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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

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SELL NOW 🔽 AUD/USD

► Overall, we see little movement on the markets, with shares in Europe trading slightly lower and Wall Street little changed after yesterday's profit-taking. However, the cautious mood is likely to continue today and ahead of the big expiry day (triple witching).

► The AUD benefited from the positive performance of Australian markets, but is likely to face more headwinds as risk-sensitive commodity prices are under pressure and have fallen in Asian trading. Despite lower US Treasury yields due to weaker US economic data, the USD remains in demand as the Fed's seemingly patient rate-cutting policy contrasts with a more dovish stance in other countries.

► We see the AUD/USD testing the 0.66500 level. The level is likely to be breached heading into regular US trading and during US trading hours. We also see growing concerns over geopolitical tensions ahead of the weekend, which usually leads to increased safe-haven (USD) demand. We find an entry point in the 0.66515 - 0.66565 range.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 1.15 - 1.25 (115% - 125%) when trading AUD/USD.

Signal DELAYED by: 35+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

✴️ 19.6 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.06793 | TP ✅ @: 1.07449

0/1 - (1 open position)

TODAY :

✴️ 20.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | + re-entry)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 19693.7 | TP1@: 19897.90 | TP2@: 19947.30
✅ 20.6 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18186.70 CLSD @: 18200 near)
✅ 20.6 - CVX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 155.97)
✅ 20.6 - AMD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 161.86) 📸
✅ 20.6 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 81.190)
✴️ 20.6 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 129.89 | TP@: 135.69

4/6 - (2 open positions)

We update our EUR/USD, which fell out of profit again today due to rising US yields and a slightly stronger demand for safe havens. We should have traded the Dow Jones / more defensive indices today - it was a good day for the Dow Jones and a very good performance from the European indices. Energy was the best performing sector today - we had a wonderful NYSE opening trade with Chevron. We saw heavy profit taking in the top performers of late - especially Nvidia / chip stocks + Apple & Tesla - we may close our Nasdaq & Nvidia position out of profit tomorrow if there is further profit taking in the tech sector or rotation into more defensive stocks (before the triple witching which may result in cautious trading / high volatility).

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19743.30
TP1 ✅ @: 19897.90
TP2 ✅ @: 19947.30 (off-profit)

NVIDIA (NVDA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 129.89
TP ✅ @: 135.69

We are tightening our SL now. We can keep our TP. You can also (in case you have an earlier entry) set a TP2.

We saw returning profit taking in the final trading hour (as we expected). We see some cautious trading ahead of tomorrow's triple witching day which generally sees high volatility. Technically, we see a very clear W pattern (including a higher low) in the Nasdaq now - which technical traders see as a bullish indicator - it may lead also to some technical buying.

Nvidia - which is key for the Nasdaq 100 - sees currently profit taking and dip buying. We give Nvidia plenty of room for a potential positive opening tomorrow and tighten our SL a bit (again).

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In case you are trading a different oil contract you can set your TP near / at today's peak.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19693.70
TP ✅ @: 19897.90 (off-profit)

AMD (AMD) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 161.86
TP ✅ @: 158.56

We see significant profit-taking in the chip sector (+ Apple), which sent the Nasdaq down more than 1% (down 1.4% from session highs). If you're still with us - we see Nvidia, Broadcom & Co. deep red, while other sectors remain mixed. We see a reverse rotation from growth/tech stocks to other sectors. We now see some support in the 19700 - 19750 area and expect a partial rebound. We are updating our Nasdaq (limiting losses) and AMD position (which is very deep in profit). AMD has more room to correct and lose some of AMD's strong gains. We are working with an off-profit TP (Nasdaq) for now.

We also see concerns about the upcoming triple witching (tomorrow) - that usually means repositioning, with some investors (including institutional investors) potentially taking profits and repositioning in other asset classes.

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BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸

► We are seeing some profit-taking, although this is not too alarming. The losses appear to be significant due to the high weighting of Nvidia and Broadcom (but seem worse than they are). Qualcomm has also fallen sharply (-4%). Tesla also saw profit-taking due to weak sales figures in Europe.

