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✅ 31.5 - EUR/CAD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1.48263) 🔄📸
✅ 31.5 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38346.90)
(✅)✴️ 31.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open; overall in profit +re-entry; TP1 - 2338.43 & TP2 - 2349.43 ) 🔄📸
👉 SL 🔑 @: 2333.30 (or wider)| TP ✅ @: 2354.83 or 2352.43
✅ 31.5 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 0.66697) 🔄📸
❌ 31.5 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 174.23)
❌*(✅) 31.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18583.90|+re-entry) 🔄📸
✅ 31.5 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 467.43; pot. positive slippage) 🔄📸
✅ 31.5 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP -38776.90| clsd - @: 38775 - 38800)
✅ 31.5 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 1128.97) 🔄
7/9 - (1 open position)
*Nasdaq 100 considered loss as SL (off-profit) triggered for some members
TODAY :
✴️ 3.6- US30- LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 38368.40 | TP ✅ @: 38742.30
✅ 3.6- AMZN- LONG ↗️ (TP - 177.37) 📸
✴️ 3.6- C- LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
✴️ 3.6- USOIL- LONG ↗️(open - break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 75.14
✅ 3.6- NAS100- LONG ↗️ (TP - 18597.3) 📸
✴️ 3.6- AMD- LONG ↗️ (open - SL in profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 162.69 | TP ✅ @: 165.47
2/6 - (4 - open positions)
We have traded these chaotic / mispriced markets very well (as best as we probably could have), but our market analysis / understanding was actually even better - including our expectations for today's movements and even our set SLs / TPs on Friday - were near perfect. We understood that markets were driven by sentiment / saw technical pullbacks and thus did not follow fundamentals. Overall, we also ended Friday's session very deep in profit with gold rallying and big gains with the Dow Jones, Meta, Nvidia (and possibly the Nasdaq 100) 📸.
We traded today's mixed markets well, but now need to be a bit more cautious as there are signs that investors are increasingly worried about a slowing US economy (recession worries returning).
Congratulations!
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 38368.40
TP ✅ @: 38742.30
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2333.30 (or wider)
TP3 ✅ @: 2354.83
OR
TP3 ✅ @: 2352.43
The market and analysts are still divided and are waiting for clearer guidance. We see that investors continue to be confused by mixed economic data. However, there are signs that investors overall are more concerned about a potential slowdown in the US economy. In addition, we have recently seen weaker US economic data being received negatively again, which means that the market may be gradually returning to normal.
In recent months, bad economic figures have been received rather positively as they increased the expectation of interest rate cuts.
Now that the market as a whole is convinced that interest rate cuts are coming (later this year) - also to prevent a recession - weak US economic data is being received negatively again.
We are updating our Dow Jones, which should generally benefit from a weaker USD and a greater flight to more defensive sectors. We can also update our gold position. You can either keep your TP (and then widen your SL a bit) or work with a tight(er) TP and close soon.
Overall, we have now made a big profit with our gold trades (since Thursday / Friday) as gold is at least partly following fundamentals again (e.g. lower yields). We believe that gold continues to benefit from lower yields, the weaker USD and the general increase in demand for safety.
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸
triggered TP ✅ @: 177.37
Amazon just hit TP. If you are still in - you can close now a bit better ~177.60 - 177.70.
The Nasdaq is near TP now - we keep our tight TP.
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BUY NOW** 🔼 AMD (AMD) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; 2/3 trading size
► We made a huge profit with Nvidia today and are now getting back into the chip sector after the sell-off in the growth and cyclical sectors following the soft US economic data. But with AMD.
► There have also been headwinds at AMD as apparently some investors are skeptical that AMD's next generation artificial intelligence chips - such as the MI325X accelerator (an improved version of the MI300 series that should be available as early as Q4/2024) as well as the true next generation such as the Instinct MI350 (on the next generation architecture) and the Instinct MI400 series in 2026 can keep up with Nvidia's AI chips.
