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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

📊 ROB’S DAILY UPDATE 📈

‼️ US stocks little changed after recent gains in quiet week; Europe/Asia continue to rise

Wall Street is showing signs of pausing
after the recent strong rally, which was fueled by optimism that the US Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates before the end of the year. We see all major US equity futures little changed after the S&P 500 closed significantly higher again yesterday and above the 50-day moving average.

Markets in Europe and Asia were mostly higher, with Japan's Nikkei and Hang Seng in particular extending their recent strong gains.

Strong gains from the banking sector helped the European markets to make further gains. However, there are increasing signs of weakness in the European automotive sector: German chip manufacturer Infineon Technologies lowered its sales forecast, signaling that demand from the automotive industry remains weak. Walt Disney reported a profit for the second quarter that exceeded estimates, thanks to significantly lower losses in the streaming TV business and higher admission prices at its theme parks. Nevertheless, total revenues fell short of forecasts, causing shares to fall in pre-market trading.

We also see that demand for bonds continues unabated and yields continue to fall, giving risk assets/stocks a tailwind. In a quiet week for economic data, the focus will be on further speeches from Fed officials. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari will speak today. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin said yesterday that he expects high interest rates to cool inflation to the central bank's 2% target. I don't expect much restraint from Fed officials, but the latest NFP labor market report points to an easing labor market, while PMI data shows a slowdown in the US economy.

We will see markets with low volatility and thin trading activity, mostly in sideways moves.

Investors will also react to news on the current situation in Gaza. Israeli forces took control of the Rafah border crossing in Gaza on Tuesday morning in preparation for a possible attack on the city. It is the first time that the Israeli army has entered this part of the Gaza Strip since the war with Hamas began in October. Israel called on residents in parts of eastern Rafah to leave the city immediately and launched further airstrikes in some areas of the city. Fears of a worsening situation in the Middle East could again increase the risk premium for oil and gold, which are also currently trading little changed.


👁 ROB'S MARKET OVERVIEW:

May 07, 2024


🌐/🇺🇸 Global Markets
➡️
Cyclical / Luxury Stocks ➡️
Tech/Growth Stocks ↕️
Financial Stocks ➡️
Defensive Stocks
➡️
Energy Stocks ➡️
Materials Stocks ↗️
/➡️

💱 Forex
USD, EUR ↗️/➡️
AUD, GBP, CAD ➡️
CHF ↘️/➡️
JPY ↘️

⚒ Commodity Markets ↘️/➡️
Oil prices ↘️/➡️
Natural Gas prices ↘️/↕️
Metal prices ↕️
Gold ↘️/➡️
(fundamentally benefiting from lower yields; slightly pressured from stronger temp. stronger USD)

⚡️Cryptos ➡️/↕️ (back in sideways - for now range $62.5K - $65K)

(*↗️ bullish, ↘️ bearish, ➡️ sideways / stable, ↕️ mixed / volatile)

Your Robert

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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Tuesday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Tuesday, May 7

❗️ European stocks rise on strong bank results; Investors await more rate hints from Fed officials

European equities continued their gains, supported by good results from banks such as UBS Group, which rose by more than 6%, and UniCredit following their positive financial reports. The Stoxx 600 Index rose 0.6%, signaling investor confidence boosted by the expectation of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Despite the positive market sentiment, concerns remain as incoming orders in German industry unexpectedly fell in March and German chip company Infineon Technologies lowered its sales forecast due to continued weakness in the automotive sector. Oil giant BP also reported a fall in profits for the first quarter and announced a large share buyback, slightly missing sales expectations.

US futures were largely unchanged as markets digested the impact of last week's US labor market data, which fueled speculation about possible interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The focus remains on upcoming speeches from Federal Reserve officials, including Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, which could provide further clues on the stance of monetary policy. Meanwhile, yields on 10-year US government bonds fell slightly, reflecting investors' cautious but optimistic outlook. Markets are also awaiting Disney's earnings release later today.

► Asian equities were on an upward trend, with Japan's Nikkei and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index making significant gains. This is the longest streak of gains since February, driven by growing optimism over Fed rate easing and a robust recovery in corporate profitability in the region. The JPY weakened against the USD, with Masato Kandal pointing out that there was no immediate (additional) need for government intervention unless market conditions warranted it.

