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[TRIAL] ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTraderโ„ข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

๐Ÿ”ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED ๐Ÿ”ผ Meta Platforms (META) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

๐Ÿ”ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY AFTER** NYSE OPENED ๐Ÿ”ผ (VIP ONLY) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

We see Wall Street stabilizing for the time being after yesterday's strong gains, which pushed US futures to record levels. The market is now waiting for further data that would justify an extension of the gains to new record highs. We assume that stock prices will continue to rise and that general optimism will outweigh concerns about a renewed sell-off.


๐Ÿ”น The Nasdaq (+0.1%) is up slightly
and is currently hovering just above 18600. There may be some profit-taking, but as long as hopes of a rate cut persist, stocks, especially the important big tech stocks, may see further gains.

๐Ÿ”น Netflix (+0.2%) is rising after the company reported strong growth in subscribers to the ad-supported tier. However, there are also concerns about potentially high costs for Netflix as the streaming giant moves into live sports. I see good opportunities for Netflix to massively increase revenue from advertising. We set a TP near the recent highs where Netflix encountered resistance โœ… @: 622.98. JPMorgan reiterates an "overweight" rating on Netflix.


โ–บ We see Meta strongly underperforming as the European Union has launched an investigation against Meta regarding the safety of children on the social media platforms Facebook and Instagram. Meta gained strongly yesterday (+2%) and is currently trading 1.5% lower pre-market. There is likely to be further profit-taking, which could push the social media giant below yesterday's opening price ($474.75). We want to get into the social media giant (range $471.00 - $474.75 = yesterday's opening price) and expect Meta to rebound.

โ–บ We are also buying the more than 1% drop in (VIP ONLY) share price and find a good entry point at $(VIP ONLY)** (= 1.4% lower). We see significantly higher oil (currently +1.5%) and (VIP ONLY) prices today which will provide (VIP ONLY) robust fundamental support. Our WTI position from yesterday just hit the TP for a mega profit (VIP ONLY) ...

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~120 - 130 (12,000% - 13,000%) when trading Meta Platforms (META).

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...

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BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ GBP/JPY

โ–บ The weaker USD has supported the JPY slightly more than the GBP, especially as the JPY recovered more of its recent decline in Asian trading today despite weak Japanese GDP data.

โ–บ Japan's economy is still in the doldrums. GDP fell by an annualized 2% in the first quarter. This was significantly worse than the expected 1.5%. The fact that the Japanese economy is in recession is bad news for the Bank of Japan and the government in Tokyo, which want to gradually move away from the ultra-low interest rates that have characterized Japan for decades. However, interest rate hikes and higher debt costs would increase the headwinds for the Japanese economy.

โ–บ We see some of the JPY gains being lost again and expect further JPY selling. GBP is benefiting from improved risk sentiment as global equities are at record levels and growth is better than expected. The UK GDP quarter came in at 0.6% versus the expected 0.4%, well ahead of Q4 GDP growth (-0-3%). It was the fastest growth in the UK economy since Q1 2022. We also see inflation still too high and wage growth above inflation, likely leading to slow disinflation.

โ–บ We see the GBP/JPY pair finding some support in the 195.900 - 196.000 range and expect a rise. The GBP also benefits from slightly higher gilt yields - compared to a further decline in yields in the US


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๐Ÿ’ด๐Ÿ“ˆโŒ

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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[TRIAL] ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTraderโ„ข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

โŒ 14.5 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 2365.26) ๐Ÿ”„
โœ… 14.5 - US30 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 39500.3)
โœ… 14.5 - APPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 189.39) ๐Ÿ”„ ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 14.5 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 18250.3)
โŒ 14.5 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 18363.3) ๐Ÿ”„

3/5 - 60% Success Rate

TODAY :

(โœ…)โœด๏ธ 15.5 - AUD/JPY - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - SL in profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 103.523 // TP โœ… @: 103.877
(โœ…)โœด๏ธ 15.5 - USOIL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - SL in profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 77.289 // TP โœ… @: 78.879
โœ… 15.5 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 18548.9) ๐Ÿ“ธ
(โœ…)โœด๏ธ 15.5 - AUD/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - SL in profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL
๐Ÿ”‘ @: 0.66794 // TP โœ… @: 0.66997
โœ… 15.5 - FRA_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 8239.8)
โœ… 15.5 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 2374.87) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 15.5 - NFLX - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 617.97) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 15.5 - XOM - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 118.13) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœด๏ธ 15.5 - NFLX - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - just entered)
โœด๏ธ 15.5 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - just entered)
โœด๏ธ 15.5 - FRA_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - just entered)

8/11 - (6 open positions)

We have traded extremely well over the last two weeks (probably better than anyone else short-term/medium-term) - including the sideways market with low volatility. We didn't do quite as well yesterday. We should have simply positioned ourselves LONG yesterday (or with our positions from Friday) on the continued positive risk sentiment. We could have taken even more profits today as we were expecting a "positive" CPI report anyway.

However, we traded the markets & fundamentals almost perfectly today (post CPI data). Congratulations!
๐ŸŽ†

Our Nasdaq position from yesterday closed with a slight loss - but overall we made in particular big profits with stocks (including Apple from yesterday) and indices. We expect further gains in the equity markets.

