[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 19:21
๐ SmartTrader Premium Insights: Analyst Rating Updates
๐ Wednesday, April 3
๐ข Positive Ratings:
Amazon (AMZN) ๐บ๐ธ๐ข
Analyst: Barclays reiterates as "OVERWEIGHT"
Booking Holdings (BKNG) ๐บ๐ธ๐ข
Analyst: B Riley initiates as "BUY"
Price Target: $4,400
(VIP ONLY) ๐บ๐ธ๐ข
Analyst: Goldman Sachs initiates as "BUY"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)
Disney (DIS) ๐บ๐ธ๐ข
Analyst: Guggenheim reiterates as "BUY"
Price Target: $125 โคด๏ธ $140
(VIP ONLY) ๐บ๐ธ๐ข
Analyst: Deutsche Bank adds a CATALYST CALL BUY
(VIP ONLY) ๐บ๐ธ๐ข
Analyst: Piper Sandler initiates as "OVERWEIGHT"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)
(VIP ONLY) ๐บ๐ธ๐กโคด๏ธ๐ข
Analyst: Citigroup upgrades to "BUY"
Previously: "NEUTRAL"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY) โคด๏ธ $(VIP ONLY)
(VIP ONLY) ๐บ๐ธ๐ข
Analyst: Baird initiates as "OVERWEIGHT"
Meta (META) ๐บ๐ธ๐ข
Analyst: Wells Fargo reiterates as "OVERWEIGHT"
Price Target: $609 โคต๏ธ $600
Tesla (TSLA) ๐บ๐ธ๐ข
Analyst: Deutsche Bank reiterates as "BUY"
Price Target: $200 โคต๏ธ $189
(VIP ONLY) ๐บ๐ธ๐ข
Analyst: Citigroup adds a POSITIVE CATALYST WATCH
United Parcel Service (UPS) ๐บ๐ธ๐กโคด๏ธ๐ข
Analyst: Citigroup upgrades to "BUY"
Previously: "NEUTRAL"
Price Target: $180
๐ก Neutral Ratings:
Alphabet (GOOGL) ๐บ๐ธ๐ก
Analyst: Wells Fargo reiterates as "EQUAL WEIGHT"
Price Target: $144 โคต๏ธ $141
Coinbase (COIN) ๐บ๐ธ๐ก
Analyst: KBW reiterates as "MARKET PERFORM"
Price Target: $160 โคด๏ธ $230
Costco (COST) ๐บ๐ธ๐ขโคต๏ธ๐ก
Analyst: Gordon Haskett downgrades to "ACCUMULATE"
Previously: "BUY"
Price Target: $775
PepsiCo (PEP) ๐บ๐ธ๐ขโคต๏ธ๐ก
Analyst: Argus downgrades to "HOLD"
Previously: "BUY"
(VIP ONLY) ๐บ๐ธ๐ก
Analyst: KBW initiates as "MARKET PERFORM"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)
๐ด Negative Ratings:
(VIP ONLY) ๐บ๐ธ๐กโคต๏ธ๐ด
Analyst: JPMorgan downgrades to "UNDERWEIGHT"
Previously: "NEUTRAL"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY) โคด๏ธ $(VIP ONLY)
Price Target (or target price): When an analyst sets a price target for a stock, he or she is trying to determine what the stock is worth and where the price will be in ~12 months. Ultimately, price targets depend on the valuation of the company issuing the stock. Analysts base their price targets usually on earnings forecasts and assumed valuation multiples. Price targets (especially average price targets) can be used to value stocks and may even be more useful than a stock analyst's rating.
๐ข = positive rating
๐ก = neutral rating
๐ด = negative rating
โคด๏ธ = upgrade
โคต๏ธ = downgrade
You can find the Analyst Rating Updates also on the Website:
Click HERE ๐
๐ฌ As a subscriber / member - you can also comment there and exchange information with other community members!
SmartTraderโข Analyst team
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 18:39
โก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐ฐ
EUR/AUD
SL ๐ @: 1.65086
TP โ
@: 1.64886
OR
CLOSE NOW โ
@: 1.65000 (area)
I see that most of you are still SHORT in the EUR/AUD - me included (if not set TP at 1.65203).
The AUD is todays top performing currency - benefitting from rising commodity prices but also overall strong signs of a robust (and improving) global economy.
Our position is deep in profit even with the EUR benefiting from some temporary USD selling.
We now see the pair below key-level 1.65000 - we may see slight additional technical selling. I expect first a small rebound - which would mean that the pair hits our tight SL. You can also thus close at 1.65000.
โโ-
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 17:36
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
STAY SHORT / SELL NOW ๐ฝ EUR/USD
SL ๐ @: 1.08426
TP โ
@: (VIP ONLY)
โบ We are seeing light USD selling after the USD hit a fresh four-month high against a basket of major currencies following the recent strong US economic data, which reduced rate cut bets and pushed US Treasury yields to a 2024 high.
โบ The EUR is performing better than expected, especially considering that inflation data from the Eurozone was much cooler than expected - which some investors apparently consider outdated in view of the current sharp rise in oil/commodity prices. Rising commodity prices have an inflationary effect - but actually weigh on the EUR.
โบ I only see a corrective recovery in the EUR/USD here after the recent sharp slide, before the pair moves lower again towards Friday's NFP data.