Oil prices rose slightly for the second day in a row as tensions in the Middle East potentially intensify, particularly in Gaza where ceasefire talks have stalled. WTI crude oil prices are now trading at $78.5/barrel. Gold prices fell 0.4%, but the outlook for gold remains positive as the metal continues to rise well into May and ahead of further comments from key Fed officials, which investors hope will provide further signs of interest rate cuts.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸🇯🇵 Jibun Bank Services PMI - 00:30 (released)
🔸🇦🇺 Retail Sales - 01:30 (released)
🔸🇦🇺 RBA Interest Rate Decision - 04:30 (released)
🔸🇩🇪 Balance of Trade - 06:00 (released)
🔸🇩🇪 Factory Orders - 06:00 (released)
🔸🇫🇷 Balance of Trade - 06:45 (released)
🔸🇪🇺 🇫🇷 🇩🇪 🇮🇹 HCOB Construction PMI - 07:30 (released)
🔸🇪🇺 Retail Sales - 09:00 (released)
🔸🇺🇸 API Crude Oil Stock Change - 20:30

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Walt Disney (DIS) 🇺🇸
☀️ BP (BP) 🇬🇧 (reported)
☀️ UBS Group (UBS) 🇨🇭 (reported)
☀️ Arista Networks (ANET) 🇺🇸
☀️ Duke Energy (DUK) 🇺🇸
☀️ Ferrari (RACE) 🇮🇹
☀️ Transdigm (TDG) 🇺🇸
☀️ McKesson (MCK) 🇺🇸
☀️ Siemens Healthineers (SMMNY) 🇩🇪
☀️ Nintendo (NTDOY) 🇯🇵 (reported)
☀️ Occidental (OXY) 🇺🇸
☀️ Suncor Energy (SU) 🇨🇦
☀️ Deutsche Post (DHLGY) 🇩🇪
☀️ Infineon (IFNNY) 🇩🇪 (reported)
☀️ Sempra Energy (SRE) 🇺🇸
☀️ Datadog (DDOG) 🇺🇸
☀️ Electronic Arts (EA) 🇺🇸
(...and more with market cap <$35B)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 23.03 - 29.04 (26 trading days)

145 / 181 = 80% Success Rate

...
✅ 29.4 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18232.30) 🔄 📸
...

❌ 30.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2306.23; Re-Entry in profit)
✅ 30.4 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (SL - 157.287)
✅ 30.4 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 173.93)
✅ 30.4 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 81.347)
✅ 30.4 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 181.43)
✅ 30.4 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 157.877)
✅ 30.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38148.70)

6/7 = 85.7% Success Rate

01.5 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (pending order; SL - 154.894)

1/1 = 100% Success Rate

2.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 17677.30)
2.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2304.47)
2.5 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 117.47|or TP - 117.47) 🔄
2.5 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (SL - 571.23| or TP - 574.49)
2.5 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 449.83)

5/5 - 100% Success Rate

I have added the DAX position from Monday last week here - because it closed today in our TP (deep in profit) today. Our ExxonMobil positions also closed well in profit - for many of you in TP - 117.47 / I closed at exactly the same price but in SL. ExxonMobil saw a bit more profit taking at the NYSE close. Our previous week was breathtakingly good and got even better as the markets moved today exactly as we predicted on Friday.

On the screenshot you can also see our gold and GBP/USD position from Friday, which closed all in profit at the beginning of the week and led to a mega start to the week.

Congratulations!
👏

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⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸

► We see little to no weakness in the growth sector in New York. Meta remains in recovery mode until the last minute of regular trading, trying to break above $465.00 here. I got in a little early but still see significant upside potential for Meta and likely another positive open today even though Meta is down almost 8% in the last 5 trading days.

Meta remains well below where it was before overselling after a very solid earnings report due to concerns that Meta would no longer grow "mega rapidly" but only very rapidly - and concerns of big spending in AI infrastructure / Metaverse.

► We remain LONG in Meta and see further upside potential this week as Meta - as predicted at the beginning of last week - quickly moves back towards $475 - $500 - apparently even faster than my optimistic forecast.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 120 - 130 (12,000% - 13,000%) when trading Meta Platforms (META).

PS: Our Amazon position still hit our TP ✅ 188.29, if your position didn't close a little earlier in the TP at 187.79 - congratulations!

Signal DELAYED by: 10+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———

👤⬆️4️⃣7️⃣0️⃣

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🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

SL 🔑 @: 2323.49
TP ✅ @: 2329.87

There are news floating around that Hamas accepts cease-fire proposal from Egyptian, Qatari mediators - but it doesn't bring a deal with Israel much closer. Israel did not confirm whether it would accept or reject the deal that Hamas approved. "We are exploring every single thing that we hear and we are exhausting the potential about negotiations and bringing back the hostages and that is our main mission to bring them home as quickly as possible," said Israel Defense Forces Officer Daniel Hagari shortly in a press briefing following Hamas’ announcement. Hagari addded "but in parallel, we are continuing to act in an operational manner, in the Gaza Strip and we will continue to do so."

Gold is currently moving mainly due to the unclear geopolitical situation. From another fundamental point of view - lower yields again at the end of the day, USD still weakened - gold remains fundamentally supported.