PS: We really appreciate you sharing some of your profits with people in need
โค๏ธ & also thank you for the very kind messages (and in some cases gifts to our team - which is not necessary but of course very appreciated ๐Ÿซถ)

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
AUD/JPY

SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 103.523
TP โœ… @: 103.877

WTI (USOIL) ๐Ÿ›ข (spot)

SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 77.289
TP1 โœ… @: 78.879
TP2
โœ… @: 79.417

AUD/USD

SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 0.66794
TP โœ… @: 0.66997

We tighten the SLs on our two open FX positions slightly - both are well in profit. Our WTI position from today is also very well in profit. Our position has almost reached the SL on a mispricing - but also (as we predicted) oil prices received an additional boost from a further decline in US crude inventories. According to the Energy Information Administration, commercial crude inventories fell by 2.5 million barrels last week - more than expectations of a ~550,000 barrel decline.

Our Friday position is still out of the money. Oil prices are also getting fundamental tailwinds from increasing rate cut expectations and a weaker USD after today's US CPI report, which was slightly cooler than expected. We tighten our SL and set a tighter TP for today's TP1 position / and an in-profit TP (TP2) for Friday's WTI LONG position.


โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐Ÿ›ข๐Ÿ“ˆ7๏ธโƒฃ9๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ’ต

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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BUY NOW / SOON* ๐Ÿ”ผ Netflix (NFLX) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ We made a profitable Netflix trade with our LONG position today which landed in our SL after Netflix hit resistance above $620.00.

โ–บ We now see Netflix very volatile. After some profit-taking, Netflix rose about 2% (out of negative territory) after Netflix reported that its ad-supported service has 40 million monthly active users worldwide - almost double the 23 million the streaming giant reported in January. Netflix should be able to rise above $620,00 now that it has strong subscriber growth and the potential to generate significant additional revenue from its advertising revenue.

โ–บ Separately, Netflix announced that it will launch its own advertising platform and will no longer partner with Microsoft to do so. However, the tech giant will remain a partner for programmatic advertising.

โ–บ Netflix's ad-supported offering and its success with password-sharing crackdown last year have resulted in very strong revenue (and subscriber) growth for Netflix.

โ–บ We take advantage of the current volatility and the current dip after strong gains and find a re-entry similar/below our original entry after the NYSE opening (near $613 / thus also significantly below today's opening price of $618.57).

โ–บ Netflix is also benefiting from today's weaker USD and the positive sentiment after the rather cold CPI report.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 100 - 110 (10,000% - 11,000%) trading Netflix (NFLX)

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธโš ๏ธโš ๏ธ
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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
CAC 40
(FRA_40) ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 8239.80
TP โœ… @: 8259.70

ExxonMobil (XOM) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 118.13
TP โœ… @: 118.89

Our Nasdaq position hit already TP (for a big profit) and rose a bit further. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are more than 1% up for the day.

We can slightly update our CAC position and tighten the SL and widen the TP for our XOM position which is very deep in profit.


โ€”โ€”โ€”

If you think you're making mistakes or not getting the support you need, we're here for you! Our support team is ready to help. You can also ask for a different account manager if you are having problems or are not happy with the help and guidance you are receiving.


How to Reach Us?
- Email: support@smarttrader.community
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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Gold (XAU/USD)๐Ÿฅ‡

SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 2366.47
TP โœ… @: 2374.87

Netflix (NFLX) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 617.97
TP โœ… @: 624.77

We didn't trade the low volatility / thing trading volume phase very good since Friday but made now strong trades following fundamental data. Since we already expected these CPI data - I am not very happy how we positioned us yesterday - we overtraded a bit. I was expecting the market to be more nervous shortly before the CPI data - but investors remained fully in wait-and-see.

We now secure profits with our Gold (LONG) and our Netflix position. Gold remains volatile but will receive fundamental tailwinds from from the CPI reading.

Congratulation - great (re-)positioning understanding the current fundamentals and the impact on assets / risk sentiment

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โšก๏ธ LIVE TRADING ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ CAC 40 (FRA_40) ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท

โš ๏ธ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP โš ๏ธ

โ–บ We also want to position ourselves LONG in Europe. We see a good entry price in the CAC ~30 - 40 points (8220 - 8230) below today's highs (both before the CPI data and directly after the CPI data).

โ–บ Weaker than expected US retail sales and slight weakness in China today are weighing on luxury stocks in Paris today. Hermes International, Gucci owner Kering, Louis Vuitton and L'Oreal are all trading lower.

โ–บ We expect European risk sentiment to benefit from today's gains in New York.

โ–บ Consumer price data cooled in April for the first time in six months, suggesting that price pressures are gradually easing and supporting the Federal Reserve's plans to cut interest rates later this year.

Metric // Actual // Estimate
CPI MoM // +0.3% // +0.4%
Core CPI MoM // +0.3% // +0.3%
CPI YoY // +3.4% // +3.4%
Core CPI YoY // +3.6% // +3.6%

โš ๏ธ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP โš ๏ธ

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 12 - 14 (1,200% - 1,400%) trading the CAC 40 (FRA_40).

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธโš ๏ธโš ๏ธ
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๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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โšก๏ธ LIVE TRADING ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โšก๏ธ LIVE TRADING ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ AUD/USD

โš ๏ธ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP โš ๏ธ


โ–บ We are reversing our position and expect the positive risk sentiment to increase further now. The consumer price index is in line with expectations - it is even slightly cooler. We also see a weakening USD.

โ–บ Retail sales fall short of expectations - not good news, but it increases the expectation of interest rate cuts - therefore rather positive for now despite the slowdown in retail sales.

โ–บ Our very tight SLs (EUR/USD & Nasdaq 100) are now triggered. Our AUD/JPY and WTI positions benefit from this CPI value. We are also entering the AUD against the USD - we currently see a peak and want to enter at a mini dip (range around 0.66500 - 0.66600). The pair will reach new highs for the year and move towards 0.67000.

