[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

29 Jul 2024 18:28

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 217.68
TP ✅ @: 219.56

Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 40637.30
TP ✅ @: 40726.30
or
CLOSE ✅ @: 40685 - 40700

Beautiful timing with the Dow Jones - which, however, also benefit from strong McDonald's gains - we expect soon some profit taking for MCD - you could make an entry at the current price (~263.50) with a SL 🔑 @: 264.61.

We set a tight TP for our Dow Jones (and an in-profit SL). You can also close your Dow Jones position near 40700 as we may see slight technical resistane at that level. We secure profits with our AAPL position.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

29 Jul 2024 17:33

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► Our gold position(s) have reached the TP overnight - we have set a very good TP at 2401.94 (or at 2402.23). We now see a drop in the gold price to briefly below $2,370 (update) where we will re-enter gold. We may see slight additional selling - but we see yields / USD currently stabilizing.

► US Treasury yields rose slightly after falling 4-5 basis points before the NYSE open.

► However, the main reason for the current headwind for gold is the currently stronger USD. The US dollar index (DXY), which measures the strength of the USD, rose by 0.35% today.

► Investors appear to be relatively unimpressed by the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Israel, however, will react more strongly to the rocket strike that killed 12 children on a football field.

► Gold still seems like a good buy (medium/long term very) - also in the short term. Expectations will continue to rise that the Fed will be more dovish later this week, although it will hold rates steady for a while before it starts cutting rates in September.

► We can already set a TP.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———-

We buy the dip: 🥇📉2️⃣3️⃣7️⃣0️⃣📈

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🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

29 Jul 2024 15:52

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL AFTER* NYSE OPENS 🔽 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔼 Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸

We see a solid start to the week with markets trading higher - including in Asia (significantly) and Europe. Investors remain optimistic that the central banks' interest rate decisions this week will provide more clarity on the path of interest rate cuts.


🔹 The Nasdaq 100 (+0.7 %) is up significantly today and tested Thursday's highs a few minutes ago. We can set a tight TP ~ almost 100 points in profit for us TP ✅ @: 19229.40. We will see volatility after the open. The Nasdaq is seeing some headwinds due to pre-market Apple losses.


► We see broad gains in New York across all sectors. Dip buying in the biggest drags of recent weeks - Big Tech - is driving Wall Street higher, including a likely temporary outperformance of the Nasdaq 100 (in which we are LONG).

► (VIP ONLY) is trading slightly higher (opening at ~$(VIP ONLY)) despite (VIP ONLY) global sales decline (VIP ONLY). We generally see light buying for (VIP ONLY) and look to sell in the $(VIP ONLY) range (or higher). (VIP ONLY) by a wide margin. It is the first time since (VIP ONLY) have fallen. The (VIP ONLY). Excluding (VIP ONLY) South Korean (VIP ONLY), but still a significant (VIP ONLY). We also see(VIP ONLY) benefiting from the current broad gains and hopes that (VIP ONLY) will boost sales again. We are skeptical and position us SHORT after initial gains fade.

► We buy the dip and the underperformance of Apple, which opens about 0.7% lower and could fall a little further. Apple is under selling pressure after the company announced that Apple Intelligence is coming later than expected, missing the launch of upcoming iPhone and iPad software overhauls. The iPhone creator plans to roll out Apple Intelligence to customers as part of software updates in October - meaning the AI features will arrive a few weeks after the initial iOS 18 and iPadOS 18 releases scheduled for September. The release schedule for Apple Intelligence appears to mean that the first iPhone 16 models to be delivered to customers this year will not have the new AI features and will not require a software update until weeks later - this will initially be a headwind for Apple, but will have little impact in the medium term. The investment banks remain very optimistic about Apple (also ahead of Apple's earnings report later this week).

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 240 - 260 (24.000% - 26.000%) when trading Apple (APPL).

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———-

🔤🔤🔤🔤
2️⃣1️⃣6️⃣📈

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🖥 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

29 Jul 2024 13:00

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸

► We are still in a turbulent, rather unstable market environment that will continue for a while as many fundamentals but also sentiment can cause swings in both directions. We see today as the calm before the storm (of a very busy week) with probably strong fluctuations and high volumes as traders will receive the latest interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve (as well as from UK & Japan) and earnings reports from tech giants Microsoft, Meta, Apple and Amazon - it is the most important week of the current earnings season.

► We saw Wall Street extend Friday's gains in pre-market trading in the US and markets in Asia (especially Japan) and Europe also put in a solid performance (today).

► I expect Big Tech to continue to underperform in the coming months, which will also lead to a general underperformance of the Nasdaq 100 versus the S&P 500, Dow Jones and Russel 2000 - albeit in the medium term. In the short term, we expect increased dip buying in big tech before the rotation resumes.

