฃ FX-Trades in a row.
โ
SmartTrader is the ONLY trustworthy and 100% transparent trading community / signal provider in the world.
โ๏ธ CONTACT US: @SmartTrader_Onboarding ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช
โ๏ธ Enter ยปStartยซ
Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) ๐ข (spot)
TP triggered โ
@: 76.42 | or 75.97
Also our Brent position hit our (too tight) TP at 76.42 (or if you didn't tightened even the initial one at 75.97). The strength of oil prices were a bit of a phenomenon given the ongoing strong economic weakness of Europe & most of Asia (in particular China - although China shows signs of improvement).
We can expect that the US under Trump (and US oil & gas giants also outside of the US) will further increase production in 2025. Saudi Arabia will not accept to lose further market share and thus accept the role that the OPEC+ has now less power in influencing the global oil prices.
If you are still SHORT - you can close significantly better - range โ
75.75- 75.85 - we expect temporary support near 75.80 (which is about 76.00 for the March contract).
The March'25 contract is about $0.20 higher than the spot price.
โโ
Amazon hit our SL. We see the Nasdaq still hovering around the 21200 as expected with also Nvidia still finding support (for now) at $140.00 - Nvidia saw as we expecte resistance in the range 143.00 - 144.00 - we closed very well. We found a beautiful entry into Coca-Cola.
โ
01.11 - USOIL - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
07.11 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
12.11 - UKOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
13.11 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
19.11 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
02.12 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
03.12 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
05.12 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
09.12 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
10.12 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
13.12 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
17.12 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
20.12 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 03.01 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
07.01 - UKOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ ๐ธ
14/15 = 93.3% Success Rate
We had little bad luck with our previous WTI position - which was only oil trade we lose since November 1st. We can assume that nobody sold the spikes better than us over the past 2+ months.
Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ
TP triggered โ
@: 2666.43
Very, very tough gold trade that started with a severe bear trap (but understandably following a surge in the USD and higher yields). We understood that these fundamentals are less important than the increased safe haven demand. But I understand that probably 95% of the fundamental traders lost money here - this was a very tough trade to make.
A tough trade with a great TP (although I expect gold to test the 2669 - 2670 range) - congratulations!
If you are still in - I see only a short-term correction here - you can still close in the range 2666.00 - 2669.90
โฑ๏ธ Update is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 5๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
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โโโ-
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๐ป Vantage (๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
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๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ GBP/USD
TP โ
@: (VIP ONLY)
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 2๏ธโฃ5๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
Recommended Entry Range โ
1.23190 - 1.23240
โบ The US labor market data was now rather mixed: the ADP employment figures showed a fairly small increase in new hires, while initial jobless claims showed no signs of an increase in unemployment.
โบ As the USD surged after Trump's renewed warning of tariffs, we see room for a short-term correction in USD strength, especially now that the data does not show any overheating of the US labor market (but also no obvious weakness).
โบ In the short term, we are buying GBP/USD, which is trading around 1.25% lower today and is at a multi-month low (lowest level since April 2024). While there is more downside potential in the medium term, we see an overreaction in the short term - after yesterday's strong US economic data also boosted inflation expectations.
โบ We are trading completely against the market here (as so often) - but expect support towards the key 1.23000 level also due to a calming of the market (which will benefit the risk-sensitive GBP).
position code / 100% Transparency - 25010802A
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 2๏ธโฃ5๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
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โโโ
โ ๏ธ IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND:
Nobody trades Forex at our level / success rate in short-term (intraday) trading - not even close. Especially since we NEVER close for micro profits but trade fully fundamentally and thus look for mispricing (= exploit statistical arbitrage).
We not only win around 90% of our forex trades - we also win significantly larger positions on average than most forex traders and again NEVER (!) try to artificially increase our success rate with such โfake scam tricks like TP1, TP2 etc.โ.
โ PLEASE DO NOT TRUST ANY BLENDER / FAKE EXPERTS THAT YOU FIND ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ALSO HERE ON TELEGRAM. You can only trust SmartTrader (but please be skeptical!) โ ๏ธโ ๏ธโ ๏ธ
Our Forex trades are in fact pure money printing. Please always share some of your profits with people in need โค๏ธ
CAC 40 (FRA_40) ๐ซ๐ท
TP triggered โ
@: 7423.70
European stocks saw some selling following another round of poor economic data and more importantly breaking news that US President-elect Donald Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency in order to legally secure the introduction of comprehensive universal tariffs. Trump is increasing the pressure on global trade including against neighbors Canada and Mexico. It also gives another glimpse on what we can expect under a Trump presidency.
If you are still SHORT in the CAC - it's best to close now (range 7400 - 7420) or at our (very well set TP).
Our overall position closed now well in profit - Congratulations!
โฑ๏ธ Update is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 2๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
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โโ-
โ
09.12 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
11.12 - FRA_40 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
12.12 - FRA_40 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
16.12 - FRA_40 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
17.12 - GER_40 - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
17.12 - AUS_200 - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
18.12 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 18.12 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
19.12 - FRA_40 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
19.12 - GBR_100 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
19.12 - GBR_100 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
19.12 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
20.12 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
02.01 - GER_40 - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
02.01 - GBR_100 - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
03.01 - FRA_40 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
06.01 - GER_40 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
06.01 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
06.01 - FRA_40 - SHORT โ๏ธ (+Re-entry) ๐ธ
18/19 = 94.7% Success Rate
โด๏ธ 07.01 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (+Re-entry)
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๐ป Vantage (๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ NAGA (๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ Libertex (๐ช๐บ๐)
๐น OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days ๐น
โ
3.1 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 2652.43)
โ 3.1 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 74.02)
โ
(โ/โ
*) 3.1 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 2645.93 | or SL & re-entry* | +re-entry) ๐๐ธ
โ
3.1 - MSFT - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 423.43)
โ
3.1 - META - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 609.37 +pos. slippage)
โ
3.1 - FRA_40 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 7334.70)
5/6 = 83.3% Success rate
โ
6.1 - GER_40 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 20183.40 me | or 20093.30 / CLSD 20170+)
โ
6.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 1.03667)
โ
6.1 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 21688.30 |or CLSD 21650+)
โ
6.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 1.03576) ๐
โด๏ธ 6.1 - FRA_40 - SHORT โ๏ธ (open - near break-even | +re-entry)
๐ SL ๐ @: 7508.30 ๐ | TP โ
@: 7423.70 ๐
4/5 - (1 open position)
๐น TODAY'S TRADES ๐น
โด๏ธ 7.1 - UKOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ (open - near break-even)
๐ TP โ
@: 76.42 ๐
โด๏ธ 7.1 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
๐ TP โ
@: 21597.90
โด๏ธ 7.1 - BAC - LONG โ๏ธ (open - break-even)
โด๏ธ 7.1 - AMZN - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
โ
7.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP- 1.03501 me|or 1.03450+) ๐ธ
โด๏ธ 7.1 - NVDA - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐ TP โ
@: 144.59
1/6 - (5 open positions)
Strong US economic and labor market data combined with ongoing concerns that Trump could take inflationary measures caused rate cut expectations to fall sharply today and pushed yields to a more than 8-month high, leading to some profit-taking. Initial profit taking, particularly in yesterday's top performers - especially Nvidia - then led to some panic selling.