โš ๏ธ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP โš ๏ธ

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 1.15 - 1.25 (115% - 125%) when trading AUD/USD.


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๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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๐Ÿ”ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
STAY LONG / BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ WTI (USOIL) ๐Ÿ›ข (spot)
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: (VIP ONLY)
TP โœ… @: 79.489

โ–บ We see a dip in oil prices as investors prepare for important data later this week - including today's US CPI data (12:30 UTC+0), which will have a major impact on interest rate expectations and the USD, and thus on oil prices.

โ–บ While caution ahead of the CPI data has relatively little impact on positive risk sentiment and equities and bonds also remain in demand, we see a dip in oil prices ahead of the data. We are taking advantage of this dip and assume that expectations of rising demand and a first rate cut by the Fed in September remain intact.

โ–บ In addition, US crude oil inventories are likely to continue to decline (the EIA will report on this later today) - another indicator of rising demand for oil and fuel ahead of the summer travel season in the US and increased demand from China.

โ–บ We buy the drop in WTI (spot) to currently near $77.00/barrel and expect oil prices to recover. Slight headwinds for oil prices also came from a decline in equity prices in mainland China and an overall mixed Asian session.

โ–บ We are working with an SL - not too tight as we will see more volatility after the CPI data - and holding our current TP (near last week's highs). If you are LONG in WTI, you can improve your average entry price now.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader / *multiply by 1000 when trading at Tickmill. โš ๏ธ The June-Futures Contract is currently ~$0.40 above the spot price

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๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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๐Ÿ“Š SmartTrader Insights: Wednesday Markets Wrap ๐Ÿ—’

๐Ÿ“† Wednesday, May 15

โ—๏ธ Global markets await US CPI data; Recent gains brought global stocks near all-time highs

โ–บ European stock futures edged higher, reflecting cautious optimism ahead of significant US economic data releases. The Stoxx 600 index rose 0.35% despite weak earnings from automotive stocks like Volkswagen, Mercedes-Benz Group, and Stellantis NV. We see positive GDP growth reports from France and Spain. German insurance giant Allianz is flat (+ 0.1%) after earnings that beat estimates. Investors are closely watching the upcoming US consumer price index data, seeking clues about future Federal Reserve policy moves.

โ–บ US markets remain in wait-and-see mode in the US pre-market as investors await the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which could provide important insights into the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy decisions. The S&P 500 has held up well despite Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's hints that interest rates will remain high for longer. Leading indicators showed a mixed but overall higher (and than expected) Producer Price Index (PPI) in April, which fueled discussion about persistent inflation and its impact on future interest rate adjustments.

โ–บ Asian markets displayed mixed responses; while shares in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. led gains, contributing to the MSCI All Country World Index reaching a two-year high, mainland Chinese stocks declined and Japanese stocks remained largely unchanged. The Hong Kong market was closed for a holiday. The positive momentum in some parts of Asia was partly due to speculative buying following reports of potential governmental intervention in China's housing market. In corporate news, Tencent Holdings saw its ADR surge after beating revenue estimates, contrasting with Alibaba Groupโ€™s profit drop. Hon Hai Precision Industry also saw a decline after reporting lower-than-expected profits, reflecting slow demand for iPhones in China.

โ–บ In the commodities sector, oil prices recovered slightly following a report indicating a decrease in U.S. stockpiles, suggesting a tighter supply outlook. WTI Crude oil prices are trading near $78.5/barrel. Gold prices rose as well, trading above $2,370/oz, as traders and investors assess the potential implications of the U.S. CPI data on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The anticipation of the International Energy Agency's report on market balances also kept commodity traders on alert for insights into future demand and supply shifts.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Inflation Rate / CPI - 06:45 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Employment Change - 09:00 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ GDP Growth Rate - 09:00 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Industrial Production - 09:00 (released)
โ™ฆ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Inflation Rate / CPI - 12:30
โ™ฆ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Retail Sales - 12:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ NY Empire State Manufacturing Index - 12:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change - 14:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต GDP Growth Rate - 23:50

๐Ÿ”ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โ™ฆ๏ธ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

๐ŸŒ™ Cisco (CSCO) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
โ˜€๏ธ Allianz (ALIZY) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (reported)
โ˜€๏ธ Sumitomo Mitsui Financial (SMFG) ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต (reported)
โ˜€๏ธ Merck (MKKGY) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
โ˜€๏ธ Fortescue Metals (FSUMF) ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ
โ˜€๏ธ JD. com (JD) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ
โ˜€๏ธ Mizuho Financial (MFG) ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
โ˜€๏ธ Compass Group (CMPGY) ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง
๐ŸŒ™ Hoya Corp (HOCPY) ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต (reported)
โ˜€๏ธ EON (EONGY) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
โ˜€๏ธ RWE (RWEOY) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
โ˜€๏ธ Prudential Public (PUK) ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง
โ˜€๏ธ Imperial Brands (IMBBY) ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง
โ˜€๏ธ Commerzbank AG (CRZBY) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
(...and more with market cap <$15B)

SmartTraderโ„ข Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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Overview last 30 trading days:

โœ… Performance: 02.04 - 06.05 (26 trading days)

143 / 178 = 80.3% Success Rate

โœ… 7.5 - AUD/JPY - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 102.233)
โœ… 7.5 - DIS - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 106.47)
โœ… 7.5 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 2319.43)
โœ… 7.5 - META - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 472.89)
โœ… 7.5 - XOM - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP โœ… @: 116.97|or TP 116.98)