► We also see lower yields today, which helps the growth/cyclical sector. We expect the Nasdaq 100 to rise back above last week's highs and continue to recover from Wednesday's sharp drop.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 60+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


——-

⚠️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel ⚠️

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

26 Jul 2024 23:38

✅ 25.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2376.97) 🔄 📸
❌ 25.7 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18431.20) 🔄
✅ 25.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 166.356) 🔄📸
✅ 25.7 - V - LONG ↗️ (TP - 256.87)
✅ 25.7 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 76.856) 🔄 📸
✅ 25.7 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 218.06) 🔄 📸

5/6 = 83.3% Success Rate

✴️ 26.7 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 0.65279 | TP ✅ @: 0.65649
✅ 26.7 - US30 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 40563.30)

1/2 - (1 offene Position)

Of the 5 open positions we rolled over from yesterday, we closed 4 today with (significant) gains and very well set TPs (including a massive gain with Tesla). We continue to see a very difficult market with many signs of a breakout to the downside or upside (rebound). Next week we will see a similar market. Earnings reports will be the deciding factor. That being said, we generally see a good outlook for Wall Street as the US consumer remains very resilient and there is the prospect of rate cuts soon.

Congratulations - exceptional trading in a currently very difficult to trade market full of traps. Up or down, rain, snow, storm or sunshine we always find our way 🤝

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

26 Jul 2024 22:43

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🔰
AUD/USD
SL 🔑 @: 0.65279
TP ✅ @: 0.65649

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇 (if still LONG)
SL 🔑 @: 2371.89
TP ✅ @: 2401.94

We quickly update our AUD/USD and gold position, widening our SLs a bit to hopefully avoid an early Monday closure. Our AUD/USD edged lower with also some profit taking in the US - however, we expect risk sentiment to improve on a rather quiet Monday (in terms of economic data / and earnings reports).

⏱ Update DELAYED by: 5+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

26 Jul 2024 19:05

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 40846.60
TP ✅ @: 40563.30

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇 (if still LONG)
SL 🔑 @: 2377.43
TP ✅ @: 2402.23

AUD/USD
SL 🔑 @: 0.65463
TP ✅ @: 0.65763

We are not overtrading the markets now - also because I am now a bit on and off and am advising a team of analysts from a former US investment bank today (on a Friday! / it's mainly about the future development of the individual US sectors, especially in connection with risk reduction, future interest rate cuts and positioning in individual stocks, especially the big tech companies - I now find Amazon the most attractive in the medium term / H2/2024), with whom I have been working with / consulted.

We are updating our open positions. We see an uptrend in gold (our position yesterday was closed with profit today), a further decline in yields and some weakness in the USD (which also helps our AUD/USD).

The market expects the Fed to be very clear next week (at the July rate decision) about the rate cut path - not just an imminent rate cut in September (which is fully expected), but also how the Fed intends to gradually ease monetary conditions beyond September. We saw excess gains in the Dow Jones, but expect an overall positive move for US equities (especially SMIC/cyclical/interest rate sensitive stocks) - but we see continued positive momentum for now.

With the exception of our DAX position - which benefited too much from the gains in the non-tech sector (= or really broad gains) in the US - we closed our open positions very well today.


——-

As always - 💯 Transparency.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

26 Jul 2024 15:51

🔰 NYSE OPENING UDPATE 🕯

Stock prices were hardly affected by the latest inflation data (PCE), which did nothing to change Wall Street's bets that the US Federal Reserve will be able to cut interest rates in September.

🔹 Tesla (+0.2%) opens slightly higher (still well below our entry) after some profit-taking before the close yesterday. We set a TP deep in the money ✅ @: 218.06 or close clearly in profit (range 217 - 220). Tesla benefits from Morgan Stanley maintaining its "OVERWEIGHT" rating for Tesla, but we expect profit taking to resume.

► We want to wait and see the market dynamics before making a decision. We see some buying in the recently heavily sold tech sector, but I see this more as a bull trap and expect the rotation out of the big tech sector to return.


EDIT: -- Tesla is currently already at $216 - $217 and saw the further profit taking we expected (despite "buy" recommendation from Morgan Stanley -> you can close your position very deep in the money or work with a TP ✅ @: 216.26 - congratulations.

⏱ Update DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

26 Jul 2024 14:38

⚡️ PCE UPDATE 🕯

► The PCE data are largely in line with expectations. Actually exactly as we had predicted - with a slight upward correction in the previous month and a core PCE price index m/m that was slightly hotter-than-expected at 0.2% (0.1% expected). At 2.6%, the core PCE price index y/y was also slightly higher-than-expected (2.5% expected). Overall inflation is in line with expectations.

► We see a very mild reaction as yesterday's stronger than expected GDP data from the US had (apparently) already prepared the markets for a slightly (really marginally) higher than expected reading. The PCE data also did little to change rate cut expectations (they remain at 100% for a first Fed rate cut in September).