We saw many good entry opportunities in US equities, but also in Bitcoin and other risk assets, for example - but we do not want to position ourselves excessively pro risk here.
The CAC was surprisingly resilient today - benefiting from the opposite of what we have seen in the US: rather weak economic data and (today) signs that inflation in France will remain at or below 2% for longer, which maintains expectations that the ECB will cut rates further.
We have made outstanding forex trades today (and in recent weeks). We could have closed our Gold position much deeper in profit today, but Gold triggered our slightly too tight TP in early European trading. We saw a resilient gold price today, especially given the stronger USD and higher yields - another sign of today's cautious trade buying gold as a classic safe haven. If your gold position hit the SL on Monday's dip - then you closed one negative and one positive gold trade instead.
We expect headwinds for oil prices and European / Asian equities in early Asian trading - we update our Brent TP and work with a not too tight TP for our CAC position + tighten our SL.
It is important to recognize that today's selling in the US is not due to weakness in the US economy, but to ongoing concerns about high interest rates, which are primarily a product of a very robust US economy.
โก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐ฏ
EUR/USD
CLOSE NOW โ
@: 1.03450 - 1.03500
OR
TP โ
@: 1.03487 (or a bit wider)
We saw wild swings in the USD today. I see more USD upside in the near-term with also yields significantly higher (at multi months' high today). However, I prefer to close here with a nice profit near / at 1.03500 before spreads rise. Alternatively you can work with a wider TP (near 1.03350).
It's likely we'll see further USD strength tomorrow - but we can probably find a re-entry at / above 1.03700 as traders are still buying the pair below 1.04000.
My position just hit the TP โ
at 1.03501 - you can close a bit better.
โฑ๏ธ Update is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 1๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโโ
We won more than 90% of our FX trades in the past 120 days and more than 95% of our FX trades over the past 50 days.
I want to congratulate us - as we very likely traded FX better than anyone else over the past 60+ days (in terms of success rate, average ROI & pips in profit per trade with a holding period of less than 48h in average). At the same time, we understand that other people probably work more than a year for the profits we make in 30 - 90 days of forex trading. Please share some of your profits with people in need โค๏ธ
โ
14.11 - GBP/CAD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
14.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
15.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
18.11 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
18.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
19.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
20.11 - GBP/CHF - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
22.11 - EUR/CHF - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
27.11 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
28.11 - EUR/CAD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
03.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 04.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
06.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
13.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
16.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
18.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
18.12 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (+Re-entry)
โ
23.12 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
02.01 - AUD/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (overall in profit | +Re-entry)
โ
06.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
06.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
07.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
23/24 = 95.8% Success Rate
(*clickable = 100% transparency)
๐ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
SELL NOW ๐ฝ (VIP ONLY)/USD
TP โ
@: (VIP ONLY)
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 6๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes!
Recommended Entry โ
near (VIP ONLY)
โบ We (VIP ONLY)/USD and (VIP ONLY). The pair has corrected sharply after initial gains, but is โonlyโ down (VIP ONLY)% for today.
โบ We have seen another round of strong US economic data (from the services sector) and much higher than expected JOLTs job openings data - a signal that companies are optimistic and trying to (re)hire. The high number of job openings suggests that the US labor market is tightening again, which would generally lead to higher wage inflation.
โบ The Fed wants to keep inflation in check while ensuring maximum employment. Given the signs of a (still) strong labor market, the focus will tend to be on avoiding a renewed acceleration in inflation.
โบ We see the USD making further gains today as US yields rise. The yield on key 10-year US Treasuries is now approaching 4.70% (for the first time since the end of April 2024, when yields briefly rose above 4.7%) Higher yields have created some headwinds for growth stocks.
position code / 100% transparency - 25010705A
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 6๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโ-
VERY IMPORTANT:
DON'T MISS OUT ON OUR FX TRADES
unless you love to miss out on profits ๐คช
โ
14.11 - GBP/CAD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
14.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
15.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
18.11 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
18.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
19.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
20.11 - GBP/CHF - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
22.11 - EUR/CHF - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
27.11 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
28.11 - EUR/CAD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
03.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 04.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
06.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
13.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
16.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
18.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
18.12 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (+Re-entry)
โ
23.12 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
02.01 - AUD/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (overall in profit | +Re-entry)
โ
06.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
06.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
22/23 = 95.7% (!) Success Rate
โด๏ธ 07.01 - โ/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
Our Forex trades remain a pure money printing machine ๐ฐ.
We likely traded Forex better than anyone else (in short-term trading) over the past 3+ months.
โก๏ธ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE ๐ฏ
Nasdaq (US100) ๐บ๐ธ
TP โ
@: 21597.90
We are now pulling the TP downwards because we are seeing significant profit-taking a little earlier (than expected; but also following strong US economic data causing yields and the USD to rise and rate cut expectations to fall) after the Nasdaq fell below 21400 - there is profit-taking, especially in some chip stocks such as Broadcom, which shows that we are not seeing broad buying in the tech sector. However, most of the losses are due to Nvidia, which slipped back into negative territory after a strong opening.
