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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 18049.30
TP ✅ @: 18107.70
We already set an in-profit SL.
I went a bit earlier in - but even if you got in at ~18010 - our position is already deep in profit.
We may re-enter at a better price in case profit taking return. We are still LONG in the Dow Jones - which has a relatively high correlation to the DAX.
The Dow Jones rebounded nearly 150 points from lows a few minutes ago.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
WTI (USOIL) 🛢
SL 🔑 @: 85.893
TP ✅ @: 86.487
Oil soared today - now trading above $86/barrel again (Brent > $90/barrel). We are tightening our SL and secure big profits.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2397.67
TP ✅ @: 2383.87
Gold failed four times to break the $2,400 (with more confidence). Our tight SL hold.
It doesn't mean that Gold will not try a 5th (or more times) today. But we are further reducing the downside. Gold is now testing the 2390. You can also close earlier (in the 2390 - 2392.50 range; because the market is still very sentiment-driven here).
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BUY NOW* 🔼 WTI (USOIL) 🛢
► WTI recorded further gains in Asian / European trading as we expected. Our WTI position (if you have re-entered) has triggered our TP 📸 . We can re-enter at the same price now / slightly below the triggered TP ~85.250 - 85.400* (LONG).
► In the run-up to important oil market reports from OPEC and the IEA, which point to rising demand as the global economy returns / strong growth in the USA and India, we want to remain LONG on oil.
► Commodity prices, especially oil, will also get a boost before the end of regular trading today as concerns grow over a possible attack by Iran (or its proxies) on Israel. Iran has promised to retaliate for a suspected Israeli airstrike on its embassy in Syria.
► The geopolitical tensions are overstated. I do expect Iran to respond, but not with an attack "big enough" to drag other Middle Eastern countries or the US into a "war" or rather confrontation. Iran certainly wouldn't want the situation to escalate either. Iran will probably "use" one of its proxies like Hezbollah in my estimation.
► We also see slightly falling yields, expectations of interest rate cuts in Europe, which could put Europe back on course for growth, and overall solid market sentiment in the run-up to earnings season. The stock markets in Europe and the US recovered strongly, as we had predicted.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader / *multiply by 1000 when trading at Tickmill. The prices you see here are the May contract prices.
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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Friday, April 12
❗️ European equities recover significantly, supported by falling Euro; Geo tensions drive up commodity prices
► European markets saw significant gains today, primarily fueled by rising commodity prices amidst ongoing Middle East tensions and the softened EUR, driven by heightened expectations of interest rate cuts. The Stoxx 600 index surged by over 1%, led by advances in mining, energy, and tech sectors. The EUR fell to a five-month low amid expectations of imminent rate cuts by the European Central Bank, contrasting with a more cautious approach expected from the Federal Reserve. The swap markets are thus following the prediction of our chief analyst, who predicted in recent months that the ECB would not wait for the Fed as usually to make the monetary policy shift. Inflation data also came in but showed mixed signals; Spain's inflation rose to 3.2% while France’s rate cooled to 2.3%. German inflation also eased to 2.2%, offering some relief amidst economic challenges.
► US stock futures were steady, following substantial gains on Wall Street spurred by less concerning producer price figures, suggesting a moderated inflation scenario and an overall rebound with economic data still showing a strong US economy. On the earnings front, Wall Street anticipates a 3.8% growth in S&P 500 companies' earnings, with tech giants like Apple and Microsoft expected to report significant profit increases. Today, markets are keenly anticipating earnings reports from financial giants like JPMorgan and Citigroup, which could provide further direction on the impacts of economic policies and interest rate expectations on the financial sector.
► Mixed performances were seen across Asian markets; Japanese stocks rose, benefitting from a depreciating CNY that supports exporters, while China showed modest gains amid positive trade data. China’s trade surplus narrowed unexpectedly as exports fell sharply by 7.5%, highlighting challenges in trade dynamics. This economic indicator, coupled with the stabilization measures by the People's Bank of China for the CNY, reflects ongoing adjustments in the region's economic policies.