► We see falling yields - positive for gold / headwinds for the USD (also good for our EUR/JPY position). All in all, these were good numbers for us. We had a frighteningly perfect forecast for the PCE data (incl. the slight upward revision for May) - congratulations!

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

26 Jul 2024 14:19

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🔰
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: 78.571
TP ✅ @: 76.856

DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 18431.20 (or wider)
TP ✅ @: 18222.60 (off-profit)

EUR/JPY
SL 🔑 @: 168.336
TP ✅ @: 166.356

We are updating our open positions ahead of the US PCE data, which may cause some tricky reactions today. We may see initial gains in equities - including in Europe - before stocks cool off again. If the PCE data comes in a little hotter than expected, we will see initial selling in global equities, led by losses in the US.

The JPY has lost some of its recent very strong gains but would rebound if the PCE data confirms the disinflation path. We can work with a tight SL and enter at a better price if the PCE data comes out hotter than expected.

Oil prices cooled 0.5% today. In the short term, there could be a tailwind if the PCE data is cooler-than-expected and the USD weakens. We are tightening our TP.

Yesterday's gold position has already reached our TP (at 2376.97) - gold is currently trading close to this level. If you are still LONG, get ready for volatility. Slightly hotter-than-expected PCE data would be a headwind for gold, but the prospect of rate cuts remains intact. As yields continue to fall and rate cut expectations are high, gold also remains fundamentally supported.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

26 Jul 2024 11:27

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Friday, July 26

❗️ Markets prepare for key US inflation data (PCE); Tech sector weakens & US growth shows resilience

► European stocks are set for a subdued start, with the Euro Stoxx 600 futures up 0.4%. The markets are digesting mixed signals as traders await the Federal Reserve's policy decision next week. Notably, Mercedes-Benz Group’s earnings plummeted 19% in Q2 due to declining EV sales and weakened demand in China. In contrast, Eni increased its full-year profit guidance following better-than-expected Q2 profits. Spain's unemployment rate fell to 11.27% in Q2 from 12.29% in Q1, with employment growing significantly but remaining at low levels.

► S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures are currently trading higher, paring Thursday's losses driven by tech sector weakness. Investors are focusing on the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, which is crucial ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting next week. Economic growth in the US accelerated more than expected in Q2, indicating resilient demand despite higher borrowing costs. Inflation data remains a critical watchpoint, with the core figure expected to slow towards the Fed's 2% target on a three-month annualized basis.

► Asian shares mostly rose, with gains seen in Japan, Hong Kong, and South Korea. Chinese shares fluctuated as traders weighed economic concerns against central bank easing efforts. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. faced a steep drop of 6.5%, dragging down Taiwanese shares. The JPY gained slightly after recent strong gains ahead of next week's Bank of Japan meeting, with inflation in Tokyo accelerating for the third consecutive month. Despite some positive movements, Asian equities are set for their first back-to-back weekly losses since May due to the global tech stock rotation.

► Oil pared initial gains with WTI Crude oil prices are hovering around $77.5/barrel (spot). After the recent profit-taking, the gold price almost rose back to $2,380 (currently at $2.372). If the US inflation data confirms the disinflation expectations, gold could rise further (significantly).


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇫🇷 Consumer Confidence - 06:45 (released)
🔸 🇪🇸 Unemployment Rate - 07:00 (released)
🔸 🇪🇸 Retail Sales - 07:00 (released)
🔸 🇪🇺 Consumer Inflation Expectations - 08:00 (released)
♦️ 🇺🇸 PCE Price Index - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Michigan Consumer Sentiment - 14:00

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) 🇺🇸
☀️ Colgate-Palmolive (CL) 🇺🇸
☀️ Mercedes-Benz Group (MBGAF) 🇩🇪 (released)
☀️ Aon (AON) 🇺🇸
☀️ Roper Technologies (ROP) 🇺🇸 (released)
☀️ 3M (MMM) 🇺🇸
☀️ Charter Communications (CHTR) 🇺🇸
☀️ Eni (E) 🇮🇹 (released)
☀️ BASF (BASFY) 🇩🇪
(...a few more with market cap <$50B)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

25 Jul 2024 22:20

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 13.06 - 18.07 (26 trading days)

103 / 139 = 74.1% Success Rate

(June 12 - 8/12 = 66.7% SR dropped out)

✅ 19.7 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 79.552| clsd 79.500 or lower)
✅ 19.7 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 19657.30 | or SL - 19662.60)
✅ 19.7 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️ (clsd ~0.66820| or SL - 0.66883)
✅ 19.7 - NVDA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 119.57)
✅ 19.7 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (clsd 19552.20| or 19550-88.70)
✅ 19.7 - NVDA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 118.53)
✅ 19.7 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 19525.30| or clsd: 19515-35)