► We are seeing an improvement in market breadth (which is good) and a race to catch up in non-growth sectors. The Dow Jones, for example, is trading 0.4% higher. The S&P 500 is hovering around the 5500 mark. We also see a solid performance in Europe. We also expect the Nasdaq 100 to find support at 19900.

► We remain LONG in the Nasdaq and may improve our entry at 19900 - 19870.

Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🔰
DAX
(GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 18186.70
TP ✅ @: 18205.80
OR
CLOSE ✅ @: 18200 (near)

We tighten our TP now or CLOSE near 18200. We can likely find a better re-entry.

Update DELAYED by: 3+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🔰
DAX
(GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 18186.70
TP ✅ @: 18219.90

Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 154.49
TP ✅ @: 155.79

The DAX is already back at 18200. We hit the perfect turn-around. We set a not too wide TP now as we see Wall Street flat now. We set a tight SL.

We made the perfect NYSE opening trade with CVX and can set a TP.

Our gold position hit our tight SL despite further rising yields. Gold benefits from more geopolitical uncertainties.

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BUY NOW 🔼 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪

► We are positioned LONG in the market (Nasdaq, Meta, Alphabet) and also see recovery potential in Europe. We are now buying the DAX (18115 - 18130; ~100 points below today's high) after weaker-than-expected US economic data and the Bank of England not following the ECB in cutting interest rates (although overall inflation in the UK is already at 2.0%).

► The slightly weaker-than-expected US economic data is rather positive as it does not show a dramatic slowdown but is seen as Fed-friendly. The slightly higher than expected weekly initial jobless claims and the weaker-than-expected housing data point to stronger support for disinflation.

► The ifo Institute has raised its forecast for economic growth in Germany this year from 0.2% - 0.4%, giving the DAX itself a slight tailwind. Although I do not consider the ifo to be the most accurate growth indicator, the general news and sentiment situation is improving, as is the economic data (in Germany / eurozone).

► In addition, the European markets are somewhat oversold due to the uncertainties in France. However, we are seeing French bonds stabilize - which shows that much of this is already priced in and the concerns are likely to ease, even if it remains uncertain.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the DAX (GER_40)

Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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BUY NOW 🔼 (VIP ONLY)

► We buy the (VIP ONLY). The Bank of England has left interest rates unchanged and has not become more dovish, as there was no change in the MPC's vote - which shows that members are maintaining their view on the current level of interest rates. This also has a slightly negative impact on the Fed's rate cut expectations - because the inflation figures in the US are higher than in the UK where the latest figures already reached the BoE target at 2.0% YoY.

► While we continue to see a lack of market breadth outside of the largest technology companies, which could get worse, we see global investors continuing to pour money into Wall Street and in particular the leading AI technology companies such as Nvidia or peer chipmaker Broadcom. Nvidia is again up more than 3% in pre-market trading.

► We have seen that the (VIP ONLY) has already crossed the (VIP ONLY) level in early (VIP ONLY) (in reaction to the SNB rate cut) - we continue to expect (VIP ONLY) Street to remain bullish with (VIP ONLY)

► Our (VIP ONLY) has already triggered our TP (VIP ONLY) ...

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...

Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

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BUY NOW 🔼 EUR/USD

► The strong performance of Wall Street - with futures rising again today - is keeping the USD elevated. However, as the latest inflation reports from the US were cooler than expected and interest rate cut expectations have hardly changed even after the hawkish update of the latest FOMC rate plot, we expect the USD to fall in the coming months.

► Although today's inflation rate in the UK has already reached the BoE's 2% target, the Bank of England is likely to remain cautious, especially as the inflation rate in the services sector has fallen slightly to 5.7% year-on-year and 0.6% month-on-month, but is slightly higher than expected overall. We see core inflation at 3.5% in the 12 months to May 2024, significantly lower than in April (3.9%). This is in line with expectations, but is probably still too high for the Bank of England to cut rates tomorrow and possibly too high for there to be any further signs of easing.

Eurozone inflation remains high France (2.6%), Germany (2.8%), Eurozone (2.7%).

► The EUR continues to be characterized by political uncertainty since French President Emmanuel Macron shocked investors last week by calling for a run-off election. Yields on eurozone bonds continue to rise - which is supporting the EUR. It looks like bond yields are set to rise even further.

