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[TRIAL] ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTraderโ„ข - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

โšก๏ธ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Apple
(AAPL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘
@: 214.83
TP โœ… @: 215.87
OR
CLOSE โœ…
@: 215.50 (near)

Apple opened very well and again saw early buying - pushing well above yesterday's highs. If you closed your position near $215.00. That's great! Otherwise set a wider (still tight) TP now.

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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SELL NOW / SOON* ๐Ÿ”ฝ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ The markets in the US are stagnating - although all indices have risen after the lows in overnight trading, when the disappointing sales forecast from chip company Micron (which was "only" in line with analysts' expectations) caused Micron shares to plummet by up to 10 % and dragged down a number of mega-cap companies, including Nvidia. Micron is trading 5.5 % lower pre-market and Nvidia is also down again (-1.5 %).

โ–บ We see Europe (especially the French CAC) lower overall in the run-up to the French elections on Sunday. Markets in Asia also closed lower today.

โ–บ Yields continue to rise ahead of a raft of US economic data due to be released in an hour. Initial jobless claims are expected to continue to rise slightly, which is seen as support for potential Fed rate cuts - slightly rising claims would therefore be positive for equity / risk sentiment. Durable goods orders, which measure new orders received by US manufacturers of durable goods such as machinery and equipment, are expected to fall by 0.6% after rising by 0.6% in the previous month. While markets will react to the data, the focus remains on tomorrow's US PCE data and generally hawkish comments from Fed officials.

โ–บ We can now position SHORT in the Nasdaq (range 19760 - 19800*) or work with a pending order. Micron's reaction to a rather disappointing outlook highlights the risks if Wall Street relies on AI chipmakers to fuel the stock rally. We see poor market breadth in tech stocks.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

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Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
TP triggered โœ… @: 19681.10

Our Nasdaq 100 SHORT has already hit our TP in overnight trading and seems to be slipping further (we set our TP a bit too tight given Micron's heavy losses after the earnings report) - if your are still in you can set your TP โœ… @:19626.60 with an in-profit SL. We're still SHORT the DAX (currently at 18100; well in profit) - if you've set your TP, give it a little more room to fall:

โšก๏ธ RAPID OPTIONAL UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
DAX (GER_40) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
TP โœ… @: 18051.20 (optional)

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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Overview last 30 trading days:

โœ… Performance: 17.05 - 19.06 (26 trading days)

107 / 143 = 74.8% Success Rate

(May 16 - 6/7 = 85.7% SR dropped out)

โŒ 20.6 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 19743.30|+re-entry)
โœ… 20.6 - GER_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 18186.70| CLSD @: 18200 near)
โœ… 20.6 - CVX - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 155.97)
โœ… 20.6 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 161.86)
โœ… 20.6 - USOIL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 81.190)
โŒ 20.6 - NVDA - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 129.89)

4/6 = 66.7% Success Rate

โœ… 21.6 - AUD/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 0.66431)
โŒ 21.6 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 2313.63|+re-entry) ๐Ÿ”„
โœ… 21.6 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 19731.60)
โœ… 21.6 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 159.86)
โœ… 21.6 - TSLA - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 181.41 |or SL ~182.02)
โœ… 21.6 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 19738.60|or CLSD~19735-50)
โœ… 21.6 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 160.21 |or TP ~160.51)

6/7 = 85.7% Success Rate

โœ… 24.6 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 19729.70)
โœ… 24.6 - AAPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 210.67)
โœด๏ธ 24.6 - USD/JPY - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 161.026 ๐Ÿ”„ | TP โœ… @: 159.336 ๐Ÿ”„
โœ… 24.6 - GBR_100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 8284.90)
โœ… 24.6 - AAPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 210.79)
โœด๏ธ 24.6 - CVX - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP
โœ… @: 159.37
โœ… 24.6 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 19677.30|re-entry)

5/7 - (2 open positions)

We are maneuvering well through the volatile / very mixed and difficult to trade markets. Our gold position closed deep red overnight / our FTSE 100 reached the TP. We are updating our USD/JPY position, which has continued to rise on fears that the Fed will remain reluctant to cut rates - signs of possible (or actual) intervention could lead to a sharp fall in the short term.