โบ The pair received additional support after the US services index for March came in below expectations at 51.4 vs. 52.7 (and 52.6 in February).
โบ We are selling the current rise (expecting resistance in the range 1.08250 - 1.08300). We expect a trend reversal soon - however, we are working with a tight SL. Our initial position from yesterday (if not in SL) is currently well out of the money. We see that Eurozone bond yields are mostly flat (e.g. the German 10-year at 0.0%) - which also limits the tailwind for the EUR.
โบ Our EUR/AUD is well in profit - you can set a tight TP โ
@: 1.65203.
โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
โโโ
๐ต๐โ
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 16:22
โก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐ฐ
DAX (GER_40) ๐ฉ๐ช
SL ๐ @: 18328.40
TP โ
@: 18547.70
Dow Jones (US30) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 39248.40
TP โ
@: 39433.40
The market is wrong to temporarily take the strong US economic and labor market data so negatively - although the high yields and strong USD are weighing fundamentally on Wall Street.
We have found a very good entry in the Dow Jones, which broke through 39300 as we expected.
We are working with a tight SL - but will re-enter the Dow Jones (near ๐ผ 39200) if it sells off again.
We tighten the SL of our DAX position.
โโโ
1 โ
27.2 - SPX500 - LONG โ๏ธ
2 โ
29.2 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
3 โ
1.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
4 โ
1.3 - GER_40 - LONG โ๏ธ
5 โ
6.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
6 โ
6.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
7 โ
6.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
8 โ
6.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
9 โ
7.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
10 โ 8.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
11 โ
13.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
12 โ
14.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
13 โ
14.3 - GBR_100 - LONG โ๏ธ
14 โ
19.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
15 โ
19.3 - NAS100 - SHORT โ๏ธ
16 โ
20.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
17 โ
21.3 - FRA_40 - LONG โ๏ธ
18 โ
21.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
19 โ
25.3 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ
20 โ 27.3 - NAS100 - SHORT โ๏ธ
21 โ
27.3 - US30 - SHORT โ๏ธ
22 โ 1.4 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
22 โ
1.4 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
24 โ
2.4 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
25 โ
2.4 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ
26 โด๏ธโ
3.4 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ (SL in Profit)
23/26 = 88.5%
23 โด๏ธ 2.4 - GER_40 - LONG โ๏ธ
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 15:35
๐ฐ NYSE OPENING UPDATE ๐ฏ
Similar to yesterday, another round of strong labor data further pushed yields higher putting some (temporary) pressure on stocks - in particular yield sensitive stocks. We are well positioned and updated our positions very well yesterday.
๐น Microsoft (- 0.1%) opens little changed. The strong USD and higher yields also weigh on Microsoft. We have a tight SL and widen it a bit: SL ๐ @: 418.83
๐น Amazon (- 0.3%) opens slightly lower. We have a tight SL already and keep that. We set our TP โ
@: 180.97.
๐น Alphabet (- 0.3%) opens slightly lower. We keep our in-profit SL and TP.
๐น Chevron (+ 0.4%) opens higher. We are tightening our SL ๐ @: 159.47.
โฑ UPDATE DELAYED by: 10+ (!) minutes! โ ๏ธ
โก๏ธ Receive non-delayed updates in the VIP Channel!
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 15:23
๐ ROBโS DAILY UPDATE ๐
โผ๏ธ Strong US jobs & economic data reinforces view that rates will remain higher for longer
US Treasury yields continue to rise to new highs in 2024, putting even more pressure on yield-sensitive assets such as growth stocks, as further strong labor market (and economic) data supports the view that interest rates will remain "higher for longer".
Following yesterday's strong JOLTs job openings report, ADP reported that private sector payrolls rose by 184,000 in March, well above the 150,000 forecast by economists and the fastest pace since July 2023. In addition to the strong employment growth, ADP reported that wages for workers who stayed on the job rose 5.1% year-on-year - evidence that wages are still significantly outpacing inflation (which will ultimately support rising consumer prices).
The USD remains near its seven-week high against a basket of ten currencies. Markets will be watching closely to see what Fed officials will say about inflation, whether they believe inflation is under control and how likely it is that interest rates will be cut this year.
To me, the US economy is far too strong - it is even showing in some parts that it is accelerating again after a slight slowdown and wages are rising "too" fast. The Fed will not have enough confidence that potential rate cuts will not accelerate inflation again.
In addition, we are seeing rising commodity prices, which are also having an inflationary effect. Oil prices continue to rise and Brent crude is approaching $90/barrel. Copper has risen for a third day; palm oil reached its highest level since November 2022, raising the risk of higher global food inflation.
The strongest earthquake in Taiwan in 25 years unsettled chip production as the world's largest chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. evacuated its plants. The company's shares fell by 1.3 %. TSMC is temporarily halting part of its chip production as Taiwan measures the impact of the earthquake. Intel fell in pre-market trading in the US after a warning about falling sales and rising losses. Other chip stocks such as Nvidia, AMD and Micron also fell in pre-market trading.
While higher yields continue to put pressure on growth stocks, the very robust US economy and further signs of continued rapid growth will ultimately support Wall Street. Optimism in China, generally better economic data and a rotation into non-US equities will generally support equities in Europe, Asia and emerging markets. Energy will continue to outperform given the sharp rise in energy prices.