► Commodity markets saw oil prices stabilizing near five-month highs of $85.5/barrel, influenced by Middle East tensions and constrained supply forecasts. Gold prices continued to ascend, reaching a near-record high of nearly $2,400/oz, driven by robust demand, global financial uncertainties, geopolitical tensions and a lot fear of missing out. According to our chief analyst Robert Lindner, gold remains bullish for most of 2024, but is currently mainly driven by sentiment in the short term, with tensions in the Middle East also heavily priced in ahead of the weekend, having risen by almost $75 since yesterday's lows. Gold is overbought in the short term.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇯🇵 Industrial Production - 04:30 (released)
🔸 🇩🇪 Inflation Rate / CPI - 06:00 (released)
🔸 🇬🇧 GDP, Balance of Trade, Industrial Production - 06:00
🔸 🇫🇷 Inflation Rate / CPI - 06:45 (released)
🔸 🇪🇸 Inflation Rate / CPI - 07:00 (released)
🔸 🇨🇳 Balance of Trade - 07:10 (released)
🔸 🇺🇸 Michigan Consumer Sentiment - 14:00
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
☀️ JPMorgan Chase (JPM) 🇺🇸❗️
☀️ Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) 🇺🇸
☀️ BlackRock (BLK) 🇺🇸
☀️ Citigroup (C) 🇺🇸
☀️ State Street (STT) 🇺🇸
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
Overview last 18 trading days:
✅ Performance: 15.03 - 04.04
81/95 = 85.3% Success Rate
✅ 5.4 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
❌ 5.4 - USD/CHF - LONG ↗️ (SL - 0.90047|or in TP - 0.90567)
❌ 5.4 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18216.80)
❌ 5.4 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.08443)
✅ 5.4 - CAD/CHF - LONG ↗️ (SL - 0.66547)
✅ 5.4 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 154.63)
❌ 5.4 - INTC - LONG ↗️ (SL - 37.84)
3/7 = 42.9% Success Rate
✅ 8.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 38988.70)
✅ 8.4 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2320.26)
✅ 8.4 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 170.49)
✅ 8.4 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 173.03)
✅ 8.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2337.87)
✅ 8.4 - CVX - LONG ↗️ (SL - 161.69)
6/6 = 100% Success Rate
✅ 9.4 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2351.68)
❌ 9.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 38744.70)
✅ 9.4 - JPM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 196.77)
✅ 9.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2348.67 & TP2 - 2359.87)
✅ 9.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 38744.70)
✅ 9.4 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 156.33)
5/6 = 83.3% Success Rate
*no update*
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
WTI (USOIL) 🛢
SL 🔑 @: 519.93
TP ✅ @: 524.23
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 18028.30 (or wider)
TP ✅ @: 18143.70 (optional)
If you are LONG in WTI - you can set a tight TP which will likely trigger overnight. Oil prices have seen slightly increased demand in early Asian trading over recent sessions.
You can also tighten the TP for your DAX position. We saw some selling in New York today - which also affected markets in Europe. Wall Street rebounded strongly with all major US indices - even the Dow Jones - ending in the green. I expect the DAX to rebound in early European trading tomorrow - also supported by rather dovish comments from the ECB.
Salesforce (CRM) 🇺🇸
SL triggered 🔑 @: 299.43 (in profit)
Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸
TP1 triggered ✅ @: 161.97
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 519.93
TP ✅ @: 524.23
Salesforce (CRM) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 299.43
TP ✅ @: 300.77
Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 160.74
TP1 ✅ @: 161.97
TP2 ✅ @: 162.63
Our Meta position is very deep in profit. We are tightening our SL. We also tighten the SL for our CVX position and widen TP1 a little. Also Salesforce pushed back above $300. Salesforce disappointed a bit today - with the USD maintaining most of the strength. The software company remains bullish but we want to overall (further) reduce our exposure and may find better options for tech/growth stocks. JPMorgan hit our TP for a nice profit.
Congratulations - our stock picking is exceptional.
⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
STAY LONG / BUY NOW 🔼 Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸
► There was significant profit-taking in New York (in some sectors) as the markets re-evaluate the equity prices as they expect the Fed to keep interest rates "higher for longer".
► If you are still in Chevron (i.e. not closed deep in the money) - we are improving our average entry. Otherwise, we are buying again here as we see CVX below $160.00. We also see ExxonMobil below $120.50. Both oil and gas giants will rebound soon.