We are setting a tight SL here - securing nice profits again and setting our TP again at $2,330.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 17988.70
TP ✅ @: 18056.70

Amazon
(AMZN) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 186.24
TP ✅ @: 187.79

We are not over-positioning - we are already well positioned. Our Meta position has reached the TP - Meta is currently finding some resistance at $460.00 - we are looking at where we can position ourselves LONG again (in Meta). We now see the markets moving sideways, with the Nasdaq 100 not getting much above 18000 (but also finding support at 18000 for now).

We secure a nice profit with our Nasdaq 100, which found support exactly in the area we expected.

We are now also setting a in-profit SL for our Amazon position.


———

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Meta Platforms
(META) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 452.98
TP ✅ @: 457.70

Amazon
(AMZN) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 187.79

ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 117.47
TP ✅ @: 117.93

Our positioning is excellent. You can set now an in-profit SL for our Meta position - which pushed earlier to 458.00 (where we set our TP). I widened my TP for ExxonMobil a bit - if you closed at 117.47 - congratulations - great TP.

We can now put our SL at that level and the TP at ~188.00.

We stay LONG in Amazon - you can put your TP at Friday's highs.

Our gold position hit TP for a mega profit. the Nasdaq 100 saw exactly the movement we expected - with some volatility around NYSE opening and then pushing to / above 18000.

Congratulations! We are ahead of the markets - pure trading magic 💫


—-——

Profits
💵, Profits 💸, Profits 💸

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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY WHEN* NYSE OPENS 🔼 Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸

We expect Friday's strong gains to continue as lower yields / weaker USD and greater confidence that the Fed is on track to cut rates support equities - especially growth stocks


🔹 Exxon (+0.6%) opens positive at / slightly above 160.70. Our position is well in profit. We set a TP at ✅ @: 117.47.

🔹 Meta (+ 0.8%) opens (again) well. Our re-entry is well in profit. We remain LONG and expect Meta to stay in recovery mode.

🔹 PayPal (+0.4%) opens higher after some profit taking on Friday. We set an in-profit TP ✅ @: 67.14 and wait to see how PayPal performs in early US trading.


► We are already LONG positioned (we are also LONG in the Nasdaq 100), but also want to get back into Amazon, which is underperforming other big tech stocks in pre-market trading and can "only" open flat or slightly negative. We enter Amazon at below $186.00* (range 185.15 - 185.75) and expect the tech giant to trend back towards Friday's highs towards $188.00. Amazon reported a very strong quarter, impressing particularly with strong growth in high-margin advertising revenue and outperforming both Microsoft and Google in cloud computing revenue growth. In addition, margins in Amazon's cloud business (AWS) improved further - to a record level. Amazon's retail business was also strong in the first quarter - there is little reason not to expect further gains.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 290 - 320 (29,000% - 32,000%) trading with Amazon (AMZN)

Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!


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🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

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📊 ROB’S DAILY UPDATE 📈

‼️ Stocks extend Friday gains as traders become more confident that Fed cuts rates in 2024

Equity markets continue to rise,
with stocks in Europe, Asia and the US (in pre-market trading) extending last week's rally as traders are increasingly confident that the Fed will see conditions later this year that will allow interest rate cuts.

Trading volumes are light to start the week as key markets (UK, Japan) are/remained closed today as well. We see the S&P 500 0.4% higher in pre-market US trading. Apple is weighing slightly on Wall Street after last week's strong gains after Berkshire Hathaway reduced its massive stake.

We also see bond yields continuing to fall, with German 10-year yields in particular falling sharply. The lower yields show that confidence is rising that the major central banks are on track to ease the current tight monetary conditions.

The JPY weakened again after a strong week in which the Japanese currency was supported by (probably massive) Japanese intervention measures.

We see a quiet start to the week in terms of economic data. The markets will be influenced by the representatives of the central banks. The ECB's chief economist, Philip Lane, said in an interview that the latest data has made him more confident that inflation will return to the 2% target. In fact, some economies in the Eurozone have already reached or are approaching the target, making a first rate cut in June or July likely. New York Fed President John Williams and Thomas Barkin of the Richmond Fed will comment on current conditions and Fed monetary policy on Monday, followed by Neel Kashkari of Minneapolis on Tuesday.

In a rather quiet week overall, the current risk-on sentiment can be maintained, especially on Monday. The focus will be on the US inflation data for April at the end of the week.

The markets in Europe were also boosted by strong gains in Chinese equities in particular. Mainland Chinese stocks led the gains as mainland markets recovered after a holiday break.

Oil prices rose after Saudi Arabia raised prices for customers in Asia. Positive market sentiment, a weaker USD, hopes of upcoming interest rate cuts and signs of a possible renewed escalation of the situation in Gaza are also supporting oil prices (as well as gold).