► We remain LONG in the EUR/USD and expect further upside potential. We find an entry near 1.07400. Even if the situation in Europe (especially in France) remains volatile, we see these risks priced in reasonably.

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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Wednesday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Wednesday, June 19

❗️ European futures fall slightly after gains in Asia & the US; US markets closed for Juneteenth

► European stocks posted small moves as traders sought fresh catalysts following the tech-driven rally lead by (again) Nvidia in the US. The Stoxx 600 dipped slightly by 0.2%. The GBP reversed its modest losses after UK inflation fell to the Bank of England’s target for the first time in nearly three years. The UK’s inflation rate hitting 2% brought stability, with the Bank of England expected to hold rates steady at 5.25% in its upcoming decision on June 20 and cut for the first time in August.

US markets are closed today for Juneteenth, leading to expected thin trading volumes globally. On Tuesday, all three major US indexes ended slightly higher (S&P 500 +0.25% / Nasdaq 100 +0.05%), driven by a strong rally in Nvidia, making it the world’s most valuable company. Mixed economic data showed an increase in industrial production while retail sales barely rose and previous months were revised lower. Traders pushed the S&P 500 near 5,500 in yesterday's session (in off-market trading it rose above 5500 today), betting on potential Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Asia-Pacific markets mostly rose, tracking Wall Street gains driven by Nvidia’s strong rally. Japan’s Nikkei 225 increased by 0.28%, supported by better-than-expected export data and a stable JPY around 157.8/USD. Minutes from the Bank of Japan’s April meeting indicated possible monetary policy responses if economic conditions change. In China, the SHCOMP fell by 0.4%, weighed down by a lack of new catalysts and anticipation of the PBOC’s loan prime rate decisions. Hong Kong’s HSI surged by 2.63% following government announcements to keep markets open during extreme weather.

► In commodities, oil prices dipped slightly to $80.5/barrel, after reaching a seven-week high as a sustained risk-on mood in broader markets outweighed signs of growing stockpiles. Gold prices remain little changed at $2,330/oz, after slight gains yesterday following the cooler-than-expected retail sales and subsequent increased demand for bonds (=lower yields).

Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

♦️ 🇬🇧 Inflation Rate / CPI - 06:00 (released)
🔸 🇬🇧 PPI - 06:00 (released)
🔸 🇬🇧 Retail Price Index - 06:00 (released)

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No major earnings reports today

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 08.05 - 11.06 (26 trading days)

114 / 142 = 80.3% Success Rate

(May 7 - 5/5 = 100% 🏆 SR dropped out)

✅ 12.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19423.3)
✅ 12.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2335.40)
✅ 12.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP -19519.40 | or CLSD ~19500)
✅ 12.6 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 176.63|or TP 177.97)
✅ 12.6 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 160.48)
❌ 12.6 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (SL- 110.69)
✅ 12.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2331.63)
❌ 12.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 38768.90| or SL - 38643.40)
✅ 12.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19579.70 |or SL 19529.70)
❌ 12.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2311.89)
❌ 12.6 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 1.07273| pot. re-entry)
✅ 12.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19633.30 )

8/12 = 66.7% Success Rate

13.6 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18323.30)
✅ 13.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 38769.30)
✅ 13.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 0.89437)
✅ 13.6 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (SL - 440.98)
✅ 13.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2308.23)
✅ 13.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19598.30)
✅ 13.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2302.43)

6/7 = 85.7% Success Rate

✅ 14.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19622.30)
(✅*) 14.6 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 108.19|or clsd~110.65 🔄*)
14.6 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 19788.60)
✅ 14.6 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 65543.30)

2/4 = 50% Success Rate

*no update*

edit - many of you closed the XOM today in a long overdue rebound in profit - potentially only "update"

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⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Meta
Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 497.93
TP ✅ @: 507.23 (optional)

We see little action before NYSE closing and ahead of tomorrow's US stock market holiday - although slight additional buying.

We can secure profits with our Meta position. Our Nasdaq 100 is slightly in profit (~20 - 30 points in profit). Upcoming US economic data this week, such as Thursday's building permits and jobless claims as well as Friday's PMI data will likely do little to change global investors to further pump money into Wall Street. We can stay LONG in the Nasdaq 100.