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SELL NOW ๐Ÿ”ฝ (VIP ONLY) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: (VIP ONLY)

โ–บ (VIP ONLY) saw sentiment-driven buying and outperformance today after (VIP ONLY)...

โ–บ We see overbuying in (VIP ONLY) - especially given the recent poor (VIP ONLY) and the fact that (VIP ONLY) ...

โ–บ (VIP ONLY) usually reports (VIP ONLY) - that would be next week on Tuesday. I think the market consensus is a bit too high and (VIP ONLY) than expected.

โ–บ We (VIP ONLY) SHORT position (VIP ONLY). However, we are also working with a tight SL in case (VIP ONLY) can (VIP ONLY) tomorrow and rise above (VIP ONLY) ...

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 130 - 140 (13,000% - 14,000%) trading Tesla (TSLA) - 1/2 trading size

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Gold (XAU/USD)๐Ÿฅ‡
CLOSED โœ… @: 2300.97 (for me) | or CLSD near 2301

Shortly after we closed our gold position - we saw slight headwinds. In case you are still in - close at least break-even / slightly in profit. Gold continues to see technical buying below $2,300 - however with yields gradually rising we can likely find a better re-entry into gold.

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
United Health
(UNH) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘
@: 484.97
TP โœ… @: 489.99

After the recent move away from the tech sector, there was a reversal of movement yesterday, with Nvidia rallying very strongly yesterday (up to 7%) and pushing money back into the tech high flyers that still completely dominate Wall Street. We are now seeing more mixed markets - but 10 out of 11 S&P sectors are down.

We are seeing more demand for defensive stocks again. We made an excellent choice with United Health and are securing profits.

Our Tesla position is still out of the money. Tesla benefited significantly from a Stifel "BUY" rating. We expect profit taking in the last two hours of trading in New York.


โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ผ

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Apple
(AAPL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘
@: 212.55
TP โœ… @: 213.52

We want to bring our AAPL position home and tighten TP and SL.

โ€”โ€”โ€”-

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โšก๏ธ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Apple
(AAPL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘
@: 212.33
TP โœ… @: 213.82

We tighten our SL and slightly widen our TP with Apple remaining in it's bullish momentum and currently trying to break resistance 213.25 - 213.40.

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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โšก๏ธ FREE RAPID SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ Gold (XAU/USD)๐Ÿฅ‡
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: (VIP ONLY)

โ–บ We buy today's dip in gold with gold falling below $2,300 on higher yields / a stronger USD and despite increased safe haven demand. We work with a tight SL.

โ–บ Concerns about a Fed being reluctant to cut rates keeps demand yields / the USD elevated.

โ–บ We see expect support near $2,295 - where gold sees also technical support. We see yields stabilizing at +6 (for the US-10-Y) and see further gains for the USD limited.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
AUD/USD
SL ๐Ÿ”‘
@: 0.66499
TP โœ… @: 0.66797

We see a strong USD and CAD (after yesterday's hot Canadian inflation data - we remain LONG in the CAD), but also the AUD performed well on the back of improved risk sentiment which is now showing signs of fading, strong energy prices and hot Australian inflation data (today).

We now set an in-profit SL for our AUD/USD - as we see mixed markets and ongoing concerns that the Fed may keep rates elevated despite signs of price pressures easing which caused the strong gains of the AUD to fade a bit (in particular against the USD).