👁 ROB'S MARKET OVERVIEW:

May 06, 2024


🌐/🇺🇸 Global Markets
↗️/➡️
Cyclical / Luxury Stocks ↗️
Tech/Growth Stocks ↗️
Financial Stocks ↗️/➡️
Defensive Stocks
➡️
Energy Stocks ↗️ (recovering after recent sell-off)
Materials Stocks ↗️


💱 Forex
AUD, GBP ↗️
EUR, CAD ↗️/➡️
CHF ➡️
USD, JPY ↘️/➡️

⚒ Commodity Markets ↗️
Oil prices ↗️
Natural Gas prices ↗️
Metal prices ↗️/➡️
Gold ↗️/➡️
(benefiting from sliding yields / weaker USD / concerns about Gaza)

⚡️Cryptos ↗️/↕️ (benefiting strongly from risk-on mood / expectations of rate cuts)

(*↗️ bullish, ↘️ bearish, ➡️ sideways / stable, ↕️ mixed / volatile)

Your Robert

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
DAX
(GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 18183.30
TP ✅ @: 18232.30

We can finally secure profits with our DAX position. We have seen some technical selling pressure near / above 18200 for the DAX, which is why we set a tight SL & TP near that level. The 18200 level is key for the DAX at the moment.

Tailwinds for the European stock markets come in particular from New York with rate cut expectations higher again. We also see producer prices in the Eurozone significantly lower in March. They fell by an average of 7.8% compared to the same month last year - which may be strong factor that current disinflation continues. Producer prices for energy fell particularly sharply in March with being down 20.0% (!) YoY.

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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Monday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Monday, May 6

❗️ Global stocks extend last week's gains following increased rate cut hopes after soft US payrolls data

► European stocks rose, with the Stoxx 600 rising 0.25%, reflecting cautious optimism. This mild uplift comes amidst mixed corporate earnings and positive economic indicators from France and Spain, which suggest some resilience in the Eurozone economy. Notably, German 10-year yields dropped for a third consecutive day, signaling investor confidence in European debt amidst economic stabilization.

► In the US, the markets responded positively to a Friday's softer-than-expected payroll report, which has revived hopes for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. Following Friday's very strong performance the S&P 500 future edges further up currently up 0.2%, reflecting ongoing optimism. Market sentiment is buoyed by expectations that the Fed might signal a more accommodative stance in light of US payroll data but also with US' mega caps mostly beating earnings expectations.

Asian markets are broadly higher today, led by a strong performance in Chinese shares, which surged up to 1.8% as they played catch-up after a holiday exactly as predicted by our Chief Analyst on Friday. Despite a holiday in Japan, other regional markets including Taiwan and Singapore also posted gains. This rally underscores a growing investor confidence in Asian equities, bolstered by lower valuations and potential for economic recovery across the region. The JPY weakened against the USD due to Japan’s significant interest rate spread with the US, affecting forex markets.

► Commodities saw notable movements, with oil prices advancing after Saudi Arabia raised its prices for grades shipped to Asia. WTI Crude oil rose close to $79/barrel. This price adjustment reflects ongoing geopolitical tensions and supply dynamics affecting global oil markets. Meanwhile, gold's trajectory remains upward, with prices trading above $2,320/oz. Israel’s military on Monday said it has begun evacuating Palestinians from parts of Gaza’s southern city of Rafah, ahead of an expected military operation


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇨🇳 Caixin Services & Composite PMI - 01:45 (released)
🔸 🇪🇸 Unemployment Change - 07:00 (released)
🔸 🇪🇸 HCOB Services & Composite PMI - 07:15 (released)
🔸 🇮🇹 HCOB Services & Composite PMI - 07:45 (released)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB Services & Composite PMI - 07:50 (released)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB Services & Composite PMI - 07:55 (released)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB Services & Composite PMI - 08:00 (released)
🔸 🇪🇺 PPI - 09:00 (released)

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

🌙 Vertex (VRTX) 🇺🇸
☀️ Intesa Sanpaolo (ISNPY) 🇮🇹
☀️ Equinix (EQIX) 🇺🇸
☀️ British American Tobacco (BTI) 🇬🇧
🌙 Itau Unibanco (ITUB) 🇧🇷
🌙 Simon Property (SPG) 🇺🇸
🌙 Palantir (PLTR) 🇺🇸
🌙 Microchip (MCHP) 🇺🇸
🌙 Realty Income (O) 🇺🇸
🌙 Williams (WMB) 🇺🇸
🌙 Fidelity National (FIS) 🇺🇸
☀️ United Overseas Bank (UOVEY) 🇸🇬
☀️ Prudential Public (PUK) 🇬🇧
☀️ Hang Seng Bank (HSNGY) 🇭🇰
☀️ BioNTech (BNTX) 🇩🇪
(...and more with market cap <$30B)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team
& Robert Lindner