Also our Alphabet position is slightly in profit - we stay LONG.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🔰
DAX
(GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 18162.30
TP ✅ @: 18223.30

We tighten our SL and give the DAX more room to rise. We also see signs of Wall Street moving higher with the S&P 500 near 5500. Nvidia is big driver today but we see rebound potential in the other big tech stocks.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Friday, June 21

❗️ Upcoming elections in France weigh on economy; AI rally shows signs of fatigue ahead of triple witching

European equity markets opened weaker on Friday, with the Stoxx 600 index currently trading 0.6% lower and losing much of yesterday's gains. Bonds were in higher demand after data showed that the early elections in France had a negative impact on the recovery of the private sector in the eurozone. German Bund yields, for example, fell below 2.4% and dropped by six basis points after data showed the impact of the early elections in France on the recovery in the manufacturing sector. Positive retail sales data in the UK, which rose at the fastest pace since January, briefly supported the GBP. The S&P Global UK Composite Purchasing Managers' Index fell to 50.8 in June, the worst reading of the year, while forecasts had predicted a rise to 52.5, which in turn created headwinds and worsened risk sentiment (also in the UK).

► Wall Street is preparing for the triple witching as derivative contracts linked to equities, index options and futures mature, forcing investors to roll over their existing positions or open new ones. This can lead to changes in portfolio allocation. About $5.5 trillion worth of options will mature on Friday. While the expiration doesn't take place until the last hour of regular U.S. trading today, it usually prompts investors to be more cautious, especially in a quarter where there have been significant moves in some assets.

Stocks in Asia saw a mixed session. Japan’s Nikkei index closed almost flat at -0.1%. China’s Shanghai Composite fell by 0.24%, while the more tech heavy Hang Seng dropped by -1.67% being negatively impacted by profit taking in tech / AI stocks in New York. The Australian main index S&P/ASX 200 closed 0.34% higher.

► Oil prices are slightly higher with WTI Crude oil prices stabilized at around $81/barrel. Gold prices benefit from worsened geopolitical tensions, recent softer US economic data and heightened volatility ahead of today's triple witching. Gold is at a two-weeks high at $2,366/oz.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇬🇧 Retail Sales May - 06:00 (released)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB Manufacturing PMI - 07:30 (released)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Composite PMI - 08:30 (released)
🔸 🇨🇦 Retail Sales April - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 S&P Global Composite PMI - 13:45
🔸 🇺🇸 Existing Home Sales - 14:00

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Factset (FDS) 🇺🇸

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 10.05 - 13.06 (26 trading days)

120 / 152 = 78.9% Success Rate

(May 9 - 5/6 = 83.3% SR dropped out)

✅ 14.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19622.30)
(✅*) 14.6 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 108.19|or clsd~110.65 *)
14.6 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 19788.60)
✅ 14.6 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 65543.30)

2/4 = 50% Success Rate

17.6 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18177.30)
✅ 17.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2315.67)
17.6 - GS - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 451.51)
17.6 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 0.66326)
17.6 - ADBE - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 516.56)
✅ 17.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2312.56)
17.6 - EUR/CHF - LONG ↗️ (SL - 0.94794| or CLSD in profit) 🔄

2/7 = 28.6% Success Rate ☠️

✅ 18.6 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18162.30)
✅ 18.6 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 1.07463 |or CLSD ~1.07600-615)
✅ 18.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2317.56)
✅ 18.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 20038.70)
18.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2346.11|+ re-entry) 🔄
✅ 18.6 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 132.70)
✅ 18.6 - META - LONG ↗️ (SL - 499.79) 🔄
✅ 18.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 177.19|TP - 177.23 / CLSD~177)🔄

7/8 = 87.5% Success Rate

Our dip buys (META & GOOGL) closed (deeply) in profit today. Our EUR/CHF probably hit the SL overnight yesterday (if set) and then jumped far into profit after the SNB interest rate decision. June 17 was bad in every respect - including really very unfortunate SL triggers.

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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW🔼 NVIDIA (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ High Volatility / 1/2 trading size
SL 🔑 @: (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► The Nasdaq 100 (and S&P 500) has early rebounded significantly but saw again some profit taking again. In particular Nvidia is playing decisive role here.

► We can trade a small Nvidia position here. Nvidia is now again nearly 4% lower or more than 7% below today's session high (all-time high).