► However, AMD's extreme focus on AI chips and its collaboration with Microsoft alone should make investors optimistic. One risk factor remains - as with Nvidia - with production mainly in Taiwan.
► Nvidia has also presented its next generation of AI chips called "Rubin" as the successor to the previous "Blackwell" models.
► Nvidia rose by almost 4 %, while AMD fell sharply. The chip sector remains very volatile. We are buying AMD here and also expect a general rebound in the tech/growth sector, which will receive a fundamental tailwind from further falling yields. We are therefore going LONG in AMD and (VIP ONLY) LONG (VIP ONLY) with an entry (VIP ONLY) at (VIP ONLY).
► AMD opened well today and saw strong selling. We expect increased support in the range $161.00 - $162.50 and get in here.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 220 - 240 (22,000% - 24,000%) trading AMD (AMD) - 2/3 trading size.
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
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🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2336.26
SL2 🔑 @: 2344.97
TP2 ✅ @: 2349.43
TP3 ✅ @: 2354.84
You can also divide your SLs and secure your re-entry with a tight SL in profit (SL2). Our TP2 will likely soon be triggered.
We are now overall very deep in profit with our gold positions from Thursday / Friday. You can also close all of your gold positions in TP2 as we can likely find a better re-entry.
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BUY NOW 🔼 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
► Mostly better-than-expected manufacturing purchasing managers' indices from Europe and Asia were followed by disappointing purchasing managers' indices from the US (from ISM; better-than-expected from S&P) and weak factory activity, indicating a slowdown in the US economy.
► We saw cyclical stocks give back some of the previous gains. However, the strongest reaction was seen in oil prices, which fell very sharply.
► We buy WTI which trades 3.6% lower at ~$74/barrel (range 74.00 - 74.15*). The extended cut in oil production by OPEC+ has also heightened concerns that OPEC continues to expect weak demand and oversupply. The fact that OPEC+ still needs cuts seems to be more negative than the actual impact of potentially lower production. At the same time, the fact that the curbs expire at the end of the year reinforces concerns that supply could rise faster than demand.
► We are seeing significantly lower yields, which shows that expectations of interest rate cuts are rising. However, the USD has gained ground against its peers, which is weighing on oil prices as it makes oil more expensive for non-USD buyers.
► We see oil oversold here in the short term and are buying the sharp drop. We see that natural gas / European gas prices are still significantly higher on a daily basis.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader / *multiply by 1000 when trading at Tickmill. ⚠️ The July-Futures Contract is currently near the spot price
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Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP1 triggered ✅ @: 2338.43
TP1 triggered with gold moving back to $2,340 (now seeing some temporary technical resistance).
We are also updating our still open gold position(s):
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2323.77
TP2 ✅ @: 2349.67
We continue to see gold as fundamentally supported.
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BUY WHEN* NYSE OPENS 🔼 Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY WHEN** NYSE OPENS 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
We are positioned LONG and are therefore benefiting strongly from the recovery in equities, with the tech sector leading the gains. Our Nvidia position opens very low in profit.
🔹 The Dow Jones (+0.0%) is flat. We have found the best possible entry (so far) at 38700 and remain LONG. We set TP ✅ @: 38873.70 near the pre-market highs.
🔹 Meta (+0.4%) will hit our TP at the NYSE open and make a mega profit. Congratulations! 👏 Mizuho confirms Meta as "BUY".
🔹 Microsoft (+0.5%) tries to continue its recovery from Friday. We can set a TP ✅ @: 419.79.
🔹 Nvidia (+3.3%) opens significantly higher after a two-day slide and also benefits from the continued optimism of analysts. What an extremely good trade for overnight gains (or over-the-weekend in this case). We set a TP ✅ @: 1147.89 and an In-Profit: SL 🔑 @: 1106.83. Bank of America again rates Nvidia as a "BUY" with a price target of $1500 (!).