7/7 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate

❌ 22.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2395.33)
✅ 22.7 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.29216)
✅ 22.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 40468.70)
✅ 22.7 - CSCO - LONG ↗️ (TP - 47.17) 🔄
❌ 22.7 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18506.30)
✅ 22.7 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.08636)
✅ 22.7 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19867.40)

5/7 = 71.4% Success Rate

✅ 23.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 168.856)
✅ 23.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40552.30)
❌ 23.7 - GM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 45.87)
✅/❌* 23.7 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 182.33| partially clsd higher; *potentially closed off-profit post earnings)
❌ 23.7 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (SL -5422.70| or clsd 5450-75) 🔄

3/5 = 60% Success Rate

Today saw wild swings in stocks (with hard-to-avoid bull traps), led by wild swings in the big tech stocks (again). We see Wall Street back at or near yesterday's lows (with the exception of the Dow Jones as IBM, Caterpillar and Salesforce outperformed).

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

25 Jul 2024 20:31

📊 SmartTrader Premium Insights: Analyst Rating Updates

📆 Thursday, July 25

After yesterday's sharp sell-off, we are seeing a recovery. I would still remain cautious here though - while we are seeing typical "risk-on" moves, such as strong gains in cyclical/riskier small cap stocks, we are seeing continued fragile sentiment and weak economic data out of Europe/China. GDP growth data in the US for the latest quarter has drastically reduced recession worries as the Fed will not be late in cutting rates as the US economy was not only resilient in the second quarter but showed solid growth. The rotation out of tech looks set to continue a little longer, but this is not necessarily a negative as the rally from 2023 to 2024 was mainly driven by a handful of stocks. To see a healthier (bull) market, we need to see an improvement in market breadth.

🟢 Positive Ratings:

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Susquehanna reiterates as ”POSITIVE”

Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: BMO reiterates as ”OUTPERFORM”
Price Target: $220 ⤴️ $230

Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Baird reiterates as ”OUTPERFORM”
Price Target: $200 ⤴️ $240

Birkenstock (BIRK) 🇩🇪🟡⤴️🟢
Analyst: Bank of America upgrades to ”BUY”
Previously: "NEUTRAL"
Price Target: $62 ⤴️ $65

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) reiterates as ”BUY”

CrowdStrike (CRWD) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Bank of America reiterates as ”BUY”
Price Target: $400 ⤵️ $365

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) reiterates as ”BUY”
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)

Ford (F) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Morgan Stanley reiterates as ”OVERWEIGHT”

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) names as ”TOP PICK”

IBM (IBM) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Bank of America reiterates as ”BUY”

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) reiterates as ”OVERWEIGHT”

Meta (META) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Bank of America reiterates as ”BUY”

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟡⤴️🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) upgrades to ”OUTPERFORM”
Previously: "NEUTRAL"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY) ⤴️ $(VIP ONLY)

ServiceNow (NOW) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Mizuho reiterates as ”BUY”
Price Target: $820 ⤴️ $850

Shopify (SHOP) 🇨🇦🟢
Analyst: KeyBanc reinstates as ”OVERWEIGHT”
Price Target: $80

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Barclays reiterates as ”OVERWEIGHT”

🟡 Neutral Ratings:

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟡
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) initiates as ”EQUAL WEIGHT”

Lululemon (LULU) 🇨🇦🟢⤵️🟡
Analyst: Citigroup downgrades to ”NEUTRAL”
Previously: "BUY"
Price Target: $415 ⤵️ $300

Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸🟡
Analyst: Barclays reiterates as ”EQUAL WEIGHT”
Price Target: $225 ⤵️ $220

🔴 Negative Ratings:

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟡⤵️🔴
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) downgrades to ”SELL”
Previously: "NEUTRAL"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)

Price Target (or target price): When an analyst sets a price target for a stock, he or she is trying to determine what the stock is worth and where the price will be in ~12 months. Ultimately, price targets depend on the valuation of the company issuing the stock. Analysts base their price targets usually on earnings forecasts and assumed valuation multiples. Price targets (especially average price targets) can be used to value stocks and may even be more useful than a stock analyst's rating.

🟢 = positive rating
🟡 = neutral rating
🔴 = negative rating

⤴️ = upgrade
⤵️ = downgrade

You can find the Analyst Rating Updates also on the Website:
Click HERE 🔗

💬 As a subscriber / member - you can also comment there and exchange information with other community members!

SmartTrader™ Analyst team

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

25 Jul 2024 17:49

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Visa (V) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 254.94
TP ✅ @: 256.87

We give Visa a bit more room to rise (back to yesterday's highs) and tighten our SL.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

25 Jul 2024 15:56

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸

Wall Street temporarily halts the sell-off after stronger than expected US GDP growth in the second quarter. This could indicate that the US economy is still strong enough to cope with the current high interest rates ahead of the Fed's first rate cut in September. Labor market data also proved more resilient than expected. However, the data remains mixed as durable goods orders have plummeted. Even if some investors are now feeling positive again (and ahead of tomorrow's US PCE data), I doubt that the current slightly better than expected US economic data will be able to overshadow the rather disappointing start to the second quarter earnings season.