► Private investors in particular will now use the current dip in Nvidia to (re-)enter the stock. The investment banks are still extremely bullish on Nvidia - even in technically overbought conditions.

► We are trading Nvidia with 1/2 of our usual trading size and are setting a relatively tight SL in case there is more profit taking in the final trading minutes and ahead of tomorrow's triple witching.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 140 - 160 (14,000% - 16,000%) when trading the NVIDIA (NVDA) - 1/2 trading size.

Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———

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📉📉🎯📈

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🖥 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: 81.190
TP ✅ @: 81.459

We set a tight TP for WTI position. We hit the dip perfectly. We don't see a negative risk sentiment at the moment - with commodities, energy and 8 from the 11 S&P sectors trading in the green. Also risk-sensitive Bitcoin is flat for the day.

We can find a better re-entry in case our now very tight TP is triggered.


———-

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BUY NOW 🔼 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)

► We traded today's further rise in the oil price as best we could with Chevron 📸, caught the perfect entry and closed at $156.00. Now we are trading oil - buying the mini dip (to currently ~$80.80 spot price).

► Some profit-taking or mixed movements in New York (but an overall improvement in market breadth), a slightly stronger USD and more signs of weaker US economic data have weighed somewhat on the oil price.

► Fundamentally, however, the oil price is receiving tailwinds after the EIA reported a 2.5 million barrel decline in inventories for the week ending June 14. This contrasted with an increase in inventories of 3.7 million barrels. It also contrasts with a more bearish API report on Tuesday.

► We see future futures contracts higher than spot prices, which also indicates that buyers expect prices to rise. JPMorgan analysts expect the oil price to rise by a further ~6% (Brent) by September. In addition, we are currently seeing severe heat waves in the USA, which will probably increase demand for oil/gas and push up prices.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader / *multiply by 1000 when trading at Tickmill. ⚠️ The July-Futures Contract is currently $1 - $1.10 above spot price

Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

🛢📈

🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
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🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

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⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 AMD (AMD) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; 2/3 trading size

AMD is currently the big outperformer after a strong analyst call from Piper Sandler and a price target increase to $175.00.

AMD is now almost 6% above Tuesday's closing price.

► We now see slight profit taking in the growth sector which will make it harder for AMD to keep the very strong early gains and avoid profit taking.

AMD has performed significantly worse than the other chip stocks in recent weeks and has been unable to make up any ground on Nvidia.

► We expect some profit taking soon and sell near $163.50.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 220 - 240 (22,000% - 24,000%) trading AMD (AMD) - 2/3 trading size.

Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

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🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

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⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Chevron
(CVX) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 154.77
TP ✅ @: 155.97

We set the TP a bit above Tuesday's highs and near the $156.00 we projected Chevron trying to reach.

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BUY WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔼 Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸

🔹 The Nasdaq 100 (+0.15%) extended the gains made yesterday in after-hours trading. Dell Technologies gained after CEO Michael Dell declared that the company is building a "Dell AI Factory" for Elon Musk's startup xAI together with Nvidia. More tailwinds for AI-driven earnings. Overall upward momentum remains intact - however, gains concentrated in a few mega-cap stocks could either cap gains or lead to short-term profit-taking.

🔹 Alphabet (+0.2%) opens little changed after a weak performance on Tuesday. We bought the dup very well and our position is in profit. We are working with a very tight TP ✅ @: 147.19 (update).

🔹 Meta (+ 0.8%) opens well. We found a very strong entry yesterday. We can tighten our SL further 🔑 @ : 499.79. Meta benefits from the fact that KeyBanc has raised the price target from $475 to $540.

► We see oil prices extending gains (ahead of EIA inventory update). WTI has gained 4% this week, while global benchmark Brent is up around 3.3%. JPMorgan forecasts Brent to reach $90 a barrel in September as the market tightens on falling inventories, which would mean a further ~6% rise. We see oil prices generally trending higher and breaking through key levels. The energy sector continues to be one of the underperformers as most of the gains are concentrated in growth stocks. I believe Chevron (or XOM) is very attractive for H2/2024 and we could see another attempt to cut recent losses today. Chevron opens at $154.00. We could get in a little lower at $153.50 - $153.90 and will likely see another attempt for CVX to try and push towards $156.00.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~340 - 370 (34.000% - 37.000%) when trading with (CVX)

Signal DELAYED by: 16+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

🔤🔤🔤🔼
1️⃣5️⃣3️⃣📈

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🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

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STAY SHORT 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► The technical momentum for gold has improved and was supported by the recent weaker US economic data and softer US inflation - although the USD remained strong. We are therefore setting a tight SL.