► We made very strong equity calls in the prior week, but were hit in some cases by sentiment-driven selling on Friday - the last day in May. Block, Amazon and Citigroup are all opening well and remain strong positions. We do not want to get ahead of the current rebound, which is late but from which we have already benefited strongly in the final hours of trading on Friday. With our massive gains in Dow Jones (and possibly Nasdaq) as well as Meta and now Nvidia, Friday was an overall (very) positive day for us. We could have bought the dips more decisively, but overall we are well positioned for today's pre-market moves.
► Amazon continues to disappoint. We buy the e-commerce/tech giant at range 176.50 - 177.00* and see significant recovery potential. Amazon is still in strong growth mode - especially in its high-margin cloud and advertising units.
► We also expect (VIP ONLY) to recover and can enter near (VIP ONLY). We still consider (VIP ONLY) to be undervalued and want to profit from the current dip (VIP ONLY), which intensified (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 290 - 320 (29,000% - 32,000%) trading with Amazon (AMZN)
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...
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🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
📊 ROB’S DAILY UPDATE 📈
‼️ Global stocks start recovery with tech leading gains; Yields slide for a third day
New AI chips from Nvidia and AMD, which will be presented in Taiwan this week, helped the chip giants to recover in pre-market trading after the recent profit-taking. We bought Nvidia on Friday at a very good time. Other growth stocks are also recovering after last week's 1.4% sell-off caused by investors pulling out of big tech companies.
Stocks in Europe and Asia performed well, with India's Sensex rising more than 3% and the Indian rupee making its biggest jump in a year on speculation that incumbent Prime Minister Narendra Modi could surely push through pro-growth policies after a clear election victory. In Mexico, the Mexican peso plunged after Claudia Sheinbaum was elected the country's first female head of government in a landslide. The broad Europe 600 Index is up more than 0.5% and stocks in the US have also pushed the S&P 500 up 0.3% in pre-market trading.
We see yields continuing their three-day slide, but the USD is still holding steady as yields are also falling in other parts of the world.
Meanwhile, GameStop was back in the spotlight after celebrity Redditor Keith Gill posted an alleged $116 million position in the stock. It was the account's first post in three years. The screenshot, which also included 120,000 call options, could not be verified, but GameStop doubled in extremely volatile pre-market trading. AMC Entertainment Holdings, another meme stock, is up nearly 30%.
May was a positive month for stocks. Investors are still divided on the outlook as prices are close to their all-time highs. Investment banks are also divided: JPMorgan analysts generally expect disappointing returns for the S&P 500 in the coming months, while famed analyst Michael Wilson of Morgan Stanley says he expects the bull market to continue for now. However, last week's positive PCE data could be key in keeping investors optimistic that the Fed's rate cuts are "timely".
Online fashion retailer Shein is expected to file for an IPO in London later this week, which could be worth around £50 billion ($64 billion). This could make Shein's IPO one of the largest IPOs in UK history.
We have a mixed view on commodity prices, but they are benefiting from lower yields, increased expectations of interest rate cuts and improved risk sentiment. Gold is back above $2,330, trying to recover from its recent decline and benefiting from falling opportunity costs as global bond yields continue to cool.