๐ ROB'S MARKET OVERVIEW:
April 03, 2024
๐/๐บ๐ธ Global Markets โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ/โ๏ธ (headwinds from higher yields; supported by strong data)
Cyclical / Luxury Stocks โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ/โ๏ธ
Tech/Growth Stocks โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ
Financial Stocks โก๏ธ/โ๏ธ
Defensive Stocks โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ
Energy Stocks โ๏ธ
Materials Stocks โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ
๐ฑ Forex
AUD โก๏ธ/โ๏ธ
USD, CAD โก๏ธ/โ๏ธ (supported by soaring US Treasury yields; high oil prices)
EUR โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ/โ๏ธ (benefits from improving economic data; ECB rate cut hopes / ongoing disinflation to weigh on EUR)
GBP โก๏ธ (recovered from sharp selling; more downside pot.)
CHF, JPY โ๏ธ
โ Commodity Markets โ๏ธ
Oil prices โก๏ธ/โ๏ธ (remains bullish)
Natural Gas prices โ๏ธ/โ๏ธ (overall bullish momentum)
Metal prices โ๏ธ/โ๏ธ (benefiting from China optimism)
Gold โ๏ธ/โ๏ธ (remains bullish despite high yields)
โก๏ธCryptos โ๏ธ (hovering in the $64K - $67K range)
(*โ๏ธ bullish, โ๏ธ bearish, โก๏ธ sideways / stable, โ๏ธ mixed / volatile)
Your Robert
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 14:44
โก๏ธ FREE RAPID SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ
โบ Gold hit a new ATH in Asian trading and temporarily rose above $2,288. Similar to yesterday, we now see gold slipping more than $20/oz from the peak. We are seeing it earlier today as important economic data came in earlier than yesterday.
โบ Yesterday it was the strong JOLTs labor market report + strong factory orders - reported at 14:00 UTC+0 - today we saw that private payrolls (reported by ADP) rose by 184,000 in March (reported at 12:15 UTC+0), better than expected.
โบ It's the same effect - lower rate cut expectations after another round of strong data.
โบ We do the same as yesterday and buy the dip (range $2,260 - $2,267.50). Gold remains bullish. We can now re-enter below our triggered TP.
โบ Gold could be sold a little more as yields also continue to rise (above yesterday's level), but gold remains supported by the increasing uncertainty and the sideways movement on the equity markets / increased demand for safe havens.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%) when trading Gold (XAU/USD)
โฑ Trading Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! โ ๏ธ
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 12:06
๐ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
SELL NOW ๐ฝ EUR/(VIP ONLY)
โบ We are increasing our SHORT position in the EUR, which benefited from the USD seeing some profit-taking yesterday - despite US Treasury yields hitting a new 2024 high and interest rate cut expectations (for the Fed) being further reduced following the recent robust US economic and labor market data.
โบ The EUR is likely to face more headwinds after a series of inflation data showed that inflation in the Eurozone is cooling further. Inflation in the 20-nation eurozone fell to 2.4% in March (compared to 2.6% expected). Prices in France and Italy, as well as in the eurozone's largest economy, Germany, were also lower than expected this week. At 2.2%, inflation in Germany is close to the target value of 2%.
โบ The impact on the EUR was slightly mitigated by the stable unemployment rate of 6.5% in February compared to January (6.4% in February 2023).
โบ Concerns about the Fed's rate cut bets have also supported the EUR, as many investors expect the ECB to follow the Fed's lead. However, I believe that the ECB will cut rates earlier and more sharply in 2024. This thesis is clearly supported by the ongoing disinflation.
โบ We continue to see (VIP ONLY) supported - despite a strong USD. The (VIP ONLY) should also benefit from the latest positive (VIP ONLY).
โโ-
Join the VIP channel and get access to all (non-delayed) signals, markets analysis, insider knowledge, market data and our VIP trading community ๐จ๐ฝโ๐ป๐ฉ๐ผโ๐ป๐ค
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 23:36
(โ
) 28.3 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 2208.34; not clear signal)
โ
28.3 - GBP/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (closed - 1.26186 / near b-even)
โ
28.3 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 2211.13)
โ
28.3 - ADBE - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 501.36)
3/3 = 100% Success Rate
โ 1.4 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 18178.30) ๐
โ
1.4 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 1.07361)
โด๏ธ 1.4 - MSFT - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit) ๐
๐ SL ๐ @: 419.49 // TP โ
@: 424.98
โด๏ธ 1.4 - AMZN - LONG โ๏ธ (open - in-profit) ๐
๐ SL ๐ @: 179.63 // TP โ
@: 182.48
โ
1.4 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 2253.67) ๐
โ
1.4 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 18263.30) ๐
3/6 (+2 open positions)
โด๏ธ 2.4 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
โด๏ธ 2.4 - GER_40 - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐ SL ๐ @: 18282.40 // TP โ
@: 18547.70
โด๏ธโ
2.4 - GOOGL - LONG โ๏ธ (open - SL in profit)
๐ SL ๐ @: 153.47 // TP โ
@: 155.87
โด๏ธโ
2.4 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (open - SL in profit)
๐ SL ๐ @: 18097.70 // TP โ
@: 18192.30
โด๏ธโ
2.4 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ (open - SL in profit)
๐ SL ๐ @: 39147.40 // TP โ
@: 39332.30 (optional)
โ
2.4 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 2269.93) ๐ธ
โด๏ธโ
2.4 - CVX - LONG โ๏ธ (open - SL in profit)
๐ SL ๐ @: 159.29 // TP โ
@: 161.13
5/7 = (6 open positions)
It was a difficult day to trade today - inviting many traders/investors to reverse their positions only to be hit by the rebound then for even worse losses. We saw today that more signs of strong (and actual) strong US economic data were taken negatively - a phenomenon we saw especially in 2023. Congratulations to yet another very good trading session ๐
We brought home another nice gold trade deep in profit - not as big as the one from April 1st - but we continue to trade the dips in gold with near perfection.