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ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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โœ… 24.6 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 19729.70) ๐Ÿ”„
โœ… 24.6 - AAPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 210.67)
โœด๏ธ 24.6 - USD/JPY - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 159.071
โœด๏ธ 24.6 - GBR_100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 8284.90 ๐Ÿ”„
โœ… 24.6 - AAPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 210.79) ๐Ÿ”„
โœด๏ธ 24.6 - CVX - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP
โœ… @: 159.37
โœ… 24.6 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 19677.30 |re-entry*) ๐Ÿ”„

4/7 (incl. re-entry*) - (3 open positions)

TODAY :

โœด๏ธ 25.6 - AUD/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - break-even)
โœด๏ธ 25.6 - US30 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit)
โœด๏ธ 25.6 - CAD/CHF - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - break-even)
โœด๏ธ 25.6 - QCOM - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - in-profit)

0/4 - (4 open positions)

Markets moved in the opposite direction to the last three days today, with a sharp rebound in tech and a rotation back into growth stocks, led by a 7% rebound in Nvidia (which also pushed our Nasdaq 100 into the money, but weighed on our FTSE 100 and caused losses in the more defensive Dow Jones). We are setting a TP for our FTSE. Overall, we see the upward momentum still intact. FedEx, which is seen as a strong barometer for economic growth, jumped around 15% after the close after the logistics giant issued a positive forecast. This will further support the currently improved risk sentiment and give cyclical stocks a further boost.

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BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ CAD/CHF

โ–บ Some central banks have already started the monetary easing phase, including the Bank of Canada. The Swiss National Bank is already further advanced and has already cut rates twice from a much lower level (unlike most Western economies). We see a trend towards cautious positioning by central banks, including the Bank of England, the Fed and probably the Bank of Canada again in the near future, which means that monetary policy divergence will remain large for longer compared to the SNB (and Bank of Japan).

โ–บ After recent signs of an almost universal cooling of Canadian inflation since the beginning of the year, the May figures were much hotter than expected. Annual inflation rose to 2.9% in May, up from 2.7% the previous month (and up from the expected 2.6% - so there was a reacceleration in inflation - as opposed to further disinflation expected). Core inflation, which is closely monitored by the central bank, rose again for the first time in five months (from 1.6 % to 1.8 % and even more obviously on a monthly basis: 0.6 % compared to 0.2 % in April and 0.2 % expected).

โ–บ In view of the very hot readings, the reaction of the CAD is relatively mild - which is partly due to a slightly stronger USD today, which weighs on commodity prices.

โ–บ We expect the positive momentum in CAD/CHF to continue, as a further rate cut by the BoC in July now seems very unlikely. We continue to see bullish energy prices and improved risk sentiment will also give the CAD a tailwind.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 1.25 - 1.40 (125% - 140%) when trading CAD/CHF.

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๐Ÿ–ฅ Admiral Markets (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Libertex (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL2 ๐Ÿ”‘
@: 19623.30 ๐Ÿ”„
TP2 โœ… @: 19729.70 ๐Ÿ”„
OR
CLOSE โœ…
@: 19710 - 19725

TP2 triggered with more money being rotated back into tech / chip stocks. Nvidia is now 5% up for the day - with also big tech traded well in the green. Apple is now a bit underperforming - as we predicted (but still 1% up for the day, but no additional gains post NYSE opening).

We see slight resistance now at 19700. We are tightening our SL and keep our (now tight) TP or close now.

The Dow Jones slipped temporarily with money flowing back into tech / chip stocks. We stay LONG.


โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐Ÿ“ˆ1๏ธโƒฃ9๏ธโƒฃ7๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

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โšก๏ธ FREE RAPID SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ Dow Jones (US30) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ Today we see a reversed market movements with a rotation back into growth/tech and especially back into Nvidia - currently the most important stock in the world.

โ–บ Nevertheless, we are buying the dip in the Dow Jones here, which is being pushed down mainly by heavy losses in Home Depot and Caterpillar (due to data that shows a slowing housing market in the US), and an underperformance of defensive stocks.

โ–บWe can re-enter at yesterday's low of 39280 - 39330 and expect that the overall brighter sentiment can also lead to a positive Dow Jones performance.

โ–บ The Nasdaq is rising rapidly and is now above 19660 - i.e. close to our TP1. You can also close both positions at this TP and thus well in profit. congratulations - we kept a cool head yesterday and followed the fundamentals instead of falling for the sentiment movements.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) trading the Dow Jones (US30).