► We buy the dip.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~340 - 370 (34.000% - 37.000%) when trading Chevron (CVX).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 80+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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Airbnb (ABNB) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 162.87
Congratulations - our stock picking is unreal. From an underperfomer to a strong outperformer. What a trade.
PS: Good job to the analysts from Needham downgrading Airbnb today 👏
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Airbnb (ABNB) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 160.87
TP ✅ @: 162.87
Airbnb rose further (again). We tighten our SL.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Airbnb (ABNB) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 160.63
TP ✅ @: 162.87
Airbnb has jumped into profit very deeply but saw some profit taking. We are securing our position as we are experiencing nervous markets - not really good for travel stocks. Airbnb could suddenly see significant profit-taking again.
Our position is still deep in profit - we may be able to re-enter at a better price.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
CLOSE ✅ @: 157.70 - 157.90 (range)
OR
SL 🔑 @: 157.37
TP ✅ @: 157.79
Our recent profits with Alphabet have become a bit absurd. We continue to buy the dip and bring mega profit home.
We now set a very tight TP or close here again deep, deep, deep in profit.
We want to close here - as we expect to be able to get back in at a lower price. Our position is deep "enough" in profit.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 18069.30
TP ✅ @: 18129.70
Another quick update 20 minutes before NYSE opening. Remember we are overall very LONG positioned - which is the reason why we want to close soon (deep in profit).
Congratulations - we were trading the ups- & downs of Wall Street with near perfection so far
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BUY NOW / DURING NYSE OPENING🔼 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
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BUY WHEN* NYSE OPENS 🔼 JPMorgan Chase (JPM) 🇺🇸
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BUY WHEN** NYSE OPENS 🔼 Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
We are already seeing a strong flight to safety - with investors worried that Iran could attack Israel. Higher oil prices are also weighing on market sentiment, as are yields, which are near a 5-month high. We are also seeing heavy losses in financials as investors are not impressed with the fundamentals of JPMorgan and Wells Fargo.
🔹 Chevron (+0.5%) is the top performer in the Dow Jones. Chevron is currently trading at around 162.75, above our TP on our Chevron position from April 10. We already made a big profit on Chevron yesterday and remain bullish on energy.
🔹 Meta (- 0.7%) opens lower after solid gains yesterday. Meta will likely close in our in-profit SL.
► We take advantage of the selling in New York / flight to safety and re-enter the DAX, which is well below our triggered TP. We see that the DAX is now 150 points below today's highs and want to take advantage of the additional volatility during the NYSE open. We can enter the DAX at/below 18000. We remain LONG in the Dow Jones - I expect the financials currently trading much lower to cut losses again.
► We see JPMorgan trading more than 3.5% lower in pre-market US trading, which gives us a good entry at 188.00 - 188.50* or lower - the lowest price since March 15. While JPMorgan remains one of the more expensive banks, I don't think the earnings report needs to be pristine to justify JPMorgan's premium over other US banks. JPM's first quarter earnings rose 6% to $13.42 billion, or $4.44 per share, compared to the same period last year. As we've said over the past 12 months, last year's acquisition of First Republic in particular was a great deal for JPMorgan during the regional banking crisis and helped boost revenues. On a y-o-y basis, revenues increased significantly by 8% to 42.55 billion - a new record. The bank generated more interest income thanks to higher interest rates and larger loan balances. JPMorgan is excellently managed and will continue to outperform.
►Alphabet opens ~1% lower - we are buying the dip again. There could be further selling, so we could enter the GOOGL range 157.20 - 158.00** - i.e. where/below where we closed yesterday with profits. Alphabet remains our cash cow.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the DAX (GER_40)
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~300 - 320 (30.000% - 32.000%) and trade JPMorgan Chase (JPM).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 380 - 410 (38,000% - 41,000%) when trading Alphabet (GOOGL).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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📊 ROB’S DAILY UPDATE 📈
‼️ Global markets mixed at start of earnings season; EUR slumps on ECB rate cut hopes
US equities are giving back some of yesterday's gains, which came as a surprise to investors. Given the hot US inflation data (CPI data), the USD's / yield's multi-month highs, most analysts expected a further sharp sell-off in equities.