👁 ROB'S MARKET OVERVIEW:
June 3 2024
🌐/🇺🇸 Global Markets ↗️/↕️
Cyclical / Luxury Stocks ↗️
Tech/Growth Stocks ↗️
Financial Stocks ↗️/➡️
Defensive Stocks ➡️
Energy Stocks ↘️/➡️
Materials Stocks ↘️/➡️
💱 Forex
AUD ↗️ (benefiting from falling yields, rate cut optimism, improved risk sentiment)
EUR, JPY, CHF ↗️/➡️
USD, CAD ➡️
GBP ↘️/➡️
⚒ Commodity Markets ↕️
Oil prices ➡️/↗️ (limited downside potential after recent slide)
Natural Gas prices ↗️/↕️
Metal prices ➡️/↗️
Gold ↗️/↕️ (benefiting from recent strong slide in yields; bounce after technical pullback)
⚡️Cryptos ↗️/↕️ (benefiting from improved risk sentiment & rate cut hopes. BTC to test $70K soon)
(*↗️ bullish, ↘️ bearish, ➡️ sideways / stable, ↕️ mixed / volatile)
Your Robert
⚠️ NON-DELAYED ROB'S DAILY UPDATE IN VIP CHANNEL
📊 SmartTrader Insights: Monday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Monday, June 03
❗️ European, Asian stocks climb on manufacturing data; Global stocks benefit from softer-than-expected US PCE data
► European stocks advanced with the Stoxx 600 index climbing 0.5%, buoyed by improving manufacturing data. Germany’s manufacturing PMI rose to 45.4, the highest in four months, while the Euro Area’s PMI increased to 47.3 from 45.7 in April. France also saw a rise in its manufacturing PMI to 46.4. Investors are awaiting the European Central Bank’s potential interest rate cut on Thursday.
► US futures rose as soft US inflation data and the resulting fall in yields, as well as rising rate cut expectations by the US Federal Reserve, led to optimism. Last Friday’s reading of core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) showed the smallest increase this year, raising hopes for policy easing. Yields on 10-year Treasuries edged lower. In particular growth/tech stocks are significantly higher extending gains on Friday after a chaotic session. GameStop soared on news of a $100M position taken by Keith Gill, a reddit user linked to the 2021 meme-stock rally.
► Stocks in Asia gained significantly, led by India’s Sensex which surged to a record high as exit polls indicated a resounding victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s party. Equities in Australia, Japan, and Hong Kong advanced, pushing the MSCI Asia Pacific Index to its biggest increase since March 21. Manufacturing data showed improvement across the region, with China’s PMI hitting 51.7, the fastest pace in almost two years. Japan’s manufacturing PMI also climbed above 50.0 for the first time in a year.
► Oil prices fluctuated after OPEC+ announced plans to restore some production from October, amid ongoing concerns over demand and strong supply from non-OPEC+ producers. WTI Crude oil is trading slightly lower at around $77.1/barrel. Gold prices are little changed trading at $2,327/oz, affected by market volatility and anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions. The combination of softer US inflation data, falling yields and increased Fed rate cut hopes, OPEC’s production hints, and strong Asian economic indicators has supported commodity prices.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇯🇵 Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI - 00:30 (released)
🔸 🇨🇳 Caixin Manufacturing PMI - 01:45 (released)
🔸 🇪🇸 HCOB Manufacturing PMI - 07:15 (released)
🔸 🇮🇹 HCOB Manufacturing PMI - 07:45 (released)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB Manufacturing PMI - 07:50 (released)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB Manufacturing PMI - 07:55 (released)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB Manufacturing PMI - 08:00 (released)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - 08:30 (released)
🔸 🇨🇦 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - 13:45
🔸 🇺🇸 ISM Manufacturing PMI - 14:00
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
No significant earnings reports
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
Overview last 30 trading days:
✅ Performance: 19.04 - 24.05 (26 trading days)
127 / 151 = 84.1% (!) Success Rate
(April 18 - 5/7 = 71.4% SR dropped out)
✅ 27.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2345.79)
✅ 27.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2354.87)
2/2 = 100% Success Rate 🏆
❌ 28.5 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 38446.70)
✅ 28.5 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.08586)
✅ 28.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18896.70|clsd ~18900)
✅ 28.5 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 191.69 / *near break-even)
✅ 28.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2355.37)
✅ 28.5 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2356.52)
✅ 28.5 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2354.12)
✅ 28.5 - CVX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 159.13) 🔄
❌ 28.5 - C - LONG ↗️ (SL - 61.49) 🔄
7/9 = 77.8% Success Rate
✅ 29.5 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.66116)
✅ 29.5 - NVDA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1110.6)
✅ 29.5 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2336.18)
3/3 = 100% Success Rate 🏆
Citigroup was one of the positions affected by the sentiment-driven panic selling. Unfortunately, financials also fell first along with growth stocks. Citigroup closed in the green, as did 10 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors (only the technology sector didn't close in the green - but flat after a mega rally before NYSE closing). We saw a crazy roller coaster ride today with most stocks ending near or at session highs. Chevron was up 2.55% (!) today - showing that there was a lot of buying, overall very positive market sentiment, but also a rotation from tech to other (recently underperforming) sectors.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2314.30 (update; or tighter ~ make sure that the total potential losses do not exceed 2.5 - 4% of your total balance)
TP1 ✅ @: 2336.34
TP2 ✅ @: 2348.90
OR
CLOSE HALF YOUR POSITION NOW ✅ @: 2330 (area)
As we had predicted, the gold price rose above $2,350 and even (almost) tested $2,360, before profit-taking led to panic selling.