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โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค
3๏ธโƒฃ9๏ธโƒฃ3๏ธโƒฃ2๏ธโƒฃ5๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ“ˆ

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
CAD/CHF
SL ๐Ÿ”‘
@: 0.65513
TP โœ… @: 0.65644
OR
CLOSE โœ… @: 0.66600 (near)

Mixed US economic data. Initial jobless claims at 233K are close to expectations (236K expected), but below last week's data (239K) with signs of a still tight labor market. Durable Goods Orders are slightly above expectations and not declining, but still slightly positive (+0.1% MoM). GDP growth in line with expectations.

Core PCE at 3.7% QoQ, slightly above the expected 3.6% and well above the previous quarter's 2% - these are the first signs of stubborn inflation, which could affect risk sentiment ahead of tomorrow's PCE data (MoM / YoY).

The overall picture of the US economy is positive - this supports commodities but could be a problem for the Fed to cut rates.

We hedge our CAD/CHF with a tight SL & TP. Alternatively, we close (with profit) as the lower rate cut expectations also have a negative impact on commodity prices (and thus the CAD) (= mixed data).

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๐Ÿ“Š SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap ๐Ÿ—’

๐Ÿ“† Thursday, June 27

โ—๏ธ European stocks flat ahead of French Elections; US futures fall on Micron outlook & ongoing chip sector profit taking

โ–บ European stocks are little changed with the Stoxx 600 trading flat although seeing some early gains then losing them again - similar to yesterday's movement. Traders are in a holding pattern ahead of Sundayโ€™s French elections. Fashion retailer Hennes & Mauritz plummeted over 14% after missing profit and sales estimates. GSK also declined following a regulatory setback for its RSV vaccine. Spain's retail sales fell by 0.6% in May 2024 compared to the previous month but increased by 0.2% year-on-year. Eurozone sentiment data will be released at 09:00 GMT+0.

โ–บ US equity futures fell as Micronโ€™s disappointing sales outlook weighed on tech stocks, despite having a decent quarterly report. Investors are cautious ahead of key economic data releases, including jobless claims, durable goods orders, and pending home sales, as well as the PCE inflation report (Friday). Treasury yields held steady, and the USD hovered near an eight-month high, reflecting expectations for a "higher for longer" interest rate stance by the Federal Reserve.

โ–บ Asian markets mostly declined, with the MSCI Asia Pacific gauge on track for its first loss in three days. Japanโ€™s Nikkei 225 dropped 0.87%, affected by the JPYโ€™s depreciation yesterday to a 38-year low against the USD. The JPY partially recovered after hitting 160.87 per dollar, following intervention warnings from Japanese authorities. Chinese markets fell amid caution ahead of PMI data and ongoing chip tensions with the U.S. The MSCI China Index is nearing a technical correction, dropping as much as 2%.

โ–บ Oil prices traded within a narrow range, holding steady despite supply disruption fears due to Middle Eastern tensions and Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian oil infrastructure. WTI Crude oil is currently trading around $81/barrel. Gold steadied after a two-day decline, finding support below $2,300/oz as predicted by our Chief Analyst Robert Lindner. Gold saw recently profit taking and fundamental headwinds due to rising yields.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Retail Sales - 07:00 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Economic Sentiment - 09:00
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Consumer Confidence - 09:00
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ GDP Growth Rate - 12:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Initial Jobless Claims - 12:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ PCE Prices - 12:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Unemployment Rate - 23:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Tokyo CPI - 23:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Industrial Production - 23:50

๐Ÿ”ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โ™ฆ๏ธ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

๐ŸŒ™ Nike (NKE) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ McCormick & Co (MKC) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
(...a few more with market cap <$14B)