5/5 = 100% Success Rate

โœ… 8.5 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 2313.89)
โœ… 8.5 - APPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 183.17)
โœ… 8.5 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 18080.60)

3/3 = 100% Success Rate

โœ… 9.5 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 2314.73)
โœ… 9.5 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 2329.23)
โœ… 9.5 - META - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 476.97)
โŒ 9.5 - SHOP - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 59.77)
โœ… 9.5 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 2332.48)
โœ… 9.5 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL โ€“ 18183.70)

5/6 - 83.3% Success Rate

*No Update*

We can look back on a very strong phase with a success rate of over 80% in the last 30 days. We have traded last week's sideways market almost perfectly. For my taste, we are a little over positioned in the current sideways market now - and we probably should have expected last week's very solid gains (including a 9-day winning streak for the Dow Jones that ended yesterday) to continue a bit longer. Investors are waiting for tomorrow's US CPI data and we are again seeing a market in wait-and-see mode.

(You can find the current positions now on our website. We want to continue to improve our transparency and your experience with SmartTrader. Although SmartTrader is already the most transparent (and successful) channel in the world, we still see room for improvement. We will continue to improve our current positions page - as it is not me who updates the data (but our content manager), there may be slight delays:
https://smarttrader.community/current-trades-from-robert-lindner/)

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Apple
(APPL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 187.19 (or wider)
TP โœ… @: 189.39

We certainly didn't want to "overtrade" today as the markets took a complete wait and see approach, although the robust risk sentiment with stocks ending today near the highs of the day (50 minutes before NYSE close) shows that we still see a lot of optimism in general and a thoroughly robust stock market.

The PPI data came in hotter than expected - but only on a monthly basis - overall the PPI was in line with expectations for the full year and last month's reading was revised down.

We can lock in profits with our Apple position here - we found a good entry point - or go with a wider SL as I still see Apple continuing to rise in the coming sessions (towards $190.00).


โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“ˆ1๏ธโƒฃ9๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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SELL NOW ๐Ÿ”ฝ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ We are seeing an extremely difficult market to trade as investors await tomorrow's US CPI data and at the same time digest today's hot US PPI report, which is also very difficult to assess as last month's figures have been revised down significantly. Overall, market sentiment is still bullish and I expect stocks to rally in May (which is highly dependent on tomorrow's CPI data). We have seen another solid earnings season overall (which is still ongoing) and robust consumer spending - now it will come down to whether the market continues to expect the Fed to start easing monetary policy later this year.

โ–บ However, the markets will become more cautious again towards the end of today's session. We also see the Nasdaq 100 benefiting strongly from Tesla's strong gains weeks after the electric car giant laid off Supercharger employees and then rehired them. The layoff and subsequent rehire came as a surprise and is confusing for investors. It's not the first time the company has reversed its decisions.

โ–บ We want to position ourselves SHORT in the Nasdaq in the area of the one-month high 18270 - 18300*. We expect some profit taking ahead of tomorrow's US CPI report. We are trading the sentiment here - like the recurring concerns about a stubborn inflation report - especially after today's rather hot PPI report.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 75+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธ
โšก๏ธ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!


โ€”โ€”

This signal is delayed by 75 - 90 minutes - Join our SmartTrader VIP Channel for non-delayed market analysis, trading signals, updates, and trading news.

WRITE US NOW AND BECOME VIP MEMBER
๐Ÿ‘คโž•
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๐Ÿ”ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
SELL NOW / SOON* ๐Ÿ”ฝ Dow Jones (US30) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

๐Ÿ”ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY AFTER NYSE OPENED ๐Ÿ”ผ (VIP ONLY) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ Our Nasdaq 100 SHORT triggered our TP for a nice profit, but then bounced off and is currently trading at 18200 - 18210 - flat for the day. We see the Dow Jones slightly higher for today after ending a 9-day winning streak yesterday and closing lower for the first time.

โ–บ We have no open equity position and are looking to take advantage of the volatility during the NYSE open to take a SHORT position in the Dow Jones near the session high 39525 - 39550*. Today's PPI report was hotter than expected, but we see a mixed reaction due to the downward revision to the March reading (even into deflationary territory).

โ–บ We expect markets to remain mostly sideways, but it will be hard for markets to take the +0.5% monthly average PPI report positively as it is not only hotter than expected but also points to stubborn inflation.

โ–บ We see more defensive stocks (as well as financials) outperforming in pre-market trading - more a sign of more caution ahead of tomorrow's more important US inflation report (CPI).

โ–บ It's a good market for (VIP ONLY) as investors are looking for a little more safety, but overall (VIP ONLY). Analysts are increasingly optimistic about (VIP ONLY) and see significant (VIP ONLY). In addition, (VIP ONLY) is still benefiting from (VIP ONLY). We want to find an entry point in (VIP ONLY) in the $(VIP ONLY) range and expect further price gains - with that (VIP ONLY) rising further towards $(VIP ONLY). (VIP ONLY) has recovery potential - especially with daily positive (VIP ONLY) ...

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) trading the Dow Jones (US30).

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธโš ๏ธโš ๏ธ
โšก๏ธ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!


โ€”โ€”โ€”

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3๏ธโƒฃ9๏ธโƒฃ5๏ธโƒฃ5๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ“‰

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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๐Ÿ“Š ROBโ€™S DAILY UPDATE ๐Ÿ“ˆ

โ€ผ๏ธ Markets stabilize near record levels; Focus on Fed rate outlook & comments

Global equity prices are stabilizing after rising sharply yesterday in response to the US CPI report, which supports Fed rate cuts later this year. We see Wall Street slightly higher in pre-market US trading and close to record highs.