Gold ended the day down 0.6% - not particularly spectacular in reality, but the swing, which first went up and then steeply down, was definitely very strange from a fundamental point of view. Gold received fundamental support from a further decline in yields following the PCE data. On the other hand, the USD remained stable and even recovered from its initial losses. The fact that gold is weakening despite the Fed and gold-friendly PCE report and weaker consumer spending could be a sign of short-term exhaustion after the remarkable rally of 2024.
That said, we're taking gold here over the weekend and prefer to go with relatively wide SLs (if you can afford it). We are setting two or three layers of TPs to gradually close our gold positions next week (or so the theory goes).
If you are still LONG in the Nasdaq, you can close it now. Fundamentally, however, the Nasdaq should be able to rise above pre-PCE levels.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 38775 - 38800 (area)
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 18513.70
TP ✅ @: 18583.90
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 18560 - 18590 (area)
What a crazy, confused market today, driven by a strange sentiment, almost like being stung by a hornet - possibly due to significant portfolio rebalancing. By the end of the day, the market had corrected sharply and followed the fundamentals again.
Our Dow Jones is up nearly 400 points - in a truly rare massive NYSE closing rally.
If you are still LONG in the Nasdaq (or have declined), you should set a tight SL / TP or close here as well.
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BUY NOW 🔼 NVIDIA (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; 2/3 trade size
► We see Wall Street normalizing towards NYSE closing, with tech/yield-sensitive stocks also rallying strongly.
► Nvidia is still down 1.2%, having already slipped more than 3% on Thursday.
► We continue to see very optimistic analyst sentiment, which is likely to continue in the coming week. Throughout the week, including today, there have been positive analyst calls from the major investment banks (today Wells Fargo: "Overweight"). It remains very difficult to position oneself against Nvidia and also for portfolio managers not to hold Nvidia in their portfolios.
► Nvidia's growth rate remains phenomenal and shows no signs of slowing down. It is likely that Nvidia will be able to continue this week's steep rise in the coming week. We see Nvidia still ~5.5% below the ATH. Today's profit taking at the end of the month/weekend is already abating. The market will react positively to today's PCE data at the beginning of June.
► We find an entry point here $1090 - $1095 and expect Nvidia to rise again towards $1,150 in the coming week. We are trading Nvidia smaller than usual.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 25 - 30 (2500% - 3000%) when trading the NVIDIA (NVDA) - 2/3 trade size
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 457.39
TP ✅ @: 466.77
Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 174.23
TP ✅ @: 178.79
Our day today certainly did not impress with great entries - Meta, however, was an exception. The stock actually found support in the $454.00 - $455.00 range. We secure nice profits and set a wide TP.
Amazon also fell particularly sharply. Tech stocks moved with great correlation today - a strong sign that they were falling due to general profit taking. Much of this can be attributed to sentiment driven profit taking which then led to panic selling (not much you can do about that unfortunately). There was certainly also portfolio rebalancing - with some institutional investors rotating into more defensive sectors.