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 22:09
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐บ๐ธ
Chevron (CVX) ๐บ๐ธ
Alphabet (GOOGL) ๐บ๐ธ
At NYSE closing ๐ธ
as well as Microsoft / Amazon.
Congratulations! Exceptional positioning & timing ๐
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 21:43
โก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐ฐ
Dow Jones (US30) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 39147.40
TP โ
@: 39332.30 (optional)
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 18086.30
TP โ
@: 18173.40
We are now pulling the SLs of both US index trades in-profit and giving the Nasdaq 100 a little more room to rise.
Great entries ๐
โโโ
1 โ
27.2 - SPX500 - LONG โ๏ธ
2 โ
29.2 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
3 โ
1.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
4 โ
1.3 - GER_40 - LONG โ๏ธ
5 โ
6.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
6 โ
6.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
7 โ
6.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
8 โ
6.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
9 โ
7.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
10 โ 8.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
11 โ
13.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
12 โ
14.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
13 โ
14.3 - GBR_100 - LONG โ๏ธ
14 โ
19.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
15 โ
19.3 - NAS100 - SHORT โ๏ธ
16 โ
20.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
17 โ
21.3 - FRA_40 - LONG โ๏ธ
18 โ
21.3 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
19 โ
25.3 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ
20 โ 27.3 - NAS100 - SHORT โ๏ธ
21 โ
27.3 - US30 - SHORT โ๏ธ
22 โ 1.4 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
22 โ
1.4 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
24 โด๏ธโ
1.4 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (SL in profit)
25 โด๏ธโ
1.4 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ (SL in profit)
22/25
23 โด๏ธ 1.4 - GER_40 - LONG โ๏ธ
๐ฅ VT Markets (๐ฌ๐ง๐ณ๐ฟ๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ PU Prime (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ Admiral Markets (๐ช๐บ๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐)
๐ฅ Libertex (๐ช๐บ๐)
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 20:57
โก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐ฐ
Dow Jones (US30) ๐บ๐ธ
TP โ
@: 39313.70 (optional)
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 17997.30
TP โ
@: 18137.70
DAX (GER_40) ๐ฉ๐ช
SL ๐ @: 18282.40
TP โ
@: 18547.70
Microsoft (MSFT) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 419.49
TP โ
@: 424.98
Chevron (CVX) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 158.49
TP โ
@: 161.13
I think we are well positioned and found very solid entries today - with the only exception being the DAX as another round of strong US economic data was taken negatively (as it further reduced rate cut expectations). I don't see the good data is "bad data" to remain for much longer as the US economy doesn't need rate cuts at the moment.
We stay LONG in the Dow Jones - which is solid in profit at the moment.
Our gold position already hit again TP - for the next big profit with gold.
We tighten the SL of our MSFT position. We set wide TPs for Chevron and Alphabet.
โโ-
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 18:49
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ Chevron (CVX) ๐บ๐ธ
โบ Wall Street is still reacting negatively to the Chevron-Hess deal - which appears to be nearing completion as Hess urges shareholders to vote in favor of the $53 billion merger with Chevron. I think both sides benefit from this deal. Wall Street believes that Hess is worth less than the $53 billion Chevron would pay for Hess (in a all-stock deal). However, both companies would benefit from network effects and increased expertise, as well as potentially accelerated oil production in Guyana.
โบ Investors are also concerned that ExxonMobil has initiated arbitration proceedings to secure the right of first refusal for the Hess stake, which is creating uncertainty in the deal. In the end, however, they will come to an agreement.
โบ More importantly, we see oil and natural gas prices rising by more than 1% each today, with oil prices in particular being well supported by strong US economic data, (slowly) improving economic data in Europe and returning optimism in China. The energy sector is up about 0.55% - also dragged down by Chevron. Although I prefer XOM, we still see the energy giants in an uptrend and find a better short term entry here in CVX. Our BP LONG position closed deep in profit (at SL). We want to stay LONG in the energy sector.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~340 - 370 (34.000% - 37.000%) when trading Chevron (CVX).
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 16:20
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW* ๐ผ Dow Jones (US30) ๐บ๐ธ
โบ We are also looking to buy the ~1000 points drop in the Dow Jones after it hit a new ATH just yesterday (DOW currently at / slightly below 39100*).
โบ We see heavy selling in the healthcare sector, where Unitedhealth is trading ~6-7% lower after the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services announced that rates will increase by (only) 3.7% for calendar year 2025, as previously proposed. Many investors had expected a much larger increase. However, we see oversold markets / panic selling. Growth stocks in the Dow Jones - such as Salesforce - are also currently trading more than 2% lower than the previous day and are significantly underperforming Wall Street - reducing little near-term scope for further heavy selling.