🔸 The S&P 500 (+0.05%) is flat after the GDP data. If you're still in - we could see modest gains, but sentiment is too negative to expect a very strong rebound here - especially since this week's earnings reports have heightened concerns about a slowdown in corporate profits. I would suggest closing in the next spike 5450 - 5475 (probably in early US trading).

🔹 Alphabet (- 0.2%) opens little changed after yesterday's negative run. We set a tight TP ✅ @: 173.24

🔹 Cisco (+ 0.6%) opens higher again and outperforms Wall Street. Cisco could open near our TP and probably trigger it.


► We don't want to trade a potential rebound too heavily here, although we see the big tech companies stabilizing after yesterday's sharp sell-off. We are LONG in Alphabet and would benefit from a rebound in this sector. Alphabet took losses yesterday and should be able to attract dip buyers.

► The investment banks are still bullish on Big Tech as several large tech stocks received positive analyst coverage today - such as Amazon, Apple, Dell, IBM, Meta, Shopify - and even Crowdstrike (from Bank of America - I disagree).

► However, we can buy yesterday's over-selling of (VIP ONLY), which closed (VIP ONLY)% lower after(VIP ONLY). In my opinion, however, (VIP ONLY) remains in a very impressive and stable phase of revenue and earnings growth and is very attractive for (VIP ONLY) ...

► Net income rose an impressive (VIP ONLY), while earnings per share rose (VIP ONLY) - that's very solid. We buy (VIP ONLY) at slightly below $(VIP ONLY) or close to yesterday's closing price (VIP ONLY) ...

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30inside+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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——

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💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
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🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

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29 Jul 2024 18:03

⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸

► The sell-off after Friday's strong gains came - as we expected last week - when we opened a SHORT position (against the market) near 40600 (which ended in the money anyway).

► A much stronger USD and some selling ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday, as well as still volatile markets where investors tend to take profits, pushed the Dow Jones back below 40500 - or at times more than 400 points below the day's highs.

► However, sentiment is now brightening again: 6 of the 11 S&P sectors are trading in the green and the technology, financials, consumer staples and industrials sectors are only slightly in the red (around -0.1 %). Only the energy sector is seeing significant selling (-1.4% currently).

► We expect a rebound and are buying the dip in the Dow Jones. We expect some optimism also in connection with Microsoft's earnings report.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) trading the Dow Jones (US30)

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———-

🔤🔤🔤3️⃣0️⃣📈
4️⃣0️⃣5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣⬆️

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29 Jul 2024 16:10

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: 76.579
TP ✅ @: 77.083

We update our WTI position. We found a very good entry against the market, but see slight resistance above $77.00 (spot). We set an in-profit SL.

Our Nasdaq 100 position already triggered our TP for a nice profit.


——-

🛢📉❌📈💵

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💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Admiral Markets (🇪🇺🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

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29 Jul 2024 15:05

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)

► We are buying the current weakness in oil prices - with WTI almost falling back to $76.00 (spot) today, where it found support last week. We buy the dip - against the market here. Commodity prices are under some pressure today due to a stronger USD ahead of the Fed interest rate decision on Wednesday. The central bank is expected to hold interest rates steady one last time before starting to cut rates further in September (probably in December).

► In the short term, I see only limited additional upside potential for the USD as investors expect the Fed to make clear statements on the upcoming rate cuts on Wednesday. Wall Street's resilience is keeping the USD high, but we see yields falling further as expectations rise for the Fed to gradually cut rates again (starting in September).

► A positive Asian trading day (and positive markets currently in Europe / US) today will also help stabilize oil prices. We also see higher natural gas prices

► Geopolitical tensions between Lebanon and Israel have increased significantly and could lead to a higher risk premium on oil prices again. On Sunday, Israel's security cabinet authorized Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government to decide on the "manner and timing" of a response to the attack that killed 12 teenagers and children. Israel vowed retaliation in Lebanon against Iran-backed Hezbollah, which denied responsibility for the attack. Israeli jets have already hit targets in southern Lebanon on Sunday.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader⚠️ The September-Futures Contract is currently $0.45 above spot price

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——

🛢📉📉❌📈

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29 Jul 2024 11:33

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Monday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Monday, July 29

❗️ Global equities gains ahead of big week for central banks & earnings

► European equities rose at the start of the week. The Euro Stoxx 600 trades 0.25% higher following a positive session in Asia as anticipated by SmartTrader Chief Analyst Robert Lindner on Friday. Investors remain optimistic ahead of key central bank decisions from the US, Japan, and the UK. In corporate news, Koninklijke Philips NV rose in Amsterdam after better-than-expected second-quarter earnings, while Heineken dropped the most in a year following an €874 million impairment.