Yesterday's US CPI data, which showed that consumer prices cooled for the first time in six months, boosted market confidence that economic data may be starting to move into areas that the Fed sees as necessary to ease monetary policy. Inflation concerns and actual stubborn inflation have significantly reduced rate cut expectations and the Fed's own prediction of rate cuts for 2024 and the coming years.

Today's initial jobless claims in the US were lower than in the previous week, but still give the impression that the currently very tight US labor market is easing somewhat. US housing starts rebounded less than forecast in April, suggesting only a gradual improvement in housing starts and the US real estate sector.

We continue to see optimism in the market - although we remain somewhat cautious. Recent economic data has supported hopes of interest rate cuts, but at the same time shows that the US economy is cooling. A gradual slowdown is still seen as a positive as it supports the case for the Fed to ease monetary conditions.

Investors will be listening closely to what Fed officials have to say after recent voices have not been dovish.

I do not expect broad and strong additional gains today - the general state of the global economy is too uncertain. Moreover, there is not yet enough evidence that disinflation in the US is progressing fast enough for the Fed to cut rates this year. We expect the current risk appetite to persist for a while yet. Falling yields and a weaker USD continue to support Wall Street and commodity prices.

The oil price has recovered strongly - also supported by further declining US crude oil inventories, which point to a tightening oil market. Precious metal prices received a strong boost yesterday after US inflation data came in somewhat weaker than expected - I expect gold to remain on the upswing. The improved risk sentiment is also reflected in the weaker USD and the rise in risk-sensitive assets such as growth stocks and cryptocurrencies.


๐Ÿ‘ ROB'S MARKET OVERVIEW:

May 16, 2024


๐ŸŒ/๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Global Markets โ†•๏ธ
Cyclical / Luxury Stocks โ†•๏ธ
Tech/Growth Stocks โžก๏ธ/โ†—๏ธ
Financial Stocks โ†˜๏ธ/โžก๏ธ
Defensive Stocks โžก๏ธ/โ†—๏ธ
Energy Stocks โžก๏ธ/โ†—๏ธ (remains oversold; can benefit from the rebound in oil prices)
Materials Stocks โ†—๏ธ
/โžก๏ธ

๐Ÿ’ฑ Forex
USD โ†—๏ธ/โžก๏ธ (recovering from sharp decline yesterday, but remaining under pressure)
JPY โ†—๏ธ/โ†˜๏ธ
EUR, GBP, CAD โžก๏ธ/โ†—๏ธ
CHF โ†˜๏ธ/โžก๏ธ
AUD โ†˜๏ธ/โ†—๏ธ

โš’ Commodity Markets โ†—๏ธ/โ†•๏ธ
Oil prices โ†—๏ธ/โ†•๏ธ
Natural Gas prices โ†—๏ธ
/โ†•๏ธ
Metal prices โ†•๏ธ
Gold โ†˜๏ธ
/โ†•๏ธ/โ†—๏ธ (some profit taking after yesterday's strong gains; remains bullish)

โšก๏ธCryptos โ†—๏ธ/โ†•๏ธ (Jumped higher to a range $64K - $67K - now resistance in that range)

(*โ†—๏ธ bullish, โ†˜๏ธ bearish, โžก๏ธ sideways / stable, โ†•๏ธ mixed / volatile)

Your Robert

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๐Ÿ“Š SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap ๐Ÿ—’

๐Ÿ“† Thursday, May 16

โ—๏ธ Markets hold gains after US CPI data eased inflation concerns; Global stocks hover near record highs

โ–บ The Stoxx 600 Index remained stable, hovering near record highs, reflecting a cautious optimism in the market following the latest U.S. inflation data which suggested the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates later this year. In individual stock movements, Ubisoft faced a slump due to potential margin pressures, while Siemens dropped amid decreasing demand in China.

โ–บ Wall Street looks set to extend yesterday's strong gains. Futures are pointing to a positive opening after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 closed at record levels The positive market mood was supported by US CPI figures aligning with expectations, which helped alleviate fears of entrenched inflation. Data on retail sales indicated a weakening of robust consumer demand. Analysts point to the mix of slowing growth and softer inflation as ideal for equity markets, hinting at appetizing conditions for investors due to potential lower future rates. The Fed's current stance remains cautious, with Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari emphasizing the need to maintain current rates. Upcoming U.S. unemployment data and several Federal Reserve speeches are expected to provide further cues on the economic outlook.

โ–บ Asian stocks showed mixed results; Japan's Nikkei rose significantly despite disappointing GDP figures showing a contraction greater than expected due to weak consumer spending. Chinese stocks were stable with anticipation high for upcoming economic data releases tomorrow.