► In the short term, gold looks set to hit resistance above $2,340, with uncertainty over the Fed's rate cut and the recent strong rally on Wall Street (which has improved risk sentiment and kept the USD up) limiting gains.

► We also see the recent modest gold gains as a reaction to gold seeing slightly more buying due to the slight increase in geopolitical threats. In the Middle East, tensions between Israel and Lebanon reached boiling point on Wednesday after Israeli officials warned that they had approved the Northern Command's plans for an "all-out war" against Hezbollah in Lebanon.

► Also yesterday, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a pact with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, ensuring that the two countries would support each other in the event of an attack.

Malaysia also announced its intention to join the BRICS trade association on Wednesday ahead of a meeting between its Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim and Chinese Premier Li Qiang. Thailand announced plans to join BRICS back in May.

We remain SHORT for the time being, but set a tight SL. You can improve your average entry price from $2,340.50 - $2,342.50, but we are working with a now tight SL ahead of some US economic data (building permits, housing starts, jobless claims). We now generally see less profit-taking in gold - we are therefore setting a TP (off-profit) that is not too wide.

► We see slightly rising bond yields in Europe and the US, which means a slight fundamental headwind for gold. We also see French bonds and sentiment stabilizing, which means less demand for safe havens in Europe.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———-

🥇📈2️⃣3️⃣4️⃣1️⃣🐌

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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Thursday, June 20

❗️ European / US futures rise after second SNB rate cut & ahead of further interest rate decisions

► European stocks open higher with the Stoxx 600 index rising by 0.35%, recovering from previous losses. Today’s key events in Europe include Switzerland’s rate decision, with economists divided on the outcome, and expected rate held by Norges Bank and the Bank of England. In France, the Treasury prepares to auction up to €10.5 billion in bonds following President Macron's snap election call, providing a test for market sentiment on yield levels. The EUR edged lower after the SNB rate cut, although the CHF was stronger (negatively) affected by the rate cut.

► US markets resume trading today after the Juneteenth holiday. The S&P 500 is up 0.4% at record levels, while the Nasdaq advanced also to a record high, up by 0.7%. Anticipation builds for the Bank of England’s policy decision and upcoming US economic data releases, including housing starts, building permits, and initial jobless claims. Wall Street continues to benefit from the AI-driven / tech rally and resilient economic growth, although there are concerns about the market’s underlying strength and breadth. The USD edged higher, and 10-year Treasury yields increased by 3-4 basis points.

Asian markets had a mixed session as investors turn cautious ahead of key economic data releases. Japan’s Nikkei index was up 0.29%. China’s Shanghai Composite fell by 0.39%, hitting two-month lows as the People’s Bank of China kept key lending rates unchanged at 3.45% for the 1Y Loan Prime Rate. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index also dropped by 0.66%. The offshore CNY weakened, and Chinese bonds gained attention after the PBOC signaled intentions to trade government bonds on the secondary market.

► After rising to $81/barrel, WTI Crude oil prices stabilized at around $80.5/barrel. This comes ahead of the release of weekly US inventory data. Gold prices are slightly up currently trading near $2,333/oz after ending the previous session little changed, continuing to benefit from lower yields. However, US Treasury yields are currently trading 3-4 bp higher weighing on gold.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇨🇳 Loan Prime Rate - 01:15 (released)
🔸 🇩🇪 PPI - 06:00 (released)
🔸 🇪🇺 ECB General Council Meeting - 07:00 (released)
🔸 🇨🇭 SNB Interest Rate Decision - 07:30 (released)
♦️ 🇬🇧 BoE Interest Rate Decision - 11:00
🔸 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change - 15:00
🔸 🇬🇧 Gfk Consumer Confidence - 23:01
🔸 🇯🇵 Inflation Rate / CPI - 23:30

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Accenture (ACN) 🇺🇸
☀️ Kroger (KR) 🇺🇸
(...a few more with market cap <$19B)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19963.30
TP ✅ @: 20038.70

Wall Street futures continued to rise in over-the-counter trading, with the Nasdaq again breaking through the 20K mark and the S&P 500 even breaking through the 5500 mark. We can now lock in profits.