You can buy a small BUY position in the ๐ผ Nasdaq (US100) ๐บ๐ธ (now even below 21300 ๐)
โก๏ธ RAPID SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ (VIP ONLY) ๐บ๐ธ
Recommended Entry Range โ
(VIP ONLY)
โบ I see (VIP ONLY) in an excellent position for strong growth in 2025, benefiting from the rapidly growing demand for (VIP ONLY) solutions. (VIP ONLY) is the market leader in this segment and benefits not only from strong growth rates but also from further margin increases.
โบ We liked (VIP ONLY) before the opening โ but not the entry price โ and are now buying the more than (VIP ONLY)% dip (VIP ONLY) ...
โบ Strong US economic data โ in particular the large number (more than expected) of job openings โ has also pushed up the USD, thereby temporarily creating pressure on Wall Street.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...
position code / 100% transparency - 25010704A
โฑ๏ธ Update is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 3๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโโ
We find a great entry here into (VIP ONLY) ๐บ๐ธ and the Nasdaq (US100) ๐บ๐ธ.
โโ DON'T MISS OUT โโ
โ๏ธ CONTACT US FOR FAST VIP ACCESS:
@SmartTrader_Onboarding ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐ธ
๐ฐ UPDATE SIGNAL ๐ฏ
STAY SHORT / SELL NOW ๐ฝ CAC 40 (FRA_40) ๐ซ๐ท
SL ๐ @: (VIP ONLY)
TP โ
@: 7423.80
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 6๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
Recommended Entry Range โ
7499 - 7509
โบ Eurozone inflation data did not come in hotter-than-expected - which shows that the surprising acceleration in German inflation is mainly due to rising prices in Germany (higher food & energy costs). French inflation is also rising slightly, but shows no warning signs. The hope of ECB interest rate cuts remains and is responsible for the current outperformance in Europe.
โบ I agree with this view, although the ECB will also remain on the path of reducing borrowing costs due to the ongoing economic weakness and declining demand (particularly from China). Construction/real estate companies lead the CAC after construction data was slightly less bad than feared (Unibail-Rodamco up more than 3% / construction giant Vinci up 1.5%). The important luxury sector also recorded significant gains in Paris.
โบ The CAC ran hot here. We are not seeing any tailwind from New York at the moment either - with trading currently restrained (although I still see Wall Street in good shape). The gains in New York yesterday were led by tech/chip/AI stocks.
โบ We are now working with a tight SL, but expect resistance for the CAC above 7500 (especially towards 7520 - 7525). We are also updating our TP.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 9 - 11 (900% - 1,100%) trading the CAC 40 (FRA_40).
position code / 100% transparency - 25010605B
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 6๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
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โโโ
๐ซ๐ท7๏ธโฃ5๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ5๏ธโฃ๐
NO DELAY (in SmartTrader VIP) โฐโ
NO DELAY (in SmartTrader VIP) โฐโ
NO DELAY (in SmartTrader VIP) โฐโ
โ๏ธ CONTACT US FOR FAST VIP ACCESS:
@SmartTrader_Onboarding ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐ธ
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง Halifax House Price Index - 07:00 (released: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ซ๐ท Inflation Rate / CPI - 07:45 (released: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ HCOB Construction PMI - 08:30 (released: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ซ๐ท HCOB Construction PMI - 08:30 (released: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ช HCOB Construction PMI - 08:30 (released: ๐ก)
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น HCOB Construction PMI - 08:30 (released: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น Unemployment Rate - 09:00 (released: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง S&P Global Construction PMI - 09:30 (released: ๐ด)
โฆ๏ธ ๐ช๐บ Inflation Rate / CPI - 10:00 (released: ๐ก)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ Unemployment Rate - 10:00 (released: ๐ก)
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น Inflation Rate / CPI - 10:00 (released: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐จ๐ฆ Balance of Trade - 13:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Balance of Trade - 13:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ JOLTs Job Openings - 15:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ API Crude Oil Stock Change - 21:30
๐ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โฆ๏ธ = Event of very high importance
๐ด = Data worse than analysts' expectations
๐ก = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
๐ข = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
No significant earnings reports today
SmartTraderโข Analyst Team & Robert Lindner
๐น OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days ๐น
โ
2.1 - GER_40 - SHORT โ๏ธ (CLSD 19911.55 me|clsd 19901 - 19925)
โ
2.1 - NVDA - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 136.43)
โ
2.1 - AAPL - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 246.49) ๐๐ธ
โด๏ธ 2.1 - AUD/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (open - overall in profit|+re-entry)
๐ TP โ
@: 0.62267๐
โ
2.1 - GBR_100 - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 8221.60)
โ(๐ก) 2.1 - TSLA - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 390.26 | or CLSD 379.50 - 381 break-even)
4/6 - (1 open position)
โ
3.1 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 2652.43)
โ 3.1 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 74.02) ๐๐ธ
โด๏ธ(โ*) 3.1 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit | or in SL - 2617.87 then re-entry in profit)
๐ SL ๐ @: 2617.84 ๐| TP โ
@: 2645.93 ๐
โ
3.1 - MSFT - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 423.43)
โ
3.1 - META - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 609.37 +pos. slippage) ๐๐ธ
โ
3.1 - FRA_40 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 7334.70) ๐๐ธ
4/6 - (1 open position)
๐น TODAY'S TRADES ๐น
โ
6.1 - GER_40 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 20183.40 me | or 20093.30 / CLSD 20170+) ๐ธ
โ
6.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 1.03667) ๐ธ
โ
6.1 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 21688.30 |or CLSD 21650+) ๐ธ
โด๏ธ 6.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (open - near break-even)
๐ TP โ
@: 1.03576 ๐
โด๏ธ 6.1 - FRA_40 - SHORT โ๏ธ (open - near break-even)
๐ TP โ
@: 7362.30 ๐
3/5 - (2 open positions)
First off โ congrats โ we are trading this tricky market to start the year exceptionally well ๐ฏ
Our profits with indices/stocks today (with positioning from the previous week) were extraordinary ๐ especially since we were trading against the market (as we usually are). We are now (temporarily) SHORT in the CAC and tightening our TP. We also closed our Apple position (as desired) in our rather tight TP.