JPMorgan lost almost 4.5% in pre-market trading after its full-year net interest income outlook missed expectations. Wells Fargo also slipped as much as 2% after the results, as net asset value came in below expectations - despite both Wall Street banks significantly beating expectations on both revenue and profit. Citigroup rose after a strong quarter. BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, reported a record $10.5 trillion in client assets and is trading more than 2% higher in pre-market US trading. I see financial stocks in a good position and at fair valuations and therefore expect a solid performance of equities in the first half of US trading and also in the coming week.
The EUR has fallen to its weakest level against the dollar in five months as the market adopts the view we had last month - that the ECB will start cutting rates earlier and more overall in 2024. Swap markets currently expect three rate cuts by the ECB and slightly less than two by the Fed.
Commodity prices also rose - Brent was back above $90 a barrel and gold reached a record high of $2,400. Other base metals also continued to rise. Commodity prices are benefiting from simmering tensions in the Middle East as the US expects Iran or its proxies to launch an attack on Israel in the next 24-48 hours. We are likely to see another flight to safety in the second half of US trading and before the markets close for the weekend. However, I do not anticipate a response from Iran that could draw more countries or even the US into a "war". The markets have heavily priced in a further escalation of tensions, which could lead to profit taking early next week - although this depends on what happens in the Middle East.
Gold is also benefiting from the fact that many analysts still see a bubble market - especially after tech stocks have seen a record rise over the last 15+ months. I don't agree, but the focus will be on whether US companies, especially the big tech companies, can continue to report strong earnings reports and revenue growth.
We expect commodity-linked sectors such as energy and materials to outperform. There is also likely to be a slight rotation from cyclical to more defensive stocks. However, analysts continue to underestimate the strength of the US economy and the US consumer.
👁 ROB'S MARKET OVERVIEW:
April 12, 2024
🌐/🇺🇸 Global Markets ↘️/↕️/↘️
Cyclical / Luxury Stocks ↘️/↕️/↘️
Tech/Growth Stocks ↘️/↕️/↘️
Financial Stocks ↘️/↗️/➡️
Defensive Stocks ↗️
Energy Stocks ↗️
Materials Stocks ↘️/➡️
💱 Forex
USD ↗️/➡️/↗️ (USD to remain in demand; more safe haven USD demand before weekend)
JPY ➡️/↗️ (I expect some buys ahead of weekend on rising BoJ-internvention expectations)
AUD ↘️/↗️ (AUD oversold on recent strong USD)
CHF, CAD ↘️/➡️
GBP ↘️ (Also BOE rate cut expectations will rise)
EUR ↘️ (markets finally taking over our prediction that ECB will not wait for Fed to pivot)
⚒ Commodity Markets ↗️
Oil prices ↗️ (oil to remain bullish - benefitting from concerns about worsening geo-tensions)
Natural Gas prices ↘️/↕️
Metal prices ↗️ (base metal to remain bullish - benefitting from concerns about geo-tensions)
Gold ↗️/↕️ (gold saw strong gains, short-term overbought but remains - bullish benefitting from concerns about worsening geo-tensions)
⚡️Cryptos ↕️/↗️ (Bitcoin remains volatile but seems to have found support above $70K)
(*↗️ bullish, ↘️ bearish, ➡️ sideways / stable, ↕️ mixed / volatile)
Your Robert
⚠️ NON-DELAYED ROB'S DAILY UPDATE IN VIP CHANNEL
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BUY NOW 🔼 Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
► We buy the Dow Jones here again range 38330 - 38350 - well below our triggered TP from yesterday.
► We see the Dow Jones underperforming again - weighed down by a weak pre-market performance of financials.
► Wells Fargo and JPMorgan reported just a few minutes ago - the reports look solid as both beat expectations (top & bottom). We see that JPMorgan is currently trading 3.5% lower, which is weighing heavily on the Dow Jones, which is also under pressure from the losses of other financial companies such as Goldman Sachs or the credit card giants Visa and American Express. Salesforce is also underperforming again under pressure from the very strong USD (good thing we closed yesterday with a profit).
► I see JPMorgan as oversold here - JPMorgan has very strong (record) figures. A cautious outlook weighs heavily, but at first glance we see a solid start to the new earnings season for the banking sector. The markets will react to further comments from JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon, who sees risks for the future - above all significantly higher yields.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) trading the Dow Jones (US30).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 35+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2401.23
TP ✅ @: 2383.87
While gold is here strongly sentiment driven and overbought also as market overprice the current geopolitical tensions - we have to understand that sentiment can drive gold further up especially if the $2,400 can be broken with a bit more confidence.