โบ I expect a rebound. Strong US economic data has led to rate cut expectations (in swap markets) being slashed - but we see a strong US consumer, GDP and corporate (sales) growth and think losses are too far-reaching.
โบ We also see heavy losses in both the Nasdaq 100 and the Dow Jones (as well as in Europe - such as with the DAX). We expect some rotation back into more defensive stocks - which should benefit the Dow Jones.
โบ Following the heavy selling in New York, we have also seen heavy losses in the tech/healthcare sector in Europe. We expect the DAX support near 18300 to hold (for now) and the DAX to cut most of its current losses during the course of the day.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) trading the Dow Jones (US30).
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 15:14
๐ ROBโS DAILY UPDATE ๐
โผ๏ธ Markets further reduce Fed rate cut expectations; Yields rise to 2024 highs
US Treasuries continue their sharp sell-off, leading to US Treasury yields hitting 2024 highs. The impact is also being felt globally as bond yields are also rising in Europe, although German inflation data shows that inflation is also approaching the ECB's 2% target in the Eurozone's largest economy - paving the way for rate cuts later this quarter.
Yields on 10-year US bonds have risen by a further 7 basis points to 4.4% - a level not seen before this year. Today's gains come on top of Monday's sharp rise of 10 basis points when data showed US manufacturing growth for the first time since September 2022. The continued strong US economic data has led traders to further reduce their bets on Fed policy easing. Swap markets also see a good chance of a delay in monetary easing, as the probability of a rate cut in June briefly fell below 50% on Monday.
Attention will now turn to labor market data - particularly the JOLTs Job Openings later today - but also further comments from Fed officials and whether hawkish comments from Fed officials reflect the falling expectations for rate cuts.
The Israeli airstrike on the Iranian embassy in Syria led to another sharp rise in gold prices (to a new record high) and oil prices to over $85/barrel (WTI) as the attack added a risk premium to an already tight market.
We are also seeing greater risk aversion in the crypto market as pressure mounts on bitcoin, which slipped more than 5% to trade below $66,000 after falling more than 10% since its mid-March peak.
As long as rate cut expectations continue to be scaled back, it will be hard to see strong gains in New York. However, the US economy is not in need of rate cuts. Strong US economic data will help US equities in the medium term and will likely lead to solid earnings growth. On the other hand, we continue to see a rotation away from Wall Street and the sectors that will gain the most in 2023 (especially tech) and towards more defensive sectors, as well as energy and (short-term) commodities. Growth stocks, but also financials, are currently facing headwinds due to the expectation that interest rates will remain high for longer. The return of optimism about China is also supporting commodity prices.
๐ ROB'S MARKET OVERVIEW:
April 02, 2024
๐/๐บ๐ธ Global Markets โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ (Wall Street stabilizing in regular trading)
Cyclical / Luxury Stocks โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ
Tech/Growth Stocks โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ
Financial Stocks โ๏ธ
Defensive Stocks โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ
Energy Stocks โ๏ธ
Materials Stocks โ๏ธ
๐ฑ Forex
AUD โ๏ธ (short-term benefiting from higher commodity prices)
USD, CAD โก๏ธ/โ๏ธ (remains bullish)
EUR โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ (recovered from sharp selling; more downside pot.)
GBP, JPY โก๏ธ/โ๏ธ
CHF โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ
โ Commodity Markets โ๏ธ/โ๏ธ
Oil prices โ๏ธ/โก๏ธ (remains bullish; also supported from geo tensions)
Natural Gas prices โ๏ธ (will likely continue to see profit taking after gains)
Metal prices โ๏ธ (benefiting from China optimism)
Gold โ๏ธ/โ๏ธ (remains bullish; temporary headwinds from stronger USD)
โก๏ธCryptos โ๏ธ/โ๏ธ (seems increasingly vulnerable which means spikes will be sold)
(*โ๏ธ bullish, โ๏ธ bearish, โก๏ธ sideways / stable, โ๏ธ mixed / volatile)
Your Robert
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 18:45
โก๏ธ FREE RAPID SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ Dow Jones (US30) ๐บ๐ธ
โบ We see the Dow Jones back in flat territory for the day. This has also triggered our (in-profit) SL.
โบ We see a weak performance of defensive stocks with dip buying especially in growth stocks. I expect the more defensive stocks to outperform tomorrow (towards tomorrow's NFP) / later in the day and generally see the Dow Jones still in rebound mode.
โบ We can re-enter the 30-stock average below our triggered SL. We get back into the Dow Jones (range 39200 - 39225) and expect the Dow to push back into the 39300 - 39400 range quickly.
โบ The recent more significant losses on Wall Street after strong US economic data (and labor market data) - triggered by expectations that interest rate cuts will be even longer in coming - are fundamentally turned upside down anyway.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) trading the Dow Jones (US30).
โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! โ ๏ธ
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 18:00
โก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐ฐ
Microsoft (MSFT) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 420.43
TP โ
@: 424.43
Chevron (CVX) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 160.38
TP โ
@: 161.17
Alphabet (GOOGL) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 153.67
TP โ
@: 155.43
We update our stock holdings. Amazon closed already well in profit (for me at 180.99, for some of you either at 180.97 or in yesterday's TP for a big profit at 182.48). Also our Alphabet from yesterday closed well in profit (in the SL).