► US stock futures rose on Monday as well as investors anticipate key earnings reports from tech giants and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Dow is up by 0.2% in pre-market trading, similar to the S&P 500 (+0.2%) while th Nasdaq 100 is up by 0.4% currently. The Federal Reserve is expected to signal a rate cut in September during its meeting on Wednesday. Treasury 10-year yields declined 3-4 basis points to 4.165%. Despite lower yields, the USD is currently up (DXY at +0.2%). The focus will be on the Fed's interest rate decision, the nonfarm payrolls report, and key earnings reports from McDonald's, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Amazon, Apple as well as energy giants ExxonMobil and Chevron.

► The Asian markets started the week positively, driven by investor optimism ahead of central bank meetings and corporate earnings reports. Japan's Nikkei 225 rose by a massive 2.13%, supported by a firm JPY trading near 153 per USD as the Bank of Japan's policy decision looms. In China, the Shanghai Composite Index gained slightly, despite ongoing economic uncertainties and a cautious market sentiment ahead of a key Politburo meeting. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose by 1.58%, boosted by optimism for potential economic support measures.

► Oil prices are little changed at $76.5/barrel (spot), from near a six-week low, driven by improved economic data from China, slightly easing concerns over demand in the world's largest importer. Gold hit as predicted by our Chief Analyst the $2,400 before turning a bit lower again (currently near $2,390) ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting. Bitcoin surged to $70,000 after US presidential candidate Donald Trump expressed strong support for cryptocurrency, potentially making the US a "crypto capital" if he returns to the White House.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

No significant economic events today

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ McDonald’s (MCD) 🇺🇸
🌙 Welltower (WELL) 🇺🇸
☀️ Heineken (HEINY) 🇳🇱 (released)
☀️ ON Semiconductor (ON) 🇺🇸
🌙 Equity Residential (EQR) 🇺🇸
☀️ Komatsu (KMTUY) 🇯🇵
☀️ Fanuc Corporation (FANUY) 🇯🇵
☀️ Koninklijke Philips (PHG) 🇳🇱 (released)
(...a few more with market cap <$25B)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

26 Jul 2024 22:56

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 14.06 - 19.07 (26 trading days)

104 / 139 = 74.8% Success Rate

(June 13 - 6/7 = 85.7% SR dropped out)

❌ 22.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2395.33)
✅ 22.7 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.29216)
✅ 22.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 40468.70)
✅ 22.7 - CSCO - LONG ↗️ (TP - 47.17)
❌ 22.7 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18506.30)
✅ 22.7 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.08636)
✅ 22.7 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19867.40)

5/7 = 71.4% Success Rate

✅ 23.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 168.856)
✅ 23.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40552.30)
❌ 23.7 - GM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 45.87)
✅/❌* 23.7 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 182.33| partially clsd higher; *potentially closed off-profit post earnings)
❌ 23.7 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (SL -5422.70| or clsd 5450-75)

3/5 = 60% Success Rate

✅ 24.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 167.261 |*optional trade)
✅ 24.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2417.23)
✅ 24.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 166.661)
✅ 24.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2427.79)
✅ 24.7 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 173.98)
✅ 24.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2429.97)
✴️(❌*)( 24.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2399.83* for me|or still open | Re-Entry still open)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 2371.89 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 2401.94 🔄
✅ 24.7 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 172.87)
✅ 24.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 165.477)

8/9 - (1 open position)

There were no real changes here, although the gold price recovered significantly today (more than 1%), also thanks to the intact expectations of interest rate cuts, lower yields and a slightly weaker USD, but still encountered resistance at $2,390.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

26 Jul 2024 22:29

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 40563.30

Congratulations - our SL / TP setting was exceptionally good today (also for our Dow Jones 📸, but also for example for our EUR/JPY which triggered our TP in a short dip). We kept our cool at all times on a chaotic day. I'm back now, however the NYSE is already closed, but has room for a rebound next week with very positive US economic data - robust, or even stronger-than-expected and combined with data still suggesting that pressure on consumer prices is easing with inflation remaining on track towards the Fed's 2% target. In the coming week, however, the main focus will be on the Big Tech earnings reports.


——

Our timing / asset selection remains very good in a very chaotic market.

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🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

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26 Jul 2024 16:20

⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸

► We see the Dow Jones ~600 points higher today and clearly outperforming the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 - thanks to a strong performance especially outside of tech.

► Stock prices rose and bond yields fell after the latest inflation data on Wall Street did nothing to change expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in September. Today's PCE report follows a better-than-expected US GDP report yesterday.

► However, today's PCE report was not exactly what the Fed had hoped for after the recent cool CPI report this month. Although I also expect gains given the signs of a robust US economy and the impending rate cuts, the rotation out of the big tech companies will likely not ONLY support the other sectors, but potentially weigh on Wall Street's overall performance.