โ–บ In the commodities sector, oil prices increased for the second consecutive day, supported by declining U.S. stockpiles, suggesting a tightening market. WTI Crude oil prices are trading at around $78.5/barrel. Gold prices also held their gains from yesterday, trading above $2,386/oz supported by lower yields, a weaker USD and increased bet for rate cuts.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Unemployment Rate - 01:30 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Industrial Production - 04:30 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ECB Financial Stability Review - 08:00 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Inflation Rate / CPI - 08:00 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง BoE Financial Stability Report - 08:00 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Initial Jobless Claims - 12:30

๐Ÿ”ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โ™ฆ๏ธ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

โ˜€๏ธ Walmart (WMT) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Applied Materials (AMAT) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Siemens (SIEGY) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (reported)
โ˜€๏ธ Deutsche Telekom (DTEGY) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
โ˜€๏ธ Mitsubishi UFJ Financial ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต (MUFG) (reported)
โ˜€๏ธ Deere&Company (DE) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Zurich Insurance Group (ZFSVF) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ
๐ŸŒ™ Copart (CPRT) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ JD. com (JD) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ
โ˜€๏ธ Baidu (BIDU) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ
๐ŸŒ™ Take-Two (TTWO) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
(...and more with market cap <$20B)

SmartTraderโ„ข Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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Overview last 30 trading days:

โœ… Performance: 03.04 - 07.05 (26 trading days)

143 / 176 = 81.3% Success Rate

โœ… 8.5 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 2313.89)
โœ… 8.5 - APPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 183.17)
โœ… 8.5 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 18080.60)

3/3 = 100% Success Rate

โœ… 9.5 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 2314.73)
โœ… 9.5 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 2329.23)
โœ… 9.5 - META - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 476.97)
โŒ 9.5 - SHOP - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 59.77)
โœ… 9.5 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 2332.48)
โœ… 9.5 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL โ€“ 18183.70)

5/6 - 83.3% Success Rate

โœด๏ธ 10.5 - USOIL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 77.289 // TP โœ… @: 79.417
โœ… 10.5 - MSFT - LONG โ†—๏ธ (mini profit; SL - 412.82| or TP - 413.47)
โœ… 10.5 - CRM - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 277.97)
โœ… 10.5 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 18111.60)
โœ… 10.5 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 2364.23)
โŒ 10.5 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 1.08416) ๐Ÿ”„

4/6 - (1 open position)

(13.5 - trading pause)

Our WTI position from Friday is still open - our SL was narrowly not triggered today. We have set a tight SL for our EUR/USD position ahead of the US CPI data - we had only planned to trade the market's caution ahead of the CPI data anyway. We had expected inflation to cool - a headwind for the USD. The EUR/USD is thus the second negative trade of the previous week (out of 25 trades / 1 still open).

You can find the current positions now on our website. We will continue to improve our current positions page - as it is not me who updates the data (but our content manager), there may be slight delays: Save the LINK ๐Ÿ”—: https://smarttrader.community/current-trades-from-robert-lindner/

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BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

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BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ CAC 40 (FRA_40) ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท

โ–บ We remain LONG in indices. Wall Street hit new highs today - the S&P 500 broke through 5300 for the first time and the Nasdaq 100 broke through 18500 for the first time.

โ–บ The consumer price index rose by 0.3% in April (MoM), less than the estimated 0.4% and less than in the previous month - the first decline in six months. In addition, there were slight downward revisions in previous months and a slight cooling in general (YoY; also for core CPI).

โ–บ The market has performed very well since the soft NFP report two weeks ago (Friday, May 3rd), which significantly raised rate cut expectations and kicked off the current rally. The market desperately wanted disinflation to return - and got that today too.

โ–บ We see a weaker USD, lower yields and slightly higher rate cut expectations. Today's CPI data confirms that the Fed may start easing monetary policy this year.

โ–บ We are getting back into the Nasdaq 100 (slightly below / at 18600) and also getting back into the CAC, which is still below yesterday's highs due to some losses in the luxury sector. I expect the CAC to rise above yesterday's highs tomorrow.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 12 - 14 (1,200% - 1,400%) trading the CAC 40 (FRA_40).

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธโš ๏ธโš ๏ธ
โšก๏ธ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!

You may not be able to trade the CAC anymore (in after-hours trading). You can alternatively trade the DAX ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (if that's still possible; range 18865 - 18880) - receive NON-DELAYED market analysis & trading signals in our SmartTrader VIP Channel)

โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ“ˆ

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
AUD/USD

SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 0.66769
TP โœ… @: 0.66997

AUD/JPY
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 103.497
TP โœ… @: 103.877

We also secure profits with our AUD trades - which, however, where both USD driven, with the USD seeing headwinds post CPI data that indicate that disinflation returned. After 5 months of re-accelerating inflation, CPI MoM in April cooled for the first time (in six month).

Today's CPI report will continue to provide support to risk sentiment and confidence about a return of disinflation and the Fed nearing conditions for a first rate cut.

The USD was very rich in traps today - with in particular technical traders losing at least twice today with the USD. We followed the fundamentals and secure now both our AUD trades. The AUD/USD was fundamentally so clear for me that I increased position size slightly (near 0.66400).

Congratulations - we traded today's CPI data with near perfection
๐Ÿ†


โ€”โ€”โ€”

IMPORTANT โš ๏ธ Please continue to make sure that you never lose more than 2% - max. 5% of your account balance in a single trade (this includes possible re-entries = still the same trade!). As long as you follow this, you will be 100% (!) profitable if you copy our trades. Nobody trades (short-term / fundamentally) anywhere near our level.

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 18493.30
TP โœ… @: 18548.90

CAC 40 (FRA_40) ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 8236.90
TP โœ… @: 8258.70

ExxonMobil (XOM) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 117.69
TP โœ… @: 118.77

Sorry - for the slight inactivity. I was in a short meeting with the analyst team of a US investment bank for which I worked for years / still advise.


We read the markets / fundamental data perfectly today. Our positions are very deep in profit.

We found strong entries into the Nasdaq 100 which is now at an ATH and for the first time above 18500. We found a near perfect entry into the CAC and ExxonMobil which indeed first dipped to (and below) $117.00 as we predicted only to then rise sharply.

Our gold position hit TP for a big profit. Oil / WTI is trading near $2 higher than today's bottom.

We secure big profits with our index LONGs and our XOM position.