SmartTraderโ„ข Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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โœ… 25.6 - AUD/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 0.66499) ๐Ÿ”„
โŒ 25.6 - US30 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 39028.9) ๐Ÿ”„
โœด๏ธ 25.6 - CAD/CHF - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - break-even)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP
โœ… @: 0.65617 ๐Ÿ”„
โŒ 25.6 - QCOM - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 199.89) ๐Ÿ”„

1/4 - (1 open position)

โŒ 26.6 - GER_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 18068.9)
โœด๏ธ 26.6 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (open - in-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 19785.60 | TP โœ… @: 19681.10
โœด๏ธ 26.6 - TSLA - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (open - off-profit| +re-entry)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 199.17
โœ… 26.6 - UNH - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 484.97)
โœ… 26.6 - AAPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 213.52)
โœ… 26.6 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 2300.69)
โœ… 26.6 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP- 2300.97 | or CLSD ~2301)
โœด๏ธ 26.6 - GER_40 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (open - in-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 18056.30
โœด๏ธ 26.6 - AAPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - in-profit)

4/9 - (4 open positions)

A very chaotic market dominated by volatility in the US tech sector (especially Nvidia / semiconductor stocks). There are increasing signs of further profit taking / continued cautious trading and yields are also rising (causing gold to fall back below $2,300) on concerns that the Fed will be slow to cut rates and upcoming PCE data does not confirm continued disinflation. We also see heavy selling in Micron despite a solid quarterly report - it shows how much positive news / data is already priced into the current rally and shows downside potential.

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘
@: 19785.60
TP โœ… @: 19681.10
OR

CLOSE โœ… @: 19700 - 19710 (area)

DAX (GER_40) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
TP โœ… @: 18056.30 (optional)


Our Nasdaq is (back) in profit - also pushed lower by an overall solid earnings report (slightly weak on the forecast side) from Micron. It shows again - how strong earnings reports have to be to keep the mega rally in the chip sectors alive. Micron has more than doubled in value in the past year, riding the artificial intelligence wave - we now see Micron about 8% lower in after-hours trading.

Alternatively you can close your Nasdaq 100 slightly in profit (as we are still SHORT in the DAX).

Also our DAX position is 20 - 30 points in profit - we hit the perfect entry range. You may set a TP near today's lows: TP โœ… @: 18056.30

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โšก๏ธ FREE RAPID SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ Apple (AAPL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ We are seeing poor market breadth in the tech sector / overall on the NYSE - most stocks (and sectors) are trading in the red. Apple is still up almost +2% but has seen some profit taking alongside other (tech) stocks.

โ–บ We continue to see Apple as attractive and benefit from a generally cautious market, but generally optimistic investors about Big Tech / AI. Apple may be the company that can monetize AI integrations better than any other company, thanks to more than 1.3 billion Apple iPhone users and more than 2 billion active Apple devices.

โ–บ We re-enter Apple well below our triggered TP (213.52) (range 212.50 - 213.00).

โ–บ We also expect analysts to remain optimistic for Apple - alone today Apple received two "BUY" ratings: Rosenblatt has upgraded Apple to "Buy" from "Neutral" and increased its price target to $260 per share, citing the company's privacy-focused AI initiatives. Bank of America has reiterated its call of "Buy" with a price target of (only) $230, arguing that Appleโ€™s move to integrate AI into its operating system and giving third-party developers access to its features could drive profit increases in its services segment - thus Bank of America analysts use the same argument as we did yesterday in our analysis.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 280 - 300 (28.000% - 30.000%) when trading Apple (APPL).

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โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“ˆ

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๐Ÿ’ป Vantage (๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ) <- NEW
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โšก๏ธ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Gold (XAU/USD)๐Ÿฅ‡

CLOSE NOW โœ… @: 2301.00 (area)
or
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 2299.97
TP โœ… @: 2301.67

We close our gold position slightly in profit or work with a tight TP. We see yields moving to session highs towards the end of regular trading, which will keep the USD elevated and weighs on non-yielding gold.

We may find a better re-entry.