► We are now selling the Dow Jones in the 40580 - 40640 range (which are also this week's highs) and expect some profit taking to set in.

► Our WTI position closed well in profit (TP - 76.856) - congratulations!

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3 - 4 (300% - 400%) trading the Dow Jones (US30)

⏱ SIGNAL ist VERZÖGERT ⚠️ um: 16+ Minuten!
⚡️ Erhalte unverzögerte Handelssignale im VIP-Channel!


——

🔤🔤🔤
📈4️⃣0️⃣5️⃣9️⃣0️⃣📉

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26 Jul 2024 15:07

⚡️ FREE LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 AUD/USD

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL

► Expectations for a rate cut are still fully intact: Markets expect a 100% chance of a first Fed rate cut in September. Today's US PCE data did little to change the picture of (slowly) falling consumer prices in the US.

► After the recent heavy losses, we have seen an overall positive performance in Asia today. Stocks have also risen in Europe (there may be some selling again in after-hours trading).

► Yesterday's US GDP data, which came in well above expectations, as well as easing monetary conditions, supports expectations of solid demand for commodities.

► We see slightly lower yields and a weaker USD. This is all positive for the recently weak AUD. We see the currency markets little changed and can buy the AUD/USD in the 0.65530 - 0.65580 range.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 1.3 - 1.5 (130% - 150%) when trading AUD/USD.

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL

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———

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26 Jul 2024 14:26

🚨 US PCE data in 4 minutes

LIVE TRADING SESSION

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

26 Jul 2024 13:10

❗️ Upcoming PCE inflation report for June

Inflation (PCE) data to be released later today should provide the Fed with another important indication that it can and should begin cutting interest rates in September. The central bank's preferred inflation measure - personal consumption expenditures (or PCE) - is expected to confirm that inflation continues to approach the central bank's annual target of 2%. The PCE price index for June will be released in just over an hour at 12:30 UTC+0.

The economists' consensus forecast is for a 0.1% rise in the PCE price index in June (FactSet data), following virtually no change in May and increases of 0.3% in February, March and April. The annual increase in the PCE price index is likely to have slowed to 2.4% in June, after 2.6% in May (analysts expectations). This would be the smallest annual increase since 2021, but with yesterday's GDP growth data coming in stronger than expected, the previous month (perhaps even April) could be revised upwards.

The core PCE index, which excludes food and energy components, is expected to have risen by slightly less than 0.2% in June, equivalent to an annual increase of 2.5%. In May, the core index rose by 0.1% and was thus 2.6% above the previous year's level.

As always, it is almost impossible to predict the data, but I would expect the previous month's data to be revised slightly higher and the June PCE to be in line with expectations or slightly higher - this could initially lead to some USD buying and headwinds for equities before investors realize that the inflation path towards 2% remains intact.

The US CPI data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics was released on July 15. They showed a 0.1% fall in prices in June and a 3% rise compared to the same month last year. The data was thus cooler than expected and argued for a rate cut by the Fed.

The latest inflation data was Fed-friendly and shows that inflation is slowing after a bumpy start to 2024. The FOMC has kept its target for the key interest rate in a range of 5.25% to 5.5% since July 2023. Swap markets expect a 99-100% chance of a Fed rate cut in September.

Ultimately, the PCE data combined with yesterday's GDP growth data paints a solid picture of the US economy and inflation. Investors betting on a soft landing should see positive performance from equities in the coming months - although we will continue to see investors pull their money out of the big tech giants and into riskier/cyclical/small-cap stocks.

A tame PCE price index in June would lead to falling yields, a weaker USD and immediate tailwinds for US equities and gold.

Robert

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

25 Jul 2024 22:39

✅ 24.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 167.261 |*optional trade)
✅ 24.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2417.23)
✅ 24.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 166.661)
✅ 24.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2427.79)
✅ 24.7 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 173.98)
✅ 24.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2429.97)
✴️(❌) 24.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit| +re-entry)
*down more than 2.5% - thus likely closed off-profit for many
👉 SL 🔑 @: 2352.97 (optional)| TP ✅ @: 2376.97|TP2 ✅ 2399.79
✅ 24.7 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 172.87) 🔄
✅ 24.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 165.477) 🔄

8/9 - (1 open position)

✴️ 25.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 2352.97 (optional)| TP ✅ @: 2376.97
✴️ 25.7 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 18102.60
✴️ 25.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
✅ 25.7 - V - LONG ↗️ (TP - 256.87)
✴️ 25.7 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
✴️ 25.7 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)

1/6 - (5 open positions)

The significant sell-off in gold is quite strange, although gold of course has room for a correction after the massive H1 rally. Gold is fundamentally supported by a weaker USD and lower yields (although yields have fluctuated significantly today). If tomorrow's US PCE data (inflation data) shows that disinflation continues for another month, we are likely to see a sharp rise in the gold price. You can work with a tight SL here - but it would probably trigger. We set TPs - if you are still LONG from the 24th, you can work with a wider TP. We can also set a TP for our DAX position - we expect more headwinds for the German/European economy.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

25 Jul 2024 21:51

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; 2/3 trading size

► Despite today's strong outperformance and dip buying, again triggered by the Musk factor, I see more downside potential for Tesla. The Tesla CEO said today that he will talk about a $5 billion investment in (his) artificial intelligence startup xAI, as the electric car maker looks to redouble its efforts to accelerate the development of its robotaxis and self-driving products.