——-
👤4️⃣6️⃣0️⃣➕
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
Overview last 30 trading days:
✅ Performance: 22.04 - 27.05 (26 trading days)
125 / 146 = 85.6% (!) Success Rate
(April 19 - 4/7 = 57.1% SR dropped out)
❌ 28.5 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 38446.70)
✅ 28.5 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.08586)
✅ 28.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18896.70|clsd ~18900)
✅ 28.5 - APPL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 191.69 / *near break-even)
✅ 28.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2355.37)
✅ 28.5 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2356.52)
✅ 28.5 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2354.12)
✅ 28.5 - CVX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 159.13)
❌ 28.5 - C - LONG ↗️ (SL - 61.49)
7/9 = 77.8% Success Rate
✅ 29.5 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.66116)
✅ 29.5 - NVDA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1110.6)
✅ 29.5 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2336.18)
3/3 = 100% Success Rate 🏆
✅ 30.5 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 5260.90)
✅ 30.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2349.37)
❌ 30.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18547.70)
❌ 30.5 - SQ - LONG ↗️ (SL - 64.23)
✅ 30.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2354.47|CLSD ~2346)
✴️ 30.5 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit) 🔄
👉 TP ✅ @: 419.79
3/6 - (1 open position)
Microsoft ended the day little changed after a positive opening today (but then more profit taking). Otherwise, there are no further updates. Our 5-week performance from April 22 to May 27 is absolutely breathtaking with a success rate of 85.6% (!). What a performance in the second half of April and May (congratulations again, we can assume that no one short-term came even come close to our success rates / overall performance).
You are guaranteed to trade our signals profitably if you trade them correctly and follow basic risk management. If you have problems and think you are making mistakes, please contact your trading mentor. You can also ask for another mentor - e.g. in our support:
How can you reach us?
- E-mail: support@smarttrader.community
- Support portal: https://smarttrader-support.freshdesk.com
Thank you to many of you for sharing some of the profits with people in need. If you would like to help people in Ukraine or Gaza, we can recommend https://unitedhelpukraine.org // https://www.welthungerhilfe.org // - thank you very much ❤️
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
AMD (AMD) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 162.69
TP ✅ @: 165.47
Our Nasdaq position hit TP - for a nice profit. We can update SL / TP for AMD which is well in profit after a late surge. We work with wide TP.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 18533.30
TP ✅ @: 18597.30
Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 174.94
TP ✅ @: 177.37
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 177.30
We see a flight into bonds in the US causing yields to drop and the USD to slide lower.
We want to reduce our LONG position in growth now gradually. We see signs that investors are increasingly worried about the US economy.
We set a tight SL / TP for our Nasdaq 100 position and secure profits. We set a tight TP for our Amazon position and want to get out (slightly in profit). The Dow Jones should benefit from a rotation from growth to more defensive sectors - we stay LONG.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2338.97
TP3 ✅ @: 2354.84
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 2351 - 2354 (range)
TP2 was also triggered and almost TP3 as well (only by a few cents not).
What a rebound in gold (!) We are tightening our SL if you are still LONG with a potential position. You can also close manually here ($2,351 - $2,354 range) as we see gold now having a very strong short term rebound back near Friday's highs. From a fundamental perspective, gold should be well above Friday's highs.
However, we see that confidence in gold is clouded after the recent setbacks, which will now lead to more profit taking (waves). There are also hopes for a ceasefire in Gaza and we see a temporarily stronger USD weighing on gold.
Congratulations once again.
———-
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2336.26
TP2 ✅ @: 2349.43
TP3 ✅ @: 2354.84
Gold continues to soar / rebound. We see a very strong rebound after Friday's technical pullback. Our positions are now overall back well in profit (our other gold positions already closed in profit). We see yields pulling further back with the 10y sliding nearly 11 bps lower providing further signficant fundamental tailwinds to yield-sensitive gold.