We are now tightening the SL for our Microsoft position, Chevron (set TP at yesterday's highs) and again for yet another strong Alphabet trade - our new mega cash cow.
Intel remains near $41.00 - we stay LONG.
Congratulations - our stock picking is phenomenal.
โโโ
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 16:30
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ Intel (INTC) ๐บ๐ธ
โบ Intel has lost all of its recent gains after it released (in an SEC filing) the long-awaited financials for its semiconductor manufacturing business, also known as the foundry business.
โบ According to Intel, the foundry business made an operating loss of $7 billion in 2023 on revenue of $18.9 billion. This is a larger loss than the $5.2 billion Intel recorded in 2022 on sales of $27.5 billion in its foundry business.
โบ Other US semiconductor companies such as Nvidia and AMD develop their chips but have them manufactured in Asian foundries, above all at TSMC in Taiwan. TSMC has achieved excellent results in recent quarters and has benefited in particular from the massive upturn in server and AI chips. Demand for chips and, of course, production - and even more so outside Taiwan - will continue to rise massively over the next few years.
โบ Even though Intel's foundry business is weighing on the chip company's business figures, I see significant profit growth for Intel over time - mainly because governments are increasingly interested in locating state-of-the-art semiconductor manufacturing in their own countries, e.g. in the US or Germany. Intel is planning to build the world's "most modern" chip fab in Germany after receiving massive subsidies from the German government.
โบ We are now buying Intel at under $41.00 and expect dip buying. I think Intel is very attractive in the medium to long term at the current price.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 1,350 - 1,450 (135,000% - 145,000%) trading Intel (INTC).
โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! โ ๏ธ
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 15:47
โก๏ธ FREE RAPID SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ Alphabet (GOOGL) ๐บ๐ธ
โบ Alphabet closed in our SL - well in profit.
โบ We now see the internet/tech giant below/at $153.00 - close to our entry price from yesterday. We buy GOOGL again at this price and expect Alphabet to benefit again from dip buying.
โบAlphabet remains attractive at the current valuation and is an underestimated AI winner.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 380 - 410 (38,000% - 41,000%) when trading Alphabet (GOOGL).
โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 13+ (!) minutes! โ ๏ธ
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 15:24
โก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐ฐ
Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ
SL ๐ @: 2272.69 (or wider)
TP โ
@: 2279.63
Our gold position is already very deep in profit. Some of you already closed near $2,279.
You can set now a in-profit SL for your gold position. We get back into gold in case our SL is triggered (range $2,265 - $2,268.50).
Alternatively you can work with a much wider SL as we continue to see gold bullish.
Congratulations - we are trading the swings in gold with near perfection.
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 14:44
01 - โ
05.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
02 - โ
05.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
03 - โ
05.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
04 - โ
05.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
05 - โ
06.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
06 - โ
06.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
07 - โ
07.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
08 - โ
07.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
09 - โ
07.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
10 - โ
08.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
11 - โ
08.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
12 - โ
12.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
13 - โ
12.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
14 - โ
14.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
15 - โ
15.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
16 - โ
19.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
17 - โ
20.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
18 - โ
20.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
19 - โ
21.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
20 - โ
22.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
21 - โ/โ
22.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ (pot. closed in SL)
22 - โ
22.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
23 - โ
25.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
24 - โ
26.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
25 - โ
27.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
26 - โ
27.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
27 - โ
28.03 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
28 - โ
01.04 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
29 - โ
02.04 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
28/29 = 96.6%
30 - โด๏ธ 03.04 Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ - LONG โ๏ธ
We have traded the recent bull run in gold (which will continue) almost guaranteed better in the short term than any other person/algorithm in the world.
The vast majority of you have made several average monthly or even annual salaries with our gold trades just in the last 30+ days. Many of you have made high 5-digit $/โฌ/ยฃ profits or increased your account balance by more than 300% (just by trading our gold trades).
Congratulations, we are incredibly happy for all of you - we would very much appreciate it if you would share some of your gigantic (gold) profits with people in need.
Thank you,
Team SmartTrader
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 13:51
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ Dow Jones (US30) ๐บ๐ธ
โบ We are currently back in a market that sees good US economic and labor market data as something negative, as it increases the likelihood that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer. This is true, and I don't see any conditions that the Fed would consider acceptable to start cutting rates (in addition to tapering its QT measures) - but the US economy doesn't need rate cuts right now anyway.
โบ We saw strong US GDP growth, a continued tight US labor market with very low unemployment and 8.75 million job openings, and the latest manufacturing data was surprisingly strong and in expansionary territory for the first time since September 2022.
โบ We also have a strong earnings season behind us. It is surprising to me that inflation continues to cool quickly (fast enough to be close to the 2% target in June).
โบ I believe rate cut expectations need to be scaled back, but at the same time we are seeing a resilient US economy and the global economy is also pointing to a slow acceleration.
โบ We are getting back into the Dow Jones, which is slightly above our closing price from yesterday, and expect the 30-stock index to rise back above 39300 later today. UnitedHealth was a big drag on the Dow yesterday - further losses in the healthcare sector are now limited. I expect financials to rally and cautious dip buying ahead of Friday's NFP data.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) trading the Dow Jones (US30).