We are also ahead of the weekend, which further increases concerns about geopolitical tensions to worsen over the weekend.
We are tightening our TP (off-profit) and set a tight SL.
If you traded this position very small - you can of course wait for gold to dip more significantly (but that may only happen on Monday).
On the plus side, TPs for oil and our DAX triggered. If you are still LONG in the DAX set your TP ✅ 18223.30 / SL 🔑 @: 18146.90
———
💯% Transparenz - immer
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
✅ 10.4 - NZD/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.60356)
✅ 10.4 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 17941.20)
✅ 10.4 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2332.56)
✅ 10.4 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18169.70)
✅ 10.4 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 157.37| or closed ~157.75)
✅ 10.4 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 519.43)
✅ 10.4 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18069.30)
✅ 10.4 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2334.16 |or CLOSE 2331 - 2340)
✅ 10.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️(TP - 2343.29 |or TP 2340.37 (opt)) 📸
✴️ 10.4 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 18028.30 (or wider) // TP ✅ @: 18143.70 (opt.)
✅ 10.4 - JPM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 195.87)
✴️✅ 10.4 - META - LONG ↗️ (open - SL in profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 519.93 // TP ✅ @: 524.23
✴️ 10.4 - CVX - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 160.74 // TP ✅ @: 162.63
11/13 - (3 open positions)
✅ 11.4 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 85.147)
✅ 11.4 - CRM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 299.43)
✅ 11.4 - ABNB - LONG ↗️ (TP - 162.87)
✅ 11.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38414.70)
✅ 11.4 - CVX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 161.97)
✴️ 11.4 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2368.61 (optional) 🔄
5/6 - (1 open position)
In what may be the most chaotic period of this year (so far), where analysts, traders and investors have been very surprised by the hot CPI data and completely wrong positioned and that has caused some of the strongest moves of the year, we have yet to have a single negative trade. That's an incredible trading performance. Congratulations.
Our trades against the markets, including our heavy positioning for today's rally, have proven to be correct.
You can tighten the TP for our ultra short-term gold SHORT trade. Gold remains our insane cash cow even as we have "missed" to benefit from even stronger "overgains" in gold today.
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (not posted as a "regular" trading signal)
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
► We are selling gold here in the very short term near $2,375 - a new ATH. Gold got a strong boost today - first from a weaker than expected PPI reading and some dovish comments from the ECB, then also from the returning uncertainty in the stock market - most recently also from a slightly weaker USD. In the end, we saw a lot of FOMO buying, which pushed gold into short-term overbought territory here.
► We remain bullish on gold - but we see no fundamental support for a rise of more than 1.5% today - mainly because US Treasury yields are still at 2024 highs, rate cut expectations are at 2024 lows and equities are back in positive territory. Gold is up almost $50 (!) since today's lows - too much given yields and the strength of the USD and given the rebound in stocks.
► Gold is likely to hit resistance in the $2,370 - $2,375 range, which will then trigger further profit-taking and probably push the gold price back towards $2,360 - actually even back into the $2,350 - $2,360 range
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%) when trading gold (XAU/USD).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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2️⃣3️⃣7️⃣5️⃣ ⏸
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Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
Salesforce (CRM) 🇺🇸
Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 194.73
TP ✅ @: 195.87
Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 160.44
TP1 ✅ @: 161.87
TP2 ✅ @: 162.63
We are seeing a strong rebound in Wall Street & risk sentiment as we predicted - even though investors continued to sell off today and analysts were forecasting sharp losses today.
Our Dow Jones reached the TP for a big profit. The Nasdaq 100 rallied into the 18200 - 18250 range as we predicted (our Nasdaq 100 LONG closed deep in the money earlier though).
We made the perfect dip buy with the Dow Jones and also Chevron. We are tightening our SLs. If you still hold the CVX position from yesterday, set the TP2 for it - we close in profit.
We found a good entry in JPMorgan yesterday, but in early US trading and ahead of tomorrow's earnings reports (including JPM's earnings report) financials were sold off further. We are setting a tight price target here and pulling our SL into the money.