We can further divide TPs in case you still have two positions open. We keep our TP2 (or update to 2349.43) and add a TP3.
Congratulations to all of us for remaining calm and trusting in our fundamental analysis.
edit: sorry - linked to wrong gold signal: correct gold signal: /channel/trial_smarttrader/18730
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
EUR/CAD
SL 🔑 @: 1.48087
TP ✅ @: 1.48263 or a bit wider 1.46298
AUD/USD
SL 🔑 @: 0.66697
TP ✅ @: 0.66897
We also secure very nice profits with both our FX positions. We set a tight TP for our EUR/CAD (or a bit wider) and want to close soon. We also secure profits with a tight SL for our AUD/USD. The AUD is outperforming today as expected.
Congratulations - great FX trades.
———
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
NVIDIA (NVDA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 1128.97
TP ✅ @: 1146.70
hat a trade and what a start into June as also Meta hit our TP at 467.43 (+ potentially big positive slippage as Meta opened near 471.00).
We are tightening our SL for our Nvidia position. We see that Nvidia sees some resistance above $1,140.
——-
As we predicted on Friday, Nvidia is already trying to climb back to $1,150 at the beginning of the week.
🔤🔤🔤🔤📈1️⃣1️⃣5️⃣0️⃣
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2319.67
TP1 ✅ @: 2338.43
TP2 ✅ @: 2348.90
Gold is recovering at the start of the week as we expected, benefiting from a further decline in yields after a technical pullback on Friday despite lower-than-expected US inflation data.
Our TP1 has almost been triggered - we are extending it slightly. We tighten our SL.
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
► We closed the Dow Jones with a huge profit on Friday, the Nasdaq 100 (if you held a LONG position) also extended its gains, reaching TP 18583.90 and then easily rising above 18600 with the markets remaining bullish.
► Chaos reigned on the markets on Friday. Investors were completely confused as to how to interpret the latest economic data and whether the US economy was continuing to grow fast, growing, cooling or possibly even cooling so fast that recession fears could resurface. Friday's PCE data was positive and showed the slowest pace this year.
► Markets in Asia and Europe rose broadly, benefiting from Friday's late rally in the US and better manufacturing data.
► Almost all sectors performed well in the US - even during the previous week's losses in the tech sector, which led Wall Street lower due to the importance of the tech sector. Pre-market, the growth/tech sector in the US posted solid gains, with the Nasdaq 100 up 0.6%. The Dow Jones, on the other hand, fell 0.25% and is currently at 38700 points - almost 100 points below our closing price and almost 200 points below the highs it had already reached pre-market today. We are getting in here.
► We expect US Treasury yields to fall further and the markets to remain more optimistic about interest rate cuts later this year, including the expected first rate cut by the ECB on Thursday.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) trading the Dow Jones (US30).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 70+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
——-
This signal is ~70 minutes delayed!
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🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
✅ 30.5 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 5260.90)
✅ 30.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2349.37)
❌ 30.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18547.70) 🔄
❌ 30.5 - SQ - LONG ↗️ (SL - 64.23) 🔄 🔄
✅ 30.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2354.47|CLSD ~2346)🔄 📸
✴️ 30.5 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
3/6 - (1 open position)
✴️ 31.5 - EUR/CAD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
✅ 31.5 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38346.90)
✴️ 31.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | re-entry)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 2314.30 | TP1 ✅ @: 2336.34 |TP2 ✅ @: 2348.90
✴️ 31.5 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - slightly off-profit)
❌ 31.5 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 174.23)
❌(✅) 31.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - in profit with SL in profit | or SL - 18268.90 out of profit | re-entry)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 18513.70 | TP ✅ @: 18583.90
✅✴️ 31.5 - META - LONG ↗️ (open - SL in profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 463.97 | TP ✅ @: 467.43
✅ 31.5 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (clsd - @: 38775 - 38800)
✴️ 31.5 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - just entered)
3/9 - (5 open positions)
Today was one of the most difficult days for traders this year, as the markets were mispriced/confused for quite a long time. A lot of different and (recently) contradictory economic data came together today, as well as likely rebalancing of institutional investors' portfolios. After a week of low trading volume, the market also reacted very panicky when so many things happened at the same time today / volatility & trading volume increased significantly.