ะงะธั‚ะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพะปะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ…

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โšก๏ธ FREE RAPID SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ Gold (XAU/USD)๐Ÿฅ‡
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: (VIP ONLY)

โ–บ We are getting back into gold. While yields rose slightly, they are stabilizing at around +7 basis points for today. Equity prices also rose slightly, causing the gold price to fall back below $2,300 - but we expect more headwinds in the second half of trading. We are re-entering below our SL: range $2,296 - $2,230.

โ–บ We continue to see support for gold below the key $2,300 level. A stronger USD is weighing on gold, as are concerns about a Fed that is reluctant to cut interest rates due to inflation fears.

โ–บ Gold underperforms other precious metals (platinum even up 2.7 % / silver almost flat for today).

โ–บ We are working with a tight SL.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

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๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ“‰2๏ธโƒฃ2๏ธโƒฃ9๏ธโƒฃ8๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ“ˆ

We found again the perfect entry into gold -> receive non-delayed signals in our SmartTrader VIP channel.

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Gold (XAU/USD)๐Ÿฅ‡
SL ๐Ÿ”‘
@: 2300.69
TP โœ… @: 2304.87
OR
CLOSE NOW โœ… @: 2303.50 (near)

We set a tight SL & TP for our gold position and secure profits. We see yields edging up putting some short-term headwinds on yield-sensitive gold. Gold, however, benefits from weakness in stocks.

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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Apple
(AAPL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘
@: 211.70
TP โœ… @: 213.49

Not good timing today in a volatile market. We secure profits with Apple. We see that Tesla after initial gains with resistance at $193.00. We expect further selling during the day - so we are securing our Apple position here. On Apple we can count on.

I don't have a good entry, you probably have a better entry price.

If you are still LONG in the DAX - close 18155 - 18180 in profit now. We also expect sales to come back in Europe, while there is probably little tailwind in New York as only the tech industry can keep Wall Street stable at the moment.

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SELL NOW / SOON ๐Ÿ”ฝ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

๐Ÿ”ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
SELL WHEN NYSE OPENS ๐Ÿ”ฝ (VIP ONLY) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

๐Ÿ”ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY WHEN NYSE OPENS ๐Ÿ”ผ (VIP ONLY) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

๐Ÿ”ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED ๐Ÿ”ผ Apple (AAPL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

We see growing concerns that the Fed may be very reluctant to cut rates - supported by hot inflation reports from Canada (yesterday) and Australia (today). The rather dovish comments from the ECB, which led to a short-term bounce, have only strengthened hopes for rate cuts in the short term. We also see signs that the rally in equities, led by Nvidia yesterday, is fading and demand for safer assets is rising again - with bonds taking the lion's share, also leading to higher yields (weighing on gold) and a still strong USD.


๐Ÿ”น The Dow Jones (- 0.2 %) is down slightly, but could benefit from investors turning back to more defensive stocks today after being invested in growth/chip stocks yesterday. However, we are working with a narrow SL, as sentiment in Europe has also deteriorated (also in view of the elections in France). We are limiting potential losses with our Dow Jones SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 39028.90

๐Ÿ”น Chevron (+0.2%) opens slightly higher and could benefit from a possible rotation out of the tech sector. We maintain our tight TP and continue to see oil prices supported.

๐Ÿ”น Qualcomm (- 0.4%) likely opens lower as gains in the chip sector fade. Nvidia rose more than 2% in early pre-market trading but is now trading lower despite another positive analyst assessment (from Citi). We set a tight SL, as a possible return of profit-taking in the chip sector will also lead to further short-term losses for Qualcomm SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 199.89.


โ–บ We see higher yields (and a stronger USD) weighing on risk sentiment and the growth sector. We are therefore positioning SHORT in the Nasdaq near the flat territory (19700 - 19740) and expect a return of profit taking in the tech / big tech sector - with probably only Apple performing positively. Strong earnings from Micron (after market close) could boost chip stocks - but we see concerns about high valuations returning.