Gold may have hit your SL โ even though I said we wanted to stay LONG and that the USD strength is only temporary โ I should have been more clear about the too-tight SL. However, a possible re-entry (by you) is in profit. We are working with a not-too-wide TP (and SL). We had a bit of bad luck with oil prices, which temporarily got more tailwind from rising natural gas prices.
We made an absolutely stunning EUR/USD trade that closed ~70 pips in profit in a few minutes after entry. Also, our AUD/USD is overall (back) in profit as we hit the perfect re-entry price. We are working with a tight TP for our AUD/USD. We are tightening the TP of our second EUR/USD a bit.
A great day / start to the week and 2025 ๐
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
SELL NOW ๐ฝ CAC 40 (FRA_40) ๐ซ๐ท
TP โ
@: (VIP ONLY)
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 6๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
Recommended Entry Range โ
7410 - 7425
โบ We continue to trade against the market and sell the CAC here which is trading almost 2% higher - slightly lower than the closing price in Paris (currently +1.9% for today at ~7415).
โบ We have made phenomenal index trades today (including our CAC LONG on Friday). Although we still see Wall Street in good shape - a big part of the gains was also due to a Washington Post report that US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plan would be narrower than expected and would only cover critical sectors. Trump called the report โfake newsโ, which provides room for a correction - especially in Europe, which had benefited even more than Wall Street from hopes of fewer tariffs - with export-oriented companies in particular making strong gains today.
โบ We are now selling the CAC_40 and although I generally prefer to be LONG in the current market, we see room for a correction after today's strong rise. I also expect inflation data for the Eurozone to exceed expectations tomorrow - especially as German inflation was well above expectations today.
โบ The CAC is not very technology-dependent - much of the gains in New York today were in the technology sector - while the more defensive Dow Jones is now flat again. There could be further profit-taking in New York, which will also weigh on Europe.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 9 - 11 (900% - 1,100%) trading the CAC 40 (FRA_40).
position code / 100% transparency - 25010605A
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 6๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโโ
๐ซ๐ท๐๐๐โ
Getting started in trading has never been easier:
1๏ธโฃ Join our trading community ๐ค
2๏ธโฃ Receive 5 - 10 trading signals every day ๐
3๏ธโฃ Receive updates on every single trade ๐ฒ
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Become part of the VIP Community, receive full access and NON-DELAYED trading signals:
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๐น FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days ๐น
๐ November 18 - January 8
๐ฏ Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ-
๐ 5 - Week -Performance: 18.11 - 23.12
(= 25 "full" trading days)
Number of Trades/Signals: 124 (incl. 1 open positions: WFC)
Number of Trades Won: 110
Overall REAL Success Rate = 88.7% ๐ฝ
Dropped from statistics: 5/5 - 100% ๐ Success Rate (Nov. 18)
Added to statistics: 3/3 - 100% ๐ Success Rate (Dec. 23)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ The last 5 trading days:
โ
2.1 - GER_40 - SHORT โ๏ธ (CLSD 19911.55 me|clsd 19901 - 19925)
โ
2.1 - NVDA - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 136.43)
โ
2.1 - AAPL - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 246.49)
โ
2.1 - AUD/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 0.62411 | +re-entry)
โ
2.1 - GBR_100 - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 8221.60)
โ(๐ก) 2.1 - TSLA - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 390.26 | or CLSD 379.50 - 381
5/6 = 83.3% Success rate
โ
3.1 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 2652.43)
โ 3.1 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 74.02)
โ
(โ/โ
*) 3.1 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 2645.93 | or SL & re-entry* | +re-entry)
โ
3.1 - MSFT - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 423.43)
โ
3.1 - META - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 609.37 +pos. slippage)
โ
3.1 - FRA_40 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 7334.70)
5/6 = 83.3% Success rate
Our success rate dropped again slightly (by 0.2 percentage points) as November 18 (which fell out of the 25-day statistic and was a 100% ๐ day) was replaced by December 23, on which we โonlyโ made three trades (all of which we won 100% ๐), showing us once again how hard it is to maintain our success rate at this exceptional level in the first place. Also yesterday, a 100% ๐ day was replaced with a 100% ๐ day.
Apart from that, there is nothing new here as all trades were already closed. WFC closed unchanged today, but rose into the green in after-hours trading, similar to BAC, which however already closed higher in regular trading (+0.3%).
โก๏ธ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE ๐ฏ
Coca-Cola (KO) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 61.37
TP โ
@: 61.76
Coca-Cola is now near our TP. We widen our TP slightly and tighten our SL. Coca-Cola was one of the top performers today and is currently up 1.3% for the day. Only (also defensive stock) UnitedHealth outperforms Coca-Cola in the Dow Jones.
What a beautiful trade / timing.
โฑ๏ธ Update is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 4๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโ-
Receive all signals & updates with NO DELAY โฐโ
๐ฅ PU Prime (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ VT Markets (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ง๐ณ๐ฟ๐ช๐บ๐)
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๐ฅ Libertex (๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ GBP/CAD
TP โ
@: (VIP ONLY)
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 4๏ธโฃ5๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
Recommended Entry Range โ
1.77575 - 1.77650
โบ While we often talk here about the economic weakness in Europe and the Eurozone, as well as the slow economic growth in China, it is above all the UK that gives me real crash vibes. Currency and bond markets look very unhealthy today, with the GBP crashing today even though yields have risen to a 16 1/2-year high.
โบ This phenomenon means that the market sees serious fiscal/budgetary problems and distrusts the British economy and budget or solvency as a whole โ this was last seen after the chaotic Truss budget. A market showing this kind of dysfunction is an absolute warning signal for me and can even lead to panic selling โ which makes the problem even worse and possibly causes a national bankruptcy, as the debts become more and more expensive.
โบ In addition, the inflation problem in the UK is currently much more acute than in most of the Western world, including the eurozone and similar to the US, with the exception that the UK economy is in recession.
โบ It is a deadly cocktail we see here. For now, however, we expect markets to normalise โ but these severe budget problems will ultimately end in disaster.