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 22.03 - 26.04 (26 trading days)

146/184 = 79.3% Success Rate

29.4 - AUD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (SL - 102.549)
29.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2334.23)
29.4 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 180.99)
✴️ 29.4 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 17898.90
❌ 29.4 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 184.47)

3/5 - (1 - open positions)

❌ 30.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2306.23; Re-Entry in profit)
✅ 30.4 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (SL - 157.287)
✅ 30.4 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 173.93)
✅ 30.4 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 81.347)
✅ 30.4 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 181.43)
✅ 30.4 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 157.877)
✅ 30.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38148.70)

6/7 = 85.7% Success Rate

01.5 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (pending order; SL in profit)

1/1 = 100% Success Rate

*No Update*

The DAX rose sharply after the softer-than-expected NFP / wage data but then saw some profit taking, with more defensive stocks lagging behind tech and growth stocks. We are likely to see a positive opening in Europe/Germany and Asia on Monday, although potentially poor Eurozone and German purchasing managers' index data on Monday could initially weigh on the DAX a little bit (but not much, as Flash data already revealed the weakness in German manufacturing).

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🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 (VIP ONLY)/USD

► We continue to build our SHORT position in the USD and trade the USD against the (VIP ONLY), which is underperforming the AUD today / and for most of the year despite higher (VIP ONLY) rates, which like the Fed are at 5.5%.

Today's softer than expected NFP data (especially the lower-than-expected wage gain) changed the markets' view on the Fed's rate cut outlook and significantly raised expectations that the Fed could make a first rate cut in September, with a total of two rate cuts likely in 2024, similar to (VIP ONLY) - although I expect more (VIP ONLY).

► The (VIP ONLY)/USD still has some room to move higher and is likely to benefit from a strong start to the week for Asian equities in Hong Kong, China, South Korea and (VIP ONLY). I expect the Hang Seng to close higher for the tenth consecutive week on Monday. The (VIP ONLY) is sensitive to (VIP ONLY) ...

Yields on US Treasuries fell significantly today, continuing the recent decline and putting additional pressure on the USD. We can enter here at below (VIP ONLY) and expect the pair to move into the (VIP ONLY) range early next week.

Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2289.23
TP ✅ @: 2314.89

We tighten the SLs for our gold position. Our re-entry is very deep in profit / our overall position is in profit again. We expect further gains for gold towards the close as yields fall again.

We have seen the almost perfect NFP report - just as the Fed would probably have liked to see it. A weaker labor market report with slightly higher unemployment, but more importantly lower than expected wage growth which will reduce inflationary pressures from rising wages. The slowdown in hiring also points to slower wage growth ahead - opening the door for rate cuts as early as September - although we (and certainly the Fed) need more reports like this.

Gold is fundamentally benefiting from the weaker USD, lower yields and rising expectations that the Fed will cut rates twice more this year.


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BUY NOW 🔼 GBP/USD

► The USD recovered from the immediate losses following the NFP data.

► The surprisingly strong slowdown in the US labor market has raised expectations that the Federal Reserve may start cutting interest rates as early as September. Moreover, the slower than expected growth in wages has reduced concerns that wage inflation will remain a driving factor for inflation.

► However, markets are now also looking at the bigger picture of the data, especially in combination with the April ISM services PMI, which reached its lowest level since 2022 at 49.4. There are clear signs of a slowdown in the US economy. We therefore see a short-term rebound in the USD thanks to safe-haven demand and headwinds for risk-sensitive currencies such as the GBP.

► However, the slide has gone a long way and GBP/USD is now below pre-NFP levels. We buy the decline to 1.25300 and expect the USD to weaken again.

Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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BUY NOW 🔼 AUD/JPY
SL 🔑 @: (VIP ONLY)

► We saw a slight headwind for the AUD after the RBA left interest rates at 4.35% and at the same time did not directly hint at further rate hikes, but did not rule them out either. The result had been widely expected by economists.

► Michele Bullock, governor of the RBA, said rates were at the right level after leaving them unchanged for a sixth month, but warned of inflation risks, suggesting monetary easing was unlikely in the near term.

Inflation was above expectations at 3.6% in the first quarter and the RBA remains data dependent, but it seems likely that a potential rate cut will not occur until Q4/2024.

► The AUD is benefiting from the expectation that rate cuts may be further away than even from the Fed, the recent rise in commodity prices and the strong performance of markets in Asia/China.

► We see the JPY back on the weakening path after data points to a $36 billion (¥5.62 trillion) yen intervention last week. The wide interest rate/yield differential continues to weigh on the JPY's attractiveness.

► We are working with an SL, but do not expect any further intervention for the time being. We now see the AUD/JPY at 102.000 and expect the pair to rise back to the level before today's RBA monetary policy update (102.450 - 102.500).