โ–บ We are selling (VIP ONLY) - which continues to see weak / even declining sales and is also facing more domestic competition with (VIP ONLY) . The (VIP ONLY) is getting tougher, with falling sales/revenues and (VIP ONLY) . (VIP ONLY) continues to lose market share. (VIP ONLY) benefits from a (VIP ONLY) which may lead to early gains but we believe the tailwinds will not last for (VIP ONLY) ...

โ–บ We expect stronger demand for defensive / value stocks and are going LONG in (VIP ONLY) . We are also looking for a good entry point into Apple - which as a more defensive tech stock is again benefiting from the general selloff in growth. We are looking to enter Apple in the $210 - $210.50 range. Apple is also benefiting from two positive analyst reports today (Bank of America / Rosenblatt).


๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 6 - 8 (600% - 800%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 280 - 300 (28.000% - 30.000%) when trading Apple (APPL).

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธ
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โ€”โ€”โ€”

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๐Ÿ“Š SmartTrader Insights: Wednesday Markets Wrap ๐Ÿ—’

๐Ÿ“† Wednesday, June 26

โ—๏ธ European stocks climb amid ECB rate cut hints & ongoing tech rebound

โ–บ European stocks opened higher as investor sentiment was buoyed by hints of further rate cuts from the European Central Bank. The Stoxx Europe 600 index rose 0.3%, led by the tech sector, following a rebound in Nvidia shares. Deutsche Post saw a 3% gain after FedEx's strong profit forecast. Investors' expectations that the ECB will ease its monetary policy twice this year are reasonable, according to Governing Council member Olli Rehn, but officials should not dampen economic activity too much. Germanyโ€™s consumer confidence dropped to -21.80 points for July, indicating ongoing economic concerns despite the positive market movement.

โ–บ US equity futures edged higher extending yesterday's gains, suggesting continued momentum in Wall Streetโ€™s tech-driven rally, particularly after Nvidia's 7% rebound on Tuesday. FedEx is also trading 13% higher in pre-market trading due to strong earnings and profit forecasts. The 10-year Treasury yield remained steady at 4.26%, and the USD held its ground. Investors are now looking ahead to the PCE price index release on Friday for further insights into the Federal Reserve's rate cut trajectory.

โ–บ Asian markets presented a mixed picture. Japanese and Hong Kong indices rose (bot tech heavy), while Australian stocks declined. Japanโ€™s equities continues to benefit from a weak JPY, which remains near the critical level of 160 per USD, raising concerns of potential government intervention. China's 10-year bond yield fell to a two-decade low as investors sought safety in fixed-income securities amid a slowing economy. Australia's inflation rate surged to 4.0% in May, the highest in six months, prompting fears of delayed interest rate cuts and causing the S&P/ASX 200 to drop by 0.62%. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions heightened as South Korea reported a failed ballistic missile launch by North Korea.

โ–บ In commodities, oil prices rose to $81.3/barrel, ahead of a U.S. government report on crude inventories and fuel demand, following mixed industry data. Gold prices dipped slightly to $2,316/oz, influenced by a slight uptick in the USD , concerns over potential hawkish signals from the Fed and the strong rebound in stocks which decreased safe haven demand.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช GfK Consumer Confidence - 06:00 (released)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change - 14:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Retail Sales - 23:50

๐Ÿ”ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โ™ฆ๏ธ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

๐ŸŒ™ Micron (MU) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Paychex (PAYX) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ General Mills (GIS) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
(...a few more with market cap <$10B)

SmartTraderโ„ข Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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Overview last 30 trading days:

โœ… Performance: 16.05 - 18.06 (26 trading days)

113 / 149 = 75.8% Success Rate

(May 15 - 10/11 = 90.9% SR dropped out)

โŒ 19.6 - EUR/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 1.06793 |or open TP 1.07473)

โŒ 20.6 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 19743.30|+ re-entry)
โœ… 20.6 - GER_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 18186.70| CLSD @: 18200 near)
โœ… 20.6 - CVX - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 155.97)
โœ… 20.6 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 161.86)
โœ… 20.6 - USOIL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 81.190)
โŒ 20.6 - NVDA - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 129.89)