โฑ Signal / Update DELAYED by: 50+ (!) minutes! โ ๏ธ
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
03 Apr 2024 11:00
๐ SmartTrader Insights: Wednesday Markets Wrap ๐
๐ Wednesday, April 3
โ๏ธ Stocks under pressure as rat cut hopes fade; Worst Taiwan Quake in 25 Years
โบ European equities show minimal movements, as robust economic indicators and rising commodity prices hint at enduring high-interest rates. The Stoxx 600 slightly drops, reflecting uncertainties over the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory, further complicated by surging 10-year US Treasury yields. Markets await the release of Eurozone inflation data which is forecasted to remain unchanged at 2.6%.
โบ In the US, futures anticipate a subdued opening amidst soaring Treasury yields, driven by positive job and manufacturing data, casting doubts on the anticipated pace of Fed's easing. Our chief analyst Robert Lindner says good data has become temporarily "bad" data again as it further push back rate cut bets. However, signs of a strong US economy will ultimately mean that the ongoing market rally can persist. This follows a session where Treasuries steadied, but the 10-year yield reached its peak for the year, adding pressure on equities. The focus shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech and critical inflation data from Europe, all while swap traders scale back expectations for rate reductions, estimating about 65 basis points cut this year, contrary to the more optimistic Fed forecasts.
โบ In Asia, Taiwan's significant earthquake had immediate impacts on key industries, notably causing a decline in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.'s stock due to production disruptions. Alongside this, Japan's weaker than expected economic sentiment, dampened regional market spirits, contrasting with China's manufacturing rebound, offering a mixed economic outlook across Asia. The currency market shows the JPY stabilizing around its yearly low against the USD, hinting at potential official actions to curb its fall. Meanwhile, the CNYโs performance remains tepid despite positive economic indicators from China, underscoring the complexity of current market dynamics.
โบ Oil prices found some resistance after Tuesday's surge, backed by a reported decrease in US crude inventories. WTI Crude oil is now trading at around $84.7/barrel. Gold declined slightly after rising significantly yesterday, buoyed by the current economic uncertainty. Gold prices hover around $2,270/oz. Bitcoin found some (temporary) support rising above $66,000.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
๐ธ ๐ฏ๐ต Jibun Bank Services PMI - 00:30 (released)
๐ธ ๐จ๐ณ Caixin Services PMI - 01:45 (released)
โฆ๏ธ ๐ช๐บ Inflation Rate / CPI - 09:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ ADP Employment Change - 12:15
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ S&P Global Services PMI - 13:45
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ ISM Services PMI - 14:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change - 14:30
โฆ๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Chair Powell Speech - 16:00
๐ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โฆ๏ธ = Event of very high importance
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
No significant earnings reports today
SmartTraderโข Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 23:33
Overview last 11 trading days:
โ
Performance: 15.3 - 22.3
37/42 = 88.1% Success Rate
โ
25.3 - USOIL - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 81.679)
โ
25.3 - CVX - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 156.23)
โ
25.3 - INTC - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 41.93)
โ
25.3 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 39433.20)
โ
25.3 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 2,184.49)
โ
25.3 - XOM - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 114.89)
โ
25.3 - BA - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 41.93)
7/7 = 100% Success Rate
โ
26.3 - CAD/CHF - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 0.66748)
โ
26.3 - BP - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 507.40) ๐
โ
26.3 - TSLA - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 182.53)
โ
26.3 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 2184.43)
โ
26.3 - BTC/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (closed - 69013.22 / near b-even)
โ
26.3 - TSLA - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 179.81 / potentially slippage)
6/6 = 100% Success Rate
โ
27.3 - USD/JPY - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 151.287)
โ
27.3 - TSLA - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 177.77)
โ
27.3 - ADBE - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 501.16)
โ 27.3 - NAS100 - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 18291.90)
โ
27.3 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 2191.43)
โ
27.3 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 2190.67)
โ
27.3 - US30 - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 39805.60)
6/7 = 85.7% Success Rate
-> We now "closed" March with also bringing BP plc (BP) ๐ฌ๐ง home in profit. Unfortunate SL trigger with a short dip, but we found today the perfect entry in Chevron (CVX) ๐บ๐ธ - staying LONG in energy. Medium-term I prefer BP over CVX due to the more attractive valuation.
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 21:59
โก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐ฐ
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 18097.70
TP โ
@: 18192.30
Chevron (CVX) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 159.29
TP โ
@: 161.13
Alphabet (GOOGL) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 153.47
TP โ
@: 155.87
Congratulations - exceptional trading. We were bold when the market was fearful and bought the dips extremely well.
We can now also pull the SLs of Alphabet and Chevron in profit.
We once again update SL & TP for our now deep in profit Nasdaq 100 position.
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 21:21
โก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐ฐ
Dow Jones (US30) ๐บ๐ธ
TP โ
@: 39332.30 (optional)
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 18076.90
TP โ
@: 18147.30
DAX (GER_40) ๐ฉ๐ช
Microsoft (MSFT) ๐บ๐ธ
Amazon (AMZN) ๐บ๐ธ
Chevron (CVX) ๐บ๐ธ
(no changes)
Alphabet (GOOGL) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 151.67
TP โ
@: 155.49
We see our positions pushing (overall) deep in profit in the final hour of NYSE trading.