โบ We are buying the oversold GBP against the CAD. The CAD has benefited from Trudeau's resignation, recent high energy prices and the USD strength. The Canadian Parliament is now adjourned until the end of March - not a good time, as Trump takes office in a few days. The opposition parties in Canada have forgotten to consider who should replace Trudeau - so this political instability is not positive for Canada.
โบ I also expect oil prices to cool a bit over the coming sessions. The CAD will also come under pressure from Trump's current rhetoric - something like "Canada could become the 51st state of the USA" and the USA should no longer "finance" Canada / the USA does not need products from Canada as it can produce everything itself etc... Trump will take advantage of the current chaotic situation in Canada, as "good" bullies do.
position code / 100% transparency - 25010204A
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 4๏ธโฃ5๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโโโ
What a beautiful entry - just before the surge ๐ฏ๐
Make sure you NEVER (!) miss out any of our FX trades.
โ
14.11 - GBP/CAD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
14.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
15.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
18.11 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
18.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
19.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
20.11 - GBP/CHF - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
22.11 - EUR/CHF - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
27.11 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
28.11 - EUR/CAD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
03.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 04.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
06.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
13.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
16.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
18.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
18.12 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (+Re-entry)
โ
23.12 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
02.01 - AUD/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (overall in profit | +Re-entry)
โ
06.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
06.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
07.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ
08.01 - GBP/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
24/25 = 96% (!) Success Rate
๐ 08.01 - GBP/CAD - LONG โ๏ธ
๐ฐ NYSE OPENING UPDATE ๐ฏ
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY AFTER NYSE OPENING ๐ผ Coca-Cola (KO) ๐บ๐ธ
TP โ
@: (VIP ONLY)
Recommended entry โ
60.75 - 60.90
We see a flat opening but high volatility (even in pre-market trading).
๐น Nasdaq (0.0%) opens "unchanged", but has shown some volatility in pre-market trading. At the moment, the Nasdaq is hovering around the 21200 mark. The positive opening from Nvidia could help the Nasdaq to recover somewhat, but we cannot expect a bull run today.
๐น Amazon (0.0%) opens flat after the retail and cloud giant saw profit taking alongside other tech and big tech companies. We bought the dip but don't expect any ATHs today - we set our TP at โ
224.13 and limit potential losses SL ๐ @: 220.27.
๐น Bank of America (- 0.2%) opens little changed, but remains bullish. We now set a not too wide TP โ
46.48
๐น Nvidia (+1.2%) was the biggest drag on the Nasdaq 100 yesterday and is now trying to recover. Nvidia strongly outperforms other stocks pre-market. Due to the high volatility, which could trigger profit-taking again, we are definitely tightening our TP here โ
: 142.96
๐น Wells Fargo (+0.15%) opens slightly higher and has a good short and above all medium-term outlook.
โบ We are taking a somewhat defensive approach here and buying a small position in Coca-Cola, which has performed very poorly since September 2024 and is trading at multi-month lows. The beverage giant has faced headwinds mainly due to the strength of weight-loss drugs - but I don't see such a big correlation here, nor such a sharp drop in demand for the Coca-Cola range. In addition, with its market power, Coca-Cola can adapt to changing consumer behavior anyway. At the current price level, I consider Coca-Cola to be attractive for 2025 and one of the best defensive stocks.
โบ We are buying Coca-Cola here near the multi-month low.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~700 - 800 (70,000%-80,000%) when trading the Coca Cola (KO) - 2/3 trade size.
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 4๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
EDIT:
position code / 100% Transparency - 25010803A
โโ-
This signal is ~ 4๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ minutes delayed.
It is extremely important to receive all signals & updates with NO DELAY โฐโ
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๐ป Vantage (๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ NAGA (๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ Libertex (๐ช๐บ๐)
โก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐ฏ
GBP/USD
SL ๐ @: 1.23439
TP โ
@: 1.23719
OR
CLOSE HERE โ
@: 1.23600+
We made the perfect Forex trade here and found the mispricing following the mixed labor market data.
Congratulations and well done! - It is the supreme discipline to trade short-term with fundamental & sentiment analysis and even more so against the market.
PS: You can also widen the TP for our gold position a bit to TP โ
@: 2666.43 ๐ / and work with an in-profit SL. Congratulations as well - a beautiful trade as well.
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ
โ ๏ธ Risk of high volatility
SL ๐ @: (VIP ONLY)
TP โ
@: (VIP ONLY)
Recommended Entry Range โ
2648.50 - 2651.50
โบ The Trump game has started again and is likely to intensify โ especially in the first few weeks/months after Trump takes office. He will put pressure on Europe, Asia and even neighbouring countries (Canada and Mexico), which will drive more capital into the US in the short term. This also carries the risk of over-inflation of assets in the US, which could ultimately lead to a sharp correction.
โบ We are seeing higher yields and a strong USD today, with some currency pairs falling below key levels (e.g. EUR/USD back below 1.03000).
โบ While the Fed's lower rate cut expectations, the strong USD and high yields (which increase the opportunity cost of holding gold) represent a significant headwind for gold, we see a significant safe-haven run that will benefit gold in the short term and will also attract buyers from Asia (also due to a weak CNY and JPY). We also see the flight to safety in the losses of cryptocurrencies and yesterday's sell-off in US growth stocks, which could stabilize later, with Nvidia also finding support (for now) at $140.00.
โบ There is always a risk of profit-taking โ but the prospect of more inflationary pressure from Trump's measures makes commodities more attractive in general.
โบ We set an SL to protect us from a possible short-term massive dip and set the TP at/near the 2025 high.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~0.35 - 0.5 (35% - 50%) when trading gold (XAU/USD) - Please always trade gold with caution and limit losses to a maximum of 2-4% of your account balance per trade.
position code / 100% Transparency - 25010801A
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 3๏ธโฃ5๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโโ
๐ฅ2๏ธโฃ6๏ธโฃ4๏ธโฃ5๏ธโฃ๐2๏ธโฃ6๏ธโฃ6๏ธโฃ5๏ธโฃ
DON'T MISS OUT
โ
11.11 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
19.11 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
20.11 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
21.11 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
25.11 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
02.12 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
03.12 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
03.12 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
04.12 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (+Re-entry)
โ
06.12 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
10.12 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (+Re-entry)
โ
11.12 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 12.12 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (+Re-entry)
โ
18.12 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (+Re-entry)
โ
03.01 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ
03.01 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (+Re-entry)
15/16 = 93.8% Success Rate
๐ 08.01 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
We have won 15 from our last 16 gold trades and thus traded gold in this chaotic time (short-term) more successful than anyone else.