🗣️ Tip: You can multiply your usual trade size by ~ 1.15 - 1.25 (115% - 125%) when trading AUD/JPY.

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✴️ 3.5 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 78.979
🔄
3.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2314.69) 🔄
3.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 17857.4)
✴️ 3.5 - PYPL - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 67.14

3.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2306.93) 🔄
3.5 - GBP/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 1.25379) 🔄
3.5 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 457.7) 🔄 📸
✴️ 3.5 - NZD/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 0.60287 🔄

5/8 - (3 - open positions) 🔄

6.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2329.79) 📸
✅ 6.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 17988.7)📸
✅ 6.5 - AMZN - LONG ↗️(TP - 188.33)📸
✅ 6.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2326.39)📸
✴️ 6.5 - META - LONG ↗️ (open - just entered)

4/5 - (1 - open position)

We didn't trade much today as we we brought many positions from last week / Friday into the fresh week. We were extremely well positioned on Friday expecting the risk-on mode to be unchanged today with a slow start into the week (in terms of economic data / earnings report and with markets in UK & JP closed).

Congratulations! Phenomenal trading. Both our gold trades hit TP.
🎯

You can tighten TPs such as for our oil (WTI) position - which may do another rebound overnight - especially if concerns about the situation in the Middle East worsens and our NZD/USD position - which was earlier today already well in profit / continues to benefit from a positive risk sentiment.

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

SL 🔑 @: 2324.23
TP ✅ @: 2326.39
or
CLOSE ✅ @: 2325.75

Our gold position did not trigger the SL - by 1 (! / incl. spread) cent. Actually unbelievable (possibly triggered for you, if the spread was slightly higher). We tighten the SL / TP here again to close deep in the money.

Super / almost unreal gold trading today (once again) 👏

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Amazon
(AMZN) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 186.97
TP ✅ @: 188.33

We see Wall Street finishing the Monday session near session's highs. You can widen your TP / tighten the SL of your Amazon position which is near our TP 30 minutes before NYSE closing.

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BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

► The ongoing talks between US President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have raised hopes that the strong US resistance to a major ground offensive in the southern Gaza town of Rafah could lead to a possible return to negotiations. After all, Netanyahu apparently wants to ensure that humanitarian deliveries are possible via the Kerem Shalom border crossing. I am not optimistic - because neither side shows much room for concessions. Israel's goal remains the complete destruction of Hamas (which may be difficult to achieve, cannot be consistent with any deals with Hamas - plus Israel's "actions" continue to cause severe human suffering in Gaza).

► However, the talks between Hamas and Israel have stalled as Hamas has decided to freeze the latest round of negotiations on a ceasefire with Israel and postpone the trip of its delegation to Cairo. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant stressed on Monday that Hamas' refusal to accept a new agreement on a ceasefire and hostage exchange forces his country to launch a ground operation in Rafah.

► We buy the small dip to (below) $2,320 and see some more upside potential for gold - also supported by a slightly weaker USD and the recent drop in yields.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.5 - 0.8 (50% - 80%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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📊 SmartTrader Premium Insights: Analyst Rating Updates

📆 Monday, May 6

🟢 Positive Ratings:

Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Loop reiterates as ”BUY”
Price Target: $215 ⤴️ $225

Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Morgan Stanley reiterates as ”OVERWEIGHT”

(VIP ONLY) 🟡⤴️🟢
Analyst: Bank of America upgrades to ”BUY”
Previously: "NEUTRAL"

Citigroup (C) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Wells Fargo reiterates as ”OVERWEIGHT”

Disney (DIS) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Deutsche Bank reiterates as "BUY"
Price Target: $125 ⤴️ $130

(VIP ONLY) 🟢
Analyst: MoffettNathanson initiates as ”BUY”
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)

Micron (MU) 🇺🇸🟡⤴️🟢
Analyst: Baird upgrades to ”OUTPERFORM”
Previously: "NEUTRAL"
Price Target: $225 ⤴️ $250

Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Melius reiterates as ”BUY”

🟡 Neutral Ratings:

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟡
Analyst: Susquehanna reiterates as ”NEUTRAL”
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY) ⤵️ $(VIP ONLY)

eBay (EBAY) 🇺🇸🟡
Analyst: Truist reiterates as ”HOLD”
Price Target: $48 ⤴️ $50

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢⤵️🟡
Analyst: UBS downgrades to "NEUTRAL"
Previously: "BUY"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY) ⤵️ $(VIP ONLY)

🔴 Negative Ratings:

Coinbase (COIN) 🇺🇸🔴
Analyst: Barclays reiterates as "UNDERWEIGHT"
Price Target: $179 ⤴️ $204

Price Target (or target price): When an analyst sets a price target for a stock, he or she is trying to determine what the stock is worth and where the price will be in ~12 months. Ultimately, price targets depend on the valuation of the company issuing the stock. Analysts base their price targets usually on earnings forecasts and assumed valuation multiples. Price targets (especially average price targets) can be used to value stocks and may even be more useful than a stock analyst's rating.