4/6 = 66.7% Success Rate

โœ… 21.6 - AUD/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 0.66431)
โœด๏ธ 21.6 - XAU/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit|+ re-entry)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 2313.63 | TP1 โœ… @: 2331.97, TP2 โœ… @: 2339.43 ๐Ÿ”„
โœ… 21.6 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 19731.60)
โœ… 21.6 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 159.86)
โœ… 21.6 - TSLA - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 181.41 |or SL ~182.02)
โœ… 21.6 - NAS100 - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 19738.60|or CLSD~19735-50)
โœ… 21.6 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 160.21 |or TP ~160.51)

6/7 - (1 open position + re-entry)

*no update*

The gold price fell by 0.4% today due to a stronger USD and concerns about further signs of a hawkish Fed. Today's very hot Canadian inflation data also reinforced concerns that disinflation may have come to a halt in the US as well. We expect a positive development of the gold price in Asian trading, but are now setting a tight SL. We are also setting a TP2 for our re-entry and a broader TP (TP1) for our initial entry.

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๐Ÿ”ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ”ฐ
BUY NOW ๐Ÿ”ผ Qualcomm (QCOM) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ–บ While I wouldn't say it's too late to get in on Nvidia's current rebound, the AI chip giant remains very volatile. We're likely to find a better entry price than after today's near 7% rise - even if this has turned sentiment on Nvidia from panic selling back to fresh FOMO buying in the hope of the next bounce higher.

โ–บ The focus on Nvidia meant that the other heavily sold chip stocks - notably mobile AI chip leader Qualcomm - were unloved today and are still trading virtually unchanged after recent very heavy losses.

โ–บ Qualcomm remains a bit of the hidden champion as Nvidia's AI server chips and monopoly margins take most of the limelight. However, it will be the AI-enabled chips for cell phones that will drive the use of AI in every day's life. Qualcomm's new generation of AI chips, the Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 and8s Gen 3 platforms, are pioneering the smartphone industry by processing up to 10 billion parameters for generative AI models directly on the mobile device.

โ–บ Qualcomm is ahead of the game here - and although Apple makes its own chips, the market share of non-iPhone smartphones continues to grow - most of them powered by Qualcomm chips - soon all the more to enable AI features. Apple has also extended its own contracts with Qualcomm to ensure it has the necessary components for its future smartphone releases while continuing to develop its technology. The multi-year contract provides for the supply of Snapdragon 5G modem RF systems for Apple's smartphones until 2026 - I think it's likely that Apple will extend this partnership further and focus on other optimizations instead - especially in the Apple Services area.

โ–บ We expect Qualcomm to rebound soon as well and can continue to enter at the same price as yesterday (range 201.00 - 201.50).

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 250 - 280 (25,000% - 28,000%) when trading Qualcomm (QCOM).

โฑ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! โš ๏ธ
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โšก๏ธ RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ”ฐ
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL1 ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 19547.40 (or SL 2)
SL2 ๐Ÿ”‘
@: 19583.30
TP1
โœ… @: 19732.70 (or TP 2)
TP2 โœ… @: 19677.30

Unsere Gesamt-Nasdaq-Position ist wieder im Geld. Wir aktualisieren unsere SLs und TPs. Du kannst auch deine gesamte Nasdaq 100-Position im TP2 schlieรŸen.

Wir sehen den starken Rebound im Nasdaq, den wir prognostizierten, wobei der Nasdaq 100 auch genau die Unterstรผtzung bei 19500 findet, wie wir erwartet haben. Wir ziehen unsere SL(s) an.



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Congratulations - great trading / position management.

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Apple (AAPL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
Triggered TP โœ… @: 210.79

My AAPL position hit my TP. In case you are still in or adjusted your TP to 211,49 - that's fine. However, please also set an in-profit SL or CLOSE now near 211.00.

CVX dipped a bit with a small rotation back to growth from energy / health and slightly lower energy prices. We can stay LONG but adjust our TP โœ… @: 159.37.

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