โ
SmartTrader is the ONLY trustworthy and 100% transparent trading community / signal provider in the world.
99 out of 100 ๐ซ - trading channels / signal providers are SCAM โ ๏ธ - SmartTrader is the ONLY trustworthy signal provider where all trades are 100% transparent and based on REAL fundamental and sentiment analysis (no technical analysis mumbo jumbo!).
๐ SmartTrader Insights: Wednesday Markets Wrap ๐
๐ Wednesday, January 8
โ๏ธ Global equities stabilize after Wall Street tech sell-off; Fears about US Inflation & hawkish Fed weigh on sentiment
โบ Futures for European stocks traded slightly higher, with the Euro Stoxx 600 gaining 0.2% despite yesterday's losses in New York. France reported an improvement in its still weak trade balance for November to -โฌ7.1bn, driven by higher energy exports, while Germany reported retail sales growth of 2.5% year-on-year in November - but retail sales showed significant weakness month-on-month (-0.6% vs. +0.5% expected). Additionally, new orders in German industry fell by 5.4% (!) MoM, reflecting the ongoing weakness in the manufacturing sector. European equities are benefiting from a weaker EUR and the continued expectation of further rate cuts by the ECB, with inflation in the Eurozone also showing little sign of dramatic acceleration amid economic weakness. Sentiment among consumers and in industry in the Eurozone has deteriorated further, indicating continued pessimism regarding a short-term economic improvement.
โบ US futures gained slightly, recovering from declines from the previous session that were lead from sharp profit taking in some of the recent outperformers - in particular Nvidia. The S&P 500 fell by over 1.0% on Tuesday, with the Nasdaq dropping 2.0%, as economic data showed inflationary pressures mounting in the services sector as well as signs of tightening labor market. Currently, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 are trading 0.3% and 0.25% higher, respectively. Traders have pushed back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts to the second half of the year. Job openings rose to a six-month high, signaling a tight labor market that complicates the Fed's inflation fight. Treasury yields remained elevated, with the 10-year yield near its highest levels since April, reflecting persistent expectations of high credit costs.
โบ MSCIโs gauge of Asian equities fell by the most in over two weeks, erasing Tuesday's gains. Hong Kongโs Hang Seng Index dropped 0.86%, weighed by fears of rising US tariffs and China's continued economic struggles. Japan's Nikkei traded flat, with consumer confidence dipping to 36.2 in December, while the JPY weakened to 158.2 / USD. South Korea's KOSPI bucked the trend, rising as Samsung shares gained on optimism from Nvidia's support for its memory technology.
โบ Oil prices rose slightly after industry reports indicated a decline in US inventories and WTI crude oil traded above $74.3/barrel (spot price). Commodities are also benefiting from inflation concerns in the US despite higher yields and a stronger USD. The price of gold rose slightly to around $2,653/oz. Bitcoin is trading below $96,000 after recent volatility was pressured by yesterday's risk-off sentiment, expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer and a stronger USD.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ช Factory Orders - 07:00 (released: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ช Retail Sales - 07:00 (released: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ซ๐ท Balance of Trade - 07:45 (released: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ Consumer Confidence - 10:00 (released: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ Economic Sentiment - 10:00 (released: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ Consumer Inflation Expectations - 10:00 (released: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ PPI - 10:00 (released: ๐ก)
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ ADP Employment Change - 13:15
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Initial Jobless Claims - 13:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change - 15:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ FOMC Minutes - 19:00
๐ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โฆ๏ธ = Event of very high importance
๐ด = Data worse than analysts' expectations
๐ก = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
๐ข = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
๐ Jefferies Financial (JEF) ๐บ๐ธ
SmartTraderโข Analyst Team & Robert Lindner
๐น FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days ๐น
๐ November 15 - January 7
๐ฏ Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ-
๐ 5 - Week -Performance: 15.11 - 20.12
(= 25 "full" trading days)
Number of Trades/Signals: 126 (incl. 1 open positions: WFC)
Number of Trades Won: 112
Overall REAL Success Rate = 88.9% ๐ฝ
Dropped from statistics: 6/6 - 100% ๐ Success Rate (Nov. 14)
Added to statistics: 5/5 - 100% ๐ Success Rate (Dec. 20)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ The last 5 trading days:
โ
23.12 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 0.62419)
โ
23.12 - AVGO - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 231.63 |clsd 231.40-232.00+)
โ
23.12 - BTC/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 95248.70)
3/3 = 100% ๐ Success Rate
โ
2.1 - GER_40 - SHORT โ๏ธ (CLSD 19911.55 me|clsd 19901 - 19925)
โ
2.1 - NVDA - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 136.43)
โ
2.1 - AAPL - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 246.49)
โ
2.1 - AUD/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 0.62411 | overall in profit |
+re-entry) ๐
โ
2.1 - GBR_100 - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 8221.60)
โ(๐ก) 2.1 - TSLA - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 390.26 | or CLSD 379.50 - 381 break-even)
5/6 = 83.3% Success rate
Our success rate dropped 0.1 percentage points in our 25 trading day stats, as a flawless "5-out-of-5 day" replaced November 14 - a "6-out-of-6 day" - but again, this shows the level we are trading at.
Otherwise, our AUD/USD closed in the TP today and well in the money overall, thanks to an absolutely perfect re-entry. If you are still SHORT here, you can close even better - sentiment is not great with cautions in the market (very visible also in sharp Bitcoin / growth stocks selling). The high yields after strong US economic data and significantly reduced rate cut expectations are a clear tailwind for the USD - you can likely close in the 0.62050 - 0.62200 range during early Asian trading.