🟢 = positive rating
🟡 = neutral rating
🔴 = negative rating

⤴️ = upgrade
⤵️ = downgrade

You can find the Analyst Rating Updates also on the Website:
Click HERE 🔗

💬 As a subscriber / member - you can also comment there and exchange information with other community members!


SmartTrader™ Analyst team

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2323.69
TP ✅ @: 2329.79
OR
CLOSE ✅ @: 2328.50 - 2329.00

Gold remains our mega cash cow. With a success rate of more than 90% in short-term trading we have likely traded gold short-term better than any other trader / algorithm this year. Congratulations on yet another nice profit w/ gold!

We now secure nice profits again. I see that some of you already closed near $2,330. We see yields recovering for now and thus set our TP tight. Gold remains bullish but we can likely find a better re-entry in both cases (SL / TP trigger).


———

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BUY NOW / SOON*🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸

► Our DAX position has just reached the TP, with Europe and Asia clearly in the green.

► We see a quiet Monday in terms of economic data and earnings reports - and overall probably a less hectic week than previous weeks. Risk sentiment remains positive (as we also predicted on Friday) and we see Wall Street continuing its rally from last week, which ended three negative weeks in a row, as traders are increasingly confident that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year. There are signs of easing in the labor market (which may help to reduce inflation) and also early signs of a slowdown in the US economy, which also has a deflationary effect.

► We see the Nasdaq 100 being affected by Apple losing some of last week's strong gains after Berkshire Hathaway reduced its stake.

We want to have a LONG position in an index as our DAX position already closed deep in the money. We find an entry point in the Nasdaq 100 here. You can also profit from the rising volatility before/at the NYSE opening. We find an entry range 17935 - 17950*and expect the Nasdaq 100 to test and break through 18000 today.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

Signal DELAYED by: 60+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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29.4 - AUD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (SL - 102.549)
29.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2334.23)
29.4 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 180.99)
(✅)✴️ 29.4 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (open - SL in profit) 🔄
👉 SL 🔑 @: 18183.30 // TP ✅ @: 18232.30
❌ 29.4 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 184.47)

4/5 = 80% Success Rate (1 - open position)

❌ 30.4 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2306.23; Re-Entry in profit)
✅ 30.4 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (SL - 157.287)
✅ 30.4 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 173.93)
✅ 30.4 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 81.347)
✅ 30.4 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 181.43)
✅ 30.4 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 157.877)
✅ 30.4 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38148.70)

6/7 = 85.7% Success Rate

01.5 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (pending order; SL in profit)

1/1 = 100% Success Rate

✅ 2.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 17677.30)
2.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2304.47)
✴️ 2.5 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (open - break-even)
2.5 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (SL - 571.23| or TP - 574.49)
2.5 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 449.83)

4/5 - (1 - open position)

✴️ 3.5 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (open - near-break-even)
3.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2314.69) 🔄
3.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 17857.4)
✴️ 3.5 - PYPL - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
3.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2306.93) 🔄
3.5 - GBP/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 1.25379) 🔄
✴️ 3.5 - META - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
✴️ 3.5 - NZD/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - in profit)

4/8 - (4 - open positions)

Quick update on our trades from last week. Our DAX position from Monday last week has now an in-profit SL. Both our gold trades from Friday closed in profit (TP1/TP2 - both triggered). Also our GBP/USD ended in profit (SL).

(total trades last week 26, from them 19 are closed /will be closed in profit. Only 2 closed off-profit. 6 Open positions)

-> edit - SL & TP update for DAX position

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BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

Gold has now recorded losses in the last two weeks. It fell in the first week due to a stronger USD and concerns over a further delay in interest rate cuts and last week as investors moved back into equities after weaker than expected labor market data reduced concerns over a hawkish Fed. In addition, a reduction in the risk premium played a major role in both weeks as investors hoped that geopolitical tensions in the Middle East might ease.

► We are now seeing rising concerns again about how the ongoing negotiations for a ceasefire are progressing. Hopes for a ceasefire have diminished following recent statements by both Hamas and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Hamas repeated its demand for an end to the war in return for the release of hostages, which Netanyahu strictly rejected. There are many indications that the military operation will be expanded. Today, the Israeli military called on the Palestinian civilian population in parts of Rafah to "evacuate immediately".