However, we see very thin trading today - we don't want to overtrade today's market conditions anyway.


———-

🇺🇸🖥📈2️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

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17.6 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18177.30)
✅ 17.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2315.67)
17.6 - GS - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 451.51) 🔄
17.6 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 0.66326) 🔄
17.6 - ADBE - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 516.56)
✅ 17.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2312.56) 🔄
✴️ 17.6 - EUR/CHF - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 0.94794 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 0.95369 🔄

2/7 - (1 open position)

TODAY :

✅ 18.6 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18162.30)
✅ 18.6 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 1.07463 |or CLSD ~1.07600-615)
✅ 18.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2317.56)
✴️ 18.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
✴️ 18.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2315.67 🔄
✅ 18.6 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 132.70)
✴️ 18.6 - META - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 497.93 | TP@: 507.23
✴️ 18.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (open - slightly in-profit)

4/8 - (4 open positions)

After yesterday's session to forget, we traded the mixed markets well today - especially the direct reaction to US retail sales. I see even more recovery potential for European equities here. Instead of the DAX, it would have been even better to trade the even more oversold CAC today. We may be able to find a better entry price tomorrow - especially as Wall Street was able to close on a positive note, mainly or almost exclusively thanks to Nvidia. With Nvidia we made almost the best possible trade at the NYSE opening - but unfortunately closed sub optimally in the narrow SL (deep in the money). Tomorrow will probably be much quieter with low trading volumes - although European / UK equities could possibly react positively to a possible further decline in UK inflation figures. We are updating our EUR/CHF position and can set a TP for our gold position.

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Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸
shortly before today's NYSE closing / closing price at 499.49

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BUY NOW 🔼 Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸

► (Weaker-than-expected) US retail sales were the first to weigh on growth stocks today, albeit also after a strong performance yesterday - which was particularly strong for AI chip giants Nvidia and Broadcom. Nvidia is once again the driving force today and the reason why the Nasdaq is still positive despite a relatively poor market breadth and the big tech stocks in the red. Nvidia is currently the most valuable company in the world by a very narrow margin - for the first time.

► The important US retail sales rose more slowly than expected, but industrial and manufacturing production exceeded forecasts - a sign that companies remain optimistic about the medium-term outlook.

► We are buying the dips in Meta and (VIP ONLY) and see the general market sentiment turning positive again in the second half of US trading and ahead of tomorrow's holiday (Juneteenth).

► Meta and (VIP ONLY) are (VIP ONLY) and will (continue to) benefit from the very strong gains of Nvidia and other AI stocks. Meta has already been able to monetize AI implementation very well and, above all, massively improve margins. Without Meta's ongoing VR losses, the stock would be even stronger.

► I think (VIP ONLY) is relatively undervalued compared to t(VIP ONLY), especially when you look at the EPS / revenue growth rates. (VIP ONLY) needs to improve its profitability and further (VIP ONLY). I strongly believe (VIP ONLY) will succeed in (VIP ONLY) ...

► We are buying the dips in both stocks and trading them slightly smaller than usual so as not to inflate our LONG position too much.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~80 - 100 (8,000% - 10,000%) when trading Meta Platforms (META) - 2/3 trade size

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

Signal DELAYED by: 90+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———-

🔤🔤🔤🔤
4️⃣9️⃣6️⃣📈

If you think you're making mistakes or not getting the support you need, we're here for you! Our support team is ready to help. You can also ask for a different account manager if you are having problems or are not happy with the help and guidance you are receiving.

How to Reach Us?
- Email: support@smarttrader.community
- Support Portal: https://smarttrader.community/support

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
DAX
(GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 18148.70
TP ✅ @: 18193.40

We update our DAX position as we want to reduce our overall LONG positioning. We continue to see Wall Street well supported and European stocks oversold (with strong rebound potential). We set a tight SL and give the DAX more room to rise in after-hours trading.


———-

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