We do not see any very good entry opportunities for most shares, indices or gold at the moment - we are waiting for better entries. Everything has turned out as we predicted (we have traded strongly against the market!).
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 38334.90
TP ✅ @: 38414.70
We made the perfect dip purchase of the underperforming Dow Jones. We secure at least 100 points of profit. We set a tight SL & TP. We are still overall LONG positioned.
We also saw a dip in other rather defensive indices, such as the FTSE 100 or DAX (we remain LONG in the DAX).
It's really unfortunate that a quarter of you missed out on yesterday's massive gains. By the way, we trade positive more than 95% of the days and have a success rate of more than 82.7% (trades) this year.
Make sure you join us from now on and above all learn to trade fundamentally! We will be with you every step of the way and you can discuss any open questions with your account manager at any time.
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BUY NOW 🔼 Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
► We see a strong underperformance of more defensive stocks, manufacturing, healthcare, financials and even energy stocks.
► We see a positive tech sector with investors dip buying as expected following TSMC's recent encouraging numbers and optimism that the US economy will continue to grow. We continue to see positive performance / increased dip buying in big tech.
► Yesterday's hot CPI report was only slightly cooled by the PPI report, which was slightly cooler-than-expected. We see that the markets are still affected by falling Fed rate cut expectations or sharply higher yields.
► The ECB has prepared the markets for rate cuts - but we still see some additional selling. We are buying the sharp drop / underperformance of the Dow Jones after a drop of more than 300 points. We expect rising support towards 38200.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) trading the Dow Jones (US30).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
You can close deep in profit ✅ @: 157.70 - 157.90 here.
My SL triggered - you can close better.
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BUY WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔼 Airbnb (ABNB) 🇺🇸
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY WHEN* NYSE OPENS 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
This market is the perfect example of why most trades are not profitable. They follow the market (which was expecting inflation to cool yesterday from the US CPI data) and then reposition in panic only to lose twice. It is important to understand and trade the fundamentals and stay ahead of the markets. Even worse, many traders trust technical analysis / chart patterns or trading gurus who talk about technical indicators (without paying attention to / understanding fundamentals) - trust ONLY SmartTrader.
We have traded against the market - we are extremely well positioned and way ahead of the markets.
🔹 Alphabet (+0.6%) is extending gains. Our position is very deep in earnings. Alphabet remains our mega cash cow. You can set a TP near the ATH - TP ✅ @: 157.97. Goldman Sachs agrees with us and recommends to "BUY" Alphabet.
🔹 Chevron (+0.7%) opens significantly higher and pushes our position deeper into profit. Chevron opens at the highest level since August 2023. We want to close deep in profit TP ✅ @: 163.89 (or close manually ✅ 163.70 - 164.00+). Scotiabank upgrades Chevron from Sector Perform to Sector Outperform.
🔹 JPM (+0.3%) opens higher. Our position is well in profit. We set a TP ✅ @: 196.77.
🔹 Meta (+0.6%) opens higher and is likely to see further gains. We made a mega Meta trade yesterday. Our position is already deep in profit. We remain LONG. We can set a TP ✅ @: 524.23. Piper Sandler agrees with us and rates Meta as "Overweight".
► Airbnb lags other growth stocks in pre-market trading, down ~1%, with travel stocks under some pressure due to weak performance in Asia. However, we expect risk sentiment to improve - travel stocks are also strongly sentiment-driven. Growth stocks are under pressure from significantly higher yields. I expect Airbnb to recover from ~$159.00. Airbnb is also under (short-term) pressure due to a downgrade by Needham.
► We also expect (VIP ONLY) to break through the $(VIP ONLY) mark again and rise further. (VIP ONLY) is also underperforming other growth stocks as (VIP ONLY) is USD sensitive and under pressure from the strong USD. We enter in the $(VIP ONLY)* range.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 410 - 440 (41,000% - 44,000%) trading Airbnb (ABNB).
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 18048.30
TP ✅ @: 18123.70
We update our Nasdaq a bit - securing higher profits ahead of NYSE opening.
Meanwhile the ECB (or ECB President Christina Lagarde) prepares markets for first rate cut in June - as we have anticipated. Lagarde says if current trends continue, it "would be appropriate" to ease - this is positive for European markets / global markets. Our DAX is near break-even - we stay LONG.