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ Nvidia (NVDA) ๐บ๐ธ
โ ๏ธ increased volatility; 2/3 trading size
TP โ
@: โ
Recommended Entry Range โ
140.70 - 141.20
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 6๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
โบ We don't want to "overtrade", but we certainly don't panic either. The Nasdaq 100 is well in the red for today โ although it was also heavily weighed down by strong profit-taking in Nvidia, which is trading almost 5.5% lower after heavy profit-taking, especially considering that NVDA was trading about 3% higher in pre-market trading. There was also profit-taking in other chip stocks, with a few exceptions, such as my Micron, which remains one of my favourite stocks for 2025.
โบ We are buying a position in Nvidia here. While some investors have been hoping for even more (whatever that may look like), I like what Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang presented in his keynote address at the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas.
โบ Some analysts predict that Nvidia will lose or share its dominance in GenAI Compute in the coming years โ which I absolutely do not see happening. Nvidia is too far ahead and now wants to appeal to private consumers (in the AI area) to (further) expand its potential market and growth potential.
โบ A large part of Nvidia's short-term outlook was production constraints, not a lack of demand. When Blackwell is in full production (which Nvidia has confirmed on multiple occasions), we can expect further massive revenue growth. I don't see Nvidia's competitive moat shrinking and see Nvidia in a great position to play a key role in massive future industries such as AI agents, robotics, autonomous driving, graphics and AI chips for both companies and end users. Nvidia remains the "best" company in the world.
โบ Tech stocks also got some headwinds from higher yields, a stronger USD, lower rate cut expectations and a rare "SELL" rating for Apple. We go LONG here near session lows.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~210- 230 (21,000%- 23,000%) when trading Nvidia (NVDA) - 2/3 trade size.
position code / 100% transparency - 25010706A
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 6๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโ-
๐ค๐ค๐ค๐ค๐๐๐๐โ๐ผ
We found here the PERFECT (๐) entry in Nvidia.
Please make sure you receive all signals & updates with NO DELAY (!!!)
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โก๏ธ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE ๐ฏ
AUD/USD
TP โ
@: 0.62411
OR
CLOSE โ
@: 0.62390 - 0.62440
We saw a surprisingly weak USD during Asian / European trading, which pushed our USD LONGs off-profit. We now see the USD much stronger after robust US economic data - including rising services business activity and potential signs of a tightening labor market again (as job opening rose significantly). This caused also yields to rise.
Our EUR/USD just hit TP โ
(1.03576) for a nice profit. If you are still SHORT please close in the range 1.03510 - 1.03600
The stronger USD also weighed on commodity prices - we stay SHORT in Brent and expect more selling later today.
โฑ๏ธ Update is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 1๏ธโฃ5๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
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โโโ
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๐ฐ NYSE OPENING UPDATE ๐ฏ
๐ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW / DURING NYSE OPENING ๐ผ (VIP ONLY) ๐บ๐ธ
TP โ
@: (VIP ONLY)
Recommended entry โ
(VIP ONLY)
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY WHEN NYSE OPENS ๐ผ Bank of America (BAC) ๐บ๐ธ
โ ๏ธ increased volatility; 2/3 trade size
Recommended entry range โ
46.00 - 46.11
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 6๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
The S&P 500 and the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 are opening mixed today, although Nvidia is expanding its gains to a record high after announcing new chips, software and services. All our positions in New York from the last few days ended in profit yesterday.
๐น Wells Fargo (+1.3%) opens higher again after two positive sessions. We expect WFC to rise above 73.00 again. Wells Fargo is also benefiting from a โBUYโ rating from investment firm Truist.
โบ (VIP ONLY) returning in full force as the day begins, with investors excited about the potential new revenue growth that AI innovation will enable in 2025. We are particularly seeing (VIP ONLY) ...
โบ With the exception of Tesla (which, as we expected, is moving back towards $400.00 with investment firms/analysts remaining sceptical, especially in view of the recent slowdown in car deliveries), we are seeing broad gains among the major tech companies. Although Apple is also opening slightly lower โ which is typical for Apple when investors are pushing more for risky growth stocks โ with Apple also receiving a "SELL" rating (!) from MoffettNathanson (I disagree and see Apple as one of the AI winners).
โบ We assume that the current buying, which is (VIP ONLY), but are now (VIP ONLY) ...
โบ I also see financials as very attractive, likely to be winners with Trump taking office and more deregulation.
โบ The broader market is still concerned about increasing trade tensions / potential tariffs under Trump, which could also further accelerate inflation.
โบ We also want to increase our position in financials. Bank of America is opening significantly higher and is also benefiting from positive analyst coverage. We see BAC opening 1.6% higher - above 46.00. Despite the strong opening, I see room for further gains as investors are increasingly excited ahead of next week's big bank results. We want to find an entry point near 46.00 and yesterday's high of 46.11. This means that we wait for initial profit taking.
โบ I also find Microsoft and Amazon attractive here (as well as UBER - which is already opening very strong though, and other chip stocks - including Micron - which I hope you hold in your portfolio; AMD etc) - but I prefer to trade (VIP ONLY) ...
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 800 - 1000 (8,000% - 10,000%) trading Bank of America (BAC) - 2/3 trade size.
position code / 100% transparency - 25010702A
position code / 100% transparency - 25010703A (BAC)
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 6๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโโ
BofA gave us even an entry below $46.00 - we take / took it.
Become a SmartTrader VIP for FREE / register with one of SmartTrader's excellent and regulated partner brokers:
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๐ฅ VT Markets (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ง๐ณ๐ฟ๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ป Vantage (๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ NAGA (๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ Libertex (๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
SELL NOW ๐ฝ Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) ๐ข (spot)
TP โ
@: (VIP ONLY)
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 6๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
Recommended Entry Range โ
76.82 - 77.05
Current price: 76.83 (12:01 UTC+0)
or WTI (USOIL) ๐ข (spot) โ
(73.70 - 73.94)
Feb Contract is about $0.35 higher!
โบ We closed an out-of-the-money oil trade yesterday (a rarity for us) with the oil price initially extending its gains before seeing profit-taking and closing lower for the first time in six sessions. Oil prices were supported by a recent improvement in risk sentiment, a temporary USD weakness on hopes that Trump would back down on his tariff plans, cold temperatures in parts of North America and Europe, and a surge in natural gas prices.