Congratulations - we are trading today's CPI (finally some fundamental data!) perfectly and did not fall in any of the mispricing traps. ๐Ÿ‘


โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐Ÿ’ต๐Ÿ’ต๐Ÿ’ต

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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๐Ÿ”ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY NOW* / DURING NYSE OPENING ๐Ÿ”ผ Gold (XAU/USD)๐Ÿฅ‡

๐Ÿ”ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY AFTER** NYSE OPENS ๐Ÿ”ผ Netflix (NFLX) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

๐Ÿ”ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY AFTER*** NYSE OPENS ๐Ÿ”ผ (VIP ONLY) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ


US CPI data came in-line / even a bit cooler-than-expected which will further boost risk sentiment today as it increased the case for rate cuts later this year. The weak retail sales, however, while also supporting rate cuts, may weigh slightly on growth / cyclical stocks. Overall, however, we expect that the current stock market rally can extend.


๐Ÿ”น Apple (+ 0.3%) remains bullish and can extend recent gains. We have a tight in-profit SL and keep it. Investment banks are bullish for Apple.


โ–บ We see gold losing some of the strong gains post CPI data. US Treasury yields remain sharply lower (down 7 - 8bps for the US 10-y). We also see a weaker USD and increased rate cut expectations. We take advantage of the increased volatility around NYSE opening with investors rushing into stocks hoping for additional short-term gains. We can thus find an entry into gold near $2,360* (currently; = pre-CPI levels). Gold earlier almost rose in an immediate reaction to $2,380. Gold benefits from today's US CPI data.

โ–บ We are LONG in tech / growth / rate sensitive stocks with our LONG position in the Nasdaq 100. We also want to get LONG into Netflix - which is rate / USD sensitive. We see Netflix opening higher after yesterday's negative session. Netflix also benefits from positive analyst ratings and it's ongoing strong revenue / subscriber growth (despite initially falling post earnings report). We want to get into the streaming giant near $615.00** and expect Netflix to rise back towards / above $620.00 after some initial profit taking post NYSE opening.

โ–บ We also buy the dip of (VIP ONLY) to near $(VIP ONLY)***. We see (VIP ONLY) with some weakness currently despite a weaker USD and increased rate cut hopes. We see (VIP ONLY) attractive in (VIP ONLY) ...


๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.5 - 0.8 (50% - 80%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 100 - 110 (10,000% - 11,000%) trading Netflix (NFLX)

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธโš ๏ธโš ๏ธ
โšก๏ธ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!


โ€”โ€”โ€”

We find a very good entry into gold NOW at $2,355 ๐Ÿ“ˆ

๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ“ˆ2๏ธโƒฃ3๏ธโƒฃ7๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐Ÿ“บ๐Ÿ“ˆ6๏ธโƒฃ2๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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โ—๏ธ Cooler US inflation data & retail sales boost rate cut expectations

The consumer price index cools for the first time in six months, coming in at +0.3% (MoM), slightly below expectations for headline inflation (+0.4% expected). The core CPI is also cooling compared to the March data. Moderating housing costs account for most of the core inflation. Retail sales cooled in April, coming in at 0.0% MoM, well below expectations of +0.4%.

We also see slight downward revisions to previous data, so this is indeed a rather "cool" report, supporting rate cut hopes. However, rate cut expectations are not moving massively at the moment as the swap market is still (almost) pricing in "only" two rate cuts for 2024 - 46bps are now expected instead of 44bps.

We assume that the data will drive risk sentiment (even) higher, as inflation fears have weighed on market sentiment. Although the weaker-than-expected retail sales are bad data, they also speak in favor of interest rate cuts - and are therefore neutral / perhaps even slightly positive as an immediate reaction for the time being.

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
EUR/USD

SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 1.08416
TP โœ… @: 1.07726

Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 18363.30
TP โœ… @: 18202.60
OR
CLOSE โœ… @: 18315 - 18325 (area / near break-even)

We expected more cautious trading ahead of US CPI data - especially after a rather hot PPI report yesterday. However, we see robust risk sentiment, equities and little risk aversion in bonds and the USD (= USD buying).

We update our open positions ahead of US CPI data release (in 5 minutes).

I expect inflation data to show that inflation remains stubborn but that the general hopes that disinflation can return to be supported. We are thus not ideally positioned and may re-position us post CPI data. Our gold position already hit SL after receiving gains during the early European session.

You can also close your Nasdaq 100 now near break-even (or even slightly in profit depending on your entry) as I believe it's more likely that risk sentiment improves post CPI data.

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ AUD/JPY

โ–บ The markets are waiting for the US CPI data, which will be published in just over two hours. We see the market pricing in a positive reading (meaning that price pressures in the US are easing, maintaining expectations for a rate cut in September). While Wall Street is in wait-and-see mode, European stocks continued to rally, keeping the overall market sentiment positive, even though mainland Chinese stocks fell slightly today.

โ–บ The AUD is benefiting from the positive market sentiment and would continue to benefit from a US CPI that does not reinforce concerns about a renewed acceleration in inflation.

โ–บ The Australian budget for 2024-25 will return to a deficit after a surplus of $9.3 bn in 2023-24. The Australian government wants to continue to fight inflation and ease pressure on the cost of living by allocating billions to reduce energy bills and rents, as well as initiatives to cut income tax. Wage inflation in Australia was 4.1% in the first quarter, still well above the level that supports disinflation.