► We also see that bond yields in Europe and the US continue to fall, which reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold. The gold price reached almost $2,325 today, but fell back to almost $2,315. We are buying range $2,315 - $2,317.25 and expect the risk premium to rise again - Netanyahu says Israel is aiming for "total victory" which would not be possible without further IDF advances.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.5 - 0.8 (50% - 80%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———

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2.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 17677.30) 🔄
2.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2304.47)
✴️ 2.5 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (open - break-even)
2.5 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (SL - 571.23| or TP - 574.49) 🔄
2.5 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 449.83) 🔄

4/5 - (1 - open position)

✴️ 3.5 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
✴️ 3.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 2289.23 // TP ✅ @: 2314.69
3.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 17857.4)
✴️ 3.5 - PYPL - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
(✅)✴️ 3.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - SL in profit|Re-Entry)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 2289.23 // TP ✅ @: 2306.93
(✅)✴️ 3.5 - GBP/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - SL in profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.25379 // TP ✅ @: 1.25973

✴️ 3.5 - META - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
✴️ 3.5 - NZD/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - break-even)

3/8 - (7 open positions)

We look back on a very successful week that could have turned out even better - if we could have traded the Fed meeting a little more (because the Fed positioned itself exactly as we predicted and not as hawkish as the market feared; sorry that I had to take a flight). Given today's surprisingly weak NFP/wage data, the Fed appears to be on the right track. We see the week ending with a very risk-on sentiment (S&P 500 / Nasdaq 100 at the high for the week). We should have closed our WTI position right after the rise following the weaker labor market data, but we currently see oil prices oversold. We expect a solid start to the week ahead, with a slow start on Monday (in terms of economic data / major earnings reports) - so not much that could spoil today's positive risk sentiment.

Congrats on an excellent week and even better predictions,
enjoy your weekend - Rob / stronger together
🤝

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2289.87
TP1 ✅ @: 2306.93
TP1
✅ @: 2314.69

GBP/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.25379
TP ✅ @: 1.25973

We are very SHORT on the USD and set an in-profit SL for our GBP/USD, which found support at 1.26300 exactly as we predicted. We see further short-term headwinds for the USD. Our gold position is also deep in profit overall. We tighten the TP (TP1) for our re-entry as our re-entry position is very deep in profit. Our TP2 is set a little looser.

Gold is fundamentally supported by expectations of lower yields and higher expectations of interest rate cuts, but is facing a headwind from the current risk-on sentiment.


———

💲📉💰🤲
🥇📈💰🤲

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KAUFEN 🔼 Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸

► Zwei Stunden vor Börsenschluss sehen wir an der Wall Street nicht viele Anzeichen von Schwäche. Mit unseren Rebound-Trades bei Meta und Netflix haben wir heute große Gewinne mit nach Hause genommen. Wir steigen jetzt wieder in Meta ein, und zwar in der Nähe / leicht unterhalb unseres ausgelösten TPs.

► Wir sehen Meta weiterhin im Erholungsmodus und insgesamt bullisch - wir wollen daher LONG bleiben. Meta ist in einer Überreaktion stark gefallen, da die Märkte Meta für eine Prognose, die ein langsameres Umsatzwachstum vermuten lässt, und für einige der großen Investitionen von Meta, die die Gewinne des Unternehmens kurzfristig belasten werden, stark abgestraft haben - viel zu stark. Andererseits verfügt Meta über ein großes Potenzial für zusätzliches großes Umsatz-/Gewinnwachstum, u. a. durch eine weitere Verbesserung der Margen und die Erschließung neuer Einnahmequellen.

► Metas Q1-Umsatz von $36,46 Mrd. übertraf den Umsatz von $28,65 Mrd. in Q1/2023 bei weitem. Der Gewinn pro Aktie lag mit $4,71 mehr als doppelt so hoch wie die $2,20 in Q1/2023 und um $0,39 höher als erwartet. Das sind beeindruckende Wachstumszahlen.

► Der Social-Media-Riese wächst weiterhin rasant und ist im Verhältnis zu den anderen großen Tech-Werten attraktiv bewertet. Meta hat ein erhebliches Aufwärtspotenzial bei der Steigerung der Einnahmen, der Nutzeraktivität und der Margen, indem es die Integration von KI weiter forciert.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 120 - 130 (12,000% - 13,000%) when trading Meta Platforms (META).

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 17817.30
TP ✅ @: 17857.40
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 17835 - 17840 (area)

We close our Nasdaq LONG slightly in profit as we see concerns about a slowdown of the US economy rising.

We also saw a slight rebound in Treasury yields and the USD seeing recovery buying (although we see the USD still weakening again).

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Netflix
(NFLX) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 571.23
TP ✅ @: 574.49

Netflix is very close to our SL. You can optionally extend here if you want 569.70. I hold the SL. We are pulling the TP closer.

Exceptional NYSE closing trades yesterday - congratulations!


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Please don't forget that most people work several weeks for the profits we make overnight. Stay humble, always focused and if possible share some of your profits with people in need - thank you

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