โบ We see natural gas prices lower today after the recent strong gains. We continue to see oil prices in the overbought area.
โบ Further USD selling occurred during the Asian/European trade, but now the USD is recovering its losses, also because there are concerns about an escalation of trade tensions and after moderate inflation data from the Eurozone.
โบ US sanctions on oil have also temporarily tightened the market, as Chinese ports that previously handled Iranian crude oil have also been asked (by Beijing) to prevent US-sanctioned tankers from docking at their berths.
โบ Nevertheless, we are seeing mixed economic data (again today in Europe), with Chinese oil demand remaining weak while global oil supply will continue to rise in 2025.
โบ We see a slightly better entry price in Brent, but you can also trade WTI. Brent is trading 1% higher today (or about 1.5% higher than session lows). We could see a bit more buying towards the NYSE opening, but expect selling later in the day/at the latest in the second half of US trading.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5.5 - 7.0 (550% - 700%) trading Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) - if contract size 10
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.55 - 0.70 (55% - 70%) trading Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) - if contract size 100
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: The March 25'-Futures Contract is currently $0.15 above the spot price
position code / 100% transparency - 25010701A
โฑ๏ธ Signal is DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 6๏ธโฃ0๏ธโฃ+ minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโโ
๐ข๐๐๐โ
Getting started in trading has never been easier:
1๏ธโฃ Join our trading community ๐ค
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๐ SmartTrader Insights: Tuesday Markets Wrap ๐
๐ Tuesday, January 7
โ๏ธ European stocks claw back early losses after moderate Eurozone inflation data; Nvidia lifts tech sector
โบ Futures for the Euro Stoxx 600 are 0.1% higher after initially falling up to 0.4% following a cautious opening for European markets. Investors are exercising caution ahead of critical Eurozone inflation and US job openings data, due later today. France's annual (harmonized) inflation rate rose slightly in December to 1.8% (from 1.7% in Nov) but was below market expectations of 1.9%. Meanwhile, construction PMIs for December painted a mixed picture, with France dropping to 42.6 (from 43.7), Germany easing to 37.8 (from 38.0), and the Eurozone rising marginally to 42.9 (from 42.7). UK construction PMIs came in below expectations at 53.3 (and down from 55.2). Traders were particularly focused on inflation data after Germany's CPI reading exceeded expectations on Monday, raising concerns about the Eurozone's broader inflation outlook. However, market sentiment improved for now with also Eurozone inflation coming in at expectations at 2.4% YoY (but up from 2.2%). Core inflation remained steady at 2.7%. Semiconductor stocks remain a bright spot, following Nvidia's announcement of new AI products, which boosted sentiment across tech sectors globally.
โบ After gains earlier this week, US futures softened as investors brace for upcoming labor market data, including JOLTs job openings and Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls report. Treasury yields continue to climb, with the 30-year yield reaching its highest level in over a year at 4.85% / 10-Y US-T at 4.63% (up 1-2 bp). The USD pared earlier losses after former President Donald Trump denied plans to moderate tariffs, raising concerns about continued trade tensions. The US government's inclusion of Tencent, Huawei, and CATL on a list of "Chinese military companies" has heightened trade tensions. These designations underscore growing frictions between the US and China, which could further pressure global markets.
โบ Performances were mixed across Asia. Japan's Nikkei 225 surged over 2%, buoyed by tech and semiconductor stocks, particularly those tied to Nvidiaโs AI announcements. However, the JPY hit a five-month low before recovering slightly after Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato promised intervention to address โone-sidedโ currency moves. On the other hand, Hong Kongโs Hang Seng Index declined 1.2%, weighed down by consumer and tech stocks, including Tencent, which fell nearly 8% after being blacklisted by the US Defense Department.
โบ Oil prices are little changed at $73.3/barrel (spot price) after a six-session rally that pushed oil into overbought territory. Oil prices were in previous sessions boosted by the surge in natural gas prices. Gold is currently trading at $2,643/oz, rising slightly amid uncertainties in the broader market. Goldman Sachs revised its gold forecast to $3,000/oz, noting that expected Fed rate cuts may support further gains in the long term. Bitcoin surged past $100,000, reflecting renewed optimism in digital assets amid economic uncertainties and shows that market sentiment generally is rather on the positive side.
๐น FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days ๐น
๐ November 14 - January 6
๐ฏ Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ-
๐ 5 - Week -Performance: 14.11 - 19.12
(= 25 "full" trading days)
Number of Trades/Signals: 127 (incl. 1 open positions: WFC)
Number of Trades Won: 113
Overall REAL Success Rate = 89.0% ๐ผ
Dropped from statistics: 5/7 - 71.4% Success Rate (Nov. 13)
Added to statistics: 8/8 - 100% ๐ Success Rate (Dec. 19)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ The last 5 trading days:
โ
20.12 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ (clsd 68.50)
โ
20.12 - BTC/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 96002.30)
โ
20.12 - BTC/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 98777.30)
โ
20.12 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 43066.90)
โ
20.12 - MU - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 89.92)
5/5 = 100% ๐ Success Rate
โ
23.12 - AUD/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 0.62419)
โ
23.12 - AVGO - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 231.63 |clsd 231.40-232.00+)
โ
23.12 - BTC/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 95248.70)
3/3 = 100% ๐ Success Rate
Beautiful overview with a breathtaking performance. We have significantly increased our success rate - with a flawless 8 out of 8 day ๐ (or even 9 out of 9 incl. the optional trade) added to the 25 trading days statistic.
Our success rate could even go back up to an incredible 90% in the coming sessions - which is absolutely crazy as we are not focusing on our success rate (when trading), we have seen a very mixed market recently, we NEVER close for micro-profits and mostly trade against the market.
We look back with satisfaction but remain โ110%โ focused.
WFC closed 1% higher today, extending Friday's strong gains (if you hold a LONG position).
๐ฃ Join Our "SmartTrader Essentials" Webinar TOMORROW!
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๐ Led by Senior Account Manager Michael Fischer ๐ฉ๐ช
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