We are pulling our SL for our Nasdaq 100 position now in-profit further reducing our exposure on potential returning profit taking.
We found overall very good entries, especially in the Dow Jones - pretty much exactly at the turning point after almost 1000 points of profit taking.
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 19:46
โก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐ฐ
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 17994.40
TP โ
@: 18131.70
Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ
SL ๐ @: 2249.34
TP โ
@: 2269.93
Microsoft (MSFT) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 418.83
TP โ
@: 424.98
Amazon (AMZN) ๐บ๐ธ
SL ๐ @: 179.39
TP โ
@: 182.48
We want to reduce our overall exposure to more panic selling as we are very strongly positioned in a rebound (with overall good entries / exception DAX, which is a quite a bit off-profit after increased selling in New York (in particular the losses in health / tech). The DAX has solid support at 18300.
The Dow Jones is heavily impacted by crashing UnitedHealth (nearly -8%) and should rebound tomorrow.
You can also set a TP for gold (and a wide SL). We close our gold trade in the next spike (deep in profit).
โโ
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 17:04
โก๏ธ FREE RAPID SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ Gold (XAU/USD)๐ฅ
โบ Gold reached a new ATH ~20 minutes ago with a peak at ~$2,277. Gold also benefited from a slight cooling of the USD, as yields fell again somewhat after reaching a 4-month high.
โบ We continue to see profit-taking in equities and generally nervous markets, which benefits gold.
โบ Gold is receiving an additional tailwind from strong demand from Asia and increased geopolitical tensions.
โบ Gold would be trading significantly higher if interest rate cut expectations were not reduced and yields were not at multi-month highs.
โบ Gold remains bullish and will continue to push for new ATHs.
โบ Gold has now seen $20/oz profit-taking. We re-enter at $2,257.50 - $2,260 and expect solid support for gold, especially in the $2,250 - $2,255 range (where we closed yesterday / or overnight in our TP).
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%) when trading Gold (XAU/USD)
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 15:54
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY WHEN NYSE OPENS ๐ผ Alphabet (GOOGL) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW* ๐ผ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐บ๐ธ
The sharp (further) rise in US government bond yields (or sell-off in US Treasuries) is weighing on equities. We see the Nasdaq trading more than 1% lower, with the sharp rise in yields weighing on growth and yield-sensitive stocks in particular. The losses in the tech sector can also be seen in Europe.
๐น Microsoft (- 0.9%) opens lower with virtually all growth stocks in New York - but we expect a recovery in the heavily sold big tech stocks.
๐น Amazon (- 1.0%) also opens lower and will fall out of the profit zone for the time being. We remain LONG.
โบ We are buying the dip in Alphabet. GOOGL was a clear outperformer yesterday, but opens today significantly worse than Wall Street (incl. Nasdaq 100) opening at almost -2% and in the range of $152.30 - $153.00 roughly (and want to get back into Alphabet in that range / near $152.50). We continue to see Alphabet as the quiet top performer among the big tech companies in April and expect Alphabet to continue its strong performance from March. After some overselling due to a non-breakthrough earnings report (but an overall solid report) and the embarrassing launch of Gemini, Alphabet remains bullish and the stock has also broken through long-term resistance at $150 - $152. Alphabet is very fairly / favorably valued and is sure to be one of the big AI winners.
โบ We generally see an oversold condition on Wall Street and also want to buy the sharp drop in the Nasdaq 100 - which was also caused by heavy losses from Tesla, which missed analysts' expectations for Q1 deliveries by a wide margin and is currently trading ~7% lower pre-market, adding to the panic selling. We are re-entering the Nasdaq near 18050*. We could see further panic selling, but there will be rising support towards 18000.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 380 - 410 (38,000% - 41,000%) when trading Alphabet (GOOGL).
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).
โฑ Signal / Update DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! โ ๏ธ
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[TRIAL] ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent
02 Apr 2024 14:32
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
BUY NOW ๐ผ DAX (GER_40) ๐ฉ๐ช
โบ We see a small misreaction to the German inflation data, which came in at 2.2%, exactly as we had expected - and in line with the market's expectations. On a monthly basis, inflation was even below expectations at +0.4% (versus +0.6%). We continue to see that inflation in the Eurozone (in this case in Germany) is approaching or has already reached the ECB target.
โบ While we see a 10 pip rise in the EUR/USD, the German inflation data should continue to weigh on the currency pair (and the EUR) as it shows that inflation is still (even rapidly) approaching the ECB's 2% target as disinflation continues. The disinflationary effect is also due to weak demand and manufacturing - but this is just another reason for the ECB to loosen monetary conditions.
โบ As rate cut expectations for the ECB rise and we see China optimism returning - as well as a strong US economy and improving economic data in the Eurozone - we buy the DAX here and see the German index quickly rising back to 18600+ and remaining bullish.
โบ We are now giving our still open Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐บ๐ธ position (from yesterday) slightly more room to (hopefully) survive NYSE opening volatility: SL ๐ @: 18179.30 // TP โ
@: 18387.30.
๐ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the DAX (GER_40)
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โก๏ธ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
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