► The ambitious self-driving car project has run into numerous technical and regulatory hurdles in recent years, and the automaker is now building out its AI infrastructure to train models for Tesla's autonomous technology. I believe that investors are still far too optimistic when it comes to when Tesla can actually roll out its ambitious Robotaxi plans. Tesla and Musk are known for optimistic timelines and broken promises. At this point, I'm not even sure if Tesla will be the first to bring its Robotaxi plans to market - partly because of legal hurdles in various regions.

► Tesla has once again presented a devastatingly poor earnings report, with only Tesla's battery business being positive.

►The electric car pioneer has been forced to cut prices globally and offer discounts and incentives as it struggles with falling sales and rising competition, particularly in China. Total sales in the automotive sector fell by 7% compared to the previous year. The market for electric cars has become extremely competitive, margins are razor-thin and demand growth is disappointing.

► We are now selling Tesla with a reduced position (near 223.00 / still up almost 3.5% for the day).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 160 - 180 (16,000% - 18,000%) trading Tesla (TSLA) - 2/3 trading size

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——

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

25 Jul 2024 19:18

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)

► We sell the oil price recovery attempt after WTI (spot) rose not only above $77/barrel again but is also on path to potentially test $78.00 (spot; $78.35 Sept'24), supported by stronger-than-expected US GDP growth in the second quarter. We are selling the current strong rise range 77.85 - 78.10.

► Solid US GDP growth in the last quarter raises expectations that the US economy can make a soft landing and that the Fed will start cutting interest rates at the end of the third quarter (September).

► However, with the global economy showing signs of a renewed slowdown rather than confirming recent signs of acceleration, investors doubt that global oil consumption will increase as much as supply in the coming months. In particular, weakness in the Chinese economy, the world's largest oil importer, will lead to current gains being sold off again. Concerns about the Chinese economy increased further after the PBOC made another surprise rate cut today (medium-term lending facility) to boost weak Chinese consumer demand.

► We also see lower natural gas prices today as natural gas inventories in the US rose well above expectations.

► The possibility of a ceasefire in the conflict between Israel and Hamas raises hopes that tensions in the Middle East will ease further, which reduces the risk premium somewhat.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrade. ⚠️ The September-Futures Contract is currently $0.35 above spot price

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 90+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


——

🛢📈7️⃣8️⃣📉

🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
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🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

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25 Jul 2024 17:40

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 168.97
TP ✅ @: 172.87 (or earlier - break-even)

Visa (V) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 254.43
TP ✅ @: 256.37

Equity markets remained very volatile and choppy on Thursday. However, economically sensitive/cyclical stocks have performed well overall following better than expected US GDP growth data, reinforcing expectations that the US economy can make a soft landing (avoiding recession as the Fed will start cutting rates in September). I continue to see downside potential.

Our Visa NYSE opening trade is well in profit. The stock opened slightly weaker but rebounded strongly and moved our position into positive territory. We set a tight TP for Alphabet (or close even earlier break-even), which initially saw more selling but then rallied in a V-shape (for now). However, big tech stocks remain very volatile and vulnerable to further profit-taking.

Our position in Cisco already closed in profit (TP) and then rose much more sharply - with Cisco being one of the top performers in New York.

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25 Jul 2024 14:49

⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 EUR/JPY

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY (!) IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️

► The USD recovered after the US economy grew by 2.8% in the second quarter, significantly more than expected (2.1%) and also significantly more than GDP growth in the first quarter (1.4%). At the same time, however, we saw a dramatic decline in new orders for durable goods (MoM) in June, which fell by a whopping -6.6% (compared to an expected slight increase of 0.3%).

► So overall we see mixed economic data, with the labor market data coming in slightly better than expected - fewer initial jobless claims and also fewer applications for continued employment. A weaker labor market increases the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Fed - hence the better than expected data is supporting the USD in the short term. The stronger USD weighed now strongly on the JPY, which has now experienced a sharp correction against its peers.

► We buy the dip in the JPY, but buy again against the EUR - which is itself outperforming the USD today (still) due to lower US yields. The EUR/JPY is more than 100 pips above the day's lows and briefly bounces back above 166.500. We are going SHORT in the EUR/JPY again.

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY (!) IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️


⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———-

💴📈📈📈📉🎯📈

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🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)