The perfect example of why it's absolutely important to stay calm when the market is panicking. It's also ok to stay out / reduce trade size when the market has very high volatility. The worst thing you can do is try to follow the sentiment or some kind of "trend" or make irrational decisions "because it looks like it". If the market is acting wildly, you can't act "wildly" too.
Have a quieter weekend than today's trading day 😜
Your Robert
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
The problem with our follow-on trades in Nasdaq and gold was that there was sentiment-driven panic selling after our entries. In the end, gold closed 0.6% lower - nothing special at all, but interesting as fears over the hot PCE data did not materialize and yields also continued to fall.
Fundamentally, gold is supported here, but after the strong 2024 rally, any further selling could actually lead to a bigger correction as well.
For some of you, Nasdaq positions were closed out of profit, but it would have been right to keep buying the underperformance / dips here.
In the end, the markets corrected again (and followed the fundamentals). Our Meta position that almost reached TP (if you didn't extend your TP, it closed in your TP) is another example of why you make the best trades when you recognize mispricings. The art of recognizing these and trading counter-cyclically is what makes a successful trader/investor (also as a reply to a question from our member Faisal in our SmartTrader Community).
Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 38776.90
I closed my Dow Jones at 38776, but the Dow Jones briefly went above 38800. You can likely close a bit better (~38790 - 38800) but no need to be greedy here. What an insane (!) surge 🤪
Fundamentally Wall Street remains well supported after today's PCE data - which reduced the massive concerns about a re-acceleration of inflation.
Sorry for today's rollercoaster ride. There was a lot of confusion in the markets with recent data in combination with the last day of the month / week - all together resulting in a deeply mispriced market.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 463.97
TP ✅ @: 467.43
Our Meta position is extremely deep in profit. We update before NYSE closing.
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
► It's definitely a very confusing market today with investors confused by conflicting data - from retail sales pointing to a reacceleration, to very strong PMIs (ISM), to very disappointing PMIs (Chicago), signs of hot inflation or stubborn inflation, now signs of mild disinflation again. Expansion - especially in the service sector, very tight labor market data, then much weaker than expected NFPs. At the same time, much of Wall Street remains expensively valued, especially tech stocks, which have driven Wall Street higher over the last 18 months (S&P 500 up almost +50%!). From strong growth (no-landing), soft landing expectation, to recession - everything is somehow seems possible.
► We are now seeing some of the more defensive stocks catching up. After a long underperformance of the Dow Jones, we are now seeing a rotation into more defensive sectors / non-tech sectors. Even the energy sector has risen significantly (our Chevron position hit TP, rose then even further), although energy prices have fallen. Yields are down, but yield-sensitive stocks are down too - it's really upside down a lot.
►But the biggest concern, rising inflation, seems to have subsided somewhat for now after today's PCE data - Treasuries / yields have reacted as one might have expected. We generally expect risk sentiment to improve. The Nasdaq (or tech stocks) is being sold on sentiment - although today's slump seems attractive to buy. We are getting back into the Dow Jones, which still has plenty of scope for a recovery after its recent strong underperformance.
► The Dow Jones would also benefit anyway if the current sell-off in mega-caps subsides. We enter the Dow Jones near our triggered TP (range 38350 - 38450*).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) trading the Dow Jones (US30).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 35+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
——-
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 38272.70
TP ✅ @: 38346.90
We update our Dow Jones position. The Dow Jones is strongly outperforming the other Wall Streets futures thanks to an outperformance of defensive stocks - in particular the strong rebound of UnitedHealth today.
We see the market calming down with also the heavily sold tech / mega cap stocks stabilizing.