โ–บ While the Bank of Japan is now more focused on stabilizing the yen - including a possible further reduction in the amount of Japanese bonds it will buy - the interest rate differential between Japan and other major economies has further encouraged investors to borrow JPY and invest in higher yielding currencies, leading to a depreciation of the JPY. This will continue for the time being.

โ–บ The AUD/JPY pair briefly jumped above 104,000 today - we can currently enter 70 pips below today's highs (103,300 - 103,350).

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: You can multiply your usual trade size by ~ 1.25 - 1.5 (125% - 150%) when trading AUD/JPY.

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 45+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธ
โšก๏ธ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!


โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ’ต๐Ÿ“ˆ

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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โœด๏ธ 10.5 - USOIL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 79.489 ๐Ÿ”„
โœ… 10.5 - MSFT - LONG โ†—๏ธ (mini profit; SL - 412.82| or TP - 413.47)
โœ… 10.5 - CRM - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 277.97)
โœ… 10.5 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 18111.60) ๐Ÿ”„
โœ… 10.5 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 2364.23)
โœด๏ธ 10.5 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 1.08383 ๐Ÿ”„ // TP โœ… @: 1.07726 ๐Ÿ”„

4/6 - (2 open positions)

(13.5 - trading pause)

TODAY :

โœด๏ธ 14.5 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 2365.26 // TP โœ… @: 2340.26
โœ… 14.5 - US30 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 39500.3)
โœด๏ธ 14.5 - APPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - in-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 187.19 // TP โœ… @: 189.39
โœ… 14.5 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 18250.3)
โœด๏ธ 14.5 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (open - near break-even)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 18262.60 ๐Ÿ”„

Yesterday was a good day for a break - as the markets remained completely sideways. With low volatility and very low trading volumes, the Dow Jones ended its nine-day winning streak yesterday with slight losses. Today's PPI data was mixed: Monthly readings were better than expected, but PPI data for March was revised sharply lower. The PPI YoY was in line with expectations. The market is optimistic about tomorrow's US CPI data. I expect some caution to return. We are updating all our positions. I expect some headwinds for gold in Asian trading - especially if the recent gains in Asia can continue - we are setting a tight SL. We are also updating our EUR/USD position and setting a tight SL / tighter TP. We are setting a tight TP for our Nasdaq SHORT as Wall Street has closed not far off its highs, providing a good base for tomorrow's markets. Investors will wait for tomorrow's US CPI data before positioning further.

There will be much more action on the markets tomorrow.
We will be there - your Robert ๐ŸŽ

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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โšก๏ธ FREE RAPID SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
SELL NOW ๐Ÿ”ฝ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ Mega caps, especially Nvidia, which continue to gain, as well as Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Apple, Alphabet which are all trading in the green (+ strong gains from Tesla & Broadcom) continue to drive the Nasdaq higher - currently to today's / 30-days high.

โ–บ The market's initial reaction to the US PPI data was negative, but movements were limited when wholesale prices for March were revised downwards and fell by 0.1%. This was enough to allay concerns about stubbornly high prices. However, I expect markets to be again concerned about a potential sell-off if tomorrow's (more important) US CPI data comes in a little hotter than expected.

โ–บ We also did not hear the dovish statements from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell today that the markets had hoped for. We can thus SHORT the Nasdaq 100 here at sessions high (currently range 18325 - 18350) and expect some profit taking.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 50+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธ
โšก๏ธ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!


โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค1๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ
1๏ธโƒฃ8๏ธโƒฃ3๏ธโƒฃ5๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ“‰

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 18250.30
TP โœ… @: 18152.10

Our Dow Jones from earlier today already closed profit as it hit our SL shortly after updating. We found better re-entry into Wall Street and sold the Nasdaq 100 with perfect timing at (near) session high.

Our Nasdaq 100 from Friday hit our TP already right after PPI data (at 18111.60).

We again secure profit with our Nasdaq 100. We work with a tight in-profit SL. We continue to see very small movement in equities.


โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค1๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐ŸŽฏ๐Ÿ“‰

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Dow Jones
(US30) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 39500.30
TP โœ… @: 39368.70

We saw a slight outperformance of the Dow Jones before/during NYSE opening - now we see a slight underperformance as the Dow Jones actually hit resistance at 39550. The Dow Jones was thus also the better choice (so far) than going SHORT into the Nasdaq 100 again. We now set an in-profit SL and the TP near the lows after the PPI data. The Dow Jones has more downside potential - it is currently benefiting from a strong performance of financials (although Visa is down more than 1%). Goldman Sachs is the second strongest weighted component in the Dow Jones, up 1.3%.

โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค
๐Ÿ“‰3๏ธโƒฃ9๏ธโƒฃ5๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ“‰

๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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โ–บ PPI data was hot - hotter than expected at +0.5% MoM vs +0.3% expected and well above March's downwardly revised -0.1%. Y-o-y, the reading was 2.4% (in line with expectations).

โ–บ Expectations for a rate cut will now fall slightly and concerns about a potentially also hot CPI report tomorrow will rise - which will also give the USD a tailwind.

โ–บ We are selling gold here - find an entry near today's highs (~$2,350; update) and expect gold to fall back below $2,335.

โ–บ We are currently seeing a mixed reaction in USD / gold, as the March readings (PPI March YoY) were revised downwards (to -0.1% from +0.2%) and were therefore significantly cooler than expected last month.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.5 - 0.8 (50% - 80%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

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-> Our Nasdaq 100 SHORT hit our very well placed TP โœ… (at 18111.60) - we currently see a short-term rebound but expect a bit more headwinds on the Nasdaq.


โ€”โ€”โ€”

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๐Ÿ–ฅ VT Markets (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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